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The outlook for EU agriculture:
                               .
              Causes, constraints and challenges for
                          productivity

           Sources for growth in agricultural productivity.
                    Research and Development




                            Carlos Mesa López                 1
                            Servicios Técnicos




                            INDEX
1.- Events that happened in the past 30 years.

  Challenges

2.- R & D to these challenges . Productivity and
   Profitability.

3.- Recommendations and Conclusions.

4.- Practical Examples


                            Carlos Mesa López                 2
                            Servicios Técnicos
1.- Events that happened in the
                                  past 30 years.
9 Increased environmental awareness of the Society but no consensus.
  (Kyoto). Climate Change, water and biodiversity.

9 Water crisis.

9 Successive failures of the negotiations of the World Trade Organization.
  (OMC). “The chip in the negotiations is AGRICULTURE”. The obstacles are
  to be found in other business sectors and non-trade issues.

9 Economic and social inequalities far from alleviated in the third world
  increases.

9 Exponential Growth of Population.

9 Economic growth in emerging countries demanding more food and more
  energy consumption.

9 Increased demand and oil prices and gradual depletion of oil reserves and
  thus causing the so-called Climate Change.
                                                 Carlos Mesa López                                                         3
                                                 Servicios Técnicos



        1.- Hechos acontecidos en los
              últimos 30 años..
9   Higher cost in agriculture(fertilizer, electricity, oil, etc..) as a result of rising oil. Since 1995 the prices received by
    farmers in the EU have fallen by almost 14%.

9   The average income of the agricultural sector falls while in the other sectors increases.

9   In 2009 and 2010 more than 12,000 farms (Only in Andalusia) have disappeared..Decline in employment, Activity
    CONTINUITY IN RURAL AREAS., greater depopulation and threatens the very existence of isolated rural villages.

9   For the first time in 2006, the people of the cities surpassed the rural world

9   Weight Loss of Agrarian Society and its production.

9   Paralysis of the Agricultural Research and Development for its lack of profitability.

9   The agricultural sector is not sufficiently appreciated despite their strategic importance.
     9 Ensures the provision of food to consumers Food Safety and Quality
     9 Maintaining the countryside, biodiversity, our landscape and our culture.
     9 We are also essential in the search for alternatives to fossil fuels. Generate biomass.
     9 We are the world's leading source for combating climate change.
     9 Optimize water use and soil preventing desertification and deforestation




                                                 Carlos Mesa López                                                         4
                                                 Servicios Técnicos
Food Challenge

                                                                                                                    9,0


                                                                                                                              billons

                                                                                                              6,5
                                                                                                             6,0




                                                                                                       2,5
                                                                                               1,5
                                                                       1,0
                                                    0,5

                                                    1650              1800                    1900 1950 2000 2050
                                                              Carlos Mesa López                          2006                      5
                                                              Servicios Técnicos




                                         Energy Challenge
                                                     Mundo: Descubrimientos vs Producción
                                                                   Demand
                60


                                                              Peak to Today: 41 años
                50




                40
MM bbls / año




                30                                                                  Demand


                20




                10
                                                                ·
                 0
                  1930         1950                    1970   1980           1990                     2010          2030                2050
                                                                             Año

                         Descubrim ientos pasados                          Descubrim ientos futuros                   Producción



                                                                                         Fuente: Exxon Mobil. BP
                                                              Carlos Mesa López                                                    6
                                                              Servicios Técnicos
Environmental Challenge .
                                                  Climate Change
                                                                                   Environmental impacts
                                              Emisiones de dióxido de carbono por combustible                                                           Emisiones de dióxido de carbono por regiones
                               50                                                                                                           50
                                                Histórico                             Proyección                                                 Economias Desarrolladas    Transición
                                                                                                                                                 Emergentes                 Total




                                                                                                              1000x Millones de toneladas
1000 x Millones de toneladas




                               40                                                                                                           40


                               30                                                                                                           30
                                                                   Total
                               20                                                                                                           20
                                                                                          Petróleo
                               10                                                                 Carbón                                    10

                                                                                   Gas Natural
                                0                                                                                                            0
                                    1970     1980           1990            2002          2015         2025                                      1990        2002          2010          2015   2020   2025
                                                                                       Fuente: Energy Information Administration


                                             CO2 emissions to the atmosphere increased by nearly 25% in 2010 and 60% by
                                             2025
                                             Emerging economies accounted for 68% of the projected increase to 2025



                                                                                        Global Warming
                                                                                        Global Warming
                                                                                             Carlos Mesa López                                                                                         7
                                                                                             Servicios Técnicos




                                                                                            Impact
                                                                                    Global Warming
                                                                                    Climate Change
                                                                                       Food Crisis


                                                                                       Global Alarm

                                                                           Governments respond
                                           Environmental Policies ,Energetics and Food.
                                                   And the policies I + D + I?

                                                                                             Carlos Mesa López                                                                                         8
                                                                                             Servicios Técnicos
R & D to these challenges .
        Productivity and Profitability.
          Factors that influence agricultural
                     productivity.

                               Plant
                               Water
                                Soil



                             Carlos Mesa López                        9
                             Servicios Técnicos




        R & D to these challenges .
        Productivity and Profitability.
                                Plant
-    Seeds of even shorter cycle and higher productivity. New seeds and
     new varieties.
-    + Drought-resistant
-   + Resistant to pests
-   - Need Water
-   + Resistant to salinity.


                         But R & D adapted
                               the territory


                             Carlos Mesa López                       10
                             Servicios Técnicos
R & D to these challenges .
       Productivity and Profitability.
                                   Soil
- Best tillage techniques for soil type
- Techniques to prevent erosion.
- Techniques to avoid desertification
- Techniques that improve soil structure (organic)




                         But R & D adapted
                              the territory


                              Carlos Mesa López      11
                              Servicios Técnicos



       R & D to these challenges .
       Productivity and Profitability.
                                Water
- Techniques to improve water efficiency
- Demand irrigation techniques and efficient .
- Techniques produce MORE AND BETTER with less
   water.


                       But R & D adapted
                           the territory


                              Carlos Mesa López      12
                              Servicios Técnicos
Conclusions and
                 Recommendations
-   Public investment in agriculture has gone from more than 15% of public aid
    to less than 5% in recent years . And the R & D is insignificant . We must
    put agriculture in the spotlight of international policy research and
    development.

-   Strengthen cooperation not only between national research programs, but
    also between the various initiatives driven by the different DGs(DG
    Environment , DG Agri, etc..).

-   We must improve the coordination of agricultural research . It misses the
    dissemination and communication specific to their results and lack critical
    mass.

-   Research could play a greater role if different actors were better integrated
    in the development of programs . In particular, it is essential to involve
    farmers in determining the objectives of the research , in which we must
    actively listening the real needs of the farmers themselves, as well as
    the promotion of applied research and technology transfer

                                Carlos Mesa López                                 13
                                Servicios Técnicos




                  Conclusions and
                 Recommendations
- The European Network for Rural Development and
    the European Technology Platforms provide strategic
    solutions to share and develop good ideas at European
    level , reliable information and practical experience ,
    structuring and reinforcing the production and sharing of
    knowledge.

- Be investigated to meet the challenges of society and
   agricultural needs , creating knowledge networks that
   meet the nutritional needs and emerging needs of
   climate                  and                 energy.


                                Carlos Mesa López                                 14
                                Servicios Técnicos
Practical Examples
Proyect LIFE Doñana Sostenible (LIFE00/ENV/E/547); Jul. 2001 – Jun. 2004; budget :
   789.693€; Design and Management of a model of sustainable land management in
   tree crops in the environment of Doñana National Park.




                                 Carlos Mesa López                                15
                                 Servicios Técnicos




                Practical Examples
Proyect LIFE Humedales Sostenibles (LIFE04/ENV/E/269); Oct. 2004 – Sep. 2007;
   budget: 1.087.450€; Integrated Agriculture in the environment of Wetlands of
   Community importance




                                 Carlos Mesa López                                16
                                 Servicios Técnicos
Practical Examples
Proyecto I+DEA (“Research and Development of Ethanol for Automotive ”) Project
   Leader: ABENGOA. GREENCEELL; Ref. proyecto “CENIT 2007-1031”; budget: 33,1

   M€; The scope of the project I + DEA covers the complete cycle of bioethanol , raw
   materials (energy crops) and enzymes (biotechnology), technologies of

   transformation from agricultural products and their use in engines




                                  Carlos Mesa López                               17
                                  Servicios Técnicos




                Practical Examples
Proyect OPTIMIZATION OF IRRIGATION WATER USE IN IRRIGATED CROPS USING
   NEW TECHNOLOGIES .




                                  Carlos Mesa López                               18
                                  Servicios Técnicos
Practical Examples
Proyect: I+D RECOLECCIÓN MECANIZADA. table olives




                             Carlos Mesa López         19
                             Servicios Técnicos




            Thank you very much for your attention
                      Carlos Mesa: cmesa@asajasev.es




                             Carlos Mesa López         20
                             Servicios Técnicos

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Carlos Mesa

  • 1. The outlook for EU agriculture: . Causes, constraints and challenges for productivity Sources for growth in agricultural productivity. Research and Development Carlos Mesa López 1 Servicios Técnicos INDEX 1.- Events that happened in the past 30 years. Challenges 2.- R & D to these challenges . Productivity and Profitability. 3.- Recommendations and Conclusions. 4.- Practical Examples Carlos Mesa López 2 Servicios Técnicos
  • 2. 1.- Events that happened in the past 30 years. 9 Increased environmental awareness of the Society but no consensus. (Kyoto). Climate Change, water and biodiversity. 9 Water crisis. 9 Successive failures of the negotiations of the World Trade Organization. (OMC). “The chip in the negotiations is AGRICULTURE”. The obstacles are to be found in other business sectors and non-trade issues. 9 Economic and social inequalities far from alleviated in the third world increases. 9 Exponential Growth of Population. 9 Economic growth in emerging countries demanding more food and more energy consumption. 9 Increased demand and oil prices and gradual depletion of oil reserves and thus causing the so-called Climate Change. Carlos Mesa López 3 Servicios Técnicos 1.- Hechos acontecidos en los últimos 30 años.. 9 Higher cost in agriculture(fertilizer, electricity, oil, etc..) as a result of rising oil. Since 1995 the prices received by farmers in the EU have fallen by almost 14%. 9 The average income of the agricultural sector falls while in the other sectors increases. 9 In 2009 and 2010 more than 12,000 farms (Only in Andalusia) have disappeared..Decline in employment, Activity CONTINUITY IN RURAL AREAS., greater depopulation and threatens the very existence of isolated rural villages. 9 For the first time in 2006, the people of the cities surpassed the rural world 9 Weight Loss of Agrarian Society and its production. 9 Paralysis of the Agricultural Research and Development for its lack of profitability. 9 The agricultural sector is not sufficiently appreciated despite their strategic importance. 9 Ensures the provision of food to consumers Food Safety and Quality 9 Maintaining the countryside, biodiversity, our landscape and our culture. 9 We are also essential in the search for alternatives to fossil fuels. Generate biomass. 9 We are the world's leading source for combating climate change. 9 Optimize water use and soil preventing desertification and deforestation Carlos Mesa López 4 Servicios Técnicos
  • 3. Food Challenge 9,0 billons 6,5 6,0 2,5 1,5 1,0 0,5 1650 1800 1900 1950 2000 2050 Carlos Mesa López 2006 5 Servicios Técnicos Energy Challenge Mundo: Descubrimientos vs Producción Demand 60 Peak to Today: 41 años 50 40 MM bbls / año 30 Demand 20 10 · 0 1930 1950 1970 1980 1990 2010 2030 2050 Año Descubrim ientos pasados Descubrim ientos futuros Producción Fuente: Exxon Mobil. BP Carlos Mesa López 6 Servicios Técnicos
  • 4. Environmental Challenge . Climate Change Environmental impacts Emisiones de dióxido de carbono por combustible Emisiones de dióxido de carbono por regiones 50 50 Histórico Proyección Economias Desarrolladas Transición Emergentes Total 1000x Millones de toneladas 1000 x Millones de toneladas 40 40 30 30 Total 20 20 Petróleo 10 Carbón 10 Gas Natural 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2002 2015 2025 1990 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Fuente: Energy Information Administration CO2 emissions to the atmosphere increased by nearly 25% in 2010 and 60% by 2025 Emerging economies accounted for 68% of the projected increase to 2025 Global Warming Global Warming Carlos Mesa López 7 Servicios Técnicos Impact Global Warming Climate Change Food Crisis Global Alarm Governments respond Environmental Policies ,Energetics and Food. And the policies I + D + I? Carlos Mesa López 8 Servicios Técnicos
  • 5. R & D to these challenges . Productivity and Profitability. Factors that influence agricultural productivity. Plant Water Soil Carlos Mesa López 9 Servicios Técnicos R & D to these challenges . Productivity and Profitability. Plant - Seeds of even shorter cycle and higher productivity. New seeds and new varieties. - + Drought-resistant - + Resistant to pests - - Need Water - + Resistant to salinity. But R & D adapted the territory Carlos Mesa López 10 Servicios Técnicos
  • 6. R & D to these challenges . Productivity and Profitability. Soil - Best tillage techniques for soil type - Techniques to prevent erosion. - Techniques to avoid desertification - Techniques that improve soil structure (organic) But R & D adapted the territory Carlos Mesa López 11 Servicios Técnicos R & D to these challenges . Productivity and Profitability. Water - Techniques to improve water efficiency - Demand irrigation techniques and efficient . - Techniques produce MORE AND BETTER with less water. But R & D adapted the territory Carlos Mesa López 12 Servicios Técnicos
  • 7. Conclusions and Recommendations - Public investment in agriculture has gone from more than 15% of public aid to less than 5% in recent years . And the R & D is insignificant . We must put agriculture in the spotlight of international policy research and development. - Strengthen cooperation not only between national research programs, but also between the various initiatives driven by the different DGs(DG Environment , DG Agri, etc..). - We must improve the coordination of agricultural research . It misses the dissemination and communication specific to their results and lack critical mass. - Research could play a greater role if different actors were better integrated in the development of programs . In particular, it is essential to involve farmers in determining the objectives of the research , in which we must actively listening the real needs of the farmers themselves, as well as the promotion of applied research and technology transfer Carlos Mesa López 13 Servicios Técnicos Conclusions and Recommendations - The European Network for Rural Development and the European Technology Platforms provide strategic solutions to share and develop good ideas at European level , reliable information and practical experience , structuring and reinforcing the production and sharing of knowledge. - Be investigated to meet the challenges of society and agricultural needs , creating knowledge networks that meet the nutritional needs and emerging needs of climate and energy. Carlos Mesa López 14 Servicios Técnicos
  • 8. Practical Examples Proyect LIFE Doñana Sostenible (LIFE00/ENV/E/547); Jul. 2001 – Jun. 2004; budget : 789.693€; Design and Management of a model of sustainable land management in tree crops in the environment of Doñana National Park. Carlos Mesa López 15 Servicios Técnicos Practical Examples Proyect LIFE Humedales Sostenibles (LIFE04/ENV/E/269); Oct. 2004 – Sep. 2007; budget: 1.087.450€; Integrated Agriculture in the environment of Wetlands of Community importance Carlos Mesa López 16 Servicios Técnicos
  • 9. Practical Examples Proyecto I+DEA (“Research and Development of Ethanol for Automotive ”) Project Leader: ABENGOA. GREENCEELL; Ref. proyecto “CENIT 2007-1031”; budget: 33,1 M€; The scope of the project I + DEA covers the complete cycle of bioethanol , raw materials (energy crops) and enzymes (biotechnology), technologies of transformation from agricultural products and their use in engines Carlos Mesa López 17 Servicios Técnicos Practical Examples Proyect OPTIMIZATION OF IRRIGATION WATER USE IN IRRIGATED CROPS USING NEW TECHNOLOGIES . Carlos Mesa López 18 Servicios Técnicos
  • 10. Practical Examples Proyect: I+D RECOLECCIÓN MECANIZADA. table olives Carlos Mesa López 19 Servicios Técnicos Thank you very much for your attention Carlos Mesa: cmesa@asajasev.es Carlos Mesa López 20 Servicios Técnicos