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Proforma for empirical studies[1]
Sampling                    Measures
sample origin               name or description of
sampling procedure            stressor measures
statistical checks on the   name or description of
  representatives of the      outcome measures
  sample                    reliability of measures
testing for response bias   validity of measures
sample size and             time of measurement
  response rate


                  1
Proforma for empirical studies[2]

Design                          Results
rationale for the design used   main findings
 specific features of the       effect sizes
   design                       statistical probabilities
Analysis                        Research source
 type of analysis               who commissioned the
                                  research
 variables controlled for       who conducted the
 subject to variable ratio        research


                    2
Minimum quality criteria –
questions 2, 3 & 4
Design
RCT
Full field experiment
Quasi-experimental design
Longitudinal study
Cross sectional studies only included if no other
  evidence from above



                  3
4
5
Summarizing evidence

What does the evidence say?
Consistency of evidence?
Quality of evidence
Quantity of evidence (avoiding double
 counting)




               6
Conclusions[1]

No evidence of a relationship vs evidence of no
  relationship (what does an absence of
  evidence mean?)
Effect sizes small for single stressors – maybe
  asking wrong questions
Small amount of evidence that allows for causal
  inference
Almost all evidence relates to subjective
  measure



                 7
What are the problems and issues of using SR in
Management and Organisational Studies
(MOS)?
The Nature of Management and Organisational
Studies (MOS)

Fragmentation:
 •  Highly differentiated field by function/by discipline. Huge variety
    of methods, ragged boundaries, unclear quality criteria.
Divergence:
 •  Relentless interest addressing ‘new’ problems with ‘new’ studies.
    Little replication and consolidation. Single studies, particularly
    those with small sample sizes, rarely provide adequate evidence
    to enable any conclusions to be drawn.
Utility:
 •  Little concern with practical application. Research is not the only
    kind of evidence… and research is currently only a minor factor
    shaping management practice. But research has some particular
    qualities that make it a valuable source of evidence.
Does MOS produce usable evidence?

Research Culture: Increasingly standardized / positivist assumptions
Nature of contributions: Quantitative, theoretical, qualitative
Orientation: Questions focusing on covariations among dependent and
   independent variables
Consensus over questions: Low (little replication)
Context sensitivity: Findings are unique to certain subjects and
   circumstances.
Complexity: Interventions / outcomes are often multiple and competing
Researcher bias: Research will inevitably involve judgement,
   interpretation and theorizing
Managers often want answers to complex
problems. Can academia help with these
questions? Could they be addressed through
synthesis?
RESEARCH SYNTHESIS
What does synthesis mean in MOS?

Analysis,
 •  “…is the job of systematically breaking down something into its
    constituent parts and describing how they relate to each other – it is
    not random dissection but a methodological examination”

 •  Is the aim is to extract key data, ideas, theories, concepts [arguments]
    and methodological assumptions from the literature?

Synthesis,
 •  “…is the act of making connections between the parts identified in
    analysis. It is about recasting the information into a new or different
    arrangement. That arrangement should show connections and
    patterns that have not been produced previously”


                                                    (Hart, 1998: p.110)
The example of management and
leadership development
Does leadership development work?

What do we know?

What is the ‘best’ research evidence available?

How can this evidence be ‘put together’?

What are the strengths and weaknesses of different
  approaches to synthesis?
Evidence-based?

Key Note estimates that employer expenditure
  on off-the-job training in the UK amounted to
  £19.93bn in 2009

80% of HRD professionals believe that training
  and development deliver more value to their
  organisation than they are able to demonstrate
  (CIPD 2006).
Van Buren & Erskine, 2002 (building on
Kirkpatrick)
Organizations reported collecting data on:
78% reaction (how participants have reacted to the
  programme)
32% learning (what participants have learnt from the
  programme)
9% behaviour (whether what was learnt is being applied
  on the job)
7% results (whether that application is achieving results)
Tannenbaum
Four Meta-analyses

Burke and Day (1986)
 • 70 studies (management)
Collins and Holton (1996)
 • 83 studies (leadership)
Allinger, Tannenbaum, Bennett, Shortland (1997)
 • 34 studies (training)
Arthur, Bennett and Bell (2003)
 • 165 Studies (training)
Is a meta-analysis [e.g. on leadership
development] the best evidence that we
have ?

Burke and Day’s meta analysis (1986) included 70 published
  studies

All studies included were quasi experimental designs,
   including at least one control group.

Synthesis through statistical meta-analysis
Does management and leadership
development work

Overall, the results suggest a medium to
 large effect size for learning and
 behaviour (largely based on self
 report)
Absence of evidence of impact of
 business impact
Do the results of synthesis create clarity -
or confusion, conflict and controversy?

    “A wide variety of program outcomes are
      reported in the literature – some that are
   effective, but others that are failing. In some
  respects the lessons for practice can be found
  in the wide variance reported in these studies.
   The range of effect sizes clearly shows that it
        is possible to have very large positive
  outcomes, or no outcomes at all” (p. 240/241)


                   (Collins and Holton, 1996: 240/241)
Do the results of synthesis create clarity -
or confusion, conflict and controversy?
    “Organizations should feel comfortable that their
   managerial leadership development programmes will
  produce substantial results, especially if they offer the
  right development programs for the right people at the
       right time. For example, it is important to know
   whether a six-week training session is enough or the
     right approach to develop new competencies that
      change managerial behaviours, or it is individual
        feedback from a supervisor on a weekly basis
     regarding job performance that is most effective?”

                     (Collins and Holton, 1996: 240/241)
We are not medicine….

 "administer 20ccs of leadership
 development and stand well back...”
What other forms of evidence could be included?

How could you conduct the synthesis differently?
What methods of synthesis are available? (1/2)
  Aggregated synthesis              Meta analysis
  Analytic induction                Meta ethnography
  Bayesian meta analysis            Meta narrative mapping
                                    Meta needs assessment
  Case Survey
                                    Meta synthesis
  Comparative case study            Metaphorical analysis
  Constant targeted comparison      Mixed method synthesis
  Content analysis                  Narrative synthesis
  Critical interpretive synthesis   Quasi statistics
                                    Realist synthesis
  Cross design synthesis
                                    Reciprocal analysis
  Framework analysis                Taxonomic analysis
  Grounded theory                   Thematic synthesis
  Hermeneutical analysis            Theory driven synthesis
  Logical analysis
What methods of synthesis are available? (2/2)

 Synthesis by aggregation
  •  extract and combine data from separate studies to increase the
     effective sample size.
 Synthesis by integration
  •  collect and compare evidence from primary studies employing
     two or more data collection methods.
 Synthesis by interpretation
  •  translate key interpretations / meanings from one study to
     another.
 Synthesis by explanation
  •  identify causal mechanisms and how they operate.


                                     (Rousseau, Manning, Denyer, 2008)
Different approaches for different types of
   question
Aggregative or    Integrative e.g. Explanatory e.g.     Integrative e.g.
cumulative e.g.   Meta-ethnography realist synthesis,   Bayesian meta-
meta analysis                      narrative            analysis
                                   synthesis




What works?            In what      Why?                Some combination
                   Circumstances?                           of these
                     For whom?
Explanatory synthesis (Realist)


Move from a focus on….
PICO (medicine)   to      CIMO (social sciences)
Population                Context
Intervention              Intervention
Control                   Mechanism
Outcome                   Outcome
Hypothesise the key contexts


‘Contexts’ are the set of surrounding conditions
  that favour or hinder the programme
  mechanisms

MED - for ‘whom’ and in ‘what circumstances’
 •  (C1) Prior experience
 •  (C2) Prior education
 •  (C3) Prior activities
 •  (C4) Organisational culture
 •  (C5) Industry culture
 •  (C6) Economic environment
 •  C7, C8, C9 etc. etc.
Describe and explain the intervention

The programme itself – content and
 process

 • (i1) topics, models, theories
 • (i2) pedagogical approach
 • (i3) needs assessment
 • (i4) programme design
 • (i5) programme delivery/implementation
 • i6, i7, i8, etc. etc.
Hypothesise key generative
mechanisms
The process of how subjects interpret and act upon the
  intervention is known as the programme ‘mechanism’

Possible mechanisms – MED
 •  (M1) MED might provide qualifications to allow managers to
    compete for jobs
 •  (M2) MED might boost confidence and provide social skills
 •  (M3) MED might increase cognitive skills and allow managers to
    reason through their difficulties
 •  (M4) MED might increase presentational enabling them to
    become better performers
 •  (M5) MED might make people feel valued so enhance their
    commitment to their employer
 •  M5, M6, M7, etc. etc.
Hypothesise the key outcomes

Expected and unexpected outcomes of the programme

MED - for ‘whom’ and in ‘what circumstances’
 •  (O1) Revenue
 •  (O2) Sales
 •  (O3) Promotion
 •  (O4) 360
 •  (O5) Appraisal
 •  (O6) Leave company
 •  O7, O8, O9 etc. etc.
Realist synthesis: an example
Programme - Sex offender registration ('Megan's Law')
Key mechanism - naming and shaming
Range of programmes in different domains:
        •    Naming prostitutes' clients ('outing johns') ..
        •    School 'league tables' (on exam performance, absence rates etc.)
        •    Identification of, and special measures for, 'failing schools'
        •    Hospital 'star ratings' (UK) and mortality and surgeon 'report cards' (US)
        •    Pub-watch' prohibition lists for the exclusion of violent drunks
        •    EC Beach cleanliness standards and 'kite marking'
        •    Local press adverts for poll tax non-payment and council rent arrears
        •    The Community 'Right-to-Know' Act on Environmental Hazards (US)
        •    Car crime indices and car safety reports .
        •    Mandatory (public) arrest for domestic violence
        •    Roadside hoardings naming speeding drivers
        •    Posters naming streets with unlicensed TV watching
        •    Rail company SPAD ratings (signals passed at danger)
        •    EC 'name and shame and fame' initiative on compliance with directives
None of these individual pieces of evidence disclose the secret of
  shaming sanctions
The synthesis gave a in-depth understanding of when shaming
  worked, with what types of subjects and in which circumstances
What is the product of synthesis… laws,
facts, rules or best guesses?

 To what extent do syntheses of
  evidence provide implementation or
  procedural knowledge
 What qualifications and caveats are
  required if the results of syntheses
  are used to inform practice and
  policy
What would a ‘fit for purpose’ approach to review and
synthesis look like?

         ‘Cochrane’ review           ‘MOS’ review?
DISSEMINATION AND USING
SYNTHESES
DISSEMINATION AND
PUBLISHING[1]
Many management journals are probably not
  used to dealing with SRs
International Journal of Management Reviews
In most fields (Cochrane) full reviews published
  only on website – journal and other articles
  summarize
Practitioner publications important
Can review be used to develop guidelines for
  practitioners?
                  37
Databases of reviews: Cochrane
Collaboration, Campbell Collaboration,
EPPI
                           Key learning points for MOS:
                           Two-step process (systematic review
                             and summary) assures both rigour
                             and relevance
                           Systematic review process can deal
                             with different types of question and
                             different forms of evidence.
                             Guiding principles but some
                             flexibility.
                           User involvement in the review
                             process
                           Web-based. Need for consistent
                             templates and navigation
                           Many reviews contain very few studies
                             – but it is still the ‘best evidence’
                             available.
DISSEMINATION AND
PUBLISHING[2]
Many different types of ‘products’ can come from a SR
 •  Summaries
 •  Guidelines
 •  Databases
 •  Teaching and training
 •  Working with clients
 •  Case studies




                      39
WHOSE RESPONSIBILITY IS IT
TO DO SYSTEMATIC
REVIEWS?
Academics don’t see them as relevant (hard to publish,
  emphasis on new empirical work)
Practitioners feel it’s researchers’ job to tell practitioners what
  is known and not known (researchers do not)
Neither academics or practitioners have the training (starting
  here right now!)
Who pays for it?




                        40
IMPLICATIONS OF SRs FOR
ACADEMICS
Less emphasis on
 •  Single studies (they almost never matter)
 •  New empirical work
 •  Narrative reviews
 •  Churning out more and more tiny studies
More emphasis on
 •  Understanding what we already know and do not know
 •  Systematic approaches to reviewing existing research
    findings – and using results to shape research agendas
But requires different teaching, courses, training, incentives
   and reward systems



                       41
CONCLUSIONS[1]

Systematic reviews are the almost the only way of finding out
  what we know, and do not know about a given management
  question or problem
Very important for guiding practice (evidence-based practice)
Very important for guiding future research (SRs effectively
  identify gaps in knowledge)




                      42
CONCLUSIONS[2]

SRs are now used in other areas of practice so why not
  management too?
Without a good understanding of what we know and do not
  know in the management field it is difficult for us to develop
  research or practice




                       43

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Systematic Reviews and Research Synthesis, Part 2

  • 1. Proforma for empirical studies[1] Sampling Measures sample origin name or description of sampling procedure stressor measures statistical checks on the name or description of representatives of the outcome measures sample reliability of measures testing for response bias validity of measures sample size and time of measurement response rate 1
  • 2. Proforma for empirical studies[2] Design Results rationale for the design used main findings specific features of the effect sizes design statistical probabilities Analysis Research source type of analysis who commissioned the research variables controlled for who conducted the subject to variable ratio research 2
  • 3. Minimum quality criteria – questions 2, 3 & 4 Design RCT Full field experiment Quasi-experimental design Longitudinal study Cross sectional studies only included if no other evidence from above 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. 5
  • 6. Summarizing evidence What does the evidence say? Consistency of evidence? Quality of evidence Quantity of evidence (avoiding double counting) 6
  • 7. Conclusions[1] No evidence of a relationship vs evidence of no relationship (what does an absence of evidence mean?) Effect sizes small for single stressors – maybe asking wrong questions Small amount of evidence that allows for causal inference Almost all evidence relates to subjective measure 7
  • 8. What are the problems and issues of using SR in Management and Organisational Studies (MOS)?
  • 9. The Nature of Management and Organisational Studies (MOS) Fragmentation: •  Highly differentiated field by function/by discipline. Huge variety of methods, ragged boundaries, unclear quality criteria. Divergence: •  Relentless interest addressing ‘new’ problems with ‘new’ studies. Little replication and consolidation. Single studies, particularly those with small sample sizes, rarely provide adequate evidence to enable any conclusions to be drawn. Utility: •  Little concern with practical application. Research is not the only kind of evidence… and research is currently only a minor factor shaping management practice. But research has some particular qualities that make it a valuable source of evidence.
  • 10. Does MOS produce usable evidence? Research Culture: Increasingly standardized / positivist assumptions Nature of contributions: Quantitative, theoretical, qualitative Orientation: Questions focusing on covariations among dependent and independent variables Consensus over questions: Low (little replication) Context sensitivity: Findings are unique to certain subjects and circumstances. Complexity: Interventions / outcomes are often multiple and competing Researcher bias: Research will inevitably involve judgement, interpretation and theorizing
  • 11. Managers often want answers to complex problems. Can academia help with these questions? Could they be addressed through synthesis?
  • 13. What does synthesis mean in MOS? Analysis, •  “…is the job of systematically breaking down something into its constituent parts and describing how they relate to each other – it is not random dissection but a methodological examination” •  Is the aim is to extract key data, ideas, theories, concepts [arguments] and methodological assumptions from the literature? Synthesis, •  “…is the act of making connections between the parts identified in analysis. It is about recasting the information into a new or different arrangement. That arrangement should show connections and patterns that have not been produced previously” (Hart, 1998: p.110)
  • 14. The example of management and leadership development Does leadership development work? What do we know? What is the ‘best’ research evidence available? How can this evidence be ‘put together’? What are the strengths and weaknesses of different approaches to synthesis?
  • 15. Evidence-based? Key Note estimates that employer expenditure on off-the-job training in the UK amounted to £19.93bn in 2009 80% of HRD professionals believe that training and development deliver more value to their organisation than they are able to demonstrate (CIPD 2006).
  • 16. Van Buren & Erskine, 2002 (building on Kirkpatrick) Organizations reported collecting data on: 78% reaction (how participants have reacted to the programme) 32% learning (what participants have learnt from the programme) 9% behaviour (whether what was learnt is being applied on the job) 7% results (whether that application is achieving results)
  • 18. Four Meta-analyses Burke and Day (1986) • 70 studies (management) Collins and Holton (1996) • 83 studies (leadership) Allinger, Tannenbaum, Bennett, Shortland (1997) • 34 studies (training) Arthur, Bennett and Bell (2003) • 165 Studies (training)
  • 19. Is a meta-analysis [e.g. on leadership development] the best evidence that we have ? Burke and Day’s meta analysis (1986) included 70 published studies All studies included were quasi experimental designs, including at least one control group. Synthesis through statistical meta-analysis
  • 20. Does management and leadership development work Overall, the results suggest a medium to large effect size for learning and behaviour (largely based on self report) Absence of evidence of impact of business impact
  • 21. Do the results of synthesis create clarity - or confusion, conflict and controversy? “A wide variety of program outcomes are reported in the literature – some that are effective, but others that are failing. In some respects the lessons for practice can be found in the wide variance reported in these studies. The range of effect sizes clearly shows that it is possible to have very large positive outcomes, or no outcomes at all” (p. 240/241) (Collins and Holton, 1996: 240/241)
  • 22. Do the results of synthesis create clarity - or confusion, conflict and controversy? “Organizations should feel comfortable that their managerial leadership development programmes will produce substantial results, especially if they offer the right development programs for the right people at the right time. For example, it is important to know whether a six-week training session is enough or the right approach to develop new competencies that change managerial behaviours, or it is individual feedback from a supervisor on a weekly basis regarding job performance that is most effective?” (Collins and Holton, 1996: 240/241)
  • 23. We are not medicine…. "administer 20ccs of leadership development and stand well back...”
  • 24. What other forms of evidence could be included? How could you conduct the synthesis differently?
  • 25. What methods of synthesis are available? (1/2) Aggregated synthesis Meta analysis Analytic induction Meta ethnography Bayesian meta analysis Meta narrative mapping Meta needs assessment Case Survey Meta synthesis Comparative case study Metaphorical analysis Constant targeted comparison Mixed method synthesis Content analysis Narrative synthesis Critical interpretive synthesis Quasi statistics Realist synthesis Cross design synthesis Reciprocal analysis Framework analysis Taxonomic analysis Grounded theory Thematic synthesis Hermeneutical analysis Theory driven synthesis Logical analysis
  • 26. What methods of synthesis are available? (2/2) Synthesis by aggregation •  extract and combine data from separate studies to increase the effective sample size. Synthesis by integration •  collect and compare evidence from primary studies employing two or more data collection methods. Synthesis by interpretation •  translate key interpretations / meanings from one study to another. Synthesis by explanation •  identify causal mechanisms and how they operate. (Rousseau, Manning, Denyer, 2008)
  • 27. Different approaches for different types of question Aggregative or Integrative e.g. Explanatory e.g. Integrative e.g. cumulative e.g. Meta-ethnography realist synthesis, Bayesian meta- meta analysis narrative analysis synthesis What works? In what Why? Some combination Circumstances? of these For whom?
  • 28. Explanatory synthesis (Realist) Move from a focus on…. PICO (medicine) to CIMO (social sciences) Population Context Intervention Intervention Control Mechanism Outcome Outcome
  • 29. Hypothesise the key contexts ‘Contexts’ are the set of surrounding conditions that favour or hinder the programme mechanisms MED - for ‘whom’ and in ‘what circumstances’ •  (C1) Prior experience •  (C2) Prior education •  (C3) Prior activities •  (C4) Organisational culture •  (C5) Industry culture •  (C6) Economic environment •  C7, C8, C9 etc. etc.
  • 30. Describe and explain the intervention The programme itself – content and process • (i1) topics, models, theories • (i2) pedagogical approach • (i3) needs assessment • (i4) programme design • (i5) programme delivery/implementation • i6, i7, i8, etc. etc.
  • 31. Hypothesise key generative mechanisms The process of how subjects interpret and act upon the intervention is known as the programme ‘mechanism’ Possible mechanisms – MED •  (M1) MED might provide qualifications to allow managers to compete for jobs •  (M2) MED might boost confidence and provide social skills •  (M3) MED might increase cognitive skills and allow managers to reason through their difficulties •  (M4) MED might increase presentational enabling them to become better performers •  (M5) MED might make people feel valued so enhance their commitment to their employer •  M5, M6, M7, etc. etc.
  • 32. Hypothesise the key outcomes Expected and unexpected outcomes of the programme MED - for ‘whom’ and in ‘what circumstances’ •  (O1) Revenue •  (O2) Sales •  (O3) Promotion •  (O4) 360 •  (O5) Appraisal •  (O6) Leave company •  O7, O8, O9 etc. etc.
  • 33. Realist synthesis: an example Programme - Sex offender registration ('Megan's Law') Key mechanism - naming and shaming Range of programmes in different domains: •  Naming prostitutes' clients ('outing johns') .. •  School 'league tables' (on exam performance, absence rates etc.) •  Identification of, and special measures for, 'failing schools' •  Hospital 'star ratings' (UK) and mortality and surgeon 'report cards' (US) •  Pub-watch' prohibition lists for the exclusion of violent drunks •  EC Beach cleanliness standards and 'kite marking' •  Local press adverts for poll tax non-payment and council rent arrears •  The Community 'Right-to-Know' Act on Environmental Hazards (US) •  Car crime indices and car safety reports . •  Mandatory (public) arrest for domestic violence •  Roadside hoardings naming speeding drivers •  Posters naming streets with unlicensed TV watching •  Rail company SPAD ratings (signals passed at danger) •  EC 'name and shame and fame' initiative on compliance with directives None of these individual pieces of evidence disclose the secret of shaming sanctions The synthesis gave a in-depth understanding of when shaming worked, with what types of subjects and in which circumstances
  • 34. What is the product of synthesis… laws, facts, rules or best guesses? To what extent do syntheses of evidence provide implementation or procedural knowledge What qualifications and caveats are required if the results of syntheses are used to inform practice and policy
  • 35. What would a ‘fit for purpose’ approach to review and synthesis look like? ‘Cochrane’ review ‘MOS’ review?
  • 37. DISSEMINATION AND PUBLISHING[1] Many management journals are probably not used to dealing with SRs International Journal of Management Reviews In most fields (Cochrane) full reviews published only on website – journal and other articles summarize Practitioner publications important Can review be used to develop guidelines for practitioners? 37
  • 38. Databases of reviews: Cochrane Collaboration, Campbell Collaboration, EPPI Key learning points for MOS: Two-step process (systematic review and summary) assures both rigour and relevance Systematic review process can deal with different types of question and different forms of evidence. Guiding principles but some flexibility. User involvement in the review process Web-based. Need for consistent templates and navigation Many reviews contain very few studies – but it is still the ‘best evidence’ available.
  • 39. DISSEMINATION AND PUBLISHING[2] Many different types of ‘products’ can come from a SR •  Summaries •  Guidelines •  Databases •  Teaching and training •  Working with clients •  Case studies 39
  • 40. WHOSE RESPONSIBILITY IS IT TO DO SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS? Academics don’t see them as relevant (hard to publish, emphasis on new empirical work) Practitioners feel it’s researchers’ job to tell practitioners what is known and not known (researchers do not) Neither academics or practitioners have the training (starting here right now!) Who pays for it? 40
  • 41. IMPLICATIONS OF SRs FOR ACADEMICS Less emphasis on •  Single studies (they almost never matter) •  New empirical work •  Narrative reviews •  Churning out more and more tiny studies More emphasis on •  Understanding what we already know and do not know •  Systematic approaches to reviewing existing research findings – and using results to shape research agendas But requires different teaching, courses, training, incentives and reward systems 41
  • 42. CONCLUSIONS[1] Systematic reviews are the almost the only way of finding out what we know, and do not know about a given management question or problem Very important for guiding practice (evidence-based practice) Very important for guiding future research (SRs effectively identify gaps in knowledge) 42
  • 43. CONCLUSIONS[2] SRs are now used in other areas of practice so why not management too? Without a good understanding of what we know and do not know in the management field it is difficult for us to develop research or practice 43