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STUDY FORECASTS MAJOR
INVESTMENT, GROWTH IN JOBS


   OHIOSHALECOALITION.COM
                             1
THE MISSION
                                                                                        The Ohio Shale Coalition sponsored a research study
                                                                                        focused on the economic impact and opportunities
                                                                                        associated with the development of oil and gas
                                                                                        resources in the Utica Shale. The study was conducted
                                                                                        by researchers at Cleveland State University, The Ohio
                                                                                        State University and Marietta College.

                                                                                        The technologies that have enabled the development
                                                                                        of the Utica Shale - horizontal drilling and improved
                                                                                        hydraulic fracturing - will require considerable
                                                                                        investment by companies in Ohio. There are four
                                                                                        major areas of investment that the Study Team
                                                                                        reviewed for this report:



                        - Leasing, Royalties, and Right-of-Way Payments - Road Construction
                        - Drilling and Completion of Wells
                        - Midstream Infrastructure

                        The Study Team projects the annual production of oil and gas from the Utica Shale will grow to $9.6 billion
                        in 2014, when the total value added will amount to $4.9 billion. Utica Shale development will also support
                        65,680 jobs and generate an additional $3.3 billion in labor income in 2014.




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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                                                                                                                                                     2
THE
                                           THE               FINDINGS
                                                              FINDINGS
                                                                        2011    2011            2012 2012               2013 2013               2014 2014

                             VALUEVALUE ADDED
                                   ADDED                                $162,030,036$878,982,133
                                                                  $162,030,036                       $2,980,378,198
                                                                                          $878,982,133                 $4,857,632,095
                                                                                                           $2,980,378,198    $4,857,632,095

                              EMPLOYMENT
                                   EMPLOYMENT                                2,275 2,275            12,150 12,150           40,606
                                                                                                                                 40,606             65,68065,680

                            LABOR INCOME
                                 LABOR INCOME                             $99,758,497$571,543,463
                                                                    $99,758,497                       $1,994,216,405
                                                                                           $571,543,463                  $3,298,757,195
                                                                                                            $1,994,216,405     $3,298,757,195

                                 OUTPUT
                                      OUTPUT                       $291,574,770     $1,667,574,417
                                                                         $291,574,770                  $5,823,268,396
                                                                                           $1,667,574,417                $9,642,544,988
                                                                                                             $5,823,268,396    $9,642,544,988

                    TOTALTOTAL STATE & LOCAL TAXES $16,522,865
                          STATE & LOCAL TAXES                              $73,422,148 $271,539,607
                                                         $16,522,865 $73,422,148             $271,539,607$433,528,922
                                                                                                               $433,528,922



                                                                                                 incomeincome to be significantly this level. level. impacted by shale de
                                                                                                          to be significantly above above this                  impacted by sh
                                                                                                 Expected average earnings are highesthighest in the
                                                                                                         Expected average earnings are      in the
ted to grow during during
      expected to grow                                                                           professional services sector, sector, following by those on natural natura
                                                                                                         professional services following by those        Ohio Ohio on gas a
        due to increased oil
       in part due to increased oil                                                              directly involved in developing the resources.
                                                                                                         directly involved in developing the resources.  rates are $0.10/bbl an
                                                                                                                                                                rates are $0.10
ue to due to expansion in
      also expansion in                    With the growthgrowth of local service industries
                                                   With the of local service industries                                                                  recovery fee of $0.10/
                                                                                                                                                                recovery fee o
y. For example,
 conomy. For example,                      supplying to oil and oil and gas producers, the number
                                                   supplying to   gas producers, the number      OUTPUT  OUTPUT
  itectural and engi- engi- workers supported by the Utica Shale devel- devel-
  or architectural and                     of      of workers supported by the Utica Shale                                                               value”)value”) are pro
                                                                                                                                                                 are property t
on, improved earn- earn-
      addition, improved                   opment is expected to grow rapidly.rapidly.
                                                   opment is expected to grow                    OutputOutput is the economic development number hydrocarbon reserv
                                                                                                          is the economic development number             of     of hydrocarbo
 e variety of local
n a wide variety of local                                                                        most policy makersmakers lookguidance as to as to
                                                                                                         most policy look to for to for guidance         taxes are assessed by
                                                                                                                                                                taxes are asses
      including for example By 2014, the economic impact impact of development economic impact impact of a particular industry. It taxthe tax revenu
  ng for example more more                         By 2014, the economic of development          the     the economic of a particular industry. It       the     revenue is pai
  ealthcare.
 t, and healthcare.                                                        65,680 jobs. The      is calculated by adding adding theeffects effects of district district politica
                                           will create or support at leastat least 65,680 jobs. The
                                                   will create or support                                is calculated by  the direct direct of                  political subdi
                                           majority of the increase in employment will
                                                   majority of the increase in employment will   expenditures, indirect expenditures from subse- subse- property is locate
                                                                                                         expenditures, indirect expenditures from        gas    gas property is
 pact impact totaled $162come from oil and oil and gas service companies, with
  ded                      totaled $162            come from    gas service companies, with      quent business, and induced effects,effects, is
                                                                                                         quent business, and induced     which which is  benefitbenefit the cou
                                                                                                                                                                 the counties in
 gest hio	
  Shale	
  Coali+on employment doubling between 2013-2014. The3 of	
  	
  9
  	
  ntributors being being
      	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Ocontributors            employment doubling between 2013-2014. The    basically household spending.
                                                                                                         basically household spending.             ohioshalecoali,on.com
                                                                                                                                                         shale development ac
                                                                                                                                                                shale developm
 way payments to land personal serviceservice will also grow signifi- signifi-
 yments to land                                    personal sector sector will also grow
ded impact impact will grow
 lue added                       will grow cantly, with over 16,000 16,000 jobs created or sup-
                                                   cantly, with over jobs created or sup-        The Study Team expect expect outputs to total nearly
                                                                                                         The Study Team outputs to total nearly          Companies that have
                                                                                                                                                                Companies tha 3
VALUE	
  ADDED                                                  EMPLOYMENT                                                           LABOR	
  INCOME

               Total	
  value	
  added	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
               Development	
  of	
  the	
  U=ca	
  Shale	
  will	
                  Based	
  on	
  employment	
  projec=ons,	
  
               grow	
  during	
  the	
  next	
  three	
  years	
  in	
         trigger	
  job	
  growth	
  in	
  four	
  general	
  areas:          wages	
  and	
  benefits	
  for	
  workers	
  will	
  
               part	
  due	
  to	
  increased	
  oil	
  and	
  gas	
                                                                                grow	
  to	
  $3.3	
  billion	
  in	
  2014,	
  with	
  an	
  
                                                                               •field	
  development	
  and	
  supply	
  chain,
               drilling	
  and	
  also	
  due	
  to	
  expansion	
  in	
                                                                            average	
  income	
  of	
  more	
  than	
  
               other	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  economy.	
  For	
                •mixed	
  sources	
  of	
  demand                                    $50,000	
  a	
  year	
  per	
  job.	
  In	
  the	
  
               example,	
  demand	
  will	
  go	
  up	
  for	
                 •professional	
  services                                            majority	
  of	
  growing	
  industries	
  we	
  
               architectural	
  and	
  engi-­‐	
  neering	
                                                                                         expect	
  the	
  average
                                                                               •personal	
  services
               services.	
  In	
  addi=on,	
  improved	
  earn-­‐	
  
                                                                                                                                                    Mixed	
  Sources	
  of	
  Demand
               ings	
  will	
  be	
  spent	
  on	
  a	
  wide	
  variety	
     With	
  the	
  growth	
  of	
  local	
  service	
  
               of	
  local	
  goods	
  and	
  services,	
  including	
         industries	
  supplying	
  to	
  oil	
  and	
  gas	
                 (real	
  estate,	
  insurance,	
  employment	
  
               for	
  example	
  more	
  retail,	
                             producers,	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  workers	
                       services,	
  etc.)
               entertainment,	
  and	
  healthcare.                            supported	
  by	
  the	
  U=ca	
  Shale	
  devel-­‐	
  
                                                                               opment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  grow	
  rapidly.                   6,279	
  Jobs
               In	
  2011,	
  the	
  value	
  added	
  impact	
                                                                                     $38,414	
  Avg.	
  Income
               totaled	
  $162	
  million,	
  with	
  the	
                    By	
  2014,	
  the	
  economic	
  impact	
  of	
  
               biggest	
  contributors	
  being	
  leases	
                    development	
  will	
  create	
  or	
  support	
  at	
               income	
  to	
  be	
  significantly	
  above	
  this	
  
               and	
  right-­‐of-­‐way	
  payments	
  to	
  land	
             least	
  65,680	
  jobs.	
  The	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
           level.	
  Expected	
  average	
  earnings	
  are	
  
               owners.	
  By	
  2014,	
  value	
  added	
                      increase	
  in	
  employment	
  will	
  come	
  from	
               highest	
  in	
  the	
  professional	
  services	
  
               impact	
  will	
  grow	
  to	
  $4.9	
  billion,	
  and	
       oil	
  and	
  gas	
  service	
  companies,	
  with	
                 sector,	
  following	
  by	
  those	
  directly	
  
               more	
  than	
  75%	
  of	
  the	
  value	
  added	
            employment	
  doubling	
  between	
                                  involved	
  in	
  developing	
  the	
  
               impact	
  will	
  come	
  from	
  drilling	
  and	
             2013-­‐2014.	
  The	
  personal	
  service	
  sector	
               resources.
               well	
  maintenance.                                            will	
  also	
  grow	
  signifi-­‐	
  cantly,	
  with	
  over	
  
                                                                               16,000	
  jobs	
  created	
  or	
  sup-­‐	
  ported	
  in	
  
                                                                               2014.	
  This	
  number	
  is	
  a	
  great	
  indicator	
  of	
  
                                                                               the	
  broad	
  effect	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  the	
  
                                                                               U=ca	
  Shale	
  will	
  have	
  on	
  the	
  en=re	
  
                                                                               economy.


	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4
OUTPUT                                                      STATE	
  AND	
  LOCAL	
  TAXES

               Output	
  is	
  the	
  economic	
                           The	
  growth	
  in	
  sales	
  and	
  employment	
  as	
          •Ad	
  Valorem	
  Taxes	
  -­‐	
  (meaning	
  
               development	
  number	
  most	
  policy	
                   a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  U=ca	
  Shale	
  development	
         “based	
  on	
  value”)	
  are	
  property	
  taxes	
  
               makers	
  look	
  to	
  for	
  guidance	
  as	
  to	
       will	
  lead	
  to	
  increases	
  in	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
     based	
  on	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  hydrocarbon	
  
               the	
  economic	
  impact	
  of	
  a	
  par=cular	
         state	
  and	
  local	
  taxes.                                    reserves	
  in	
  the	
  ground.	
  These	
  taxes	
  
               industry.	
  It	
  is	
  calculated	
  by	
  adding	
                                                                          are	
  assessed	
  by	
  the	
  county	
  auditor	
  
               the	
  direct	
  effects	
  of	
  expenditures,	
            There	
  are	
  two	
  forms	
  of	
  taxes	
  that	
  are	
       and	
  the	
  tax	
  revenue	
  is	
  paid	
  to	
  the	
  
               indirect	
  expenditures	
  from	
  subse-­‐	
              directly                                                           county	
  taxing	
  district	
  poli=cal	
  
               quent	
  business,	
  and	
  induced	
  effects,	
                                                                              subdivision	
  where	
  the	
  oil	
  and	
  
                                                                           Professional	
  Services
               which	
  is	
  basically	
  household	
  
               spending.                                                                                                                      Companies	
  that	
  have	
  already	
  seen	
  
                                                                           (engineering,	
  legal,	
  business	
  support,	
  
                                                                                                                                              an	
  increase	
  in	
  demand	
  for	
  their	
  
                                                                           etc.)
               The	
  Study	
  Team	
  expect	
  outputs	
  to	
                                                                              products	
  and	
  services	
  and	
  land	
  
               total	
  nearly	
  $10	
  billion	
  dollars	
  per	
       5,712	
  Jobs                                                      owners	
  who	
  have	
  received	
  lease	
  
               year	
  by	
  2014	
  and	
  those	
  numbers	
  will	
     $69,177	
  Avg.	
  Income                                          bonus	
  and	
  royalty	
  payments	
  
               likely	
  con=nue	
  in	
  this	
  range	
  in	
  the	
                                                                        combined	
  to	
  contribute	
  an	
  
               years	
  beyond	
  the	
  study.                            impacted	
  by	
  shale	
  development:                            addi=onal	
  $16.6	
  million	
  in	
  taxes	
  in	
  
                                                                           •Severance	
  Taxes	
  -­‐	
  imposed	
  by	
  the	
  State	
      2011.
                                                                           of	
  Ohio	
  on	
  natural	
  gas	
  and	
  oil	
  
                                                                           produc=on.	
  Current	
  rates	
  are	
  $0.10/bbl	
               It	
  is	
  projected	
  that,	
  by	
  2014,	
  
                                                                           and	
  $0.025/mcf	
  with	
  a	
  cost	
  recovery	
  fee	
        addi=onal	
  state	
  and	
  local	
  income	
  
                                                                           of	
  $0.10/bbl	
  and	
  $0.005/mcf.                              taxes	
  collected	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                              U=ca	
  Shale	
  development	
  will	
  total	
  
                                                                           gas	
  property	
  is	
  located.	
  This	
  tax	
  will	
         $433.5	
  million.
                                                                           primarily	
  benefit	
  the	
  coun=es	
  in	
  eastern	
  
                                                                           Ohio	
  where	
  shale	
  development	
  ac=vity	
  
                                                                           is	
  greatest.




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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                                                                                                                                                                                                            5
$50,000 a year per job. In the majority of
   numbers will likely continue in this this range in the landgrowing whowho have received lease bonus
        numbers will likely continue in are directly
    There are two forms of taxes thatrange in the              land owners have received lease bonus
                                                                 owners industries we expect the average
        years beyond the study.
   years beyond the study.                                and and royalty payments combined to contribute
                                                                royalty payments combined to contribute
                                                               an additional $16.6 million in taxes in 2011.
                                                          an additional $16.6 million in taxes in 2011.
                 BY 2014: COLUMNS BULLET LIST + IMAGE
        STATE AND LOCAL TAXES
   STATE AND LOCAL TAXES
                       2
         Professional Services
       Field Development & Supply Chain                   It isMixed Sourcesthat, by 2014, additional state
                                                               It is projected of Demand
                                                               projected Services
                                                                 Personal that, by 2014, additional state
d The The growth in sales and employment as a result
        growth in sales and employment as a result        and(real estate, insurance, employmentas a result of
                                                               and local income taxes repair,as a result of etc.)
                                                                local income taxesauto collected services,
         (engineering, development will leadlead
                       legal, business support,to
        of the Utica Shale development will
in of the Utica Shale                            etc.)
       (construction, transport, distribution, etc.) to          (retail, healthcare, collected etc.)
       28,153 the amount of state and and local taxes. 6,279 Jobs development totaltotal $433.5
         5,712 Jobs
        increases in the amount of state local taxes.
   increases in
                                                          the Utica Shale development will will $433.5
                                                               the Utica Shale
                                                                 16,066 Jobs
         $69,177 Avg. Income
       $59,451 Avg. Income                                     million. Avg. Income
                                                          million.
                                                               $38,414 Avg. Income
                                                                 $36,018
      There are two two forms of taxes that directly
          There are forms of taxes that are are directly



                       Professional Services
                   Professional Services                                              Personal Services
                                                                                  Personal Services
)                  (engineering, legal, business support, etc.)etc.)
                       (engineering, legal, business support,                     (retail, healthcare, autoauto repair, etc.)
                                                                                       (retail, healthcare, repair, etc.)
                      5,712 Jobs
                   5,712 Jobs                                                        16,066 Jobs
                                                                                  16,066 Jobs
                      $69,177 Avg. Income
                   $69,177 Avg. Income                                               $36,018 Avg. Income
                                                                                  $36,018 Avg. Income




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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ABOUT THE STUDY
                                                                  The Study Team used very conservative projections for all
                                                                  variables used in the economic development model. Industry
                                                                  experts and company representatives who were interviewed
                                                                  by the Study Team gave a range of estimates from very
                                                                  modest to very optimistic. The Study Team opted for averages
                                                                  and omitted some possible economic benefits, such as
                                                                  projections on future spending and engagement of Ohio
                                                                  businesses in future Utica Shale development.

                                                                  The Study Team used very conservative projections for all
                                                                  variables used in the economic development model. Industry
                                                                  experts and company representatives who were interviewed
                                                                  by the Study Team gave a range of estimates from very
                                                                  modest to very optimistic.

                   The Study Team opted for averages and omitted some possible economic benefits, such as projections on
                   future spending and engagement of Ohio businesses in future Utica Shale development.

                   Additionally, the Study Team did not include the “downstream” benefits of Utica Shale development in the
                   study. “Downstream” impact can be described as the benefit to Ohio as a whole from the oil and gas industry
                   operating in the state, particularly in the industries that consume oil and gas in their operations, such as oil
                   refining, fertilizer production, and the chemical and polymer sector.

                   It should be noted that Ohio’s shale industry is in its early stages and new data is gathered every day. As
                   more information becomes available, the public will get a more accurate picture of the economic impact of
                   the development of the Utica Shale. It is also important to point out this study only projects to 2014, and the
                   Study Team expects the industry to continue to be growing in Ohio. It is likely that the economic impact of
                   the Utica Shale development in Ohio will still be growing beyond the end date of this study.

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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                                                                                                                                        7
ABOUT THE OHIO SHALE COALITION

                         STUDY TEAM                                                             The Ohio Shale Coalition is a broad-based, state-
                                                                                                wide partnership for affordable
                         Dr. Andrew R. Thomas Executive in Residence
                                                                                                energy and jobs. Its membership includes local
                         Energy Policy Center
                         Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs at                       chambers of commerce, businesses, development
                         Cleveland State University                                             organizations and individuals who seek to
                                                                                                maximize the jobs and economic potential of shale
                         Dr. Iryna Lendel, Assistant Director, Center for
                         Economic Development                                                   gas and affordable energy production in Ohio.
                         Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs
                                                                                                The major focus of the Ohio Shale Coalition is on
                         Cleveland State University
                                                                                                the potential of shale energy to drive economic
                         Dr. Robert Chase                                                       development and job growth in every corner of
                         Chair and Benedum Professor Department of
                                                                                                Ohio. From land payments and pipelines to the
                         Petroleum Engineering and Geology Marietta College
                                                                                                entire supply chain and supporting infrastructure,
                         Dr. Douglas Southgate Co-Director, Subsurface                          the opportunity to create thousands of jobs for
                         Energy Resource Center
                                                                                                Ohio- ans and achieve prosperity for our state is
                         Professor, Department of Agricultural, Environmental,
                                                                                                tremendous. At the same time, the Ohio Shale
                         and Development Economics Ohio State University
                                                                                                Coalition supports sound government poli- cies
                         Dr. Edward W. Hill Dean, Maxine Goodman Levin
                                                                                                that promote affordable energy, job growth and
                         College of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University
                                                                                                protect our state and its citizens.




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
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Ohio Shale Study

  • 1. STUDY FORECASTS MAJOR INVESTMENT, GROWTH IN JOBS OHIOSHALECOALITION.COM 1
  • 2. THE MISSION The Ohio Shale Coalition sponsored a research study focused on the economic impact and opportunities associated with the development of oil and gas resources in the Utica Shale. The study was conducted by researchers at Cleveland State University, The Ohio State University and Marietta College. The technologies that have enabled the development of the Utica Shale - horizontal drilling and improved hydraulic fracturing - will require considerable investment by companies in Ohio. There are four major areas of investment that the Study Team reviewed for this report: - Leasing, Royalties, and Right-of-Way Payments - Road Construction - Drilling and Completion of Wells - Midstream Infrastructure The Study Team projects the annual production of oil and gas from the Utica Shale will grow to $9.6 billion in 2014, when the total value added will amount to $4.9 billion. Utica Shale development will also support 65,680 jobs and generate an additional $3.3 billion in labor income in 2014.            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 2 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 2
  • 3. THE THE FINDINGS FINDINGS 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 VALUEVALUE ADDED ADDED $162,030,036$878,982,133 $162,030,036 $2,980,378,198 $878,982,133 $4,857,632,095 $2,980,378,198 $4,857,632,095 EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT 2,275 2,275 12,150 12,150 40,606 40,606 65,68065,680 LABOR INCOME LABOR INCOME $99,758,497$571,543,463 $99,758,497 $1,994,216,405 $571,543,463 $3,298,757,195 $1,994,216,405 $3,298,757,195 OUTPUT OUTPUT $291,574,770 $1,667,574,417 $291,574,770 $5,823,268,396 $1,667,574,417 $9,642,544,988 $5,823,268,396 $9,642,544,988 TOTALTOTAL STATE & LOCAL TAXES $16,522,865 STATE & LOCAL TAXES $73,422,148 $271,539,607 $16,522,865 $73,422,148 $271,539,607$433,528,922 $433,528,922 incomeincome to be significantly this level. level. impacted by shale de to be significantly above above this impacted by sh Expected average earnings are highesthighest in the Expected average earnings are in the ted to grow during during expected to grow professional services sector, sector, following by those on natural natura professional services following by those Ohio Ohio on gas a due to increased oil in part due to increased oil directly involved in developing the resources. directly involved in developing the resources. rates are $0.10/bbl an rates are $0.10 ue to due to expansion in also expansion in With the growthgrowth of local service industries With the of local service industries recovery fee of $0.10/ recovery fee o y. For example, conomy. For example, supplying to oil and oil and gas producers, the number supplying to gas producers, the number OUTPUT OUTPUT itectural and engi- engi- workers supported by the Utica Shale devel- devel- or architectural and of of workers supported by the Utica Shale value”)value”) are pro are property t on, improved earn- earn- addition, improved opment is expected to grow rapidly.rapidly. opment is expected to grow OutputOutput is the economic development number hydrocarbon reserv is the economic development number of of hydrocarbo e variety of local n a wide variety of local most policy makersmakers lookguidance as to as to most policy look to for to for guidance taxes are assessed by taxes are asses including for example By 2014, the economic impact impact of development economic impact impact of a particular industry. It taxthe tax revenu ng for example more more By 2014, the economic of development the the economic of a particular industry. It the revenue is pai ealthcare. t, and healthcare. 65,680 jobs. The is calculated by adding adding theeffects effects of district district politica will create or support at leastat least 65,680 jobs. The will create or support is calculated by the direct direct of political subdi majority of the increase in employment will majority of the increase in employment will expenditures, indirect expenditures from subse- subse- property is locate expenditures, indirect expenditures from gas gas property is pact impact totaled $162come from oil and oil and gas service companies, with ded totaled $162 come from gas service companies, with quent business, and induced effects,effects, is quent business, and induced which which is benefitbenefit the cou the counties in gest hio  Shale  Coali+on employment doubling between 2013-2014. The3 of    9  ntributors being being          Ocontributors employment doubling between 2013-2014. The basically household spending. basically household spending. ohioshalecoali,on.com shale development ac shale developm way payments to land personal serviceservice will also grow signifi- signifi- yments to land personal sector sector will also grow ded impact impact will grow lue added will grow cantly, with over 16,000 16,000 jobs created or sup- cantly, with over jobs created or sup- The Study Team expect expect outputs to total nearly The Study Team outputs to total nearly Companies that have Companies tha 3
  • 4. VALUE  ADDED EMPLOYMENT LABOR  INCOME Total  value  added  is  expected  to   Development  of  the  U=ca  Shale  will   Based  on  employment  projec=ons,   grow  during  the  next  three  years  in   trigger  job  growth  in  four  general  areas: wages  and  benefits  for  workers  will   part  due  to  increased  oil  and  gas   grow  to  $3.3  billion  in  2014,  with  an   •field  development  and  supply  chain, drilling  and  also  due  to  expansion  in   average  income  of  more  than   other  parts  of  the  economy.  For   •mixed  sources  of  demand $50,000  a  year  per  job.  In  the   example,  demand  will  go  up  for   •professional  services majority  of  growing  industries  we   architectural  and  engi-­‐  neering   expect  the  average •personal  services services.  In  addi=on,  improved  earn-­‐   Mixed  Sources  of  Demand ings  will  be  spent  on  a  wide  variety   With  the  growth  of  local  service   of  local  goods  and  services,  including   industries  supplying  to  oil  and  gas   (real  estate,  insurance,  employment   for  example  more  retail,   producers,  the  number  of  workers   services,  etc.) entertainment,  and  healthcare. supported  by  the  U=ca  Shale  devel-­‐   opment  is  expected  to  grow  rapidly. 6,279  Jobs In  2011,  the  value  added  impact   $38,414  Avg.  Income totaled  $162  million,  with  the   By  2014,  the  economic  impact  of   biggest  contributors  being  leases   development  will  create  or  support  at   income  to  be  significantly  above  this   and  right-­‐of-­‐way  payments  to  land   least  65,680  jobs.  The  majority  of  the   level.  Expected  average  earnings  are   owners.  By  2014,  value  added   increase  in  employment  will  come  from   highest  in  the  professional  services   impact  will  grow  to  $4.9  billion,  and   oil  and  gas  service  companies,  with   sector,  following  by  those  directly   more  than  75%  of  the  value  added   employment  doubling  between   involved  in  developing  the   impact  will  come  from  drilling  and   2013-­‐2014.  The  personal  service  sector   resources. well  maintenance. will  also  grow  signifi-­‐  cantly,  with  over   16,000  jobs  created  or  sup-­‐  ported  in   2014.  This  number  is  a  great  indicator  of   the  broad  effect  the  development  of  the   U=ca  Shale  will  have  on  the  en=re   economy.            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 4 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 4
  • 5. OUTPUT STATE  AND  LOCAL  TAXES Output  is  the  economic   The  growth  in  sales  and  employment  as   •Ad  Valorem  Taxes  -­‐  (meaning   development  number  most  policy   a  result  of  the  U=ca  Shale  development   “based  on  value”)  are  property  taxes   makers  look  to  for  guidance  as  to   will  lead  to  increases  in  the  amount  of   based  on  the  value  of  hydrocarbon   the  economic  impact  of  a  par=cular   state  and  local  taxes. reserves  in  the  ground.  These  taxes   industry.  It  is  calculated  by  adding   are  assessed  by  the  county  auditor   the  direct  effects  of  expenditures,   There  are  two  forms  of  taxes  that  are   and  the  tax  revenue  is  paid  to  the   indirect  expenditures  from  subse-­‐   directly county  taxing  district  poli=cal   quent  business,  and  induced  effects,   subdivision  where  the  oil  and   Professional  Services which  is  basically  household   spending. Companies  that  have  already  seen   (engineering,  legal,  business  support,   an  increase  in  demand  for  their   etc.) The  Study  Team  expect  outputs  to   products  and  services  and  land   total  nearly  $10  billion  dollars  per   5,712  Jobs owners  who  have  received  lease   year  by  2014  and  those  numbers  will   $69,177  Avg.  Income bonus  and  royalty  payments   likely  con=nue  in  this  range  in  the   combined  to  contribute  an   years  beyond  the  study. impacted  by  shale  development: addi=onal  $16.6  million  in  taxes  in   •Severance  Taxes  -­‐  imposed  by  the  State   2011. of  Ohio  on  natural  gas  and  oil   produc=on.  Current  rates  are  $0.10/bbl   It  is  projected  that,  by  2014,   and  $0.025/mcf  with  a  cost  recovery  fee   addi=onal  state  and  local  income   of  $0.10/bbl  and  $0.005/mcf. taxes  collected  as  a  result  of  the   U=ca  Shale  development  will  total   gas  property  is  located.  This  tax  will   $433.5  million. primarily  benefit  the  coun=es  in  eastern   Ohio  where  shale  development  ac=vity   is  greatest.            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 5 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 5
  • 6. $50,000 a year per job. In the majority of numbers will likely continue in this this range in the landgrowing whowho have received lease bonus numbers will likely continue in are directly There are two forms of taxes thatrange in the land owners have received lease bonus owners industries we expect the average years beyond the study. years beyond the study. and and royalty payments combined to contribute royalty payments combined to contribute an additional $16.6 million in taxes in 2011. an additional $16.6 million in taxes in 2011. BY 2014: COLUMNS BULLET LIST + IMAGE STATE AND LOCAL TAXES STATE AND LOCAL TAXES 2 Professional Services Field Development & Supply Chain It isMixed Sourcesthat, by 2014, additional state It is projected of Demand projected Services Personal that, by 2014, additional state d The The growth in sales and employment as a result growth in sales and employment as a result and(real estate, insurance, employmentas a result of and local income taxes repair,as a result of etc.) local income taxesauto collected services, (engineering, development will leadlead legal, business support,to of the Utica Shale development will in of the Utica Shale etc.) (construction, transport, distribution, etc.) to (retail, healthcare, collected etc.) 28,153 the amount of state and and local taxes. 6,279 Jobs development totaltotal $433.5 5,712 Jobs increases in the amount of state local taxes. increases in the Utica Shale development will will $433.5 the Utica Shale 16,066 Jobs $69,177 Avg. Income $59,451 Avg. Income million. Avg. Income million. $38,414 Avg. Income $36,018 There are two two forms of taxes that directly There are forms of taxes that are are directly Professional Services Professional Services Personal Services Personal Services ) (engineering, legal, business support, etc.)etc.) (engineering, legal, business support, (retail, healthcare, autoauto repair, etc.) (retail, healthcare, repair, etc.) 5,712 Jobs 5,712 Jobs 16,066 Jobs 16,066 Jobs $69,177 Avg. Income $69,177 Avg. Income $36,018 Avg. Income $36,018 Avg. Income            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 6 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 6
  • 7. ABOUT THE STUDY The Study Team used very conservative projections for all variables used in the economic development model. Industry experts and company representatives who were interviewed by the Study Team gave a range of estimates from very modest to very optimistic. The Study Team opted for averages and omitted some possible economic benefits, such as projections on future spending and engagement of Ohio businesses in future Utica Shale development. The Study Team used very conservative projections for all variables used in the economic development model. Industry experts and company representatives who were interviewed by the Study Team gave a range of estimates from very modest to very optimistic. The Study Team opted for averages and omitted some possible economic benefits, such as projections on future spending and engagement of Ohio businesses in future Utica Shale development. Additionally, the Study Team did not include the “downstream” benefits of Utica Shale development in the study. “Downstream” impact can be described as the benefit to Ohio as a whole from the oil and gas industry operating in the state, particularly in the industries that consume oil and gas in their operations, such as oil refining, fertilizer production, and the chemical and polymer sector. It should be noted that Ohio’s shale industry is in its early stages and new data is gathered every day. As more information becomes available, the public will get a more accurate picture of the economic impact of the development of the Utica Shale. It is also important to point out this study only projects to 2014, and the Study Team expects the industry to continue to be growing in Ohio. It is likely that the economic impact of the Utica Shale development in Ohio will still be growing beyond the end date of this study.            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 7 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 7
  • 8. ABOUT THE OHIO SHALE COALITION STUDY TEAM The Ohio Shale Coalition is a broad-based, state- wide partnership for affordable Dr. Andrew R. Thomas Executive in Residence energy and jobs. Its membership includes local Energy Policy Center Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs at chambers of commerce, businesses, development Cleveland State University organizations and individuals who seek to maximize the jobs and economic potential of shale Dr. Iryna Lendel, Assistant Director, Center for Economic Development gas and affordable energy production in Ohio. Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs The major focus of the Ohio Shale Coalition is on Cleveland State University the potential of shale energy to drive economic Dr. Robert Chase development and job growth in every corner of Chair and Benedum Professor Department of Ohio. From land payments and pipelines to the Petroleum Engineering and Geology Marietta College entire supply chain and supporting infrastructure, Dr. Douglas Southgate Co-Director, Subsurface the opportunity to create thousands of jobs for Energy Resource Center Ohio- ans and achieve prosperity for our state is Professor, Department of Agricultural, Environmental, tremendous. At the same time, the Ohio Shale and Development Economics Ohio State University Coalition supports sound government poli- cies Dr. Edward W. Hill Dean, Maxine Goodman Levin that promote affordable energy, job growth and College of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University protect our state and its citizens.            Ohio  Shale  Coali+on 8 of    9 ohioshalecoali,on.com 8