1. Decision Making

2. Definition standards the levels of acceptability we live with what we feel is ok, and what we feel is not What are your standards for cleanliness in your room? What are your standards for intelligence in a boyfriend / girlfriend?

3. The Decision Making Process Identify the problem. Consider results for success. Identify alternative action plans. Predict consequences. Estimate the probability of consequences. Choose the best action plan. Finish your plan and DO IT! Evaluate Results

4. 1. Identify the Problem Why must we make a decision? Make the problem clear. Try to state the problem as a goal. (leads to step 2)

5. 2. Consider Results for Success What must change to eliminate the problem? be clear and specific (as much as possible) be measurable

6. 3. Identify alternative actions there is more than one way solve most problems make a list of all the possible actions that will help

7. 4. Predict Consequences For each possible action: what do you think will happen? think of positive and negative results which has the most positives?

8. 5. Estimate probability of each consequence Is it for sure that all of the consequences will happen? if not, then guess, are they: likely / probable? (50 – 100%) maybe? (~50%) not likely / not probable? (0-50%)

9. 6. Choose the best plan of action Think about: consequences / possibilities (positive and negative) your values your goals your standards Choose the plan that agrees with you most when thinking about all these things Sometimes we must choose difficult options

10. 7. Finish your plan and… DO IT!! Before acting, imagine each action you will take think of any obstacles you might have think of actions to avoid or manage the obstacles DO IT!! do all the actions in your plan with the goal of eliminating the problem

11. 8. Evaluate Results Did you eliminate the problem? Is everything perfect now? OR Did you think it would be different? Could you have done better? Do you think your guesses (estimates, assumptions) were: Correct? Incorrect? “I know now that…. so, next time I will….”

12. Application Read Page 56 “CASE STUDY” Answer question 1-4 with partner.