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The SOURCE Family of Registries
  1 Year Results from Cohort 1 of the SOURCE Registry

   The European Registry of Transcatheter
     Aortic Valve Implantation using the
           Edwards SAPIEN Valve

Martyn Thomas, MD , Gerhard Schymik, MD, Thomas Walther, MD, Dominique
Himbert, MD, Thierry Lefèvre, MD, Hendrik Treede, MD, Holger Eggebrecht, MD,
Paolo Rubino, MD, Iassen Michev, MD, Rüdiger Lange, MD and Olaf Wendler,
MD on behalf of the SOURCE investigators
Potential Conflicts of Interest

    Speaker’s name:         Dr Martyn Thomas

    I have the following potential conflicts of interest to report:

            Research contracts
            Consulting for Edwards Lifesciences
            Employment in industry
            Stockholder of a healthcare company
            Owner of a healthcare company
            Other(s)

    I do not have any potential conflict of interest



2
Background

    • Trans-catheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI) is an
      alternative to open surgery in patients considered to be
      at high risk for the standard procedure.
    • Cohort 1 of The SOURCE Registry describes the
      outcomes in a consecutive group of patients treated in
      32 European centres during the first year of
      commercialisation of the Edwards SAPIEN Valve from
      Nov 07 to Jan 31st 09.



3
The SOURCE Family of Registries
                        Timeline
                                2009   2010   2011
                       Nov 07
    SOURCE COHORT 1


    SOURCE COHORT 2


            PREVAIL

       SOURCE XT EU

    SOURCE XT Global



4
Methods: EuroPCR 09
                                34 Centres Initially Participating in
                                      Commercial Launch
                                        1123 patients


            Excluded:                                                Included:
      2 Centres / 85 patients                                       32 centres
    • Unable to obtain Ethic Cte approval
    • Unable to secure administrative support
                                                                   1038 patients
    • One missing patient due to admin. error
                                                                    We now present 1 year data
                                                                     that represents systematic
                                                                            follow-up on 98% of
    EuroPCR                           The SOURCE Registry has
                                         100% procedure data                 implanted patients.
                                    99.9% 30 Day Data
                                           98% 30 day data
      2010                            All consecutively enrolled



5
The SOURCE Registry Enrollment
    Site Name                                                 Pts   Site Name                                                Pts
    Karlsruhe/Städisches Klinikum + Herzklinik –              89    Rouen/CHU – H Eltchaninoff, JP Bessou                    31
    G Schymik, H Schroefel
    Leipzig/Herzzentrum - T Walther, G Schuler                87    Madrid/S Carlos – C Macaya, E Rodriguez                  31
    London/St Thomas’ + King’s -M Thomas, O Wendler           75    Bern/Inselspital- P Wenaweser, T Carrel                  31
    Paris/Bichat – D Himbert, P Nataf                         56    Münster – H Baumgartner, H Reinecke                      30
    Massy/Jacques Cartier - T Lefèvre, M Romano               51    Jena/Uniklinik – K Hekmat, M Ferrari                     26
    Hamburg/Uniklink- H Treede, O Franzen                     48    Lund/Universitetssjukhuset – G Olivecrona, P Johnsson    23
    Essen/Uniklinik – H Eggebrecht, M Thielmann               47    Bruxelles/St Luc – P Astarci, J Kefer                    21
    Mercogliano/Clinica Montevergine-P Rubino, G Sorrogpago   47    San Sebastian/Gipuzkoa – J Goiti, M Larman               20
    Milan/S Raff – I Michev, F Maisano                        41    Leuven/Gasthuisberg – C Dubois, P Herijgers              17
    Munich/DHZ – R Lange                                      41    Frankfurt/Uniklinik –V Schächinger, M Doss               15
    Athens/Onassis – K Spargias, G Stavridis                  36    London/Brompton – M Mullen, N Moat                       12
    Milan/Monzino – P Bigliogli, M Fusari                     35    Innsbruck/Uniklinik – L Mueller, T Bartel                10
    Paris/HEGP – D Blanchard, JN Fabiani                      34    Lübeck/Uniklinik – ED Kraatz, H Sier                     8
    Aarhus/Skejby- HR Andersen, KE Klaaborg                   34    Cambridge/Papworth – C Densem, P Calvert                 8
    Zurich/KlinikimPark+Hirslanden- W Amann, F Bernet         34

                                                                                                                TOTAL       1038
6
Baseline Demographics
                                 and Risk Factors
                                            TF        TA
                                          (n=463)   (n=575)   P-Value
    Age (yrs)                              81.7      80.7       0.022

    Female                                55.1%     55.8%         NS
    Pulmonary Disease                     24.6%     29.9%         NS
    Renal Dysfunction                     25.5%     32.5%       0.016
    Logistic EuroSCORE                     25.8      29.0       0.007
    Peripheral Vascular Disease           10.6%     28.0%      <0.001
    Carotid Artery Stenosis (>50%)         7.1%     17.2%      <0.001
    Incidence of CAD                      47.5%     55.1%       0.020
    Porcelain Aorta                        4.5%     11.3%       0.001
    Prior CABG                            17.5%     27.0%       0.003

    Mitral valve disease                  15.8%     32.0%      <0.001



7         Data Snapshot       5/03/2010
Major Complications (≤ 30 Days)

                       To give Context of Early v Late Events
                            TF (n=463) TA (n=575)   Total (n=1038)
    Death                         6.3%   10.8%         8.8%

    Stroke                        2.6%    2.4%         2.5%

    Renal Failure                 1.3%    7.0%         4.4%
    Requiring
    Dialysis
    Permanent                     6.0%    7.7%         6.9%
    Pacemaker




8      Data Snapshot         5/03/10
SOURCE: COHORT 1
     1 Year Survival (All Approaches)




10
All Data as KM Curves
     Cohort 1: 1 YR (Events: Late)
      Freedom From: Stroke, PM, MI




11
SOURCE vs Normal Elderly Population
                                Cause of Late Stroke (30 Days to 1 Year)
      Type of Stroke (Total =19 patients)                                                                                    n/%

      SOURCE HEMORRHAGIC (n=4/19)                                                                                          4/21.1%

      Mean (days to adverse event )                                                                                           176

      Median (days to adverse event )                                                                                         167

      NORMAL ELDERLY POPULATION*                                                                                             13%

      SOURCE NON-HEMORRHAGIC (n=13/19)                                                                                    13/68.4%

      Mean (days to adverse event )                                                                                           163

      Median (days to adverse event )
                                                                                                                              117

      NORMAL ELDERLY POPULATION*                                                                                             87%

      SOURCE UNKNOWN (n=2)                                                                                                 2/10.5%

      Mean (days to adverse event)                                                                                            158

      Median (days to adverse event )                                                                                         158
     *Lloyd-Jones D, et al. Executive summary: heart disease and stroke statistics--2010 update: a report from the American Heart
     Association. Circulation. 2010 Feb 23;121(7):948-54. Erratum in: Circulation. 2010 Mar 30;121(12):e259.

12
All Data as KM Curves
                  Cohort 1: 1 YR (Events: Late)
     Freedom From: Vascular Complication, Endocarditis, and Re-Operation




13
Early Vascular Access Complications
                Relationship to 1 Year Mortality (NB 22/24F Device)
                 % Survival in Pts who did   % Survival in Pts who did
     Approach    not have vascular access     have vascular access       P-Value
                      complications               complications
       TF                 83.9%                       72.2%              0.0121
       TA                 73.2%                       47.4%              0.0188




14
ALL
                          179
                                                              Causes of Death
                                                                 30 Days to 1 Year
      Cardiac
     45 (25.1%)
                       Non Cardiac
                        88 (49.2%)
                                            Unknown
                                            46 (25.7%)                                      ALL
       Heart Failure      Pulmonary***        Sudden Death
        28 (62.2%)         21 (23.9%)          18 (39.1%)


        Myocardial
                          Renal Failure         Unknown
        Infarction
                           11 (12.5%)          18 (39.1%)
        6 (13.3%)


        Endocarditis        Cancer               Other
         3 (6.7%)          10 (11.4%)          10 (21.7%)


           Other*             Stroke         Other * = Arrhythmia, cardiac arrest
         8 (17.8%)          9 (10.2%)        Other** = Sepsis, vascular access related, major
                                             bleeding, infection, suicide, and multiple organ failure
                                             Pulmonary***= Respiratory Failure, Pulmonary
                         Gastrointestinal    Embolism and Pneumonia
                            5 (5.6%)


                            Other**
                           32 (36.4%)

15
Influence of EuroSCORE - Cohort 1 –
     EuroSCORE as predictor of 30 Day Mortality




16
Univariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TA)
                                                             95% Lower    95% Upper
                                                    Hazard   Confidence   Confidence      Number of
     Variable                             P-Value    Ratio     Limit        Limit      Observations Used   Deaths
     Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10)     <.0001    1.2122     1.1145       1.3186           574            167

     Renal insufficiency / Failure        0.0005    1.7205     1.2671       2.3362           575            168

     EuroSCORE >= 30                      0.0008    1.6851     1.2433       2.2840           574            167

     Liver disease                        0.0046    2.5271     1.3315       4.7963           575            168

     Other                                0.0051    1.6872     1.1703       2.4323           575            168

     None                                 0.0126    0.5365     0.3289       0.8749           575            168

     Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%)   0.0158    0.5549     0.3439       0.8952           575            168

     Coronary Artery Disease              0.0212    1.4456     1.0566       1.9779           575            168

     EuroSCORE >= 20                      0.0227    1.5292     1.0612       2.2036           574            167

     Cardiomyopathy                       0.0329    2.4306     1.0746       5.4974           575            168

     PTCA / stent                         0.0467    1.3871     1.0048       1.9148           575            168




17
Univariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TF)
                                                                95% Lower    95% Upper
                                                       Hazard   Confidence   Confidence      Number of
     Variable                                P-Value    Ratio     Limit        Limit      Observations Used Deaths

     NYHA Class IV                           0.0002    2.4224     1.5272       3.8422           453           93

     Renal insufficiency / Failure           0.0005    2.0948     1.3842       3.1702           459           94

     None                                    0.0012    0.4004     0.2304       0.6957           459           94

     Hyperlipidemia / Hypercholesterolemia   0.0019    0.5065     0.3294       0.7788           459           94

     Systemic Hypertension                   0.0079    0.5774     0.3850       0.8658           459           94

     Mitral valvuloplasty                    0.0079    6.6950     1.6454      27.2410           459           94

     Smoking                                 0.0098    1.8595     1.1616       2.9769           459           94

     Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10)        0.0149    1.1764     1.0322       1.3407           458           94

     Liver disease                           0.0194    2.6851     1.1730       6.1464           459           94

     Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%)      0.0390    0.1255     0.0175       0.9008           459           94




18
Multivariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TA)

                          Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

                                                    Hazard
     Parameter                            P-Value    Ratio   95% Hazard Ratio Confidence Limits

     Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10)     <.0001    1.200        1.098              1.311


     Renal insufficiency / Failure        0.0047    1.592        1.154              2.197


     Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%)   0.0014    0.454        0.280              0.737


     Liver disease                        0.0005    3.154        1.646              6.043


     Other                                0.0345    1.489        1.029              2.153



     *Logistic EuroSCORE is most significant predictor for 1 year mortality in
     transapical patients*

19
Multivariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TF)

                            Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates
                                                       Hazard
     Parameter                               P-Value    Ratio   95% Hazard Ratio Confidence Limits

     NYHA Class IV                           0.0067    1.948         1.203             3.153

     Renal insufficiency / Failure           <.0001    2.382         1.553             3.656

     Hyperlipidemia / Hypercholesterolemia   0.0293    0.602         0.382             0.950

     Systemic Hypertension                   0.0317    0.622         0.403             0.959

     Smoking                                 0.0009    2.268         1.399             3.677

     Mitral valvuloplasty                    0.0040    8.237         1.956             34.690

     Coagulopathy                            0.0073    5.178         1.558             17.208


     *Logisitic EuroSCORE is not a predictor for 1 year mortality in patients
     treated with the transfemoral approach
20
So what is the context for
          these results?




21
30 Day Survival   1 Year Survival
 SOURCE TA ES>20       87.4%             69.3%
 (Mean 36.1%)
 SOURCE TF ES>20       93.1%              81%
 (Mean 33.5%)
22
Historical Comparison –
                                  TAVI Studies Included
     The data/outcomes of all historical monitored EW THV clinical
       studies were pooled to provide a comparator to The
       SOURCE Registry
     “Monitored EW THV clinical trials” means 100% source data
       monitored, Core lab read and CEC adjudicated studies.

                  No. of   TA     TF
     Study                              Dates of Study        Principal Investigators
                  Sites    n=     n=

     REVIVE         9      _      106   Jan 2006 - Dec 2007   H Eltchaninoff

     REVIVAL        4      55     40    Dec 2005 - Feb 2008   W O’Neill, M Leon, C Smith
                                                              T Walther, F Mohr, G Wimmer-
     TRAVERCE       3      172     _    Feb 2007 – Apr 2008
                                                              Greinecker, E Wollner
     PARTNER EU     9      69     61    Apr 2007- Jan 2008    T Lefèvre, G Wimmer-Greinecker



23
24
25
Is there a relationship
       between the logistic
     EuroSCORE and 1 year
            outcomes?



26
Relationship between EuroSCORE
               and Survival




27
Relationship between EuroSCORE
               and Survival




28
TF and TA
       Outcomes in “lower risk” patients




                     SOURCE-TA   SOURCE-TF
     I Yr Survival     78.4%       80.9%




29
Are we learning in terms of the
       who should and who should
             not have TAVI?

     A glimpse into COHORT 2 of the
            SOURCE Registry

30
The SOURCE Registry
                              Timeline
                                          2009             2010   2011
                        Nov 07
     SOURCE COHORT 1

                                 Feb 09          Dec 09
     SOURCE COHORT 2
                        N = 1301 (482 TF/819TA) from 38 centers

             PREVAIL

        SOURCE XT EU

     SOURCE XT Global



31
Baseline Demographics and Risk Factors:
                                   All Cohort 1 vs. All Cohort 2
                                                  ALL         ALL
                                               COHORT 1    COHORT 2
                                                (n=1038)    (n=1301)   P-Value
     Age (yrs)                                   81.2        81.0        NS

     Female                                    576/55.5%   767/59.0%    0.05
     Pulmonary Disease                         286/27.6%   309/23.8%    0.03
     Renal Dysfunction                         305/29.4%   365/28.1%     NS
     Logistic EuroSCORE                        1035/27.6   1297/25.4    0.006
     Peripheral Vascular Disease               210/20.2%   255/19.6%     NS
     Carotid Artery Stenosis (>50%)            132/12.7%   150/11.5%     NS
     Incidence of CAD                          537/51.7%   694/53.3%     NS
     Porcelain Aorta                            86/8.3%    101/7.8%      NS
     Prior CABG                                236/22.7%   262/20.1%     NS
     Mitral valve disease                      257/24.8%   450/34.6%   <0.0001


32          Data Snapshot          5/03/2010
Conclusions
     • Outcomes at 1 year for COHORT 1 of The SOURCE
       Registry show an improvement compared to
       historical controls.
     • Survival for the TF approach is now >80%.
     • There has been a marked improvement in the TA
       outcomes with survival now similar to historical
       TF results.
     • Lower risk TA (<20% euroscore) patients have the
       same 1 year outcome as TF.
     • Univariant and multivariant analysis of the
       COHORT 1 dataset should allow work to start on
       the development of a TAVI risk score.
33
Conclusions
     • COHORT 1 outcomes provide a benchmark against
       which future TAVI cohorts may be measured.
     • The lower risk profile of COHORT 2 patients may
       lead to further improvement in 1 year outcomes.
     • If the lower profile SAPIEN XT delivery systems
       result in lower vascular complications this should
       result in further improvement in 1 year survival.
       This will be tested in The SOURCE XT Registry.




34

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Source

  • 1. The SOURCE Family of Registries 1 Year Results from Cohort 1 of the SOURCE Registry The European Registry of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation using the Edwards SAPIEN Valve Martyn Thomas, MD , Gerhard Schymik, MD, Thomas Walther, MD, Dominique Himbert, MD, Thierry Lefèvre, MD, Hendrik Treede, MD, Holger Eggebrecht, MD, Paolo Rubino, MD, Iassen Michev, MD, Rüdiger Lange, MD and Olaf Wendler, MD on behalf of the SOURCE investigators
  • 2. Potential Conflicts of Interest Speaker’s name: Dr Martyn Thomas I have the following potential conflicts of interest to report: Research contracts Consulting for Edwards Lifesciences Employment in industry Stockholder of a healthcare company Owner of a healthcare company Other(s) I do not have any potential conflict of interest 2
  • 3. Background • Trans-catheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI) is an alternative to open surgery in patients considered to be at high risk for the standard procedure. • Cohort 1 of The SOURCE Registry describes the outcomes in a consecutive group of patients treated in 32 European centres during the first year of commercialisation of the Edwards SAPIEN Valve from Nov 07 to Jan 31st 09. 3
  • 4. The SOURCE Family of Registries Timeline 2009 2010 2011 Nov 07 SOURCE COHORT 1 SOURCE COHORT 2 PREVAIL SOURCE XT EU SOURCE XT Global 4
  • 5. Methods: EuroPCR 09 34 Centres Initially Participating in Commercial Launch 1123 patients Excluded: Included: 2 Centres / 85 patients 32 centres • Unable to obtain Ethic Cte approval • Unable to secure administrative support 1038 patients • One missing patient due to admin. error We now present 1 year data that represents systematic follow-up on 98% of EuroPCR The SOURCE Registry has 100% procedure data implanted patients. 99.9% 30 Day Data 98% 30 day data 2010 All consecutively enrolled 5
  • 6. The SOURCE Registry Enrollment Site Name Pts Site Name Pts Karlsruhe/Städisches Klinikum + Herzklinik – 89 Rouen/CHU – H Eltchaninoff, JP Bessou 31 G Schymik, H Schroefel Leipzig/Herzzentrum - T Walther, G Schuler 87 Madrid/S Carlos – C Macaya, E Rodriguez 31 London/St Thomas’ + King’s -M Thomas, O Wendler 75 Bern/Inselspital- P Wenaweser, T Carrel 31 Paris/Bichat – D Himbert, P Nataf 56 Münster – H Baumgartner, H Reinecke 30 Massy/Jacques Cartier - T Lefèvre, M Romano 51 Jena/Uniklinik – K Hekmat, M Ferrari 26 Hamburg/Uniklink- H Treede, O Franzen 48 Lund/Universitetssjukhuset – G Olivecrona, P Johnsson 23 Essen/Uniklinik – H Eggebrecht, M Thielmann 47 Bruxelles/St Luc – P Astarci, J Kefer 21 Mercogliano/Clinica Montevergine-P Rubino, G Sorrogpago 47 San Sebastian/Gipuzkoa – J Goiti, M Larman 20 Milan/S Raff – I Michev, F Maisano 41 Leuven/Gasthuisberg – C Dubois, P Herijgers 17 Munich/DHZ – R Lange 41 Frankfurt/Uniklinik –V Schächinger, M Doss 15 Athens/Onassis – K Spargias, G Stavridis 36 London/Brompton – M Mullen, N Moat 12 Milan/Monzino – P Bigliogli, M Fusari 35 Innsbruck/Uniklinik – L Mueller, T Bartel 10 Paris/HEGP – D Blanchard, JN Fabiani 34 Lübeck/Uniklinik – ED Kraatz, H Sier 8 Aarhus/Skejby- HR Andersen, KE Klaaborg 34 Cambridge/Papworth – C Densem, P Calvert 8 Zurich/KlinikimPark+Hirslanden- W Amann, F Bernet 34 TOTAL 1038 6
  • 7. Baseline Demographics and Risk Factors TF TA (n=463) (n=575) P-Value Age (yrs) 81.7 80.7 0.022 Female 55.1% 55.8% NS Pulmonary Disease 24.6% 29.9% NS Renal Dysfunction 25.5% 32.5% 0.016 Logistic EuroSCORE 25.8 29.0 0.007 Peripheral Vascular Disease 10.6% 28.0% <0.001 Carotid Artery Stenosis (>50%) 7.1% 17.2% <0.001 Incidence of CAD 47.5% 55.1% 0.020 Porcelain Aorta 4.5% 11.3% 0.001 Prior CABG 17.5% 27.0% 0.003 Mitral valve disease 15.8% 32.0% <0.001 7 Data Snapshot 5/03/2010
  • 8. Major Complications (≤ 30 Days) To give Context of Early v Late Events TF (n=463) TA (n=575) Total (n=1038) Death 6.3% 10.8% 8.8% Stroke 2.6% 2.4% 2.5% Renal Failure 1.3% 7.0% 4.4% Requiring Dialysis Permanent 6.0% 7.7% 6.9% Pacemaker 8 Data Snapshot 5/03/10
  • 9.
  • 10. SOURCE: COHORT 1 1 Year Survival (All Approaches) 10
  • 11. All Data as KM Curves Cohort 1: 1 YR (Events: Late) Freedom From: Stroke, PM, MI 11
  • 12. SOURCE vs Normal Elderly Population Cause of Late Stroke (30 Days to 1 Year) Type of Stroke (Total =19 patients) n/% SOURCE HEMORRHAGIC (n=4/19) 4/21.1% Mean (days to adverse event ) 176 Median (days to adverse event ) 167 NORMAL ELDERLY POPULATION* 13% SOURCE NON-HEMORRHAGIC (n=13/19) 13/68.4% Mean (days to adverse event ) 163 Median (days to adverse event ) 117 NORMAL ELDERLY POPULATION* 87% SOURCE UNKNOWN (n=2) 2/10.5% Mean (days to adverse event) 158 Median (days to adverse event ) 158 *Lloyd-Jones D, et al. Executive summary: heart disease and stroke statistics--2010 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2010 Feb 23;121(7):948-54. Erratum in: Circulation. 2010 Mar 30;121(12):e259. 12
  • 13. All Data as KM Curves Cohort 1: 1 YR (Events: Late) Freedom From: Vascular Complication, Endocarditis, and Re-Operation 13
  • 14. Early Vascular Access Complications Relationship to 1 Year Mortality (NB 22/24F Device) % Survival in Pts who did % Survival in Pts who did Approach not have vascular access have vascular access P-Value complications complications TF 83.9% 72.2% 0.0121 TA 73.2% 47.4% 0.0188 14
  • 15. ALL 179 Causes of Death 30 Days to 1 Year Cardiac 45 (25.1%) Non Cardiac 88 (49.2%) Unknown 46 (25.7%) ALL Heart Failure Pulmonary*** Sudden Death 28 (62.2%) 21 (23.9%) 18 (39.1%) Myocardial Renal Failure Unknown Infarction 11 (12.5%) 18 (39.1%) 6 (13.3%) Endocarditis Cancer Other 3 (6.7%) 10 (11.4%) 10 (21.7%) Other* Stroke Other * = Arrhythmia, cardiac arrest 8 (17.8%) 9 (10.2%) Other** = Sepsis, vascular access related, major bleeding, infection, suicide, and multiple organ failure Pulmonary***= Respiratory Failure, Pulmonary Gastrointestinal Embolism and Pneumonia 5 (5.6%) Other** 32 (36.4%) 15
  • 16. Influence of EuroSCORE - Cohort 1 – EuroSCORE as predictor of 30 Day Mortality 16
  • 17. Univariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TA) 95% Lower 95% Upper Hazard Confidence Confidence Number of Variable P-Value Ratio Limit Limit Observations Used Deaths Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10) <.0001 1.2122 1.1145 1.3186 574 167 Renal insufficiency / Failure 0.0005 1.7205 1.2671 2.3362 575 168 EuroSCORE >= 30 0.0008 1.6851 1.2433 2.2840 574 167 Liver disease 0.0046 2.5271 1.3315 4.7963 575 168 Other 0.0051 1.6872 1.1703 2.4323 575 168 None 0.0126 0.5365 0.3289 0.8749 575 168 Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%) 0.0158 0.5549 0.3439 0.8952 575 168 Coronary Artery Disease 0.0212 1.4456 1.0566 1.9779 575 168 EuroSCORE >= 20 0.0227 1.5292 1.0612 2.2036 574 167 Cardiomyopathy 0.0329 2.4306 1.0746 5.4974 575 168 PTCA / stent 0.0467 1.3871 1.0048 1.9148 575 168 17
  • 18. Univariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TF) 95% Lower 95% Upper Hazard Confidence Confidence Number of Variable P-Value Ratio Limit Limit Observations Used Deaths NYHA Class IV 0.0002 2.4224 1.5272 3.8422 453 93 Renal insufficiency / Failure 0.0005 2.0948 1.3842 3.1702 459 94 None 0.0012 0.4004 0.2304 0.6957 459 94 Hyperlipidemia / Hypercholesterolemia 0.0019 0.5065 0.3294 0.7788 459 94 Systemic Hypertension 0.0079 0.5774 0.3850 0.8658 459 94 Mitral valvuloplasty 0.0079 6.6950 1.6454 27.2410 459 94 Smoking 0.0098 1.8595 1.1616 2.9769 459 94 Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10) 0.0149 1.1764 1.0322 1.3407 458 94 Liver disease 0.0194 2.6851 1.1730 6.1464 459 94 Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%) 0.0390 0.1255 0.0175 0.9008 459 94 18
  • 19. Multivariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TA) Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates Hazard Parameter P-Value Ratio 95% Hazard Ratio Confidence Limits Scaled Logistic EuroSCORE (%/10) <.0001 1.200 1.098 1.311 Renal insufficiency / Failure 0.0047 1.592 1.154 2.197 Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%) 0.0014 0.454 0.280 0.737 Liver disease 0.0005 3.154 1.646 6.043 Other 0.0345 1.489 1.029 2.153 *Logistic EuroSCORE is most significant predictor for 1 year mortality in transapical patients* 19
  • 20. Multivariate Analysis – 1YR Mortality (TF) Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates Hazard Parameter P-Value Ratio 95% Hazard Ratio Confidence Limits NYHA Class IV 0.0067 1.948 1.203 3.153 Renal insufficiency / Failure <.0001 2.382 1.553 3.656 Hyperlipidemia / Hypercholesterolemia 0.0293 0.602 0.382 0.950 Systemic Hypertension 0.0317 0.622 0.403 0.959 Smoking 0.0009 2.268 1.399 3.677 Mitral valvuloplasty 0.0040 8.237 1.956 34.690 Coagulopathy 0.0073 5.178 1.558 17.208 *Logisitic EuroSCORE is not a predictor for 1 year mortality in patients treated with the transfemoral approach 20
  • 21. So what is the context for these results? 21
  • 22. 30 Day Survival 1 Year Survival SOURCE TA ES>20 87.4% 69.3% (Mean 36.1%) SOURCE TF ES>20 93.1% 81% (Mean 33.5%) 22
  • 23. Historical Comparison – TAVI Studies Included The data/outcomes of all historical monitored EW THV clinical studies were pooled to provide a comparator to The SOURCE Registry “Monitored EW THV clinical trials” means 100% source data monitored, Core lab read and CEC adjudicated studies. No. of TA TF Study Dates of Study Principal Investigators Sites n= n= REVIVE 9 _ 106 Jan 2006 - Dec 2007 H Eltchaninoff REVIVAL 4 55 40 Dec 2005 - Feb 2008 W O’Neill, M Leon, C Smith T Walther, F Mohr, G Wimmer- TRAVERCE 3 172 _ Feb 2007 – Apr 2008 Greinecker, E Wollner PARTNER EU 9 69 61 Apr 2007- Jan 2008 T Lefèvre, G Wimmer-Greinecker 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. Is there a relationship between the logistic EuroSCORE and 1 year outcomes? 26
  • 29. TF and TA Outcomes in “lower risk” patients SOURCE-TA SOURCE-TF I Yr Survival 78.4% 80.9% 29
  • 30. Are we learning in terms of the who should and who should not have TAVI? A glimpse into COHORT 2 of the SOURCE Registry 30
  • 31. The SOURCE Registry Timeline 2009 2010 2011 Nov 07 SOURCE COHORT 1 Feb 09 Dec 09 SOURCE COHORT 2 N = 1301 (482 TF/819TA) from 38 centers PREVAIL SOURCE XT EU SOURCE XT Global 31
  • 32. Baseline Demographics and Risk Factors: All Cohort 1 vs. All Cohort 2 ALL ALL COHORT 1 COHORT 2 (n=1038) (n=1301) P-Value Age (yrs) 81.2 81.0 NS Female 576/55.5% 767/59.0% 0.05 Pulmonary Disease 286/27.6% 309/23.8% 0.03 Renal Dysfunction 305/29.4% 365/28.1% NS Logistic EuroSCORE 1035/27.6 1297/25.4 0.006 Peripheral Vascular Disease 210/20.2% 255/19.6% NS Carotid Artery Stenosis (>50%) 132/12.7% 150/11.5% NS Incidence of CAD 537/51.7% 694/53.3% NS Porcelain Aorta 86/8.3% 101/7.8% NS Prior CABG 236/22.7% 262/20.1% NS Mitral valve disease 257/24.8% 450/34.6% <0.0001 32 Data Snapshot 5/03/2010
  • 33. Conclusions • Outcomes at 1 year for COHORT 1 of The SOURCE Registry show an improvement compared to historical controls. • Survival for the TF approach is now >80%. • There has been a marked improvement in the TA outcomes with survival now similar to historical TF results. • Lower risk TA (<20% euroscore) patients have the same 1 year outcome as TF. • Univariant and multivariant analysis of the COHORT 1 dataset should allow work to start on the development of a TAVI risk score. 33
  • 34. Conclusions • COHORT 1 outcomes provide a benchmark against which future TAVI cohorts may be measured. • The lower risk profile of COHORT 2 patients may lead to further improvement in 1 year outcomes. • If the lower profile SAPIEN XT delivery systems result in lower vascular complications this should result in further improvement in 1 year survival. This will be tested in The SOURCE XT Registry. 34