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The Asian financial crisis was a period of financial crisis that gripped much of East Asia beginning in July 1997 and raised fears of a worldwide economic meltdown due to financial contagion. Financial contagion refers to “the spread of market disturbances -- mostly on the downside -- from one country to the other, a process observed through co-movements in exchange rates, stock prices, sovereign spreads, and capital flows." Financial contagion can be a potential risk for countries who are trying to integrate their financial system with international financial markets and institutions. It helps explain an economic crisis extending across neighboring countries, or even regions.

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This paper examines the contagion of the eurozone debt crisis to developed and emerging stock markets around the world. Using the VAR methodology, and changes in sovereign bond yields and stock returns of the crisis countries as proxies for the eurozone debt crisis, this paper finds strong and pervasive evidence of negative contagion from the crisis countries to other stock markets. Consistent with risk-on risk-off hypothesis, changes in sovereign bond yields of crisis countries impact stock returns positively during normal times and negatively during the crisis, providing strong evidence of negative contagion. The impact of equity returns of crisis countries on other equity markets is large and positive during normal times and less positive during the crisis, suggesting evidence of negative contagion and decoupling of stock markets during the crisis. The Asian markets do not show pervasive evidence of contagion from the eurozone crisis.

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In the aftermath of the Asian crisis of 1997, a number of rapid assessments on the extent and nature of the social impact appeared. They brought out the human cost of the crisis in bolder relief. One such study, launched in the last quarter of 1998, was conducted by ADB. It was designed to assist in devising policy responses to the social crisis and identifying reforms that would strengthen social protection systems in the longer term. It covered Indonesia, the Republic of Korea, the Lao Peoples' Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand. It sketched the transmission of social impacts from the crisis, analyzed the crisis effects on prices and employment, discussed the impact on inequality and poverty, looked at human development in terms of education, health, and family planning, touched on social capital, and looked at the environment.

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