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Fundamental Analysis & Financial Analyst Recommandations - Google Inc - US38259P5089 - GOOG UW Equity
1. 19.10.2012
Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker: GOOG UW Google Inc Benchmark: Google Inc. is a global technology company that provides a web based search engine
Currency: NASDAQ GS: GOOG, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX) through its website. The Company offers a wide range of search options, including
web, image, groups, directory, and news searches.
Sector: Information Technology Industry: Internet Software & Services Year:
Telephone 1-650-253-0000 Revenue (M) 37'905 Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M)
Website http://www.google.com/about/company/ of Employees
No 53'546 Internet Search Engine Advertising Revenue 36531 United States 17560
Address 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway Mountain View, CA 94043 United States Licensing & Other Revenue 1374 Rest of the world 16288
Share Price Performance in USD United Kingdom 4057
Price 695.42 1M Return -4.4%
52 Week High 774.32 6M Return 15.9%
52 Week Low 556.55 52 Wk Return 19.8%
52 Wk Beta 0.79 YTD Return 7.7%
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg IG2 4% 11%
S&P AA- *+ Date 21.08.2012 Outlook -
Moody's Aa2 Date 15.07.2010 Outlook STABLE
Fitch - Date - Outlook -
Valuation Ratios
46%
12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E
P/E 18.4x 30.4x 22.6x 21.7x 16.3x 14.0x 12.2x
EV/EBIT 12.2x 20.7x 15.3x 14.4x - - -
EV/EBITDA 10.0x 17.5x 13.5x 12.4x 9.7x 8.1x 6.9x 43%
P/S 4.4x 8.3x 6.5x 5.5x 5.4x 4.2x 3.7x
P/B 3.4x 5.5x 4.1x 3.6x 3.2x 2.7x 2.2x
Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96%
Profitability Ratios %
12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E
Gross Margin 60.4 62.6 64.5 65.2 68.4 65.6 66.0 Internet Search Engine Advertising
EBITDA Margin 37.3 41.6 40.2 35.9 45.4 42.9 44.2 Revenue United States Rest of the world
Operating Margin 30.4 35.1 35.4 31.0 33.8 32.3 33.6
Profit Margin 19.4 27.6 29.0 25.7 33.1 30.8 31.8
Return on Assets 14.8 18.0 17.3 14.9 16.2 15.9 25.8 Licensing & Other Revenue
United Kingdom
Return on Equity 16.6 20.3 20.7 18.7 19.9 19.0 19.0
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11
Current Ratio 8.8 10.6 4.2 5.9 Current Capitalization in USD
Quick Ratio 8.0 10.1 3.9 5.6 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 324.9
EBIT/Interest - - - 202.4 Market Capitalization (M) 227972.7
Tot Debt/Capital 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 Cash and ST Investments (M) 46787.0
Tot Debt/Equity 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 Total Debt (M) 6206.0
Eff Tax Rate % 27.8 22.2 21.2 21.0 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0
Investments (M) 0.0
Enterprise Value (M) 187391.7
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Google Inc
Target price in USD
Broker Recommendation
Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price
Price
Brokers' Target Price
900
910
1000
900
890
100%
880
880
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
860
850
850
850
850
850
850
840
8%
830
825
820
10% 10%
802
900
795
795
14% 800
780
16% 16%
775
775
18% 18% 18% 18%
765
764
20% 19%
755
750
750
750
731
725
800
695
690
690
675
660
80% 700
700
600 600
60% 500 500
400
90% 93% 90% 86%
400 300
40% 80% 81% 82% 84% 84% 82% 82% 82%
300 200
100
200
20% 0
100
B Riley &
BMO Capital
Pivotal
EVA
JPMorgan
Morgan
S&P Capital
Barclays
Macquarie
BGC
Stifel
Telsey
Raymond
Evercore
Atlantic
Hilliard Lyons
RBC Capital
Piper Jaffray
Daiwa
Pacific Crest
Argus
Edward
Credit
Credit Suisse
Deutsche
Needham &
Cantor
Sanford C.
Capstone
Nomura
SunTrust
Jefferies
Susquehanna
Canaccord
Goldman
Cowen and
Independent
Oppenheimer
Hamburger
William Blair
Wedge
Wedbush
Robert W.
Wells Fargo
0% 0
oct.11 nov.11 déc.11 janv.12 févr.12 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12
Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price
Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date
28-Sep-12 82% 18% 0% 19-Oct-12 695.42 801.34 Morgan Stanley SCOTT W DEVITT Overwt/Attractive 764.00 19-Oct-12
31-Aug-12 82% 18% 0% 18-Oct-12 695.42 808.54 JPMorgan DOUGLAS ANMUTH overweight 802.00 19-Oct-12
31-Jul-12 82% 18% 0% 17-Oct-12 755.49 809.40 Raymond James AARON M KESSLER outperform 775.00 19-Oct-12
29-Jun-12 86% 14% 0% 16-Oct-12 744.70 806.22 Nomura BRIAN NOWAK buy 840.00 19-Oct-12
31-May-12 84% 16% 0% 15-Oct-12 740.98 796.36 S&P Capital IQ SCOTT H KESSLER hold 675.00 19-Oct-12
30-Apr-12 84% 16% 0% 12-Oct-12 744.75 791.78 Piper Jaffray EUGENE E MUNSTER overweight 775.00 19-Oct-12
30-Mar-12 82% 18% 0% 11-Oct-12 751.48 786.40 SunTrust Robinson Humphrey SO YOUNG LEE buy 750.00 18-Oct-12
29-Feb-12 81% 19% 0% 10-Oct-12 744.56 779.40 Jefferies BRIAN J PITZ buy 850.00 18-Oct-12
31-Jan-12 80% 20% 0% 9-Oct-12 744.09 777.11 Needham & Co KERRY RICE buy 825.00 18-Oct-12
30-Dec-11 90% 10% 0% 8-Oct-12 757.84 777.11 Pacific Crest Securities EVAN S WILSON outperform 795.00 18-Oct-12
30-Nov-11 93% 8% 0% 5-Oct-12 767.65 774.97 Cantor Fitzgerald YOUSSEF H SQUALI buy 820.00 18-Oct-12
31-Oct-11 90% 10% 0% 4-Oct-12 768.05 774.97 Oppenheimer & Co JASON S HELFSTEIN market perform 765.00 18-Oct-12
3-Oct-12 762.50 774.97 Wells Fargo Securities, LLC JASON MAYNARD market perform 18-Oct-12
2-Oct-12 756.99 773.54 Barclays ANTHONY J DICLEMENTE overweight 750.00 18-Oct-12
1-Oct-12 761.98 773.54 Wedbush JAMES G DIX neutral 690.00 17-Oct-12
28-Sep-12 754.50 773.54 Evercore Partners KEN SENA overweight 860.00 17-Oct-12
27-Sep-12 756.50 773.54 Macquarie BENJAMIN A SCHACHTER outperform 795.00 16-Oct-12
26-Sep-12 753.45 770.40 BGC Partners COLIN W GILLIS hold 690.00 16-Oct-12
25-Sep-12 749.16 763.26 Susquehanna Financial Group HERMAN LEUNG Positive 880.00 16-Oct-12
24-Sep-12 749.38 760.97 Credit Agricole Securities (USA) JAMES LEE buy 900.00 16-Oct-12
21-Sep-12 733.95 755.83 Stifel Nicolaus JORDAN ROHAN hold 15-Oct-12
20-Sep-12 728.10 755.81 Wedge Partners MARTIN PYYKKONEN no rating system 15-Oct-12
19-Sep-12 727.50 744.44 Sanford C. Bernstein & Co CARLOS KIRJNER outperform 850.00 12-Oct-12
18-Sep-12 718.34 744.44 Pivotal Research Group LLC BRIAN WIESER buy 880.00 12-Oct-12
17-Sep-12 709.98 744.06 Credit Suisse STEPHEN JU outperform 850.00 10-Oct-12
14-Sep-12 709.68 744.06 Canaccord Genuity Corp MICHAEL GRAHAM buy 850.00 10-Oct-12
13-Sep-12 706.04 740.64 BMO Capital Markets DANIEL SALMON outperform 830.00 8-Oct-12
3. Google Inc
Company Analysis - Ownership
Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership
0%
Shares Outstanding (M) 324.9 12% United States 83.06%
1% 1% 5%
Float 99.6% Britain 4.93% 1%
Short Interest (M) 4.8 Canada 2.00% 1%
2%
Short Interest as % of Float 1.48% Japan 1.48%
5%
Days to Cover Shorts 1.18 Germany 1.25%
Institutional Ownership 87.47% Luxembourg 1.05%
Retail Ownership 12.20% Switzerland 0.93%
Insider Ownership 0.34% Others 5.31%
Institutional Ownership Distribution 84%
88%
Investment Advisor 84.44%
Hedge Fund Manager 8.16%
Pension Fund (Erisa) 2.79%
Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Mutual Fund Manager 1.32% United States Britain Canada Japan
Pricing data is in USD Others 3.28% Germany Luxembourg Switzerland Others
Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL
Institutional Ownership
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT 13'998'105 1'029'480 9'734'562'179 5.34% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES 1% 3%
VANGUARD GROUP INC 11'000'190 337'807 7'649'752'130 4.20% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES 3%
STATE STREET CORP 10'237'398 738'119 7'119'291'317 3.91% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
8%
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA 9'315'156 -91'244 6'477'945'786 3.56% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO 7'069'157 217'457 4'916'033'161 2.70% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST 5'463'186 -935'960 3'799'208'808 2.09% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL 4'559'855 478'921 3'171'014'364 1.74% 30.09.2012 13F UNITED STATES
INVESCO LTD 4'253'814 -178'622 2'958'187'332 1.62% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
NORTHERN TRUST CORPO 3'718'416 355'178 2'585'860'855 1.42% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO 3'289'767 131'799 2'287'769'767 1.26% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES 85%
PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT 3'256'315 -113'218 2'264'506'577 1.24% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS 2'816'233 227'830 1'958'464'753 1.08% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP 2'467'848 171'530 1'716'190'856 0.94% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE 2'428'364 219'500 1'688'732'893 0.93% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Pension Fund (Erisa)
Mutual Fund Manager Others
TIAA CREF INVESTMENT 2'409'094 -18'492 1'675'332'149 0.92% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS 2'278'306 70'375 1'584'379'559 0.87% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
JENNISON ASSOCIATES 2'045'414 36'224 1'422'421'804 0.78% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 1'992'319 667'296 1'385'498'479 0.76% 30.06.2012 13F GERMANY
GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT 1'970'297 11'230 1'370'183'940 0.75% 30.06.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BAILLIE GIFFORD AND 1'950'437 13'020 1'356'372'899 0.74% 30.06.2012 13F BRITAIN
Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source
KORDESTANI OMID 344'943 239'880'261 0.13% 09.03.2009 Form 4
SHRIRAM KAVITARK RAM 237'677 -24'974 165'285'339 0.09% 04.10.2012 Form 4
PAGE LAWRENCE E 80'000 55'633'600 0.03% 11.10.2012 Form 4
SCHMIDT ERIC EMERSON 57'384 39'905'981 0.02% 26.09.2012 Form 4
DOERR L JOHN 38'774 26'964'215 0.02% 01.10.2012 Form 4
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |