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Mumbai Metro
Group Members
Sr.No. Name Roll No
1 Vishal Patil 69
2 Omkar Rasal 84
3 Krunal Rikame 87
4 Anish Shirodkar 100
5 Akshay Zaveri 120
Agenda
• Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Overview
• Mumbai Metro: Conceptualization
• Project Planning
• Financial Structuring
• Bidding Process
• Risk Management
• Project Execution
• Key Learnings & Recommendations
Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Overview
• 13.0 Million People Travel Daily By Public Transport
• Train Transportation – Lifeline Of Mumbai
Private Vehicle
12.8%
Intermediate Public Transport
9.2%
Public Transport
78.0%
78%
Suburban Rail 56%
BEST – 22%
Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Loopholes
• Rail Network
• Failed to keep pace with demand
• Suburban rail traffic increased by 6 times while the capacity increased by
only 2.3 times
• 4500/5000 passenger travel per train against the carrying capacity of 1750
resulting in unbearable overcrowding.
• Strong mismatch in demand and supply
Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Loopholes
• Bus Network
• Number of cars in Mumbai has grown by 51% in the last six years; resulting in
road congestion & environmental pollution
• Constraints to expand the existing road capacity to meet the future demand
• Not serving the purpose of the feeder service to rail network
Serve Areas Not Served By Current
System
Higher Capacity
Faster Travel
Attractive To Commuters
Environment Friendly
Improve Overall Mobility
Access To Important Industrial And
Commercial Area
Time Reduced To 21 Min From 71 Min
Between Versova & Ghatkopar (Ph-1)
Provide A Rail Based Connectivity Within
An Approach Distance Of 1 To 2 Km; Fare
East-west Rail Based Connectivity To Central
And Western Suburbs
Additional 7 mn Commuters
Reduction In Air And Noise Pollution
Mumbai Metro Project: Gap Analysis
Mumbai Metro Overview 3 Phases
• PHASE I
• Total Length of 62.68 Km (approx)
• Versova – Andheri – Ghatkopar (11.07 Km)
• Charkop – Bandra – Mankhurd (31.8 Km)
• Bandra – Colaba (20 Km)
• PHASE II
• Total Length of 40 Km (approx)
• Charkop – Dahisar (7.5 Km)
• Ghatkopar – Mulund (12.5 Km)
• BKC Kanjurmarg via Mumbai Airport (19.5 Km)
• PHASE III
• Total Length of 39.80 Km (approx)
• Andheri East – Dahisar East route (18 Km)
• Flora fountain and Ghatkopar route (21.8 Km)
Project Plan Phase I Line 1 – Versova – Andheri - Ghatkopar
• India’s first PPP metro project, based on the build, own, operate and
transfer (BOOT) model
• Elevated 11 km line to Ghatkopar via Marol, Chakala and Saki Naka
• AUGUST 2004 – approval received from the government of Maharashtra
and global bids were invited through expression of interest (EOI)
• SPV – Mumbai metro one private limited (MMOPL), a JV between reliance
infrastructure, Veolia transport and MMRDA
• Concession period of 35 years including the construction period of 5 years
• Estimated cost of the project – Rs 2356 crores
Project Plan Phase I Line 1 – Versova – Andheri - Ghatkopar
TIMELINE FOR THE PLANNED PROJECT
Govt. of Maharashtra approval 19th August, 2004
Invitation of Global Bids 21st August, 2004
Pre-bid meeting 23rd November2004
Technical bids 16th May,2005
Invitation of Financial Bids 15th September,2005
Receipt of financial bids 10th January, 2006
Evaluation of Financial bids January, 2006
Negotiations with the lowest
bidder
February-May, 2006
Negotiated offer 10th May,2006
LOI issued after GOM approval June 2006
Commencement of Construction Feb 2008
Reliance Infrastructure
Veolia Transport
MMRDA
EQUITY HOLDING (%)
26%
69
%
5
%
Financial Structuring Line 1 – Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar
The 70% debt was provided bya
consortium of banks led by IDBI
The remaining Rs1706 crores was
financed by 70% Debt –Rs. 1193 Cr
and 30% Equity – Rs. 513 Cr
Out of the total estimated project
cost, cumulatively 27.5% was
contributed as VGF by the GOI and
Government of Maharashtra
Total Project
Cost
Rs 2356 Crores
Remaining
Rs 1706
Crores
70% Debt
Rs 1193
Crores
Consortium of banks IDBI,
Corporation Bank, Karur Vysya
Bank, Canara Bank, Oriental bank
of commerce and Indian Bank
30% Equity
Rs 513
Crores
Reliance Infra - 69% ~ Rs. 353 Cr.
Veolia Transport - 5% ~Rs. 26 Cr.
MMRDA - 26% ~ 134 Cr.
Viability Gap
Funding
Rs 650 Crores
VGF
GoI-20%
GoM-7.5%
Free Of Cost:
•Space For Car Depot At DN
Nagar Station And Ghatkopar
Station
•Land For The Project
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1
• Eligibility Criteria
• An Indian company or a company authorized to carry out business in India or
a JV with an Indian company
• Net worth of more than Rs.5,000 million or US$ 112 million
• Annual turnover for the last 3 years of more than Rs.3,650 million or US $
81.0 million
• Relevant experience in developing, constructing or operating a mass transit
system with minimum capacity of 20,000 PHPDT
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1
Evaluate Bids for Financial
Capability and Technical
Competence as per
evaluation criteria
Scrutinize System Design
Proposals For Conformity -
Technical And Performance
Specifications
Obtain bidders‟
confirmation to incorporate
proposed modifications if
any to provide level playing
ground
Those bidders scoring 75%
and above in technical
evaluation were eligible to
submit financial proposal
First Stage - Technical Proposals
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1
• Two Stage Process
• Second Stage-Financial Proposals
Technical Proposals Financial Proposals
Evaluation of Business Plan & other formats
submitted as per RFP documents
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1
Received Bids - 5 Technically Qualified - 3 FinancialProposals Received - 2 Preferred FinancialBid
"Mumbai Metro One consortium” LED
by Reliance Energy Limited and
Connex- France
"Mumbai Metro One
consortium” LED by Reliance
EnergyLimited and Connex-
France
 Bidding Parameter - A bidder asking for minimum capital contribution to be selected as PreferredBidder
 Details of Preferred Financial Bid- Cost- Rs 2356 Cr and Capital Contribution: Rs 1251 Cr
 Negotiated bid - Negotiations were carried out with the lowest bidder to reduce the capital cost. As a result demand for capital contribution reduced from Rs 1251 Cr
to Rs 650Cr
 Approvals - Negotiated offer was evaluated by the Bid Evaluation Committee appointed by the Metropolitan Commissioner
and approved by the state cabinet
“IICCU consortium” led by
Infrastructure Leasing & Financial
Services Limited – ITD Thailand-
Unity Infra
Mumbai Metro Consortium”
led by Gammon Infrastructure
Ltd – Siemens and BEML
Hindustan Construction
Company and RITES
Shaktikumar Sacheti Limited
and Lingkaran Metro
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 2
Technically Qualified Bidders
Reliance Infrastructure-SNC
Lavalin, Canada-Reliance
Communication
GE India-L&T-CA-IDPL
Tata Power-Mitsubishi-Tata
Realty's Pioneer Infrastructure
GVK-Bombardier-YTL
Infrastructure Leasing & Financial
Services Limited - Soma
Constructions-Punj Lloyd
Essar-Alstom
Charkop - Bandra – Mankhurd Corridor
Project Winner
Reliance
Infrastructure
Only one that made a
financial bid
Bid Submitted
Rs 2,298 Cr
The Grant From The State
& Central Governments
Key Highlights of Project
Concessionperiod - 35 years with
an extension clause of another
10 years.
Financial closure :
Debt - Rs 6,931 Cr
Equity - Rs 2,332 Cr
Equity share : Reliance Infra - 74%
SNC Lavalin - 26%
Implementation under PPP format
Project cost:
MMRDA’s estimate : Rs 8,250 Cr
R-Infra’s estimate : Rs 11,000 Cr
VGF - Rs 1,532 Cr by GOI,
Rs 766 Cr by GoM
Construction work stalled due to
issues
Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 3
Initial Eligibility Criteria Modified Eligibility Criteria
Average annual turnover of
$175 million for five years generated
specifically from the execution of
underground railwayworks,
excluding hill tunnels
Average turnover of$175 million
for five years from billing for civil
infrastructure works completed
or inprogress
All member companiesof a
consortium or JV were required to
meet the minimum experience
criteria individually
The combinedexperience of a
consortium was required to meet
the minimum experience criteria
In technical qualification the end
date for experience limit of bidders
for 10 years wasDecember 2012
The end date for experience limit
ofbidders for 10 years ending
December 2012 was revised to
March 2013
Eligibility Criteria
Risk Management
Types of
Risk
Construction
Risk
Operational
Risk
Market/
Demand Risk
Financial
Risk
Political Risk
Time and Cost overruns or shortfall in performance parameter ofthe
project
Technical performance of the project during the operational phase can fall below
the levels projected
Possibility that the market conditions assumed in determining the viability of
the projects are not realized
Variation in Interest Rates and/or the risk of not being paid for services delivered by
the investors
Any disruption in construction or operation of an project due to political decisions
Risk Mitigation
Risk
Identific
ation
• Identifying the events or actions which effects the viability of the project
Severity
of Risk
• Incase the event occurs, the effect of the same on the cost/time of the project
Risk
Allocati
on
• Identifying and allocating the risk to the party who can manage it the best
Risk
Mitigation
• Steps/Actions which can be taken to reduce the chances of event occurring
Risk
Pricing
• Cost of addressing the risk needs to be determined and suitable provisioning
made
Risk Allocation Framework
• Pre-Operative Risks
Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments
Delays in
Land
Acquisition
High Government
To be handed over to the concessionaire by
MMRDA. If unable to do so, MMRDA is liable
to extend project completion date, financial
closure date & concession period
Financing Risk Medium Private Sector
Has to achieve financial closure in 180 days
after signing the contract. Provision with
MMRDA to extend the period by another 180
incase not achieved
Planning Risk Medium Private Sector
Need to execute the project in conformance
with the specifications and standards
specified in the agreement
Regulatory,
Approval
Delays
Low Private Sector
Has to obtain all required clearances/permits
from the GoI/GoM for implementation of the
project
Risk Allocation Framework
• Construction Phase Risk
Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments
Design Risk Medium Private Sector
Have to submit all drawings and schedule to
MMRDA for review. Also to be scrutinized by an
independent engineer
Construction Risk Medium Private Sector
Performance security of Rs.14 crore for due and
faithful performance of its obligations. Renewed
from time to time and replenished every 30
days. Penalty of Rs.2 crore/day for missing any
milestone
Change in
Scope Risk Low Government
Additional work outside scope would be
ordered by MMRDA performed by private
operator and subsequently reimbursed
Financing Risk Medium Private Sector
Only 85% of VGF to be released during
construction period of the project. Remainder of
funds after 6 months of project being
operational
Risk Allocation Framework
• Operational Phase Risks
Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments
Technology Risk Low Government/Private Sector
Project to be executed in conformance with the
specifications and standards specified in the
agreement
O&M Risk Medium Private Sector
TO submit an operations and maintenance manual to
MMRDA for approval. Risk mitigation by allowing
concessionaire to appoint O&M contractors
Market Risk High Private Sector
The private operator would be allowed to levy and
collect the fares. The fares would be revised at a rate
of 11% every fourth year. No revenue guaranteefrom
the government
Performance Risk High Private Sector
Private operator has to hold at least 51% equity during
construction and in the 2 years after completion of the
project. Lead consortium member will have to hold at
least 26% equity stake in the project for a minimum
period of 15 years after projectcompletion
Risk Allocation Framework
• Handover Risks
Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments
Handover Risk Low Private Sector
Joint inspection by both parties 60 months prior to
the expiry of concession period to gauge
compliance with serviceability requirements
defined in the agreement, private party to pay
charges if found deficient
Private
Operator
Event of
Default
Low Private Sector
Only lenders are protected to equity holders bear
a major risk. MMRDA to take over the assets and
is liable to pay 90% of debt less insurance claims
Mumbai Metro Project: Execution
• 2006: Former PM Manmohan Singh laid the foundation stone for Metro
One project in June
• 2007: Reliance Infra led MMOPL awarded the contract for developing the
11.4 km Versova- Andheri-Ghatkopar (VAG) corridor
• 2008: Actual construction on the project began in Feb 2008, and the
corridor was expected to be operational by 2010-end
However, MMOPL missed as many as 10 deadlines set for completion
of the project including the March 2013 deadline set by Maharashtra
CM Prithviraj Chavan
Pricing
₹ 45.00
₹ 40.00
₹ 35.00
₹ 30.00
₹ 25.00
₹ 20.00
₹ 15.00
₹ 10.00
₹ 5.00
₹ 0.00
0-2 2 -4 4 - 6 6 - 9 9 - 12 12 - 1515 - 1818 - 2121 - 2424 - 2727 - 31 31 - 3535 - 3939 - 44 > 44
Pricing Comparison
Mumbai (Proposed)
Delhi
Bangalore
Chennai
Pricing
250 240
200
Mumbai (elevated) Delhi (elevated) Delhi (Underground) Bangalore (elevated) Bangalore
(Underground)
chennai (elevated)
Cost Per Kilometre (Rs Crores)
350
400
325
Comparison With Other Metros
Parameters Other Metro Mumbai Metro
Financial Viability Among 200 metro cities Very early to predict
– Hong Kong,
Singapore, Tokyo, Taipei
have been financially
viable
Cost Escalations It can happen because of
delays in clearance
From 2346 Crores to 4200 Crores
Source of Revenue Ticket sales,
Advertisements
5 – 10 % Ticket Sales
Advertisement, Station
naming rights
Fare Low as compared to other
modes of transport
Very high compared to
other metros in India
Pricing Authority Government in most of the
projects
MMOPL *
The project, which was under the Indian Tramways Act, was brought by the union government under the
Indian Metro Act in 2014, allowed MMOPL to fix its own fare structure in the absence of a fare fixation
committee
Learnings & Recommendations
• Expediting The Bid Process
• Entire bid process to choose the successful bidder took more than 2 years. This led to very
less no. Of bidders bidding for the project.
• Delay In Obtaining VGF Approval
• Substantial delay in obtaining VGF approval from the govt. Because model concession
agreement was not in place.
• Delay In Getting Approval
• Delay in getting approval for construction of over-bridge that passed over the railway line.
This was because railways were thinking of a project that could invade the path of the metro
line.
• It is recommended that authorities be cognizant of all other upcoming infrastructure projects
that have the potential to affect operations of the planned project while bidding out such
projects and resolve the same prior to the appointment of a developer.
Learnings & Recommendations
• Land Acquisition Issues
• Land for the depot was under dispute
• It is recommended in the future concerns such as these are addressed before the project
procurement stage itself to ensure smooth functioning of the project.
• Clear Specification On Asset Transfer On Termination
• 5 years before the expiry of the concession period a survey of the assets would be carried out to
determine whether they are in working condition as given in the agreement. Schedule in the
concession agreement does not have clear and robust specifications. Risk of a difference of opinion
between the concessionaire and the government and this can potentially lead to a dispute.
• The government could manage this better by incorporating clear and robust specifications on the
condition it would want the assets to be handed over to the government.
• Risk allocation has to be equitable; tendency to pass on maximum risk to the concessionaire will prove
counter productive.
References
• http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/mumbai/Metro-phase-III-tenders-to-be-issued-
by-July- 2013/articleshow/32677654.cms
• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Line_3_(Mumbai_Metro)
https://mmrda.maharashtra.gov.in/home
• http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-07-31/news/52285190_1_mthl-santa-cruz-
chembur-link-road-sclr http://toolkit.pppinindia.com/water-sanitation/module3-rocs-
mm1.php?links=mm1
• http://indiatogether.org/metro-fares-in-mumbai-and-other-cities-economy
• http://www.mumbaimirror.com/mumbai/others/Mumbais-Metro-fare-is-double-that-of-
other-cities- MMRDA/articleshow/36318428.cms

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Mumbai Metro Phase 1

  • 2. Group Members Sr.No. Name Roll No 1 Vishal Patil 69 2 Omkar Rasal 84 3 Krunal Rikame 87 4 Anish Shirodkar 100 5 Akshay Zaveri 120
  • 3. Agenda • Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Overview • Mumbai Metro: Conceptualization • Project Planning • Financial Structuring • Bidding Process • Risk Management • Project Execution • Key Learnings & Recommendations
  • 4. Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Overview • 13.0 Million People Travel Daily By Public Transport • Train Transportation – Lifeline Of Mumbai Private Vehicle 12.8% Intermediate Public Transport 9.2% Public Transport 78.0% 78% Suburban Rail 56% BEST – 22%
  • 5. Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Loopholes • Rail Network • Failed to keep pace with demand • Suburban rail traffic increased by 6 times while the capacity increased by only 2.3 times • 4500/5000 passenger travel per train against the carrying capacity of 1750 resulting in unbearable overcrowding. • Strong mismatch in demand and supply
  • 6. Mumbai Transport Infrastructure: Loopholes • Bus Network • Number of cars in Mumbai has grown by 51% in the last six years; resulting in road congestion & environmental pollution • Constraints to expand the existing road capacity to meet the future demand • Not serving the purpose of the feeder service to rail network
  • 7. Serve Areas Not Served By Current System Higher Capacity Faster Travel Attractive To Commuters Environment Friendly Improve Overall Mobility Access To Important Industrial And Commercial Area Time Reduced To 21 Min From 71 Min Between Versova & Ghatkopar (Ph-1) Provide A Rail Based Connectivity Within An Approach Distance Of 1 To 2 Km; Fare East-west Rail Based Connectivity To Central And Western Suburbs Additional 7 mn Commuters Reduction In Air And Noise Pollution Mumbai Metro Project: Gap Analysis
  • 8. Mumbai Metro Overview 3 Phases • PHASE I • Total Length of 62.68 Km (approx) • Versova – Andheri – Ghatkopar (11.07 Km) • Charkop – Bandra – Mankhurd (31.8 Km) • Bandra – Colaba (20 Km) • PHASE II • Total Length of 40 Km (approx) • Charkop – Dahisar (7.5 Km) • Ghatkopar – Mulund (12.5 Km) • BKC Kanjurmarg via Mumbai Airport (19.5 Km) • PHASE III • Total Length of 39.80 Km (approx) • Andheri East – Dahisar East route (18 Km) • Flora fountain and Ghatkopar route (21.8 Km)
  • 9.
  • 10. Project Plan Phase I Line 1 – Versova – Andheri - Ghatkopar • India’s first PPP metro project, based on the build, own, operate and transfer (BOOT) model • Elevated 11 km line to Ghatkopar via Marol, Chakala and Saki Naka • AUGUST 2004 – approval received from the government of Maharashtra and global bids were invited through expression of interest (EOI) • SPV – Mumbai metro one private limited (MMOPL), a JV between reliance infrastructure, Veolia transport and MMRDA • Concession period of 35 years including the construction period of 5 years • Estimated cost of the project – Rs 2356 crores
  • 11. Project Plan Phase I Line 1 – Versova – Andheri - Ghatkopar TIMELINE FOR THE PLANNED PROJECT Govt. of Maharashtra approval 19th August, 2004 Invitation of Global Bids 21st August, 2004 Pre-bid meeting 23rd November2004 Technical bids 16th May,2005 Invitation of Financial Bids 15th September,2005 Receipt of financial bids 10th January, 2006 Evaluation of Financial bids January, 2006 Negotiations with the lowest bidder February-May, 2006 Negotiated offer 10th May,2006 LOI issued after GOM approval June 2006 Commencement of Construction Feb 2008 Reliance Infrastructure Veolia Transport MMRDA EQUITY HOLDING (%) 26% 69 % 5 %
  • 12. Financial Structuring Line 1 – Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar The 70% debt was provided bya consortium of banks led by IDBI The remaining Rs1706 crores was financed by 70% Debt –Rs. 1193 Cr and 30% Equity – Rs. 513 Cr Out of the total estimated project cost, cumulatively 27.5% was contributed as VGF by the GOI and Government of Maharashtra Total Project Cost Rs 2356 Crores Remaining Rs 1706 Crores 70% Debt Rs 1193 Crores Consortium of banks IDBI, Corporation Bank, Karur Vysya Bank, Canara Bank, Oriental bank of commerce and Indian Bank 30% Equity Rs 513 Crores Reliance Infra - 69% ~ Rs. 353 Cr. Veolia Transport - 5% ~Rs. 26 Cr. MMRDA - 26% ~ 134 Cr. Viability Gap Funding Rs 650 Crores VGF GoI-20% GoM-7.5% Free Of Cost: •Space For Car Depot At DN Nagar Station And Ghatkopar Station •Land For The Project
  • 13. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1 • Eligibility Criteria • An Indian company or a company authorized to carry out business in India or a JV with an Indian company • Net worth of more than Rs.5,000 million or US$ 112 million • Annual turnover for the last 3 years of more than Rs.3,650 million or US $ 81.0 million • Relevant experience in developing, constructing or operating a mass transit system with minimum capacity of 20,000 PHPDT
  • 14. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1 Evaluate Bids for Financial Capability and Technical Competence as per evaluation criteria Scrutinize System Design Proposals For Conformity - Technical And Performance Specifications Obtain bidders‟ confirmation to incorporate proposed modifications if any to provide level playing ground Those bidders scoring 75% and above in technical evaluation were eligible to submit financial proposal First Stage - Technical Proposals
  • 15. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1 • Two Stage Process • Second Stage-Financial Proposals Technical Proposals Financial Proposals Evaluation of Business Plan & other formats submitted as per RFP documents
  • 16. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 1 Received Bids - 5 Technically Qualified - 3 FinancialProposals Received - 2 Preferred FinancialBid "Mumbai Metro One consortium” LED by Reliance Energy Limited and Connex- France "Mumbai Metro One consortium” LED by Reliance EnergyLimited and Connex- France  Bidding Parameter - A bidder asking for minimum capital contribution to be selected as PreferredBidder  Details of Preferred Financial Bid- Cost- Rs 2356 Cr and Capital Contribution: Rs 1251 Cr  Negotiated bid - Negotiations were carried out with the lowest bidder to reduce the capital cost. As a result demand for capital contribution reduced from Rs 1251 Cr to Rs 650Cr  Approvals - Negotiated offer was evaluated by the Bid Evaluation Committee appointed by the Metropolitan Commissioner and approved by the state cabinet “IICCU consortium” led by Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services Limited – ITD Thailand- Unity Infra Mumbai Metro Consortium” led by Gammon Infrastructure Ltd – Siemens and BEML Hindustan Construction Company and RITES Shaktikumar Sacheti Limited and Lingkaran Metro
  • 17. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 2 Technically Qualified Bidders Reliance Infrastructure-SNC Lavalin, Canada-Reliance Communication GE India-L&T-CA-IDPL Tata Power-Mitsubishi-Tata Realty's Pioneer Infrastructure GVK-Bombardier-YTL Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services Limited - Soma Constructions-Punj Lloyd Essar-Alstom Charkop - Bandra – Mankhurd Corridor Project Winner Reliance Infrastructure Only one that made a financial bid Bid Submitted Rs 2,298 Cr The Grant From The State & Central Governments Key Highlights of Project Concessionperiod - 35 years with an extension clause of another 10 years. Financial closure : Debt - Rs 6,931 Cr Equity - Rs 2,332 Cr Equity share : Reliance Infra - 74% SNC Lavalin - 26% Implementation under PPP format Project cost: MMRDA’s estimate : Rs 8,250 Cr R-Infra’s estimate : Rs 11,000 Cr VGF - Rs 1,532 Cr by GOI, Rs 766 Cr by GoM Construction work stalled due to issues
  • 18. Bidding – Metro Phase I Line 3 Initial Eligibility Criteria Modified Eligibility Criteria Average annual turnover of $175 million for five years generated specifically from the execution of underground railwayworks, excluding hill tunnels Average turnover of$175 million for five years from billing for civil infrastructure works completed or inprogress All member companiesof a consortium or JV were required to meet the minimum experience criteria individually The combinedexperience of a consortium was required to meet the minimum experience criteria In technical qualification the end date for experience limit of bidders for 10 years wasDecember 2012 The end date for experience limit ofbidders for 10 years ending December 2012 was revised to March 2013 Eligibility Criteria
  • 19. Risk Management Types of Risk Construction Risk Operational Risk Market/ Demand Risk Financial Risk Political Risk Time and Cost overruns or shortfall in performance parameter ofthe project Technical performance of the project during the operational phase can fall below the levels projected Possibility that the market conditions assumed in determining the viability of the projects are not realized Variation in Interest Rates and/or the risk of not being paid for services delivered by the investors Any disruption in construction or operation of an project due to political decisions
  • 20. Risk Mitigation Risk Identific ation • Identifying the events or actions which effects the viability of the project Severity of Risk • Incase the event occurs, the effect of the same on the cost/time of the project Risk Allocati on • Identifying and allocating the risk to the party who can manage it the best Risk Mitigation • Steps/Actions which can be taken to reduce the chances of event occurring Risk Pricing • Cost of addressing the risk needs to be determined and suitable provisioning made
  • 21. Risk Allocation Framework • Pre-Operative Risks Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments Delays in Land Acquisition High Government To be handed over to the concessionaire by MMRDA. If unable to do so, MMRDA is liable to extend project completion date, financial closure date & concession period Financing Risk Medium Private Sector Has to achieve financial closure in 180 days after signing the contract. Provision with MMRDA to extend the period by another 180 incase not achieved Planning Risk Medium Private Sector Need to execute the project in conformance with the specifications and standards specified in the agreement Regulatory, Approval Delays Low Private Sector Has to obtain all required clearances/permits from the GoI/GoM for implementation of the project
  • 22. Risk Allocation Framework • Construction Phase Risk Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments Design Risk Medium Private Sector Have to submit all drawings and schedule to MMRDA for review. Also to be scrutinized by an independent engineer Construction Risk Medium Private Sector Performance security of Rs.14 crore for due and faithful performance of its obligations. Renewed from time to time and replenished every 30 days. Penalty of Rs.2 crore/day for missing any milestone Change in Scope Risk Low Government Additional work outside scope would be ordered by MMRDA performed by private operator and subsequently reimbursed Financing Risk Medium Private Sector Only 85% of VGF to be released during construction period of the project. Remainder of funds after 6 months of project being operational
  • 23. Risk Allocation Framework • Operational Phase Risks Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments Technology Risk Low Government/Private Sector Project to be executed in conformance with the specifications and standards specified in the agreement O&M Risk Medium Private Sector TO submit an operations and maintenance manual to MMRDA for approval. Risk mitigation by allowing concessionaire to appoint O&M contractors Market Risk High Private Sector The private operator would be allowed to levy and collect the fares. The fares would be revised at a rate of 11% every fourth year. No revenue guaranteefrom the government Performance Risk High Private Sector Private operator has to hold at least 51% equity during construction and in the 2 years after completion of the project. Lead consortium member will have to hold at least 26% equity stake in the project for a minimum period of 15 years after projectcompletion
  • 24. Risk Allocation Framework • Handover Risks Risk Type Sensitivity Primary Risk Bearer Comments Handover Risk Low Private Sector Joint inspection by both parties 60 months prior to the expiry of concession period to gauge compliance with serviceability requirements defined in the agreement, private party to pay charges if found deficient Private Operator Event of Default Low Private Sector Only lenders are protected to equity holders bear a major risk. MMRDA to take over the assets and is liable to pay 90% of debt less insurance claims
  • 25. Mumbai Metro Project: Execution • 2006: Former PM Manmohan Singh laid the foundation stone for Metro One project in June • 2007: Reliance Infra led MMOPL awarded the contract for developing the 11.4 km Versova- Andheri-Ghatkopar (VAG) corridor • 2008: Actual construction on the project began in Feb 2008, and the corridor was expected to be operational by 2010-end However, MMOPL missed as many as 10 deadlines set for completion of the project including the March 2013 deadline set by Maharashtra CM Prithviraj Chavan
  • 26. Pricing ₹ 45.00 ₹ 40.00 ₹ 35.00 ₹ 30.00 ₹ 25.00 ₹ 20.00 ₹ 15.00 ₹ 10.00 ₹ 5.00 ₹ 0.00 0-2 2 -4 4 - 6 6 - 9 9 - 12 12 - 1515 - 1818 - 2121 - 2424 - 2727 - 31 31 - 3535 - 3939 - 44 > 44 Pricing Comparison Mumbai (Proposed) Delhi Bangalore Chennai
  • 27. Pricing 250 240 200 Mumbai (elevated) Delhi (elevated) Delhi (Underground) Bangalore (elevated) Bangalore (Underground) chennai (elevated) Cost Per Kilometre (Rs Crores) 350 400 325
  • 28. Comparison With Other Metros Parameters Other Metro Mumbai Metro Financial Viability Among 200 metro cities Very early to predict – Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo, Taipei have been financially viable Cost Escalations It can happen because of delays in clearance From 2346 Crores to 4200 Crores Source of Revenue Ticket sales, Advertisements 5 – 10 % Ticket Sales Advertisement, Station naming rights Fare Low as compared to other modes of transport Very high compared to other metros in India Pricing Authority Government in most of the projects MMOPL * The project, which was under the Indian Tramways Act, was brought by the union government under the Indian Metro Act in 2014, allowed MMOPL to fix its own fare structure in the absence of a fare fixation committee
  • 29. Learnings & Recommendations • Expediting The Bid Process • Entire bid process to choose the successful bidder took more than 2 years. This led to very less no. Of bidders bidding for the project. • Delay In Obtaining VGF Approval • Substantial delay in obtaining VGF approval from the govt. Because model concession agreement was not in place. • Delay In Getting Approval • Delay in getting approval for construction of over-bridge that passed over the railway line. This was because railways were thinking of a project that could invade the path of the metro line. • It is recommended that authorities be cognizant of all other upcoming infrastructure projects that have the potential to affect operations of the planned project while bidding out such projects and resolve the same prior to the appointment of a developer.
  • 30. Learnings & Recommendations • Land Acquisition Issues • Land for the depot was under dispute • It is recommended in the future concerns such as these are addressed before the project procurement stage itself to ensure smooth functioning of the project. • Clear Specification On Asset Transfer On Termination • 5 years before the expiry of the concession period a survey of the assets would be carried out to determine whether they are in working condition as given in the agreement. Schedule in the concession agreement does not have clear and robust specifications. Risk of a difference of opinion between the concessionaire and the government and this can potentially lead to a dispute. • The government could manage this better by incorporating clear and robust specifications on the condition it would want the assets to be handed over to the government. • Risk allocation has to be equitable; tendency to pass on maximum risk to the concessionaire will prove counter productive.
  • 31. References • http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/mumbai/Metro-phase-III-tenders-to-be-issued- by-July- 2013/articleshow/32677654.cms • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Line_3_(Mumbai_Metro) https://mmrda.maharashtra.gov.in/home • http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-07-31/news/52285190_1_mthl-santa-cruz- chembur-link-road-sclr http://toolkit.pppinindia.com/water-sanitation/module3-rocs- mm1.php?links=mm1 • http://indiatogether.org/metro-fares-in-mumbai-and-other-cities-economy • http://www.mumbaimirror.com/mumbai/others/Mumbais-Metro-fare-is-double-that-of- other-cities- MMRDA/articleshow/36318428.cms