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Voting Intention Tracking Poll Sept 2010
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Fine Gael   Fianna Fáil   Labour  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
Fianna Fáil   Fine Gael   Labour  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other General election 2007 March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 Sept 2010 If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
Dec ’ 05 If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 31% 24% 23% Independent Mar ’ 06 Jun ’ 06 Oct ’ 06 Jan ’ 07 Apr ’ 07 May ’ 07 GE 2007 Oct ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 10% Oct ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 3% Apr ’ 09 GE 2002 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 2006 2007 2008 2009 Mar ’10 2010 Sept ’ 10 9%
If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 31% 24% 23% Independent GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 10% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 3% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 May ’ 09 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2008 2009 Feb ’ 10 Mar ’ 10 2010 Apr ’ 10 9% May ’ 10 Jun ’ 10 Sep ’ 10
If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 27 th  June 2010 Excluding undecided Excluding undecided & Rounded 2007 Election Results % % % % Fine Gael 27 31.49 31 27 Fianna Fáil 20 24.20 24 42 Labour 19 22.69 23 10 Sinn Féin 8 9.76 10 7 Green Party  2 2.88 3 5 Independents/Others 8 8.94 9 6 Undecided 16
Confidence in Brian Cowen as Taoiseach  ( Base:  All adults 18+) Agree % AGREE TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Gender Party Support at  last GE Age Disagree 19% 64% Don’t know 17% ABC1 C2DE Dublin ROL Munster Conn/Ulster Social Class Region
Proportion who agree or disagree that they would be more likely to vote Fianna Fail if the party changed leader Agree Disagree Don’t know TOTAL % FG % FF % Labour % 22 17 16 11 20 13 28 Party Preference % Ind. / Other % Un decided % 43% for Enda Kenny when asked about him in Feb ‘09
Confidence in Fine Gael/Labour to manage the public finances out of the current downturn ( Base:  All adults 18+) Agree strongly Agree slightly Disagree slightly Disagree strongly Don’t know Oct  2009 Feb 2010 Sept 2010 30% 34% 27%
Proportion who agree or disagree that they want a general election now ( Base:  All adults 18+) Don’t know Dis agree Agree % Agree TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Gender Party Preference Age

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SBP Sept Poll Report 2010

  • 1. Voting Intention Tracking Poll Sept 2010
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  • 6. Fine Gael Fianna Fáil Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 7. Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other General election 2007 March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 Sept 2010 If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 8. Dec ’ 05 If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 31% 24% 23% Independent Mar ’ 06 Jun ’ 06 Oct ’ 06 Jan ’ 07 Apr ’ 07 May ’ 07 GE 2007 Oct ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 10% Oct ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 3% Apr ’ 09 GE 2002 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 2006 2007 2008 2009 Mar ’10 2010 Sept ’ 10 9%
  • 9. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 31% 24% 23% Independent GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 10% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 3% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 May ’ 09 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2008 2009 Feb ’ 10 Mar ’ 10 2010 Apr ’ 10 9% May ’ 10 Jun ’ 10 Sep ’ 10
  • 10. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 27 th June 2010 Excluding undecided Excluding undecided & Rounded 2007 Election Results % % % % Fine Gael 27 31.49 31 27 Fianna Fáil 20 24.20 24 42 Labour 19 22.69 23 10 Sinn Féin 8 9.76 10 7 Green Party 2 2.88 3 5 Independents/Others 8 8.94 9 6 Undecided 16
  • 11. Confidence in Brian Cowen as Taoiseach ( Base: All adults 18+) Agree % AGREE TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Gender Party Support at last GE Age Disagree 19% 64% Don’t know 17% ABC1 C2DE Dublin ROL Munster Conn/Ulster Social Class Region
  • 12. Proportion who agree or disagree that they would be more likely to vote Fianna Fail if the party changed leader Agree Disagree Don’t know TOTAL % FG % FF % Labour % 22 17 16 11 20 13 28 Party Preference % Ind. / Other % Un decided % 43% for Enda Kenny when asked about him in Feb ‘09
  • 13. Confidence in Fine Gael/Labour to manage the public finances out of the current downturn ( Base: All adults 18+) Agree strongly Agree slightly Disagree slightly Disagree strongly Don’t know Oct 2009 Feb 2010 Sept 2010 30% 34% 27%
  • 14. Proportion who agree or disagree that they want a general election now ( Base: All adults 18+) Don’t know Dis agree Agree % Agree TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Gender Party Preference Age