This document provides financial data and analysis for 19 publicly traded agricultural companies. Key metrics included are market capitalization, revenue, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), earnings per share, price-earnings ratio, revenue and EBITDA growth rates, EBITDA margin, and credit ratings. The companies represent a variety of global agricultural sectors and geographies.
Fundamental Equity Analysis - QMS Gold Miners FlexIndex - The QMS Advisors' G...
Q.M.S Advisors Proprietary Farming Index
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viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
Q.M.S Advisors Farming Index
November 2012
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. 13.11.2012
Wilmar International Ltd
Wilmar International Ltd. is an agribusiness company. The Company is involved Price/Volume
in oil palm cultivation, edible oils refining, oilseeds crushing, consumer pack
7 90.0 M
edible oils processing and merchandising, specialty fats, oleochemicals and 80.0 M
6
biodiesel manufacturing, and grains processing and merchandising. Wilmar also 70.0 M
manufactures and distributes fertilizers and owns a fleet of vessels. 5
60.0 M
4 50.0 M
Valuation Analysis 3 40.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 30.0 M
2
20.0 M
LTM as of: 09/yy 1 10.0 M
52-Week High (15.02.2012) 6.05
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (13.09.2012) 2.99 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12 j-12 j-12 a-12 s-12 o-12
Daily Volume 12'737'000.00
Current Price (11/dd/yy) 3.17 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -47.60% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 6.02% Beta 1.00
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 5.88% Equity Float 2'315.63
Shares Out 12.11.2012 6'396.0 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 20'275.44 1 Yr Total Return -37.67%
Total Debt 20'888.94 YTD Return -35.80%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.004
Minority Interest 878.2 Analyst Recs 28
Cash and Equivalents 8'232.07 Consensus Rating 2.821
Enterprise Value 31'245.64 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 17'289'400
WIL SP EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 11'784'070
WIL SP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 12'820'270
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 09/yy 09/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 12/12 Q4 03/13 Q1
Total Revenue 16'466.2 29'145.2 23'885.1 30'377.5 44'710.0 42'280.1 45'358.6 46'834.0 53'306.6 12'211.3 11'852.5
TEV/Revenue 1.72x 0.52x 1.42x 1.29x 0.86x 3.72x 3.29x 0.67x 0.61x - -
EBITDA 833.6 1'969.8 2'424.9 1'409.2 1'933.4 1'910.6 2'173.5 2'211.3 2'562.6 659.0 555.0
TEV/EBITDA 33.92x 7.68x 13.97x 27.77x 19.77x 20.26x 14.55x 14.13x 12.20x 12.52x 12.17x
Net Income 580.4 1'531.0 1'882.0 1'324.0 1'600.8 1'419.4 1'278.8 1'098.0 1'346.4 378.0 245.0
P/E 29.28x 8.10x 15.52x 21.19x 15.43x 18.39x 13.32x 15.07x 12.28x 12.28x 12.40x
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 1'933.39 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 1'454.82 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 3.25% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 4.65% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 3.17% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 9.62% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 5.23% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 3.74
Asset Turnover 1.12% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 0.73
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 6.37
Gross Margin 8.7% Total Debt/EBITDA 9.67
EBITDA Margin 4.8% Reference
EBIT Margin 3.6% Total Debt/Equity 156.2%
Net Income Margin 3.6% Total Debt/Capital 59.4%
Structure Asset Turnover 1.12
Current Ratio 1.07 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 5.95
Quick Ratio 0.53 Accounts receivable turnover-days 33.52
Debt to Assets 52.70% Inventory Days 64.27
Tot Debt to Common Equity 156.24% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 15.88
Accounts Receivable Turnover 10.92 Cash Conversion Cycle 75.67
Inventory Turnover 5.69
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
100.00 50'000.0
90.00 45'000.0
80.00 40'000.0
70.00 35'000.0
60.00 30'000.0
50.00 25'000.0
40.00 20'000.0
30.00 15'000.0
20.00 10'000.0
10.00 5'000.0
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 02.07.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 13.11.2012
Wilmar International Ltd
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
PPB GROUP BHD n/a Co File 1'172'614'755 18.33 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
GLOBAL COCOA HOLDING n/a Co File 356'399'775 5.57 - 06.03.2012 Other
WILMAR INTL HOLDINGS n/a Co File 354'961'795 5.55 - 06.03.2012 n/a
LONGHLIN ASIA LTD n/a Co File 336'009'921 5.25 - 06.03.2012 n/a
ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLA n/a Co File 335'625'280 5.25 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a EXCH 317'267'061 4.96 (7'808'000) 23.02.2011 Investment Advisor
FIREFLY LTD n/a EXCH 294'801'479 4.61 - 05.10.2012 n/a
BOLNEY ENTERPRISES L n/a EXCH 294'801'372 4.61 - 05.10.2012 n/a
HARPOLE RESOURCES LT n/a Co File 256'211'778 4.01 - 06.03.2012 n/a
NOBLESPIRIT CORP n/a Co File 242'600'000 3.79 - 06.03.2012 n/a
HPR INVESTMENTS LTD n/a Co File 230'461'271 3.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a
HONG LEE HOLDINGS PT n/a Co File 179'204'971 2.8 - 06.03.2012 n/a
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 96'457'516 1.51 (88'000) 12.11.2012 Investment Advisor
BONOTO INVESTMENTS L n/a EXCH 51'267'514 0.8 - 05.10.2012 n/a
BLACKROCK n/a ULT-AGG 40'255'717 0.63 (1'110'000) 09.11.2012 Investment Advisor
KIM YONG TEO n/a Co File 33'852'274 0.53 - 21.01.2012 n/a
NATALON CO LTD n/a Co File 33'760'355 0.53 - 06.03.2012 n/a
DALEX INVESTMENTS LT n/a Co File 30'405'900 0.48 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 29'655'000 0.46 (41'727'000) 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor
MACROMIND INVESTMENT n/a Co File 26'836'649 0.42 - 06.03.2012 n/a
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Credit Suisse TAN TING MIN neutral 3 M 3 Not Provided 12.11.2012
DBS Vickers BEN SANTOSO buy 5 U 4 12 month 12.11.2012
Kim Eng Securities JAMES KOH sell 1 M 3 12 month 12.11.2012
Phillip Securities NICHOLAS HUAI GIM ONG accumulate 4 U 3 Not Provided 12.11.2012
UOB Kay Hian TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 M 3 Not Provided 12.11.2012
Morgan Stanley CHARLES C SPENCER Overwt/Attractive 5 M 4 12 month 11.11.2012
CIMB IVY NG neutral 3 M 4 12 month 11.11.2012
Nomura TANUJ SHORI neutral 3 M 4 Not Provided 11.11.2012
Goldman Sachs PATRICK TIAH neutral/neutral 3 M 3 12 month 09.11.2012
JPMorgan YING-JIAN CHAN neutral 3 M 3 6 month 09.11.2012
HSBC THILAN WICKRAMASINGHE underweight 1 M 3 Not Provided 09.11.2012
OCBC Investment Research CAREY WONG buy 5 U 4 12 month 09.11.2012
AmResearch Sdn Bhd GAN HUEY LING hold 3 M 4 12 month 09.11.2012
TA Securities Holdings Berhad JAMES RATNAM hold 3 D 4 12 month 09.11.2012
Religare Capital Markets VINCENT FERNANDO sell 1 M 3 12 month 09.11.2012
Euro Pacific Capital Inc DAVID KRATOCHVIL neutral 3 M 3 12 month 09.11.2012
Standard Chartered ADRIAN FOULGER in-line 3 M 4 12 month 07.11.2012
Deutsche Bank ELTRICIA LI CHING FOONG buy 5 M 4 12 month 01.11.2012
BNP Paribas Equity Research MICHAEL GREENALL hold 3 M 3 12 month 25.09.2012
Macquarie CONRAD WERNER neutral 3 M 3 12 month 21.08.2012
OSK (Asia) Securities ALVIN TAI buy 5 M 5 12 month 18.07.2012
Jefferies ARYA SEN underperform 1 M 4 12 month 10.05.2012
IIFL ZUO LI sell 1 M 4 12 month 23.02.2012
Affin Securities Sdn Bhd ONG KENG WEE not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.02.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.11.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 13.11.2012
BRF - Brasil Foods SA
BRF-Brasil Foods SA is a food processor in Latin America. The Company raises Price/Volume
chickens to produce poultry products. Brasil Foods also processes frozen
45 7.0 M
pastas, soybeans and their derivatives, and distributes frozen vegetables. The 40 6.0 M
Company's core business is chilled and frozen food. The Company has offices 35
in the Middle East, Asia, and Europe. 5.0 M
30
25 4.0 M
Valuation Analysis 20 3.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 15
2.0 M
10
LTM as of: 09/yy 1.0 M
5
52-Week High (16.03.2012) 38.67
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (26.07.2012) 27.53 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12 j-12 j-12 a-12 s-12 o-12
Daily Volume 2'333'300.00
Current Price (11/dd/yy) 37.9 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -1.97% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 37.67% Beta 0.74
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 79.62% Equity Float 723.24
Shares Out 29.10.2012 872.5 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 32'665.40 1 Yr Total Return 10.56%
Total Debt 8'053.53 YTD Return 4.46%
Preferred Stock - Adjusted BETA 0.737
Minority Interest 39.6 Analyst Recs 18
Cash and Equivalents 2'892.90 Consensus Rating 3.500
Enterprise Value 39'398.53 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 1'316'080
BRFS3 BZ EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 1'855'793
BRFS3 BZ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 2'256'930
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 09/yy 09/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 12/12 Q4 03/13 Q1
Total Revenue 6'633.4 11'393.0 15'905.8 22'681.3 25'706.2 25'007.5 27'470.8 27'873.4 30'581.4 7'549.5 6'931.0
TEV/Revenue 1.31x 0.84x 2.74x 1.21x 1.43x 4.69x 3.90x 1.43x 1.31x 5.35x 5.85x
EBITDA 775.5 1'079.8 619.4 2'320.6 2'878.5 2'926.8 1'743.2 2'652.8 3'795.3 849.3 614.0
TEV/EBITDA 11.22x 8.83x 70.41x 11.85x 12.81x 11.09x 0.00x 15.00x 10.49x 12.47x 11.15x
Net Income 321.3 54.4 123.0 804.1 1'367.4 1'606.6 371.5 862.7 1'783.0 373.3 189.5
P/E 25.56x 112.96x 222.84x 29.61x 23.19x 17.45x 81.77x 38.83x 18.86x 23.51x 20.96x
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 2'878.49 Long-Term Rating Date 04.04.2012
EBIT 1'992.15 Long-Term Rating BBB-
Operating Margin 7.75% Long-Term Outlook STABLE
Pretax Margin 5.92% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 2.14% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 4.57% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 6.06
Asset Turnover 0.88% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 3.69
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 2.77
Gross Margin 25.9% Total Debt/EBITDA 3.99
EBITDA Margin 9.1% Reference
EBIT Margin 5.6% Total Debt/Equity 57.2%
Net Income Margin 5.3% Total Debt/Capital 36.3%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.88
Current Ratio 1.39 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.80
Quick Ratio 0.35 Accounts receivable turnover-days 35.57
Debt to Assets 26.86% Inventory Days 49.02
Tot Debt to Common Equity 57.24% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 42.75
Accounts Receivable Turnover 10.29 Cash Conversion Cycle 20.59
Inventory Turnover 7.47
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00 30'000.0
35.00
25'000.0
30.00
20'000.0
25.00
20.00 15'000.0
15.00 10'000.0
10.00
5'000.0
5.00
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 02.07.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7. 13.11.2012
BRF - Brasil Foods SA
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
CAIXA DE PREVIDENCIA n/a EXCH 107'837'688 12.36 - 25.09.2012 Government
FUNDACAO PETROBRAS D n/a EXCH 88'294'288 10.12 - 25.09.2012 Other
BLACKROCK n/a ULT-AGG 71'011'166 8.14 494'876 09.11.2012 Investment Advisor
TARPON INVESTIMENTOS n/a EXCH 69'972'351 8.02 - 25.09.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
GOVERNANCA & GESTAO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 26'845'634 3.08 (3'186'100) 30.09.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
WEG PARTICIPACOES E n/a 20F 26'346'620 3.02 - 31.12.2011 Other
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 20'146'567 2.31 298'420 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor
FUND VALE DO RIO DOC n/a EXCH 14'744'797 1.69 - 25.09.2012 Other
ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN n/a Research 13'400'000 1.54 - 31.12.2011 Pension Fund (ERISA)
FUND SISTEL DE SEGUR n/a EXCH 11'691'141 1.34 - 25.09.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA)
FUNDACAO VALE DO RIO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 9'988'421 1.14 6'700 31.10.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
GUEPARDO INVESTIMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'171'180 0.71 565'200 30.09.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
FURLAN LUIZ FERNANDO n/a 20F 5'944'216 0.68 - 31.12.2011 n/a
BTG PACTUAL ASSET MG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'785'661 0.66 310'626 31.10.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'938'108 0.57 226'940 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor
HSBC GESTAO DE RECUR Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'687'462 0.54 (101'262) 31.10.2012 Investment Advisor
INVESTIDOR PROFISSIO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'848'019 0.44 (30'361) 30.09.2012 Other
ITAU UNIBANCO SA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'581'938 0.41 26'433 31.10.2012 Investment Advisor
FONTANA FILHO WALTER n/a 20F 2'990'290 0.34 (28'138) 31.12.2011 n/a
BRF BRASIL FOODS SA n/a EXCH 2'966'409 0.34 - 25.09.2012 Corporation
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Morgan Stanley JAVIER MARTINEZ Equalwt/Attractive 3 M 37 12 month 13.11.2012
Bradesco Corretora RICARDO BOIATI outperform 5 M 45 12 month 13.11.2012
Credit Suisse GUSTAVO JOSEF WIGMAN outperform 5 M 45 Not Provided 13.11.2012
Banco BTG Pactual SA THIAGO DUARTE buy 5 M 40 12 month 13.11.2012
Agora CTVM SA JOSE FERREIRA buy 5 M 45 Not Provided 09.11.2012
SLW Corretora de Valores e Cambio LTD
CAUE DE CAMPOS PINHEIRO hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 07.11.2012
Itau BBA Securities ALEXANDRE RUIZ MIGUEL market perform 3 M 39 Not Provided 22.10.2012
HSBC PEDRO HERRERA overweight 5 M 40 Not Provided 05.10.2012
Raymond James JOSEPH GIORDANO market perform 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 01.10.2012
JPMorgan ALAN ALANIS underweight 1 D 33 12 month 28.09.2012
Coinvalores SANDRA PERES hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 27.09.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 11.09.2012
Banco Safra de Investimento FERNANDO LABES underperform 1 M 36 12 month 14.08.2012
Planner Corretora de Valores RICARDO TADEU MARTINS Under Review #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 27.07.2012
Barclays GABRIEL VAZ DE LIMA overweight 5 M 42 Not Provided 10.05.2012
Banco do Brasil SA HENRIQUE AUGUSTO KOCH Under Review #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.04.2012
XP Investimentos TEAM COVERAGE unattractive 2 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.04.2012
Grupo Santander LUIS MIRANDA buy 5 M 43 Not Provided 13.12.2011
Magliano SA CCVM HENRIQUE KLEINE buy 5 M 38 12 month 08.11.2011
Sociedade Corretora Paulista MARCELO VAREJAO Under Review #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.08.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |