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FUTURES VIEW
FROM AROUND THE WORLD
5 6 N O D E S
AMERICA
M e x i c o
U r u g u a y
U S A
ASIA
A z e r b a i j a n
C h i n a
EUROPE
G e r m a n y
R u s s i a
S p a i n
MIDDLE EAST
I s r a e l
T O C 2 . 4 % G D P
U S $ 1 , 6 3 7 b i l l i o n s 1
$ c o u n t r y & m a i n v a r i a b l e s
P r e v e n t i o n
S c e n a r i o 2 0 3 0
E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s Wo r k
S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y
T R A N S N AT I O N A L
O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E
Art trafficking
Corruption
Credit cards forgery
Environmental crimes
Cyber crimesDrug trafficking
Hazardous chemicals
products trafficking
Drugs forgery
Extortion
F r a u d
Homicides per request Humans smuggling
Nuclear material trafficking
Organs trafficking
Human trafficking
Patents registration theft
Kidnapping
Money laundering
Piracy
S m u g g l i n g
Weapons trafficking
Precious metals trafficking
Counterfeiting 71
Drug Trafficking 40
Human Smuggling 7.5
Gas & Oil Smuggling 3
Counterfeit Drugs 1.5
Software piracy 1.2
Cigarette Smuggling 0.6
Movie Piracy 0.48
Music Piracy 0.44
Book Piracy 0.04
M E X I C O
P o p u l a t i o n : 1 2 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 2 6 b i l l i o n
M E X I C O
1 . G O V E R N M E N T
N A T I O N A L P R O G R A M F O R
P R E V E N T I N G C R I M E
• L O N G - T E R M V I S I O N 2 0 3 0
• F E D E R A L , S TAT E & LO C A L S P E C I A L P R O G R A M S F O R C O M M U N I T I E S
E D U C A T I O N
S P O R T S
H E A L T H
T R A I N I N G F O R E N T R E P R E N E U R S H I P W I T H C R E D I T S
N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m f o r
S o c i a l P r e v e n t i o n o f V i o l e n c e a n d C r i m e
1 4 P r i n c i p l e s
C o m p r e h e n s i v e n e s s , i n t e r s e c t o r a l i t y, m a i n s t r e a m i n g , t e r r i t o r i a l i t y o r
t a r g e t i n g , p a r t i c i p a t i o n , j o i n t w o r k , c o n t i n u i t y o f p u b l i c p o l i c i e s ,
i n t e r d i s c i p l i n a r i t y, d i v e r s i t y, p r o x i m i t y, t r a n s p a r e n c y a n d a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a n d
i n c o r p o r a t e t h e c r o s s c u t t i n g p e r s p e c t i v e s o f g e n d e r e q u a l i t y ; h u m a n r i g h t s
a n d s o c i a l c o h e s i o n .
• Suc c es s ful pr evention pr ojec ts ( E d u c a t i o n , s p o r t s ,
h e a l t h , e t c . )
• Teac hing s mall entr epr eneurs & opening c r edits
• Ser ious effor ts for money launder ing c ontr ol
• Fr oz ening TOC ’s money a n d pr oper ties
• Impr oving new b a n k r es tr ic tions
2 . N G O ’ s
S O C I A L D I A L O G U E F O R T R U T H ,
J U S T I C E A N D P E A C E
• N e t w o r k w i t h r e g i o n a l N o d e s t o c h a n n e l a n g e r a n d
c h a n g e s i n t o a p a t h o f d i a l o g u e & p a r t i c i p a t i o n
• A g e n d a s & t h e m a t i c m e e t i n g s :
1 . L a w e n f o r c e m e n t
2 . T e r r i t o r i e s ( c o m m u n i t i e s , n e i g h b o r h o o d s , e t c . )
3 . P o v e r t y a n d i n e q u a l i t y
4 . I n c l u s i v e a n d p l u r a l i s t i c e c o n o m i e s
5 . S o c i a l c o h e s i o n & c o e x i s t e n c e
6 . C o m b a t t o c o r r u p t i o n & i m p u n i t y
7 . G l o b a l p r o b l e m a t i c & i n t e r n a t i o n a l p a r n e r s h i p s
S O C I A L D I A L O G U E f o r
T R U T H , J U S T I C E & P E A C E
S T E P S F O R S O C I A L D I A L O G U E
1 . I d e n t i f y i n g c o n f l i c t s : 3 m o s t p r e s s i n g
2 . M a p p i n g a c t o r s f o r s o l v i n g p r o b l e m s
3 . D i r e c t o r i e s a n d p r o f i l e s
4 . W o r k s h o p s & f o l l o w u p m e e t i n g s
5 . D o c u m e n t s p r e p a r a t i o n , s i s t e m a t i z a t i o n &
d i s t r i b u t i o n .
6 . W o r k i n g g r o u p s c o n s o l i d a t i o n
7 . A c t i v e o r g a n i z a t i o n & a r t i c u l a t i o n N e t w o r k
f o r s o l v i n g c o n f l i c t s a n d a s k i n g a c t o r s
q u e s t i o n s t o f i n d s o l u t i o n s
3 . G O V E R N M E N T , P R I V A T E
S E C T O R & N G O ’ s
P R O D U C T I V E C O E X I S T E N C E
• L i n k i n g e n t e r p r i s e s n e e d s .
• T r a i n i n g p e o p l e t o w o r k .
• T e a c h i n g & f u n d i n g t h e c r e a t i o n o f s m a l l
c o m p a n i e s .
Counterfeiting 225
Cigarette smuggling 10
Cocaine smuggling 35
Drug Trafficking 215
Gas & Oil smuggling 10
Illegal gambling 150
Illegal logging 1
Illegal piracy 25
Movie piracy 25
Music piracy 12.5
Prostitution 14.6
Software piracy 9.7
U N I T E D S TAT E S O F A M E R I C A
P o p u l a t i o n : 3 2 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 7 3 3 b i l l i o n
C H I N A
P o p u l a t i o n : 1 , 3 6 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 2 7 0 b i l l i o n
Counterfeiting 60
Cigarrette smuggling 2
Drug trafficking 17
Human smuggling 2
Illegal gambling 93
Illegal Logging 4
Software piracy 9
Prostitution 73
Wildlife smuggling 10
S P A I N
P o p u l a t i o n : 4 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 2 7 b i l l i o n
Drug trafficking 95
Prostitution 26.5
Counterfeiting 2.6
Software piracy 1.2
Video game piracy 0.5
Book piracy 0.5
Counterfeit pesticides 0.1
Movie piracy 0.25
Music piracy 0.01
G E R M A N Y
P o p u l a t i o n : 8 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 9 9 . 5 b i l l i o n
Counterfeit pesticides 39.4
Counterfeiting 32.2
Prostitution 18
Cigarette smuggling 7.2
Sofware piracy 2.3
Drug trafficking 0.2
Movie piracy 0.16
Money laundering 0.07
R U S S I A
P o p u l a t i o n : 1 4 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 5 6 . 4 b i l l i o n
Counterfeiting 29
Drug trafficking 15
Counterfeit alcohol 3.3
Software piracy 3.2
Illegal logging 2
Cigarette smuggling 1
Wildlife smuggling 0.8
Alcohol smuggling 0.7
Prostitution 0.5
Music piracy 0.3
Movie piracy 0.26
Video game piracy 0.28
Book piracy 0.04
I S R A E L
P o p u l a t i o n : 8 . 3 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 7 . 3 b i l l i o n
Illegal gambling 4.1
Drug trafficking 1.9
Prostitution 0.5
Counterfeiting 0.5
Software piracy 0.2
Movie piracy 0.06
Music piracy 0.05
Video game piracy 0.01
Book piracy 0.001
A Z E R B A I J A N
P o p u l a t i o n : 9 . 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : n / a
T U R K E Y
P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 2 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 7 . 2 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting 6
Prostitution 4
Cigarrette smuggling 2.5
Gas and oil smuggling 2.5
Drug trafficking 1.7
Human smuggling 0.4
Alcohol smuggling 0.060
Movie piracy 0.029
Book piracy 0.023
Music piracy 0.022
Drug trafficking
8.5
Heroin trafficking
3
Gas and oil smuggling
1.3
Alcohol smuggling
0.9
Movie piracy
0.1
Counterfeiting
0.1
I R A N
P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 7 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 3 . 9 b i l l i o n s
Gas and oil smuggling
5
Software piracy
0.172
I R A K
P o p u l a t i o n : 3 6 . 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 5 . 2 b i l l i o n s
U R U G U A Y
P o p u l a t i o n : 3 . 3 m i l l i o n s
T O C : n / a
Counterfeiting
Software piracy
0.657
Movie piracy
0.318
Music piracy
0.063
Counterfeit pesticides
0.026
Book piracy
0.004
A R G E N T I N A
P o p u l a t i o n 4 3 . 1
T O C : U S $ 1 b i l l i o n
B R A Z I L
P o p u l a t i o n 2 0 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 2 5 . 3 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting 15
Counterfeit clothing 3.64
Software piracy 2.85
Wildlifesmuggling 2
Counterfeit shoes 0.9
Counterfeit cigarettes 0.5
Videogame piracy 0.16
Music piracy 0.15
Movie piracy 0.1
Counterfeit toys 0.03
Book piracy 0.02
PA R A G U AY
P o p u l a t i o n : 7 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 3 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting
12
Cigarette
smuggling 1
Software piracy
0.073
E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s w o r k
S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y

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Futurists' View from Around the World

  • 1. FUTURES VIEW FROM AROUND THE WORLD 5 6 N O D E S AMERICA M e x i c o U r u g u a y U S A ASIA A z e r b a i j a n C h i n a EUROPE G e r m a n y R u s s i a S p a i n MIDDLE EAST I s r a e l
  • 2. T O C 2 . 4 % G D P U S $ 1 , 6 3 7 b i l l i o n s 1 $ c o u n t r y & m a i n v a r i a b l e s P r e v e n t i o n S c e n a r i o 2 0 3 0 E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s Wo r k S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y
  • 3. T R A N S N AT I O N A L O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Art trafficking Corruption Credit cards forgery Environmental crimes Cyber crimesDrug trafficking Hazardous chemicals products trafficking Drugs forgery Extortion F r a u d
  • 8. Homicides per request Humans smuggling Nuclear material trafficking Organs trafficking Human trafficking Patents registration theft Kidnapping Money laundering Piracy
  • 9. S m u g g l i n g Weapons trafficking Precious metals trafficking
  • 10. Counterfeiting 71 Drug Trafficking 40 Human Smuggling 7.5 Gas & Oil Smuggling 3 Counterfeit Drugs 1.5 Software piracy 1.2 Cigarette Smuggling 0.6 Movie Piracy 0.48 Music Piracy 0.44 Book Piracy 0.04 M E X I C O P o p u l a t i o n : 1 2 1 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 2 6 b i l l i o n
  • 11. M E X I C O
  • 12.
  • 13. 1 . G O V E R N M E N T N A T I O N A L P R O G R A M F O R P R E V E N T I N G C R I M E • L O N G - T E R M V I S I O N 2 0 3 0 • F E D E R A L , S TAT E & LO C A L S P E C I A L P R O G R A M S F O R C O M M U N I T I E S E D U C A T I O N S P O R T S H E A L T H T R A I N I N G F O R E N T R E P R E N E U R S H I P W I T H C R E D I T S
  • 14. N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m f o r S o c i a l P r e v e n t i o n o f V i o l e n c e a n d C r i m e 1 4 P r i n c i p l e s C o m p r e h e n s i v e n e s s , i n t e r s e c t o r a l i t y, m a i n s t r e a m i n g , t e r r i t o r i a l i t y o r t a r g e t i n g , p a r t i c i p a t i o n , j o i n t w o r k , c o n t i n u i t y o f p u b l i c p o l i c i e s , i n t e r d i s c i p l i n a r i t y, d i v e r s i t y, p r o x i m i t y, t r a n s p a r e n c y a n d a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a n d i n c o r p o r a t e t h e c r o s s c u t t i n g p e r s p e c t i v e s o f g e n d e r e q u a l i t y ; h u m a n r i g h t s a n d s o c i a l c o h e s i o n . • Suc c es s ful pr evention pr ojec ts ( E d u c a t i o n , s p o r t s , h e a l t h , e t c . ) • Teac hing s mall entr epr eneurs & opening c r edits • Ser ious effor ts for money launder ing c ontr ol • Fr oz ening TOC ’s money a n d pr oper ties • Impr oving new b a n k r es tr ic tions
  • 15. 2 . N G O ’ s S O C I A L D I A L O G U E F O R T R U T H , J U S T I C E A N D P E A C E • N e t w o r k w i t h r e g i o n a l N o d e s t o c h a n n e l a n g e r a n d c h a n g e s i n t o a p a t h o f d i a l o g u e & p a r t i c i p a t i o n • A g e n d a s & t h e m a t i c m e e t i n g s : 1 . L a w e n f o r c e m e n t 2 . T e r r i t o r i e s ( c o m m u n i t i e s , n e i g h b o r h o o d s , e t c . ) 3 . P o v e r t y a n d i n e q u a l i t y 4 . I n c l u s i v e a n d p l u r a l i s t i c e c o n o m i e s 5 . S o c i a l c o h e s i o n & c o e x i s t e n c e 6 . C o m b a t t o c o r r u p t i o n & i m p u n i t y 7 . G l o b a l p r o b l e m a t i c & i n t e r n a t i o n a l p a r n e r s h i p s
  • 16. S O C I A L D I A L O G U E f o r T R U T H , J U S T I C E & P E A C E S T E P S F O R S O C I A L D I A L O G U E 1 . I d e n t i f y i n g c o n f l i c t s : 3 m o s t p r e s s i n g 2 . M a p p i n g a c t o r s f o r s o l v i n g p r o b l e m s 3 . D i r e c t o r i e s a n d p r o f i l e s 4 . W o r k s h o p s & f o l l o w u p m e e t i n g s 5 . D o c u m e n t s p r e p a r a t i o n , s i s t e m a t i z a t i o n & d i s t r i b u t i o n . 6 . W o r k i n g g r o u p s c o n s o l i d a t i o n 7 . A c t i v e o r g a n i z a t i o n & a r t i c u l a t i o n N e t w o r k f o r s o l v i n g c o n f l i c t s a n d a s k i n g a c t o r s q u e s t i o n s t o f i n d s o l u t i o n s
  • 17. 3 . G O V E R N M E N T , P R I V A T E S E C T O R & N G O ’ s P R O D U C T I V E C O E X I S T E N C E • L i n k i n g e n t e r p r i s e s n e e d s . • T r a i n i n g p e o p l e t o w o r k . • T e a c h i n g & f u n d i n g t h e c r e a t i o n o f s m a l l c o m p a n i e s .
  • 18. Counterfeiting 225 Cigarette smuggling 10 Cocaine smuggling 35 Drug Trafficking 215 Gas & Oil smuggling 10 Illegal gambling 150 Illegal logging 1 Illegal piracy 25 Movie piracy 25 Music piracy 12.5 Prostitution 14.6 Software piracy 9.7 U N I T E D S TAT E S O F A M E R I C A P o p u l a t i o n : 3 2 1 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 7 3 3 b i l l i o n
  • 19. C H I N A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 , 3 6 4 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 2 7 0 b i l l i o n Counterfeiting 60 Cigarrette smuggling 2 Drug trafficking 17 Human smuggling 2 Illegal gambling 93 Illegal Logging 4 Software piracy 9 Prostitution 73 Wildlife smuggling 10
  • 20. S P A I N P o p u l a t i o n : 4 6 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 2 7 b i l l i o n Drug trafficking 95 Prostitution 26.5 Counterfeiting 2.6 Software piracy 1.2 Video game piracy 0.5 Book piracy 0.5 Counterfeit pesticides 0.1 Movie piracy 0.25 Music piracy 0.01
  • 21. G E R M A N Y P o p u l a t i o n : 8 1 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 9 9 . 5 b i l l i o n Counterfeit pesticides 39.4 Counterfeiting 32.2 Prostitution 18 Cigarette smuggling 7.2 Sofware piracy 2.3 Drug trafficking 0.2 Movie piracy 0.16 Money laundering 0.07
  • 22. R U S S I A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 4 4 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 5 6 . 4 b i l l i o n Counterfeiting 29 Drug trafficking 15 Counterfeit alcohol 3.3 Software piracy 3.2 Illegal logging 2 Cigarette smuggling 1 Wildlife smuggling 0.8 Alcohol smuggling 0.7 Prostitution 0.5 Music piracy 0.3 Movie piracy 0.26 Video game piracy 0.28 Book piracy 0.04
  • 23. I S R A E L P o p u l a t i o n : 8 . 3 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 7 . 3 b i l l i o n Illegal gambling 4.1 Drug trafficking 1.9 Prostitution 0.5 Counterfeiting 0.5 Software piracy 0.2 Movie piracy 0.06 Music piracy 0.05 Video game piracy 0.01 Book piracy 0.001
  • 24. A Z E R B A I J A N P o p u l a t i o n : 9 . 6 m i l l i o n s T O C : n / a
  • 25. T U R K E Y P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 2 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 7 . 2 b i l l i o n s Counterfeiting 6 Prostitution 4 Cigarrette smuggling 2.5 Gas and oil smuggling 2.5 Drug trafficking 1.7 Human smuggling 0.4 Alcohol smuggling 0.060 Movie piracy 0.029 Book piracy 0.023 Music piracy 0.022 Drug trafficking 8.5 Heroin trafficking 3 Gas and oil smuggling 1.3 Alcohol smuggling 0.9 Movie piracy 0.1 Counterfeiting 0.1 I R A N P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 7 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 3 . 9 b i l l i o n s Gas and oil smuggling 5 Software piracy 0.172 I R A K P o p u l a t i o n : 3 6 . 6 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 5 . 2 b i l l i o n s
  • 26. U R U G U A Y P o p u l a t i o n : 3 . 3 m i l l i o n s T O C : n / a
  • 27. Counterfeiting Software piracy 0.657 Movie piracy 0.318 Music piracy 0.063 Counterfeit pesticides 0.026 Book piracy 0.004 A R G E N T I N A P o p u l a t i o n 4 3 . 1 T O C : U S $ 1 b i l l i o n B R A Z I L P o p u l a t i o n 2 0 4 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 2 5 . 3 b i l l i o n s Counterfeiting 15 Counterfeit clothing 3.64 Software piracy 2.85 Wildlifesmuggling 2 Counterfeit shoes 0.9 Counterfeit cigarettes 0.5 Videogame piracy 0.16 Music piracy 0.15 Movie piracy 0.1 Counterfeit toys 0.03 Book piracy 0.02 PA R A G U AY P o p u l a t i o n : 7 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 3 b i l l i o n s Counterfeiting 12 Cigarette smuggling 1 Software piracy 0.073
  • 28. E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s w o r k S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y