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# Failing Forwards Russ Lidstone Wednesday, 21st September  2011 @russlidstone
An interesting shaped animal  © Dr Seuss
“Lidstone’s calendar of memorable events” 1960	First birth control pill 1961	Gagarin in space  1962	One flue over the cuckoos nest (book)  1963	JFK Assassination 1964	Beatlemania hits N.America  1965	Troops to Vietnam  1966	England win football world cup  1967	1st heart transplant  1968 	2001 Space Odyssey  1969	First man on the moon  1970	Beatles break up  1971	Clockwork Orange  1972	Jesus Christ Superstar  1973	Watergate  1974	The ‘Rumble in the Jungle’ 1975	Jaws 1976	Student riots in South Africa  1977	Star Wars  1978	1st test tube baby  1979	Margaret Thatcher elected  1980	Ronald Reagan elected  1981	First IBM P.C  1982	ET  1983	Thriller 1984	Desmond Tutu wins Noel Peace Prize  1985	Live Aid 1986	Chernobyl  1987	The Simpsons makes its first  appearance 1988	Ben Johnson wins Olympic gold  1989	Berlin Wall comes down  1990	Nelson Mandela released  1991	Russian coup – end of U.S.S.R 1992	LA riots  1993	Waco siege  1994	Kurt Cobain commits suicide  1995	DVD announced  1996	Toy Story – first computer animated film 1997	Princess Diana dies  1998	President Clinton impeached  1999	Columbine Tragedy  2000	First Big Brother  2001	9/11 2002	Euro launched as legal tender  2003	Invasion of Iraq 2004	Facebook created  2005	My Space bought by News Corp  2006	Saddam Hussein executed  2007	Final book of Harry Potter series published  2008	Barack Obama elected  2009	Michael Jackson dies  2010	Wikileaks 2011	Osama Bin Laden killed
Your audience isn’t
Different and more media Global media consumption: average hours per week  100 Games 90 80 Digital radio 70 Mobile 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio Analogue TV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1900 1960 1980 2000 2020 1920 1940 Source: Microsoft
Different and more media Global media consumption: average hours per week  100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: Microsoft
Worldwide internet usage Global media consumption: average hours per week  Number of users (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: Internet World Stats
Mobile phone usage Global media consumption: average hours per week  Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: UN ITN
UK “digital”agencies  Global media consumption: average hours per week  Number of agencies  Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: IPA
Cannes Lions winning countries & categories  Global media consumption: average hours per week  Number of agencies  Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) Number of countries/categories  100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 Countries  1991 2011 2000 Categories   Source: Cannes Lions
world  has become flat
5th mover advantage Peak of inflated expectations Plateau of productivity and delivery   Slope of enlightenment  Trough of disillusionment   EXCITEMENT  TIME  1st Mover  5th Mover  Via Gartner: Hype Cycle

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Fail forward by Russ Lidstone adtech September 2011 pt1

  • 1. # Failing Forwards Russ Lidstone Wednesday, 21st September 2011 @russlidstone
  • 2. An interesting shaped animal © Dr Seuss
  • 3. “Lidstone’s calendar of memorable events” 1960 First birth control pill 1961 Gagarin in space 1962 One flue over the cuckoos nest (book) 1963 JFK Assassination 1964 Beatlemania hits N.America 1965 Troops to Vietnam 1966 England win football world cup 1967 1st heart transplant 1968 2001 Space Odyssey 1969 First man on the moon 1970 Beatles break up 1971 Clockwork Orange 1972 Jesus Christ Superstar 1973 Watergate 1974 The ‘Rumble in the Jungle’ 1975 Jaws 1976 Student riots in South Africa 1977 Star Wars 1978 1st test tube baby 1979 Margaret Thatcher elected 1980 Ronald Reagan elected 1981 First IBM P.C 1982 ET 1983 Thriller 1984 Desmond Tutu wins Noel Peace Prize 1985 Live Aid 1986 Chernobyl 1987 The Simpsons makes its first appearance 1988 Ben Johnson wins Olympic gold 1989 Berlin Wall comes down 1990 Nelson Mandela released 1991 Russian coup – end of U.S.S.R 1992 LA riots 1993 Waco siege 1994 Kurt Cobain commits suicide 1995 DVD announced 1996 Toy Story – first computer animated film 1997 Princess Diana dies 1998 President Clinton impeached 1999 Columbine Tragedy 2000 First Big Brother 2001 9/11 2002 Euro launched as legal tender 2003 Invasion of Iraq 2004 Facebook created 2005 My Space bought by News Corp 2006 Saddam Hussein executed 2007 Final book of Harry Potter series published 2008 Barack Obama elected 2009 Michael Jackson dies 2010 Wikileaks 2011 Osama Bin Laden killed
  • 5. Different and more media Global media consumption: average hours per week 100 Games 90 80 Digital radio 70 Mobile 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio Analogue TV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1900 1960 1980 2000 2020 1920 1940 Source: Microsoft
  • 6. Different and more media Global media consumption: average hours per week 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: Microsoft
  • 7. Worldwide internet usage Global media consumption: average hours per week Number of users (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: Internet World Stats
  • 8. Mobile phone usage Global media consumption: average hours per week Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: UN ITN
  • 9. UK “digital”agencies Global media consumption: average hours per week Number of agencies Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 1991 2011 2000 Source: IPA
  • 10. Cannes Lions winning countries & categories Global media consumption: average hours per week Number of agencies Number of users (Millions) Number of mobile phone subscriptions (Millions) Number of countries/categories 100 Games 90 Mobile 80 Digital radio 70 60 Outdoor 50 Digital TV Cinema 40 30 Analogue radio AnalogueTV 20 Internet 10 Print 0 Countries 1991 2011 2000 Categories Source: Cannes Lions
  • 11. world has become flat
  • 12. 5th mover advantage Peak of inflated expectations Plateau of productivity and delivery Slope of enlightenment Trough of disillusionment EXCITEMENT TIME 1st Mover 5th Mover Via Gartner: Hype Cycle