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Turnaround and Restructuring in Emerging
Markets
Igor Zax, CFA, Sloan Fellow (LBS)
Managing Director- Tenzor Ltd
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
1
Tenzor Ltd.
 In operation from 2009
 Focuses on corporate restructurings and working capital
management
 We work end-to-end- from problem to solution
 Emerging market projects included Ukraine, India, Russia,
Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, Mexico, etc.
 Non-Emerging markets projects in US, Western Europe,
UK
 Prior experience in both banking and well run blue chip
company- great mix for turnarounds
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
2
Why Companies fall in
distress?
 Regional Issues- economic, political,
regulatory
 Industry issues – industry as a whole or
particular layer
 Non-managerial company issues
 Management incompetence
 Fraud and crime- inside and outside
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
3
Five “C” of Turnaround
 Control
– Creditors seek to control assets and decision making
 Capability
– The team (existent, new or interim) need to be capable for the task
 Credibility
– Turnaround plan and the team need to have credibility with all
stakeholders
 Clarity
– What is the company’s core business, how it fits with the industry
structure and does the business model match it
 Co-operation
– Lending group are not the only stakeholders. Ongoing support
from suppliers, customers, distributors and others are vital for
survival © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
4
Emerging Markets- legal
system (or its absence)?
 Each market is unique, but some common themes
 Legal system – both design and execution.
– “Familiar laws” trap – do not expect the similar laws to
generate similar practice
– Corruption – random vs vertical
– Outside influences
 Boxing with “one hand behind your back”
– Building multi-layered defence
– PR
– Investment treaties
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
5
Emerging Markets- Dealing with
Extreme Economic Uncertainty
 Building agility
 Dealing with currency volatility and restrictions
 Demand and supply uncertainty
 Working Capital Management
 Dealing with banks
 Role and use of oversees operations
 Challenge leads to consolidation- if everybody is
under pressure fittest survive!
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
6
Steps for Distressed
Turnaround
 Diagnostic – “post deal” due diligence
 Fixing the team
– Loyalty
– Competence
– Communication
 Re-defining the business
 Process optimisation
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
7
Operational Due Diligence-key
part of M&A deal
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
8
Accounting
Legal
Target
ODD-Multi Dimensional PictureJust one side?
We need not only answer “what” but “why” and
“what does this mean?”
Operational Due Diligence-
core questions to answer
 Re-construct the link between the numbers and physical
process
– Get the access outside of “professional seller”!
– Do not limit your conversation to finance people- they talk about
numbers, not the business
– Speak to sales, procurement, manufacturing- and reconcile what
you hear to what you see in the numbers
– Understand external environment- suppliers, customers,
distributors- they may tell you a lot of things you would not hear
from the company
– Visit the warehouse and manufacturing and ask few simple
questions
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
9
Fixing the Team
 Building loyalties
 Motivation- not just money
 Understanding informal networks
 Identifying kick backs, leaks and frauds
 Approaches to bringing new people
 Making the culture shift
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
10
Supply Chain- Distribution of
Risk and Reward
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
Component
Manufacturers
Contract
Manufacturers
Component
Distributors
OEM Distributors VARs
Customers!
• Understanding the supply chain is core to determining the
future of the company.
• How is wealth and risk distributed?
• What is outsourced to whom? Who does financing- is the
company a bank? Should it be?
• Is the issue overall health of the chain, distribution of rewards
and risks at particular layer or just company specific issues?
• Who can “shortcut” the chain and what would be
consequences?
• Who is going to loose the most if company disappear and what
can they contribute to rescue?
11
Key Lessons
 Understand the market
 Do a proper due diligence- do not rely on glossy
write ups
 Understand the industry structure and play it right
 Build loyal and competent team
 Ensure stakeholders support
 Redefine and optimise the business
 You do not need to be perfect- just be better than
competition © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
12
Thank You and Good Luck!
 Igor Zax, CFA, Sloan Fellow (London
Business School)
 Managing Director, Tenzor Ltd. (London)
 Tel: +447775708426
 E-Mail: igor.zax@tenzor.co.uk
 Web site: www.tenzor.co.uk
© Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016
www.tenzor.co.uk
13

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Turnaround and restructuring in emerging markets

  • 1. Turnaround and Restructuring in Emerging Markets Igor Zax, CFA, Sloan Fellow (LBS) Managing Director- Tenzor Ltd © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 1
  • 2. Tenzor Ltd.  In operation from 2009  Focuses on corporate restructurings and working capital management  We work end-to-end- from problem to solution  Emerging market projects included Ukraine, India, Russia, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, Mexico, etc.  Non-Emerging markets projects in US, Western Europe, UK  Prior experience in both banking and well run blue chip company- great mix for turnarounds © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 2
  • 3. Why Companies fall in distress?  Regional Issues- economic, political, regulatory  Industry issues – industry as a whole or particular layer  Non-managerial company issues  Management incompetence  Fraud and crime- inside and outside © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 3
  • 4. Five “C” of Turnaround  Control – Creditors seek to control assets and decision making  Capability – The team (existent, new or interim) need to be capable for the task  Credibility – Turnaround plan and the team need to have credibility with all stakeholders  Clarity – What is the company’s core business, how it fits with the industry structure and does the business model match it  Co-operation – Lending group are not the only stakeholders. Ongoing support from suppliers, customers, distributors and others are vital for survival © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 4
  • 5. Emerging Markets- legal system (or its absence)?  Each market is unique, but some common themes  Legal system – both design and execution. – “Familiar laws” trap – do not expect the similar laws to generate similar practice – Corruption – random vs vertical – Outside influences  Boxing with “one hand behind your back” – Building multi-layered defence – PR – Investment treaties © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 5
  • 6. Emerging Markets- Dealing with Extreme Economic Uncertainty  Building agility  Dealing with currency volatility and restrictions  Demand and supply uncertainty  Working Capital Management  Dealing with banks  Role and use of oversees operations  Challenge leads to consolidation- if everybody is under pressure fittest survive! © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 6
  • 7. Steps for Distressed Turnaround  Diagnostic – “post deal” due diligence  Fixing the team – Loyalty – Competence – Communication  Re-defining the business  Process optimisation © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 7
  • 8. Operational Due Diligence-key part of M&A deal © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 8 Accounting Legal Target ODD-Multi Dimensional PictureJust one side? We need not only answer “what” but “why” and “what does this mean?”
  • 9. Operational Due Diligence- core questions to answer  Re-construct the link between the numbers and physical process – Get the access outside of “professional seller”! – Do not limit your conversation to finance people- they talk about numbers, not the business – Speak to sales, procurement, manufacturing- and reconcile what you hear to what you see in the numbers – Understand external environment- suppliers, customers, distributors- they may tell you a lot of things you would not hear from the company – Visit the warehouse and manufacturing and ask few simple questions © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 9
  • 10. Fixing the Team  Building loyalties  Motivation- not just money  Understanding informal networks  Identifying kick backs, leaks and frauds  Approaches to bringing new people  Making the culture shift © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 10
  • 11. Supply Chain- Distribution of Risk and Reward © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk Component Manufacturers Contract Manufacturers Component Distributors OEM Distributors VARs Customers! • Understanding the supply chain is core to determining the future of the company. • How is wealth and risk distributed? • What is outsourced to whom? Who does financing- is the company a bank? Should it be? • Is the issue overall health of the chain, distribution of rewards and risks at particular layer or just company specific issues? • Who can “shortcut” the chain and what would be consequences? • Who is going to loose the most if company disappear and what can they contribute to rescue? 11
  • 12. Key Lessons  Understand the market  Do a proper due diligence- do not rely on glossy write ups  Understand the industry structure and play it right  Build loyal and competent team  Ensure stakeholders support  Redefine and optimise the business  You do not need to be perfect- just be better than competition © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 12
  • 13. Thank You and Good Luck!  Igor Zax, CFA, Sloan Fellow (London Business School)  Managing Director, Tenzor Ltd. (London)  Tel: +447775708426  E-Mail: igor.zax@tenzor.co.uk  Web site: www.tenzor.co.uk © Tenzor Ltd 2009-2016 www.tenzor.co.uk 13