THE “BEST SOLUTION SET” IS THE FRAMEWORK OF DISASTER RESILIENCE. To anticipate and plan for the full spectrum of what can happen, and build capacity FOR preparedness, protection, early warning, emergency response, and recovery in every community. To inform, educate, train, and build equity in all sectors of the community. Powerpoint courtesy of Dr Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction

1. MEETING THE CHALLENGE OF
OUR TIME IN THE 21ST CENTURY

2. CREATING PARADIGM SHIFTS
THAT WILL ACCELERATE
THE TRANSITION FROM BEING DISASTER PRONE
TO
BEING DISASTER RESILIENT

3. THE CHALLENGE OF THE
21ST CENTURY
• Protecting and
preserving
PEOPLE and
COMMUNITIES
from the potential
disaster agents of
natural hazards

4. A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD
• 7 billion people, and growing while…
• Living and competing in an
interconnected global economy,
• Producing $60 trillion of products each
year, and
• Facing complex disasters every year
that can adversely impact a
community’s 3 S’s, 5E’s, and 1H.

5. THE 3 S’s
• SAFETY (from the
potential disaster
agents of
recurring natural
hazards)
• SECURITY
• SUSTAINABILITY

6. THE FIVE E’s
• ECONOMY
• ENERGY
• ENVIRONMENT
• ECOLOGY
• EDUCATION

7. THE 1 H
• HEALTH CARE

8. A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when
three continuums: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs), and
3) recurring events (e.g., floods,
earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in
space and time, when and where the
people and community are not ready.

9. THE THREE CONTINUUMS OF
EVERY DISASTER
• PEOPLE
• COMMUNITY
• RECURRING EVENTS
(AKA the potential disaster agents
of Natural Hazards, which are proof
of a DYNAMIC EARTH)

10. FIVE INTER-CONNECTED WEAK-LINKS
CAUSE DISASTERS
• UN--PREPARED
• UN—PROTECTED
• UN---WARNED
• UN--ABLE TO RESPOND
• UN--RESILIENT

11. LIKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS
DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
• Increasing morbidity, mortality, homelessness,
and economic losses from recurring natural
hazards striking non-disaster-resilient
communities
• Threats related to global climate change
• Environmental degradation and pollution of air,
water, and soil
• Endangerment and extinction of plant and animal life

12. LIKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS
DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
• Poverty
• Chronic hunger
• Health care needs
• Increasing risk of pandemic disease
• Large-scale migration of people
• Endangered plant and animal life
• Conflict and terrorism

13. AN UNDESIRABLE LEGACY OF THE
21ST CENTURY
Before we realize it, we could
share in an unnecessary and
irreversible reduction in the
quality of life on Planet Earth if
we fail to design and implement
a global strategy for disaster
resilience.

14. THE “BEST SOLUTION SET” IS THE
FRAMEWORK OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
• To anticipate and plan for the full
spectrum of what can happen, and
build capacity FOR preparedness,
protection, early warning, emergency
response, and recovery in every
community.
• To inform, educate, train, and build
equity in all sectors of the community,

15. WHEN YOU KNOW WHAT TO DO
AND HOW TO DO IT, --- JUST DO IT!
• Communities working strategically
can implement a realistic set of
scientific, technical, and political
solutions to reach the elusive goal of
disaster resilience --- within
EXISTING administrative, legal, and
economic constraints, --- NOW.

16. THE ART AND SCIENCE OF CREATING
A PARADIGM SHIFT FOR COMMUNITY
DISASTER RESILIENCE
ENCOMPASSES
STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS
 INTEGRATION OF SCIENCE AND
PUBLIC POLICY
PREPAREDNESS, PROTECTION,
EARLY WARNING, EM. RESPONSE,
AND RECOVERY

17. FIVE PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
ARE INTERCONNECTED
PREPAREDNESS
PROTECTION
AND EARLY
WARNING
ALL ELEMENTS ARE
INTERRELATED
EMERGENCY
RECOVERY RESPONSE

20. THE GLOBAL AGENDA: COMMUNITY
THE GLOBAL AGENDA: COMMUNITY
DISASTER RESILIENCE
DISASTER RESILIENCE
EXPERIENCES WITH
PREPAREDNESS
EXPERIENCES WITH
PROTECTION
EXPAND PARTNERSHIPS
EXPAND PARTNERSHIPS GLOBAL BOOKS OF
FROM 1990 TO THE
FROM 1990 TO THE KNOWLEDGE
PRESENT (E.G., IDNDR,
PRESENT (E.G., IDNDR,
AND ISDR)
AND ISDR)
EXPERIENCES WITH
EMERGENCY RESPONSE
EXPERIENCES WITH
RECOVERY

21. FACTORS THAT FACILITATE
PARADIGM SHIFTS
• PUBLIC AWARENESS OF EACH PROBLEM AND
THE BENEFIT/COSTS OF ITS SOLUTION SET.
• A COMMON AGENDA PROMOTED BY
PARTNERSHIPS THROUGHOUT THE WORLD
• INCENTIVES FOR POLITICAL LEADERS AND
SCIENTISTS TO ADOPT AND IMPLEMENT
PUBLIC POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES FOR
DISASTER RESILIENCE.

22. CHANGES BASED ON A LARGER
SOCIAL CONSTRUCT OF THE
ISSUES
POLICY CHANGE 1: FOCUS ON THE
NATURE AND APPROPRIATENESS OF
ACTIONS BY GLOBAL PARTNERS AND
THE WAYS TO ENLIST SUPPORT AND
RESOURCES FOR THE FIVE PILLARS OF
DISASTER RESILIENCE.

23. CHANGES BASED ON A LARGER
SOCIAL CONSTRUCT OF THE
ISSUES
POLICY CHANGE 2: FOSTER
CHANGE BY INTEGRATING POLICIES
AND BEST PRACTICES FOR
PREPAREDNESS, PROTECTION,
EARLY WARNING, EMERGENCY
RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY BASED
ON EXISTING LEGAL MANDATES.

24. CHANGES BASED ON A LARGER
SOCIAL CONSTRUCT OF THE
ISSUES
POLICY CHANGE 3: CREATE, ADJUST,
AND REALIGN PARTNERSHIPS UNTIL
YOU CAN SOLVE THE PROBLEMS
FACED BY LOCAL COMMUN ITIES IN
EVERY REGION.

25. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
TURNING POINTS: Partnerships for Preparedness, Protection, Early
TURNING POINTS: Partnerships for Preparedness, Protection, Early
Warning Emergency Response, and Recovery
Warning Emergency Response, and Recovery
THE KNOWLEDGE BASE CAPACITY BUILDING CONTINUING EDUCATION
Real and Near- Real Time Seek out, Enlighten, and Enlighten Communities on
Monitoring/Communication Enable “Partnerships” Their Risks
Vulnerability and Risk Build Strategic Equity
Characterization Transfer Ownership of the
Through “MMA” Scenarios
Knowledge Base
Best Practices for Mitigation
and Adaptation Close Gaps in Knowledge Engage Partners in MMA
and Implementation Learning Experiences
Situation Data Bases
Transfer Ownership of
Multiply “Partnerships” by
Cause & Effect Relationships Emerging Technologies
Regioal/global Twinning
Anticipatory Actions for all Move Towards A Disaster Update Knowledge Bases
Events and Situations Intelligent Community After Each MMA Scenario
Interfaces with all Real- and
Near Real-Time Sources
Gateways to a Deeper
Understanding

26. RISK ASSESSMENT
ACCEPTABLE RISK
•HAZARD MAPS
•INVENTORY RISK
•VULNERABILITY UNACCEPTABLE RISK
•LOCATION
DISASTER RESILIENCE
DATA BASES YOUR
AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY
COMMUNITY GOALS
BEST POLICIES AND
HAZARDS: PRACTICES FOR:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE •PREPAREDNESS, EARLY.
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
WARNING, PROTECTION
TSUNAMI RUN UP •EM. RESPONSE
AFTERSHOCKS
•RECOVERY