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Public-Private Partnership in  Urban Transport August 2010
Urban Transport = Public Transport Urban Transportation Scene in India Why PPP? Investment and Service Quality Regulatory Environment Conclusion Contents
Urban Transport = Public Transport Transport are the arteries of a city. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sustainable Solution ???
Increasing Private Vehicle Ownership in Delhi Two Wheelers Cars Three-wheelers Buses and Other Heavy vehicles Vehicle Ownership – Delhi, 1981-2009 (Figures in Cumulative Numbers)  Source: Transport Department, GNCTD More than 6 million vehicles are registered in Delhi alone, more than total number of vehicles in Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai together.
Vehicle Growth in India Source: CIA World Factbook ; Road Transport Year Book 2006-07 (March 2009), Ministry of Shipping, Road Transport & Highways, Govt. of India India is growing – GDP Growth rate so is the vehicular traffic. Vehicle Growth and GDP Real Growth Rate in India, 1998-2006 (Vehicles in Millions)   (GDP in %age)
Modal Spilt – Indian Cities Modal Split for Travel – Indian Cities (Figures in Percent of Trips) Source:  “Transport in Cities – India Indicators” by EMBARQ ,[object Object],Public Transport Private Transport Bicycling & Walking The EMBARQ IS a global organization, which advocates environmentally and financially sustainable transport solutions to improve quality of life in cities. It has five Centers for Sustainable Transport, located in Mexico, Brazil, India, Turkey and the Andean Region, that work together with local transport authorities to reduce pollution, improve public health, and create safe, accessible and attractive urban public spaces.
[object Object],[object Object],Road Space as Percentage of Total Area Limited Road Space World Cities - Population per sq. km.
Cities require a Sustainable Transport System Delhi Population:  2004 = 14.8 million and 2030 = 26.0 million * ST = LCD + AT Source:  “The health benefits of tackling climate change”, Lancet Study   Aggregate Transport CO2 Emissions Transport CO2 Emissions Per Person (tCO2/ person) CO2 Emissions Increase on 1990 (%) 2004 Delhi 6,146,651 0.4 97% 2010 Business as Usual (BAU) 8,268,298 0.5 165% 2030 Scenario 1: BAU 19,550,693 0.8 526% 2030 Scenario 2: Low Carbon Motor Vehicles (LCD) 17,069,668 0.7 447% 2030 Scenario 3: Active Transport (AT) 10,458,736 0.4 235% 2030 Scenario 4: Sustainable Transport (ST)* 9,327,207 0.4 199%
Need to Develop an Integrated Network ,[object Object],[object Object],Delhi City Wide Network 2021
Buses Vital for Reducing Car Use Source: Bus Rapid Transit Planning Guide, GTZ Car use comes down only if city has an integrated network. Transport Share - Developing Cities (Figures in %age) NA NA
Where investments need to be made ?  Transport System Transport Infrastructure  IT Infrastructure
Levels of Investment required for different modes Source: “Bus Rapid Transit Planning Guide” (Institute for Transportation & Development Policy, 2007) With the same level of investment, varying system kilometres can be constructed with: Bus Rapid Transit is a mass transport mode adapted to the existing demand and that may be implemented in the short/medium term with comparatively low capital cost
Urban Transport - Metro Rail Projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ministry of Urban Development is supporting metro rail projects in large cities to serve high demand corridors. Source: “NUTP and JnNURM- Government of India Initiatives to Strengthen Public Transport”, S.K. Lohia, OSD (MRTS), MoUD, GOI City-wise Metro Systems – Kms City  Kms  Delhi  140.00  ,[object Object],62.89 Bangalore  42.30  ,[object Object],14.67 ,[object Object],46.50 ,[object Object],71.00 ,[object Object],25.30 ,[object Object],28.5
Major Thrust on BRT System in India ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Note: * Delhi is implementing BRTS with its own  funds. Buses - the most important mode of Public transport. City-wise BRT Systems – Kms City  Kms  planned Pune 101.77  ,[object Object],42.22  Indore 11.45  ,[object Object],21.71  ,[object Object],88.50  ,[object Object],39.45  ,[object Object],15.50  ,[object Object],42.80  ,[object Object],29.00  ,[object Object],29.90  ,[object Object],121.00
Investment Required in Next 20 years Urban Transport Investment Needs, 2008-2027 (Figures in  `  Billion) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Traffic & Transportation Policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in India (Wilbur Smith Associates – 2008)
[object Object],Characteristics of Public Transport High Investment Effect of substitutes Income profile of people ,[object Object],[object Object]
Vehicle Ownership in Delhi About 50% households do not own any vehicle in Delhi. Source: Transport Demand Forecast Study, RITES Limited (Household Sample Size – 45,000) Vehicle Ownership in Delhi - % of Households (Figures in %age)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why Public-Private Partnership?
Productivity Gap – Public Bus Service Source: DTC Operational Statistics (May 2010),  Halcrow Fox for DfID (May 2000  ) Operating Parameters e.g. of DTC.  ,[object Object],A pure public monopoly generally does not offer a superior alternative to a well designed competitive arrangement. Parameters Particulars  Nos. Buses Average Fleet 4,564 (Nos.) Average buses on road (Daily) 3,598 (Nos.) Fleet Utilization (%) 78.83% Trips Scheduled Trips (Daily) 30,344 Operated (Daily) 21,139 Trip Efficiency  (%) 69.35% Kms Scheduled Kms (Daily – in Lakhs) 234.07 Actual Kms (Daily – in Lakhs) 165.13 Kms Efficiency (%) 70.55%
[object Object],Funding for Transport System DTC Monthly Ticketed Revenue & Passengers, Jan’09-May’10 ( Figures in  `  Million) Source: Delhi Transport Corporation – Operational Statistics ,[object Object]
Public-Private Partnership  A Panacea for All Evils?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PPP = Financing + Service Quality
Project Features for PPP Projects Transport System Transport Infrastructure  ,[object Object],[object Object],Revenue Sources Key Factors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transport System PPP Contracts Production (Cost) risk borne by Authority Operator Revenue risk borne by Authority Operator Gross Cost Net Cost Management Contract (cost plus) Gross Cost with passenger volume/revenue incentive Net Cost with shared revenue risk Source: SDG (2009)
Comparison of Gross Vs. Net Cost ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: SDG (2009) Cost Revenue Profit Funding Support Govt   Operator Cost Revenue Profit Funding Support Govt   Operator
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Delhi Private Stage Carriage Schemes Routes clustered (657 bus routes classified in 17 Clusters) so as to leverage network synergies.
Some PPP Examples - Transport System Source: India Infrastructure Metro Link Authority Concessionaire Support Required Concession Period Delhi Metro Airport Link DMRC Reliance Infrastructure Limited  -- 30 years Mumbai Metro Line I MMRDA Reliance Energy Limited `  6.50  Billion 35 years Mumbai Metro Line 2 MMRDA Reliance Energy Ltd (REL) `  22.98 Billion 35 years Gurgaon Metro Rail Link HUDA DLF Limited and IL&FS Limited -- 99 years
Transport Infrastructure - PPP Contracts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],New Delhi Municipal Council (NDMC) awarded the contract to DLF Limited to design, engineer, finance, construct, operate and maintain Multi-level Parking and Commercial Complex at BKS Marg.
Some PPP Examples - Transport Infrastructure Source: India Infrastructure Infrastructure Authority Project Cost Concession Period ISBT  Dehradun  Mussoorie Dehradun Development Authority `  130 m illion 20 years ISBT  Wadala  Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority `  3500 m illion 25 years Multi-Level Parking at Kamalanagar Municipal Corporation of Delhi `  1600 m illion 30 years Multi-Level Parking at New Market area Kolkata Municipal Corporation `  500 m illion 30 years
Skewed Regulatory Environment Tax Exemption – Metro Vs. Buses ,[object Object],Metro Buses Excise Duty   Custom Duty   Subsidized Fuel   Tax Benefit  
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Section 80 IA of the Income Tax Act Urban transport is not yet recognized as ‘Infrastructure’  and therefore cannot avail the Tax Benefits under Section 80 IA of the Income Tax Act. Source: Taxman’s Direct Taxes Ready Reckoner 2010-11 & 2011-12
[object Object],Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mutual Trust ?? Source: The Age Private Public Source: www.firgoa.usc.es Private Risk Source: www.pakrealestatetimes.com
 

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Public-Private Partnership in Urban Transport

  • 1. Public-Private Partnership in Urban Transport August 2010
  • 2. Urban Transport = Public Transport Urban Transportation Scene in India Why PPP? Investment and Service Quality Regulatory Environment Conclusion Contents
  • 3.
  • 5. Increasing Private Vehicle Ownership in Delhi Two Wheelers Cars Three-wheelers Buses and Other Heavy vehicles Vehicle Ownership – Delhi, 1981-2009 (Figures in Cumulative Numbers) Source: Transport Department, GNCTD More than 6 million vehicles are registered in Delhi alone, more than total number of vehicles in Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai together.
  • 6. Vehicle Growth in India Source: CIA World Factbook ; Road Transport Year Book 2006-07 (March 2009), Ministry of Shipping, Road Transport & Highways, Govt. of India India is growing – GDP Growth rate so is the vehicular traffic. Vehicle Growth and GDP Real Growth Rate in India, 1998-2006 (Vehicles in Millions) (GDP in %age)
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Cities require a Sustainable Transport System Delhi Population: 2004 = 14.8 million and 2030 = 26.0 million * ST = LCD + AT Source: “The health benefits of tackling climate change”, Lancet Study   Aggregate Transport CO2 Emissions Transport CO2 Emissions Per Person (tCO2/ person) CO2 Emissions Increase on 1990 (%) 2004 Delhi 6,146,651 0.4 97% 2010 Business as Usual (BAU) 8,268,298 0.5 165% 2030 Scenario 1: BAU 19,550,693 0.8 526% 2030 Scenario 2: Low Carbon Motor Vehicles (LCD) 17,069,668 0.7 447% 2030 Scenario 3: Active Transport (AT) 10,458,736 0.4 235% 2030 Scenario 4: Sustainable Transport (ST)* 9,327,207 0.4 199%
  • 10.
  • 11. Buses Vital for Reducing Car Use Source: Bus Rapid Transit Planning Guide, GTZ Car use comes down only if city has an integrated network. Transport Share - Developing Cities (Figures in %age) NA NA
  • 12. Where investments need to be made ? Transport System Transport Infrastructure IT Infrastructure
  • 13. Levels of Investment required for different modes Source: “Bus Rapid Transit Planning Guide” (Institute for Transportation & Development Policy, 2007) With the same level of investment, varying system kilometres can be constructed with: Bus Rapid Transit is a mass transport mode adapted to the existing demand and that may be implemented in the short/medium term with comparatively low capital cost
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Vehicle Ownership in Delhi About 50% households do not own any vehicle in Delhi. Source: Transport Demand Forecast Study, RITES Limited (Household Sample Size – 45,000) Vehicle Ownership in Delhi - % of Households (Figures in %age)
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Public-Private Partnership A Panacea for All Evils?
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Transport System PPP Contracts Production (Cost) risk borne by Authority Operator Revenue risk borne by Authority Operator Gross Cost Net Cost Management Contract (cost plus) Gross Cost with passenger volume/revenue incentive Net Cost with shared revenue risk Source: SDG (2009)
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Some PPP Examples - Transport System Source: India Infrastructure Metro Link Authority Concessionaire Support Required Concession Period Delhi Metro Airport Link DMRC Reliance Infrastructure Limited -- 30 years Mumbai Metro Line I MMRDA Reliance Energy Limited ` 6.50 Billion 35 years Mumbai Metro Line 2 MMRDA Reliance Energy Ltd (REL) ` 22.98 Billion 35 years Gurgaon Metro Rail Link HUDA DLF Limited and IL&FS Limited -- 99 years
  • 29.
  • 30. Some PPP Examples - Transport Infrastructure Source: India Infrastructure Infrastructure Authority Project Cost Concession Period ISBT Dehradun Mussoorie Dehradun Development Authority ` 130 m illion 20 years ISBT Wadala Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority ` 3500 m illion 25 years Multi-Level Parking at Kamalanagar Municipal Corporation of Delhi ` 1600 m illion 30 years Multi-Level Parking at New Market area Kolkata Municipal Corporation ` 500 m illion 30 years
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. Mutual Trust ?? Source: The Age Private Public Source: www.firgoa.usc.es Private Risk Source: www.pakrealestatetimes.com
  • 35.  

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. With more roads, less density, rising incomes it is not surprising that vehicle numbers are increasing