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Derivatives and Risk Management

      Chapter 1: Introduction



                     - Mr. Amol Padhye

                    September 23, 2012
Definition
  What is the definition of Derivatives ?
       In finance, a security whose price is dependent on or derived from one or more
     underlying assets.
       The derivative itself is merely a contract between two or more parties, with a value
     determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset, which could be stocks, bonds,
     commodities, currencies, interest rates, and market indexes.
       Most derivatives are characterized by high leverage.


  What do you mean by Risk Management ?
       Risk management is the identification, assessment and prioritization of risks
     followed by coordinated and economical application of resources to minimize,
     monitor, and control the probability and/or impact of unfortunate events or to
     maximize the realization of opportunities.
       The strategies to manage risk include transferring the risk to another party,
     avoiding the risk, reducing the negative effect of the risk, and accepting some or all
     of the consequences of a particular risk.

Derivatives and Risk Management                    - Mr. Amol Padhye                      ‹#›
Derivatives: Utility
 Derivatives are used by investors to:

     Provide leverage or gearing, such that a small movement in the underlying value can cause a
   large difference in the value of the derivative


     Speculate and to make a profit if the value of the underlying asset moves the way they expect
   (e.g., moves in a given direction, stays in or out of a specified range, reaches a certain level)


    Hedge or mitigate risk in the underlying, by entering into a derivative contract whose value
   moves in the opposite direction to their underlying position and cancels part or all of it out


     Obtain exposure to underlying where it is not possible to trade in the underlying


     Create optionability where the value of the derivative is linked to a specific condition or event
   (e.g., the underlying reaching a specific price level)




Derivatives and Risk Management                          - Mr. Amol Padhye                           ‹#›
Hedging v/s Speculation
 Hedging:

     Hedging is a technique that attempts to reduce risk. In this respect, derivatives can be
   considered a form of insurance.


     Portfolio managers, individual investors and corporations use hedging techniques to reduce their
   exposure to various risks.


     For example, if you buy house insurance, you are hedging yourself against fires, break-ins or
   other unforeseen disasters.


     In financial markets, however, hedging becomes more complicated than simply paying an
   insurance company a fee every year. Hedging against investment risk means strategically using
   instruments in the market to offset the risk of any adverse price movements. In other words,
   investors hedge one investment by making another.




Derivatives and Risk Management                        - Mr. Amol Padhye                         ‹#›
Hedging v/s Speculation
 Speculation

     Derivatives can be used to acquire risk, rather than to insure or hedge against risk.

     Enter into a derivative contract to speculate on the value of the underlying asset, betting that
   the other party will be wrong about the future value of the underlying asset.

     Speculators will want to be able to buy an asset in the future at a low price according to a
   derivative contract when the future market price is high, or to sell an asset in the future at a high
   price according to a derivative contract when the future market price is low.

      Speculation should not be considered purely a form of gambling, as speculators do make
   informed decision before choosing to acquire the additional risks.

     Speculation cannot be categorized as a traditional investment because the acquired risk is
   higher than average.

     For example: Land speculation occurs when investors pay higher prices for land they hope will
   be developed or converted to a more intensive use in the near future.



Derivatives and Risk Management                          - Mr. Amol Padhye                            ‹#›
Are Derivatives Bad ?
 Warren Buffet defined Derivatives as “financial weapons of mass
destruction”

 In light of recent Credit Crisis, whether the Derivatives are bad ?




                                           NO
     Derivatives by itself can not be bad / dangerous.


     It is the user of the instrument and its intentions define the quality.




Derivatives and Risk Management                           - Mr. Amol Padhye                ‹#›
Risk Management – Market & Liquidity Risk
 Market & Liquidity Risk, Counterparty Risk

     Market risk is defined as the risk of losses in on-balance sheet and off balance sheet positions
   arising from movements in market prices


     Liquidity risk is the risk that the organisation cannot meet its payment obligations as and when
   they fall due.


     Following broad category of risks form part of market risks:
         Interest Rate Risk
         Foreign Exchange Risk
         Commodity Risk
         Equity Risk


     Counterparty Risk concept is gaining momentum. It is a bit different from Credit Risk but tries to
   focus on combined market & credit risk aspects.




Derivatives and Risk Management                        - Mr. Amol Padhye                           ‹#›
Risk Management – Credit Risk
 Credit Risk
      Credit risk is the risk of loss due to a debtor's non-payment of a loan or other line of credit (either the principal or
   interest (coupon) or both)


 Four Cs of Credit Analysis
     Character
         Refers to management’s integrity and its commitment to repay the load or any other line of credit.
         Management’s ability to react appropriately to unexpected events.

     Covenant
          Terms and conditions the borrowing and lending parties have agreed as part of bond issue.
          Affirmative covenants require debtor to take certain actions viz. pay interest etc.
          Negative covenants prohibit the borrower from taking certain actions viz. maintaining certain ratios,
       limitations on taking additional debt etc.

     Collateral
          The assets offered as security for the debt as other assets controlled by issuer.

     Capacity to Pay
         Refers to borrower’s ability to generate cash flows or liquidate short term assets to repay its debt
       obligations.
         Firms liquidity position is key determining factor in its capacity to pay.


Derivatives and Risk Management                                   - Mr. Amol Padhye                                    ‹#›
Risk Management – Operational Risk
 Operational Risk

     Operational risk is the risk of incurring an economic loss due to inadequate or failed internal
   processes, or due to external events, whether these events are deliberate, accidental or natural
   occurrences. The management of operational risk is underpinned by an analysis of the cause -
   event - effect chain.


     An operational risk is a risk arising from execution of a company's business functions.


     Operational risk encompasses legal risk, tax risk, information system risk and compliance risks.


 Common cases of Operational Risks:
     Settlement Risk
     Delay in sending / receiving deal confirmations
     Overdue reconciliation items
     Shortage of head count etc.
     System failure



Derivatives and Risk Management                        - Mr. Amol Padhye                          ‹#›
Risk Management – Other Risk Categories
 Break-Even / Business Risk:
     Break-even risk is the risk of negative operating income (excluding impact of other risks like
   market risk or operational risk) due to the inability to match costs to revenues. This situation may
   result from changes of the business environment and lack of flexibility in the cost structure that
   would let adjust costs in due course.


 Reputation Risk
     Reputation risk is the risk of damaging the trust of the customers, counterparties, suppliers,
   employees, shareholders, regulators and any other stakeholders whose trust is an essential
   condition for the Bank to carry out its day-to-day operations.


 Strategic risk
     Strategic risk is the risk of market share price fall because of the Bank’s strategic choices.


 Country / Sovereign Risk
     Risk arising from operating in specific country depending on fiscal, monetary, tax, legal
   regulations.


Derivatives and Risk Management                         - Mr. Amol Padhye                             ‹#›
Typical Derivatives & Risk Management Products
    Foreign Exchange Products                   Interest Rate Products
        Fx Spot                                     Interest Rate Swaps
        Fx Forward                                  Cross Currency Swaps
        Fx Future                                   Swaption
        Fx Swap                                     Forward Rate Agreement
        Fx Options                                  Interest Rate Options


    Equity Products                             Credit Products
        Cash Equity                                 Credit Default Swap
        Equity Futures                              Credit Linked Notes
        Equity Options                              Collateralised Debt obligation


    Money Market Product                        Fixed Income Products
        Call Money                                  Sovereign Bonds
        REPO & Reverse REPO                         Treasury Bills
        Liquidity Adjustment Facility               Corporate Bonds
        CBLO
        Certificate of Deposits                 Exotic Products
        Commercial Papers                           Any combination of one or more of the all
        Non convertible Debentures                  above products

Derivatives and Risk Management                - Mr. Amol Padhye                            ‹#›

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Lecture 1 - 23 september 2012

  • 1. Derivatives and Risk Management Chapter 1: Introduction - Mr. Amol Padhye September 23, 2012
  • 2. Definition What is the definition of Derivatives ? In finance, a security whose price is dependent on or derived from one or more underlying assets. The derivative itself is merely a contract between two or more parties, with a value determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset, which could be stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, interest rates, and market indexes. Most derivatives are characterized by high leverage. What do you mean by Risk Management ? Risk management is the identification, assessment and prioritization of risks followed by coordinated and economical application of resources to minimize, monitor, and control the probability and/or impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the realization of opportunities. The strategies to manage risk include transferring the risk to another party, avoiding the risk, reducing the negative effect of the risk, and accepting some or all of the consequences of a particular risk. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 3. Derivatives: Utility Derivatives are used by investors to: Provide leverage or gearing, such that a small movement in the underlying value can cause a large difference in the value of the derivative Speculate and to make a profit if the value of the underlying asset moves the way they expect (e.g., moves in a given direction, stays in or out of a specified range, reaches a certain level) Hedge or mitigate risk in the underlying, by entering into a derivative contract whose value moves in the opposite direction to their underlying position and cancels part or all of it out Obtain exposure to underlying where it is not possible to trade in the underlying Create optionability where the value of the derivative is linked to a specific condition or event (e.g., the underlying reaching a specific price level) Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 4. Hedging v/s Speculation Hedging: Hedging is a technique that attempts to reduce risk. In this respect, derivatives can be considered a form of insurance. Portfolio managers, individual investors and corporations use hedging techniques to reduce their exposure to various risks. For example, if you buy house insurance, you are hedging yourself against fires, break-ins or other unforeseen disasters. In financial markets, however, hedging becomes more complicated than simply paying an insurance company a fee every year. Hedging against investment risk means strategically using instruments in the market to offset the risk of any adverse price movements. In other words, investors hedge one investment by making another. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 5. Hedging v/s Speculation Speculation Derivatives can be used to acquire risk, rather than to insure or hedge against risk. Enter into a derivative contract to speculate on the value of the underlying asset, betting that the other party will be wrong about the future value of the underlying asset. Speculators will want to be able to buy an asset in the future at a low price according to a derivative contract when the future market price is high, or to sell an asset in the future at a high price according to a derivative contract when the future market price is low. Speculation should not be considered purely a form of gambling, as speculators do make informed decision before choosing to acquire the additional risks. Speculation cannot be categorized as a traditional investment because the acquired risk is higher than average. For example: Land speculation occurs when investors pay higher prices for land they hope will be developed or converted to a more intensive use in the near future. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 6. Are Derivatives Bad ? Warren Buffet defined Derivatives as “financial weapons of mass destruction” In light of recent Credit Crisis, whether the Derivatives are bad ? NO Derivatives by itself can not be bad / dangerous. It is the user of the instrument and its intentions define the quality. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 7. Risk Management – Market & Liquidity Risk Market & Liquidity Risk, Counterparty Risk Market risk is defined as the risk of losses in on-balance sheet and off balance sheet positions arising from movements in market prices Liquidity risk is the risk that the organisation cannot meet its payment obligations as and when they fall due. Following broad category of risks form part of market risks: Interest Rate Risk Foreign Exchange Risk Commodity Risk Equity Risk Counterparty Risk concept is gaining momentum. It is a bit different from Credit Risk but tries to focus on combined market & credit risk aspects. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 8. Risk Management – Credit Risk Credit Risk Credit risk is the risk of loss due to a debtor's non-payment of a loan or other line of credit (either the principal or interest (coupon) or both) Four Cs of Credit Analysis Character Refers to management’s integrity and its commitment to repay the load or any other line of credit. Management’s ability to react appropriately to unexpected events. Covenant Terms and conditions the borrowing and lending parties have agreed as part of bond issue. Affirmative covenants require debtor to take certain actions viz. pay interest etc. Negative covenants prohibit the borrower from taking certain actions viz. maintaining certain ratios, limitations on taking additional debt etc. Collateral The assets offered as security for the debt as other assets controlled by issuer. Capacity to Pay Refers to borrower’s ability to generate cash flows or liquidate short term assets to repay its debt obligations. Firms liquidity position is key determining factor in its capacity to pay. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 9. Risk Management – Operational Risk Operational Risk Operational risk is the risk of incurring an economic loss due to inadequate or failed internal processes, or due to external events, whether these events are deliberate, accidental or natural occurrences. The management of operational risk is underpinned by an analysis of the cause - event - effect chain. An operational risk is a risk arising from execution of a company's business functions. Operational risk encompasses legal risk, tax risk, information system risk and compliance risks. Common cases of Operational Risks: Settlement Risk Delay in sending / receiving deal confirmations Overdue reconciliation items Shortage of head count etc. System failure Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 10. Risk Management – Other Risk Categories Break-Even / Business Risk: Break-even risk is the risk of negative operating income (excluding impact of other risks like market risk or operational risk) due to the inability to match costs to revenues. This situation may result from changes of the business environment and lack of flexibility in the cost structure that would let adjust costs in due course. Reputation Risk Reputation risk is the risk of damaging the trust of the customers, counterparties, suppliers, employees, shareholders, regulators and any other stakeholders whose trust is an essential condition for the Bank to carry out its day-to-day operations. Strategic risk Strategic risk is the risk of market share price fall because of the Bank’s strategic choices. Country / Sovereign Risk Risk arising from operating in specific country depending on fiscal, monetary, tax, legal regulations. Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›
  • 11. Typical Derivatives & Risk Management Products Foreign Exchange Products Interest Rate Products Fx Spot Interest Rate Swaps Fx Forward Cross Currency Swaps Fx Future Swaption Fx Swap Forward Rate Agreement Fx Options Interest Rate Options Equity Products Credit Products Cash Equity Credit Default Swap Equity Futures Credit Linked Notes Equity Options Collateralised Debt obligation Money Market Product Fixed Income Products Call Money Sovereign Bonds REPO & Reverse REPO Treasury Bills Liquidity Adjustment Facility Corporate Bonds CBLO Certificate of Deposits Exotic Products Commercial Papers Any combination of one or more of the all Non convertible Debentures above products Derivatives and Risk Management - Mr. Amol Padhye ‹#›