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Economy of USA

     By:
           Kushagra Sharma [12DCP-057]
           Prodyot Parashar [12DCP-083]
           Raj Kumar Singh [12DCP-089]
Introduction

• Consists of 50 districts and a federal district, with Washington, D.C. as its capital.

• At 3.79 million square miles and with over 314 million people, it is the 4th largest country by total
  area, and 3rd largest by population.

• One of the world's most ethnically diverse and multicultural nations, the product of large-scale
  immigration from many countries.

• US economy is the largest in the world with a GDP of $ 15.1 trillion.

• Ranks 9th in the world in nominal GDP per capita.
Contd..

• Its currency U.S. dollar ($) is the world's primary reserve currency.

• It is the largest importer of goods and third largest exporter.

• In 2010, the total U.S. trade deficit was $635 billion.

• Canada, China, Mexico, Japan, and Germany are its top trading partners & China is the largest
  foreign holder of U.S. public debt.

• In 2009, the private sector was estimated to constitute 86.4% of the economy, federal
  government activity 4.3% and state and local government activity 9.3%.
STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY

• World’s largest

• Free Market (Actually mixed economy)
  Low government regulations

• Impacts world markets
  Biggest trading partner to 60 countries
STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY

• Highest labour force participation rate
  139.396 million employed



• US Industry Sectors

  • Agriculture  1.2%
  • Industrial  19.6%
  • Services  79.2%
• GDP
                 •   IIP
• GNP
• CPI
                 •   PPI
• WPI            •   Exports
• Inflation      •   Imports
• Unemployment   •   Balance of Trade
Gross domestic product (GDP)



  Market value of all officially recognized final goods and services
           produced within a country in a given period.
Gross domestic product (GDP)
                                                           GDP of USA
                   16.00                                                                                  15.09
                                                                          13.96   14.22           14.45
                                                                                          13.86
                   14.00                                   13.31
                                                   12.56
                                           11.80
                   12.00
                           10.59   11.09
                   10.00
GDP in Trillions




                    8.00

                    6.00

                    4.00

                    2.00

                    0.00
                            2002    2003    2004    2005    2006           2007   2008    2009    2010     2011
                                                                   Year
Gross domestic product (GDP) Growth Rate
                                                       GDP Growth Rate of USA
                  4.00%                    3.48%
                                                   3.08%                                               3.02%
                  3.00%            2.55%                     2.66%
                           1.83%                                             1.91%                             1.70%
                  2.00%


                  1.00%
GDP Growth Rate




                  0.00%                                                              -0.36%
                            2002    2003    2004    2005       2006           2007    2008     2009     2010    2011
                  -1.00%


                  -2.00%


                  -3.00%
                                                                                              -3.53%
                  -4.00%
                                                                      Year
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)



Total income earned by the nation’s factors of production, regardless of
                            where located
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)
                                                           GNP of USA
                   16.00                                                                                  15.23
                                                                          14.10   14.39           14.64
                                                           13.63                          13.94
                   14.00                           12.76
                                           11.91
                   12.00   10.66   11.14
                   10.00
GNP in Trillions




                    8.00

                    6.00

                    4.00

                    2.00

                    0.00
                            2002    2003    2004    2005    2006           2007   2008    2009    2010     2011
                                                                   Year
GDP COMPARISON
                                   GDP (2001)
            GDP(2010)
                                         Japan
                                          13%     US
                 US
                                                 32%
                22%

                           China
   Others
                            11%                          China
    65%                              Others
                           India                          3%
                                      51%
                      Japan 3%                         India
                       8%                               1%
INFLATION RATE
                                                      Inflation Rate in USA
                   4.5
                     4                                                           3.8
                                               3.4
                   3.5                                      3.2                                       3.2
                     3                  2.7                               2.8
                   2.5           2.3
Inflation Rate %




                     2    1.6                                                                  1.6
                   1.5
                     1
                   0.5
                     0                                                                  -0.4
                   -0.5   2002   2003   2004   2005         2006          2007   2008   2009   2010   2011

                    -1                                             Year
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
                                                   Unemployment Rate in USA
                      12

                      10                                                              9.3    9.6
                                                                                                     9
                      8
Unemployment Rate %




                           5.8     6                                           5.8
                      6                  5.5    5.1
                                                           4.6          4.6
                      4

                      2

                      0
                           2002   2003   2004   2005      2006          2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
                                                                 Year
WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX (WPI)
                                                        WPI of USA
      140   127.73
                     117.37            120.45
      120                     109.85            109.69 104.67
                                                                        100
      100                                                                      93.18
                                                                                       87.75   83.3   85.26   84.32
       80
WPI




       60

       40

       20

       0
             2011     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006          2005   2004    2003    2002   2001    2000
                                                                 YEAR
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (IIP)

                                                               IIP of USA
              0
                      2011      2010    2009      2008      2007    2006          2005   2004   2003   2002   2001      2000
       -500,000

      -1,000,000                                                                                                     -1,337,014
      -1,500,000                                         -1,796,005      -1,932,149                      -1,875,032
                                                                                                 -2,044,631
                                                                                         -2,093,794
      -2,000,000                     -2,321,770                  -2,191,653      -2,253,026
                             -2,473,599
IIP




      -2,500,000

      -3,000,000                               -3,260,158
      -3,500,000
                   -4,030,250
      -4,000,000

      -4,500,000
                                                                           YEAR
PPI
HUMAN DEVELPOMENT INDEX (HDI)
HUMAN DEVELPOMENT INDEX (HDI)


                             Human Development Index for USA

                                                                   Gross        GNI per
          Human            Life                    Expected
                                    Mean years                    National    capita rank   Non Income
Year   Development    expectancy at                 years of
                                    of schooling               Income (GNI)   minus HDI        HDI
        Index (HDI)       birth                    schooling
                                                                 per capita      rank



2011      0.910           78.5          12.4         16.0        43,017           6           0.931
HUMAN DEVELPOMENT INDEX (HDI)
                                      HDI for USA
      0.915

                                                                              0.91
       0.91                                                           0.908
                                                      0.907
                                                              0.906
                                      0.905
      0.905                   0.904
                      0.902
HDI




        0.9
              0.897
      0.895


       0.89
              2000    2005    2006    2007            2008    2009    2010    2011
                                               Year
Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade
Fiscal Deficit



                 $1.3 Trillion
Fiscal Deficit



                 More than 8%
                 of GDP
Fiscal Deficit



                 Close to the
                 1930’s Deficit
US Borrowings




From Bank And Investors
From Foreign Governments
From World Bank
US Borrowings
Measures

Monetary policy
• Fed responded to the problems by reducing the federal funds target
  and the discount rate.
• Beginning on September 18, 2007, and ending on December
  16, 2008, the target was reduced from 5¼% to a range between 0%
  and ¼%, where it currently remains.
• Purchasing longer-term securities--specifically, Treasury, agency, and
  agency mortgage-backed securities--on the open market.
Measures

Fiscal Policy
• Deteriorated since the onset of the financial crisis and the recession.

• Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections :
   deficit to fall from current 9 percent of GDP to 5 percent of GDP by 2015, but then to
   rise to about 6-1/2 percent of GDP by 2020.


• To stabilize the ratio of federal debt to the GDP the primary budget deficit
  must be reduced to 0.4.
SUMMARY THOUGHTS
       •Economic growth signals are still positive and
       consumption is apparently rebounding, while
GOOD   corporate earnings are strong.



       Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all
 BAD   loom as potential caution flags that could reverse
       the good news story

       Government debt and overall debt are not going away
UGLY   as major issues that could reduce long term growth and
       lead to unpleasant outcomes


                                                   33
SUMMARY THOUGHTS
       •Economic growth signals are still positive and
       consumption is apparently rebounding, while
GOOD   corporate earnings are strong.



       Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all
 BAD   loom as potential caution flags that could reverse
       the good news story

       Government debt and overall debt are not going away
UGLY   as major issues that could reduce long term growth and
       lead to unpleasant outcomes


                                                   34
Conclusion
• The U.S. economy will be firing on more cylinders in 2011
• Net exports will contribute to growth and housing will (hopefully) stop
  being a drag by mid-year; nonresidential construction has turned the
  corner
• The pace of consumer spending has also accelerated, thanks to a gradual
  improvement in the employment outlook and diminished worries about a
  double-dip
• By far the best news is that business optimism is the highest in three years
  and cash flow remains very strong
• The Obama-Republican tax package will add around 0.6 percentage point
  to growth in 2011, but much of the recent rebound is not stimulus related
• Don’t expect any significant action on the deficit until after 2012
• Bottom line: growth in the next few year swill average 3% to 3.5%
                                                            35
Thank You


            36

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Economy of USA- An Current overview

  • 1. Economy of USA By: Kushagra Sharma [12DCP-057] Prodyot Parashar [12DCP-083] Raj Kumar Singh [12DCP-089]
  • 2. Introduction • Consists of 50 districts and a federal district, with Washington, D.C. as its capital. • At 3.79 million square miles and with over 314 million people, it is the 4th largest country by total area, and 3rd largest by population. • One of the world's most ethnically diverse and multicultural nations, the product of large-scale immigration from many countries. • US economy is the largest in the world with a GDP of $ 15.1 trillion. • Ranks 9th in the world in nominal GDP per capita.
  • 3. Contd.. • Its currency U.S. dollar ($) is the world's primary reserve currency. • It is the largest importer of goods and third largest exporter. • In 2010, the total U.S. trade deficit was $635 billion. • Canada, China, Mexico, Japan, and Germany are its top trading partners & China is the largest foreign holder of U.S. public debt. • In 2009, the private sector was estimated to constitute 86.4% of the economy, federal government activity 4.3% and state and local government activity 9.3%.
  • 4. STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY • World’s largest • Free Market (Actually mixed economy) Low government regulations • Impacts world markets Biggest trading partner to 60 countries
  • 5. STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY • Highest labour force participation rate 139.396 million employed • US Industry Sectors • Agriculture  1.2% • Industrial  19.6% • Services  79.2%
  • 6.
  • 7. • GDP • IIP • GNP • CPI • PPI • WPI • Exports • Inflation • Imports • Unemployment • Balance of Trade
  • 8. Gross domestic product (GDP) Market value of all officially recognized final goods and services produced within a country in a given period.
  • 9. Gross domestic product (GDP) GDP of USA 16.00 15.09 13.96 14.22 14.45 13.86 14.00 13.31 12.56 11.80 12.00 10.59 11.09 10.00 GDP in Trillions 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year
  • 10. Gross domestic product (GDP) Growth Rate GDP Growth Rate of USA 4.00% 3.48% 3.08% 3.02% 3.00% 2.55% 2.66% 1.83% 1.91% 1.70% 2.00% 1.00% GDP Growth Rate 0.00% -0.36% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -1.00% -2.00% -3.00% -3.53% -4.00% Year
  • 11. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) Total income earned by the nation’s factors of production, regardless of where located
  • 12. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) GNP of USA 16.00 15.23 14.10 14.39 14.64 13.63 13.94 14.00 12.76 11.91 12.00 10.66 11.14 10.00 GNP in Trillions 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year
  • 13. GDP COMPARISON GDP (2001) GDP(2010) Japan 13% US US 32% 22% China Others 11% China 65% Others India 3% 51% Japan 3% India 8% 1%
  • 14. INFLATION RATE Inflation Rate in USA 4.5 4 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.2 3 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.3 Inflation Rate % 2 1.6 1.6 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.4 -0.5 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -1 Year
  • 15. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Unemployment Rate in USA 12 10 9.3 9.6 9 8 Unemployment Rate % 5.8 6 5.8 6 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6 4 2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year
  • 16. WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX (WPI) WPI of USA 140 127.73 117.37 120.45 120 109.85 109.69 104.67 100 100 93.18 87.75 83.3 85.26 84.32 80 WPI 60 40 20 0 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 YEAR
  • 17. INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (IIP) IIP of USA 0 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 -500,000 -1,000,000 -1,337,014 -1,500,000 -1,796,005 -1,932,149 -1,875,032 -2,044,631 -2,093,794 -2,000,000 -2,321,770 -2,191,653 -2,253,026 -2,473,599 IIP -2,500,000 -3,000,000 -3,260,158 -3,500,000 -4,030,250 -4,000,000 -4,500,000 YEAR
  • 18. PPI
  • 20. HUMAN DEVELPOMENT INDEX (HDI) Human Development Index for USA Gross GNI per Human Life Expected Mean years National capita rank Non Income Year Development expectancy at years of of schooling Income (GNI) minus HDI HDI Index (HDI) birth schooling per capita rank 2011 0.910 78.5 12.4 16.0 43,017 6 0.931
  • 21. HUMAN DEVELPOMENT INDEX (HDI) HDI for USA 0.915 0.91 0.91 0.908 0.907 0.906 0.905 0.905 0.904 0.902 HDI 0.9 0.897 0.895 0.89 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year
  • 25.
  • 26. Fiscal Deficit $1.3 Trillion
  • 27. Fiscal Deficit More than 8% of GDP
  • 28. Fiscal Deficit Close to the 1930’s Deficit
  • 29. US Borrowings From Bank And Investors From Foreign Governments From World Bank
  • 31. Measures Monetary policy • Fed responded to the problems by reducing the federal funds target and the discount rate. • Beginning on September 18, 2007, and ending on December 16, 2008, the target was reduced from 5¼% to a range between 0% and ¼%, where it currently remains. • Purchasing longer-term securities--specifically, Treasury, agency, and agency mortgage-backed securities--on the open market.
  • 32. Measures Fiscal Policy • Deteriorated since the onset of the financial crisis and the recession. • Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections : deficit to fall from current 9 percent of GDP to 5 percent of GDP by 2015, but then to rise to about 6-1/2 percent of GDP by 2020. • To stabilize the ratio of federal debt to the GDP the primary budget deficit must be reduced to 0.4.
  • 33. SUMMARY THOUGHTS •Economic growth signals are still positive and consumption is apparently rebounding, while GOOD corporate earnings are strong. Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all BAD loom as potential caution flags that could reverse the good news story Government debt and overall debt are not going away UGLY as major issues that could reduce long term growth and lead to unpleasant outcomes 33
  • 34. SUMMARY THOUGHTS •Economic growth signals are still positive and consumption is apparently rebounding, while GOOD corporate earnings are strong. Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all BAD loom as potential caution flags that could reverse the good news story Government debt and overall debt are not going away UGLY as major issues that could reduce long term growth and lead to unpleasant outcomes 34
  • 35. Conclusion • The U.S. economy will be firing on more cylinders in 2011 • Net exports will contribute to growth and housing will (hopefully) stop being a drag by mid-year; nonresidential construction has turned the corner • The pace of consumer spending has also accelerated, thanks to a gradual improvement in the employment outlook and diminished worries about a double-dip • By far the best news is that business optimism is the highest in three years and cash flow remains very strong • The Obama-Republican tax package will add around 0.6 percentage point to growth in 2011, but much of the recent rebound is not stimulus related • Don’t expect any significant action on the deficit until after 2012 • Bottom line: growth in the next few year swill average 3% to 3.5% 35
  • 36. Thank You 36