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Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved
Brands have
two jobs.
Most brands seek the same thing—
profitable growth. In order to
grow profitably, the brand has two
marketing jobs.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved
Strong brands enjoy more
efficient business models
than do weak brands.
Strong Brands
Building brand preference and
maximizing ROI are complementary
but distinct strategies.
01
Measuring Brands
Brands have two jobs. So, brands
need to measure two things.
02
Common Language
We need alignment around the terms
brand, brand preference and ROI.
03
The Value of Brand Preference
Brand preference metrics are the most
reliable predictor of market share.
04
ROI in the Digital Era
The idea that a weaker brand can enjoy a
better ROI because it has better algorithms
is seductive and demands exploration.
05
Modern Brands
What empowered brands do well in
the face of disruption?
06
Aligning Tactics to Strategy
With two complementary strategies to
measure, organizing tactics around one
strategy or the other is the next step.
07
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 1
01 Strong
Brands
Most brands seek the same thing—profitable
growth. In order to grow profitably, the brand
has two marketing jobs. One job is to grow
and protect a franchise of consumers who
appreciate the brand’s relevance. The second
job is to optimize the efficiency and scale of
the tactics that generate revenue.
Brand Preference + ROI
Optimization = Profitable Growth
The formula seems straightforward but it has come
under a lot of pressure in the digital era. Building and
protecting brand preference is intellectually and financially
demanding while quantifying the value of consumer
appeal does not lend itself to easy metrics. On the other
hand, the digital era has given us machines that make
direct response advertising super-efficient and easy to
measure. ROI tactics are better understood and more
appreciated than ever before.
Strong brands enjoy more efficient business
models than do weak brands.
There was a time when this premise seemed self-evident.
Not today. Today, the emphasis is on “more efficient
business models” while rationalizing the value of a strong
brand as a contributor to that efficiency requires time,
resources and wisdom.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 2
The challenge is that these two types of measurement
are distinct and isolated exercises. Brand preference
gets inside the head of the consumer and tracks how the
brand is trending over time relative to its competitors.
ROI takes a snapshot of many tactical investments at
the same time in order to compare the efficiency of each
tactic. One is a sophisticated survey discipline, the other
is a sophisticated model. One looks outward for useful
insights, the other looks inward for useful data. For most
marketers, even their 3rd party partners that help them
measure each of these things are far removed from each
other.
Brands have two jobs. So, brands need to
measure two things.
This paper encourages brands to push back against the
trend towards measuring every communications tactic
through one all-powerful analytics machine. Media mix
modeling and attribution modeling are important exercises
that grow more robust in the era of big data analytics
but the temptation to run every tactic through the same
machine causes us to forget that we are pursuing two
strategies that are complementary but not the same thing.
Just because we now have machines that seem like they
are capable of measuring experiential marketing side-
by-side with paid search, it doesn’t mean that we should
try to do that. It’s possible to test Toyota commercials
side-by-side with Toyotathon commercials using only one
benchmark but what are we really learning when we do
that?
Step back. We know how to build and protect brand
preference. We know how to optimize direct response
tactics. We just need to give ourselves permission to do
each one distinctly so that we can do both with a high
degree of excellence. When we try to have one universal
solution for measuring performance, it forces us to build
campaigns that serve the needs of the measurement tool
more so than the needs of the consumer.
The recommendation here is to embrace the uniqueness
of each type of measurement instead of trying to figure
out how to unify them. By doing so, our investments will
become more strategic and more accountable against
their true objectives. It might seem counterintuitive, but…
Our ability to understand the impact of brand
preference on ROI will improve when we
correlate on the backend instead of pushing
everything together on the front end.
02 Measuring Brands
Measuring the value of brand marketing investments comes down to two
essential things—brand preference and ROI. Brand preference measures
the consumer’s mindset. ROI measures the profitability of tactics.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 3
03 Common Language
Before we dive deeper, let’s define the critical terms used throughout this paper.
Brand
The common definition is this: “A type of
product manufactured by a particular company
under a particular name.” For a lay person, this
definition is fine but for stakeholders who are
trying to build and protect strong brands, a more
sophisticated definition of what it means to be a
brand is important.
A brand is the collective perspective
of all of the consumers who engage
with the category in which the brand
competes.
The relentless pressure of industry pushes us
towards thinking about the value of a brand in
terms of its contributions to the bottom line.
Only when we are disciplined about measuring
the value of a brand from the point-of-view
of the consumer do we uncover insights that
improve investment strategies.
Brand Preference
Consumer research that seeks to understand the health of a brand,
and the value of a healthy brand, uses many synonymous terms
like brand strength, brand equity and brand love. Diving deeper into
specific categories, different equities surface that are the most
important to survey and quantify. These include terms like unaided
awareness, aided awareness, advocacy, loyalty, trust, relevance,
intent-to-purchase, top-of-mind awareness, favorability, likability and
so on. These terms are all relevant and important in the right context.
For this document, they all roll up under the term brand preference.
“Preference” is important because the definition of preference is “a
greater liking for one alternative over another or others.”
Brand preference puts brand strength into a
competitive context.
Brand preference research is a lot like political polling research. One
“favorability” score for a politician is almost useless but the trend
information compared to the trends for other politicians in the same
race is extremely useful information. Therefore, graphs of brand
preference data tend to look like flow charts:
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 4
Return on Investment (ROI)
The generic definition is expressed as a formula:
ROI = (Net Profit / Cost of Investment) x 100
For ad campaigns, a brand uses many tactics at the same time. Sophisticated data
analytics isolate and calculate the ROI for each tactic. This is usually called “attribution
modeling.”
Generally speaking, an ROI analysis using attribution modeling measures the incremental
revenue generated by the tactic versus not having spent the money on that tactic. Then,
the ROI of each tactic is compared to all of the other tactics and optimization follows.
It gets complicated quickly but machines deal with that. What matters here is that ROI is
an analysis of each tactical investment so that the brand can compare the efficiency of
each tactic versus the others.
ROI efficiency is a snapshot of a moment in time where each of the brand’s tactics can be
judged side-by-side. So, graphs of ROI data tend to look like bar charts:
With these definitions in mind, the two jobs that strong brands need to focus on become less
ambiguous and the underlying logic of our premise is clear:
Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands.
Paraphrasing: In a competitive category, the brands that are better preferred by the most
consumers enjoy a higher average ROI for their tactical investments by comparison to the weaker
competitors.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 5
04 The Value of Brand Preference
In the “golden age” of TV advertising, brands became
much more than the name of a product. TV commercials
had the power to impact brand preference at scale.
Marketers learned to define a brand from the consumer’s
point-of-view and then manipulate brand preference with
commercials. Research into how consumers thought
about brands became sophisticated. The value of the
research reached an apex when marketers started to
recognize that brand preference scoring trends were the
most reliable predictors of changes in market share that
would follow.
When a good TV advertising campaign raised a brand’s
preference scores, market share gains would show up in
subsequent analytics. This observation became scalable
and repeatable for the best-in-class marketers of this
era. Because of these conditions, brand advertising took
precedent over direct response advertising for
“blue chip” brands.
The digital era feels different because brands can rise
and fall more quickly and because digital advertising is
a super-efficient direct response advertising medium.
However, this is also the era where investors are
demanding more precision when quantifying the value of
a brand.
The same investor community that slashed costs and
paid the price for under-investing in brand preference is
now demanding that the balance sheet reflects the value
of brands every bit as much as it reflects the value of
factories. For this, the industry turned to the Marketing
Accountability Standards Board™. Exhaustive research
by the MASB confirms that brand preference is the most
highly correlated variable to unit sales share of market:
Whereas the MASB is helping boardrooms around the world to understand how brand preference
is the cornerstone for calculating the brand’s value on a balance sheet, this paper is focused on
making sure that the marketing and procurement executives running brand operations day-to-
day are investing in brand preference because of its everyday impact on ROI efficiency. For both
purposes, “brand preference” is the exact same concept.
(Source: MASB “Brand Investment and Valuation a new, empirically-based approach” Frank Findley MSW, March 2016)
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 6
05 ROI In the Digital Era
Digital advertising grew exponentially using funds from direct response advertising
budgets that previously went to yellow pages, classified ads, telemarketing and direct
mail. This happened at the same time that financial management put the entire marketing
budget under intense scrutiny. With “big data” rising to the level of “artificial intelligence,”
the potential power of machines to make brands more efficient has given rise to
thousands of new companies working under the banners of “AdTech” and “MarTech.”
It’s noteworthy that a significant percentage of the best and brightest computer
engineers coming out of universities like Stanford and MIT have pursued careers in
advertising. There is a simple explanation for why so much money has been thrown at
young code writers.
The idea that a weaker brand can enjoy a better ROI because it has
better algorithms is seductive and demands exploration.
Investment capital firms appreciate the efficiency of ROI-centric brands but it took them
quite a while to feel the pain that goes along with neglecting brand preference.
Does 3G Capital understand why Kraft Heinz recently wrote down the value of the Oscar
Mayer and Kraft trademarks by $15 billion? Does Eddie Lampert’s hedge fund understand
why Sears and Kmart lost their shoppers? Same question for Pershing Square Capital
regarding the demise of JC Penney. Does Gillette understand why so many of their loyal
consumers were willing to completely change their purchasing habits when Dollar Shave
Club came along? Volkswagen and Wells Fargo cheated their consumers and got caught
in scandals of their own making. Do capital investors fully understand just how expensive
it is for these companies to rebuild the brand equities that were sacrificed?
The answer to these questions today is “yes,” now they do. Unfortunately for stock
holders and stakeholders, it took a lot of expensive mistakes to get the investor
community to recognize the quantifiable value of brand preference.
With hindsight, we can see how a strong brand became a weak brand by over-pursuing
efficiency. But, in real time, the changes are insidious. Weakening brands usually don’t
see their problems coming because their ROI data looks OK until it falls out of bed.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 7
Digital Era ROI
Today’s brands are under pressure to
be ROI efficient, revenue maximizing
enterprises. There is no time for
nurturing unprofitable brands unless
they are gaining market share quickly.
Patience is not a virtue in modern
capitalism.
Massively scalable machine learning
systems have made digital advertising
a super-efficient channel for direct
response campaigns. Traditional
direct response channels never had
a chance. Yellow Pages and classified
ads, once huge industries, are almost
gone. Direct mail is a fraction of what
it once was and telemarketing went
away only to be reborn as something
so awful that most consumers think it
should be illegal.
In the chaos of rapid digital change,
leveraging digital ad-tech became a
gold rush. After all, a favorite cliché of
the advertising industry has always
been; “half the money I spend on
advertising is wasted; the trouble is
I don't know which half.” Suddenly,
stunningly, eliminating the “wasted
half” seemed possible thanks to the
digital panacea. The race was on.
Things got messy, mistakes were
made, scandalous problems with
fraud and non-transparency emerged
but, even with all of the problems, the
fundamental importance of pursuing
ROI efficiency remains undeniable
and it will never go away.
Early adopters of tactics like
paid search and programmatic
display advertising had windows of
opportunity to sell more efficiently
than their slow adopting competitors.
It did not take long, however, for the
algorithms to become a commodity
and the efficiency advantages to
become iterative and incremental
instead of transcendent.
Nonetheless, there is no going
backwards. Brands must be
aggressive and disciplined in their
use of digital era direct response
advertising tactics and that means
measuring ROI is crucial.
Brand Myopia
The problem with over-emphasizing
ROI performance is myopia. An
industry recognized CMO shares a
lesson about how algorithms refined
the brand’s programmatic advertising
investments to the point where the
majority of consumers seeing the ads
were those who bought a case of the
brand on their weekly shopping trip.
The ROI was breath taking, but the
brand’s market share was eroding for
reasons that became obvious with
hindsight.
It’s an extreme case study but the
point of the story applies broadly.
When brands are hyper-focused on
ROI, they are only looking at their
own data. Improving ROI starts
to feel like an automated solution
that guarantees better bottom line
performance – until it doesn’t.
There are many painful examples
where an intense focus on efficiency
caused the marketer to take their eye
off of its brand preference metrics
and some of those unfortunate
brands were mentioned previously.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 8
06 Modern Brands
Disruptor Brands
In fairness to many brands that lost market share while
pursuing efficiency, their defense is that “disruption” helps
to explain their business performance challenges.
With all due respect for the challenges of change
leadership in the digital era, successful disruption is
always connected to an evolution in the consumer’s
mindset.
Disruptor brands like Dollar Shave Club or disruptive
retailers like Amazon benefit by leveraging new technology
before their more traditional competitors figure it out.
That is fair but, at the end of the day, this is really about
understanding where the consumer is going in their
digitally empowered world. Apple did not become one of
the world’s most preferred brands because it understood
the technology, Apple got there because Steve Jobs
demanded that the consumer experience must be intuitive
and delightful. The technology is just an enabler, paying
closer attention to the modern consumer’s evolving
mindset is the real disruptive advantage.
When a modern consumer asks “Alexa” to order batteries
for their video game controller, the reply is: “I have Amazon
Batteries that can be delivered tomorrow. 24 C batteries
for $12.95. Do you want me to place the order?” – the
consumer can then say “yes, go ahead” or “no, I want
Duracell batteries.” At this point in time, Alexa will say that
she does not have Duracell batteries (even though you can
easily order Duracell batteries by going to Amazon.com.)
It’s likely that the brand manager at Duracell has a problem
with that. Who could blame them?
While the immediate reaction is that Amazon (via Alexa) is
not playing fair, the real question is whether or not Amazon
has stronger brand preference than does Duracell in the
mind of the consumer who wants to buy batteries.
Many brands complain that store brands (or Amazon as
the uber-store brand) are stealing share unfairly because
the retailer is supposed to be their partner. That is easier
than confronting the idea that “CVS Health” or “Amazon
Basics” or “Sam’s Choice” are gaining in brand preference
while the traditional brand is busy optimizing ROI efficiency
at the expense of investing in brand preference.
If enough consumers of batteries say “no” to Alexa, it’s
very likely that Alexa will be offering brands like Duracell
in the future. But, if most consumers could care less,
Alexa is unlikely to change “her” response. It’s not really
about the disruptive technology, it’s about the battle for
brand preference in the minds of digitally empowered
consumers.
Empowered Brands
The industry’s marketing executives voted “Brand
Purpose” as the Marketing Word of The Year for 2018 (ANA
Research) and Nike swept up awards and accolades for
using Colin Kaepernick as the face of their brand when
they celebrated the 30th anniversary of the “Just Do It”
campaign.
No amount of machine learning could have ever spit out
a poster of Colin Kaepernick’s face as the best way to
refresh the Nike brand instantly and at scale. And yet, Nike
reported +13% revenue growth in 4Q 2018. Nike’s brand
preference improved dramatically and therefore, the ROI
for its tactical investments improved quickly too.
Digitally empowered brands need to be vigilant about
brand preference because their consumers are digitally
empowered too.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 9
Today, a mom knows more about her preferred brand of
baby stroller than the brand manager knew 20 years ago.
She knows where it was made, what materials were used,
what the manufacturing company stands for and how
it ranks in 3rd party tests. Perhaps most important, she
knew what the opinions of other moms who bought the
same stroller before she did were before she made her
purchase. This mom is not using the Internet to find the
cheapest stroller. She is using her digital powers to figure
out which brand she prefers, then she shops for the best
price for THAT brand.
ROI tactics that intercept new moms as they shop for a
stroller are critical investments. Optimizing these tactics is
mandatory work. But, the average ROI for the stroller that
more moms prefer is far better than the ROI for a stroller
with a reputation for having the wheels fall off.
Brand preference drives the average ROI up or
down significantly while the ROI optimization
process improves the average marginally.
Today, there are hundreds of brands of beer with viable
business models because every single one of those
brands has some consumers who prefer their brand. No
micro-brewed IPA is succeeding because it optimizes
ROI tactics better than the others. But, all of them are
succeeding because they enjoy brand preference among
some of the consumers.
The most successful micro-brewery beer brands
over time will be the ones that sustain and grow brand
preference while intelligently investing in the best ROI
tactics to drive short term sales. Modern brands need to
get both things right.
Balanced Brands
Marketers are now trying to get the balance of ROI and
brand preference into alignment. It took a while, but the
value of being a strong brand and the importance of
optimizing ROI are starting to find an equilibrium. Together,
they are powerful. Alone, they are vulnerable.
Correlating brand preference research with ROI data
analytics will generate fresh business models that
are easy to analyze and useful for the continuous
improvement of holistic campaign strategies. Managing
brands in the context of the two jobs that they need to do
will yield graphs that look like this:
Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak
brands.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 10
07 Aligning Tactics to Strategy
This paper is not here to advise brands on how to build the right media plan. That said, if we
agree that a brand has two jobs and should therefore measure two things, it is helpful to
conclude with a high-level discussion about tactics. Once we decide to measure two things
because we have two complementary strategies, organizing our investments to align with each
strategic objective is the next important step.
Television (Audio, Print and Out-
of-Home)
TV commercials have long been the cornerstone of
advertising campaigns for brands because 30 seconds
of video can tell a very persuasive story and, just as
important, TV can do this at scale. TV advertising
remains important, even in the digital era, because
telling a compelling story with video that reaches a large
percentage of the consumers is an ideal combination that
digital media has not replicated yet.
Whether a brand should measure TV commercials for
their impact on brand preference or for their ROI efficiency
depends on the content of the ads.
If the story in the commercial is about brand equities (like
a car ad that emphasizes safety and security for the driver
and their family), it is an investment in brand preference.
These ads do support short term sales (as confirmed by
the scientific evidence presented in “When Ads Work”
by John Philip Jones) but the stories in these ads serve
a bigger, more long-lasting purpose of giving the brand
relevance and resonance with the consumer. So, their
contribution to brand preference is the primary thing to
measure.
If the story in the commercial focuses on a compelling
reason to buy right now (like a car dealer emphasizing
a big Columbus Day sales event) than it is promotional
advertising and it is primarily an investment in ROI and it
should be measured by those standards.
The content of the advertising is how we
determine which strategy is being supported
by the media investment when it comes to
television. The same is true for audio, print and
out-of-home media channels.
ROI Tactics
Traditional direct response tactics are ROI investments.
Catalogs, direct mail, outbound telemarketing, retail flyers
and, to the degree that they still exist, classified ads and
yellow pages are all ROI tactics.
For digital advertising; paid search, organic search, and
programmatic banner ads are all ROI investments. Email
marketing is an ROI investment although it often serves as
a CRM tactic.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 11
Brand Preference Tactics
Experiential marketing, event sponsorships, programming
sponsorships and long form video are usually tactics
intended to build brand preference. Committing to a clear
brand purpose, supporting causes and philanthropies and
the public relations investments around those initiatives all
contribute to brand preference performance.
Inbound telemarketing is now called “customer support”
for good reason. Opportunities to respond to consumers
when they reach out to the brand are ideal opportunities
to build brand preference. It’s tempting to use these
engagements to upsell (ROI) but most brands learn that
this is the time to humanize the brand and invest in the life
time value of the consumer (brand preference.) A company
like Verizon needs to treat inbound customer support as
a brand preference opportunity while “Flex Seal” can go
ahead and try to upsell the customer responding to a TV
ad. The strategy going in determines the metric to analyze
coming out.
In digital media, social is the huge game changer for brand
preference strategies and tactics.
Social media is where brands can develop a
strong persona that resonates with consumers.
Influencer marketing is part of social. Pay-to-play tactics
that boost the reach of your social media presence are
fair game and they should be treated as brand preference
investments.
Word-of-mouth has always been a powerful influencer of
brand preference. Social media has empowered brands to
get right in the middle of the conversation. It’s hard to do
it well. It’s hard to scale. It’s labor intensive. There are no
short cuts. And, if your brand screws something up, your
social media presence will be gut wrenching but it will also
be one of the most valuable assets a brand can turn to
when it needs to respond to a crisis.
In the digital era, if a brand wants to optimize ROI, it must
dive deep into programmatic digital media buying even
though the risks and challenges are well known. The
other side of the coin is social media for brand preference
initiatives. Both tactics are complicated, both are crucial.
Just don’t make these tactics compete with each
other. They serve different strategies so measure them
appropriately to their purpose and the journey forward will
be constructive.
Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 12
Building and
Executing the Right
Blend of Smart Media
Tactics Is Harder
Than Ever Before
Even so, when a brand gets crystal clear
about the TWO jobs that it needs to do well,
communications planning becomes a more
intuitive and informed process that can
improve over time. Just going through the
exercise of organizing a brand’s investments
into two buckets instead of one starts to
generate insights about the amount of
investment in each and soon, the insights will
grow deeper as the dynamic interplay between
the two strategies is supported with more
useful data.
Strong brands enjoy more efficient
business models than do weak brands.

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Brands Have Two Jobs

  • 1. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved Brands have two jobs. Most brands seek the same thing— profitable growth. In order to grow profitably, the brand has two marketing jobs.
  • 2. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands. Strong Brands Building brand preference and maximizing ROI are complementary but distinct strategies. 01 Measuring Brands Brands have two jobs. So, brands need to measure two things. 02 Common Language We need alignment around the terms brand, brand preference and ROI. 03 The Value of Brand Preference Brand preference metrics are the most reliable predictor of market share. 04 ROI in the Digital Era The idea that a weaker brand can enjoy a better ROI because it has better algorithms is seductive and demands exploration. 05 Modern Brands What empowered brands do well in the face of disruption? 06 Aligning Tactics to Strategy With two complementary strategies to measure, organizing tactics around one strategy or the other is the next step. 07
  • 3. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 1 01 Strong Brands Most brands seek the same thing—profitable growth. In order to grow profitably, the brand has two marketing jobs. One job is to grow and protect a franchise of consumers who appreciate the brand’s relevance. The second job is to optimize the efficiency and scale of the tactics that generate revenue. Brand Preference + ROI Optimization = Profitable Growth The formula seems straightforward but it has come under a lot of pressure in the digital era. Building and protecting brand preference is intellectually and financially demanding while quantifying the value of consumer appeal does not lend itself to easy metrics. On the other hand, the digital era has given us machines that make direct response advertising super-efficient and easy to measure. ROI tactics are better understood and more appreciated than ever before. Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands. There was a time when this premise seemed self-evident. Not today. Today, the emphasis is on “more efficient business models” while rationalizing the value of a strong brand as a contributor to that efficiency requires time, resources and wisdom.
  • 4. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 2 The challenge is that these two types of measurement are distinct and isolated exercises. Brand preference gets inside the head of the consumer and tracks how the brand is trending over time relative to its competitors. ROI takes a snapshot of many tactical investments at the same time in order to compare the efficiency of each tactic. One is a sophisticated survey discipline, the other is a sophisticated model. One looks outward for useful insights, the other looks inward for useful data. For most marketers, even their 3rd party partners that help them measure each of these things are far removed from each other. Brands have two jobs. So, brands need to measure two things. This paper encourages brands to push back against the trend towards measuring every communications tactic through one all-powerful analytics machine. Media mix modeling and attribution modeling are important exercises that grow more robust in the era of big data analytics but the temptation to run every tactic through the same machine causes us to forget that we are pursuing two strategies that are complementary but not the same thing. Just because we now have machines that seem like they are capable of measuring experiential marketing side- by-side with paid search, it doesn’t mean that we should try to do that. It’s possible to test Toyota commercials side-by-side with Toyotathon commercials using only one benchmark but what are we really learning when we do that? Step back. We know how to build and protect brand preference. We know how to optimize direct response tactics. We just need to give ourselves permission to do each one distinctly so that we can do both with a high degree of excellence. When we try to have one universal solution for measuring performance, it forces us to build campaigns that serve the needs of the measurement tool more so than the needs of the consumer. The recommendation here is to embrace the uniqueness of each type of measurement instead of trying to figure out how to unify them. By doing so, our investments will become more strategic and more accountable against their true objectives. It might seem counterintuitive, but… Our ability to understand the impact of brand preference on ROI will improve when we correlate on the backend instead of pushing everything together on the front end. 02 Measuring Brands Measuring the value of brand marketing investments comes down to two essential things—brand preference and ROI. Brand preference measures the consumer’s mindset. ROI measures the profitability of tactics.
  • 5. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 3 03 Common Language Before we dive deeper, let’s define the critical terms used throughout this paper. Brand The common definition is this: “A type of product manufactured by a particular company under a particular name.” For a lay person, this definition is fine but for stakeholders who are trying to build and protect strong brands, a more sophisticated definition of what it means to be a brand is important. A brand is the collective perspective of all of the consumers who engage with the category in which the brand competes. The relentless pressure of industry pushes us towards thinking about the value of a brand in terms of its contributions to the bottom line. Only when we are disciplined about measuring the value of a brand from the point-of-view of the consumer do we uncover insights that improve investment strategies. Brand Preference Consumer research that seeks to understand the health of a brand, and the value of a healthy brand, uses many synonymous terms like brand strength, brand equity and brand love. Diving deeper into specific categories, different equities surface that are the most important to survey and quantify. These include terms like unaided awareness, aided awareness, advocacy, loyalty, trust, relevance, intent-to-purchase, top-of-mind awareness, favorability, likability and so on. These terms are all relevant and important in the right context. For this document, they all roll up under the term brand preference. “Preference” is important because the definition of preference is “a greater liking for one alternative over another or others.” Brand preference puts brand strength into a competitive context. Brand preference research is a lot like political polling research. One “favorability” score for a politician is almost useless but the trend information compared to the trends for other politicians in the same race is extremely useful information. Therefore, graphs of brand preference data tend to look like flow charts:
  • 6. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 4 Return on Investment (ROI) The generic definition is expressed as a formula: ROI = (Net Profit / Cost of Investment) x 100 For ad campaigns, a brand uses many tactics at the same time. Sophisticated data analytics isolate and calculate the ROI for each tactic. This is usually called “attribution modeling.” Generally speaking, an ROI analysis using attribution modeling measures the incremental revenue generated by the tactic versus not having spent the money on that tactic. Then, the ROI of each tactic is compared to all of the other tactics and optimization follows. It gets complicated quickly but machines deal with that. What matters here is that ROI is an analysis of each tactical investment so that the brand can compare the efficiency of each tactic versus the others. ROI efficiency is a snapshot of a moment in time where each of the brand’s tactics can be judged side-by-side. So, graphs of ROI data tend to look like bar charts: With these definitions in mind, the two jobs that strong brands need to focus on become less ambiguous and the underlying logic of our premise is clear: Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands. Paraphrasing: In a competitive category, the brands that are better preferred by the most consumers enjoy a higher average ROI for their tactical investments by comparison to the weaker competitors.
  • 7. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 5 04 The Value of Brand Preference In the “golden age” of TV advertising, brands became much more than the name of a product. TV commercials had the power to impact brand preference at scale. Marketers learned to define a brand from the consumer’s point-of-view and then manipulate brand preference with commercials. Research into how consumers thought about brands became sophisticated. The value of the research reached an apex when marketers started to recognize that brand preference scoring trends were the most reliable predictors of changes in market share that would follow. When a good TV advertising campaign raised a brand’s preference scores, market share gains would show up in subsequent analytics. This observation became scalable and repeatable for the best-in-class marketers of this era. Because of these conditions, brand advertising took precedent over direct response advertising for “blue chip” brands. The digital era feels different because brands can rise and fall more quickly and because digital advertising is a super-efficient direct response advertising medium. However, this is also the era where investors are demanding more precision when quantifying the value of a brand. The same investor community that slashed costs and paid the price for under-investing in brand preference is now demanding that the balance sheet reflects the value of brands every bit as much as it reflects the value of factories. For this, the industry turned to the Marketing Accountability Standards Board™. Exhaustive research by the MASB confirms that brand preference is the most highly correlated variable to unit sales share of market: Whereas the MASB is helping boardrooms around the world to understand how brand preference is the cornerstone for calculating the brand’s value on a balance sheet, this paper is focused on making sure that the marketing and procurement executives running brand operations day-to- day are investing in brand preference because of its everyday impact on ROI efficiency. For both purposes, “brand preference” is the exact same concept. (Source: MASB “Brand Investment and Valuation a new, empirically-based approach” Frank Findley MSW, March 2016)
  • 8. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 6 05 ROI In the Digital Era Digital advertising grew exponentially using funds from direct response advertising budgets that previously went to yellow pages, classified ads, telemarketing and direct mail. This happened at the same time that financial management put the entire marketing budget under intense scrutiny. With “big data” rising to the level of “artificial intelligence,” the potential power of machines to make brands more efficient has given rise to thousands of new companies working under the banners of “AdTech” and “MarTech.” It’s noteworthy that a significant percentage of the best and brightest computer engineers coming out of universities like Stanford and MIT have pursued careers in advertising. There is a simple explanation for why so much money has been thrown at young code writers. The idea that a weaker brand can enjoy a better ROI because it has better algorithms is seductive and demands exploration. Investment capital firms appreciate the efficiency of ROI-centric brands but it took them quite a while to feel the pain that goes along with neglecting brand preference. Does 3G Capital understand why Kraft Heinz recently wrote down the value of the Oscar Mayer and Kraft trademarks by $15 billion? Does Eddie Lampert’s hedge fund understand why Sears and Kmart lost their shoppers? Same question for Pershing Square Capital regarding the demise of JC Penney. Does Gillette understand why so many of their loyal consumers were willing to completely change their purchasing habits when Dollar Shave Club came along? Volkswagen and Wells Fargo cheated their consumers and got caught in scandals of their own making. Do capital investors fully understand just how expensive it is for these companies to rebuild the brand equities that were sacrificed? The answer to these questions today is “yes,” now they do. Unfortunately for stock holders and stakeholders, it took a lot of expensive mistakes to get the investor community to recognize the quantifiable value of brand preference. With hindsight, we can see how a strong brand became a weak brand by over-pursuing efficiency. But, in real time, the changes are insidious. Weakening brands usually don’t see their problems coming because their ROI data looks OK until it falls out of bed.
  • 9. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 7 Digital Era ROI Today’s brands are under pressure to be ROI efficient, revenue maximizing enterprises. There is no time for nurturing unprofitable brands unless they are gaining market share quickly. Patience is not a virtue in modern capitalism. Massively scalable machine learning systems have made digital advertising a super-efficient channel for direct response campaigns. Traditional direct response channels never had a chance. Yellow Pages and classified ads, once huge industries, are almost gone. Direct mail is a fraction of what it once was and telemarketing went away only to be reborn as something so awful that most consumers think it should be illegal. In the chaos of rapid digital change, leveraging digital ad-tech became a gold rush. After all, a favorite cliché of the advertising industry has always been; “half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don't know which half.” Suddenly, stunningly, eliminating the “wasted half” seemed possible thanks to the digital panacea. The race was on. Things got messy, mistakes were made, scandalous problems with fraud and non-transparency emerged but, even with all of the problems, the fundamental importance of pursuing ROI efficiency remains undeniable and it will never go away. Early adopters of tactics like paid search and programmatic display advertising had windows of opportunity to sell more efficiently than their slow adopting competitors. It did not take long, however, for the algorithms to become a commodity and the efficiency advantages to become iterative and incremental instead of transcendent. Nonetheless, there is no going backwards. Brands must be aggressive and disciplined in their use of digital era direct response advertising tactics and that means measuring ROI is crucial. Brand Myopia The problem with over-emphasizing ROI performance is myopia. An industry recognized CMO shares a lesson about how algorithms refined the brand’s programmatic advertising investments to the point where the majority of consumers seeing the ads were those who bought a case of the brand on their weekly shopping trip. The ROI was breath taking, but the brand’s market share was eroding for reasons that became obvious with hindsight. It’s an extreme case study but the point of the story applies broadly. When brands are hyper-focused on ROI, they are only looking at their own data. Improving ROI starts to feel like an automated solution that guarantees better bottom line performance – until it doesn’t. There are many painful examples where an intense focus on efficiency caused the marketer to take their eye off of its brand preference metrics and some of those unfortunate brands were mentioned previously.
  • 10. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 8 06 Modern Brands Disruptor Brands In fairness to many brands that lost market share while pursuing efficiency, their defense is that “disruption” helps to explain their business performance challenges. With all due respect for the challenges of change leadership in the digital era, successful disruption is always connected to an evolution in the consumer’s mindset. Disruptor brands like Dollar Shave Club or disruptive retailers like Amazon benefit by leveraging new technology before their more traditional competitors figure it out. That is fair but, at the end of the day, this is really about understanding where the consumer is going in their digitally empowered world. Apple did not become one of the world’s most preferred brands because it understood the technology, Apple got there because Steve Jobs demanded that the consumer experience must be intuitive and delightful. The technology is just an enabler, paying closer attention to the modern consumer’s evolving mindset is the real disruptive advantage. When a modern consumer asks “Alexa” to order batteries for their video game controller, the reply is: “I have Amazon Batteries that can be delivered tomorrow. 24 C batteries for $12.95. Do you want me to place the order?” – the consumer can then say “yes, go ahead” or “no, I want Duracell batteries.” At this point in time, Alexa will say that she does not have Duracell batteries (even though you can easily order Duracell batteries by going to Amazon.com.) It’s likely that the brand manager at Duracell has a problem with that. Who could blame them? While the immediate reaction is that Amazon (via Alexa) is not playing fair, the real question is whether or not Amazon has stronger brand preference than does Duracell in the mind of the consumer who wants to buy batteries. Many brands complain that store brands (or Amazon as the uber-store brand) are stealing share unfairly because the retailer is supposed to be their partner. That is easier than confronting the idea that “CVS Health” or “Amazon Basics” or “Sam’s Choice” are gaining in brand preference while the traditional brand is busy optimizing ROI efficiency at the expense of investing in brand preference. If enough consumers of batteries say “no” to Alexa, it’s very likely that Alexa will be offering brands like Duracell in the future. But, if most consumers could care less, Alexa is unlikely to change “her” response. It’s not really about the disruptive technology, it’s about the battle for brand preference in the minds of digitally empowered consumers. Empowered Brands The industry’s marketing executives voted “Brand Purpose” as the Marketing Word of The Year for 2018 (ANA Research) and Nike swept up awards and accolades for using Colin Kaepernick as the face of their brand when they celebrated the 30th anniversary of the “Just Do It” campaign. No amount of machine learning could have ever spit out a poster of Colin Kaepernick’s face as the best way to refresh the Nike brand instantly and at scale. And yet, Nike reported +13% revenue growth in 4Q 2018. Nike’s brand preference improved dramatically and therefore, the ROI for its tactical investments improved quickly too. Digitally empowered brands need to be vigilant about brand preference because their consumers are digitally empowered too.
  • 11. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 9 Today, a mom knows more about her preferred brand of baby stroller than the brand manager knew 20 years ago. She knows where it was made, what materials were used, what the manufacturing company stands for and how it ranks in 3rd party tests. Perhaps most important, she knew what the opinions of other moms who bought the same stroller before she did were before she made her purchase. This mom is not using the Internet to find the cheapest stroller. She is using her digital powers to figure out which brand she prefers, then she shops for the best price for THAT brand. ROI tactics that intercept new moms as they shop for a stroller are critical investments. Optimizing these tactics is mandatory work. But, the average ROI for the stroller that more moms prefer is far better than the ROI for a stroller with a reputation for having the wheels fall off. Brand preference drives the average ROI up or down significantly while the ROI optimization process improves the average marginally. Today, there are hundreds of brands of beer with viable business models because every single one of those brands has some consumers who prefer their brand. No micro-brewed IPA is succeeding because it optimizes ROI tactics better than the others. But, all of them are succeeding because they enjoy brand preference among some of the consumers. The most successful micro-brewery beer brands over time will be the ones that sustain and grow brand preference while intelligently investing in the best ROI tactics to drive short term sales. Modern brands need to get both things right. Balanced Brands Marketers are now trying to get the balance of ROI and brand preference into alignment. It took a while, but the value of being a strong brand and the importance of optimizing ROI are starting to find an equilibrium. Together, they are powerful. Alone, they are vulnerable. Correlating brand preference research with ROI data analytics will generate fresh business models that are easy to analyze and useful for the continuous improvement of holistic campaign strategies. Managing brands in the context of the two jobs that they need to do will yield graphs that look like this: Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands.
  • 12. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 10 07 Aligning Tactics to Strategy This paper is not here to advise brands on how to build the right media plan. That said, if we agree that a brand has two jobs and should therefore measure two things, it is helpful to conclude with a high-level discussion about tactics. Once we decide to measure two things because we have two complementary strategies, organizing our investments to align with each strategic objective is the next important step. Television (Audio, Print and Out- of-Home) TV commercials have long been the cornerstone of advertising campaigns for brands because 30 seconds of video can tell a very persuasive story and, just as important, TV can do this at scale. TV advertising remains important, even in the digital era, because telling a compelling story with video that reaches a large percentage of the consumers is an ideal combination that digital media has not replicated yet. Whether a brand should measure TV commercials for their impact on brand preference or for their ROI efficiency depends on the content of the ads. If the story in the commercial is about brand equities (like a car ad that emphasizes safety and security for the driver and their family), it is an investment in brand preference. These ads do support short term sales (as confirmed by the scientific evidence presented in “When Ads Work” by John Philip Jones) but the stories in these ads serve a bigger, more long-lasting purpose of giving the brand relevance and resonance with the consumer. So, their contribution to brand preference is the primary thing to measure. If the story in the commercial focuses on a compelling reason to buy right now (like a car dealer emphasizing a big Columbus Day sales event) than it is promotional advertising and it is primarily an investment in ROI and it should be measured by those standards. The content of the advertising is how we determine which strategy is being supported by the media investment when it comes to television. The same is true for audio, print and out-of-home media channels. ROI Tactics Traditional direct response tactics are ROI investments. Catalogs, direct mail, outbound telemarketing, retail flyers and, to the degree that they still exist, classified ads and yellow pages are all ROI tactics. For digital advertising; paid search, organic search, and programmatic banner ads are all ROI investments. Email marketing is an ROI investment although it often serves as a CRM tactic.
  • 13. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 11 Brand Preference Tactics Experiential marketing, event sponsorships, programming sponsorships and long form video are usually tactics intended to build brand preference. Committing to a clear brand purpose, supporting causes and philanthropies and the public relations investments around those initiatives all contribute to brand preference performance. Inbound telemarketing is now called “customer support” for good reason. Opportunities to respond to consumers when they reach out to the brand are ideal opportunities to build brand preference. It’s tempting to use these engagements to upsell (ROI) but most brands learn that this is the time to humanize the brand and invest in the life time value of the consumer (brand preference.) A company like Verizon needs to treat inbound customer support as a brand preference opportunity while “Flex Seal” can go ahead and try to upsell the customer responding to a TV ad. The strategy going in determines the metric to analyze coming out. In digital media, social is the huge game changer for brand preference strategies and tactics. Social media is where brands can develop a strong persona that resonates with consumers. Influencer marketing is part of social. Pay-to-play tactics that boost the reach of your social media presence are fair game and they should be treated as brand preference investments. Word-of-mouth has always been a powerful influencer of brand preference. Social media has empowered brands to get right in the middle of the conversation. It’s hard to do it well. It’s hard to scale. It’s labor intensive. There are no short cuts. And, if your brand screws something up, your social media presence will be gut wrenching but it will also be one of the most valuable assets a brand can turn to when it needs to respond to a crisis. In the digital era, if a brand wants to optimize ROI, it must dive deep into programmatic digital media buying even though the risks and challenges are well known. The other side of the coin is social media for brand preference initiatives. Both tactics are complicated, both are crucial. Just don’t make these tactics compete with each other. They serve different strategies so measure them appropriately to their purpose and the journey forward will be constructive.
  • 14. Mark McLaughlin April 2019. All Rights Reserved | 12 Building and Executing the Right Blend of Smart Media Tactics Is Harder Than Ever Before Even so, when a brand gets crystal clear about the TWO jobs that it needs to do well, communications planning becomes a more intuitive and informed process that can improve over time. Just going through the exercise of organizing a brand’s investments into two buckets instead of one starts to generate insights about the amount of investment in each and soon, the insights will grow deeper as the dynamic interplay between the two strategies is supported with more useful data. Strong brands enjoy more efficient business models than do weak brands.