SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  18
Russian internet: Economics and investor perception Alexander Balakhnin OOO Goldman Sachs Bank +7 (495) 645 4016 [email_address] The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. May 2011 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification, see the end of the text. Other important disclosures follow the Reg AC certification, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html.  Analysts employed by non-US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S. Goldman Sachs Research
Key internet activities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Goldman Sachs Research
Drivers of internet properties’ success ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Goldman Sachs Research .
How are properties monetized? Internet monetization matrix Source: Goldman Sachs Research
Need to be an innovative leader to exist Internet properties’ survival cycle ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates
Reasons for high bargaining power of internet properties Source: Goldman Sachs Research  Monetization is negative for business long term and hence inventory supply is managed wisely Supply is less competitive than it may look Competition risks are imminent for internet  properties; but it is difficult to replicate somebody’s  success Start - ups hit ratio is close to zero
Case study: Economics of success Cash flow generation of Odnoklassniki and VKontakte ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research . Odnoklassniki (US$ mn) Vkontakte (US$ mn)
Mail.ru profitability and cost structure Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates Profitability structure (2010) Cost structure (2010)
Odnoklassniki profitability and cost structure Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates Profitability structure (2010) Costs structure (2010)
Internet advertising geared to GDP growth Advertising market drivers Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates Russian GDP  growth Advertising  penetration growth Internet share  growth Russian GDP is growing  rapidly on the back of  high resource prices  and booming domestic  consumer demand Growing middle class  and economic growth  increase advertising  spending as a share of  GDP Internet share in total  advertising budgets  increases as internet  penetration expands
Internet advertising will benefit from GDP and penetration growth Source: IMF, ITU, Zenith Optimedia, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Advertising spend per capita (y-axis) vs GDP per capita  (x-axis US$) Ad spend as a share of GDP (y-axis) vs GDP per capita  (x-axis, US$) Advertising spending in Europe, split by media Internet as a share of ad budget vs broadband penetration
Moscow is primary target for advertisers Yet regions becoming more attractive ,[object Object],[object Object],Source: GKS, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Disposable income per capita (2010E, monthly, Rub ‘000) Regional disposable income
GDP growth, expansion in the regions will drive internet advertising spending Internet ad spend, internet as a share of total ad spend Source: Zenith Optimedia, GroupM, CIA World Factbook, Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Split between contextual and display advertising in Russia Search as a share of GDP Regions’ share in local SE revenues and search requests 12.7 17.6 19.0 25.9 37.1 53.4 72.2 92.4 116.2 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 5.4% 6.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 15.8% 17.6% 19.4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Internet Ad Spend (RUB bn) as a % of total
Reg AC ,[object Object]
Disclosures May 24, 2011
Disclosures Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
Disclosures Regulatory disclosures Disclosures required by United States laws and regulations See company-specific regulatory disclosures above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to in this report: manager or co-manager in a pending transaction; 1% or other ownership; compensation for certain services; types of client relationships; managed/co-managed public offerings in prior periods; directorships; for equity securities, market making and/or specialist role. Goldman Sachs usually makes a market in fixed income securities of issuers discussed in this report and usually deals as a principal in these securities . The following are additional required disclosures:  Ownership and material conflicts of interest : Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts and members of their households from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of coverage.  Analyst compensation : Analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Goldman Sachs, which includes investment banking revenues.  Analyst as officer or director : Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts or members of their households from serving as an officer, director, advisory board member or employee of any company in the analyst's area of coverage.  Non-U.S. Analysts : Non-U.S. analysts may not be associated persons of Goldman Sachs & Co. and therefore may not be subject to NASD Rule 2711/NYSE Rules 472 restrictions on communications with subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by the analysts .  Distribution of ratings : See the distribution of ratings disclosure above.  Price chart:  See the price chart, with changes of ratings and price targets in prior periods, above, or, if electronic format or if with respect to multiple companies which are the subject of this report, on the Goldman Sachs website at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States The following disclosures are those required by the jurisdiction indicated, except to the extent already made above pursuant to United States laws and regulations.  Australia:  This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act.  Canada:  Goldman Sachs & Co. has approved of, and agreed to take responsibility for, this research in Canada if and to the extent it relates to equity securities of Canadian issuers. Analysts may conduct site visits but are prohibited from accepting payment or reimbursement by the company of travel expenses for such visits.  Hong Kong : Further information on the securities of covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained on request from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.  India : Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Limited;  Japan : See below.  Korea:  Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch.  Russia:  Research reports distributed in the Russian Federation are not advertising as defined in the Russian legislation, but are information and analysis not having product promotion as their main purpose and do not provide appraisal within the meaning of the Russian legislation on appraisal activity.  Singapore:  Further information on the covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte. (Company Number: 198602165W).  Taiwan:  This material is for reference only and must not be reprinted without permission. Investors should carefully consider their own investment risk. Investment results are the responsibility of the individual investor.  United Kingdom:  Persons who would be categorized as retail clients in the United Kingdom, as such term is defined in the rules of the Financial Services Authority, should read this research in conjunction with prior Goldman Sachs research on the covered companies referred to herein and should refer to the risk warnings that have been sent to them by Goldman Sachs International. A copy of these risks warnings, and a glossary of certain financial terms used in this report, are available from Goldman Sachs International on request .  Brazil : Disclosure information in relation to CVM Instruction 483 is available at http://www.gs.com/worldwide/brazil/gir/index.html. Where applicable, the Brazil-registered analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, as defined in Article 16 of CVM Instruction 483, is the first author named at the beginning of this report, unless indicated otherwise at the end of the text. European Union:  Disclosure information in relation to Article 4 (1) (d) and Article 6 (2) of the European Commission Directive 2003/126/EC is available at http://www.gs.com/client_services/global_investment_research/europeanpolicy.html which states the European Policy for Managing Conflicts of Interest in Connection with Investment Research.
Disclosures Japan:  Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. is a Financial Instrument Dealer under the Financial Instrument and Exchange Law, registered with the Kanto Financial Bureau (Registration No. 69), and is a member of Japan Securities Dealers Association (JSDA) and Financial Futures Association of Japan (FFAJ). Sales and purchase of equities are subject to commission pre-determined with clients plus consumption tax. See company-specific disclosures as to any applicable disclosures required by Japanese stock exchanges, the Japanese Securities Dealers Association or the Japanese Securities Finance Company . Ratings, coverage groups and views and related definitions Buy (B), Neutral (N), Sell (S)  – Analysts recommend stocks as Buys or Sells for inclusion on various regional Investment Lists. Being assigned a Buy or Sell on an Investment List is determined by a stock’s return potential relative to its coverage group as described below.  Any stock not assigned as a Buy or a Sell on an Investment List is deemed Neutral. Each regional Investment Review Committee manages various regional Investment Lists to a global guideline of 25%-35% of stocks as Buy and 10%-15% of stocks as Sell; however, the distribution of Buys and Sells in any particular coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return. Return potential  represents the price differential between the current share price and the price target expected during the time horizon associated with the price target.  Price targets are required for all covered stocks. The return potential, price target and associated time horizon are stated in each report adding or reiterating an Investment List membership. Coverage groups and views:  A list of all stocks in each coverage group is available by primary analyst, stock and coverage group at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. The analyst assigns one of the following coverage views  which represents the analyst’s investment outlook on the coverage group relative to the group’s historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Attractive (A).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is favorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Neutral (N).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is neutral relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Cautious (C).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is unfavorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.   Not Rated (NR).  The investment rating and target price have been removed pursuant to Goldman Sachs policy when Goldman Sachs is acting in   an advisory   capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving this company and in certain other circumstances . Rating Suspended (RS).  Goldman Sachs Research has suspended the investment rating and price target for this stock, because there is not a sufficient fundamental basis for determining, or there are legal, regulatory or policy constraints around publishing, an investment rating or target. The previous investment rating and price target, if any, are no longer in effect for this stock and should not be relied upon.  Coverage Suspended (CS).  Goldman Sachs has suspended coverage of this company.  Not Covered (NC).  Goldman Sachs does not cover this company.   Not Available or Not Applicable (NA).  The information is not available for display or is not applicable.  Not Meaningful (NM).  The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded. Global product; distributing entities The Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs produces and distributes research products for clients of Goldman Sachs, and pursuant to certain contractual arrangements, on a global basis. Analysts based in Goldman Sachs offices around the world produce equity research on industries and companies, and research on macroeconomics, currencies, commodities and portfolio strategy . Disclosure information is also available at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html or from Research Compliance, 200 West Street, New York, NY 10282. Copyright 2011 Goldman Sachs. No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...Mercer Capital
 
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016Valuation Insights - Q4 2016
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016Duff & Phelps
 
VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree
  	VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree    	VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree
VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree mensa25
 
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the wayDeloitte United States
 
eXp Realty International Corp. (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...
eXp Realty International Corp.  (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...eXp Realty International Corp.  (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...
eXp Realty International Corp. (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...Follow me on Twitter @Stockshaman
 
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003mensa25
 
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for GrowthFrancisco Calzado
 
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014James by CrowdProcess
 
Poland sustains good climate for international business
Poland sustains good climate for international businessPoland sustains good climate for international business
Poland sustains good climate for international businessGrant Thornton
 
Health Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day TwoHealth Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day TwoPwC
 
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021RedChip Companies, Inc.
 

Tendances (18)

The Ideal Proxy Statement
The Ideal Proxy StatementThe Ideal Proxy Statement
The Ideal Proxy Statement
 
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...
 
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016Valuation Insights - Q4 2016
Valuation Insights - Q4 2016
 
VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree
  	VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree    	VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree
VC Investments Q2 ’06 - MoneyTree
 
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way
2014 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Outlook: Innovation leading the way
 
eXp Realty International Corp. (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...
eXp Realty International Corp.  (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...eXp Realty International Corp.  (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...
eXp Realty International Corp. (OTCQB: EXPI): Cloud-Based Real Estate Broker...
 
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003
Venture Capital Investing Maintains Steady Pace in Q3 2003
 
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth
201401 Banking Industry Outlook: Repositioning for Growth
 
WMA Risk Survey 2016
WMA Risk Survey 2016WMA Risk Survey 2016
WMA Risk Survey 2016
 
DeFi Technologies Deck - September 2021
DeFi Technologies Deck - September 2021DeFi Technologies Deck - September 2021
DeFi Technologies Deck - September 2021
 
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014
Pepperdine Private Capital Access Index - Q3 2014
 
Poland sustains good climate for international business
Poland sustains good climate for international businessPoland sustains good climate for international business
Poland sustains good climate for international business
 
DeFi Technologies Deck - November 2021
DeFi Technologies Deck - November 2021DeFi Technologies Deck - November 2021
DeFi Technologies Deck - November 2021
 
NEWT Investor Presentation Feb 2022
NEWT Investor Presentation Feb 2022NEWT Investor Presentation Feb 2022
NEWT Investor Presentation Feb 2022
 
Health Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day TwoHealth Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day Two
 
Wytec Presentation
Wytec PresentationWytec Presentation
Wytec Presentation
 
NEWT Investor Presentation 2022
NEWT Investor Presentation 2022NEWT Investor Presentation 2022
NEWT Investor Presentation 2022
 
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021
Bragg Gaming Group Investor Deck November 2021
 

En vedette

Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrand
Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrandРеклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrand
Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrandCossa
 
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев Глейзер
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев ГлейзерМатематика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев Глейзер
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев ГлейзерNikolay Belousov
 
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011Cossa
 
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр Худолей
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр ХудолейВидеореклама и пара трендов © Александр Худолей
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр ХудолейCossa
 
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011Cossa
 
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...Cossa
 
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Report
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research ReportGoldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Report
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Reportcolebrooke1
 
KKR - Creating Sustainable Value
KKR - Creating Sustainable ValueKKR - Creating Sustainable Value
KKR - Creating Sustainable ValueMariah Sharp
 
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury Brands
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury BrandsSocial Media Best Practices For Luxury Brands
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury BrandsBLACKSTONE DIGITAL AGENCY
 

En vedette (10)

Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrand
Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrandРеклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrand
Реклама Вконтакте. © Илья Перекопский #digibrand
 
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев Глейзер
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев ГлейзерМатематика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев Глейзер
Математика таргетинга. #izso2011. Лев Глейзер
 
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011
Update&Refresh 2011. © Руслан Тагиев. TNS #izso2011
 
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр Худолей
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр ХудолейВидеореклама и пара трендов © Александр Худолей
Видеореклама и пара трендов © Александр Худолей
 
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011
Digital strategy 2011 © Adwatch/Isobar #izso2011
 
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...
Поведенческие технологии для электронной коммерции с оплатой за результат © А...
 
KKR - NOAH14 London
KKR - NOAH14 LondonKKR - NOAH14 London
KKR - NOAH14 London
 
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Report
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research ReportGoldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Report
Goldman Sachs 50 E&P Equity Research Report
 
KKR - Creating Sustainable Value
KKR - Creating Sustainable ValueKKR - Creating Sustainable Value
KKR - Creating Sustainable Value
 
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury Brands
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury BrandsSocial Media Best Practices For Luxury Brands
Social Media Best Practices For Luxury Brands
 

Similaire à Russian internet: Economics and investor perception © Александр Балахнин. Goldman Sachs #izso2011

Pag Alliance Powerpoint
Pag   Alliance PowerpointPag   Alliance Powerpoint
Pag Alliance Powerpointlloydvictor
 
Featured Presentation
Featured PresentationFeatured Presentation
Featured Presentationircornerstone
 
Featured Presentation
Featured PresentationFeatured Presentation
Featured Presentationircornerstone
 
Crude
CrudeCrude
Crudekktv
 
Graydon International
Graydon InternationalGraydon International
Graydon InternationalGertJan1223
 
1 q13 small cap flipbook
1 q13 small cap flipbook1 q13 small cap flipbook
1 q13 small cap flipbookbennettlawrence
 
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website version
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website versionDemand media ir deck 08.08.16 website version
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website versionLeaf Group
 
Csod investor deck second quarter final
Csod investor deck second quarter finalCsod investor deck second quarter final
Csod investor deck second quarter finalircornerstone
 
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdf
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdfchap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdf
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdfAhmedAbasiry
 
International Accounting:Reporting and Disclosure
International Accounting:Reporting and DisclosureInternational Accounting:Reporting and Disclosure
International Accounting:Reporting and DisclosureHelpWithAssignment.com
 
Graydon International
Graydon InternationalGraydon International
Graydon Internationalrtessaro
 
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012esprezo
 
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17Leaf Group
 
Financial Services, Products and Markets Report
Financial Services, Products and Markets ReportFinancial Services, Products and Markets Report
Financial Services, Products and Markets ReportAnkur Aggarwal
 
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018Thomas Farthofer
 
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbookbennettlawrence
 
Financial sponsor program 15 osc
Financial sponsor program 15 oscFinancial sponsor program 15 osc
Financial sponsor program 15 oscKyle Meyer
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016  Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016 Mercer Capital
 

Similaire à Russian internet: Economics and investor perception © Александр Балахнин. Goldman Sachs #izso2011 (20)

Debra Schwartz - Does Big Data Have Any Value on Wall Street? - Data Summit
Debra Schwartz - Does Big Data Have Any Value on Wall Street? - Data SummitDebra Schwartz - Does Big Data Have Any Value on Wall Street? - Data Summit
Debra Schwartz - Does Big Data Have Any Value on Wall Street? - Data Summit
 
Pag Alliance Powerpoint
Pag   Alliance PowerpointPag   Alliance Powerpoint
Pag Alliance Powerpoint
 
Featured Presentation
Featured PresentationFeatured Presentation
Featured Presentation
 
Featured Presentation
Featured PresentationFeatured Presentation
Featured Presentation
 
Crude
CrudeCrude
Crude
 
Graydon International
Graydon InternationalGraydon International
Graydon International
 
1 q13 small cap flipbook
1 q13 small cap flipbook1 q13 small cap flipbook
1 q13 small cap flipbook
 
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website version
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website versionDemand media ir deck 08.08.16 website version
Demand media ir deck 08.08.16 website version
 
Csod investor deck second quarter final
Csod investor deck second quarter finalCsod investor deck second quarter final
Csod investor deck second quarter final
 
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdf
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdfchap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdf
chap5-140502034321-phpapp01.pdf
 
International Accounting:Reporting and Disclosure
International Accounting:Reporting and DisclosureInternational Accounting:Reporting and Disclosure
International Accounting:Reporting and Disclosure
 
Graydon International
Graydon InternationalGraydon International
Graydon International
 
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012
Semifinal Case Solution by Benchmark company at Changellenge Cup Moscow 2012
 
Small Business Cr Seminar Oct 2007
Small Business Cr Seminar Oct 2007Small Business Cr Seminar Oct 2007
Small Business Cr Seminar Oct 2007
 
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17
Leaf Group IR deck_02.27.17
 
Financial Services, Products and Markets Report
Financial Services, Products and Markets ReportFinancial Services, Products and Markets Report
Financial Services, Products and Markets Report
 
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report Outlook 2018
 
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook
1Q13-BLM All Cap Growth Equity Flipbook
 
Financial sponsor program 15 osc
Financial sponsor program 15 oscFinancial sponsor program 15 osc
Financial sponsor program 15 osc
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016  Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: FinTech Industry | Second Quarter 2016
 

Plus de Cossa

БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компании
БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компанииБКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компании
БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компанииCossa
 
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?Cossa
 
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод Skyeng
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод SkyengSkyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод Skyeng
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод SkyengCossa
 
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙ
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙOnetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙ
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙCossa
 
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователем
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователемQuelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователем
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователемCossa
 
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014 microsoft advertising v3 - tom
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014   microsoft advertising v3 - tom15.00 multiscreening russia 2014   microsoft advertising v3 - tom
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014 microsoft advertising v3 - tomCossa
 
Инесса Ишунькина, TNS
Инесса Ишунькина, TNSИнесса Ишунькина, TNS
Инесса Ишунькина, TNSCossa
 
Егор Яковлев, Tvigle
Егор Яковлев, TvigleЕгор Яковлев, Tvigle
Егор Яковлев, TvigleCossa
 
Дмитрий Пашутин, Ivi
Дмитрий Пашутин, IviДмитрий Пашутин, Ivi
Дмитрий Пашутин, IviCossa
 
Продвижение кино в Digital
Продвижение кино в DigitalПродвижение кино в Digital
Продвижение кино в DigitalCossa
 
Онлайн жизнь наших брендов
Онлайн жизнь наших брендовОнлайн жизнь наших брендов
Онлайн жизнь наших брендовCossa
 
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...Cossa
 
Разделяй и властвуй
Разделяй и властвуйРазделяй и властвуй
Разделяй и властвуйCossa
 
Секция Ecommerce
Секция EcommerceСекция Ecommerce
Секция EcommerceCossa
 
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerce
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerceАвтоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerce
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerceCossa
 
Mobile Web vs. Native App
Mobile Web vs. Native AppMobile Web vs. Native App
Mobile Web vs. Native AppCossa
 
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиа
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиаПочему приложения — next big thing для медиа
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиаCossa
 
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафик
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафикНайти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафик
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафикCossa
 
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?Cossa
 
CRM-ретаргетинг
CRM-ретаргетингCRM-ретаргетинг
CRM-ретаргетингCossa
 

Plus de Cossa (20)

БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компании
БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компанииБКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компании
БКС. Performance Digital Marketing для инвестиционной компании
 
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?
Segmento. А где продажи от твоей digital-рекламы?
 
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод Skyeng
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод SkyengSkyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод Skyeng
Skyeng. Как устроен маркетинговый завод Skyeng
 
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙ
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙOnetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙ
Onetwotrip. СУПЕРМАРКЕТ САМОСТОЯТЕЛЬНЫХ ПУТЕШЕСТВИЙ
 
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователем
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователемQuelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователем
Quelle. Эффективная коммуникация с пользователем
 
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014 microsoft advertising v3 - tom
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014   microsoft advertising v3 - tom15.00 multiscreening russia 2014   microsoft advertising v3 - tom
15.00 multiscreening russia 2014 microsoft advertising v3 - tom
 
Инесса Ишунькина, TNS
Инесса Ишунькина, TNSИнесса Ишунькина, TNS
Инесса Ишунькина, TNS
 
Егор Яковлев, Tvigle
Егор Яковлев, TvigleЕгор Яковлев, Tvigle
Егор Яковлев, Tvigle
 
Дмитрий Пашутин, Ivi
Дмитрий Пашутин, IviДмитрий Пашутин, Ivi
Дмитрий Пашутин, Ivi
 
Продвижение кино в Digital
Продвижение кино в DigitalПродвижение кино в Digital
Продвижение кино в Digital
 
Онлайн жизнь наших брендов
Онлайн жизнь наших брендовОнлайн жизнь наших брендов
Онлайн жизнь наших брендов
 
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...
Оценка окупаемости рекламных инвестиций с помощью эконометрического моделиров...
 
Разделяй и властвуй
Разделяй и властвуйРазделяй и властвуй
Разделяй и властвуй
 
Секция Ecommerce
Секция EcommerceСекция Ecommerce
Секция Ecommerce
 
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerce
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerceАвтоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerce
Автоматизация и интегрция email-маркетинга в ecommerce
 
Mobile Web vs. Native App
Mobile Web vs. Native AppMobile Web vs. Native App
Mobile Web vs. Native App
 
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиа
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиаПочему приложения — next big thing для медиа
Почему приложения — next big thing для медиа
 
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафик
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафикНайти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафик
Найти и обезвредить: Как обнаружить черный трафик
 
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?
Programmating Buying — Myth or reality?
 
CRM-ретаргетинг
CRM-ретаргетингCRM-ретаргетинг
CRM-ретаргетинг
 

Russian internet: Economics and investor perception © Александр Балахнин. Goldman Sachs #izso2011

  • 1. Russian internet: Economics and investor perception Alexander Balakhnin OOO Goldman Sachs Bank +7 (495) 645 4016 [email_address] The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. May 2011 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification, see the end of the text. Other important disclosures follow the Reg AC certification, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S. Goldman Sachs Research
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. How are properties monetized? Internet monetization matrix Source: Goldman Sachs Research
  • 5.
  • 6. Reasons for high bargaining power of internet properties Source: Goldman Sachs Research Monetization is negative for business long term and hence inventory supply is managed wisely Supply is less competitive than it may look Competition risks are imminent for internet properties; but it is difficult to replicate somebody’s success Start - ups hit ratio is close to zero
  • 7.
  • 8. Mail.ru profitability and cost structure Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates Profitability structure (2010) Cost structure (2010)
  • 9. Odnoklassniki profitability and cost structure Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates Profitability structure (2010) Costs structure (2010)
  • 10. Internet advertising geared to GDP growth Advertising market drivers Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates Russian GDP growth Advertising penetration growth Internet share growth Russian GDP is growing rapidly on the back of high resource prices and booming domestic consumer demand Growing middle class and economic growth increase advertising spending as a share of GDP Internet share in total advertising budgets increases as internet penetration expands
  • 11. Internet advertising will benefit from GDP and penetration growth Source: IMF, ITU, Zenith Optimedia, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Advertising spend per capita (y-axis) vs GDP per capita (x-axis US$) Ad spend as a share of GDP (y-axis) vs GDP per capita (x-axis, US$) Advertising spending in Europe, split by media Internet as a share of ad budget vs broadband penetration
  • 12.
  • 13. GDP growth, expansion in the regions will drive internet advertising spending Internet ad spend, internet as a share of total ad spend Source: Zenith Optimedia, GroupM, CIA World Factbook, Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Split between contextual and display advertising in Russia Search as a share of GDP Regions’ share in local SE revenues and search requests 12.7 17.6 19.0 25.9 37.1 53.4 72.2 92.4 116.2 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 5.4% 6.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 15.8% 17.6% 19.4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Internet Ad Spend (RUB bn) as a % of total
  • 14.
  • 16. Disclosures Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
  • 17. Disclosures Regulatory disclosures Disclosures required by United States laws and regulations See company-specific regulatory disclosures above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to in this report: manager or co-manager in a pending transaction; 1% or other ownership; compensation for certain services; types of client relationships; managed/co-managed public offerings in prior periods; directorships; for equity securities, market making and/or specialist role. Goldman Sachs usually makes a market in fixed income securities of issuers discussed in this report and usually deals as a principal in these securities . The following are additional required disclosures: Ownership and material conflicts of interest : Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts and members of their households from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of coverage. Analyst compensation : Analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Goldman Sachs, which includes investment banking revenues. Analyst as officer or director : Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts or members of their households from serving as an officer, director, advisory board member or employee of any company in the analyst's area of coverage. Non-U.S. Analysts : Non-U.S. analysts may not be associated persons of Goldman Sachs & Co. and therefore may not be subject to NASD Rule 2711/NYSE Rules 472 restrictions on communications with subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by the analysts . Distribution of ratings : See the distribution of ratings disclosure above. Price chart: See the price chart, with changes of ratings and price targets in prior periods, above, or, if electronic format or if with respect to multiple companies which are the subject of this report, on the Goldman Sachs website at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States The following disclosures are those required by the jurisdiction indicated, except to the extent already made above pursuant to United States laws and regulations. Australia: This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act. Canada: Goldman Sachs & Co. has approved of, and agreed to take responsibility for, this research in Canada if and to the extent it relates to equity securities of Canadian issuers. Analysts may conduct site visits but are prohibited from accepting payment or reimbursement by the company of travel expenses for such visits. Hong Kong : Further information on the securities of covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained on request from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. India : Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Limited; Japan : See below. Korea: Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch. Russia: Research reports distributed in the Russian Federation are not advertising as defined in the Russian legislation, but are information and analysis not having product promotion as their main purpose and do not provide appraisal within the meaning of the Russian legislation on appraisal activity. Singapore: Further information on the covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte. (Company Number: 198602165W). Taiwan: This material is for reference only and must not be reprinted without permission. Investors should carefully consider their own investment risk. Investment results are the responsibility of the individual investor. United Kingdom: Persons who would be categorized as retail clients in the United Kingdom, as such term is defined in the rules of the Financial Services Authority, should read this research in conjunction with prior Goldman Sachs research on the covered companies referred to herein and should refer to the risk warnings that have been sent to them by Goldman Sachs International. A copy of these risks warnings, and a glossary of certain financial terms used in this report, are available from Goldman Sachs International on request .  Brazil : Disclosure information in relation to CVM Instruction 483 is available at http://www.gs.com/worldwide/brazil/gir/index.html. Where applicable, the Brazil-registered analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, as defined in Article 16 of CVM Instruction 483, is the first author named at the beginning of this report, unless indicated otherwise at the end of the text. European Union: Disclosure information in relation to Article 4 (1) (d) and Article 6 (2) of the European Commission Directive 2003/126/EC is available at http://www.gs.com/client_services/global_investment_research/europeanpolicy.html which states the European Policy for Managing Conflicts of Interest in Connection with Investment Research.
  • 18. Disclosures Japan: Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. is a Financial Instrument Dealer under the Financial Instrument and Exchange Law, registered with the Kanto Financial Bureau (Registration No. 69), and is a member of Japan Securities Dealers Association (JSDA) and Financial Futures Association of Japan (FFAJ). Sales and purchase of equities are subject to commission pre-determined with clients plus consumption tax. See company-specific disclosures as to any applicable disclosures required by Japanese stock exchanges, the Japanese Securities Dealers Association or the Japanese Securities Finance Company . Ratings, coverage groups and views and related definitions Buy (B), Neutral (N), Sell (S) – Analysts recommend stocks as Buys or Sells for inclusion on various regional Investment Lists. Being assigned a Buy or Sell on an Investment List is determined by a stock’s return potential relative to its coverage group as described below. Any stock not assigned as a Buy or a Sell on an Investment List is deemed Neutral. Each regional Investment Review Committee manages various regional Investment Lists to a global guideline of 25%-35% of stocks as Buy and 10%-15% of stocks as Sell; however, the distribution of Buys and Sells in any particular coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return. Return potential represents the price differential between the current share price and the price target expected during the time horizon associated with the price target. Price targets are required for all covered stocks. The return potential, price target and associated time horizon are stated in each report adding or reiterating an Investment List membership. Coverage groups and views: A list of all stocks in each coverage group is available by primary analyst, stock and coverage group at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. The analyst assigns one of the following coverage views which represents the analyst’s investment outlook on the coverage group relative to the group’s historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Attractive (A).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is favorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Neutral (N).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is neutral relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Cautious (C).  The investment outlook over the following 12 months is unfavorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.  Not Rated (NR). The investment rating and target price have been removed pursuant to Goldman Sachs policy when Goldman Sachs is acting in an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving this company and in certain other circumstances . Rating Suspended (RS).  Goldman Sachs Research has suspended the investment rating and price target for this stock, because there is not a sufficient fundamental basis for determining, or there are legal, regulatory or policy constraints around publishing, an investment rating or target. The previous investment rating and price target, if any, are no longer in effect for this stock and should not be relied upon. Coverage Suspended (CS).  Goldman Sachs has suspended coverage of this company. Not Covered (NC). Goldman Sachs does not cover this company.  Not Available or Not Applicable (NA).  The information is not available for display or is not applicable. Not Meaningful (NM).  The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded. Global product; distributing entities The Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs produces and distributes research products for clients of Goldman Sachs, and pursuant to certain contractual arrangements, on a global basis. Analysts based in Goldman Sachs offices around the world produce equity research on industries and companies, and research on macroeconomics, currencies, commodities and portfolio strategy . Disclosure information is also available at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html or from Research Compliance, 200 West Street, New York, NY 10282. Copyright 2011 Goldman Sachs. No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc