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The Future of Market
    Research in 2015
        Merrill Dubrow


              May 3, 2011
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 There is a chance (although slim) I might say
  something of importance

 One of you will definitely say something
  important – clearly someone from the west
  coast!

 I will be calling on people

 I will be giving out a
  few gifts

 You may actually learn
  something                                 25
Hopefully one or two ideas/thoughts
that will make you scratch you head
  and say that could really happen




                                      26
DISCLAIMER

    Lenny & IIR have
absolutely no idea what is
     included in this
 presentation or what I
have planned for the next
       45 minutes.



                             27
The most important 5 years in the
history of market research is upon us. I
believe if the research industry doesn’t
   get entrenched and embrace new
technology, it will change the industry
 forever. This will be in a negative way
  and dramatically impact the overall
    revenue of the research industry
                 forever!

                         Merrill Dubrow
                        September 2010

                                           28
 Will we one day be "embarrassed" by the
  research we are conducting today?

 Do we really need market research when
  we can generate insights through
  analytics?

 Does data mining really have anything to
  offer for market researchers? or have
  vendors overpromised?
                                         29
 The word 'survey' is outdated and has a
  negative connotation associated with
  long, boring questionnaires.

 Why is the market research industry slow
  to innovate?

 What's ailing focus groups?

 Forget about surveys and interviews!
  Apps are the future of research!
                                            30
 How we do things
 How we conduct
  research
 What methodology
  we use
 How fast we deliver it
 How often are we right

    Glenn Frey said it right The Heat Is On!
                                               31
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AB   CD E       F
GH   I J K      L
MN   OPQ        RS
TU   VWX        YZ
     BUT HOW?
                 33
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More than 500
  Launched
                 million active
February 2004
                      users




1.8 billion in    Since January
revenue last     2009 most used
    year         social network



                                  38
 Shared links: 1,000,000
 Tagged photos: 1,323,000
 Event invites sent out: 1,484,000
 Wall posts: 1,587,000
 Status updates: 1,851,000
 Friend requests accepted: 1,972,000
 Photos uploaded: 2,716,000
 Comments: 10,208,000
 Messages: 4,632,000
 Likes: 7,657,000
                                        39
190 million
 Launched
                    visitors
 July 2006
                   monthly



                 Since February
45 million in
                2009 third most
revenue last
                   used social
    year
                    network


                                  40
Launched         70 million
  May 2003         members




243 million in    Add 1 million
 revenue last    members every
     year           12 days



                                  41
 Skype Introduces 10-Way Video Calling
 Skype and Facebook to Announce
  Partnership
 New and Improved Moderation Features
  for LinkedIn Groups
 A Beginner’s Guide to Facebook Analytics
 Twitter ‘To Launch Analytics Product’


                                          42
 Access to millions of people
 Platform for lots of different kinds of
  research
 Opt in
 They are TRUSTED
 Today/Tomorrow
   – Communication of choice
 Looking for revenue
 Already took a swing
   – Will try again
                                            43
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 Pay for Starbucks coffee with your
  Blackberry

 Check-in for your next American Airlines
  flight with your Blackberry

 Gap asks Facebook fans for alternative
  designs for new logo



                                           45
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94,937 Comments About
     Vodka Last Week
  Mostly About Smirnoff
      & Grey Goose
#1 Topic: Flavors of Vodka
Most Talked About Flavors:
    Lemon and Vanilla




                             7 Million Comments About
                               Musical Acts Last Week
                                 443,763: Lady Gaga
                                 52,000: Meat Dress
                             5,704: Negative Comments




      Smartphones
22.9 Million Comments in
    the Past 90 Days
 25%: Apple iPhone 4G


                                                        54
 Anyone & everyone can do this:
   –   People in our industry
   –   People who want to get into our industry
   –   Everyone is/can do scraping
   –   Cost of entry is small
        • Lots of new players
 It’s not about the data
   – It’s ALL about:
        •   What does it mean?
        •   What do I do about it?
        •   How do I implement it?
        •   And by the way….. Fast….. Very fast!

                                                   55
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Ok, Now I Am
 Absolutely                                                        Understanding                    Implementation
              Really Pissed Off   Curious Mode   Convincing Mode                   Embracing Mode
No Way Mode                                                           Mode                              Mode
                    Mode




                                                                                                          63
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 Everything you do!
 Everything you say!
 Everywhere you go!
 Everything you buy!
 Will be monitored!



          This is happening and
          growing up really fast!

                                    65
 Current
   –   Coupons
   –   Email                   Merrill Dubrow has a
   –   Banner ads               really nice tie on!
   –   Boarding pass
 Future
   – Digital billboards
        • That talk?
   – Radio
        • Medieval Times
   – Sporting events


           The clutter will be MORE relevant!
                                                      66
 Current
   –   Coupons
   –   Email                  Raise your hand if you
   –   Banner ads                 want a prize!
   –   Boarding pass
 Future
   – Digital billboards
        • That talk?
   – Radio
        • Medieval Times
   – Sporting events


           The clutter will be MORE relevant!
                                                       67
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 Easy to pinpoint location of targeted
  audiences
   – Leads to:
      • Knowing what people are doing
      • Location relevant message/offer from marketers
      • Can change on the fly

   – Proximity does not equal
     receptivity
      • Need a balance
      • This will be a BIG
        challenge


                                                         70
 Information for discounts
 Get a star/points
 Credit recognition
 Palm Hotel in Vegas
   – More Klout
     • More important
     • More attention
     • More perks
 Klout.com
 Peerindex.net
 Mixtent.com
                              71
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Good marketing is
 successful at reaching
 people when they are
most interested in talking
        with you!


                             74
Good RESEARCH is
 successful at reaching
 people when they are
most interested in talking
        with you!


                             75
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Past   Current   Future




                          78
 Departments are getting smaller
 Less primary research team members
 Less partners                   I don’t even know why
   – More revenue per partner                  we have jobs in some
                                              ways… we are slow and
   – We have some extra space                    get it wrong too
       • Increase of onsite partners            often…… expensive
                                              weatherman get it right
 Database analytics are                           more than us!
  growing
   – Really “looking hard” for key insights
       • Clients are doing this in house!!!
   – More offshore for this
   – Less off shore for traditional data collection

                                                                  79
 Less ”big” projects
   – Brand identity
   – Segmentation
 Lots of pricing research
 Speed is the biggest factor for awarding projects
 Smaller, faster
   – What is the answer to this      I no longer have time to
                                     teach partners about my
     one question                     business. They need to
       • Doing their own research!    know what we do and
   – Building their own internal       have ideas to help us
                                            from day 1.
     panels
   – Fan pages

                                                           80
Stan Sthanunathan VP Strategy of
Global Insights, Coca-Cola




              Michele Adams VP, Shopper &
              Customer Insights PepsiCo
                                            81
 Are trying to keep up with all the
  technology and struggling
 Knowledge base has to be at a high level
  right away
   – No more ramp up time      I have always said that the
                                  biggest threat to the
   – But this costs money       market research industry
                               was non-researchers doing
      • Lower margins?          research and NOW more
 More competition             than ever there are plenty
                                         of them
   – Less traditional places



                                                        82
   Add value everyday
   Invitations to much more strategic meetings
   Partner summits
   Interaction with many different departments
    – Researches are getting more exposure to:
        • Marketing teams
        • Brand groups
    – Need to understand their marketing strategy
        • What have they done in the past
        • Current goals
        • Future opportunities




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Marketing
Marketing   Research




                        85
 Research NEEDS to be more important
 Need to make sure research is integrated
  into marketing
 Need our research presentations to have a
  marketing aspect to them
 With decline in primary research staff
   – Because we are interacting with more
     marketers
      • Will go to different conferences
      • Desire to promote research thru PR with success
        stories

                                                          86
 Most successful researchers
   –   Are GREAT marketers
   –   Make recommendations that really matter
   –   Turn the insights into next steps
   –   How about sugging             RUGGING!
 Hopefully all of this leads to NO more
  great research reports
  collecting dust on shelves
 Because of all this
   – Hiring needs have changed

                                                 87
In my opinion the research industry
needs to hire smart, inquisitive, math-
oriented, socially networked, database
    proficient staff who have a solid
     understanding of marketing!




                                          88
 Insight Implementation Officer
 Chief Innovation Officer
 Director of Text Analytics
 Chief Creatologist (HP)       I’ve already seen
                              much less value put
 Social Media Director       on MBAs these days.
                               People want “real
                             world”, creativity and
 Scraping Guru              problem solving skills.

 Social Networking Maven
 King of Data Mining
 Future Facing Team
 Social Media Specialist
                                                  89
 Is REALLY pay attention to the small
  technology companies
   – Why
      • Most innovation comes from them
      • Maritz Research Acquires Business Analytics and
        Social Media Research Firm evolve24
           – Need to do a better job integrating them into our
             companies




                                         The industry can’t
                                         be like the Titanic
                                              anymore!


                                                                 90
 Be aware
      • Crowdsortium - new association (33
        comp.) started in October
      • NewMR Virtual Festival 2010
 Be leaders
 Be creative!
 Collaborate
   – With each other
   – Clients
 Promote the industry!
 Secure a “reverse” mentor
                                             91
Eric Swayne
Ben Smithee
                         Senior Social / Digital Strategist
                         at Rockfish Interactive




The University of Texas at Arlington
2007

                                                       92
New IBM ad states that
66% of all new products
   have some type of
 computer intelligence
        built in




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 WOMMA Word
 MASHABLES
 AdAge Daily
 eMarketer
 MRWeb
 Trendwatching
  – 11 crucial consumer trends for 2011
 Tom H.C. Anderson – Next Gen Market
  Research
 Forrester Blog
                                          95
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To keep the discussion going:

          Merrill Dubrow
          972-983-0416

merrill.dubrow@marcresearch.com

www.marcresearch.com/blogs/merrill




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The Future of Market Research

  • 1. The Future of Market Research in 2015 Merrill Dubrow May 3, 2011
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  • 25.  There is a chance (although slim) I might say something of importance  One of you will definitely say something important – clearly someone from the west coast!  I will be calling on people  I will be giving out a few gifts  You may actually learn something 25
  • 26. Hopefully one or two ideas/thoughts that will make you scratch you head and say that could really happen 26
  • 27. DISCLAIMER Lenny & IIR have absolutely no idea what is included in this presentation or what I have planned for the next 45 minutes. 27
  • 28. The most important 5 years in the history of market research is upon us. I believe if the research industry doesn’t get entrenched and embrace new technology, it will change the industry forever. This will be in a negative way and dramatically impact the overall revenue of the research industry forever! Merrill Dubrow September 2010 28
  • 29.  Will we one day be "embarrassed" by the research we are conducting today?  Do we really need market research when we can generate insights through analytics?  Does data mining really have anything to offer for market researchers? or have vendors overpromised? 29
  • 30.  The word 'survey' is outdated and has a negative connotation associated with long, boring questionnaires.  Why is the market research industry slow to innovate?  What's ailing focus groups?  Forget about surveys and interviews! Apps are the future of research! 30
  • 31.  How we do things  How we conduct research  What methodology we use  How fast we deliver it  How often are we right Glenn Frey said it right The Heat Is On! 31
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  • 33. AB CD E F GH I J K L MN OPQ RS TU VWX YZ BUT HOW? 33
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  • 38. More than 500 Launched million active February 2004 users 1.8 billion in Since January revenue last 2009 most used year social network 38
  • 39.  Shared links: 1,000,000  Tagged photos: 1,323,000  Event invites sent out: 1,484,000  Wall posts: 1,587,000  Status updates: 1,851,000  Friend requests accepted: 1,972,000  Photos uploaded: 2,716,000  Comments: 10,208,000  Messages: 4,632,000  Likes: 7,657,000 39
  • 40. 190 million Launched visitors July 2006 monthly Since February 45 million in 2009 third most revenue last used social year network 40
  • 41. Launched 70 million May 2003 members 243 million in Add 1 million revenue last members every year 12 days 41
  • 42.  Skype Introduces 10-Way Video Calling  Skype and Facebook to Announce Partnership  New and Improved Moderation Features for LinkedIn Groups  A Beginner’s Guide to Facebook Analytics  Twitter ‘To Launch Analytics Product’ 42
  • 43.  Access to millions of people  Platform for lots of different kinds of research  Opt in  They are TRUSTED  Today/Tomorrow – Communication of choice  Looking for revenue  Already took a swing – Will try again 43
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  • 45.  Pay for Starbucks coffee with your Blackberry  Check-in for your next American Airlines flight with your Blackberry  Gap asks Facebook fans for alternative designs for new logo 45
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  • 54. 94,937 Comments About Vodka Last Week Mostly About Smirnoff & Grey Goose #1 Topic: Flavors of Vodka Most Talked About Flavors: Lemon and Vanilla 7 Million Comments About Musical Acts Last Week 443,763: Lady Gaga 52,000: Meat Dress 5,704: Negative Comments Smartphones 22.9 Million Comments in the Past 90 Days 25%: Apple iPhone 4G 54
  • 55.  Anyone & everyone can do this: – People in our industry – People who want to get into our industry – Everyone is/can do scraping – Cost of entry is small • Lots of new players  It’s not about the data – It’s ALL about: • What does it mean? • What do I do about it? • How do I implement it? • And by the way….. Fast….. Very fast! 55
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  • 63. Ok, Now I Am Absolutely Understanding Implementation Really Pissed Off Curious Mode Convincing Mode Embracing Mode No Way Mode Mode Mode Mode 63
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  • 65.  Everything you do!  Everything you say!  Everywhere you go!  Everything you buy!  Will be monitored! This is happening and growing up really fast! 65
  • 66.  Current – Coupons – Email Merrill Dubrow has a – Banner ads really nice tie on! – Boarding pass  Future – Digital billboards • That talk? – Radio • Medieval Times – Sporting events The clutter will be MORE relevant! 66
  • 67.  Current – Coupons – Email Raise your hand if you – Banner ads want a prize! – Boarding pass  Future – Digital billboards • That talk? – Radio • Medieval Times – Sporting events The clutter will be MORE relevant! 67
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  • 70.  Easy to pinpoint location of targeted audiences – Leads to: • Knowing what people are doing • Location relevant message/offer from marketers • Can change on the fly – Proximity does not equal receptivity • Need a balance • This will be a BIG challenge 70
  • 71.  Information for discounts  Get a star/points  Credit recognition  Palm Hotel in Vegas – More Klout • More important • More attention • More perks  Klout.com  Peerindex.net  Mixtent.com 71
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  • 74. Good marketing is successful at reaching people when they are most interested in talking with you! 74
  • 75. Good RESEARCH is successful at reaching people when they are most interested in talking with you! 75
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  • 78. Past Current Future 78
  • 79.  Departments are getting smaller  Less primary research team members  Less partners I don’t even know why – More revenue per partner we have jobs in some ways… we are slow and – We have some extra space get it wrong too • Increase of onsite partners often…… expensive weatherman get it right  Database analytics are more than us! growing – Really “looking hard” for key insights • Clients are doing this in house!!! – More offshore for this – Less off shore for traditional data collection 79
  • 80.  Less ”big” projects – Brand identity – Segmentation  Lots of pricing research  Speed is the biggest factor for awarding projects  Smaller, faster – What is the answer to this I no longer have time to teach partners about my one question business. They need to • Doing their own research! know what we do and – Building their own internal have ideas to help us from day 1. panels – Fan pages 80
  • 81. Stan Sthanunathan VP Strategy of Global Insights, Coca-Cola Michele Adams VP, Shopper & Customer Insights PepsiCo 81
  • 82.  Are trying to keep up with all the technology and struggling  Knowledge base has to be at a high level right away – No more ramp up time I have always said that the biggest threat to the – But this costs money market research industry was non-researchers doing • Lower margins? research and NOW more  More competition than ever there are plenty of them – Less traditional places 82
  • 83. Add value everyday  Invitations to much more strategic meetings  Partner summits  Interaction with many different departments – Researches are getting more exposure to: • Marketing teams • Brand groups – Need to understand their marketing strategy • What have they done in the past • Current goals • Future opportunities 83
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  • 85. Marketing Marketing Research 85
  • 86.  Research NEEDS to be more important  Need to make sure research is integrated into marketing  Need our research presentations to have a marketing aspect to them  With decline in primary research staff – Because we are interacting with more marketers • Will go to different conferences • Desire to promote research thru PR with success stories 86
  • 87.  Most successful researchers – Are GREAT marketers – Make recommendations that really matter – Turn the insights into next steps – How about sugging RUGGING!  Hopefully all of this leads to NO more great research reports collecting dust on shelves  Because of all this – Hiring needs have changed 87
  • 88. In my opinion the research industry needs to hire smart, inquisitive, math- oriented, socially networked, database proficient staff who have a solid understanding of marketing! 88
  • 89.  Insight Implementation Officer  Chief Innovation Officer  Director of Text Analytics  Chief Creatologist (HP) I’ve already seen much less value put  Social Media Director on MBAs these days. People want “real world”, creativity and  Scraping Guru problem solving skills.  Social Networking Maven  King of Data Mining  Future Facing Team  Social Media Specialist 89
  • 90.  Is REALLY pay attention to the small technology companies – Why • Most innovation comes from them • Maritz Research Acquires Business Analytics and Social Media Research Firm evolve24 – Need to do a better job integrating them into our companies The industry can’t be like the Titanic anymore! 90
  • 91.  Be aware • Crowdsortium - new association (33 comp.) started in October • NewMR Virtual Festival 2010  Be leaders  Be creative!  Collaborate – With each other – Clients  Promote the industry!  Secure a “reverse” mentor 91
  • 92. Eric Swayne Ben Smithee Senior Social / Digital Strategist at Rockfish Interactive The University of Texas at Arlington 2007 92
  • 93. New IBM ad states that 66% of all new products have some type of computer intelligence built in 93
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  • 95.  WOMMA Word  MASHABLES  AdAge Daily  eMarketer  MRWeb  Trendwatching – 11 crucial consumer trends for 2011  Tom H.C. Anderson – Next Gen Market Research  Forrester Blog 95
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  • 98. To keep the discussion going: Merrill Dubrow 972-983-0416 merrill.dubrow@marcresearch.com www.marcresearch.com/blogs/merrill 98
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