SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  15
Creating Value Through Fuel Price Risk Management 2009 NYPTA Fall Conference Linwood Capital, LLC 4316 Eton Place Edina, Minnesota  55424 Telephone:  952.285.1134 Facsimile:  952.285.1135 E-mail:  [email_address] Website:  www.linwoodcapital.com
Energy Price Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Price Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Price Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Price Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Price Risk Management No Hedging Wide Range of Expected Cost Maximum Risk Exposure High Budget Risk Forecasted prices assume heating oil futures prices and heating oil implied option volatility on 8/31/09 Forecasted prices assume that costs will be equivalent to HO futures + 14.12 cents per gallon Upper and lower limits represent plus and minus one standard deviation of expected price movement as implied by heating oil options pricing
Energy Price Risk Management Hedging Narrower Range of Expected Cost Managed Risk Exposure More Certain Future Costs Forecasted prices assume heating oil futures prices and heating oil implied option volatility on 8/31/09 Forecasted prices assume that costs will be equivalent to HO futures + 14.12 cents per gallon Upper and lower limits represent plus and minus one standard deviation of expected price movement as implied by heating oil options pricing
Energy Price Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Energy Price Risk Management Strategy
Energy Price Risk Management Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Price Risk Management Management Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example Forward Pricing Performance Assuming 24 month forward pricing window and 100% hedged
Forward Pricing Example – Price Increase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forward Pricing Example – Price Decrease ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Contenu connexe

Similaire à Creating Value Through Fuel Price Risk Management

Switch energy customer presentation
Switch energy customer presentationSwitch energy customer presentation
Switch energy customer presentation
Switch Energy
 
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and ProgramsChapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Dr. Ankit Kesharwani
 
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
Deeply Digital
 
Chapter 11 - Pricing
Chapter 11 - PricingChapter 11 - Pricing
Chapter 11 - Pricing
Nicholsb1
 

Similaire à Creating Value Through Fuel Price Risk Management (20)

Principles and Methods of Price Determination.pptx
Principles and Methods of Price Determination.pptxPrinciples and Methods of Price Determination.pptx
Principles and Methods of Price Determination.pptx
 
11th Cairo Marketing Club (Pricing Strategies) by Dr.Ahmed Hany 31-3-2018
11th Cairo Marketing Club (Pricing Strategies) by Dr.Ahmed Hany 31-3-201811th Cairo Marketing Club (Pricing Strategies) by Dr.Ahmed Hany 31-3-2018
11th Cairo Marketing Club (Pricing Strategies) by Dr.Ahmed Hany 31-3-2018
 
International Pricing Decisions
International Pricing Decisions International Pricing Decisions
International Pricing Decisions
 
Switch energy customer presentation
Switch energy customer presentationSwitch energy customer presentation
Switch energy customer presentation
 
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and ProgramsChapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Chapter 14 - Developing Pricing Strategies and Programs
 
Price Uncertainty on Jet Fuel
Price Uncertainty on Jet FuelPrice Uncertainty on Jet Fuel
Price Uncertainty on Jet Fuel
 
Risk Exposure and Hedging
Risk Exposure and Hedging Risk Exposure and Hedging
Risk Exposure and Hedging
 
Gestion du risque du prix du pétrole, Ivan Zelenko
Gestion du risque du prix du pétrole, Ivan ZelenkoGestion du risque du prix du pétrole, Ivan Zelenko
Gestion du risque du prix du pétrole, Ivan Zelenko
 
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
Working together-what-you-need-to-know-about-collective-energy-buying june-2015
 
Chapter 11 - Pricing
Chapter 11 - PricingChapter 11 - Pricing
Chapter 11 - Pricing
 
Poc FUEL FREEZE
Poc FUEL FREEZEPoc FUEL FREEZE
Poc FUEL FREEZE
 
Unit3 product pricing
Unit3 product pricingUnit3 product pricing
Unit3 product pricing
 
MARKETING-CH8
MARKETING-CH8MARKETING-CH8
MARKETING-CH8
 
Designing Pricing Strategies and Programs
Designing Pricing Strategies and ProgramsDesigning Pricing Strategies and Programs
Designing Pricing Strategies and Programs
 
Pricingstrat
PricingstratPricingstrat
Pricingstrat
 
Profit Satisficing
Profit SatisficingProfit Satisficing
Profit Satisficing
 
Pricing strategies
Pricing strategiesPricing strategies
Pricing strategies
 
Chap3
Chap3Chap3
Chap3
 
Chap3
Chap3Chap3
Chap3
 
Pricing decisions
Pricing decisionsPricing decisions
Pricing decisions
 

Plus de New York Public Transit Association

Plus de New York Public Transit Association (20)

SAFETEA-LU Reauthorization Context & Issues
SAFETEA-LU ReauthorizationContext & IssuesSAFETEA-LU ReauthorizationContext & Issues
SAFETEA-LU Reauthorization Context & Issues
 
Cost Cutting through Information Systems: Using Google Transit as a Model
Cost Cutting through Information Systems: Using Google Transit as a ModelCost Cutting through Information Systems: Using Google Transit as a Model
Cost Cutting through Information Systems: Using Google Transit as a Model
 
Maintaining and Improving Rural Transit Supply in an Era of Cost-Cutting
Maintaining and Improving Rural Transit Supply in an Era of Cost-CuttingMaintaining and Improving Rural Transit Supply in an Era of Cost-Cutting
Maintaining and Improving Rural Transit Supply in an Era of Cost-Cutting
 
Lessons Learned in Transit Efficiencies, Revenue Generation, and Cost Reductions
Lessons Learned in Transit Efficiencies, Revenue Generation, and Cost ReductionsLessons Learned in Transit Efficiencies, Revenue Generation, and Cost Reductions
Lessons Learned in Transit Efficiencies, Revenue Generation, and Cost Reductions
 
NFTA Metro Route Restructuring
NFTA Metro Route RestructuringNFTA Metro Route Restructuring
NFTA Metro Route Restructuring
 
MTA Bus Customer Information Systems
MTA Bus Customer Information SystemsMTA Bus Customer Information Systems
MTA Bus Customer Information Systems
 
Moving 20 Million People – Best Practices in Transit from Shanghai, China - S...
Moving 20 Million People – Best Practices in Transit from Shanghai, China - S...Moving 20 Million People – Best Practices in Transit from Shanghai, China - S...
Moving 20 Million People – Best Practices in Transit from Shanghai, China - S...
 
Best Practices in Sustainability with CDTA
Best Practices in Sustainability with CDTABest Practices in Sustainability with CDTA
Best Practices in Sustainability with CDTA
 
Best Practice: Otsego County – Cost Sharing with Partner Providers
Best Practice: Otsego County – Cost Sharing with Partner ProvidersBest Practice: Otsego County – Cost Sharing with Partner Providers
Best Practice: Otsego County – Cost Sharing with Partner Providers
 
The Future of Transportation in NYS - Mary Ann Crotty
The Future of Transportation in NYS - Mary Ann CrottyThe Future of Transportation in NYS - Mary Ann Crotty
The Future of Transportation in NYS - Mary Ann Crotty
 
Innovative Design Solutions for Urban Intermodal Centers - Don Gray, AIA, LEE...
Innovative Design Solutions for Urban Intermodal Centers - Don Gray, AIA, LEE...Innovative Design Solutions for Urban Intermodal Centers - Don Gray, AIA, LEE...
Innovative Design Solutions for Urban Intermodal Centers - Don Gray, AIA, LEE...
 
Revitalizing Fatigued Employees - Dr. Dionne Kress, Leadership Coach, D.M. Kr...
Revitalizing Fatigued Employees - Dr. Dionne Kress, Leadership Coach, D.M. Kr...Revitalizing Fatigued Employees - Dr. Dionne Kress, Leadership Coach, D.M. Kr...
Revitalizing Fatigued Employees - Dr. Dionne Kress, Leadership Coach, D.M. Kr...
 
Sustainability With CDTA - Odyssey Batteries - Bruce Essig, National Sales Ma...
Sustainability With CDTA - Odyssey Batteries - Bruce Essig, National Sales Ma...Sustainability With CDTA - Odyssey Batteries - Bruce Essig, National Sales Ma...
Sustainability With CDTA - Odyssey Batteries - Bruce Essig, National Sales Ma...
 
Nypta fall 2010
Nypta fall 2010Nypta fall 2010
Nypta fall 2010
 
November 2010 Albany Update - Weingarten, Reid & McNally
November 2010 Albany Update - Weingarten, Reid & McNallyNovember 2010 Albany Update - Weingarten, Reid & McNally
November 2010 Albany Update - Weingarten, Reid & McNally
 
Planning Requirements for FTA Grants - Darin Allan, Community Planner, FTA Re...
Planning Requirements for FTA Grants - Darin Allan, Community Planner, FTA Re...Planning Requirements for FTA Grants - Darin Allan, Community Planner, FTA Re...
Planning Requirements for FTA Grants - Darin Allan, Community Planner, FTA Re...
 
Innovative Concepts in Inventory Management - Jeff Hansen, Major Accounts Dir...
Innovative Concepts in Inventory Management - Jeff Hansen, Major Accounts Dir...Innovative Concepts in Inventory Management - Jeff Hansen, Major Accounts Dir...
Innovative Concepts in Inventory Management - Jeff Hansen, Major Accounts Dir...
 
Implementing Contactless Fare Collection Systems - Danielle Pinkus, Instructi...
Implementing Contactless Fare Collection Systems - Danielle Pinkus, Instructi...Implementing Contactless Fare Collection Systems - Danielle Pinkus, Instructi...
Implementing Contactless Fare Collection Systems - Danielle Pinkus, Instructi...
 
A Global Perspective on Public Transit's Current State of Affairs - Stephen D...
A Global Perspective on Public Transit's Current State of Affairs - Stephen D...A Global Perspective on Public Transit's Current State of Affairs - Stephen D...
A Global Perspective on Public Transit's Current State of Affairs - Stephen D...
 
Grant Modifications - Veronica Pelt-Hawkins, Transportation Program Specialis...
Grant Modifications - Veronica Pelt-Hawkins, Transportation Program Specialis...Grant Modifications - Veronica Pelt-Hawkins, Transportation Program Specialis...
Grant Modifications - Veronica Pelt-Hawkins, Transportation Program Specialis...
 

Dernier

Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort ServiceCall Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
amitlee9823
 
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
nirzagarg
 
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
amitlee9823
 
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitoutELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
ssjews46
 
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
Health
 
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
amitlee9823
 
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
lizamodels9
 
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
ozave
 
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
amitlee9823
 
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
amitlee9823
 

Dernier (20)

What Does The Engine Malfunction Reduced Power Message Mean For Your BMW X5
What Does The Engine Malfunction Reduced Power Message Mean For Your BMW X5What Does The Engine Malfunction Reduced Power Message Mean For Your BMW X5
What Does The Engine Malfunction Reduced Power Message Mean For Your BMW X5
 
Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort ServiceCall Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Patel Nagar, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
 
(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Jammu Call Now 8617697112 Jammu Escorts 24x7
(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Jammu Call Now 8617697112 Jammu Escorts 24x7(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Jammu Call Now 8617697112 Jammu Escorts 24x7
(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Jammu Call Now 8617697112 Jammu Escorts 24x7
 
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
Top Rated Call Girls Mumbai Central : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy ...
 
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
 
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
Somya Surve Escorts Service Bilaspur ❣️ 7014168258 ❣️ High Cost Unlimited Har...
 
(INDIRA) Call Girl Surat Call Now 8250077686 Surat Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Surat Call Now 8250077686 Surat Escorts 24x7(INDIRA) Call Girl Surat Call Now 8250077686 Surat Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Surat Call Now 8250077686 Surat Escorts 24x7
 
Stay Cool and Compliant: Know Your Window Tint Laws Before You Tint
Stay Cool and Compliant: Know Your Window Tint Laws Before You TintStay Cool and Compliant: Know Your Window Tint Laws Before You Tint
Stay Cool and Compliant: Know Your Window Tint Laws Before You Tint
 
Is Your Volvo XC90 Displaying Anti-Skid Service Required Alert Here's Why
Is Your Volvo XC90 Displaying Anti-Skid Service Required Alert Here's WhyIs Your Volvo XC90 Displaying Anti-Skid Service Required Alert Here's Why
Is Your Volvo XC90 Displaying Anti-Skid Service Required Alert Here's Why
 
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
Top Rated Call Girls Navi Mumbai : 9920725232 We offer Beautiful and sexy Cal...
 
(INDIRA) Call Girl Nashik Call Now 8617697112 Nashik Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Nashik Call Now 8617697112 Nashik Escorts 24x7(INDIRA) Call Girl Nashik Call Now 8617697112 Nashik Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Nashik Call Now 8617697112 Nashik Escorts 24x7
 
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitoutELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
ELECTRICITÉ TMT 55.pdf electrick diagram manitout
 
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
+97470301568>>buy vape oil,thc oil weed,hash and cannabis oil in qatar doha}}
 
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Kadugodi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
 
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24...
 
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
如何办理麦考瑞大学毕业证(MQU毕业证书)成绩单原版一比一
 
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
Madiwala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore Es...
 
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
Call Girls Hongasandra Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service B...
 
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
Call Girls in Malviya Nagar Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9205541914 🔝( Delhi) Escorts Ser...
 
Lecture-20 Kleene’s Theorem-1.pptx best for understanding the automata
Lecture-20 Kleene’s Theorem-1.pptx best for understanding the automataLecture-20 Kleene’s Theorem-1.pptx best for understanding the automata
Lecture-20 Kleene’s Theorem-1.pptx best for understanding the automata
 

Creating Value Through Fuel Price Risk Management

  • 1. Creating Value Through Fuel Price Risk Management 2009 NYPTA Fall Conference Linwood Capital, LLC 4316 Eton Place Edina, Minnesota 55424 Telephone: 952.285.1134 Facsimile: 952.285.1135 E-mail: [email_address] Website: www.linwoodcapital.com
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Energy Price Risk Management No Hedging Wide Range of Expected Cost Maximum Risk Exposure High Budget Risk Forecasted prices assume heating oil futures prices and heating oil implied option volatility on 8/31/09 Forecasted prices assume that costs will be equivalent to HO futures + 14.12 cents per gallon Upper and lower limits represent plus and minus one standard deviation of expected price movement as implied by heating oil options pricing
  • 7. Energy Price Risk Management Hedging Narrower Range of Expected Cost Managed Risk Exposure More Certain Future Costs Forecasted prices assume heating oil futures prices and heating oil implied option volatility on 8/31/09 Forecasted prices assume that costs will be equivalent to HO futures + 14.12 cents per gallon Upper and lower limits represent plus and minus one standard deviation of expected price movement as implied by heating oil options pricing
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Example Forward Pricing Performance Assuming 24 month forward pricing window and 100% hedged
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.