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How Will Your Ability To “Survive” In the Downturn
            Enable You To “Thrive” In The Upturn


                  Pierre Minguet – Business Director, Polystyrene
                                                      April 2010
Agenda

Context of Changes
The case of the “Polystyrene Industry”
Volatility
The Supply Chain Equation
Knowing the Business, in detail.
The place of the Customer.
Key take-away.




                                              2
A World of Change




And You Know What ?
                      3
The Polystyrene Industry has changed

3090 kta in 2005
                                     Dow Barry, UK, Nov 05 (75 kta)
                                     Linpac, UK, Jun 06 (35 kta)

                                    INEOS NOVA, UK, Oct 06 (180 kta)


                                     BASF Tarragona, Dec 06 (70 kta)
                                     Total Gonfreville, Dec 06 (40 kta)
                                     Dow Terneuzen, Dec 08 (50 kta)
                                     Dow Bilbao, May 09 (65 kta)
                                     BASF Ludwigshafen, Jun 09 (80 kta)
                                     INEOS NOVA, NL, Sep 09 (90 kta)

  2405 kta
                   Total : 685 kta or 22 % of 2005 capacity

                                                                          4
The ‘Fixed Points’ and …


IN
BASF
Polimeri
Dow
Total
Synthos




                                5
100


                                                                                                             110
                                             50


                                                                                   60


                                                                                        70


                                                                                             80


                                                                                                  90




                                                                                                                   Demande PS Europe 2007-2009
                                  janv-07




                                                                                                                                                 (Base 100 - January 2008)
                                  févr-07

                                 mars-07
                                   avr-07
                                  mai-07
                                  juin-07
                                   juil-07
                                 août-07

                                 sept-07
                                   oct-07

                                  nov-07
                                  déc-07

                                  janv-08
                                  févr-08

                                 mars-08

                                   avr-08
                                  mai-08

                                  juin-08
                                   juil-08

                                 août-08

                                 sept-08
                                   oct-08

                                  nov-08
Source : Estimation Ineos Nova




                                  déc-08

                                  janv-09

                                  févr-09
                                                                                                                                                                             Volatility
                                                  Source : Estimation Ineos-Nova




                                 mars-09

                                   avr-09
                                  mai-09

                                  juin-09
                                   juil-09

                                 août-09
6




                                 sept-09
                                   oct-09
The Logistics Equation



FASTER + CHEAPER = BETTER
AND clearly, three significant Sources of Value are also :



   • Flexibility
   • Safety / Stewardship
   • Service

                                                             7
“Nicole”

Customer Focus:
   One Single Point of Accountability for the Sales Force in
   the Supply Chain Area.
     • Nicole is the point of Engagement with Service Providers.
   The “BAR” session
     • Platform for discussing logistics issues with the Business.


Customer Survey to measure your position relative to
competition.
   You may not like the outcome but,
   It drives solid improvements to your business !

                                                                     8
The Analytical Side of Supply Chain


                                                      Margin by Customer
Margin
            e
            m




                              Cumulative Sales Volume
         lu
     Vo




                Knowledge of margin by customer, by plant (ship-to),
                              by grade, by pack type
                                                                           9
Information Management


The Flow of “Information” is as important as the flow of
“Products”.


Reliability of data is key …. Variable Costs, Timeslots,


Cannot operate a system being blind …. ATP


Quest for Greater Efficiency …. Fixed Costs



                                                           10
Summary & Key Messages

Tough market which requires flexibility from our Supply
Chain Partners.
   Structurally
   On a month to month basis.
The Long Term seems often to be a year.
Sources of Value are Costs, Speed, Safety
Availability and Integrity of data to support analyses
Customer focus
Benchmark yourself versus your competitors
Efficiency of our Collaboration for Mutual Business.

                                                          11

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Chemical Supply Chain

  • 1. How Will Your Ability To “Survive” In the Downturn Enable You To “Thrive” In The Upturn Pierre Minguet – Business Director, Polystyrene April 2010
  • 2. Agenda Context of Changes The case of the “Polystyrene Industry” Volatility The Supply Chain Equation Knowing the Business, in detail. The place of the Customer. Key take-away. 2
  • 3. A World of Change And You Know What ? 3
  • 4. The Polystyrene Industry has changed 3090 kta in 2005 Dow Barry, UK, Nov 05 (75 kta) Linpac, UK, Jun 06 (35 kta) INEOS NOVA, UK, Oct 06 (180 kta) BASF Tarragona, Dec 06 (70 kta) Total Gonfreville, Dec 06 (40 kta) Dow Terneuzen, Dec 08 (50 kta) Dow Bilbao, May 09 (65 kta) BASF Ludwigshafen, Jun 09 (80 kta) INEOS NOVA, NL, Sep 09 (90 kta) 2405 kta Total : 685 kta or 22 % of 2005 capacity 4
  • 5. The ‘Fixed Points’ and … IN BASF Polimeri Dow Total Synthos 5
  • 6. 100 110 50 60 70 80 90 Demande PS Europe 2007-2009 janv-07 (Base 100 - January 2008) févr-07 mars-07 avr-07 mai-07 juin-07 juil-07 août-07 sept-07 oct-07 nov-07 déc-07 janv-08 févr-08 mars-08 avr-08 mai-08 juin-08 juil-08 août-08 sept-08 oct-08 nov-08 Source : Estimation Ineos Nova déc-08 janv-09 févr-09 Volatility Source : Estimation Ineos-Nova mars-09 avr-09 mai-09 juin-09 juil-09 août-09 6 sept-09 oct-09
  • 7. The Logistics Equation FASTER + CHEAPER = BETTER AND clearly, three significant Sources of Value are also : • Flexibility • Safety / Stewardship • Service 7
  • 8. “Nicole” Customer Focus: One Single Point of Accountability for the Sales Force in the Supply Chain Area. • Nicole is the point of Engagement with Service Providers. The “BAR” session • Platform for discussing logistics issues with the Business. Customer Survey to measure your position relative to competition. You may not like the outcome but, It drives solid improvements to your business ! 8
  • 9. The Analytical Side of Supply Chain Margin by Customer Margin e m Cumulative Sales Volume lu Vo Knowledge of margin by customer, by plant (ship-to), by grade, by pack type 9
  • 10. Information Management The Flow of “Information” is as important as the flow of “Products”. Reliability of data is key …. Variable Costs, Timeslots, Cannot operate a system being blind …. ATP Quest for Greater Efficiency …. Fixed Costs 10
  • 11. Summary & Key Messages Tough market which requires flexibility from our Supply Chain Partners. Structurally On a month to month basis. The Long Term seems often to be a year. Sources of Value are Costs, Speed, Safety Availability and Integrity of data to support analyses Customer focus Benchmark yourself versus your competitors Efficiency of our Collaboration for Mutual Business. 11