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ThinkVis 5 -
Russell McAthy –Attribution
@therustybear

02/03/13
Stream:20 Introduction

Stream:20 is the performance driven digital marketing consultancy




www.steam20.com             @stream20                 @therustybear
Definition of Attribution



Web Analytics Demystified defines marketing attribution as:

“The process of quantifying the
impact of multiple marketing
exposures and touch-points
preceding a desired outcome”
Why you look at attribution



                              Understand
           Media
                                Cost of
          Planning
                               Channels

                    Customer
                     Journey
Should we even consider doing Attribution?

                        Cumulative # of Sales
            100%

             95%

             90%

             85%

             80%
                    1      2          3        4      5   6
                               # of Clicks to Convert


If you optimise to last click – you’re going to get a lot of them!
What do we actually mean when
we say “Attribution”
What do we mean when we say Attribution?

 Multi Channel         Multi Channel
                                          Multi Channel
 Attribution –          Attribution –
                                           Attribution -
Different Digital      Multiple Digital
                                          Digital to Store
    Channels              Screens




 Multi Channel Attribution – Logged in
                Users
Digital to Offline/Store….
Multi Channel Attribution - Digital to “Offline”

Understanding the offline impact of online digital marketing and
presence.

          Website        Apps



Digital
                                                   Radio      TV
                                 Display
Video               Digital      Media




                                           Store                        Call

          Smart           PPC
                           Ad
                                                     “Offline”         Centre

           TV             Copy



                                                   Print      Events
Multi Channel Attribution - Digital to “Offline”

WHY?
• Offline is still largest channel for big businesses
• Get a better view of that annoying “direct” channel
• Reduction in overall business spend
• OR move spend into digital – YAY!

HOW?
• Vanity URL’s (and redirects)
• Offer Codes
• Being a maths Genius (Correlation etc.)
• Experiments vs Control
Multiple Screens – Myths &
Realities
Is this the only way it can work?


     Visit                   Visit                  Visit                  Visit             Visit
      1                       2                      3                      4                 5



   TV Reviews                 Buy a TV            Samsung TV             Samsung ES8000       Buy a Bra
                                                    Reviews
IP Address & Device ID   Username: Dom_inater   IP Address / Device ID      Username:     Username: Dom_inater
                                                                            Dom_inater         / Device ID


                                                                         Dom’s Customer   Dom’s Customer
        Dom’s Customer Journey                    Disconnect!
                                                                            Journey         Journey??
Cross Channel Analytics /
Multi-Channel
Last Click vs First Click

        Last Click          First Click

          SEO -              Display
        Unbranded             Click


                             PPC -
          Email
                            Generic



        PPC Brand            Direct
Differing Models
         Touchpoint
                      1     2     3     4      5


Linear                20%   20%   20%   20%   20%




First/Last                                    100%
                      0%    0%    0%    0%




Time Decay                        20%
                                        30%   40%
                      2%    8%




Position              40%
                            8%          8%
                                              40%
                                  4%
Recommended Model




• Key questions:
   – What period click window should be used?
   – What period impression window should be used?
   – What influence does an impression have against a click?
   – What influence does each individual click in the click path have?
Attribution Driving Factors

There are a number of elements that can be used to drive a variance in
the attribution calculation.

   Sequence /       • Taking into consideration the order / relationship and/or volume of touchpoints
    Location

   Recency /        • Taking into consideration the time between touchpoints
   Frequency

Channel / Channel   • Individual channels impact on the propensity to purchase. Also breaking the
    Specific          analysis past the channel level to keywords / creative etc.


   Impression       • Understanding the impact an impression has on all future visits
  Relationship

Customer Insight    • Understanding the influence customer knowledge has on future sales (MGM)
Multi Channel Attribution – Different Digital Channels




Last Click Sales



    1100           1000         80         500         400         100

Attributed Sales



    1000           800         350         450         350         230


                   “Its great, but…the total sales number is the same…
                   the costs are the same….
                   What can we do with this model to help the business?”
How to use Attribution?


     Channel                Site Experience
                                                   Customer Insight
    Management                   Insight
• Distribution of Cost   • Understanding         • Connecting digital
  and time                 customer / prospect     data to customer
• Incremental spend        site interaction        data
  distribution and       • How you can           • What channels drive
  management               improve design          the highest value
• Understanding            based on marketing      customers
  impact of                interaction           • What customers do
  impression led                                   you attract with
  media                                            different campaigns
Improving Customer Engagement

         What we know about…                        What we know about…
          Onsite Behaviour                          Marketing Interactions


             Landing pages                          Historical Channel Mix
          Content Consumption                            Keyword Use
           Micro Conversions                        Paid/Free Channel Split




 Combining the available knowledge within attribution to improve the customer engagement

                            Customised Landing Pages
          Custom Menu’s to improve navigation based on previous activity
               Dynamic Landing pages based on Marketing Activity
Understanding Customer Propensity



     Awareness                           Consideration                                 Purchase


        Visit 1:                                                        Re-visiting the Sky
No Previous Knowledge                                                    Sports Package
     of Customer                                                         and navigating
                                                                           through the
                                                                        booking flow – no
                                 Visit 2:                                   purchase
                        Customised Landing Page
                           with Product Links
                            focusing on sport
                                                               Visit 3:
                                                         Landing page sports
        Navigated to
                                                         focused with links to
       Sports Section
                                                               product
                         Sports navigation
                                                                                                      Visit 4:
                            followed by
                                                                                              Sales Focused landing
                           looking at Sky
                          Sports Package                                                      page with sport copy
                            with Sky+HD
Thanks



 Thanks for listening – for more
         information…

  www.stream20.com
    @stream20

   Russell McAthy
www.russellmcathy.com
   @therustybear

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Digital Attribution - models and how to talk about attribution to a business - ThinkVis9 (Mar13) - Russell McAthy

  • 1. ThinkVis 5 - Russell McAthy –Attribution @therustybear 02/03/13
  • 2. Stream:20 Introduction Stream:20 is the performance driven digital marketing consultancy www.steam20.com @stream20 @therustybear
  • 3. Definition of Attribution Web Analytics Demystified defines marketing attribution as: “The process of quantifying the impact of multiple marketing exposures and touch-points preceding a desired outcome”
  • 4. Why you look at attribution Understand Media Cost of Planning Channels Customer Journey
  • 5. Should we even consider doing Attribution? Cumulative # of Sales 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 1 2 3 4 5 6 # of Clicks to Convert If you optimise to last click – you’re going to get a lot of them!
  • 6. What do we actually mean when we say “Attribution”
  • 7. What do we mean when we say Attribution? Multi Channel Multi Channel Multi Channel Attribution – Attribution – Attribution - Different Digital Multiple Digital Digital to Store Channels Screens Multi Channel Attribution – Logged in Users
  • 9. Multi Channel Attribution - Digital to “Offline” Understanding the offline impact of online digital marketing and presence. Website Apps Digital Radio TV Display Video Digital Media Store Call Smart PPC Ad “Offline” Centre TV Copy Print Events
  • 10. Multi Channel Attribution - Digital to “Offline” WHY? • Offline is still largest channel for big businesses • Get a better view of that annoying “direct” channel • Reduction in overall business spend • OR move spend into digital – YAY! HOW? • Vanity URL’s (and redirects) • Offer Codes • Being a maths Genius (Correlation etc.) • Experiments vs Control
  • 11. Multiple Screens – Myths & Realities
  • 12. Is this the only way it can work? Visit Visit Visit Visit Visit 1 2 3 4 5 TV Reviews Buy a TV Samsung TV Samsung ES8000 Buy a Bra Reviews IP Address & Device ID Username: Dom_inater IP Address / Device ID Username: Username: Dom_inater Dom_inater / Device ID Dom’s Customer Dom’s Customer Dom’s Customer Journey Disconnect! Journey Journey??
  • 13. Cross Channel Analytics / Multi-Channel
  • 14. Last Click vs First Click Last Click First Click SEO - Display Unbranded Click PPC - Email Generic PPC Brand Direct
  • 15. Differing Models Touchpoint 1 2 3 4 5 Linear 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% First/Last 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% Time Decay 20% 30% 40% 2% 8% Position 40% 8% 8% 40% 4%
  • 16. Recommended Model • Key questions: – What period click window should be used? – What period impression window should be used? – What influence does an impression have against a click? – What influence does each individual click in the click path have?
  • 17. Attribution Driving Factors There are a number of elements that can be used to drive a variance in the attribution calculation. Sequence / • Taking into consideration the order / relationship and/or volume of touchpoints Location Recency / • Taking into consideration the time between touchpoints Frequency Channel / Channel • Individual channels impact on the propensity to purchase. Also breaking the Specific analysis past the channel level to keywords / creative etc. Impression • Understanding the impact an impression has on all future visits Relationship Customer Insight • Understanding the influence customer knowledge has on future sales (MGM)
  • 18. Multi Channel Attribution – Different Digital Channels Last Click Sales 1100 1000 80 500 400 100 Attributed Sales 1000 800 350 450 350 230 “Its great, but…the total sales number is the same… the costs are the same…. What can we do with this model to help the business?”
  • 19. How to use Attribution? Channel Site Experience Customer Insight Management Insight • Distribution of Cost • Understanding • Connecting digital and time customer / prospect data to customer • Incremental spend site interaction data distribution and • How you can • What channels drive management improve design the highest value • Understanding based on marketing customers impact of interaction • What customers do impression led you attract with media different campaigns
  • 20. Improving Customer Engagement What we know about… What we know about… Onsite Behaviour Marketing Interactions Landing pages Historical Channel Mix Content Consumption Keyword Use Micro Conversions Paid/Free Channel Split Combining the available knowledge within attribution to improve the customer engagement Customised Landing Pages Custom Menu’s to improve navigation based on previous activity Dynamic Landing pages based on Marketing Activity
  • 21. Understanding Customer Propensity Awareness Consideration Purchase Visit 1: Re-visiting the Sky No Previous Knowledge Sports Package of Customer and navigating through the booking flow – no Visit 2: purchase Customised Landing Page with Product Links focusing on sport Visit 3: Landing page sports Navigated to focused with links to Sports Section product Sports navigation Visit 4: followed by Sales Focused landing looking at Sky Sports Package page with sport copy with Sky+HD
  • 22. Thanks Thanks for listening – for more information… www.stream20.com @stream20 Russell McAthy www.russellmcathy.com @therustybear