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PRESENTATION PREPARED FOR



 National Chinese
 Language Conference


 May 1, 2009




“What Americans Think About China”
What do Americans Think
          About China?
• How is the American public responding to the rise of
  China?
• How do Americans assess China’s influence in world
  affairs?
• Do they see China’s increasing economic and military
  power as a positive or negative development?
• Is China’s rise a threat to the United States? And if
  so, how should Americans respond?




                                           May 1, 2009    2
Chicago Council
        Public Opinion Studies
• Data drawn from three different Chicago Council
  public opinion surveys conducted during 2006-2008

• All surveys based on nationally representative
  random samples of approximately 1,000 American
  adults

• Full reports and access to data available on The
  Chicago Council website, www.thechicagocouncil.org



                                        May 1, 2009    3
Americans See China as
      Influential in the World
On a scale of 1-10, China gets the 3rd highest influence
         score among the countries mentioned
            Country         Mean Influence Score
          United States             8.5
          Great Britain             6.7
             China                  6.4
             Japan                  6.4
               EU                   6.0
             Russia                 5.6
            Germany                 5.5
             France                 4.9
              India                 4.8

                                          May 1, 2009   4
China Seen as Having More
Economic Influence in Asia than
    United States or Japan
 • China’s economic growth has made it the engine of
   the Asian economy, replacing Japan in only 20 years


           Country          Mean Score for Economic
                               Influence in Asia
            China                      7.5
            Japan                      7.3
         United States                 7.0




                                             May 1, 2009   5
Americans Think China Will Lead Asia…
But Are Uncomfortable with That Prospect
  • 68% of Americans agree that China will be the future
    leader of Asia


  • But 71% of those who agree, say they would be
    somewhat or very uncomfortable with the idea of
    China being the leader of Asia




                                            May 1, 2009    6
Americans See China as Very
  Important to the United States
China ranks third among 18 countries mentioned – after only
                  Great Britain and Canada
           Country          Percent who said “very
                         important” to the United States
         Great Britain                60%
           Canada                     53%
            China                     52%
            Japan                     45%
         Saudi Arabia                 44%
            Israel                    40%
            Mexico                    37%
            Russia                    34%
             Iran                     32%
           Pakistan                   30%

                                              May 1, 2009   7
But Overall,
  Americans
 Have “Cool”
   Feelings
Toward China




 May 1, 2009   8
And Those Feelings Have
Grown Cooler in Recent Years




                     May 1, 2009   9
Americans Are Aware of China’s
          Economic Growth…
But Deeply Ambivalent about its Impact
 • 76% of Americans agree that China’s economy will someday be as
   large as that of the United States
 • A bare majority of 51% think that China’s economy becoming as
   large as that of the US would be an “equally positive and
   negative” development, and 42% think it would be “mostly
   negative”
 • When asked whether China’s becoming “significantly more
   powerful economically than it is today” would be mainly positive or
   mainly negative, 47% said mainly positive, and 46% said mainly
   negative
 • 67% of Americans think China “practices unfair trade,” up from
   53% in 2002



                                                     May 1, 2009    10
Americans Are Concerned about
   Rise of China as Military Power

• When asked whether China’s becoming “significantly
  more powerful militarily than it is today” would be
  mainly positive or mainly negative, 76% say mainly
  negative, and only 19% say mainly positive
• 71% say they are somewhat worried (46%) or very
  worried (25%) about the China becoming a military
  threat to the United States in the future




                                          May 1, 2009   11
Americans Perceive Complex and
Evolving Relationship with China
• 40% of Americans agree that “the development of China as
  a world power” is a critical threat to the vital interests of the
  United States, up from 33% in 2004, but down from the
  high of 57% in the mid and late 1990s
• 49% of the American public agree that China and the U.S.
  are “mostly rivals,” while 41% say “mostly partners”
• But a strong majority of Americans (64%) believe that in
  dealing with the rise of China’s power, the U.S. should
  “undertake friendly cooperation and engagement” rather
  than “actively work to limit the growth of China’s power”



                                                  May 1, 2009   12
But Are Americans Preparing to
   Deal with China’s Rise??

• Only 11% of Americans say it is very important for
  children to learn Chinese


• In contrast, 82% of Chinese say it is very important
  for children to learn English




                                          May 1, 2009    13

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Bouton American Sentiments Toward China

  • 1. PRESENTATION PREPARED FOR National Chinese Language Conference May 1, 2009 “What Americans Think About China”
  • 2. What do Americans Think About China? • How is the American public responding to the rise of China? • How do Americans assess China’s influence in world affairs? • Do they see China’s increasing economic and military power as a positive or negative development? • Is China’s rise a threat to the United States? And if so, how should Americans respond? May 1, 2009 2
  • 3. Chicago Council Public Opinion Studies • Data drawn from three different Chicago Council public opinion surveys conducted during 2006-2008 • All surveys based on nationally representative random samples of approximately 1,000 American adults • Full reports and access to data available on The Chicago Council website, www.thechicagocouncil.org May 1, 2009 3
  • 4. Americans See China as Influential in the World On a scale of 1-10, China gets the 3rd highest influence score among the countries mentioned Country Mean Influence Score United States 8.5 Great Britain 6.7 China 6.4 Japan 6.4 EU 6.0 Russia 5.6 Germany 5.5 France 4.9 India 4.8 May 1, 2009 4
  • 5. China Seen as Having More Economic Influence in Asia than United States or Japan • China’s economic growth has made it the engine of the Asian economy, replacing Japan in only 20 years Country Mean Score for Economic Influence in Asia China 7.5 Japan 7.3 United States 7.0 May 1, 2009 5
  • 6. Americans Think China Will Lead Asia… But Are Uncomfortable with That Prospect • 68% of Americans agree that China will be the future leader of Asia • But 71% of those who agree, say they would be somewhat or very uncomfortable with the idea of China being the leader of Asia May 1, 2009 6
  • 7. Americans See China as Very Important to the United States China ranks third among 18 countries mentioned – after only Great Britain and Canada Country Percent who said “very important” to the United States Great Britain 60% Canada 53% China 52% Japan 45% Saudi Arabia 44% Israel 40% Mexico 37% Russia 34% Iran 32% Pakistan 30% May 1, 2009 7
  • 8. But Overall, Americans Have “Cool” Feelings Toward China May 1, 2009 8
  • 9. And Those Feelings Have Grown Cooler in Recent Years May 1, 2009 9
  • 10. Americans Are Aware of China’s Economic Growth… But Deeply Ambivalent about its Impact • 76% of Americans agree that China’s economy will someday be as large as that of the United States • A bare majority of 51% think that China’s economy becoming as large as that of the US would be an “equally positive and negative” development, and 42% think it would be “mostly negative” • When asked whether China’s becoming “significantly more powerful economically than it is today” would be mainly positive or mainly negative, 47% said mainly positive, and 46% said mainly negative • 67% of Americans think China “practices unfair trade,” up from 53% in 2002 May 1, 2009 10
  • 11. Americans Are Concerned about Rise of China as Military Power • When asked whether China’s becoming “significantly more powerful militarily than it is today” would be mainly positive or mainly negative, 76% say mainly negative, and only 19% say mainly positive • 71% say they are somewhat worried (46%) or very worried (25%) about the China becoming a military threat to the United States in the future May 1, 2009 11
  • 12. Americans Perceive Complex and Evolving Relationship with China • 40% of Americans agree that “the development of China as a world power” is a critical threat to the vital interests of the United States, up from 33% in 2004, but down from the high of 57% in the mid and late 1990s • 49% of the American public agree that China and the U.S. are “mostly rivals,” while 41% say “mostly partners” • But a strong majority of Americans (64%) believe that in dealing with the rise of China’s power, the U.S. should “undertake friendly cooperation and engagement” rather than “actively work to limit the growth of China’s power” May 1, 2009 12
  • 13. But Are Americans Preparing to Deal with China’s Rise?? • Only 11% of Americans say it is very important for children to learn Chinese • In contrast, 82% of Chinese say it is very important for children to learn English May 1, 2009 13