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The Internet & Public Opinion
            Polls
Here’s What’s Going On.
• Go over Internet Activity from
  yesterday.
• Then, talking about the Internet.
• Then, chatting about public opinion
  polls.
• Last, a special surprise.
So, what was the point of
          yesterday?
• Websites can look legit, but aren’t.
• Pay attention to who made the website
  (candy association telling you about the
  nutritional value of candy?)
• Just because it says that it has been updated,
  doesn’t mean it has.
• Use Google and other resources to discover
  more information about any organization
A Quick Word About
          Wikipedia…
• NOT an authoritative source
• HOWEVER, it can be very useful
  – Good starting point
  – Check the sources cited at the bottom for
    good resources
Future of the Internet and
           Politics?
• Obama Campaign
  – Mobilize large number of people cheaply
  – YouTube = free advertising
  – Fact checking
  – Spreading the message across social
    networks (Facebook, Myspace etc.)
  – More efficient communication
Public Opinion Polls
• Why use public opinion polls?
  – Candidates want to discover public
    preferences
  – Political analysts want to know about public
    opinion
  – Media find it to be an interesting story
Types of Polls
• Straw
  – Attempt to discover the public’s opinion by
    asking the same question to a large
    number of people
  – Common on TV, talk radio & Internet
• Scientific poll
  – Valid questions!
  – Random sample
  – Large sample
5 steps to conducting a
          scientific poll
1. Define the population to be polled.
2. Construct a sample.
3. Prepare valid questions.
4. Select and control the means by which
   the poll will be taken
5. Report your findings
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Double negative
  – An affirmative constructed from two
    negatives
  – Ex. “I did not want to not go to the store.”
  – Better = “I wanted to go to the store.”
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Double-barreled
  – A pair of options is offered but the
    response alternatives are only “Yes” or
    “No”
  – Ex. “Did you vote in the 2004 and the 2006
    election?”
  – How can we make this better?
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Leading
  – Initial phrase leads respondent by
    suggesting the position of an authority with
    which it might be difficult to disagree.
  – Ex. “Do you support President Bush’s
    decision to send additional troops to Iraq?”
  – Better = “Do you favor or oppose sending
    additional troops to Iraq?”
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Question order
  – The order of questions may be designed to
    “lead” the respondent to a certain
    predictable response.
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Unbalanced questions
  – Do not equally represent two sides of an
    issue
  – Ex. “Do you support the United States
    taking military action against Iraq?”
  – Better = “Do you support or oppose the
    United States taking military action against
    Iraq?”
Avoiding “Bad” Questions
• Complex language
  – Questions are worded awkwardly or use
    highly specific or technical language
  – Ex. “Do you think Congress should pass
    legislation to facilitate single-payer cost
    reimbursement plans for indigent patients?”

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Day 8: Public Opinion Polls

  • 1. The Internet & Public Opinion Polls
  • 2. Here’s What’s Going On. • Go over Internet Activity from yesterday. • Then, talking about the Internet. • Then, chatting about public opinion polls. • Last, a special surprise.
  • 3. So, what was the point of yesterday? • Websites can look legit, but aren’t. • Pay attention to who made the website (candy association telling you about the nutritional value of candy?) • Just because it says that it has been updated, doesn’t mean it has. • Use Google and other resources to discover more information about any organization
  • 4. A Quick Word About Wikipedia… • NOT an authoritative source • HOWEVER, it can be very useful – Good starting point – Check the sources cited at the bottom for good resources
  • 5. Future of the Internet and Politics? • Obama Campaign – Mobilize large number of people cheaply – YouTube = free advertising – Fact checking – Spreading the message across social networks (Facebook, Myspace etc.) – More efficient communication
  • 6. Public Opinion Polls • Why use public opinion polls? – Candidates want to discover public preferences – Political analysts want to know about public opinion – Media find it to be an interesting story
  • 7. Types of Polls • Straw – Attempt to discover the public’s opinion by asking the same question to a large number of people – Common on TV, talk radio & Internet
  • 8. • Scientific poll – Valid questions! – Random sample – Large sample
  • 9. 5 steps to conducting a scientific poll 1. Define the population to be polled. 2. Construct a sample. 3. Prepare valid questions. 4. Select and control the means by which the poll will be taken 5. Report your findings
  • 10. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Double negative – An affirmative constructed from two negatives – Ex. “I did not want to not go to the store.” – Better = “I wanted to go to the store.”
  • 11. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Double-barreled – A pair of options is offered but the response alternatives are only “Yes” or “No” – Ex. “Did you vote in the 2004 and the 2006 election?” – How can we make this better?
  • 12. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Leading – Initial phrase leads respondent by suggesting the position of an authority with which it might be difficult to disagree. – Ex. “Do you support President Bush’s decision to send additional troops to Iraq?” – Better = “Do you favor or oppose sending additional troops to Iraq?”
  • 13. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Question order – The order of questions may be designed to “lead” the respondent to a certain predictable response.
  • 14. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Unbalanced questions – Do not equally represent two sides of an issue – Ex. “Do you support the United States taking military action against Iraq?” – Better = “Do you support or oppose the United States taking military action against Iraq?”
  • 15. Avoiding “Bad” Questions • Complex language – Questions are worded awkwardly or use highly specific or technical language – Ex. “Do you think Congress should pass legislation to facilitate single-payer cost reimbursement plans for indigent patients?”