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- 1. The Outlook for EU Agriculture Challenges, constraints and opportunities to productivity The cereals sector COPA COGECA - 29 June 2011
- 4. The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity More people – Less arable land We must produce more food per hectar World population (in Bn) Arable area (in ha per person) 2030 1998
- 5. The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity Agricultural areas in EU 15
- 6. The global economic growth is expected (GDP) to be 3,3 % p.a. towards 2019 Canada China EU India Japan Latin Mexico Middle South USA Amerika East Corea The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 10. Increased market volatility in Europe Source: Weekly price development milling wheat, Matif The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 11. The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity Comparisons of phosphate inputs and offtakes for UK wheat, not accounting for any manure inputs
- 12. Financial crisis Lower productivity Imbalanced Nutrition (P,K) The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity Impact of the economic situation on productivity
- 14. Source: University of Copenhagen Increase in productivity - from where? The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 17. Precision farming tools towards Good Agricultural Practice Software and crop monitoring tools help to calculate the right nutrient rate and apply it at the right time => these tools helped to improve Nutrient Use Efficiency The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 18. The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity Applying Sustainable Farming principles
- 20. The N itrogen Use Efficiency in Europe Source: own calculation based on FAO and Fertilizers Europe data N use efficiency (NUE in %) = (N removal/N application) x 100 The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 24. Fertilizers Europe forecast consumption 2011/2021 (reference 2007) - 13 .6% - 11.3 % >> slow return to 2005/2007 level - 0 .9% The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity
- 25. The Outlook for EU Agriculture - COPA COGECA – 29 June 2011 Cereal sector - Constraints and opportunities to productivity without fertilizer with fertilizer Thank you for your attention! [email_address] any question?