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EXISTING RESEARCH
AND
FUTURE RESEARCH
AGENDA

DR MATTHEW ROWE
RESEARCH ASSOCIATE
KNOWLEDGE MEDIA INSTITUTE
http://www.matthew-rowe.com
m.c.rowe@open.ac.uk
The Big Picture
 1

        2006-2010: Ph.D.: ‘Disambiguating Identity Web References using Social
        

         Data’. The University of Sheffield
        2010-2012: Research Associate at the Knowledge Media Institute, The Open
        

         University

     Ph.D.                  Research Associate        Future Work
     2006-2010              2010-2012


       Digital Identity

                                                         Digital Identity
                                                                            Identity Diffusion
                                                           Lifecycles

                              User Behaviour


                                                                                      Time

Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       Digital Identity
                                                                                                          Digital Identity
                                                                                                                             Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                            Lifecycles

                                                                                         User Behaviour



 2

           Personal information is spread across the Web: (a) identity theft, (b) lateral surveillance
               Identity   theft costs the UK government £1.2 billion per annum (Get Safe Online, 2010)

           Manually tracking web citations is time-consuming and repetitive
               57%   of web users perform ‘vanity’ searches (Pew Internet Report, 2010)

                           How can identity web references be disambiguated automatically?
        Seed data leveraged from Social Web Systems
        

        Information extracted from candidate citations and semantic model built
        

        Devised three disambiguation methods that combine data mining with semantics
        




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       Digital Identity
                                                                                                     Digital Identity
                                                                                                                        Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                       Lifecycles

                                                                                    User Behaviour



 3

           Seed Data generation:
               Large overlap between offline social networks and online social networks
               Exporting semantic social graphs from disparate social web systems (Twitter, Facebook)
                   Machine-readable    user profile and social network information
               Interlinking   social graphs from disparate social web systems
           Disambiguation methods
               Rule-based:infer relations between social data and web resources
               Graph-based: random walks over a graph space and clustering

               Semi-supervised machine learning: classify web citations and learn from classifications

           Findings:
               Socialdata provides necessary seed data to disambiguate web citations
               Achieve best performance using semi-supervised methods, outperforming several baselines
                 (unsupervised methods)

        Rowe and Ciravegna. Disambiguating Identity Web References using Web 2.0 Data and
        
          Semantics. Journal of Web Semantics. 2010
               http://www.matthew-rowe.com/?q=thesis




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       User Behaviour
                                                                                                     Digital Identity
                                                                                                                        Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                       Lifecycles

                                                                                    User Behaviour



 4

           Attention Patterns on Social Web Systems
                How is user behaviour associated with heightened attention?
                Developed a machine learning approach to:
                     Identify seed posts
                     Predict discussion lengths
                User Modelling: social network properties, topical focus, community
                 affinity
                Patterns associated with increased attention:
                  Twittter:
                           greater broadcast spectrum
                  Boards.ie: greater community affinity, focussed users

                  SAP: less community messages, popular users (frequently provide answers)



        Rowe et al. Anticipating Discussion Activity on Community Forums. 3rd IEEE International Conference on Social
        
          Computing, Boston, USA. 2011
        Rowe et al. Predicting Discussions on the Social Semantic Web. Extended Semantic Web Conference, Heraklion,
        
          Crete. 2011
        Wagner et al. What catches your attention? An empirical study of attention patterns in community forums.
        

          International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, Dublin, Ireland. 2012
Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       User Behaviour
                                                                                                          Digital Identity
                                                                                                                             Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                            Lifecycles

                                                                                         User Behaviour



 5

        Behaviour Analysis in Online Communities
        

             How    can the contextual notion of behaviour be captured?
             What   is the relation between community behaviour and health?


             Modelled     user behaviour along six dimensions:
                Focus    Dispersion, Initiation, Contribution, Popularity, Engagement, Content Quality
             Modelled     behaviour using semantic web technologies:
                Behaviour    Ontology – capturing contextual notion of behaviour
                Inference   rules – identifying the role of a given user
             Mined     roles, and associated behaviour, on a given platform
             Correlated     the time-series role composition of communities and with health indicators
             Found     certain roles to be associated with decreases in community health
                E.g.   Expert Initiators linked to community churn


             Roweet al. Community Analysis through Semantic Rules and Role Composition Derivation. Journal of
               Web Semantics (in press). 2012



Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       User Behaviour
                                                                                              Digital Identity
                                                                                                                 Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                Lifecycles

                                                                             User Behaviour



 6

           Churn
             Churn  is the loss of users from a service (telecommunications/social network,
               online community)
             Goal:   predict churners and identify churn patterns
             Using social network features (i.e. centrality) provided accurate information for
               churn detection
             Found:
                Differing   churn patterns between communities
                Central   users churn in some communities, while peripheral users churn in others
             Currently    exploring: Churn diffusion and topological effects


             Karnstedtet al. The Effect of User Features on Churn in Social Networks. ACM Web Science
               Conference 2011, Koblenz, Germany. 2011




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
The Big Picture - Revisit
 7



     Ph.D.                 Research Associate        Future Work
     2006-2010             2010-2012


       Digital Identity

                                                        Digital Identity
                                                                           Identity Diffusion
                                                          Lifecycles

                             User Behaviour


                                                                                     Time




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       Identity Lifecycles
                                                                                                  Digital Identity
                                                                                                                     Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                    Lifecycles

                                                                                 User Behaviour



 8

        Identity is developed and shaped over time through developmental stages (Eriksson,
           1959)
        Ego-identity is the ideal that people pursue, while identity is a person’s present state
           (Bosma et al., 1994)

        How are digital identities shaped online? Do the stages resonate with Eirksson’s
          theories?
        What development stages do they go through? Is there a common life cycle across
          systems?
             In   role analysis there are common transitions from one role to another
        What are the motivations behind digital identity formation and amendments?
        

             Self-efficacy

             Self-affirmation



        Understanding identity lifecycles leads to:
        

             Better recommendations (followees, products, content)
             Tracking of disseminated personal information

             Identifying users susceptible to ‘stealing reality’ attacks (Altshuler et al., 2011)


Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
Digital Identity




       Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                         Digital Identity
                                                                                                                            Identity Diffusion
                                                                                                           Lifecycles

                                                                                        User Behaviour



 9

        Identity Diffusion is the propagation of identity attributes through social systems
        

             I.e.   the adoption of defining characteristics from neighbours


        What network effects are associated with identity diffusion?
        

             Smallcore of central users found to be influential in protest recruitment (Gonzalez-Bailon et al., 2011)
             Core web sites found to influence the spread of memes (Gomez-Rodriguez et al., 2012)

        What is the role of passive/active networks on identity formation?
        

             Behaviour     adoption is maintained through social reinforcement (Centola, 2010)
        Local-level influence (i.e. homophily, inequity, balancing)
        

             Weak-tied     individuals in ego-networks influence adoption (Garg et al., 2011)
             Inverse    correlation between node influence and degree (Katona et al., 2011)
        What effects do community actions have on web presence and subscriber churn?
        

             Onlinecommunity churn (Karnstedt et al., 2010), (Zhang et al., 2010), (Kawale et al., 2010)
             Recently studied in the context of ego-networks (Quercia et al., 2012), (Kwak et al., 2011)




        Understanding and modelling identity diffusion leads to:
        

             Identification
                          of links between behaviour and churn from online systems
             Enable understanding of reductions in web presence (Online marketing, brand promotion)




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
The Big Picture - Recap
 10



      Ph.D.                Research Associate        Future Work
      2006-2010            2010-2012


        Digital Identity

                                                        Digital Identity
                                                                           Identity Diffusion
                                                          Lifecycles

                             User Behaviour


                                                                                     Time




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
11         Questions?
               http://www.matthew-rowe.com
               m.c.rowe@open.ac.uk




Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda

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Existing Research and Future Research Agenda

  • 1. EXISTING RESEARCH AND FUTURE RESEARCH AGENDA DR MATTHEW ROWE RESEARCH ASSOCIATE KNOWLEDGE MEDIA INSTITUTE http://www.matthew-rowe.com m.c.rowe@open.ac.uk
  • 2. The Big Picture 1 2006-2010: Ph.D.: ‘Disambiguating Identity Web References using Social   Data’. The University of Sheffield 2010-2012: Research Associate at the Knowledge Media Institute, The Open   University Ph.D. Research Associate Future Work 2006-2010 2010-2012 Digital Identity Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour Time Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 3. Digital Identity Digital Identity Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 2   Personal information is spread across the Web: (a) identity theft, (b) lateral surveillance  Identity theft costs the UK government £1.2 billion per annum (Get Safe Online, 2010)   Manually tracking web citations is time-consuming and repetitive  57% of web users perform ‘vanity’ searches (Pew Internet Report, 2010) How can identity web references be disambiguated automatically? Seed data leveraged from Social Web Systems   Information extracted from candidate citations and semantic model built   Devised three disambiguation methods that combine data mining with semantics   Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 4. Digital Identity Digital Identity Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 3   Seed Data generation:  Large overlap between offline social networks and online social networks  Exporting semantic social graphs from disparate social web systems (Twitter, Facebook)  Machine-readable user profile and social network information  Interlinking social graphs from disparate social web systems   Disambiguation methods  Rule-based:infer relations between social data and web resources  Graph-based: random walks over a graph space and clustering  Semi-supervised machine learning: classify web citations and learn from classifications   Findings:  Socialdata provides necessary seed data to disambiguate web citations  Achieve best performance using semi-supervised methods, outperforming several baselines (unsupervised methods) Rowe and Ciravegna. Disambiguating Identity Web References using Web 2.0 Data and   Semantics. Journal of Web Semantics. 2010  http://www.matthew-rowe.com/?q=thesis Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 5. Digital Identity User Behaviour Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 4   Attention Patterns on Social Web Systems   How is user behaviour associated with heightened attention?   Developed a machine learning approach to:   Identify seed posts   Predict discussion lengths   User Modelling: social network properties, topical focus, community affinity   Patterns associated with increased attention:  Twittter: greater broadcast spectrum  Boards.ie: greater community affinity, focussed users  SAP: less community messages, popular users (frequently provide answers) Rowe et al. Anticipating Discussion Activity on Community Forums. 3rd IEEE International Conference on Social   Computing, Boston, USA. 2011 Rowe et al. Predicting Discussions on the Social Semantic Web. Extended Semantic Web Conference, Heraklion,   Crete. 2011 Wagner et al. What catches your attention? An empirical study of attention patterns in community forums.   International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, Dublin, Ireland. 2012 Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 6. Digital Identity User Behaviour Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 5 Behaviour Analysis in Online Communities    How can the contextual notion of behaviour be captured?  What is the relation between community behaviour and health?  Modelled user behaviour along six dimensions:  Focus Dispersion, Initiation, Contribution, Popularity, Engagement, Content Quality  Modelled behaviour using semantic web technologies:  Behaviour Ontology – capturing contextual notion of behaviour  Inference rules – identifying the role of a given user  Mined roles, and associated behaviour, on a given platform  Correlated the time-series role composition of communities and with health indicators  Found certain roles to be associated with decreases in community health  E.g. Expert Initiators linked to community churn  Roweet al. Community Analysis through Semantic Rules and Role Composition Derivation. Journal of Web Semantics (in press). 2012 Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 7. Digital Identity User Behaviour Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 6   Churn  Churn is the loss of users from a service (telecommunications/social network, online community)  Goal: predict churners and identify churn patterns  Using social network features (i.e. centrality) provided accurate information for churn detection  Found:  Differing churn patterns between communities  Central users churn in some communities, while peripheral users churn in others  Currently exploring: Churn diffusion and topological effects  Karnstedtet al. The Effect of User Features on Churn in Social Networks. ACM Web Science Conference 2011, Koblenz, Germany. 2011 Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 8. The Big Picture - Revisit 7 Ph.D. Research Associate Future Work 2006-2010 2010-2012 Digital Identity Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour Time Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 9. Digital Identity Identity Lifecycles Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 8  Identity is developed and shaped over time through developmental stages (Eriksson, 1959)  Ego-identity is the ideal that people pursue, while identity is a person’s present state (Bosma et al., 1994)  How are digital identities shaped online? Do the stages resonate with Eirksson’s theories?  What development stages do they go through? Is there a common life cycle across systems?  In role analysis there are common transitions from one role to another What are the motivations behind digital identity formation and amendments?    Self-efficacy  Self-affirmation Understanding identity lifecycles leads to:    Better recommendations (followees, products, content)  Tracking of disseminated personal information  Identifying users susceptible to ‘stealing reality’ attacks (Altshuler et al., 2011) Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 10. Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour 9 Identity Diffusion is the propagation of identity attributes through social systems    I.e. the adoption of defining characteristics from neighbours What network effects are associated with identity diffusion?    Smallcore of central users found to be influential in protest recruitment (Gonzalez-Bailon et al., 2011)  Core web sites found to influence the spread of memes (Gomez-Rodriguez et al., 2012) What is the role of passive/active networks on identity formation?    Behaviour adoption is maintained through social reinforcement (Centola, 2010) Local-level influence (i.e. homophily, inequity, balancing)    Weak-tied individuals in ego-networks influence adoption (Garg et al., 2011)  Inverse correlation between node influence and degree (Katona et al., 2011) What effects do community actions have on web presence and subscriber churn?    Onlinecommunity churn (Karnstedt et al., 2010), (Zhang et al., 2010), (Kawale et al., 2010)  Recently studied in the context of ego-networks (Quercia et al., 2012), (Kwak et al., 2011) Understanding and modelling identity diffusion leads to:    Identification of links between behaviour and churn from online systems  Enable understanding of reductions in web presence (Online marketing, brand promotion) Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 11. The Big Picture - Recap 10 Ph.D. Research Associate Future Work 2006-2010 2010-2012 Digital Identity Digital Identity Identity Diffusion Lifecycles User Behaviour Time Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda
  • 12. 11 Questions? http://www.matthew-rowe.com m.c.rowe@open.ac.uk Dr Matthew Rowe - Existing Research and Future Research Agenda