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Monitoring the changes in
socio-economic & nutritional
   status of extreme poor
        households
Change Monitoring System
 (CMS3) - March 2010 to
      March 2012


     Professor Nick Mascie-Taylor and Dr Rie Goto
               University of Cambridge
shiree Change Monitoring System (CMS)
         Shiree has robust survey, monitoring and evaluation structure

CMS 1    The Household Profile   To provide the baseline from which to monitor change
                                 over time – all beneficiaries
CMS 2    Monthly Snapshot        To enable an assessment of trends monthly – all
                                 beneficiaries
CMS 3    Socio-economic and      To provide in depth socio-economic and nutritional
         Anthropometric          data allowing an assessment of longer term change
         Surveys                 and the impact of project interventions
                                 – random sample in Scale Fund NGO beneficiaries
CMS 4    Participatory Review    To provide a forum for beneficiaries to explain changes
         and Project Analysis    in their lives and the reasons for these changes, as
                                 well as creating a platform for Innovation Fund NGOs
                                 to adapt and improve their innovations according to the
                                 needs of beneficiaries – group discussion in Innovation
                                 Fund NGO beneficiaries

CMS 5    Tracking Studies        To provide quality longitudinal tracking studies
                                 documenting the dynamics of extreme poverty as it is
                                 experienced and changes in beneficiaries’ lives as a
                                 result of project interventions – small selection of
                                 beneficiaries

+ CMS6
shiree Change Monitoring System (CMS)
        Shiree has robust survey, monitoring and evaluation structure

CMS 1   The Household Profile   To provide the baseline from which to monitor change
                                over time – all beneficiatries
CMS 2   Monthly Snapshot        To enable an assessment of trends monthly – all
                                beneficiaries
CMS 3   Socio-economic and      To provide in depth socio-economic and nutritional
        Anthropometric          data allowing an assessment of longer term change
        Surveys                 and the impact of project interventions
                                – random sample in Scale Fund NGO beneficiaries
CMS 4   Participatory Review    To provide a forum for beneficiaries to explain changes
        and Project Analysis    in their lives and the reasons for these changes, as
                                well as creating a platform for Innovation Fund NGOs
                                to adapt and improve their innovations according to the
                                needs of beneficiaries – group discussion in Innovation
                                Fund NGO beneficiaries

CMS 5   Tracking Studies        To provide quality longitudinal tracking studies
                                documenting the dynamics of extreme poverty as it is
                                experienced and changes in beneficiaries’ lives as a
                                result of project interventions – small selection of
                                beneficiaries
6 NGOs in Round One Phase One Scale Fund
CARE               ‘Community Led, Voice and Value Chain’                            20,000
                   Community-led development, Social economic                        HHs
                   empowerment, Increased wider policy-making process
Uttaran            ‘Khas Land Transfar and Income Generation’                        12,000
                   Khas land (public land) transfer to the landless people,
                   Reduced corruption, Building income and livelihood capacity
NETZ               ‘Asset Transfer and Land’                                         9,000
                   Targeting women and ethnic minority (Adibashi), Asset
                   transfer and increased income, Reduced vulnerability
Practical Action   ‘Technology Transfer, Skills Development and Market’              16,850
Bangladesh         Technology and skill development of sandbar cropping in
(PAB)              char lands (riverine islands), Secured market access
Save the           ‘Social Entitlements, Asset Transfer and Market’                  15,000
Children (SCF)     Enhanced capacity to access to safety-net, Assets and
                   livelihood transfer, Access to health, education water facility
Dushtha            ‘Social Mobilisation, Asset Transfer and Small Business’          10,000
Shasthya           Develop technical skill and business capacities, Improve
Kendra (DSK)       water and health using common assets and services

Three additional Round 2 Scale Fund NGOs (Concern, Oxfam, Caritas) commenced
work in 2012 and will be analysed in future reports.
CARE:
Gaibandha,
                       PAB:
Nilphamari,
                       Gaibandha,
Rangpur,
                       Nilphamari,
Lalmonirhat
                       Rangpur,
                       Lalmonirhat

NETZ:
Rajshahi, Naogaon,    DSK:
Chapai-Nawabgonj      Dhaka slums
                      (Karail, Kamrangichar)


    Uttaran:
    Satkira, Khulna   SCF:
                      Khulna, Bagerhat
Design of annual panel nutrition surveys
Cohort 1 - 384 households (64 HHs from Phase One 6 NGOs)
Cohort 2 - additional cohort from urban slum (DSK) and Adivashi (NETZ) in 2011
Cohort 3 - adding 3 NGOs in Phase Two in 2012
(including 10% estimated attrition each year)

Cohort        2010        2011       2012       2013          2014      2015
   1           384         345       310         279          251       226
   2                       128       115         104          94         85
   3                                 192         172          154       138
 Total         384         473       617         555          499       449
       Within subject change                Comparing with additional cohort
   Testing for recruitment homogeneity            Follow-up


CMS3 surveys conducted 3 times a year in March, July and October/November
between March 2010 and 2012 and annual nutrition survey conducted each year
in March.
CMS3 Round 7 - Annual
nutrition and socio-
economic surveys in 2012
26 February-16 April 2012 (total 50
days including 12 days training)
It was a combined survey with
Innovation Fund Round 1&2
Endline survey covering 25 Districts
in Bangladesh covering 1472 HHs

 CMS3 annual nutrition survey
 covered:
 Cohorts 1&2 – 512 HHs
 Cohort 3 – 128 HHs
Total 45 research members
                                           including international nutrition
                                           advisor (Cambridge University),
                                           shiree staff, NGO Research
                                           Assistants, enumerators and
                                           measurers




Training of enumerating and
anthropometric measurement




                              and performing careful
                              quality control
Measurements
Nutritional status
Anthropometric indicators: weight, length/height – BMI (adults) and z-scores (child
below 5 years of age)
Biochemical indicators: haemoglobin using HemoCue (portable analyser)
Socio-economic
questionnaire
 Socio-demographic characteristics of the household (including age, marital
status, household/family size, education, disability, and occupation)
Morbidity report
Household and homestead land ownership
House condition (size, structure, source of drinking water, electricity and toilet
facilities)
Cash loans and savings
Assets – animals, working equipment and belongings
Income – cash and in-kind
Expenditure – covering food, household and work related
Food intake and food security
Results
Sample attrition for analyses

  Number of households which completed information all through surveys from
  March 2010

            March    July     October   March      July     November     March
            2010     2010      2010     2011       2011       2011       2012
Cohort      Survey   Survey   Survey    Survey    Survey    Survey      Survey
              1        2        3         4         5          6          7
   1         384      376      352       336        329        316        303
   2                                     128       (128)      (128)      (128)
   3                                                                      192

Nutrition    Yes       -        -        Yes        -           -         Yes
  SES        Yes      Yes      Yes       Yes       Yes         Yes        Yes
NGO        Attrition (%)    Female headed households (%)
     CARE                   25.0                       16.7
     DSK (Urban)            45.3                       62.9
     NETZ                   14.1                       58.2
     PAB                    10.9                       28.1
     SCF                    17.2                       45.3
     UTTARAN                14.1                       36.4
     Total Rural            16.3                       37.3
     Total                  21.1                       40.3


In total 303 households participated in the seven surveys from the initial sample
of 384 households, an attrition rate of 21% between surveys 1 and 7.

There was greater attrition in the urban sample (45%) than in the rural
areas (16%).
In total 303 households, information was collected on 1111 individuals of
whom 634 were adults, 315 children aged between 5 and 15 years and 162
children under 5 years of age.
Male and female headed households and family size

In the total sample 40.3% of
households were female headed
(FHHs). Mainly widowed (62.3%)
and divorced/abandoned (23.0%).
Mean family size increased
significantly from 3.35 in survey 1
to 3.67 in survey 7. FHHs were
smaller by, on average, 1.3 family
members (4.2 vs 2.9).


 Schooling
Only 25.0% of heads of households had attended school significantly more so
in male (MHHs, 35.3%) than FHHs (12.1%).
Between surveys 1 and 4 school attendance in children increased
significantly from about 76% to 86% and rose to 89% in survey 7.
Chronic illness


Chronic illness fell significantly between surveys 1 (15.6%) and 4 (4.2%) but
there was no change between surveys 4 and 7 (4.8%).



                %   Survey 1        4          7    p (1&4)    p (1&7)    p (4&7)
  Head                  27.7       7.6       8.6     <0.001     <0.001          ns
  All adults            23.2       7.3       8.0     <0.001     <0.001          ns
  Children 5-15          5.1       1.0       1.0      0.004      0.003          ns
  <5 children            3.3       0.8         0         ns      0.035          ns
  Total                 15.6       4.2       4.8     <0.001     <0.001          ns
Morbidity status
The health status of family members was determined on the day of the survey and
over the previous 7 and 30 days.


 Morbidity status (%) of all family member in
 the previous 30 days                           All adults: fever, cough, eye and skin
                                                infections fell between surveys 1, 4
                                                and 7 while passing of worms fell
                  1&7 All <0.001                between surveys 1 and 4 only.
                                                In children 5 to 15 years of age: the
                                                prevalence of fever and cough both
                                                fell between surveys 1 and 4 but not
                                                between surveys 4 and 7.
                                                Under 5 year old children: there were
                                                reductions in fever and cough and
                                                passing of worms.
Employment
(%)                                            MHHs                            FHHs
                            Survey   1          4         7         1           4          7
Unemployment                             5.9        4.6       4.2        6.1         2.8        0.9
Agricultural day labourer            36.0        31.8     31.5          16.5        17.4       15.7
Other day labourer                   18.8           9.2   13.7           9.6        11.9        4.3
Domestic maid                            0.5        2.9       1.8       31.3        21.1       14.8
Rickshaw                             16.5        20.2     18.5            0           0          0
Skilled labour                           3.8        4.6       2.4        0.9         1.8        2.6
Fishing/aquaculture                      4.8        6.4       7.1        2.6         2.8        2.6
Livestock                                 0           0       1.8         0          2.8        6.1
Cottage/garment                          1.1        0.6       1.2        0.9         1.8        2.6
Petty trade                              8.6     16.2     15.5          10.4        18.3       11.3
Begging/scavenging                       3.8        3.5       1.2       16.5        11.0        9.6
Housework                                 0           0       1.2        5.2         8.3       25.2


MHHs - Petty trading increased
FHHs - Decreased unemployment and domestic maid, but begging still
remained an important source of income (9.6%).
The number of days worked fell significantly between surveys 4 and 7
  while advanced sale of labour generally fell.
  Between surveys 4 and 7 self employment increased by 10% and self
  employed worked, on average, significantly more days.


 Mean number of days and hours worked by head of household
(days)                          Overall            MHHs            Urban       Self vs non-self
                     Survey    4       7       4          7    4           7     4        7
In the last 7 days             4.43    4.32    4.42    4.05    4.97    4.31      4.99      4.90
In the last 14 days            8.84    8.89    8.83    8.58   10.00    8.66      9.80    10.05
In the last 30 days           18.59   18.78   18.55   18.20   20.77   18.37     20.77    21.55


Hours worked in the last       6.36    5.84    6.95    6.49    6.00    6.17      6.20      5.58
7 days
 NB: Red shows significant difference (at least <0.01) between survey 4 and 7
Land ownership
Households owning land increased significantly from 15.2% in survey 1 to
31.4% in survey 7
      MHHs - The increase in ownership occurred between surveys 1 and 4
      FHHs - ownership increased across all surveys.
Land ownership by head of household
(%)                                   MHHs                         FHHs
                 Survey     1          4         7         1        4      7
Land owned
0                           81.2       64.6      65.2      90.2     82.0   73.8
0.1-2.49                     7.7       15.5      14.4       4.1      8.2    4.1
2.50-4.99                    5.0        8.8       7.2       4.1      5.7   12.3
5.0+                         6.1       11.0      13.3       1.6      4.1    9.8
- yes total                 18.8       35.4      34.8       9.8     18.0   26.2

Cultivated – yes                2.2        2.2       7.2       0     0.8    4.1
Share cropped – yes             4.4        9.3   18.2          0     3.3    4.1
Free use – yes                  4.4    10.0      16.0          0     4.1    6.6
Household ownership, size and structure


Owning house: The percentage of households owning their own house increased
significantly from 72.6% to 80.2% between surveys 1 and 4 and fell slightly to
78.5% in survey 7.

 Home ownership                                             Survey
                                                 1            4          7
 Own                                                 26.7         25.1       26.4
 Rent                                                12.7         11.9       12.2
 Live with parent                                     2.7          1.0        1.7
 Live with parent-in-law                              1.0          0.7        0.3
 Rent free with family                                6.0          4.3        5.6
 Rent free non-family                                 5.0          2.0        1.7
 Own house on khas land or someone else’s land       46.0         55.1       52.1
 Own any house                                       72.7         80.2       78.5
House size: mean reported size of houses increased from 14.0 square metres in
survey 1 to 15.5 square metres in survey 4 and to 16.2 square metres in survey 7,
but the increase was only significant in MHHs.
The smallest dwellings were in the urban slums (mean 10 square metres).

  By male and female headed household                 By NGOs




 House material: There was no significant change in materials used in house
 construction over this time period; walls were primarily made of grass etc, mud or
 tin sheet, roofs of tin sheet and floors of mud.
Electricity, water supply and defecation practices
Electricity: There was no significant change in electricity or water supply
between surveys. In rural areas about 95% of households had no electricity
supply whereas 85% of urban dwellers had access to electricity.
Water: Nearly all urban households obtained their water from a piped supply or
tubewell while over 80% of rural households obtained their water from a tubewell.

Defecation: There was a highly significant reduction in open defecation in
rural areas down from 36.9% in survey 1, to 19.8% in survey 4 and 15.3% in
survey 7 and concomitant increase in use of ring/slab/sanitary latrine up from
49.6% in survey 1 to 78.4% in survey 7.

Defecation             Urban                  Rural                  Total
practice
                       Survey                 Survey                 Survey
               1          4     7      1       4       7      1        4         7

Open             2.9        0      0   36.9    19.8    15.3   33.0      17.5     13.5
Hanging         11.4      5.7    8.6    2.2     0.4     1.9    3.3       1.0      2.6
Pit             14.3      2.9    8.6   11.2     9.0     4.5   11.6       8.3      5.0
Ring/slab       31.4     42.9   40.0   48.5    69.0    75.0   46.5      65.7     70.9
Sanitary        40.0     48.6   42.9    1.1     1.9     3.4    5.6       7.3      7.9
Loans and cash savings
Loans: There was no consistent pattern to either the number or amount of
loans over the seven surveys.




NB: Five sources of cash loan were identified (i) free informal (ii) informal loans with interest
(iii) interest loans from samity (iv) interest loans from microfinance institutions and (v) interest
loans from a bank or the Government of Bangladesh.
Cash savings: In survey 1, 36% of households had some cash savings increasing
to 84% in survey 4 and falling to 81% in survey 7.
The mean amount increased significantly from 489 Taka in survey 1 to 4095
Taka in survey 6 and then fell to 3665 Taka in survey 7.
       By male and female headed HH                   By NGOs




                                                 Urban DSK

                                                                 UTTARAN
                                                                 after Survey 5
Assets
Animal ownership: There was a highly significant increase in animal
ownership between surveys 1 and 4 (up from 28.4% to 63.9%) followed by a
very slight fall in survey 7 (63.4%).



           Significant
           increases
           in 1&4



                                            Survey   p (1&4) p (1&7)   p (4&7)
                                         Cattle      <0.001   <0.001   <0.001
                                         Calf         0.022   <0.001   <0.001
                                         Goat        <0.001   <0.001       ns
                                         Poultry     <0.001   <0.001    0.042
                                         Pig             ns      ns        ns
                                         Total       <0.001   <0.001       ns
Ownership of any animal by NGO (%)

NGOs            Survey 1        4       7    P (1&4)   P (1&7)   P (4&7)
CARE                39.6      54.2    60.4       ns     0.031        ns
DSK                  2.9       2.9     8.6       ns        ns        ns
NETZ                29.1      94.5    98.2   <0.001    <0.001        ns
PAB                 22.8      56.1    64.9   <0.001    <0.001        ns
SCF                 30.2      83.0    71.7   <0.001    <0.001        ns
UTTARAN             38.2      65.5    56.4    0.006    <0.001        ns
Total               28.4      63.0    63.4   <0.001    <0.001        ns
There were highly significant increases in the amount spent on purchasing
animals between the three surveys in both MHHs and FHHs. Overall there was
an eightfold increase in spending on animals.

The value of animals increased significantly between surveys 1, 4 and 7.




 Mean value of animals by head of             Mean value of animals by NGO
 household
Ownership of working equipment: increased from 56.1% in survey 1 to 74.6%
in survey 4 and 84.5% in survey 7.
Increases occurred in both MHHs and FHHs and in all three surveys MHHs
owned more working equipment (over 90% of MHHs owned working
equipment in survey 7 compared with 76% of FHHs).
The value of working equipment only increased significantly between surveys
1 and 4.




 Mean value of equipment by head of       Mean value of equipment by NGO
 household
Working equipment                       1             4          7    p (1&4)     p (1&7)       p (4&7)
ownership
Net                                    9.9          17.8       18.5   <0.001       <0.001              ns
Rickshaw                               4.3          15.8       18.5   <0.001       <0.001              ns
Boat                                   1.0           2.0        2.6        ns            ns            ns
Sewing Machine                         0.3           4.3        4.6   <0.001       <0.001              ns
Cottage industry                       0.3           1.3          -        ns             -             -
Agri equipment (more than 1)          49.5          66.7       79.2   <0.001       <0.001        <0.001
Total ownership                       56.1          74.6       84.5   <0.001       <0.001        <0.001


Ownership of any                 1             4           7    p (1&4)     p (1&7)       p (4&7)
working equipment
CARE                           58.3          81.3      87.5       0.013         <0.001           ns
DSK                            20.0          37.1      37.1           ns           ns            ns
NETZ                           70.9          76.4      92.7           ns         0.002         0.022
PAB                            59.6          73.6      92.9           ns        <0.001           ns
SCF                            50.9          75.5      86.8       0.004         <0.001           ns
UTTARAN                        63.6          90.9      92.7       0.001         <0.001           ns
Total ownership                56.1          74.6      84.5      <0.001         <0.001        <0.001
Ownership of household belongings: increased significantly (there were
large increases in ownership of a mobile phone, wooden box, mattress and
chair), more so in MHHs
Overall the number of household goods owned increased from 3.2
(maximum 13) in survey 1 to 4.6 in survey 7.




Mean number of household goods           Mean number of household goods
owned by head of household               owned by NGO
The value of household equipment increased significantly between
surveys 1, 4 and 7.




Mean value of household goods by     Mean value of household goods by
head of household                    NGO
Total assets: Overall the value of assets rose by, on average, 7000 Taka
 between surveys 1 and 4, and by 3000 Taka between surveys 4 and 7 (Taka
 2,311, 9,322 and 12,413 in survey 1, 4 and 7 respectively)
 MHHs had significantly higher value of assets in surveys 1 and 7 and the gap was
 widening.


Average amount spent on           1        4           7   p (1&4)   p (1&7)   p (4&7)
assets
Animals                        1293     6899        9201   <0.001    <0.001    <0.001
Equipment                       263     2045        2086   <0.001    <0.001        ns
Household belongings           1681     3482        4851   <0.001    <0.001        ns
Household belongings + shop*      -     4329        6797         -         -   <0.001
Total assets                   2311     9322       12413   <0.001    <0.001    <0.001
Total assets + shop*              -    10166       14360         -         -   <0.001

 *the question conducted only in surveys 4 and 7
Mean value of total assets by head   Mean value of total assets by NGO
of household
Income
The mean income for male and female headed households by survey was
calculated based on HIES criteria which do not include in-kind income.
Overall mean income increased consistently from 1,776 Taka/month in survey 1
to 3,298 Taka/month in survey 7 - there was not consistent improvement within
urban and rural areas. (These increased income does not take into account the
inflation between March 2010 and March 2012)




Mean income in household per month by   Mean income in household per month by NGO
MHHs and FHHs
MHHs per capita income (27.4 Taka pppd) was significantly higher than
FHHs (21.4 Taka pppd) and the difference was apparent in all seven surveys.
Over the seven surveys the mean per capita income in the urban area was
significantly higher than the rural areas.

Rural MHHs earned on average 5.4 Taka pppd more than FHHs (23.9 versus 18.5
Taka pppd, respectively). Households from CARE and UTTARAN had the highest
mean income pppd (24.2 and 26.9, respectively) and SCF the lowest (17.4 Taka
pppd).




  Mean income pppd by MHHs and FHHs          Mean income pppd by NGO
Mean income per household *Red shows significant difference between MHHs and FHHs
                    Urban                    Rural                     Total
           MHHs      FHHs    Total   MHHs     FHHs     Total   MMHs    FHHs     Total
1           3428      2514   2853    2093       867    1635    2189     1164    1776
2           4527      3570   3925    2013       900    1603    2193     1390    1873
3           6051      3745   4627    1858       888    1494    2160     1383    1848
4           6439      4531   5240    3130     1454     2505    3368     2009    2821
5           6423      3303   4462    3453     1594     2760    3667     1902    2956
6           5721      2868   3927    3624     1892     2978    3774     2068    3087
7           6595      4701   5405    3698     1888     3023    3906     2396    3298

Mean income per capita
                    Urban                    Rural                     Total
           MHHs      FHHs    Total   MHHs     FHHs     Total   MHHs    FHHs     Total
1            25.3     25.8    25.6    19.4      12.8    17.0    19.9     15.1    18.0
2            35.9     34.7    35.1    18.3      12.8    16.3    19.6     16.8    18.5
3            46.7     37.1    40.6    16.3      12.9    15.1    18.5     17.2    18.0
4            52.0     45.4    47.9    26.2      19.1    23.6    28.1     23.8    26.4
5            54.2     33.0    40.9    29.9      19.6    26.1    31.6     22.0    27.8
6            46.2     28.0    34.7    30.1      22.4    27.2    31.3     23.4    28.1
7            53.1     45.9    48.6    29.9      25.2    28.2    31.6     28.9    30.5
In-kind income

 FHHs had significantly greater in-kind income than MHHs for the first three
 surveys but thereafter MHHs had greater in-kind income.




NETZ had the highest in-kind income in surveys 6 and 7.
The percentage that in-kind income contributed to total income in the total
sample and it ranged between 18% and 23% in the total sample.

In FHHs the percentage tended to fall from survey 1 to survey 7 and to rise in
MHHs. There was no consistent pattern by NGOs.
Expenditure              *Red shows significant difference between MHHs and FHHs
Monthly mean expenditure (HIES, Taka per month)
                     Urban                   Rural                    Total
Survey       MHHs    FHHs    Total   MHHs     FHHs    Total   MHHs    FHHs    Total
1             4410    4202   4279    2342     1464    2014    2491     1957    2276
2             4136    3277   3592    2037     1179    1717    2168     1520    1909
3             5985    4772   5281    2406     1250    1980    2674     1816    2338
4             6391    4401   5140    2926     1476    2385    3175     2004    2704
5             5562    4343   4796    1376     1444    1503    2943     2098    2601
6             6253    3857   4702    2992     1841    2564    3211     2208    2806
7             7518    4710   5753    2853     1707    2425    3188     2248    2810

Monthly mean expenditure per capita (HIES, Taka per month)
                     Urban                   Rural                    Total
Survey       MHHs    FHHs    Total   MHHs     FHHs    Total   MHHs    FHHs    Total
1             34.2    47.3    42.4    21.6     25.0   22.9     22.5    29.0    25.1
2             31.8    32.0    31.9    18.5     17.3   18.1     19.4    19.6    19.5
3             45.2    46.8    46.1    21.7     18.3   20.4     23.4    22.9    23.2
4             50.8    46.3    48.0    25.7     19.7   23.5     27.5    24.5    26.3
5             45.8    43.9    44.7    23.1     20.6   22.2     24.8    24.8    24.8
6             47.7    38.2    41.5    25.0     22.9   24.2     26.6    25.6    26.2
7             58.3    45.7    50.4    23.4     22.8   23.2     25.9    26.9    26.3
Total per capita expenditure increased significantly over the seven surveys from a low
in survey 2 of 19.5 Taka pppd to the highest in survey 7 of 26.3 Taka pppd.

There were no significant differences between MHHs and FHHs.
Overall the urban areas had greatest expenditure. The rural analyses indicated no
significant differences in overall means, by head of household or between NGOs
over the seven surveys.




  Mean total expenditure pppd by head       Mean total expenditure pppd by NGO
  of household
Food expenditure




Mean food expenditure pppd by MHHs      Mean food expenditure pppd by NGO
and FHHs


MHHs spent more on food, on average, than FHHs (17.5 vs 15.5 Taka pppd),
although the difference appeared to be decreasing

UTTARAN moved from having the lowest mean of any rural NGO in survey 1 to
having the highest mean food expenditure of the rural NGOs in survey 7
Household expenditure




Mean household expenditure pppd by         Mean household expenditure pppd by
MHHs and FHHs                              NGO


There was no significant difference between MHHs and FHHs
Significantly higher spending in the urban area was found, but there were no
significant differences between the overall rural means by NGOs
Work-related expenditure




  Mean work-related expenditure pppd by     Mean work-related expenditure pppd by
  MHHs and FHHs                             NGO


The amount spent on work-related items increased significantly across the surveys
from 20 Taka to 106 Taka between surveys 1 and 7
Considerably more spent in the urban areas, on average, than in the rural areas
(mean 193 versus 48 Taka, respectively) although the gap appears to be lessening
Difference between income and expenditure (net income)
Households went from a debit in surveys 1 to 3 (-437, -33, -52 Taka/month
respectively) to increasing credit in surveys 4 to 7 (+565, +891, +989 and +1076
Taka/month, respectively).
MHHs were significantly more in credit than FHHs over the 7 surveys by, on
average, 400 Taka/month.
When the average of the seven surveys was calculated all NGOs were in credit
ranging from 3 Taka/month to 778 Taka/month.




Mean monthly net income by MHHs and FHHs    Mean monthly net income by NGOs
Household food intake and security
 Rice was eaten by nearly all households in all seven surveys. Comparison of
 March 2011 and March 2013 revealed an increase in fresh fish consumption,
 pulses, green and other vegetables.

 Number of days                            Survey                             p
 food consumed
                   1       2       3           4     5      6      7

 Rice                                                                          -
  0                   0        0     0.3         0    0.3     0      0
  1                   0        0     0.3         0    0.3     0      0
  2                   0      0.3       0         0      0     0      0
  3+                100     99.7    98.3       100   99.3   100    100

 Flour                                                                    <0.001
   0                71.6    63.7    67.0      78.2   68.3   63.4   77.6
   1                11.6    17.3    16.2       7.9   10.9   14.5    8.9
   2                 8.3    11.7    10.9       6.9   10.6   10.2    6.3
   3+                8.6     7.3     5.9       6.9   10.2   11.9    7.3

 Pulse                                                                    <0.001
  0                 62.0    38.0    36.6      55.4   36.6   46.5   43.6
  1                 23.8    33.0    26.4      24.1   21.8   15.5   21.5
  2                  9.2    21.0    23.4      14.2   23.4   21.1   20.5
  3+                 5.0     8.0    13.5       6.3   18.2   16.8   14.5
Number of days                          Survey                              p
food consumed
                   1      2      3          4      5      6      7

Potato                                                                  <0.001
 0                  1.7    3.0    8.6        0.7    1.7    4.6    0.7
 1                  1,3    3.0    8.3          0    2.0    1.7    1.0
 2                  5.9   10.7   13.9        0.3    5.9    6.6    2.0
 3+                91.1   83.3   69.2       99.0   90.4   87.1   96.4

Green vegetables                                                        <0.001
 0                 17.8    6.7    5.6       14.2    4.0    4.6    7.3
 1                 16.8   11.3   14.6       22.8   10.2   14.5   16.2
 2                 29.7   26.3   28.8       31.7   29.7   27.7   37.0
 3+                35.6   55.7   51.0       31.4   56.1   53.1   39.6

Other vegetables                                                        <0.001
 0                  5.3    5.7   17.2        9.6    5.6    1.7    3.0
 1                  4.0    6.7    8.3       10.6   10.6    3.6    5.3
 2                 23.4   22.3   19.9       18.8   17.2    8.9   20.1
 3+                67.3   65.3   54.6       61.1   66.7   85.8   71.6

Fruits                                                                  <0.001
  0                92.1   57.0   56.6       74.3   33.7   57.4   70.0
  1                 5.6   27.3   17.5        8.9   24.4   16.5   12.2
  2                 1.0    7.7   14.6       11.2   21.1   12.9    9.9
  3+                1.3    8.0   11.3        5.6   20.8   13.2    7.9
Number of days                        Survey                             p
food consumed
                 1      2      3         4      5      6      7

Milk                                                                  0.007
 0               92.4   85.3   86.8      85.5   77.2   75.9   81.5
 1                5.0    7.7    5.0       8.6    8.9   10.9    5.6
 2                1.0    4.0    4.3       1.7    3.6    4.6    4.3
 3+               1.7    3.0    4.0       4.3   10.2    8.6    8.6

Eggs                                                                 <0.001
 0               70.6   54.0   57.0      42.2   38.9   36.3   35.0
 1               23.1   31.0   21.2      24.8   28.7   22.8   28.4
 2                3.6   10.7   16.9      18.5   16.8   21.1   22.1
 3+               2.6    4.3    5.0      14.5   15.5   19.8   14.5

Fresh fish                                                           <0.001
  0              38.0   20.7    9.9      24.8   17.8   12.5   16.2
  1              35.0   34.0   24.5      27.1   23.1   14.5   21.1
  2              16.5   21.7   28.1      21.5   18.8   21.5   19.5
  3+             10.6   23.7   37.4      26.7   40.3   51.5   43.2

Dried fish                                                              ns
 0               74.3   80.7   81.1      79.9   76.6   76.2   77.2
 1                9.9    9.3    6.3       7.6    5.3    8.3    6.9
 2                9.2    5.0    4.3       5.9    7.3    7.9    8.3
 3+               6.6    5.0    8.3       6.6   10.9    7.6    7.6
Number of days                                   Survey                              p
food consumed
                   1         2         3             4      5      6      7

Poultry                                                                          <0.001
 0                 96.0      92.3      91.1          84.8   84.8   80.9   79.2
 1                  3.0       6.7       7.9          11.2   10.6   13.9   13.2
 2                  0.3       0.3       0.7           3.3    3.6    4.3    5.3
 3+                 0.7       0.7       0.3           0.7    1.0    1.0    2.3

Meat                                                                             <0.001
 0                 90.1      92.7      97.7          92.4   88.4   84.5   82.8
 1                  7.6       5.0       1.0           6.6    9.2    9.9   11.9
 2                  1.7       0.7       0.3           0.7    2.0    2.0    4.3
 3+                 0.7       1.7       1.0           0.3    0.3    3.6    1.0

Mean foods eaten       5.9       7.1       7.0        6.7    7.7    7.6    7.3   <0.001
Mean food              4.3       5.0       4.9        4.8    5.3    5.3    5.2   <0.001
diversity
Overall food diversity rose from 4.3 in survey 1 to 5.3 in surveys 5 and 6 before
falling slightly to 5.2 in survey 7.
There was no significant difference between MHHs and FHHs.




Mean number of food types consumed               Mean number of food types consumed by NGO
by MHHs and FHHs

NB: The extent of household food diversity was determined in two ways (a) based on the mean of the
number of foods eaten (maximum 13) and (b) based on the 7 food groups (grains, roots and tubers, legumes
and nuts, dairy products, flesh foods, eggs, vitamin A rich fruits and vegetables and other fruit and
vegetables) as defined by WHO and UNICEF.
The households were asked about the coping strategies they used as a result of
financial hardship in the seven days prior to the survey. There were significant
improvements in all 10 strategies between surveys 1 and 7.




Mean food coping strategy by MHHs and    Mean food coping strategy by NGO
FHHs
Social empowerment
Overall the responses were quite consistent. More women in survey 7 felt there
were people who could be relied upon to help and less women in surveys 4 and 7
felt frightened of moving alone outside their village.

                                                   Male                           Females
                               Survey   Agree    Neither      Disagree   Agree    Neither   Disagree
Investing in children’s          1        97.6       2.4             -     97.6       2.4          -
education is the best use of     4        85.7      10.7           3.6     85.7      10.7        3.6
my scarce resources              7        95.2       2.4           2.4     95.2       2.4        2.4
If you earn money or             1        73.8       2.4          23.8     73.8       2.4       23.8
receive a loan, you decide       4        79.5       4.8          15.7     79.5       4.8       15.7
how to use the money             7        66.7       1.2          32.1     66.7       1.2       32.1
You feel confident that you      1        73.8       3.6          22.6     73.8       3.6       22.6
can face whatever the            4        78.6       6.0          15.5     78.6       6.0       15.5
future brings/holds              7        66.7       1.2          17.9     66.7       1.2       17.9
What you say matters in          1        98.8            -        1.2     98.8         -        1.2
decisions in your                4        98.8            -        1.2     98.8         -        1.2
household                        7        97.6            -        2.4     97.6         -        2.4
There are people outside         1        54.8       6.0          39.3     54.8       6.0       39.3
your family you can rely on      4        57.1       2.4          40.5     57.1       2.4       40.5
for help                         7        57.1       4.8          38.1     57.1       4.8       38.1
Adult nutritional status
The mean weights of head of household increased significantly over the three surveys
in both male and female adults and the average weight gain between surveys 1
and 7 was 0.7kg.
Mean BMI also increased significantly across the three surveys by 0.4 kgm-2
and there were concomitant reduction in CED percentages.
Mean haemoglobin did not show any significant change over the surveys but
the percentage who were anaemic fell in males but increased slightly in females.

        Weight                       BMI                      Haemoglobin




       Average                      Average
       + 0.7kg                      + 0.4 kgm-2
Decreased
                                  total 5.3%
                                                                               Decreased in
                                                                               Male 7.7%
                                                                               (Female ns)




                          Male                        Female                   Total
         Survey    1       4       7           1        4       7       1       4        7
Mean values
Weight             46.6    46.9    47.7        41.1     41.4    41.6    43.6    43.9    44.3
BMI                18.2    18.2    18.5        18.6     18.8    19.0    18.4    18.5    18.8
Haemoglobin       132.3   134.4   133.7   116.5        115.3   116.5   123.6   123.9   124.2
Categories
BMI <18.5          52.7    49.5    47.3        56.1     54.4    50.9    54.6    52.2    49.3
Anaemic            39.6    33.0    31.9        57.9     58.8    59.6    49.8    47.3    47.3
There were no significant changes between surveys although in the total sample
the percentage with CED and anaemia fell by nearly 5%.




    Head     Survey   CED + anaemic     CED only     Anaemic only    Normal
    Total      1          32.2            22.4           17.6         27.8
               4          27.3            24.9           20.0         27.8
               7          27.3            22.0           20.0         30.7
Child nutritional status
There was no significant change in mean height-for-age and weight-for-age
across the three surveys.
There was a highly significant improvement in haemoglobin concentration
with an increase in mean of over 8 g/l.




                                                           Average
                                                           + 8.0 g/L
The percentage of children who were
                                                             Anaemia
stunted fell significantly between
                                                             -24.8%
surveys 1 and 7 while the percentage of
children who were underweight
increased; the prevalence of wasting
reduced between surveys 1 and 4 but
increased back to baseline level in                                      Stunting
survey 7.                                                                -9.3%

The prevalence of childhood anaemia
fell significantly over the surveys.




Mean                        Survey         Prevalence           Survey
                     1        4       7                  1        4      7
Height-for-age      -1.94    -2.02   -1.81 Stunting      52.0    49.3    42.7
Weight-for-age      -1.89    -1.95   -1.90 Underweight   44.6    49.3    50.7
Weight-for-height   -0.88    -0.96   -1.14 Wasted        20.5    13.3    20.5
Haemoglobin         106.4   111.1    114.7 Anaemic       60.8    45.3    36.0
Summary      ✔ ✔= significant improvement, ✔ = trend of improvement

                                         1&4       1&7        4&7
   Family size                                 ✔      ✔✔              ✔
   Illness                                     -      ✔✔        ✔✔
   Land                                    ✔✔         ✔✔              ✔
   House ownership                             -         ✔            -
   House material                              -         -            -
   Loan                                        -         -            -
   Cash savings                            ✔✔            ✔            ✔
   Assets                                  ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
   Income                                  ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
   Expenditures                                -         -            -
   Net income                              ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
   Food                                    ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
   Adult weight and BMI                    ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
   Adult anaemia                               -         -            -
   Child z-scores                              -         -            -
   Child stunting                              -      ✔✔              -
   Child anaemia                           ✔✔         ✔✔        ✔✔
Discussions

(1) Many indicators of economical situation in households (e.g. land, saving,
asset, income, expenditure) showed improvement from 1 year of the
intervention and generally keep to show the upward trend after 2 years.

(2) Number of asset increased from survey 1 to 4 but not in survey 7, but the
value increased in survey 7 – how much the assets generate income?


(3) Amount of cash savings, income/expenditure increased, but no
change of loans

(4) Household food intake and security also improved sharply after 1 year
of intervention. BMI and weight in adults showed significant improvement,
but not hemoglobin - intervention increased energy intake but still do not
improve ‘quality’ of food such as animal protein.
Discussions
(5) After 2 years of intervention, child chronic undernutrition (stunting)
showed improvement which may related the reduction of morbidity.
However they also showed a sign of acute undernutrition (wasting and
underweight) at survey 7 – perhaps other factors such as breastfeeding
and weaning practice and poor energy intake may also related.

(6) Child anaemia status improved at surveys 4 and 7 – less than national
average (i.e. 68% of under 5 years of age in rural area).




                          More opinions?
How can we know whether there is improvement in the lifestyle
 of the ultra poor?

Areas worth investigating are:-

1. Do households sustain themselves about the poverty line or does churning
poverty occur (which might be seasonal or the result of some health shock or
other life event)?


2. Is there any relationship between an absolute measure of poverty (the
poverty line) and multidimensional poverty in the ultra poor and is this
homogeneous in urban and rural areas?


3. How well does an absolute measure of poverty predict multidimensional
poverty in the ultra poor?
How they are close to the above poverty line?
            – measurement of improvement

Chronic poverty is commonly defined as ‘a state of poverty where individuals,
households or regions are trapped in severe and multi-dimensional poverty
for an extended period of time, perhaps even across generations’. Duration,
multidimensionality and severity are therefore the key characteristics of chronic
poverty, and these are mutually reinforcing characteristics (Hulme et al., 2001).
Three measures of income poverty;

(1) Poor or not poor (yes or no, Headcount index)
                                                                  All indicators use
(2) Depth of poverty (Poverty Gap Index, PGI)
                                                                  ‘poverty line’
(3) Inequality of poverty (Squared Poverty Gap Index, SPGI)



                                         Poverty Gap
                                         = How much would have to be
                                         transferred to bring their expenditure
                                         (or income) up to the poverty line

                                         Poverty line




      Population ranked by consumption
Poverty Gap and Poverty Gap Index
 e.g. Poverty line is 125

Individual                   A           B     C     D     Sum     Poverty
                                                                       Gap
                                                                     Index
Income                      100        100    150   150
Poverty Gap                  25         25     0     0
PG / Poverty line   25 / 125 = 25 / 125 =      0     0    0.20 + 0.40 / 4 =
                          0.20       0.20                 0.20 =      0.10
                                                            0.40    (10%)

Income                       80        120    150   150
Poverty Gap                  45          5     0     0
PG / Poverty line   45 / 125 =    5 / 125 =    0     0    0.36 + 0.40 / 4 =
                          0.36         0.04               0.04 =      0.10
                                                            0.40    (10%)
Squared Poverty Gap Index        Poverty line is 125
Individual                  A           B        C        D     Sum     Poverty
                                                                            Gap
                                                                          Index
Income                    100         100      150       150
Poverty Gap                25          25         0       0
PG / Poverty line   25 / 125 = 25 / 125 =         0       0
                          0.20       0.20
Squared Poverty         0.202       0.202         0       0      0.08    0.08 / 4
Gap                    =0.04       =0.04                                   =0.02
                                                                            (2%)

Income                     80         120      150       150
Poverty Gap                45           5         0       0
PG / Poverty line   45 / 125 =   5 / 125 =        0       0
                          0.36        0.04
Squared Poverty         0.362       0.042         0       0    0.1312   0.1312 / 4
Gap                  =0.1296     =0.0016                                  =0.0328
                                                                          (3.28%)
Thank you to our beneficiaries and all the staff who
  contributed to making these surveys possible!

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CMS3 March 2012 presentation

  • 1. Monitoring the changes in socio-economic & nutritional status of extreme poor households Change Monitoring System (CMS3) - March 2010 to March 2012 Professor Nick Mascie-Taylor and Dr Rie Goto University of Cambridge
  • 2. shiree Change Monitoring System (CMS) Shiree has robust survey, monitoring and evaluation structure CMS 1 The Household Profile To provide the baseline from which to monitor change over time – all beneficiaries CMS 2 Monthly Snapshot To enable an assessment of trends monthly – all beneficiaries CMS 3 Socio-economic and To provide in depth socio-economic and nutritional Anthropometric data allowing an assessment of longer term change Surveys and the impact of project interventions – random sample in Scale Fund NGO beneficiaries CMS 4 Participatory Review To provide a forum for beneficiaries to explain changes and Project Analysis in their lives and the reasons for these changes, as well as creating a platform for Innovation Fund NGOs to adapt and improve their innovations according to the needs of beneficiaries – group discussion in Innovation Fund NGO beneficiaries CMS 5 Tracking Studies To provide quality longitudinal tracking studies documenting the dynamics of extreme poverty as it is experienced and changes in beneficiaries’ lives as a result of project interventions – small selection of beneficiaries + CMS6
  • 3. shiree Change Monitoring System (CMS) Shiree has robust survey, monitoring and evaluation structure CMS 1 The Household Profile To provide the baseline from which to monitor change over time – all beneficiatries CMS 2 Monthly Snapshot To enable an assessment of trends monthly – all beneficiaries CMS 3 Socio-economic and To provide in depth socio-economic and nutritional Anthropometric data allowing an assessment of longer term change Surveys and the impact of project interventions – random sample in Scale Fund NGO beneficiaries CMS 4 Participatory Review To provide a forum for beneficiaries to explain changes and Project Analysis in their lives and the reasons for these changes, as well as creating a platform for Innovation Fund NGOs to adapt and improve their innovations according to the needs of beneficiaries – group discussion in Innovation Fund NGO beneficiaries CMS 5 Tracking Studies To provide quality longitudinal tracking studies documenting the dynamics of extreme poverty as it is experienced and changes in beneficiaries’ lives as a result of project interventions – small selection of beneficiaries
  • 4. 6 NGOs in Round One Phase One Scale Fund CARE ‘Community Led, Voice and Value Chain’ 20,000 Community-led development, Social economic HHs empowerment, Increased wider policy-making process Uttaran ‘Khas Land Transfar and Income Generation’ 12,000 Khas land (public land) transfer to the landless people, Reduced corruption, Building income and livelihood capacity NETZ ‘Asset Transfer and Land’ 9,000 Targeting women and ethnic minority (Adibashi), Asset transfer and increased income, Reduced vulnerability Practical Action ‘Technology Transfer, Skills Development and Market’ 16,850 Bangladesh Technology and skill development of sandbar cropping in (PAB) char lands (riverine islands), Secured market access Save the ‘Social Entitlements, Asset Transfer and Market’ 15,000 Children (SCF) Enhanced capacity to access to safety-net, Assets and livelihood transfer, Access to health, education water facility Dushtha ‘Social Mobilisation, Asset Transfer and Small Business’ 10,000 Shasthya Develop technical skill and business capacities, Improve Kendra (DSK) water and health using common assets and services Three additional Round 2 Scale Fund NGOs (Concern, Oxfam, Caritas) commenced work in 2012 and will be analysed in future reports.
  • 5. CARE: Gaibandha, PAB: Nilphamari, Gaibandha, Rangpur, Nilphamari, Lalmonirhat Rangpur, Lalmonirhat NETZ: Rajshahi, Naogaon, DSK: Chapai-Nawabgonj Dhaka slums (Karail, Kamrangichar) Uttaran: Satkira, Khulna SCF: Khulna, Bagerhat
  • 6. Design of annual panel nutrition surveys Cohort 1 - 384 households (64 HHs from Phase One 6 NGOs) Cohort 2 - additional cohort from urban slum (DSK) and Adivashi (NETZ) in 2011 Cohort 3 - adding 3 NGOs in Phase Two in 2012 (including 10% estimated attrition each year) Cohort 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1 384 345 310 279 251 226 2 128 115 104 94 85 3 192 172 154 138 Total 384 473 617 555 499 449 Within subject change Comparing with additional cohort Testing for recruitment homogeneity Follow-up CMS3 surveys conducted 3 times a year in March, July and October/November between March 2010 and 2012 and annual nutrition survey conducted each year in March.
  • 7. CMS3 Round 7 - Annual nutrition and socio- economic surveys in 2012 26 February-16 April 2012 (total 50 days including 12 days training) It was a combined survey with Innovation Fund Round 1&2 Endline survey covering 25 Districts in Bangladesh covering 1472 HHs CMS3 annual nutrition survey covered: Cohorts 1&2 – 512 HHs Cohort 3 – 128 HHs
  • 8. Total 45 research members including international nutrition advisor (Cambridge University), shiree staff, NGO Research Assistants, enumerators and measurers Training of enumerating and anthropometric measurement and performing careful quality control
  • 9. Measurements Nutritional status Anthropometric indicators: weight, length/height – BMI (adults) and z-scores (child below 5 years of age) Biochemical indicators: haemoglobin using HemoCue (portable analyser)
  • 10. Socio-economic questionnaire Socio-demographic characteristics of the household (including age, marital status, household/family size, education, disability, and occupation) Morbidity report Household and homestead land ownership House condition (size, structure, source of drinking water, electricity and toilet facilities) Cash loans and savings Assets – animals, working equipment and belongings Income – cash and in-kind Expenditure – covering food, household and work related Food intake and food security
  • 11. Results Sample attrition for analyses Number of households which completed information all through surveys from March 2010 March July October March July November March 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2012 Cohort Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 384 376 352 336 329 316 303 2 128 (128) (128) (128) 3 192 Nutrition Yes - - Yes - - Yes SES Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
  • 12. NGO Attrition (%) Female headed households (%) CARE 25.0 16.7 DSK (Urban) 45.3 62.9 NETZ 14.1 58.2 PAB 10.9 28.1 SCF 17.2 45.3 UTTARAN 14.1 36.4 Total Rural 16.3 37.3 Total 21.1 40.3 In total 303 households participated in the seven surveys from the initial sample of 384 households, an attrition rate of 21% between surveys 1 and 7. There was greater attrition in the urban sample (45%) than in the rural areas (16%). In total 303 households, information was collected on 1111 individuals of whom 634 were adults, 315 children aged between 5 and 15 years and 162 children under 5 years of age.
  • 13. Male and female headed households and family size In the total sample 40.3% of households were female headed (FHHs). Mainly widowed (62.3%) and divorced/abandoned (23.0%). Mean family size increased significantly from 3.35 in survey 1 to 3.67 in survey 7. FHHs were smaller by, on average, 1.3 family members (4.2 vs 2.9). Schooling Only 25.0% of heads of households had attended school significantly more so in male (MHHs, 35.3%) than FHHs (12.1%). Between surveys 1 and 4 school attendance in children increased significantly from about 76% to 86% and rose to 89% in survey 7.
  • 14. Chronic illness Chronic illness fell significantly between surveys 1 (15.6%) and 4 (4.2%) but there was no change between surveys 4 and 7 (4.8%). % Survey 1 4 7 p (1&4) p (1&7) p (4&7) Head 27.7 7.6 8.6 <0.001 <0.001 ns All adults 23.2 7.3 8.0 <0.001 <0.001 ns Children 5-15 5.1 1.0 1.0 0.004 0.003 ns <5 children 3.3 0.8 0 ns 0.035 ns Total 15.6 4.2 4.8 <0.001 <0.001 ns
  • 15. Morbidity status The health status of family members was determined on the day of the survey and over the previous 7 and 30 days. Morbidity status (%) of all family member in the previous 30 days All adults: fever, cough, eye and skin infections fell between surveys 1, 4 and 7 while passing of worms fell 1&7 All <0.001 between surveys 1 and 4 only. In children 5 to 15 years of age: the prevalence of fever and cough both fell between surveys 1 and 4 but not between surveys 4 and 7. Under 5 year old children: there were reductions in fever and cough and passing of worms.
  • 16. Employment (%) MHHs FHHs Survey 1 4 7 1 4 7 Unemployment 5.9 4.6 4.2 6.1 2.8 0.9 Agricultural day labourer 36.0 31.8 31.5 16.5 17.4 15.7 Other day labourer 18.8 9.2 13.7 9.6 11.9 4.3 Domestic maid 0.5 2.9 1.8 31.3 21.1 14.8 Rickshaw 16.5 20.2 18.5 0 0 0 Skilled labour 3.8 4.6 2.4 0.9 1.8 2.6 Fishing/aquaculture 4.8 6.4 7.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 Livestock 0 0 1.8 0 2.8 6.1 Cottage/garment 1.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 1.8 2.6 Petty trade 8.6 16.2 15.5 10.4 18.3 11.3 Begging/scavenging 3.8 3.5 1.2 16.5 11.0 9.6 Housework 0 0 1.2 5.2 8.3 25.2 MHHs - Petty trading increased FHHs - Decreased unemployment and domestic maid, but begging still remained an important source of income (9.6%).
  • 17. The number of days worked fell significantly between surveys 4 and 7 while advanced sale of labour generally fell. Between surveys 4 and 7 self employment increased by 10% and self employed worked, on average, significantly more days. Mean number of days and hours worked by head of household (days) Overall MHHs Urban Self vs non-self Survey 4 7 4 7 4 7 4 7 In the last 7 days 4.43 4.32 4.42 4.05 4.97 4.31 4.99 4.90 In the last 14 days 8.84 8.89 8.83 8.58 10.00 8.66 9.80 10.05 In the last 30 days 18.59 18.78 18.55 18.20 20.77 18.37 20.77 21.55 Hours worked in the last 6.36 5.84 6.95 6.49 6.00 6.17 6.20 5.58 7 days NB: Red shows significant difference (at least <0.01) between survey 4 and 7
  • 18. Land ownership Households owning land increased significantly from 15.2% in survey 1 to 31.4% in survey 7 MHHs - The increase in ownership occurred between surveys 1 and 4 FHHs - ownership increased across all surveys. Land ownership by head of household (%) MHHs FHHs Survey 1 4 7 1 4 7 Land owned 0 81.2 64.6 65.2 90.2 82.0 73.8 0.1-2.49 7.7 15.5 14.4 4.1 8.2 4.1 2.50-4.99 5.0 8.8 7.2 4.1 5.7 12.3 5.0+ 6.1 11.0 13.3 1.6 4.1 9.8 - yes total 18.8 35.4 34.8 9.8 18.0 26.2 Cultivated – yes 2.2 2.2 7.2 0 0.8 4.1 Share cropped – yes 4.4 9.3 18.2 0 3.3 4.1 Free use – yes 4.4 10.0 16.0 0 4.1 6.6
  • 19. Household ownership, size and structure Owning house: The percentage of households owning their own house increased significantly from 72.6% to 80.2% between surveys 1 and 4 and fell slightly to 78.5% in survey 7. Home ownership Survey 1 4 7 Own 26.7 25.1 26.4 Rent 12.7 11.9 12.2 Live with parent 2.7 1.0 1.7 Live with parent-in-law 1.0 0.7 0.3 Rent free with family 6.0 4.3 5.6 Rent free non-family 5.0 2.0 1.7 Own house on khas land or someone else’s land 46.0 55.1 52.1 Own any house 72.7 80.2 78.5
  • 20. House size: mean reported size of houses increased from 14.0 square metres in survey 1 to 15.5 square metres in survey 4 and to 16.2 square metres in survey 7, but the increase was only significant in MHHs. The smallest dwellings were in the urban slums (mean 10 square metres). By male and female headed household By NGOs House material: There was no significant change in materials used in house construction over this time period; walls were primarily made of grass etc, mud or tin sheet, roofs of tin sheet and floors of mud.
  • 21. Electricity, water supply and defecation practices Electricity: There was no significant change in electricity or water supply between surveys. In rural areas about 95% of households had no electricity supply whereas 85% of urban dwellers had access to electricity. Water: Nearly all urban households obtained their water from a piped supply or tubewell while over 80% of rural households obtained their water from a tubewell. Defecation: There was a highly significant reduction in open defecation in rural areas down from 36.9% in survey 1, to 19.8% in survey 4 and 15.3% in survey 7 and concomitant increase in use of ring/slab/sanitary latrine up from 49.6% in survey 1 to 78.4% in survey 7. Defecation Urban Rural Total practice Survey Survey Survey 1 4 7 1 4 7 1 4 7 Open 2.9 0 0 36.9 19.8 15.3 33.0 17.5 13.5 Hanging 11.4 5.7 8.6 2.2 0.4 1.9 3.3 1.0 2.6 Pit 14.3 2.9 8.6 11.2 9.0 4.5 11.6 8.3 5.0 Ring/slab 31.4 42.9 40.0 48.5 69.0 75.0 46.5 65.7 70.9 Sanitary 40.0 48.6 42.9 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.6 7.3 7.9
  • 22. Loans and cash savings Loans: There was no consistent pattern to either the number or amount of loans over the seven surveys. NB: Five sources of cash loan were identified (i) free informal (ii) informal loans with interest (iii) interest loans from samity (iv) interest loans from microfinance institutions and (v) interest loans from a bank or the Government of Bangladesh.
  • 23. Cash savings: In survey 1, 36% of households had some cash savings increasing to 84% in survey 4 and falling to 81% in survey 7. The mean amount increased significantly from 489 Taka in survey 1 to 4095 Taka in survey 6 and then fell to 3665 Taka in survey 7. By male and female headed HH By NGOs Urban DSK UTTARAN after Survey 5
  • 24. Assets Animal ownership: There was a highly significant increase in animal ownership between surveys 1 and 4 (up from 28.4% to 63.9%) followed by a very slight fall in survey 7 (63.4%). Significant increases in 1&4 Survey p (1&4) p (1&7) p (4&7) Cattle <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Calf 0.022 <0.001 <0.001 Goat <0.001 <0.001 ns Poultry <0.001 <0.001 0.042 Pig ns ns ns Total <0.001 <0.001 ns
  • 25. Ownership of any animal by NGO (%) NGOs Survey 1 4 7 P (1&4) P (1&7) P (4&7) CARE 39.6 54.2 60.4 ns 0.031 ns DSK 2.9 2.9 8.6 ns ns ns NETZ 29.1 94.5 98.2 <0.001 <0.001 ns PAB 22.8 56.1 64.9 <0.001 <0.001 ns SCF 30.2 83.0 71.7 <0.001 <0.001 ns UTTARAN 38.2 65.5 56.4 0.006 <0.001 ns Total 28.4 63.0 63.4 <0.001 <0.001 ns
  • 26. There were highly significant increases in the amount spent on purchasing animals between the three surveys in both MHHs and FHHs. Overall there was an eightfold increase in spending on animals. The value of animals increased significantly between surveys 1, 4 and 7. Mean value of animals by head of Mean value of animals by NGO household
  • 27. Ownership of working equipment: increased from 56.1% in survey 1 to 74.6% in survey 4 and 84.5% in survey 7. Increases occurred in both MHHs and FHHs and in all three surveys MHHs owned more working equipment (over 90% of MHHs owned working equipment in survey 7 compared with 76% of FHHs). The value of working equipment only increased significantly between surveys 1 and 4. Mean value of equipment by head of Mean value of equipment by NGO household
  • 28. Working equipment 1 4 7 p (1&4) p (1&7) p (4&7) ownership Net 9.9 17.8 18.5 <0.001 <0.001 ns Rickshaw 4.3 15.8 18.5 <0.001 <0.001 ns Boat 1.0 2.0 2.6 ns ns ns Sewing Machine 0.3 4.3 4.6 <0.001 <0.001 ns Cottage industry 0.3 1.3 - ns - - Agri equipment (more than 1) 49.5 66.7 79.2 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Total ownership 56.1 74.6 84.5 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Ownership of any 1 4 7 p (1&4) p (1&7) p (4&7) working equipment CARE 58.3 81.3 87.5 0.013 <0.001 ns DSK 20.0 37.1 37.1 ns ns ns NETZ 70.9 76.4 92.7 ns 0.002 0.022 PAB 59.6 73.6 92.9 ns <0.001 ns SCF 50.9 75.5 86.8 0.004 <0.001 ns UTTARAN 63.6 90.9 92.7 0.001 <0.001 ns Total ownership 56.1 74.6 84.5 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
  • 29. Ownership of household belongings: increased significantly (there were large increases in ownership of a mobile phone, wooden box, mattress and chair), more so in MHHs Overall the number of household goods owned increased from 3.2 (maximum 13) in survey 1 to 4.6 in survey 7. Mean number of household goods Mean number of household goods owned by head of household owned by NGO
  • 30. The value of household equipment increased significantly between surveys 1, 4 and 7. Mean value of household goods by Mean value of household goods by head of household NGO
  • 31. Total assets: Overall the value of assets rose by, on average, 7000 Taka between surveys 1 and 4, and by 3000 Taka between surveys 4 and 7 (Taka 2,311, 9,322 and 12,413 in survey 1, 4 and 7 respectively) MHHs had significantly higher value of assets in surveys 1 and 7 and the gap was widening. Average amount spent on 1 4 7 p (1&4) p (1&7) p (4&7) assets Animals 1293 6899 9201 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Equipment 263 2045 2086 <0.001 <0.001 ns Household belongings 1681 3482 4851 <0.001 <0.001 ns Household belongings + shop* - 4329 6797 - - <0.001 Total assets 2311 9322 12413 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Total assets + shop* - 10166 14360 - - <0.001 *the question conducted only in surveys 4 and 7
  • 32. Mean value of total assets by head Mean value of total assets by NGO of household
  • 33. Income The mean income for male and female headed households by survey was calculated based on HIES criteria which do not include in-kind income. Overall mean income increased consistently from 1,776 Taka/month in survey 1 to 3,298 Taka/month in survey 7 - there was not consistent improvement within urban and rural areas. (These increased income does not take into account the inflation between March 2010 and March 2012) Mean income in household per month by Mean income in household per month by NGO MHHs and FHHs
  • 34. MHHs per capita income (27.4 Taka pppd) was significantly higher than FHHs (21.4 Taka pppd) and the difference was apparent in all seven surveys. Over the seven surveys the mean per capita income in the urban area was significantly higher than the rural areas. Rural MHHs earned on average 5.4 Taka pppd more than FHHs (23.9 versus 18.5 Taka pppd, respectively). Households from CARE and UTTARAN had the highest mean income pppd (24.2 and 26.9, respectively) and SCF the lowest (17.4 Taka pppd). Mean income pppd by MHHs and FHHs Mean income pppd by NGO
  • 35. Mean income per household *Red shows significant difference between MHHs and FHHs Urban Rural Total MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total MMHs FHHs Total 1 3428 2514 2853 2093 867 1635 2189 1164 1776 2 4527 3570 3925 2013 900 1603 2193 1390 1873 3 6051 3745 4627 1858 888 1494 2160 1383 1848 4 6439 4531 5240 3130 1454 2505 3368 2009 2821 5 6423 3303 4462 3453 1594 2760 3667 1902 2956 6 5721 2868 3927 3624 1892 2978 3774 2068 3087 7 6595 4701 5405 3698 1888 3023 3906 2396 3298 Mean income per capita Urban Rural Total MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total 1 25.3 25.8 25.6 19.4 12.8 17.0 19.9 15.1 18.0 2 35.9 34.7 35.1 18.3 12.8 16.3 19.6 16.8 18.5 3 46.7 37.1 40.6 16.3 12.9 15.1 18.5 17.2 18.0 4 52.0 45.4 47.9 26.2 19.1 23.6 28.1 23.8 26.4 5 54.2 33.0 40.9 29.9 19.6 26.1 31.6 22.0 27.8 6 46.2 28.0 34.7 30.1 22.4 27.2 31.3 23.4 28.1 7 53.1 45.9 48.6 29.9 25.2 28.2 31.6 28.9 30.5
  • 36. In-kind income FHHs had significantly greater in-kind income than MHHs for the first three surveys but thereafter MHHs had greater in-kind income. NETZ had the highest in-kind income in surveys 6 and 7.
  • 37. The percentage that in-kind income contributed to total income in the total sample and it ranged between 18% and 23% in the total sample. In FHHs the percentage tended to fall from survey 1 to survey 7 and to rise in MHHs. There was no consistent pattern by NGOs.
  • 38. Expenditure *Red shows significant difference between MHHs and FHHs Monthly mean expenditure (HIES, Taka per month) Urban Rural Total Survey MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total 1 4410 4202 4279 2342 1464 2014 2491 1957 2276 2 4136 3277 3592 2037 1179 1717 2168 1520 1909 3 5985 4772 5281 2406 1250 1980 2674 1816 2338 4 6391 4401 5140 2926 1476 2385 3175 2004 2704 5 5562 4343 4796 1376 1444 1503 2943 2098 2601 6 6253 3857 4702 2992 1841 2564 3211 2208 2806 7 7518 4710 5753 2853 1707 2425 3188 2248 2810 Monthly mean expenditure per capita (HIES, Taka per month) Urban Rural Total Survey MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total MHHs FHHs Total 1 34.2 47.3 42.4 21.6 25.0 22.9 22.5 29.0 25.1 2 31.8 32.0 31.9 18.5 17.3 18.1 19.4 19.6 19.5 3 45.2 46.8 46.1 21.7 18.3 20.4 23.4 22.9 23.2 4 50.8 46.3 48.0 25.7 19.7 23.5 27.5 24.5 26.3 5 45.8 43.9 44.7 23.1 20.6 22.2 24.8 24.8 24.8 6 47.7 38.2 41.5 25.0 22.9 24.2 26.6 25.6 26.2 7 58.3 45.7 50.4 23.4 22.8 23.2 25.9 26.9 26.3
  • 39. Total per capita expenditure increased significantly over the seven surveys from a low in survey 2 of 19.5 Taka pppd to the highest in survey 7 of 26.3 Taka pppd. There were no significant differences between MHHs and FHHs. Overall the urban areas had greatest expenditure. The rural analyses indicated no significant differences in overall means, by head of household or between NGOs over the seven surveys. Mean total expenditure pppd by head Mean total expenditure pppd by NGO of household
  • 40. Food expenditure Mean food expenditure pppd by MHHs Mean food expenditure pppd by NGO and FHHs MHHs spent more on food, on average, than FHHs (17.5 vs 15.5 Taka pppd), although the difference appeared to be decreasing UTTARAN moved from having the lowest mean of any rural NGO in survey 1 to having the highest mean food expenditure of the rural NGOs in survey 7
  • 41. Household expenditure Mean household expenditure pppd by Mean household expenditure pppd by MHHs and FHHs NGO There was no significant difference between MHHs and FHHs Significantly higher spending in the urban area was found, but there were no significant differences between the overall rural means by NGOs
  • 42. Work-related expenditure Mean work-related expenditure pppd by Mean work-related expenditure pppd by MHHs and FHHs NGO The amount spent on work-related items increased significantly across the surveys from 20 Taka to 106 Taka between surveys 1 and 7 Considerably more spent in the urban areas, on average, than in the rural areas (mean 193 versus 48 Taka, respectively) although the gap appears to be lessening
  • 43. Difference between income and expenditure (net income) Households went from a debit in surveys 1 to 3 (-437, -33, -52 Taka/month respectively) to increasing credit in surveys 4 to 7 (+565, +891, +989 and +1076 Taka/month, respectively). MHHs were significantly more in credit than FHHs over the 7 surveys by, on average, 400 Taka/month. When the average of the seven surveys was calculated all NGOs were in credit ranging from 3 Taka/month to 778 Taka/month. Mean monthly net income by MHHs and FHHs Mean monthly net income by NGOs
  • 44. Household food intake and security Rice was eaten by nearly all households in all seven surveys. Comparison of March 2011 and March 2013 revealed an increase in fresh fish consumption, pulses, green and other vegetables. Number of days Survey p food consumed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Rice - 0 0 0 0.3 0 0.3 0 0 1 0 0 0.3 0 0.3 0 0 2 0 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 3+ 100 99.7 98.3 100 99.3 100 100 Flour <0.001 0 71.6 63.7 67.0 78.2 68.3 63.4 77.6 1 11.6 17.3 16.2 7.9 10.9 14.5 8.9 2 8.3 11.7 10.9 6.9 10.6 10.2 6.3 3+ 8.6 7.3 5.9 6.9 10.2 11.9 7.3 Pulse <0.001 0 62.0 38.0 36.6 55.4 36.6 46.5 43.6 1 23.8 33.0 26.4 24.1 21.8 15.5 21.5 2 9.2 21.0 23.4 14.2 23.4 21.1 20.5 3+ 5.0 8.0 13.5 6.3 18.2 16.8 14.5
  • 45. Number of days Survey p food consumed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Potato <0.001 0 1.7 3.0 8.6 0.7 1.7 4.6 0.7 1 1,3 3.0 8.3 0 2.0 1.7 1.0 2 5.9 10.7 13.9 0.3 5.9 6.6 2.0 3+ 91.1 83.3 69.2 99.0 90.4 87.1 96.4 Green vegetables <0.001 0 17.8 6.7 5.6 14.2 4.0 4.6 7.3 1 16.8 11.3 14.6 22.8 10.2 14.5 16.2 2 29.7 26.3 28.8 31.7 29.7 27.7 37.0 3+ 35.6 55.7 51.0 31.4 56.1 53.1 39.6 Other vegetables <0.001 0 5.3 5.7 17.2 9.6 5.6 1.7 3.0 1 4.0 6.7 8.3 10.6 10.6 3.6 5.3 2 23.4 22.3 19.9 18.8 17.2 8.9 20.1 3+ 67.3 65.3 54.6 61.1 66.7 85.8 71.6 Fruits <0.001 0 92.1 57.0 56.6 74.3 33.7 57.4 70.0 1 5.6 27.3 17.5 8.9 24.4 16.5 12.2 2 1.0 7.7 14.6 11.2 21.1 12.9 9.9 3+ 1.3 8.0 11.3 5.6 20.8 13.2 7.9
  • 46. Number of days Survey p food consumed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Milk 0.007 0 92.4 85.3 86.8 85.5 77.2 75.9 81.5 1 5.0 7.7 5.0 8.6 8.9 10.9 5.6 2 1.0 4.0 4.3 1.7 3.6 4.6 4.3 3+ 1.7 3.0 4.0 4.3 10.2 8.6 8.6 Eggs <0.001 0 70.6 54.0 57.0 42.2 38.9 36.3 35.0 1 23.1 31.0 21.2 24.8 28.7 22.8 28.4 2 3.6 10.7 16.9 18.5 16.8 21.1 22.1 3+ 2.6 4.3 5.0 14.5 15.5 19.8 14.5 Fresh fish <0.001 0 38.0 20.7 9.9 24.8 17.8 12.5 16.2 1 35.0 34.0 24.5 27.1 23.1 14.5 21.1 2 16.5 21.7 28.1 21.5 18.8 21.5 19.5 3+ 10.6 23.7 37.4 26.7 40.3 51.5 43.2 Dried fish ns 0 74.3 80.7 81.1 79.9 76.6 76.2 77.2 1 9.9 9.3 6.3 7.6 5.3 8.3 6.9 2 9.2 5.0 4.3 5.9 7.3 7.9 8.3 3+ 6.6 5.0 8.3 6.6 10.9 7.6 7.6
  • 47. Number of days Survey p food consumed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Poultry <0.001 0 96.0 92.3 91.1 84.8 84.8 80.9 79.2 1 3.0 6.7 7.9 11.2 10.6 13.9 13.2 2 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.3 3.6 4.3 5.3 3+ 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 2.3 Meat <0.001 0 90.1 92.7 97.7 92.4 88.4 84.5 82.8 1 7.6 5.0 1.0 6.6 9.2 9.9 11.9 2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 2.0 2.0 4.3 3+ 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 3.6 1.0 Mean foods eaten 5.9 7.1 7.0 6.7 7.7 7.6 7.3 <0.001 Mean food 4.3 5.0 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.2 <0.001 diversity
  • 48. Overall food diversity rose from 4.3 in survey 1 to 5.3 in surveys 5 and 6 before falling slightly to 5.2 in survey 7. There was no significant difference between MHHs and FHHs. Mean number of food types consumed Mean number of food types consumed by NGO by MHHs and FHHs NB: The extent of household food diversity was determined in two ways (a) based on the mean of the number of foods eaten (maximum 13) and (b) based on the 7 food groups (grains, roots and tubers, legumes and nuts, dairy products, flesh foods, eggs, vitamin A rich fruits and vegetables and other fruit and vegetables) as defined by WHO and UNICEF.
  • 49. The households were asked about the coping strategies they used as a result of financial hardship in the seven days prior to the survey. There were significant improvements in all 10 strategies between surveys 1 and 7. Mean food coping strategy by MHHs and Mean food coping strategy by NGO FHHs
  • 50. Social empowerment Overall the responses were quite consistent. More women in survey 7 felt there were people who could be relied upon to help and less women in surveys 4 and 7 felt frightened of moving alone outside their village. Male Females Survey Agree Neither Disagree Agree Neither Disagree Investing in children’s 1 97.6 2.4 - 97.6 2.4 - education is the best use of 4 85.7 10.7 3.6 85.7 10.7 3.6 my scarce resources 7 95.2 2.4 2.4 95.2 2.4 2.4 If you earn money or 1 73.8 2.4 23.8 73.8 2.4 23.8 receive a loan, you decide 4 79.5 4.8 15.7 79.5 4.8 15.7 how to use the money 7 66.7 1.2 32.1 66.7 1.2 32.1 You feel confident that you 1 73.8 3.6 22.6 73.8 3.6 22.6 can face whatever the 4 78.6 6.0 15.5 78.6 6.0 15.5 future brings/holds 7 66.7 1.2 17.9 66.7 1.2 17.9 What you say matters in 1 98.8 - 1.2 98.8 - 1.2 decisions in your 4 98.8 - 1.2 98.8 - 1.2 household 7 97.6 - 2.4 97.6 - 2.4 There are people outside 1 54.8 6.0 39.3 54.8 6.0 39.3 your family you can rely on 4 57.1 2.4 40.5 57.1 2.4 40.5 for help 7 57.1 4.8 38.1 57.1 4.8 38.1
  • 51. Adult nutritional status The mean weights of head of household increased significantly over the three surveys in both male and female adults and the average weight gain between surveys 1 and 7 was 0.7kg. Mean BMI also increased significantly across the three surveys by 0.4 kgm-2 and there were concomitant reduction in CED percentages. Mean haemoglobin did not show any significant change over the surveys but the percentage who were anaemic fell in males but increased slightly in females. Weight BMI Haemoglobin Average Average + 0.7kg + 0.4 kgm-2
  • 52. Decreased total 5.3% Decreased in Male 7.7% (Female ns) Male Female Total Survey 1 4 7 1 4 7 1 4 7 Mean values Weight 46.6 46.9 47.7 41.1 41.4 41.6 43.6 43.9 44.3 BMI 18.2 18.2 18.5 18.6 18.8 19.0 18.4 18.5 18.8 Haemoglobin 132.3 134.4 133.7 116.5 115.3 116.5 123.6 123.9 124.2 Categories BMI <18.5 52.7 49.5 47.3 56.1 54.4 50.9 54.6 52.2 49.3 Anaemic 39.6 33.0 31.9 57.9 58.8 59.6 49.8 47.3 47.3
  • 53. There were no significant changes between surveys although in the total sample the percentage with CED and anaemia fell by nearly 5%. Head Survey CED + anaemic CED only Anaemic only Normal Total 1 32.2 22.4 17.6 27.8 4 27.3 24.9 20.0 27.8 7 27.3 22.0 20.0 30.7
  • 54. Child nutritional status There was no significant change in mean height-for-age and weight-for-age across the three surveys. There was a highly significant improvement in haemoglobin concentration with an increase in mean of over 8 g/l. Average + 8.0 g/L
  • 55. The percentage of children who were Anaemia stunted fell significantly between -24.8% surveys 1 and 7 while the percentage of children who were underweight increased; the prevalence of wasting reduced between surveys 1 and 4 but increased back to baseline level in Stunting survey 7. -9.3% The prevalence of childhood anaemia fell significantly over the surveys. Mean Survey Prevalence Survey 1 4 7 1 4 7 Height-for-age -1.94 -2.02 -1.81 Stunting 52.0 49.3 42.7 Weight-for-age -1.89 -1.95 -1.90 Underweight 44.6 49.3 50.7 Weight-for-height -0.88 -0.96 -1.14 Wasted 20.5 13.3 20.5 Haemoglobin 106.4 111.1 114.7 Anaemic 60.8 45.3 36.0
  • 56. Summary ✔ ✔= significant improvement, ✔ = trend of improvement 1&4 1&7 4&7 Family size ✔ ✔✔ ✔ Illness - ✔✔ ✔✔ Land ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔ House ownership - ✔ - House material - - - Loan - - - Cash savings ✔✔ ✔ ✔ Assets ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ Income ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ Expenditures - - - Net income ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ Food ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ Adult weight and BMI ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ Adult anaemia - - - Child z-scores - - - Child stunting - ✔✔ - Child anaemia ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔
  • 57. Discussions (1) Many indicators of economical situation in households (e.g. land, saving, asset, income, expenditure) showed improvement from 1 year of the intervention and generally keep to show the upward trend after 2 years. (2) Number of asset increased from survey 1 to 4 but not in survey 7, but the value increased in survey 7 – how much the assets generate income? (3) Amount of cash savings, income/expenditure increased, but no change of loans (4) Household food intake and security also improved sharply after 1 year of intervention. BMI and weight in adults showed significant improvement, but not hemoglobin - intervention increased energy intake but still do not improve ‘quality’ of food such as animal protein.
  • 58. Discussions (5) After 2 years of intervention, child chronic undernutrition (stunting) showed improvement which may related the reduction of morbidity. However they also showed a sign of acute undernutrition (wasting and underweight) at survey 7 – perhaps other factors such as breastfeeding and weaning practice and poor energy intake may also related. (6) Child anaemia status improved at surveys 4 and 7 – less than national average (i.e. 68% of under 5 years of age in rural area). More opinions?
  • 59. How can we know whether there is improvement in the lifestyle of the ultra poor? Areas worth investigating are:- 1. Do households sustain themselves about the poverty line or does churning poverty occur (which might be seasonal or the result of some health shock or other life event)? 2. Is there any relationship between an absolute measure of poverty (the poverty line) and multidimensional poverty in the ultra poor and is this homogeneous in urban and rural areas? 3. How well does an absolute measure of poverty predict multidimensional poverty in the ultra poor?
  • 60. How they are close to the above poverty line? – measurement of improvement Chronic poverty is commonly defined as ‘a state of poverty where individuals, households or regions are trapped in severe and multi-dimensional poverty for an extended period of time, perhaps even across generations’. Duration, multidimensionality and severity are therefore the key characteristics of chronic poverty, and these are mutually reinforcing characteristics (Hulme et al., 2001).
  • 61. Three measures of income poverty; (1) Poor or not poor (yes or no, Headcount index) All indicators use (2) Depth of poverty (Poverty Gap Index, PGI) ‘poverty line’ (3) Inequality of poverty (Squared Poverty Gap Index, SPGI) Poverty Gap = How much would have to be transferred to bring their expenditure (or income) up to the poverty line Poverty line Population ranked by consumption
  • 62. Poverty Gap and Poverty Gap Index e.g. Poverty line is 125 Individual A B C D Sum Poverty Gap Index Income 100 100 150 150 Poverty Gap 25 25 0 0 PG / Poverty line 25 / 125 = 25 / 125 = 0 0 0.20 + 0.40 / 4 = 0.20 0.20 0.20 = 0.10 0.40 (10%) Income 80 120 150 150 Poverty Gap 45 5 0 0 PG / Poverty line 45 / 125 = 5 / 125 = 0 0 0.36 + 0.40 / 4 = 0.36 0.04 0.04 = 0.10 0.40 (10%)
  • 63. Squared Poverty Gap Index Poverty line is 125 Individual A B C D Sum Poverty Gap Index Income 100 100 150 150 Poverty Gap 25 25 0 0 PG / Poverty line 25 / 125 = 25 / 125 = 0 0 0.20 0.20 Squared Poverty 0.202 0.202 0 0 0.08 0.08 / 4 Gap =0.04 =0.04 =0.02 (2%) Income 80 120 150 150 Poverty Gap 45 5 0 0 PG / Poverty line 45 / 125 = 5 / 125 = 0 0 0.36 0.04 Squared Poverty 0.362 0.042 0 0 0.1312 0.1312 / 4 Gap =0.1296 =0.0016 =0.0328 (3.28%)
  • 64. Thank you to our beneficiaries and all the staff who contributed to making these surveys possible!