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Chaos Theory
Julie Goldman
The Butterfly Effect
Jurassic Park
The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in
'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his
theory that the island will quickly proceed to
behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it
was "an accident waiting to happen".
The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in
'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his
theory that the island will quickly proceed to
behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it
was "an accident waiting to happen".
Biology
Survival
Chaos Theory
you've never heard of chaos theory?
non-linear equations?
strange attractors?
Overview
Scientific Management
Frederick Winslow Taylor
closed system
Systems Theory
Ludwig von Bertalanffy
organization as organism
open system
Edward Lorenz
environment is not predictable
computer program to simulate weather
small changes drastic changes
What is Chaos Theory?
complicated nonlinear dynamic systems
nonlinear: change in one variable
doesn’t produce the same change or
reaction in related variables
dynamic: anything that moves,
changes or evolves in time
external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the
behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and
unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a
“hidden” recognizable form.
external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the
behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and
unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a
“hidden” recognizable form.
Main Points
complex systems have
underlying order
simple systems
produce complex
behavior
Chaos
systems appear chaotic and disorderly
management must know how to control
the work patterns when the organization
is thrown off equilibrium and existing in
a state of chaos
Change
most people hate change
they think it...
must be dealt with and managed
when in fact they should...
influence the processes behind it
But...
the world is constantly changing
organizations can not plan for the future
organizations can not predict the forces
they will have to deal with
can this management theory of chaos
provide guidance to help them survive?
How to Deal
discover nature and source of change
understand what is going on in the world
and the logic driving such forces
influence processes that produce change
initiating small changes can produce
larger effects and big changes
Self-Organization
people spontaneously reorganize into
something complex and unexpected
systems within the organization will self-
organize by modifying their structures to
adapt, survive, grow, and develop
spontaneously create order from chaos
Issues
forces that can’t be controlled
self-organization doesn’t always work
scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn
the most effective processes to make changes happen
scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn
the most effective processes to make changes happen
Chaos in Libraries
organizations function like organisms
they will only survive if they adapt to
environmental change
spontaneously self-organize into
something complex and unexpected
Libraries
complex, nonlinear systems
underlying order of:
well-developed employee culture
established rules
policies
procedures
Libraries
internal and external processes leads to
chaos within the organization
must change and evolve to meet the
changing needs of the community
Technology
Oh no...
Public Libraries
electronic vs print
listen to patrons
assistance
troubleshoot
licensing and cost
Use Chaos
to deal with change:
acquire information
flexible work arrangements
diverse staff
pursue learning and innovation
Management Plan
remain calm, encouraging, flexible
understand the big-picture
communication with stakeholders
employees
patrons
government/town/funding source
Manage Change
profession must change and evolve to
meet changing needs of the community
commitment to core values
maintain clear mission
ability to be flexible
open boundaries with environment
understand driving forces
This is Life

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Chaos Theory

  • 3. Jurassic Park The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in 'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his theory that the island will quickly proceed to behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it was "an accident waiting to happen". The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in 'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his theory that the island will quickly proceed to behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it was "an accident waiting to happen".
  • 6. Chaos Theory you've never heard of chaos theory? non-linear equations? strange attractors?
  • 7. Overview Scientific Management Frederick Winslow Taylor closed system Systems Theory Ludwig von Bertalanffy organization as organism open system
  • 8. Edward Lorenz environment is not predictable computer program to simulate weather small changes drastic changes
  • 9. What is Chaos Theory? complicated nonlinear dynamic systems nonlinear: change in one variable doesn’t produce the same change or reaction in related variables dynamic: anything that moves, changes or evolves in time external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a “hidden” recognizable form. external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a “hidden” recognizable form.
  • 10. Main Points complex systems have underlying order simple systems produce complex behavior
  • 11. Chaos systems appear chaotic and disorderly management must know how to control the work patterns when the organization is thrown off equilibrium and existing in a state of chaos
  • 12. Change most people hate change they think it... must be dealt with and managed when in fact they should... influence the processes behind it
  • 13. But... the world is constantly changing organizations can not plan for the future organizations can not predict the forces they will have to deal with can this management theory of chaos provide guidance to help them survive?
  • 14. How to Deal discover nature and source of change understand what is going on in the world and the logic driving such forces influence processes that produce change initiating small changes can produce larger effects and big changes
  • 15. Self-Organization people spontaneously reorganize into something complex and unexpected systems within the organization will self- organize by modifying their structures to adapt, survive, grow, and develop spontaneously create order from chaos
  • 16. Issues forces that can’t be controlled self-organization doesn’t always work scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn the most effective processes to make changes happen scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn the most effective processes to make changes happen
  • 17. Chaos in Libraries organizations function like organisms they will only survive if they adapt to environmental change spontaneously self-organize into something complex and unexpected
  • 18. Libraries complex, nonlinear systems underlying order of: well-developed employee culture established rules policies procedures
  • 19. Libraries internal and external processes leads to chaos within the organization must change and evolve to meet the changing needs of the community
  • 22. Public Libraries electronic vs print listen to patrons assistance troubleshoot licensing and cost
  • 23. Use Chaos to deal with change: acquire information flexible work arrangements diverse staff pursue learning and innovation
  • 24. Management Plan remain calm, encouraging, flexible understand the big-picture communication with stakeholders employees patrons government/town/funding source
  • 25. Manage Change profession must change and evolve to meet changing needs of the community commitment to core values maintain clear mission ability to be flexible open boundaries with environment understand driving forces