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20.02.2013



                                                                                            Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker:                   6758 JT            Sony Corp                                                         Benchmark:                                             SONY CORPORATION manufactures audio, home video game consoles,
                                             Tokyo: 6758, Currency: JPY                                        TOPIX INDEX (TOKYO) (TPX)                              communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer
Currency:
                                                                                                                                                                      and professional markets. The Company's other businesses include music, pictures,
                                                                                                                                                                      computer entertainment, and online businesses.
Sector: Consumer Discretionary        Industry: Household Durables                                                Year:
Telephone         81-3-6748-2111                         Revenue (M)                               6'493'212   Business Segments in JPY                                       Sales (M)   Geographic Segments in JPY                                   Sales (M)
Website           www.sony.net                           No of Employees                             162'700   Consumer Products & Services                                    3061214    Japan                                                         2104669
Address           1-7-1 Konan Minato-ku Tokyo Japan                                                            Professional, Device, & Solutions                                967603    Europe                                                        1268258
Share Price Performance in JPY                                                                                 Financial Services                                               868971    United States                                                 1211849
Price                            1355.00                 1M Return                                    17.9%    Motion Pictures Production                                       656097    Rest of the World                                              776846
52 Week High                     1795.39                 6M Return                                    45.2%    Music Production                                                 430751    Asia & the Pacific Region                                      636489
52 Week Low                       772.00                 52 Wk Return                                -17.7%    Other - Disk Manufacturing, etc.                                 378071    China                                                          495101
52 Wk Beta                           1.57                YTD Return                                   41.4%    Sony Mobile                                                       77732
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg                   -
                                                                                                                                        6% 1%
                                                                                                                                            0%                                                                    8%
S&P                       BBB        Date                25.09.2012                  Outlook            NEG                      7%
Moody's                  Baa3        Date                09.11.2012                  Outlook            NEG                                                                                                10%
Fitch                       -        Date                -                           Outlook            NEG                                                                                                                                   31%
                                                                                                                           10%
Valuation Ratios
                         3/09        3/10        3/11          3/12         3/13E         3/14E       3/15E                                                            48%                           12%
P/E                          -           -           -             -       118.6x         26.1x       23.1x
EV/EBIT                      -      105.4x       12.3x             -             -             -           -
                                                                                                                           13%
EV/EBITDA                12.6x        8.3x        4.7x          7.1x          4.0x          3.7x        3.7x
P/S                       0.3x        0.5x        0.4x          0.3x          0.2x          0.2x        0.2x
P/B                       0.7x        1.2x        1.0x          0.8x          0.7x          0.7x        0.7x                                                                                               19%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20%
Div Yield                2.1%        0.7%        0.9%          1.5%          1.8%          1.8%        1.7%                           15%
Profitability Ratios %
                        3/09         3/10        3/11          3/12        3/13E          3/14E       3/15E                       Consumer Products & Services
Gross Margin            19.7         22.9        23.3           21.1        27.7           28.0        28.4                       Professional, Device, & Solutions                                               Japan
EBITDA Margin             2.3          5.6         7.3           3.9         7.0            7.5         7.4                       Financial Services                                                              Europe
Operating Margin         -2.9          0.4         2.8          -1.0         1.8            2.7         3.1                       Motion Pictures Production                                                      United States
Profit Margin            -1.3         -0.6        -3.6          -7.0         0.2            0.8         0.9                       Music Production
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Rest of the World
Return on Assets         -0.8         -0.3        -2.0          -3.5         0.2            0.7         0.8                       Other - Disk Manufacturing, etc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Asia & the Pacific Region
Return on Equity         -3.1         -1.4        -9.4         -20.0         0.6            2.7         3.8                       Sony Mobile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  China
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
                        3/09         3/10        3/11          3/12
Current Ratio             1.0         1.0         0.9            0.8                                           Current Capitalization in JPY
Quick Ratio               0.5         0.7         0.6            0.5                                           Common Shares Outstanding (M)                                                                                     1003.6
EBIT/Interest            -9.3         1.4         8.4           -2.9                                           Market Capitalization (M)                                                                                      1371192.5
Tot Debt/Capital          0.3         0.3         0.3            0.3                                           Cash and ST Investments (M)                                                                                    1356279.0
Tot Debt/Equity           0.3         0.4         0.3            0.5                                           Total Debt (M)                                                                                                 1387086.0
Eff Tax Rate %              -        51.9       207.5              -                                           Preferred Equity (M)                                                                                                 0.0
                                                                                                               LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M)                                                                            0.0
                                                                                                               Investments (M)                                                                                                 469241.0
                                                                                                               Enterprise Value (M)                                                                                           1871240.5



                                                                                     Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Sony Corp
Target price in JPY
Broker Recommendation




                                                               Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price




                                                                                                                                                                        Price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Brokers' Target Price
                                                                                                                                                                3'000           1600
                        100%
                                  15%                                                                                             18%                  16%                      1400
                                                                          20%        19%       21%       21%         21%                     21%
                                            24%       25%       25%                                                                                             2'500           1200
                        80%
                                                                                                                                                                                1000
                                                                                                                                                                2'000             800
                        60%                                                                                                                                                       600
                                  70%                                                                                                                  68%      1'500             400
                                            57%                                                                                   71%
                                                      60%                 70%        71%       68%       68%         68%
                                                                65%                                                                          74%                                  200
                        40%
                                                                                                                                                                1'000                0




                                                                                                                                                                                           Morgan Stanley




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mizuho Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Barclays




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mito Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               SMBC Nikko Securities Inc




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ACE Research Institute




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Macquarie
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Credit Suisse




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                JPMorgan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Tokai Tokyo Securities




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Nomura
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Okasan Securities




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    EVA Dimensions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Goldman Sachs




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Deutsche Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                                            TIW
                        20%
                                                                                                                                                                500
                                  15%       19%       15%                                                                                              16%
                                                                10%       10%        10%       11%       11%         11%          12%
                                                                                                                                              5%
                         0%                                                                                                                                     0
                                févr.12    mars.12   avr.12    mai.12    juin.12    juil.12   août.12   sept.12     oct.12      nov.12      déc.12    janv.13
                                                                        Buy         Hold        Sell        Price            Target Price

                               Date                     Buy               Hold                 Sell                        Date             Price Target Price                  Broker                                                                Analyst                                                                                                       Recommendation                                                         Target                                          Date
                               31-Jan-13                 16%                  68%              16%                    20-Feb-13             1355.00        1268.18              Morgan Stanley                                                        MASAHIRO ONO                                                                                                                   Equalwt/In-Line                                                1050.00                             20-Feb-13
                               31-Dec-12                  5%                  74%              21%                    19-Feb-13             1351.00        1268.18              TIW                                                                   TAKAO HATTORI                                                                                                                      neutral                                                                                        18-Feb-13
                               30-Nov-12                 12%                  71%              18%                    18-Feb-13             1329.00        1259.09              Okasan Securities                                                     TAKANOBU MURAKAMI                                                                                                                   sell                                                      1000.00                             14-Feb-13
                               31-Oct-12                 11%                  68%              21%                    15-Feb-13             1313.00        1254.17              Goldman Sachs                                                         TAKASHI WATANABE                                                                                                               neutral/neutral                                                1100.00                             13-Feb-13
                               28-Sep-12                 11%                  68%              21%                    14-Feb-13             1338.00        1254.17              Tokai Tokyo Securities                                                KOUICHIROU HAGIWARA                                                                                                            above average                                                                                       8-Feb-13
                               31-Aug-12                 11%                  68%              21%                    13-Feb-13             1304.00        1254.17              Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.                                             JUNYA AYADA                                                                                                                        neutral                                                    1420.00                              8-Feb-13
                               31-Jul-12                 10%                  71%              19%                    12-Feb-13             1381.00        1235.39              SMBC Nikko Securities Inc                                             KAZUHARU MIURA                                                                                                                  underperform                                                  1100.00                              8-Feb-13
                               29-Jun-12                 10%                  70%              20%                    11-Feb-13             1365.00        1235.39              Credit Suisse                                                         SHUNSUKE TSUCHIYA                                                                                                                  neutral                                                     900.00                              7-Feb-13
                               31-May-12                 10%                  65%              25%                     8-Feb-13             1365.00        1235.39              Nomura                                                                SHIRO MIKOSHIBA                                                                                                                    neutral                                                    1460.00                              7-Feb-13
                               30-Apr-12                 15%                  60%              25%                     7-Feb-13             1519.00        1220.00              EVA Dimensions                                                        CRAIG STERLING                                                                                                                  underweight                                                                                       17-Jan-13
                               30-Mar-12                 19%                  57%              24%                     6-Feb-13             1481.00        1148.00              Barclays                                                              YUJI FUJIMORI                                                                                                                    equalweight                                                   950.00                             21-Dec-12
                               29-Feb-12                 15%                  70%              15%                     5-Feb-13             1447.00        1148.00              JPMorgan                                                              YOSHIHARU IZUMI                                                                                                                    neutral                                                     840.00                             20-Dec-12
                                                                                                                       4-Feb-13             1457.00        1148.00              ACE Research Institute                                                HIDEKI YASUDA                                                                                                                      neutral                                                     860.00                             20-Dec-12
                                                                                                                       1-Feb-13             1355.00        1097.14              Deutsche Bank                                                         YASUO NAKANE                                                                                                                        hold                                                      1200.00                             15-Nov-12
                                                                                                                      31-Jan-13             1362.00        1097.14              Macquarie                                                             DAMIAN THONG                                                                                                                       neutral                                                    1080.00                             12-Nov-12
                                                                                                                      30-Jan-13             1383.00        1097.14              Mizuho Securities                                                     YOSHIHIRO UJIHARA                                                                                                                  neutral                                                    1000.00                              2-Nov-12
                                                                                                                      29-Jan-13             1385.00        1097.14              Mito Securities                                                       KEITA WAKABAYASHI                                                                                                               Neutral Plus                                                                                      18-Aug-10
                                                                                                                      28-Jan-13             1407.00        1097.14
                                                                                                                      25-Jan-13             1290.00        1097.14
                                                                                                                      24-Jan-13             1189.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      23-Jan-13             1167.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      22-Jan-13             1192.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      21-Jan-13             1187.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      18-Jan-13             1149.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      17-Jan-13             1024.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      16-Jan-13              969.00         994.29
                                                                                                                      15-Jan-13              995.00         976.43
                                                                                                                      14-Jan-13              983.00         976.43
                                                                                                                      11-Jan-13              983.00         976.43
                                                                                                                      10-Jan-13              968.00         976.43

                                                                                                                  Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
20.02.2013



Sony Corp
                                                                               Company Analysis - Ownership
                                                                                      Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics                                                                                                                    Geographic Ownership Distribution                                         Geographic Ownership
                                                                                             0%
Shares Outstanding (M)                           1003.6                                                                                 Japan                                       60.66%
Float                                             98.5%                                                                                 United States                               27.66%                              1% 1% 1%2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2%
Short Interest (M)                                                                                                                      Britain                                     5.02%                       5%
Short Interest as % of Float                                                                                     42%                    Uae                                         2.33%
Days to Cover Shorts                                                                                                                    Luxembourg                                  1.07%
Institutional Ownership                         41.93%                                                                                  Ireland                                     0.87%
Retail Ownership                                58.06%                58%                                                               Switzerland                                 0.58%                                                           60%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                28%
Insider Ownership                                0.01%                                                                                  Others                                      1.82%

                                                                                                                                        Institutional Ownership Distribution
                                                                                                                                        Bank                                        46.86%
                                                                                                                                        Investment Advisor                          37.43%
                                                                                                                                        Mutual Fund Manager                         10.95%
                                                            Institutional Ownership      Retail Ownership   Insider Ownership           Unclassified                                2.33%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Japan         United States   Britain          Uae
Pricing data is in JPY                                                                                                                  Others                                      2.43%               Luxembourg    Ireland         Switzerland      Others
Top 20 Owners:                 TOP 20 ALL

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Institutional Ownership
Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                     Market Value            % of Ownership   Report Date                   Source       Country
JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC                        109'016'000          -1'433'000                  147'716'680'000               10.77%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN                             2%         2%
MOXLEY & CO                                  69'745'000           2'804'000                   94'504'475'000                6.89%                       30.09.2012    Co File   UNITED STATES
MASTER TRUST BANK OF                         49'363'000          -1'840'000                   66'886'865'000                4.88%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN                       11%
SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS                         45'399'400        -30'519'600                    61'516'187'000                4.49%                       15.11.2012   ULT-AGG        JAPAN
GLG PARTNERS INVESTM                         18'688'007            -382'300                   25'322'249'485                1.85%                       31.12.2012   MF-AGG        BRITAIN                                                       48%
VANGUARD GROUP INC                           17'311'250             282'954                   23'456'743'750                1.71%                       31.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
NOMURA                                       12'868'600             -92'200                   17'436'953'000                1.27%                       31.01.2013   ULT-AGG
NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME                         11'748'800           2'112'400                   15'919'624'000                1.16%                       15.11.2012   ULT-AGG
TAM TWO                                       9'982'000                   0                   13'525'610'000                0.99%                       30.09.2012    Co File         UAE                             37%
BLACKROCK                                     9'016'430              86'100                   12'217'262'650                0.89%                       15.02.2013   ULT-AGG     UNITED STATES
MELLON BANK NA                                8'777'000            -767'000                   11'892'835'000                0.87%                       31.03.2012    Co File    UNITED STATES
D E SHAW & CO ASIA P                         -6'425'144             140'000                   -8'706'070'120               -0.63%                       13.02.2013     Short      HONG KONG
HIGHBRIDGE INTERNATI                         -6'404'100             -75'000                   -8'677'555'500               -0.63%                       18.02.2013     Short    CAYMAN ISLANDS
DODGE & COX                                   5'789'828            -187'800                    7'845'216'940                0.57%                       29.01.2013   MF-AGG      UNITED STATES   Bank                  Investment Advisor       Mutual Fund Manager
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Unclassified          Others
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN                          5'459'000             -18'000                    7'396'945'000                0.54%                       31.01.2013   ULT-AGG         JAPAN
BTG PACTUAL EUROPE L                         -5'323'198          -1'065'000                   -7'212'933'290               -0.53%                       13.02.2013     Short        BRITAIN
DAIWA SECURITIES GRO                          4'966'100            -502'100                    6'729'065'500                0.49%                       31.01.2013   MF-AGG          JAPAN
MYRIAD OPP MASTER FU                         -4'526'080             250'760                   -6'132'838'400               -0.45%                       14.02.2013     Short    CAYMAN ISLANDS
PINE RIVER FIXED INC                         -4'279'900             -36'200                   -5'799'264'500               -0.42%                       18.02.2013     Short    CAYMAN ISLANDS
D E SHAW & CO HK LTD                         -3'164'307          -3'164'307                   -4'287'635'985               -0.31%                       05.12.2012     Short      HONG KONG
Top 5 Insiders:


Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                      Market Value           % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source
CHUBACHI RYOJI                                   33'000                 1'000                       44'715'000              0.00%                       27.06.2012    Co File
STRINGER HOWARD                                  32'000                                             43'360'000              0.00%                       27.06.2012    Co File
KATO MASARU                                       7'000                                              9'485'000              0.00%                       27.06.2012    Co File
KIMURA KEIJI                                      5'000                 1'000                        6'775'000              0.00%                       27.06.2012    Co File
KOJIMA YORIHIKO                                   5'000                 1'000                        6'775'000              0.00%                       27.06.2012    Co File




                                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials I/IV
Sony Corp
Financial information is in JPY (M)                                                                                                                                                                 Equivalent Estimates
Periodicity:             Fiscal Year                  3/02          3/03        3/04        3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09           3/10         3/11        3/12       3/13E        3/14E           3/15E
Income Statement
Revenue                                          7'578'258     7'473'633    7'496'391   7'159'616   7'510'597    8'295'695   8'871'414    7'729'993      7'213'998    7'181'273   6'493'212   6'625'109   6'834'723        6'865'552
  - Cost of Goods Sold                           5'239'592     4'979'421    5'058'205   5'000'112   5'757'145    6'429'698   6'820'328    6'208'329      5'564'113    5'507'151   5'122'500

Gross Income                                     2'338'666     2'494'212    2'438'186   2'159'504   1'753'452    1'865'997   2'051'086    1'521'664      1'649'885    1'674'122   1'370'712   1'835'155   1'913'722        1'946'384
  - Selling, General & Admin Expenses            2'204'035     2'308'772    2'339'284   2'045'585   1'527'036    1'794'247   1'676'604    1'749'447      1'618'113    1'474'301   1'437'987
          (Research & Dev Costs)                   433'214       443'128      514'483     502'008     531'795      543'937     520'600      497'297        432'001      426'814     433'477

Operating Income                                   134'631       185'440       98'902     113'919     226'416       71'750     374'482     -227'783         31'772     199'821      -67'275    122'430      181'975         211'619
  - Interest Expense                                36'436        27'314       27'849      24'578      28'996       27'278      22'931       24'376         22'505      23'909       23'432
  - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)                 31'736        -1'928      -18'059         524       3'065       18'835      -5'571      -48'568         10'876      -9'297        5'089
  - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)                 8'156       -42'877      -56'669     -97'429    -105'150     -155'054    -210'012      -28'636        -28'521     -19'804      -12'610

Pretax Income                                       58'303       202'931     145'781      186'246     299'505     180'691      567'134     -174'955        26'912      205'013     -83'186     135'360      184'327         218'236
  - Income Tax Expense                              65'211        80'831      52'774       16'044     176'515      53'888      203'478      -72'741        13'958      425'339     315'239

Income Before XO Items                               -6'908      122'100      93'007      170'202     122'990     126'803      363'656     -102'214        12'954     -220'326    -398'425
   - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax                   -5'978            0       2'117        4'713           0           0            0            0             0            0           0
   - Minority Interests                             -16'240        6'581       2'379        1'651        -626         475       -5'779       -3'276        53'756       39'259      58'235

Diluted EPS Before XO Items                                                                                        120.29                   (98.59)        (40.66)     (258.66)    (455.03)

Net Income Adjusted*                                15'310       115'519      88'511      163'838     123'616     126'328      369'435      -98'938        -40'802    -259'585    -456'660      11'954       55'406          60'707
EPS Adjusted                                        16.72        125.74       98.26       180.96      122.58      126.15       368.33        (98.59)        (40.66)    (258.66)    (455.03)     11.43        51.84           58.75
Dividends Per Share                                 25.00         25.00       25.00        25.00       25.00       25.00        25.00         42.50          25.00       25.00       25.00      24.44        25.00           23.39
        Payout Ratio %                              246.4          19.9        25.5         14.3        20.4        19.8           6.8                                                           2.14         0.48            0.40

Total Shares Outstanding                               919           921         924          996       1'001        1'002       1'003        1'004          1'004       1'004       1'004
Diluted Shares Outstanding                             921           999       1'000        1'044       1'046        1'050       1'052        1'003          1'004       1'004       1'004

EBITDA                                             488'766       537'365     465'171      486'784     608'259     471'759      802'492     177'660        402'776      525'187     252'319     464'064      511'283         507'465

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.




                                                                                 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials II/IV
Periodicity:                               3/02        3/03        3/04        3/05         3/06         3/07         3/08         3/09         3/10         3/11         3/12      3/13E      3/14E      3/15E
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets                    3337212     3154214     3363355     3556171      3769524      4546723      5009663      3620635      4132872      3844046      3754962
  + Cash & Near Cash Items               683'800     713'058     849'211     779'103      703'098      799'899    1'086'431      660'789    1'191'608    1'014'412      894'576
  + Short Term Investments               167'323     210'509     279'410     461'694      536'968      493'315      427'709      466'912      579'493      646'171      680'913
  + Accounts & Notes Receivable        1'242'826   1'007'395   1'011'189   1'025'362      985'508    1'369'777    1'090'285      853'454      891'625      743'690      769'915
  + Inventories                          673'437     625'727     666'507     631'349      804'724      940'875    1'021'595      813'068      645'455      704'043      707'052
  + Other Current Assets                 569'826     597'525     557'038     658'663      739'226      942'857    1'383'643      826'412      824'691      735'730      702'506

Total Long-Term Assets                 4'848'583   5'216'331   5'727'307   5'942'929    6'838'229    7'169'639    7'543'076    8'392'876    8'733'242    9'080'942    9'540'705
  + Long Term Investments              1'566'739   1'882'613   2'426'697   2'492'784    3'234'037    3'440'567    3'954'460    4'561'651    5'070'342    5'670'662    6'282'676
         Gross Fixed Assets            3'369'890   3'175'195   3'272'333   3'393'345    3'549'452    3'690'336    3'600'161    3'510'800    3'356'395    3'084'758    2'949'925
         Accumulated Depreciation      1'958'234   1'896'845   1'907'289   2'020'946    2'160'905    2'268'805    2'356'812    2'334'937    2'348'444    2'159'890    2'018'927
  + Net Fixed Assets                   1'411'656   1'278'350   1'365'044   1'372'399    1'388'547    1'421'531    1'243'349    1'175'863    1'007'951      924'868      930'998
  + Other Long Term Assets             1'870'188   2'055'368   1'935'566   2'077'746    2'215'645    2'307'541    2'345'267    2'655'362    2'654'949    2'485'412    2'327'031

Total Current Liabilities              2'558'496   2'435'048   2'982'215   2'809'368    3'200'228    3'551'852    4'023'367    3'810'900    4'059'925    4'126'979    4'529'981
  + Accounts Payable                     767'625     697'385     778'773     806'044      813'332    1'179'694      920'920      560'795      817'118      793'275      758'680
  + Short Term Borrowings                354'063     158'745     475'017     230'266      336'321      108'020      364'431      451'155      284'607      156'828      410'361
  + Other Short Term Liabilities       1'436'808   1'578'918   1'728'425   1'773'058    2'050'575    2'264'138    2'738'016    2'798'950    2'958'200    3'176'876    3'360'940

Total Long Term Liabilities            3'233'521   3'632'580   3'707'587   3'795'547    4'166'572    4'754'836    4'787'434    4'986'009    5'520'634    5'842'107    6'255'565
  + Long Term Borrowings                 838'617     807'439     777'649     678'992      764'898    1'037'849      771'620      660'147      924'207      870'297      762'226
  + Other Long Term Borrowings         2'394'904   2'825'141   2'929'938   3'116'555    3'401'674    3'716'987    4'015'814    4'325'862    4'596'427    4'971'810    5'493'339

Total Liabilities                      5'792'017   6'067'628   6'689'802   6'604'915    7'366'800    8'306'688    8'810'801    8'796'909    9'580'559    9'969'086   10'785'546
  + Long Preferred Equity                                  0           0           0            0            0            0            0            0            0            0
  + Minority Interest                     23'368      22'022      22'858      23'847       37'101       38'970      276'849      251'949      319'650      407'915      481'230
  + Share Capital & APIC               1'444'329   1'460'474   1'473'084   1'755'931    1'760'762    1'770'330    1'782'023    1'785'799    1'788'634    1'790'587    1'791'159
  + Retained Earnings & Other Equity     926'081     820'421     904'918   1'114'407    1'443'090    1'600'374    1'683'066    1'178'854    1'177'271      757'400      237'732

Total Shareholders Equity              2'393'778   2'302'917   2'400'860   2'894'185    3'240'953    3'409'674    3'741'938    3'216'602    3'285'555    2'955'902    2'510'121

Total Liabilities & Equity             8'185'795   8'370'545   9'090'662   9'499'100   10'607'753   11'716'362   12'552'739   12'013'511   12'866'114   12'924'988   13'295'667

Book Value Per Share                    2'580.73    2'477.05    2'573.73    2'881.60     3'200.85     3'363.77     3'453.25     2'954.25     2'955.47     2'538.88     2'021.66   1'961.42   2'001.47   2'065.25
  Tangible Book Value Per Share         1'967.91    1'881.10    2'004.57    2'408.80     2'695.26     2'826.95     3'149.87     2'511.85     2'518.14     1'681.83       945.05




                                                                    Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials III/IV
Periodicity:                              3/02         3/03         3/04         3/05         3/06         3/07       3/08         3/09           3/10         3/11         3/12      3/13E      3/14E      3/15E
Cash Flows
Net Income                              15'310      115'519       88'511      163'838      123'616      126'328    369'435      -98'938        -40'802     -259'585     -456'660     11'954     55'406     60'707
  + Depreciation & Amortization        354'135      351'925      366'269      372'865      381'843      400'009    428'010      405'443        371'004      325'366      319'594
  + Other Non-Cash Adjustments         247'729      164'073      261'857       49'900      -75'297      126'012    -15'626       57'521        260'859      686'770      819'665
  + Changes in Non-Cash Capital        120'422      222'271      -84'002       60'394      -30'304      -91'321    -24'135       43'127        321'846     -136'306     -163'060

Cash From Operating Activities          737'596      853'788      632'635      646'997      399'858      561'028    757'684      407'153        912'907      616'245      519'539
  + Disposal of Fixed Assets             37'434       25'711       33'987       34'184       38'168       87'319    144'741      153'439         15'671       18'743       22'661
  + Capital Expenditures               -388'514     -275'285     -427'344     -453'445     -462'473     -527'515   -474'552     -496'125       -338'050     -253'688     -382'549   -201'429   -204'286   -212'143
  + Increase in Investments            -796'340   -1'136'348   -1'202'730   -1'467'243   -1'405'105   -1'014'906   -103'082   -2'675'118     -1'581'841   -1'458'912   -1'028'150
  + Decrease in Investments             380'303      679'497      826'709      949'442      881'903                                                                             0
  + Other Investing Activities                0            0        7'586        5'890       76'243     739'672    -477'549   1'936'462      1'158'216      979'418       505'152

Cash From Investing Activities         -767'117    -706'425     -761'792     -931'172     -871'264     -715'430    -910'442   -1'081'342      -746'004     -714'439     -882'886
  + Dividends Paid                      -22'951     -22'871      -23'106      -22'978      -24'810      -25'052     -25'098      -42'594       -25'085      -25'098      -25'078
  + Change in Short Term Borrowings     -78'104      -7'970      -57'708       11'397      -11'045        6'096      15'838      244'584      -250'252        6'120      -26'158
  + Increase in Long Term Borrowings    228'999      12'323      267'864       57'232      246'326      270'780      31'093       72'188       510'128        1'499      216'887
  + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings   -171'739    -238'144      -32'042      -94'862     -138'773     -182'374     -34'701     -264'467      -144'105     -216'212     -112'043
  + Increase in Capital Stocks            9'529           0            0            0            0            0       7'484          378           114            0            0
  + Decrease in Capital Stocks                0           0            0            0            0            0           0            0             0            0            0
  + Other Financing Activities          140'342     138'557      110'302      263'278      323'703      176'187     444'674      238'458       273'116      154'689      189'903

Cash From Financing Activities         106'076     -118'105      265'310      214'067      395'401      245'637    439'290      248'547        363'916      -79'002      243'511

Net Changes in Cash                     76'555       29'258      136'153      -70'108      -76'005       91'235    286'532     -425'642        530'819     -177'196     -119'836

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX)             349'082      578'503      205'291      193'552      -62'615       33'513    283'132      -88'972        574'857      362'557      136'990    134'041    182'766    182'424

Free Cash Flow To Firm                 344'765      594'937      223'058      216'013      -50'708       52'656    297'836                     585'690      336'862
Free Cash Flow To Equity                                         417'392      201'503       72'061      215'334    440'103      116'772        706'299      172'707      238'337
Free Cash Flow per Share                380.07       629.01       222.26       207.87       -62.75        33.47     282.28       -88.66         572.84       361.27       136.50




                                                                     Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV
Periodicity:                           3/02    3/03    3/04       3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09        3/10      3/11    3/12    3/13E    3/14E    3/15E
Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios
  Price Earnings                     400.7x   33.4x   44.4x       23.6x       44.5x        47.5x       10.8x                                              118.6x   26.1x    23.1x
  EV to EBIT                          48.4x   21.2x   42.2x       34.6x       23.6x        82.1x       10.4x                   105.4x    12.3x
  EV to EBITDA                        13.3x    7.3x    9.0x        8.1x        8.8x        12.5x        4.8x        12.6x        8.3x     4.7x     7.1x     4.0x     3.7x     3.7x
  Price to Sales                       0.8x    0.5x    0.5x        0.6x        0.7x         0.7x        0.4x         0.3x        0.5x     0.4x     0.3x     0.2x     0.2x     0.2x
  Price to Book                        2.6x    1.7x    1.7x        1.5x        1.7x         1.8x        1.1x         0.7x        1.2x     1.0x     0.8x     0.7x     0.7x     0.7x
  Dividend Yield                      0.4%    0.6%    0.6%        0.6%        0.5%         0.4%        0.6%         2.1%        0.7%     0.9%     1.5%     1.8%     1.8%     1.7%

Profitability Ratios
  Gross Margin                        30.9%   33.4%   32.5%      30.2%        23.3%       22.5%        23.1%       19.7%       22.9%     23.3%    21.1%   27.7%    28.0%    28.4%
  EBITDA Margin                        6.4%    7.2%    6.2%       6.8%         8.1%        5.7%         9.0%        2.3%        5.6%      7.3%     3.9%    7.0%     7.5%     7.4%
  Operating Margin                     1.8%    2.5%    1.3%       1.6%         3.0%        0.9%         4.2%       -2.9%        0.4%      2.8%    -1.0%    1.8%     2.7%     3.1%
  Profit Margin                        0.2%    1.5%    1.2%       2.3%         1.6%        1.5%         4.2%       -1.3%       -0.6%     -3.6%    -7.0%    0.2%     0.8%     0.9%
  Return on Assets                     0.2%    1.4%    1.0%       1.8%         1.2%        1.1%         3.0%       -0.8%       -0.3%     -2.0%    -3.5%    0.2%     0.7%     0.8%
  Return on Equity                     0.7%    5.0%    3.8%       6.2%         4.0%        3.8%        10.8%       -3.1%       -1.4%     -9.4%   -20.0%    0.6%     2.7%     3.8%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios
  Current Ratio                        1.30    1.30    1.13        1.27        1.18         1.28        1.25         0.95        1.02     0.93     0.83
  Quick Ratio                          0.82    0.79    0.72        0.81        0.70         0.75        0.65         0.52        0.66     0.58     0.52
  Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I)     3.69    6.79    3.55        4.63        7.81         2.63       16.33        -9.34        1.41     8.36    -2.87
  Tot Debt/Capital                     0.33    0.30    0.34        0.24        0.25         0.25        0.23         0.26        0.27     0.26     0.32
  Tot Debt/Equity                      0.50    0.42    0.52        0.31        0.34         0.34        0.30         0.35        0.37     0.35     0.47

Others
  Asset Turnover                       0.95    0.90    0.86        0.77        0.75         0.74        0.73         0.63        0.58     0.56     0.50
  Accounts Receivable Turnover         5.97    6.64    7.43        7.03        7.47         7.04        7.21         7.95        8.27     8.78     8.58
  Accounts Payable Turnover            5.87    6.73    6.91        6.27        7.32         6.59        6.57         8.10        7.83     6.91     6.61
  Inventory Turnover                   6.48    7.67    7.83        7.71        8.02         7.37        6.95         6.77        7.63     8.16     7.26

  Effective Tax Rate                 111.8%   39.8%   36.2%       8.6%        58.9%       29.8%        35.9%                   51.9%    207.5%




                                                       Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Peers Comparision
                                                                                                                                                                                                    TECHNICOLOR-
                                         SONY CORP         PANASONIC CORP      SHARP CORP        PIONEER CORP      NINTENDO CO LTD WALT DISNEY CO         LG ELECTRONICS       EASTMAN KODAK                            FUNAI ELECTRIC       CASIO COMPUTER      ALPINE ELEC INC
                                                                                                                                                                                                        REGR

Latest Fiscal Year:                           03/2012             03/2012           03/2012            03/2012             03/2012            09/2012            12/2012              12/2011              12/2011             03/2012              03/2012             03/2012
52-Week High                                  1'832.00              783.00            619.00             434.00           13'120.00              55.95          94'300.00                  0.61                 2.77           1'984.58               833.00            1'160.00
52-Week High Date                           16.03.2012          28.03.2012        29.03.2012         29.03.2012          22.03.2012         19.02.2013         15.03.2012           06.08.2012           20.02.2013          27.02.2012           18.01.2013          29.03.2012
52-Week Low                                     772.00              376.00            142.00             153.00            8'060.00              40.88          55'800.00                  0.14                 1.29             883.00               436.00              597.00
52-Week Low Date                            15.11.2012          06.11.2012        12.10.2012         11.10.2012          25.07.2012         10.04.2012         25.07.2012           05.06.2012           24.04.2012          05.11.2012           04.06.2012          14.11.2012
Daily Volume                                28'336'400          38'447'000        22'984'000          8'238'600             690'500            641'806          1'190'845               24'408            2'071'082             227'900            1'554'300             349'800
  Current Price (2/dd/yy)                     1'355.00              685.00            331.00            201.00            8'740.00               55.59          76'300.00                  0.21                2.71           1'213.00                715.00              864.00
  52-Week High % Change                         -26.0%              -12.5%            -46.5%             -53.7%              -33.4%               -0.7%             -19.1%              -65.8%                -2.2%              -38.9%               -14.2%              -25.5%
  52-Week Low % Change                           75.5%               82.2%            133.1%              31.4%                8.4%              36.0%               36.7%               51.8%              109.9%                37.4%                64.0%               44.7%
Total Common Shares (M)                        1'003.6             2'311.7           1'100.3              321.1               127.9            1'780.0               162.9               271.4               227.3                 34.1                268.9                69.8
  Market Capitalization                   1'371'192.5         1'680'341.6         377'611.4           65'544.9         1'238'187.0         100'355.9        12'486'328.0                  56.6               909.3            43'826.7            199'500.0            60'293.8
Total Debt                                 1'172'587.0         1'575'615.0       1'127'157.0          91'368.0               126.0            14'311.0        5'825'846.0              1'515.0              1'327.0            5'087.0             114'042.0             5'620.0
Preferred Stock                                    -                   -                 -                 -                   -                   -             85'930.0                  -                    -                  -                     -                   -
Minority Interest                            481'230.0            47'780.0          19'226.0           4'924.0                81.0             2'199.0                -                    2.0                  4.0              974.0                 249.0               743.0
Cash and Equivalents                       1'575'489.0           611'469.0         195'113.0          45'953.0           958'322.0             3'387.0        1'464'211.0                861.0                405.0           72'646.0             122'419.0            44'209.0
   Enterprise Value                       1'871'240.5         2'700'320.6       1'373'974.4          137'271.9          280'072.1          116'950.9        16'379'373.2                366.6              1'903.3                       -        204'001.0            33'059.8
                                                                                                                                                            Valuation
Total Revenue                      LFY     6'493'212.0         7'846'216.0       2'455'850.0         436'753.0           647'652.0            42'278.0       25'427'205.2              6'022.0              3'450.0          246'147.0             301'660.0           202'905.0
                                  LTM      6'543'144.0         7'479'178.0       2'245'431.0         447'601.0           632'908.0            42'840.0       25'420'805.0              4'813.0              3'537.0          194'556.0             295'974.0           211'797.0
                                 CY+1      6'625'109.2         7'268'174.7       2'388'732.1         453'168.1           682'149.6            45'144.3                    -                    -            3'577.3          197'451.1             313'871.0           217'814.3
                                 CY+2      6'834'722.9         7'432'332.3       2'500'454.9         475'949.2           942'471.0            47'952.9                    -                    -            3'452.5          225'296.4             325'954.4           229'014.3
EV/Total Revenue                   LFY              0.2x                0.3x              0.5x              0.3x                    -              2.5x                0.6x                 0.1x                0.4x                   -                  0.6x                0.1x
                                  LTM               0.2x                0.3x              0.5x              0.3x                    -              2.5x                0.6x                 0.1x                0.4x                   -                  0.6x                0.1x
                                 CY+1               0.3x                0.4x              0.6x              0.3x                0.6x               2.5x                    -                    -               0.5x               -0.1x                  0.7x                0.1x
                                 CY+2               0.3x                0.4x              0.6x              0.2x                0.4x               2.4x                    -                    -               0.5x                0.0x                  0.6x                0.1x
EBITDA                             LFY       252'319.0           381'837.0         210'873.0          37'082.0            (24'797.0)          10'850.0          458'280.0               (185.0)               438.0            7'008.0              18'342.0            12'389.0
                                  LTM        264'935.0           419'093.0         (22'949.0)         33'238.0              4'234.0           10'959.0          909'662.0               (135.0)               585.0            3'131.0              22'154.0             9'919.0
                                 CY+1        464'063.6           458'110.3          35'686.0          37'161.1             11'813.2           12'295.6                    -                    -              504.8            1'432.0              28'829.0             8'950.0
                                 CY+2        511'282.7           529'634.2         210'445.8          45'581.3             81'689.4           13'434.6                    -                    -              535.5            5'154.0              33'573.9            12'175.0
EV/EBITDA                          LFY              5.7x                6.1x              5.6x              3.4x                    -              9.7x              33.0x                 -1.9x                3.2x                   -                  9.1x                2.2x
                                  LTM               5.4x                5.5x                 -              3.8x                    -              9.6x              16.6x                      -               2.4x                   -                  7.6x                2.8x
                                 CY+1               3.9x                6.2x             41.5x              3.2x               36.9x               9.2x                    -                    -               3.4x                   -                  7.3x                2.5x
                                 CY+2               3.4x                5.2x              6.7x              2.5x                4.8x               8.4x                    -                    -               3.0x                   -                  6.1x                1.5x
EPS                                LFY         -453.16              -163.35                  -            34.00             -337.80                3.08          -1'551.25                -2.72                -1.08                   -                71.67                    -
                                  LTM          -452.67              -571.48           -657.84            -16.62                -7.25               3.06           1'206.00                -2.60                -1.10            -135.52                 22.34               44.59
                                 CY+1            11.43             (330.98)          (375.27)           (15.67)             107.60                3.44                    -                    -               0.16            (156.59)                39.69               20.06
                                 CY+2            51.84               37.36              (1.77)           25.51              372.75                3.89                    -                    -               0.37              34.79                 51.44               57.73
P/E                                LFY                 -                   -                 -                 -                    -             18.2x              63.3x                      -                   -                  -                32.0x               19.4x
                                  LTM                  -                   -                 -                 -                    -             18.2x                    -                    -                   -                  -                     -                   -
                                 CY+1           118.6x                     -                 -                 -               81.2x              16.1x                    -                    -              16.6x                   -                18.0x               43.1x
                                 CY+2             26.1x               18.3x                  -              7.9x               23.4x              14.3x                    -                    -               7.3x              34.9x                 13.9x               15.0x
Revenue Growth                  1 Year           (9.6%)              (9.7%)           (18.7%)            (4.5%)             (36.2%)               3.4%              (9.5%)             (16.0%)                (3.5%)            (16.8%)              (11.7%)                 0.8%
                                5 Year           (4.7%)              (2.7%)            (6.8%)            (8.3%)             (19.0%)               1.8%                1.1%             (16.0%)                (7.6%)             (9.0%)              (12.8%)               (1.8%)
EBITDA Growth                   1 Year         (52.0%)              (43.2%)           (39.9%)          (18.8%)                      -            12.8%                     -                    -           (10.6%)              (1.8%)              (26.5%)             (33.4%)
                                5 Year         (11.8%)              (13.3%)           (11.8%)            (7.1%)                     -             5.5%             (18.1%)                      -           (12.6%)             (24.7%)              (25.5%)               (8.6%)
EBITDA Margin                     LTM              4.0%                5.6%            (1.0%)              7.4%                0.7%              25.6%                3.5%               (2.8%)               16.5%                1.6%                  7.5%                4.7%
                                 CY+1              7.0%                6.3%              1.5%              8.2%                1.7%              27.2%                     -                    -             14.1%                0.7%                  9.2%                4.1%
                                 CY+2              7.5%                7.1%              8.4%              9.6%                8.7%              28.0%                     -                    -             15.5%                2.3%                10.3%                 5.3%
                                                                                                                                                   Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Total Debt / Equity %                           57.8%               81.6%            180.1%             108.6%                 0.0%             36.0%               56.0%                    -              878.8%                 4.1%               76.5%                 5.6%     FALSE    FALSE
Total Debt / Capital %                          31.8%               44.3%             63.6%              50.6%                 0.0%             25.4%               35.7%                    -               89.5%                 3.9%               43.3%                 5.2%     FALSE    FALSE
Total Debt / EBITDA                             4.818x              3.726x                 -             2.750x                    -            1.592x              6.008x                   -               2.265x              1.597x               5.018x              0.480x     FALSE    FALSE
Net Debt / EBITDA                               0.201x              2.600x                 -             1.798x                    -            1.299x              4.185x                   -               1.691x                    -              0.854x                    -    FALSE    FALSE
EBITDA / Int. Expense                          10.768x             13.443x           24.390x            12.849x                    -           19.238x              2.102x             -1.178x               2.844x             55.619x              18.305x            109.637x     FALSE    FALSE
                                                                                                                                                          Credit Ratings
S&P LT Credit Rating                              BBB                 BBB            B+ *-                  NR                  NR                  A               BBB-                   NR                    B                    -                 BBB                     -    FALSE    FALSE
S&P LT Credit Rating Date                   25.09.2012          02.11.2012        05.11.2012         24.08.2012          09.01.2007         22.12.2009         14.10.2011           06.03.2012           23.08.2012                    -          10.06.2010                     -    FALSE    FALSE
Moody's LT Credit Rating                         Baa3                Baa3                WR                 WR                    -                A2               Baa2                   WR                     -                   -                    -                    -    FALSE    FALSE
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date               09.11.2012          20.11.2012        20.04.2012         29.07.2008                    -        23.05.2007         21.01.2010           24.01.2012                     -                   -                    -                    -    FALSE    FALSE



                                                                                                                                 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

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Financial analysis sony corp - sony corporation manufactures audio, home video game consoles, communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer and professional markets

  • 1. 20.02.2013 Company Analysis - Overview Ticker: 6758 JT Sony Corp Benchmark: SONY CORPORATION manufactures audio, home video game consoles, Tokyo: 6758, Currency: JPY TOPIX INDEX (TOKYO) (TPX) communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer Currency: and professional markets. The Company's other businesses include music, pictures, computer entertainment, and online businesses. Sector: Consumer Discretionary Industry: Household Durables Year: Telephone 81-3-6748-2111 Revenue (M) 6'493'212 Business Segments in JPY Sales (M) Geographic Segments in JPY Sales (M) Website www.sony.net No of Employees 162'700 Consumer Products & Services 3061214 Japan 2104669 Address 1-7-1 Konan Minato-ku Tokyo Japan Professional, Device, & Solutions 967603 Europe 1268258 Share Price Performance in JPY Financial Services 868971 United States 1211849 Price 1355.00 1M Return 17.9% Motion Pictures Production 656097 Rest of the World 776846 52 Week High 1795.39 6M Return 45.2% Music Production 430751 Asia & the Pacific Region 636489 52 Week Low 772.00 52 Wk Return -17.7% Other - Disk Manufacturing, etc. 378071 China 495101 52 Wk Beta 1.57 YTD Return 41.4% Sony Mobile 77732 Credit Ratings Bloomberg - 6% 1% 0% 8% S&P BBB Date 25.09.2012 Outlook NEG 7% Moody's Baa3 Date 09.11.2012 Outlook NEG 10% Fitch - Date - Outlook NEG 31% 10% Valuation Ratios 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E 48% 12% P/E - - - - 118.6x 26.1x 23.1x EV/EBIT - 105.4x 12.3x - - - - 13% EV/EBITDA 12.6x 8.3x 4.7x 7.1x 4.0x 3.7x 3.7x P/S 0.3x 0.5x 0.4x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x P/B 0.7x 1.2x 1.0x 0.8x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 19% 20% Div Yield 2.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 15% Profitability Ratios % 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Consumer Products & Services Gross Margin 19.7 22.9 23.3 21.1 27.7 28.0 28.4 Professional, Device, & Solutions Japan EBITDA Margin 2.3 5.6 7.3 3.9 7.0 7.5 7.4 Financial Services Europe Operating Margin -2.9 0.4 2.8 -1.0 1.8 2.7 3.1 Motion Pictures Production United States Profit Margin -1.3 -0.6 -3.6 -7.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 Music Production Rest of the World Return on Assets -0.8 -0.3 -2.0 -3.5 0.2 0.7 0.8 Other - Disk Manufacturing, etc. Asia & the Pacific Region Return on Equity -3.1 -1.4 -9.4 -20.0 0.6 2.7 3.8 Sony Mobile China Leverage and Coverage Ratios 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 Current Ratio 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 Current Capitalization in JPY Quick Ratio 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1003.6 EBIT/Interest -9.3 1.4 8.4 -2.9 Market Capitalization (M) 1371192.5 Tot Debt/Capital 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Cash and ST Investments (M) 1356279.0 Tot Debt/Equity 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 Total Debt (M) 1387086.0 Eff Tax Rate % - 51.9 207.5 - Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 469241.0 Enterprise Value (M) 1871240.5 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings Sony Corp Target price in JPY Broker Recommendation Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price Price Brokers' Target Price 3'000 1600 100% 15% 18% 16% 1400 20% 19% 21% 21% 21% 21% 24% 25% 25% 2'500 1200 80% 1000 2'000 800 60% 600 70% 68% 1'500 400 57% 71% 60% 70% 71% 68% 68% 68% 65% 74% 200 40% 1'000 0 Morgan Stanley Mizuho Securities Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Barclays Mito Securities SMBC Nikko Securities Inc ACE Research Institute Macquarie Credit Suisse JPMorgan Tokai Tokyo Securities Nomura Okasan Securities EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Deutsche Bank TIW 20% 500 15% 19% 15% 16% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 5% 0% 0 févr.12 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date 31-Jan-13 16% 68% 16% 20-Feb-13 1355.00 1268.18 Morgan Stanley MASAHIRO ONO Equalwt/In-Line 1050.00 20-Feb-13 31-Dec-12 5% 74% 21% 19-Feb-13 1351.00 1268.18 TIW TAKAO HATTORI neutral 18-Feb-13 30-Nov-12 12% 71% 18% 18-Feb-13 1329.00 1259.09 Okasan Securities TAKANOBU MURAKAMI sell 1000.00 14-Feb-13 31-Oct-12 11% 68% 21% 15-Feb-13 1313.00 1254.17 Goldman Sachs TAKASHI WATANABE neutral/neutral 1100.00 13-Feb-13 28-Sep-12 11% 68% 21% 14-Feb-13 1338.00 1254.17 Tokai Tokyo Securities KOUICHIROU HAGIWARA above average 8-Feb-13 31-Aug-12 11% 68% 21% 13-Feb-13 1304.00 1254.17 Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. JUNYA AYADA neutral 1420.00 8-Feb-13 31-Jul-12 10% 71% 19% 12-Feb-13 1381.00 1235.39 SMBC Nikko Securities Inc KAZUHARU MIURA underperform 1100.00 8-Feb-13 29-Jun-12 10% 70% 20% 11-Feb-13 1365.00 1235.39 Credit Suisse SHUNSUKE TSUCHIYA neutral 900.00 7-Feb-13 31-May-12 10% 65% 25% 8-Feb-13 1365.00 1235.39 Nomura SHIRO MIKOSHIBA neutral 1460.00 7-Feb-13 30-Apr-12 15% 60% 25% 7-Feb-13 1519.00 1220.00 EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING underweight 17-Jan-13 30-Mar-12 19% 57% 24% 6-Feb-13 1481.00 1148.00 Barclays YUJI FUJIMORI equalweight 950.00 21-Dec-12 29-Feb-12 15% 70% 15% 5-Feb-13 1447.00 1148.00 JPMorgan YOSHIHARU IZUMI neutral 840.00 20-Dec-12 4-Feb-13 1457.00 1148.00 ACE Research Institute HIDEKI YASUDA neutral 860.00 20-Dec-12 1-Feb-13 1355.00 1097.14 Deutsche Bank YASUO NAKANE hold 1200.00 15-Nov-12 31-Jan-13 1362.00 1097.14 Macquarie DAMIAN THONG neutral 1080.00 12-Nov-12 30-Jan-13 1383.00 1097.14 Mizuho Securities YOSHIHIRO UJIHARA neutral 1000.00 2-Nov-12 29-Jan-13 1385.00 1097.14 Mito Securities KEITA WAKABAYASHI Neutral Plus 18-Aug-10 28-Jan-13 1407.00 1097.14 25-Jan-13 1290.00 1097.14 24-Jan-13 1189.00 994.29 23-Jan-13 1167.00 994.29 22-Jan-13 1192.00 994.29 21-Jan-13 1187.00 994.29 18-Jan-13 1149.00 994.29 17-Jan-13 1024.00 994.29 16-Jan-13 969.00 994.29 15-Jan-13 995.00 976.43 14-Jan-13 983.00 976.43 11-Jan-13 983.00 976.43 10-Jan-13 968.00 976.43 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 3. 20.02.2013 Sony Corp Company Analysis - Ownership Ownership Type Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership 0% Shares Outstanding (M) 1003.6 Japan 60.66% Float 98.5% United States 27.66% 1% 1% 1%2% 2% Short Interest (M) Britain 5.02% 5% Short Interest as % of Float 42% Uae 2.33% Days to Cover Shorts Luxembourg 1.07% Institutional Ownership 41.93% Ireland 0.87% Retail Ownership 58.06% 58% Switzerland 0.58% 60% 28% Insider Ownership 0.01% Others 1.82% Institutional Ownership Distribution Bank 46.86% Investment Advisor 37.43% Mutual Fund Manager 10.95% Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Unclassified 2.33% Japan United States Britain Uae Pricing data is in JPY Others 2.43% Luxembourg Ireland Switzerland Others Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL Institutional Ownership Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC 109'016'000 -1'433'000 147'716'680'000 10.77% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN 2% 2% MOXLEY & CO 69'745'000 2'804'000 94'504'475'000 6.89% 30.09.2012 Co File UNITED STATES MASTER TRUST BANK OF 49'363'000 -1'840'000 66'886'865'000 4.88% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN 11% SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS 45'399'400 -30'519'600 61'516'187'000 4.49% 15.11.2012 ULT-AGG JAPAN GLG PARTNERS INVESTM 18'688'007 -382'300 25'322'249'485 1.85% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG BRITAIN 48% VANGUARD GROUP INC 17'311'250 282'954 23'456'743'750 1.71% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES NOMURA 12'868'600 -92'200 17'436'953'000 1.27% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME 11'748'800 2'112'400 15'919'624'000 1.16% 15.11.2012 ULT-AGG TAM TWO 9'982'000 0 13'525'610'000 0.99% 30.09.2012 Co File UAE 37% BLACKROCK 9'016'430 86'100 12'217'262'650 0.89% 15.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES MELLON BANK NA 8'777'000 -767'000 11'892'835'000 0.87% 31.03.2012 Co File UNITED STATES D E SHAW & CO ASIA P -6'425'144 140'000 -8'706'070'120 -0.63% 13.02.2013 Short HONG KONG HIGHBRIDGE INTERNATI -6'404'100 -75'000 -8'677'555'500 -0.63% 18.02.2013 Short CAYMAN ISLANDS DODGE & COX 5'789'828 -187'800 7'845'216'940 0.57% 29.01.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES Bank Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Unclassified Others MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN 5'459'000 -18'000 7'396'945'000 0.54% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG JAPAN BTG PACTUAL EUROPE L -5'323'198 -1'065'000 -7'212'933'290 -0.53% 13.02.2013 Short BRITAIN DAIWA SECURITIES GRO 4'966'100 -502'100 6'729'065'500 0.49% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG JAPAN MYRIAD OPP MASTER FU -4'526'080 250'760 -6'132'838'400 -0.45% 14.02.2013 Short CAYMAN ISLANDS PINE RIVER FIXED INC -4'279'900 -36'200 -5'799'264'500 -0.42% 18.02.2013 Short CAYMAN ISLANDS D E SHAW & CO HK LTD -3'164'307 -3'164'307 -4'287'635'985 -0.31% 05.12.2012 Short HONG KONG Top 5 Insiders: Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source CHUBACHI RYOJI 33'000 1'000 44'715'000 0.00% 27.06.2012 Co File STRINGER HOWARD 32'000 43'360'000 0.00% 27.06.2012 Co File KATO MASARU 7'000 9'485'000 0.00% 27.06.2012 Co File KIMURA KEIJI 5'000 1'000 6'775'000 0.00% 27.06.2012 Co File KOJIMA YORIHIKO 5'000 1'000 6'775'000 0.00% 27.06.2012 Co File Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 4. Company Analysis - Financials I/IV Sony Corp Financial information is in JPY (M) Equivalent Estimates Periodicity: Fiscal Year 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Income Statement Revenue 7'578'258 7'473'633 7'496'391 7'159'616 7'510'597 8'295'695 8'871'414 7'729'993 7'213'998 7'181'273 6'493'212 6'625'109 6'834'723 6'865'552 - Cost of Goods Sold 5'239'592 4'979'421 5'058'205 5'000'112 5'757'145 6'429'698 6'820'328 6'208'329 5'564'113 5'507'151 5'122'500 Gross Income 2'338'666 2'494'212 2'438'186 2'159'504 1'753'452 1'865'997 2'051'086 1'521'664 1'649'885 1'674'122 1'370'712 1'835'155 1'913'722 1'946'384 - Selling, General & Admin Expenses 2'204'035 2'308'772 2'339'284 2'045'585 1'527'036 1'794'247 1'676'604 1'749'447 1'618'113 1'474'301 1'437'987 (Research & Dev Costs) 433'214 443'128 514'483 502'008 531'795 543'937 520'600 497'297 432'001 426'814 433'477 Operating Income 134'631 185'440 98'902 113'919 226'416 71'750 374'482 -227'783 31'772 199'821 -67'275 122'430 181'975 211'619 - Interest Expense 36'436 27'314 27'849 24'578 28'996 27'278 22'931 24'376 22'505 23'909 23'432 - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) 31'736 -1'928 -18'059 524 3'065 18'835 -5'571 -48'568 10'876 -9'297 5'089 - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 8'156 -42'877 -56'669 -97'429 -105'150 -155'054 -210'012 -28'636 -28'521 -19'804 -12'610 Pretax Income 58'303 202'931 145'781 186'246 299'505 180'691 567'134 -174'955 26'912 205'013 -83'186 135'360 184'327 218'236 - Income Tax Expense 65'211 80'831 52'774 16'044 176'515 53'888 203'478 -72'741 13'958 425'339 315'239 Income Before XO Items -6'908 122'100 93'007 170'202 122'990 126'803 363'656 -102'214 12'954 -220'326 -398'425 - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax -5'978 0 2'117 4'713 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - Minority Interests -16'240 6'581 2'379 1'651 -626 475 -5'779 -3'276 53'756 39'259 58'235 Diluted EPS Before XO Items 120.29 (98.59) (40.66) (258.66) (455.03) Net Income Adjusted* 15'310 115'519 88'511 163'838 123'616 126'328 369'435 -98'938 -40'802 -259'585 -456'660 11'954 55'406 60'707 EPS Adjusted 16.72 125.74 98.26 180.96 122.58 126.15 368.33 (98.59) (40.66) (258.66) (455.03) 11.43 51.84 58.75 Dividends Per Share 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 42.50 25.00 25.00 25.00 24.44 25.00 23.39 Payout Ratio % 246.4 19.9 25.5 14.3 20.4 19.8 6.8 2.14 0.48 0.40 Total Shares Outstanding 919 921 924 996 1'001 1'002 1'003 1'004 1'004 1'004 1'004 Diluted Shares Outstanding 921 999 1'000 1'044 1'046 1'050 1'052 1'003 1'004 1'004 1'004 EBITDA 488'766 537'365 465'171 486'784 608'259 471'759 802'492 177'660 402'776 525'187 252'319 464'064 511'283 507'465 *Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges. Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 5. Company Analysis - Financials II/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Balance Sheet Total Current Assets 3337212 3154214 3363355 3556171 3769524 4546723 5009663 3620635 4132872 3844046 3754962 + Cash & Near Cash Items 683'800 713'058 849'211 779'103 703'098 799'899 1'086'431 660'789 1'191'608 1'014'412 894'576 + Short Term Investments 167'323 210'509 279'410 461'694 536'968 493'315 427'709 466'912 579'493 646'171 680'913 + Accounts & Notes Receivable 1'242'826 1'007'395 1'011'189 1'025'362 985'508 1'369'777 1'090'285 853'454 891'625 743'690 769'915 + Inventories 673'437 625'727 666'507 631'349 804'724 940'875 1'021'595 813'068 645'455 704'043 707'052 + Other Current Assets 569'826 597'525 557'038 658'663 739'226 942'857 1'383'643 826'412 824'691 735'730 702'506 Total Long-Term Assets 4'848'583 5'216'331 5'727'307 5'942'929 6'838'229 7'169'639 7'543'076 8'392'876 8'733'242 9'080'942 9'540'705 + Long Term Investments 1'566'739 1'882'613 2'426'697 2'492'784 3'234'037 3'440'567 3'954'460 4'561'651 5'070'342 5'670'662 6'282'676 Gross Fixed Assets 3'369'890 3'175'195 3'272'333 3'393'345 3'549'452 3'690'336 3'600'161 3'510'800 3'356'395 3'084'758 2'949'925 Accumulated Depreciation 1'958'234 1'896'845 1'907'289 2'020'946 2'160'905 2'268'805 2'356'812 2'334'937 2'348'444 2'159'890 2'018'927 + Net Fixed Assets 1'411'656 1'278'350 1'365'044 1'372'399 1'388'547 1'421'531 1'243'349 1'175'863 1'007'951 924'868 930'998 + Other Long Term Assets 1'870'188 2'055'368 1'935'566 2'077'746 2'215'645 2'307'541 2'345'267 2'655'362 2'654'949 2'485'412 2'327'031 Total Current Liabilities 2'558'496 2'435'048 2'982'215 2'809'368 3'200'228 3'551'852 4'023'367 3'810'900 4'059'925 4'126'979 4'529'981 + Accounts Payable 767'625 697'385 778'773 806'044 813'332 1'179'694 920'920 560'795 817'118 793'275 758'680 + Short Term Borrowings 354'063 158'745 475'017 230'266 336'321 108'020 364'431 451'155 284'607 156'828 410'361 + Other Short Term Liabilities 1'436'808 1'578'918 1'728'425 1'773'058 2'050'575 2'264'138 2'738'016 2'798'950 2'958'200 3'176'876 3'360'940 Total Long Term Liabilities 3'233'521 3'632'580 3'707'587 3'795'547 4'166'572 4'754'836 4'787'434 4'986'009 5'520'634 5'842'107 6'255'565 + Long Term Borrowings 838'617 807'439 777'649 678'992 764'898 1'037'849 771'620 660'147 924'207 870'297 762'226 + Other Long Term Borrowings 2'394'904 2'825'141 2'929'938 3'116'555 3'401'674 3'716'987 4'015'814 4'325'862 4'596'427 4'971'810 5'493'339 Total Liabilities 5'792'017 6'067'628 6'689'802 6'604'915 7'366'800 8'306'688 8'810'801 8'796'909 9'580'559 9'969'086 10'785'546 + Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Minority Interest 23'368 22'022 22'858 23'847 37'101 38'970 276'849 251'949 319'650 407'915 481'230 + Share Capital & APIC 1'444'329 1'460'474 1'473'084 1'755'931 1'760'762 1'770'330 1'782'023 1'785'799 1'788'634 1'790'587 1'791'159 + Retained Earnings & Other Equity 926'081 820'421 904'918 1'114'407 1'443'090 1'600'374 1'683'066 1'178'854 1'177'271 757'400 237'732 Total Shareholders Equity 2'393'778 2'302'917 2'400'860 2'894'185 3'240'953 3'409'674 3'741'938 3'216'602 3'285'555 2'955'902 2'510'121 Total Liabilities & Equity 8'185'795 8'370'545 9'090'662 9'499'100 10'607'753 11'716'362 12'552'739 12'013'511 12'866'114 12'924'988 13'295'667 Book Value Per Share 2'580.73 2'477.05 2'573.73 2'881.60 3'200.85 3'363.77 3'453.25 2'954.25 2'955.47 2'538.88 2'021.66 1'961.42 2'001.47 2'065.25 Tangible Book Value Per Share 1'967.91 1'881.10 2'004.57 2'408.80 2'695.26 2'826.95 3'149.87 2'511.85 2'518.14 1'681.83 945.05 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 6. Company Analysis - Financials III/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Cash Flows Net Income 15'310 115'519 88'511 163'838 123'616 126'328 369'435 -98'938 -40'802 -259'585 -456'660 11'954 55'406 60'707 + Depreciation & Amortization 354'135 351'925 366'269 372'865 381'843 400'009 428'010 405'443 371'004 325'366 319'594 + Other Non-Cash Adjustments 247'729 164'073 261'857 49'900 -75'297 126'012 -15'626 57'521 260'859 686'770 819'665 + Changes in Non-Cash Capital 120'422 222'271 -84'002 60'394 -30'304 -91'321 -24'135 43'127 321'846 -136'306 -163'060 Cash From Operating Activities 737'596 853'788 632'635 646'997 399'858 561'028 757'684 407'153 912'907 616'245 519'539 + Disposal of Fixed Assets 37'434 25'711 33'987 34'184 38'168 87'319 144'741 153'439 15'671 18'743 22'661 + Capital Expenditures -388'514 -275'285 -427'344 -453'445 -462'473 -527'515 -474'552 -496'125 -338'050 -253'688 -382'549 -201'429 -204'286 -212'143 + Increase in Investments -796'340 -1'136'348 -1'202'730 -1'467'243 -1'405'105 -1'014'906 -103'082 -2'675'118 -1'581'841 -1'458'912 -1'028'150 + Decrease in Investments 380'303 679'497 826'709 949'442 881'903 0 + Other Investing Activities 0 0 7'586 5'890 76'243 739'672 -477'549 1'936'462 1'158'216 979'418 505'152 Cash From Investing Activities -767'117 -706'425 -761'792 -931'172 -871'264 -715'430 -910'442 -1'081'342 -746'004 -714'439 -882'886 + Dividends Paid -22'951 -22'871 -23'106 -22'978 -24'810 -25'052 -25'098 -42'594 -25'085 -25'098 -25'078 + Change in Short Term Borrowings -78'104 -7'970 -57'708 11'397 -11'045 6'096 15'838 244'584 -250'252 6'120 -26'158 + Increase in Long Term Borrowings 228'999 12'323 267'864 57'232 246'326 270'780 31'093 72'188 510'128 1'499 216'887 + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -171'739 -238'144 -32'042 -94'862 -138'773 -182'374 -34'701 -264'467 -144'105 -216'212 -112'043 + Increase in Capital Stocks 9'529 0 0 0 0 0 7'484 378 114 0 0 + Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Other Financing Activities 140'342 138'557 110'302 263'278 323'703 176'187 444'674 238'458 273'116 154'689 189'903 Cash From Financing Activities 106'076 -118'105 265'310 214'067 395'401 245'637 439'290 248'547 363'916 -79'002 243'511 Net Changes in Cash 76'555 29'258 136'153 -70'108 -76'005 91'235 286'532 -425'642 530'819 -177'196 -119'836 Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) 349'082 578'503 205'291 193'552 -62'615 33'513 283'132 -88'972 574'857 362'557 136'990 134'041 182'766 182'424 Free Cash Flow To Firm 344'765 594'937 223'058 216'013 -50'708 52'656 297'836 585'690 336'862 Free Cash Flow To Equity 417'392 201'503 72'061 215'334 440'103 116'772 706'299 172'707 238'337 Free Cash Flow per Share 380.07 629.01 222.26 207.87 -62.75 33.47 282.28 -88.66 572.84 361.27 136.50 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 7. Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Ratio Analysis Valuation Ratios Price Earnings 400.7x 33.4x 44.4x 23.6x 44.5x 47.5x 10.8x 118.6x 26.1x 23.1x EV to EBIT 48.4x 21.2x 42.2x 34.6x 23.6x 82.1x 10.4x 105.4x 12.3x EV to EBITDA 13.3x 7.3x 9.0x 8.1x 8.8x 12.5x 4.8x 12.6x 8.3x 4.7x 7.1x 4.0x 3.7x 3.7x Price to Sales 0.8x 0.5x 0.5x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x 0.4x 0.3x 0.5x 0.4x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x Price to Book 2.6x 1.7x 1.7x 1.5x 1.7x 1.8x 1.1x 0.7x 1.2x 1.0x 0.8x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x Dividend Yield 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% Profitability Ratios Gross Margin 30.9% 33.4% 32.5% 30.2% 23.3% 22.5% 23.1% 19.7% 22.9% 23.3% 21.1% 27.7% 28.0% 28.4% EBITDA Margin 6.4% 7.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 5.7% 9.0% 2.3% 5.6% 7.3% 3.9% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% Operating Margin 1.8% 2.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 0.9% 4.2% -2.9% 0.4% 2.8% -1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% Profit Margin 0.2% 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.5% 4.2% -1.3% -0.6% -3.6% -7.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% Return on Assets 0.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.1% 3.0% -0.8% -0.3% -2.0% -3.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% Return on Equity 0.7% 5.0% 3.8% 6.2% 4.0% 3.8% 10.8% -3.1% -1.4% -9.4% -20.0% 0.6% 2.7% 3.8% Leverage & Coverage Ratios Current Ratio 1.30 1.30 1.13 1.27 1.18 1.28 1.25 0.95 1.02 0.93 0.83 Quick Ratio 0.82 0.79 0.72 0.81 0.70 0.75 0.65 0.52 0.66 0.58 0.52 Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 3.69 6.79 3.55 4.63 7.81 2.63 16.33 -9.34 1.41 8.36 -2.87 Tot Debt/Capital 0.33 0.30 0.34 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.32 Tot Debt/Equity 0.50 0.42 0.52 0.31 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.35 0.37 0.35 0.47 Others Asset Turnover 0.95 0.90 0.86 0.77 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.63 0.58 0.56 0.50 Accounts Receivable Turnover 5.97 6.64 7.43 7.03 7.47 7.04 7.21 7.95 8.27 8.78 8.58 Accounts Payable Turnover 5.87 6.73 6.91 6.27 7.32 6.59 6.57 8.10 7.83 6.91 6.61 Inventory Turnover 6.48 7.67 7.83 7.71 8.02 7.37 6.95 6.77 7.63 8.16 7.26 Effective Tax Rate 111.8% 39.8% 36.2% 8.6% 58.9% 29.8% 35.9% 51.9% 207.5% Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 8. Company Analysis - Peers Comparision TECHNICOLOR- SONY CORP PANASONIC CORP SHARP CORP PIONEER CORP NINTENDO CO LTD WALT DISNEY CO LG ELECTRONICS EASTMAN KODAK FUNAI ELECTRIC CASIO COMPUTER ALPINE ELEC INC REGR Latest Fiscal Year: 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 09/2012 12/2012 12/2011 12/2011 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 52-Week High 1'832.00 783.00 619.00 434.00 13'120.00 55.95 94'300.00 0.61 2.77 1'984.58 833.00 1'160.00 52-Week High Date 16.03.2012 28.03.2012 29.03.2012 29.03.2012 22.03.2012 19.02.2013 15.03.2012 06.08.2012 20.02.2013 27.02.2012 18.01.2013 29.03.2012 52-Week Low 772.00 376.00 142.00 153.00 8'060.00 40.88 55'800.00 0.14 1.29 883.00 436.00 597.00 52-Week Low Date 15.11.2012 06.11.2012 12.10.2012 11.10.2012 25.07.2012 10.04.2012 25.07.2012 05.06.2012 24.04.2012 05.11.2012 04.06.2012 14.11.2012 Daily Volume 28'336'400 38'447'000 22'984'000 8'238'600 690'500 641'806 1'190'845 24'408 2'071'082 227'900 1'554'300 349'800 Current Price (2/dd/yy) 1'355.00 685.00 331.00 201.00 8'740.00 55.59 76'300.00 0.21 2.71 1'213.00 715.00 864.00 52-Week High % Change -26.0% -12.5% -46.5% -53.7% -33.4% -0.7% -19.1% -65.8% -2.2% -38.9% -14.2% -25.5% 52-Week Low % Change 75.5% 82.2% 133.1% 31.4% 8.4% 36.0% 36.7% 51.8% 109.9% 37.4% 64.0% 44.7% Total Common Shares (M) 1'003.6 2'311.7 1'100.3 321.1 127.9 1'780.0 162.9 271.4 227.3 34.1 268.9 69.8 Market Capitalization 1'371'192.5 1'680'341.6 377'611.4 65'544.9 1'238'187.0 100'355.9 12'486'328.0 56.6 909.3 43'826.7 199'500.0 60'293.8 Total Debt 1'172'587.0 1'575'615.0 1'127'157.0 91'368.0 126.0 14'311.0 5'825'846.0 1'515.0 1'327.0 5'087.0 114'042.0 5'620.0 Preferred Stock - - - - - - 85'930.0 - - - - - Minority Interest 481'230.0 47'780.0 19'226.0 4'924.0 81.0 2'199.0 - 2.0 4.0 974.0 249.0 743.0 Cash and Equivalents 1'575'489.0 611'469.0 195'113.0 45'953.0 958'322.0 3'387.0 1'464'211.0 861.0 405.0 72'646.0 122'419.0 44'209.0 Enterprise Value 1'871'240.5 2'700'320.6 1'373'974.4 137'271.9 280'072.1 116'950.9 16'379'373.2 366.6 1'903.3 - 204'001.0 33'059.8 Valuation Total Revenue LFY 6'493'212.0 7'846'216.0 2'455'850.0 436'753.0 647'652.0 42'278.0 25'427'205.2 6'022.0 3'450.0 246'147.0 301'660.0 202'905.0 LTM 6'543'144.0 7'479'178.0 2'245'431.0 447'601.0 632'908.0 42'840.0 25'420'805.0 4'813.0 3'537.0 194'556.0 295'974.0 211'797.0 CY+1 6'625'109.2 7'268'174.7 2'388'732.1 453'168.1 682'149.6 45'144.3 - - 3'577.3 197'451.1 313'871.0 217'814.3 CY+2 6'834'722.9 7'432'332.3 2'500'454.9 475'949.2 942'471.0 47'952.9 - - 3'452.5 225'296.4 325'954.4 229'014.3 EV/Total Revenue LFY 0.2x 0.3x 0.5x 0.3x - 2.5x 0.6x 0.1x 0.4x - 0.6x 0.1x LTM 0.2x 0.3x 0.5x 0.3x - 2.5x 0.6x 0.1x 0.4x - 0.6x 0.1x CY+1 0.3x 0.4x 0.6x 0.3x 0.6x 2.5x - - 0.5x -0.1x 0.7x 0.1x CY+2 0.3x 0.4x 0.6x 0.2x 0.4x 2.4x - - 0.5x 0.0x 0.6x 0.1x EBITDA LFY 252'319.0 381'837.0 210'873.0 37'082.0 (24'797.0) 10'850.0 458'280.0 (185.0) 438.0 7'008.0 18'342.0 12'389.0 LTM 264'935.0 419'093.0 (22'949.0) 33'238.0 4'234.0 10'959.0 909'662.0 (135.0) 585.0 3'131.0 22'154.0 9'919.0 CY+1 464'063.6 458'110.3 35'686.0 37'161.1 11'813.2 12'295.6 - - 504.8 1'432.0 28'829.0 8'950.0 CY+2 511'282.7 529'634.2 210'445.8 45'581.3 81'689.4 13'434.6 - - 535.5 5'154.0 33'573.9 12'175.0 EV/EBITDA LFY 5.7x 6.1x 5.6x 3.4x - 9.7x 33.0x -1.9x 3.2x - 9.1x 2.2x LTM 5.4x 5.5x - 3.8x - 9.6x 16.6x - 2.4x - 7.6x 2.8x CY+1 3.9x 6.2x 41.5x 3.2x 36.9x 9.2x - - 3.4x - 7.3x 2.5x CY+2 3.4x 5.2x 6.7x 2.5x 4.8x 8.4x - - 3.0x - 6.1x 1.5x EPS LFY -453.16 -163.35 - 34.00 -337.80 3.08 -1'551.25 -2.72 -1.08 - 71.67 - LTM -452.67 -571.48 -657.84 -16.62 -7.25 3.06 1'206.00 -2.60 -1.10 -135.52 22.34 44.59 CY+1 11.43 (330.98) (375.27) (15.67) 107.60 3.44 - - 0.16 (156.59) 39.69 20.06 CY+2 51.84 37.36 (1.77) 25.51 372.75 3.89 - - 0.37 34.79 51.44 57.73 P/E LFY - - - - - 18.2x 63.3x - - - 32.0x 19.4x LTM - - - - - 18.2x - - - - - - CY+1 118.6x - - - 81.2x 16.1x - - 16.6x - 18.0x 43.1x CY+2 26.1x 18.3x - 7.9x 23.4x 14.3x - - 7.3x 34.9x 13.9x 15.0x Revenue Growth 1 Year (9.6%) (9.7%) (18.7%) (4.5%) (36.2%) 3.4% (9.5%) (16.0%) (3.5%) (16.8%) (11.7%) 0.8% 5 Year (4.7%) (2.7%) (6.8%) (8.3%) (19.0%) 1.8% 1.1% (16.0%) (7.6%) (9.0%) (12.8%) (1.8%) EBITDA Growth 1 Year (52.0%) (43.2%) (39.9%) (18.8%) - 12.8% - - (10.6%) (1.8%) (26.5%) (33.4%) 5 Year (11.8%) (13.3%) (11.8%) (7.1%) - 5.5% (18.1%) - (12.6%) (24.7%) (25.5%) (8.6%) EBITDA Margin LTM 4.0% 5.6% (1.0%) 7.4% 0.7% 25.6% 3.5% (2.8%) 16.5% 1.6% 7.5% 4.7% CY+1 7.0% 6.3% 1.5% 8.2% 1.7% 27.2% - - 14.1% 0.7% 9.2% 4.1% CY+2 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 9.6% 8.7% 28.0% - - 15.5% 2.3% 10.3% 5.3% Leverage/Coverage Ratios Total Debt / Equity % 57.8% 81.6% 180.1% 108.6% 0.0% 36.0% 56.0% - 878.8% 4.1% 76.5% 5.6% FALSE FALSE Total Debt / Capital % 31.8% 44.3% 63.6% 50.6% 0.0% 25.4% 35.7% - 89.5% 3.9% 43.3% 5.2% FALSE FALSE Total Debt / EBITDA 4.818x 3.726x - 2.750x - 1.592x 6.008x - 2.265x 1.597x 5.018x 0.480x FALSE FALSE Net Debt / EBITDA 0.201x 2.600x - 1.798x - 1.299x 4.185x - 1.691x - 0.854x - FALSE FALSE EBITDA / Int. Expense 10.768x 13.443x 24.390x 12.849x - 19.238x 2.102x -1.178x 2.844x 55.619x 18.305x 109.637x FALSE FALSE Credit Ratings S&P LT Credit Rating BBB BBB B+ *- NR NR A BBB- NR B - BBB - FALSE FALSE S&P LT Credit Rating Date 25.09.2012 02.11.2012 05.11.2012 24.08.2012 09.01.2007 22.12.2009 14.10.2011 06.03.2012 23.08.2012 - 10.06.2010 - FALSE FALSE Moody's LT Credit Rating Baa3 Baa3 WR WR - A2 Baa2 WR - - - - FALSE FALSE Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 09.11.2012 20.11.2012 20.04.2012 29.07.2008 - 23.05.2007 21.01.2010 24.01.2012 - - - - FALSE FALSE Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |