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Confirmation bias is a tendency people have to interpret evidence in ways that
supports or preserves their existing beliefs, which sometimes leads to statistical errors.
 Confirmation bias is a phenomenon wherein decision makers have been shown to
actively seek out and assign more weight to evidence that confirms their hypothesis, and
ignore or underweigh evidence that could disconfirm their hypothesis.
 Confirmation bias is a filter through which you see a reality that matches your
expectations. It causes you to think selectively, but the real trouble begins when
confirmation bias distorts your active pursuit of facts.
Biased
Selection of
Evidence
Biased
Interpretation
of Evidence
1) FREELANCER.COM | MAILCHIMP.COM
Customer Loyalty and Retention
Action
• Affirmation messages
Behaviour
• Confirmation bias of quality
work done
Result
• Loyal Customers
Colgate Kitchen Entrees
Ford Edsel – Product Failure
• Market
Research
• New features
and premium
pricing
Confirmation
Bias
Outcome-
Product
failed
2) COLGATE|FORD EDSEL
Brand Failure and Product Failure
•Launched
scented
soaps
•Huge
success
1806
• Introduced -
Colgate
Kitchen
Entrees
• Past success
and growing
frozen meal
market
1982
• Invested
more $16
million to
promote it.
• Product
failed
1985
• 1957, economic
recession
•Bizarre pricing
strategy
Monochromatic Screen
with a Green backlight
& the most popular
‘Snake’ game
Set people on the path
of gadget-obsessed
geek
Finnish design
aesthetics, reduced
size with every
generation of mobiles
Nokia DNA- Distinct
but consistent
‘Candy bar’ look
Possibility of Flip-
phones (Moto Razr)
neglected
Heavily relied on
Symbian OS, App store
only for tech-savvy
people
Apple i-phone
Revolution, 2007
Once over 50% Global
Market share started
falling QoQ
Failed attempt to move
towards Windows OS,
LUMIA phones
Once over a 50% of Market Share
(Globally) was later sold out to
Microsoft for $ 7.5 Billion.
Even the mightiest & strongest companies can
fall because of confirmation bias.
Presented
&
Submitted By,
Group-06, Marketing, 2014-2016 Batch
14020841036 Divnay Bhutra S
14020841136 Kashyap Shah
14020841123 Anubhuti Gupta
Webliography
http://www.bouty.net/2015/07/
marketing-failure-case-colgate-
kitchen-entrees/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed
sel
www.cnet.com/news/farewell-
nokia-the-rise-and-fall-of-a-
mobile-pioneer/
http://www.smartinsights.com/p
ersuasion-marketing/persuasion-
marketing-
principles/confirmation-bias-
customer-loyalty/

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Confirmation Bias & its applications in Marketing

  • 1.
  • 2. Confirmation bias is a tendency people have to interpret evidence in ways that supports or preserves their existing beliefs, which sometimes leads to statistical errors.  Confirmation bias is a phenomenon wherein decision makers have been shown to actively seek out and assign more weight to evidence that confirms their hypothesis, and ignore or underweigh evidence that could disconfirm their hypothesis.  Confirmation bias is a filter through which you see a reality that matches your expectations. It causes you to think selectively, but the real trouble begins when confirmation bias distorts your active pursuit of facts. Biased Selection of Evidence Biased Interpretation of Evidence
  • 3. 1) FREELANCER.COM | MAILCHIMP.COM Customer Loyalty and Retention Action • Affirmation messages Behaviour • Confirmation bias of quality work done Result • Loyal Customers
  • 4. Colgate Kitchen Entrees Ford Edsel – Product Failure • Market Research • New features and premium pricing Confirmation Bias Outcome- Product failed 2) COLGATE|FORD EDSEL Brand Failure and Product Failure •Launched scented soaps •Huge success 1806 • Introduced - Colgate Kitchen Entrees • Past success and growing frozen meal market 1982 • Invested more $16 million to promote it. • Product failed 1985 • 1957, economic recession •Bizarre pricing strategy
  • 5. Monochromatic Screen with a Green backlight & the most popular ‘Snake’ game Set people on the path of gadget-obsessed geek Finnish design aesthetics, reduced size with every generation of mobiles Nokia DNA- Distinct but consistent ‘Candy bar’ look Possibility of Flip- phones (Moto Razr) neglected Heavily relied on Symbian OS, App store only for tech-savvy people Apple i-phone Revolution, 2007 Once over 50% Global Market share started falling QoQ Failed attempt to move towards Windows OS, LUMIA phones Once over a 50% of Market Share (Globally) was later sold out to Microsoft for $ 7.5 Billion. Even the mightiest & strongest companies can fall because of confirmation bias.
  • 6. Presented & Submitted By, Group-06, Marketing, 2014-2016 Batch 14020841036 Divnay Bhutra S 14020841136 Kashyap Shah 14020841123 Anubhuti Gupta Webliography http://www.bouty.net/2015/07/ marketing-failure-case-colgate- kitchen-entrees/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed sel www.cnet.com/news/farewell- nokia-the-rise-and-fall-of-a- mobile-pioneer/ http://www.smartinsights.com/p ersuasion-marketing/persuasion- marketing- principles/confirmation-bias- customer-loyalty/