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Charts to Watch
Global Market Update
January 12, 2015
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Charts to Watch report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for
research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts,
including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and
information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
5
Developed Markets – Month to Date
6
Emerging Markets – Month to Date
7
Global Financial Stress Index – 5 Years
8
Marco Risk Index – 5 Years
9
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
Fixed Income & Credit
11
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
Lowest closing levels since May 2013
12
Yield Curves: Treasuries, Investment Grade, & High Yield
Credit Spreads widening as a result of lower
treasury yields and higher junk bond yields
13
Yield Curves: US, Germany, Italy, & Spain
14
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
15
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
16
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
17
Relative Bond Spreads
Global Equities
19
MSCI All Country World Index – USD
20
S&P 500 Index
21
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index – USD
22
MSCI Emerging Markets Index – USD
23
SPX vs. EAFE vs. EM
Emerging Market
relative strength since
December lows
24
Trend Analysis by Sector (S&P500)
25
Performance by Sector (S&P500)
The Economy
27
Last week’s Economic Calendar
28
Next week’s Economic Calendar
29
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
Market expectations for
inflation are low and oversold
30
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
31
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
32
U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
33
U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
Currencies & Commodities
35
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
36
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q2 2015)
37
US Dollar $
38
Euro €
39
Japanese Yen ¥
40
Russian Ruble
41
Mexican Peso
42
Global Commodity Prices
43
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
44
Gold Prices – 5 Years
Gold challenging 3 year downtrend
45
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years
46
High Grade Copper – 5 Years

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