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Drivers of
Exponential Growth
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Gordon Earle Moore
(born January 3, 1929)
is an American
businessman and co-
founder and Chairman
Emeritus of Intel
Corporation and the
author of Moore's law.
-from wikipedia
Processors and Moore’s Law
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Processors and Moore’s Law
"Moore's law" is the observation that, over the
history of computing hardware, the number
of transistors in a dense integrated circuit
doubles approximately every two years.
Although this trend has continued for more
than half a century, "Moore's law" should be
considered an observation or conjecture and
not a physical or natural law. Sources in
2005 expected it to continue until at least
2015 or 2020.
-from wikipedia
Step Distance
30 Linear Steps
Distance
30 Exponential Steps
1 1 1
2 2 2
3 3 4
4 4 8
5 5 16
6 6 32
7 7 64
8 8 128
9 9 256
10 10 512
11 11 1024
12 12 2048
13 13 4096
14 14 8192
15 15 16384
16 16 32768
17 17 65536
18 18 131072
19 19 262144
20 20 524288
21 21 1048576
22 22 2097152
23 23 4194304
24 24 8388608
25 25 16777216
26 26 33554432
27 27 67108864
28 28 134217728
29 29 268435456
30 30 536870912
30 Meters
vs
536870912 Meters
(333596 Miles)
(536870 KM)
or 13 times
around the earth
0
150000000
300000000
450000000
600000000
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Drivers of Exponential Growth
Far-out ways to extend Moore’s Law
•Quantum computing

•Molecular computing

•3D chip design
Why tech will continue
its exponential growth
(for at least a little bit)
regardless of Moore’s
Law
FPGAs
• A field-programmable gate array (FPGA) is
an integrated circuit designed to be
configured by a customer or a designer
after manufacturing – hence "field-
programmable".

—wikipedia
Cloud
Computing
The practice of using a network of
remote servers hosted on the Internet
to store, manage, and process data,
rather than a local server or a
personal computer. —wikipedia
Cloud
Computing
•Processing Power as a Utility ! Not just about
storage.
•These platforms hide the complexity and details
of the underlying infrastructure from users and
applications by providing very simple graphical
interface or API (Applications Programming
Interface).
•Agile architecture.
•Cloud services are reliable, relatively cheap.
Cloud
Computing
Dramatically Lowers Barriers to
Entry
Cloud
Computing
Cloud
Computing =UTILITYUTILITY

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Drivers of Exponential Growth

  • 2. Drivers of Exponential Growth Gordon Earle Moore (born January 3, 1929) is an American businessman and co- founder and Chairman Emeritus of Intel Corporation and the author of Moore's law. -from wikipedia Processors and Moore’s Law
  • 3. Drivers of Exponential Growth Processors and Moore’s Law "Moore's law" is the observation that, over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years. Although this trend has continued for more than half a century, "Moore's law" should be considered an observation or conjecture and not a physical or natural law. Sources in 2005 expected it to continue until at least 2015 or 2020. -from wikipedia
  • 4. Step Distance 30 Linear Steps Distance 30 Exponential Steps 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 8 5 5 16 6 6 32 7 7 64 8 8 128 9 9 256 10 10 512 11 11 1024 12 12 2048 13 13 4096 14 14 8192 15 15 16384 16 16 32768 17 17 65536 18 18 131072 19 19 262144 20 20 524288 21 21 1048576 22 22 2097152 23 23 4194304 24 24 8388608 25 25 16777216 26 26 33554432 27 27 67108864 28 28 134217728 29 29 268435456 30 30 536870912 30 Meters vs 536870912 Meters (333596 Miles) (536870 KM) or 13 times around the earth
  • 10. Far-out ways to extend Moore’s Law •Quantum computing •Molecular computing •3D chip design
  • 11. Why tech will continue its exponential growth (for at least a little bit) regardless of Moore’s Law
  • 12. FPGAs • A field-programmable gate array (FPGA) is an integrated circuit designed to be configured by a customer or a designer after manufacturing – hence "field- programmable".
 —wikipedia
  • 14. The practice of using a network of remote servers hosted on the Internet to store, manage, and process data, rather than a local server or a personal computer. —wikipedia Cloud Computing
  • 15. •Processing Power as a Utility ! Not just about storage. •These platforms hide the complexity and details of the underlying infrastructure from users and applications by providing very simple graphical interface or API (Applications Programming Interface). •Agile architecture. •Cloud services are reliable, relatively cheap. Cloud Computing
  • 16. Dramatically Lowers Barriers to Entry Cloud Computing