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IBM Institute for Business Value
A booster shot for health and wellness
Your cognitive future in the healthcare industry
IBM Healthcare
IBM Healthcare is creating solutions to enable a smarter,
more connected healthcare system that can assist clinicians
in delivering better care and empower people to make better
choices. In addition to the company’s investment in health
technology research and innovation, IBM’s healthcare
solutions and consulting enable organizations to achieve
greater efficiency within their operations; collaborate to help
improve outcomes; and integrate with new partners for a
more sustainable, personalized and patient-centric system
focused on value. For more information about IBM Healthcare
solutions, visit ibm.com/healthcare.
IBM Watson
Watson is a cognitive system that enables a new partnership
between people and computers that enhances and scales
human expertise. For more information about IBM’s Watson,
visit ibm.com/Watson.
Executive Report
Healthcare and Watson
Executive summary
In both the worlds of medicine and IT, there is often talk of “the next big thing.” Today, many
of these conversations are broadening, as cognitive computing is touted by some as
revolutionary for IT, healthcare and, indeed, society in general.
For healthcare in particular, the timing for a game changer couldn’t be better. The industry is
coping with upheaval triggered by varied economic, societal and industry influences.
Empowered consumers living in an increasingly digital world are demanding more from an
industry that is facing growing regulation, soaring costs and a shortage of skilled resources.
At the same time, the healthcare ecosystem is expanding, as new participants interact,
partner and collaborate across traditional boundaries. Otherwise separate entities, such as
providers, payers, social and government agencies, and retailers, are working together to
create value in new ways. For example, CVS Health, a pharmacy innovation company,
announced plans to create a solution that will use cognitive computing capabilities with the
goal of enabling healthcare practitioners to transform care management for chronic disease
patients.1
To thrive amid the chaos of change, healthcare leaders must be smarter in how they
approach data. While the digital age has brought a massive amount of healthcare data
brimming with insights, organizations still struggle to unlock its full value. Advances in the
pioneering area of cognitive computing can help bridge the gap between data quantity and
data insights.
A healthcare renaissance
Welcome to the age of cognitive computing, where
intelligent machines simulate human brain capabilities
to help solve society’s most vexing problems. For
healthcare, cognitive computing has indeed arrived,
and its potential to transform the industry is enormous.
Already, cognitive systems help enable enhanced
patient care, advanced discoveries and better
decisions for providers around the world. Our research
indicates healthcare leaders are poised to embrace
this groundbreaking technology and invest in cognitive
capabilities to spark a renaissance in healthcare.
1
Cognitive-based systems can build knowledge, understand natural language and provide
confidence-weighted responses. And they can quickly find the proverbial needle in a
haystack, identifying new patterns and insights – something particularly relevant in
healthcare.
Our research reveals that cognitive solutions are already helping healthcare organizations
blaze new territory. A follow up to the “Your cognitive future” reports, this is the first in a new
series of industry-specific reports based on research conducted in early 2015, which
included a survey of close to 100 healthcare executives. (For more information on the
research, see the Study approach and methodology section).
In this report, we examine current and future health and wellness applications and provide
recommendations for those seeking a cognitive journey. We also offer insights from
healthcare executives who understand how cognitive capabilities can help push the current
boundaries of innovation and growth. These leaders recognize the potential to transform
healthcare – and are set to exploit cognitive capabilities to do so.
84%
of healthcare executives in
our survey familiar with cognitive
computing believe it will play a
disruptive role in the industry
81%
of healthcare executives familiar
with cognitive computing
believe it will have a critical impact
on the future of their business
95%
of healthcare executives familiar
with cognitive computing intend
to invest in cognitive capabilities
2	 A booster shot for health and wellness
What is cognitive computing?
Cognitive computing is a new computation
paradigm. Different types of cognitive computing
solutions offer various capabilities, including…
•	Learning and building knowledge from various
structured and unstructured sources of
information
•	Understanding natural language and interacting
more naturally with humans
•	Capturing the expertise of top performers and
accelerating the development of expertise in
others
•	Enhancing the cognitive processes of
professionals to help improve decision making
•	Elevating the quality and consistency of decision
making across an organization.
Conquering industry forces
The healthcare industry is experiencing unprecedented disruption. From changing industry
regulations to rising costs, healthcare providers are being bombarded by challenges and
distractions. We have identified a number of disruptive forces that are shaping – and shifting
– today’s healthcare arena:
Rapid digitization: Volumes of health-related data from a variety of sources have created data
management and integration challenges. At the same time, the digital age presents new
opportunities for providers to offer targeted consumer care, make more informed and timely
decisions, and drive unprecedented levels of health and wellness innovation.
Increasing demand: A growing – and aging – world population and fast-moving epidemics
like the Ebola outbreak in West Africa are increasing the demand for healthcare.2
To meet this
expanding need, healthcare organizations should improve operational efficiency and look for
novel ways to target service and care.
Rising consumer expectations: Seeking the same conveniences they encounter in other
industries, today’s patients want personalized, transparent, quality, integrated and convenient
care. To provide the experience that empowered consumers demand, healthcare
organizations need to gain deeper consumer insights and explore new service models.
Shortage of skilled resources: With many healthcare workers exiting the profession due to
work pressures and an upsurge in retirement levels, the World Health Organization estimates
a global industry shortage of 12.9 million workers by 2035.3
To improve employee retention,
healthcare organizations should create a more positive working environment by fostering
employee empowerment, communication and efficiency.
3
Regulatory complexity: Due to complex and rapidly changing regulations, healthcare
organizations face growing compliance costs as they struggle to deliver services within rigid
limits. Improved access to data and insights could help the industry more confidently navigate
the world of regulatory compliance without stifling medical exploration and discovery.
Increasing cost pressure: Healthcare costs continue to increase in part due to new
technology and specialty and preventive drugs. Global spending per head is expected to
rise by 4.5 percent a year from 2014 to 2018.4
In this environment, healthcare providers are
challenged to find new ways to manage costs and efficiency without compromising
service quality.
From disruption to focus
It’s clear that healthcare organizations are operating amid turmoil. Although the forces
challenging the industry appear varied in nature, we identified key themes among them
relating to communication and collaboration, research and innovation, and decisions and
personalized care.
To rise above the disruption, we suggest healthcare organizations focus on improving their
capabilities to engage, discover and decide (see Figure 1). Increased engagement among
patients, providers and payers will help improve communication and collaboration, thus
facilitating more effective care. New discovery tools and capabilities can help unearth insights
and ideas buried in the masses of data encountered today, thereby facilitating research and
innovation. And better decision capabilities will allow for more personalized, evidence-based
recommendations at the point of care, resulting in enhanced care management.
4	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Engage: Today’s consumers want more control over their health, as well as more personalized
and convenient care. Although a clear majority of healthcare executives in our survey
understand these demands, the majority are unable to deliver. In fact, 54 percent believe they
are not effectively delivering a personalized experience, while 63 percent believe they are not
providing successful self-service options. In addition, 54 percent are not satisfied with their
ability to comprehensively and quickly address consumer and patient concerns.
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
Figure 1
From disruption, three focus areas have come to light for the healthcare industry
Rapid
digitization
Rising
consumer
expectations
Regulatory
complexity
Increasing
demand
Shortage
of skilled
resources
Increasing
cost
pressure
Discover
Provide ability to digest vast
amounts of data to identify new
avenues and implement new ideas
Decide
Provide personalized,
contextual, evidence-backed
options at the point of care
Engage
Provide better collaboration
between patients, providers and
payers to deliver effective care
5
Discover: Two-thirds of healthcare executives surveyed are actively pursuing product and
service innovation. However, they cite insufficient skills, organizational complacency and lack
of analytical tools among their greatest challenges in this area. Healthcare discovery is also
restricted by the constraints of traditional capabilities. For example, rigid analytics platforms
(e.g., non integrated platforms across hospital locations) and a dependency on specialized
skills (e.g., health data scientists) limit innovation speed and momentum. Yet, the amount of
medical knowledge continues to explode, possibly to the point where it doubles every 73 days
by the year 2020.5
Decide: Effective decision making is important in any industry, but in healthcare it can make
the difference between life and death. According to our survey, healthcare executives express
diffidence in their organizations’ decision-making capabilities in a number of areas. Two-
thirds are not confident in their organizations’ cost reduction decisions, and more than half
lack confidence in decisions relating to spending and strategy. While the ever-growing
amount of medical data presents exciting prospects for improved decisions, only a fraction of
data is currently utilized due to existing tool constraints. Decision making in healthcare can
also be difficult due to the complex regulatory environment within which the industry
operates.
Engage
Percentage of healthcare executives that do
not believe their organizations are competent in
delivering consumer service
Discover
Percentage of healthcare executives
citing the specific barriers to
implementing disruptive innovation
Decide
Two-thirds of healthcare executives are not
confident in making cost reduction decisions
Self service
63%
Issue resolution with speed
54%
Personalized care
54%
Insufficient skills
56%
Organizational complacency
56%
Lack of business case
49%
Lack of analytics tools
49%
6	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Cognitive opportunity in healthcare
Big data has been called the new natural resource.6
And this resource continues to rapidly
grow in volume, variety and complexity, particularly in healthcare. For example, the genome of
just one cancer patient is equivalent to half a terabyte of data.7
Despite the explosive growth of
information across industries, less than 1 percent of the world’s data is currently analyzed.8
While effective for a number of applications, traditional analytics solutions cannot fully exploit
the value of big data: They are unable to adapt to new problem domains or handle ambiguity
and are only suitable for structured and unstructured data with known, defined semantics (the
relation of words and phrases and what they mean). Without new capabilities, the data
paradox of having too much data and too little insight will continue.
How can the healthcare industry bridge the gap between untapped opportunities and
current capabilities? How can hidden insights that reside in data – structured and
unstructured – be fully harnessed for discovery, insight, decision support and dialogue?
The answer is cognitive computing. Cognitive-based systems build knowledge and learn,
understand natural language, and reason and interact more naturally with human beings than
traditional programmable systems.
Healthcare executives agree that cognitive computing has the potential to radically change
healthcare. Among healthcare leaders familiar with the technology, 84 percent believe it will
play a disruptive role in the industry, 81 percent believe it will critically impact the future of their
business, and 95 percent intend to invest in cognitive capabilities.
81% of healthcare executives familiar with
cognitive computing believe it will have a
critical impact on the future of their business
81%
84%
84% of healthcare executives
familiar with cognitive computing
believe it will play a disruptive role in
the healthcare industry
95% of healthcare leaders familiar with
cognitive computing intend to invest
in cognitive computing in the future, with
the majority doing so in the next 4 years
1-2 years
3-4 years
=5 years
21%
46%
28%
95%
7
So, how specifically can healthcare organizations leverage cognitive computing to address
issues currently plaguing the industry? This new computing paradigm has three capability
areas that align with and specifically address the three industry focus areas previously
identified: Engage, Discover and Decide (see Figure 2).9
Figure 2
There are three emerging capability areas for cognitive computing
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
Engage
• Acts as a tireless agent providing expert
assistance to human users
• Makes the conversation in natural means,
such as human language
• Understands consumers from past history
and brings context and evidence-based
reasoning to the interaction.
Discover
• Helps discover insights that perhaps could
not have been found by even the most
brilliant human beings alone
• Finds insights and connections and
understands the vast amounts of information
available
• Visualizes possibilities and validates theories.
Decide
• Offers evidence-based options and reduces
human bias
• Evolves continually toward more accuracy
based on new information, results and
actions
• Provides traceability to audit why a particular
decision is made.
8	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Engagement capabilities
Cognitive systems can fundamentally change the way humans and systems interact and
significantly extend the capabilities of humans by leveraging their ability to provide expert
assistance. These systems provide advice by developing deep domain insights and
bringing this information to people in a timely, natural and usable way. Here, cognitive
systems play the role of an assistant – albeit one who does not require sleep, can
consume vast amounts of structured and unstructured information, can reconcile
ambiguous and even self-contradictory data, and can learn.
Because they are able to engage in dialogue with humans, these systems can understand
patients based on their past medical history and bring context- and evidence-based
reasoning to the interaction. Today, these types of cognitive systems help healthcare
organizations offer engaging and personalized healthcare recommendations to consumers
(see sidebar, Welltok embraces cognitive to personalize the health experience).
Future cognitive systems will likely have free-form dialogue capabilities, which could help
the flow of information among individuals.10
For example, patients could engage in
dialogue with the system enabled by input from providers, and doctors could more easily
share patient information with appropriate providers for treatment input. Others in the
ecosystem, such as a nutritionist, could simply ask for and receive patient history from the
cognitive system and avoid requesting patients to supply the same information yet again.
All these interactions would be in natural language, making the process easier.
Engage
Welltok embraces cognitive to personalize the
health experience11
Created by Welltok, a health optimization company,
CaféWell is a platform designed to analyze a
consumer’s health profile from a variety of sources
and offer insights on how to stay healthy, including
incentives like premium reductions for healthy
activities. To make the platform even more interactive
and personalized, Welltok adopted a cognitive
approach powered by IBM Watson.
The resulting new product, CaféWell Concierge,
leverages natural language and cognitive capabilities
to improve user interaction and extract additional
knowledge from underlying plain text sources, such
as health conversations, activity data and health
benefit information. The product’s cognitive
computing capabilities allow for quick and accurate
answers to complex questions posed in everyday
language, and they enable the system to learn
through interactions with users. By dynamically
personalizing the health experience, Welltok
empowers consumers to make positive health
changes driven by user-centric, intelligent
recommendations.
9
Discovery capabilities
Cognitive systems can help users discover insights that perhaps might not be found by even
the most brilliant human beings. Discovery involves finding insights and connections and
understanding the vast amounts of information available around the world.
Some discovery capabilities have already emerged, such as in medical research, where
robust corpora of information exist. Here, advanced cognitive capabilities have dramatically
reduced research and discovery time – from months to minutes. In addition, cognitive systems
designed to crunch large volumes of medical and patient information can allow physicians
more time with patients (see sidebar, Cognitive computing solution supports new discoveries
and insights in medical research).
In the near future, cognitive solutions could enable more effective and timely matching of
patients to clinical trials by rapidly analyzing historical patient data across all relevant clinical
trials. Evidence-based reasoning applied to both inclusion and exclusion criteria for patients
could help those seeking patients for trials, and clinical research organizations conducting
additional analysis could determine whether trial results could be applied to further research.
Discover
Cognitive computing solution supports new
discoveries and insights in medical research12
With more than 23 million medical scientific papers
available and new ones being published every few
minutes, it is humanly impossible for scientists to
stay abreast of an ever-growing body of material.
However, biologists and data scientists at Baylor
College of Medicine, a leading health sciences
university, are leveraging cognitive computing
to generate insights to help accelerate research,
unlock patterns and make discoveries with
greater precision.
Baylor College of Medicine’s Knowledge Integration
Toolkit (KnIT), powered by IBM Watson technology,
has enabled researchers to identify proteins that
modify p53, an important protein related to many
cancers. The tool works by extracting information
from scientific literature, automatically identifying
direct and indirect references to protein interactions,
which is knowledge that can be represented in
network form. It then reasons over this network to
predict new, previously unknown interactions.
10	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Decision capabilities
Cognitive systems aid in decision making and reduce human bias by offering evidence-based
options. They continually evolve based on new information, results and actions. Current
cognitive systems perform more as advisors by suggesting a set of options to human users,
who ultimately make the final decisions.
These systems are helping healthcare professionals make more informed and timely
decisions. For example, IBM Watson for Oncology is a cognitive computing solution that
quickly analyzes patient data, fast-growing medical literature, guidelines from world-class
experts and the experience of specialists – and then identifies personalized treatment options
for the clinician to consider (see sidebar, Bumrungrad’s cognitive solution provides
personalized cancer treatment options).13
Future policies might enable the exchange of healthcare information among various
organizations while still protecting privacy. Thus, cognitive systems will have access to even
more historical data and analysis, making their recommendations more and more effective.
Decide
Bumrungrad’s cognitive solution provides
personalized cancer treatment options14
Headquartered in Bangkok, Bumrungrad
International Hospital is the largest private hospital
in Southeast Asia and one of the world’s most
popular medical destinations. In an effort to
improve its quality of cancer care, Bumrungrad
selected IBM Watson for Oncology, an innovative
cognitive computing solution that will help doctors
plan the most effective treatments for individual
cancer patients.
Cancer treatment is ideally suited to benefit from
cognitive capabilities because of the immense and
growing amount of data involved. After analyzing a
patient’s individual profile, medical evidence,
published research, and the extensive clinical
expertise of Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer
Center, the solution presents a summary of findings
for each patient case, including treatment options
based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network
(NCCN) guidelines for the clinician to consider.
11
The way forward
Despite the enthusiasm for cognitive, organizations should realize there is often a steep
learning curve. In terms of system implementation and user interaction, cognitive systems are
fundamentally different than traditional programmatic systems.15
Healthcare organizations
can learn from pioneering organizations that have already implemented cognitive by following
three key sets of recommendations (see Figure 3).
Figure 3
Organizations with cognitive computing experience have identified three critical action areas for success
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
Define the value1
 Find the right opportunity.
 Define the value proposition
and chart a course for
cognitive.
 Be realistic about value
realization.
Prepare the foundation2
 Invest in human talent.
 Build and help ensure a
quality corpus.
 Consider policy, process
requirements and impacts.
Manage the change3
 Ensure executive involvement
in the cognitive journey.
 Communicate the cognitive
vision at all levels.
 Continue to raise the
cognitive IQ of the
organization.
12	 A booster shot for health and wellness
1. Define the value
Early planning helps ensure the greatest return on investment of resources. Defining the value
of cognitive to your healthcare organization is critical and includes several steps:
Find the right opportunity – Cognitive solutions are well suited to a defined set of challenges.
Healthcare organizations need to analyze the specific problem to determine if cognitive
capabilities are necessary and appropriate:
•	 Does the challenge involve a process or function that today takes humans, such as
clinicians, an inordinate amount of time to seek timely answers and insights from various
information sources (i.e., patient records, medical research papers, etc.) using potentially
various techniques in making a decision or thinking through a problem?
•	 Is there a need for users to interact with the system in natural language (such as a patient
who presents with certain symptoms seeking advice on next steps for diagnosis and
treatment)?
•	 Does it involve a process or function that requires providing transparency and supporting
evidence for ranked responses to questions and queries (such as laboratory results)?
Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive – Identify both the differentiated
value provided by cognitive computing and the business value up front – from quicker
decisions about treatment options to potential cost savings. In addition, establish a cognitive
computing vision and roadmap with executive-level support. Continuously communicate
roadmap progress with appropriate executives and stakeholders, such as clinicians, other
medical professionals, payers and perhaps patients.
13
Be realistic about value realization – The benefits of cognitive computing systems are not
realized in a single “big bang” at the time of initial deployment. Rather, these systems are
evolutionary and improve and can lead to increasing value over time. Communicate this reality
to stakeholders and specify benefits for the payer, hospital, patient, etc. Consider using a
phased rollout or deploying the solution to a subset of trusted users who understand the
technology’s evolutionary nature.
2. Prepare the foundation
Prepare the foundation for a successful cognitive computing solution implementation by
focusing on the following:
Invest in human talent – Cognitive solutions are “trained,” not programmed, as they “learn”
with interactions, results and new pieces of information and help organizations scale
expertise. Often referred to as supervised learning, this labor-intensive training process
requires the commitment of human subject matter experts. Rather than a busy clinician,
perhaps consider an enthusiastic newly qualified doctor or other medical professional, and be
sure to also include appropriate health informatics talent.
In addition to domain expertise, a cognitive implementation also requires expertise in natural
language processing, machine learning, database administration, systems implementation
and integration, interface design and change management. There is an additional intangible
“skill” required for team members: intellectual curiosity. The learning process never ends – for
the system, the users and the organization.
14	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Build and help ensure a quality corpus – Cognitive systems are only as good as their data.
Invest adequate time in selecting data to be included in the corpus, which might include
structured (e.g., patient records) and unstructured data (e.g., clinical notes) from multiple
databases and other data sources and even real-time data feeds and social media. Data will
likely emanate from new and untapped sources as well (e.g., call center recordings, blogs,
patient advocacy groups, etc.). In addition, invest in records digitization to secure the future of
your organization’s corpus, focusing on both historical and new documentation.
Consider policy, process requirements and impacts – Assess any potential impact on
processes and how people work. Because users interact with cognitive systems in entirely
different ways than traditional input/output systems, processes and job roles could be
impacted. In addition, consider if any data policy changes are necessary. Obtaining necessary
data could test the boundaries of existing data-sharing policies and might require new or
modifications to existing policies, regulations and agreements, particularly in healthcare,
where security and privacy requirements are stringent.
3. Manage the change
Compared to traditional programmable systems, cognitive systems are a whole new ball
game. As such, change management is more critical than ever, even more so in an industry
already experiencing so much change across its ecosystem.
Ensure executive involvement in the cognitive journey – Executive involvement should begin
with active participation in defining the cognitive vision and roadmap and continue throughout
the journey. This includes executive participation in regular reviews of incremental progress
and value realization.
15
Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels – Because cognitive computing is new and not
completely understood by most, regular communication at all levels (business managers, IT
staff, clinicians, patient representatives, etc.) is critical. Address any fears, uncertainties and
doubts head on, and leverage executive sponsors to reinforce the value of cognitive to the
healthcare organization’s mission.
Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization – Education is critical to assuring
cognitive is understood and adopted. Of particular importance is managing expectations
related to system-generated recommendations. Cognitive systems are probabilistic and not
deterministic. While accuracy rates will improve as a system learns over time, the rate will
never reach 100 percent. Educate stakeholders early on about accuracy rates, and conduct
regular reviews on incremental improvements.
16	 A booster shot for health and wellness
Ready or not? Ask yourself these questions
•	 What opportunities exist to create more engaging and personalized experiences for your
consumer and the wider healthcare ecosystem?
•	 What healthcare data aren’t you leveraging that, if converted to knowledge, would allow you
to meet key objectives and business requirements?
•	 What is the cost to your organization and the wider healthcare ecosystem associated with
making non-evidence-based decisions or not having the full array of possible options to
consider when actions are being taken?
•	 What benefit would you gain in being able to detect hidden patterns locked away in your
data? How would this accelerate research, consumer services and the like?
•	 What is your organizational expertise skill gap in cognitive computing? What would change
if you could equip every employee to be as effective as the leading expert in that position or
field?
17
About the authors
Heather Fraser is a pharmacist with over 30 years of industry experience in pharmaceutical
RD, consultancy and community pharmacy. She leads the Healthcare and Life Sciences
team for the IBM Institute for Business Value, where she has published extensively on the
future of healthcare and life sciences and the emergence of the healthcare ecosystem.
Heather can be contacted at hfraser@uk.ibm.com.
Dr. Sandipan Sarkar is the Cognitive Computing Leader for the IBM Institute for Business
Value, where he is responsible for developing thought leadership focused on cognitive
computing. He also serves as an Executive Architect for IBM’s Application Development 
Innovation service line. Sandipan holds a PhD in natural language processing from Jadavpur
University. He can be reached at sandipan.sarkar@in.ibm.com.
Dave Zaharchuk is the Global Government Industry Leader for the IBM Institute for Business
Value. Dave is responsible for directing thought leadership research on a variety of issues and
topics. He can be reached at david.zaharchuk@us.ibm.com.
Contributors and acknowledgments
The authors offer thanks to the following individuals for their contributions: Neha Aggarwal of
IBM Global Business Services and Todd Kalyniuk, Aditya Pai and Michael Holmes of IBM
Watson Group.
For more information
To learn more about this IBM Institute for Business
Value study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com.
Follow @IBMIBV on Twitter, and for a full catalog of our
research or to subscribe to our monthly newsletter,
visit: ibm.com/iibv
Access IBM Institute for Business Value executive
reports on your phone or tablet by downloading the
free “IBM IBV” app for iOS or Android from your app
store.
The right partner for a changing world
At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing
together business insight, advanced research and
technology to give them a distinct advantage in
today’s rapidly changing environment.
IBM Institute for Business Value
The IBM Institute for Business Value, part of IBM Global
Business Services, develops fact-based strategic
insights for senior business executives around critical
public and private sector issues.
18	 A booster shot for health and wellness
The authors also would like to recognize the report’s executive stakeholders: Jay Bellissimo,
General Manager, Cognitive Solutions, IBM Watson Group; Shanker Ramamurthy, Global
Managing Partner, Business Analytics  Strategy, IBM Global Business Services; Rob Merkel,
Partner and Vice President, Watson Group Healthcare Leader, IBM Watson Health; and
Sandip Patel, Global Industry General Manager, Insurance, IBM Global Business Services.
Study approach and methodology
As a follow up to the initial IBM Your cognitive future research study, we conducted
additional research in early 2015 to dive deeper into select industries and explore
opportunities for cognitive computing. Through a survey conducted by the Economist
Intelligence Unit, IBM gained insights from more than 800 executives from around the world
representing a variety of industries, including healthcare, banking, insurance, retail,
government, telecommunications, life sciences, consumer products, and oil and gas. The
study also included interviews with subject matter experts across IBM divisions, as well as
supplemental desk research.
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
Australia
Brazil
Canada
China
France
Germany
India
Japan
Mexico
Netherlands
Singapore
South Africa
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Geographic
(% of respondents)
12%
12%
11%
12%
12%
10%
10%
10%
10%
Industry
(% of respondents)
Healthcare
Banking
Insurance
Retail
Government
Telecommunications
Life Sciences
Consumer Products
Oil and Gas
United States
Other
19
Related publications
Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your
cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes
the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of
cognitive.” IBM Institute for Business Value. January
2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/
Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your
cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes
the way we live and work, Part II: Kick-starting your
cognitive journey.” IBM Institute for Business Value.
March 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/
gbs/thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/
Fraser, Heather, and Anthony Marshall. “The new age
of ecosystems. Redefining partnering in an ecosystem
environment: Healthcare ecosystem edition.” IBM
Institute for Business Value. March 2015. http://www-
935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleadership/
healthcareecosystems/
Pai, Aditya, Takahiko Koyama and Leonard Lee. “The
evolving promise of genomic medicine: How advanced
technologies are transforming healthcare and life
sciences.” IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2014.
http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/genomicmedicine/
Notes and sources
1	 “CVS Health and IBM Tap Watson to Develop Care Management Solutions for Chronic
Disease.” IBM press release. July 30, 2015. http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/
pressrelease/47400.wss
2	 Doucleff, Michaeleen. “A Frightening Curve: How Fast is the Ebola Outbreak Growing?” NPR.
September 18, 2014. http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2014/09/18/349341606/
why-the-math-of-the-ebola-epidemic-is-so-scary; “2015 Global health care outlook: Common
goals, competing priorities.” Deloitte. 2015. http://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/
global/Documents/Life-Sciences-Health-Care/gx-lshc-2015-health-care-outlook-global.pdf
3	 “Global health workforce shortage to reach 12.9 million in coming decades.” World Health
Organization press release. November 11, 2103. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/
releases/2013/health-workforce-shortage/en/; Harrington, Laurie, and Maria Heidkamp. “The
Aging Workforce: Challenges for the Health Care Industry Workforce.” inBrief, Issue Brief of the
NTAR Leadership Center. March 2013.
4	 “Global outlook: Healthcare.” The Economist Intelligence Unit. March 2014. http://pages.eiu.
com/rs/eiu2/images/GlobalOutlook_Healthcare.pdf
5	 “20/20 Vision: Curriculum Renewal Project.” University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine.
September 28, 2012. http://www.healthcare.uiowa.edu/2020/
6	 Picciano, Bob. “Why big data is the new natural resource.” Forbes. June 30, 2014. http://www.
forbes.com/sites/ibm/2014/06/30/why-big-data-is-the-new-natural-resource/
7	 Palmer, Danny. “Oxford University’s big data and Internet of Things project to ‘create the NASA
of biomedicine.’” Computing. October 27, 2014. http://www.computing.co.uk/ctg/
feature/2378000/oxford-universitys-big-data-and-internet-of-things-project-to-create-the-
nasa-of-biomedicine
20	 A booster shot for health and wellness
GBE03689-USEN-03
© Copyright IBM Corporation 2015
IBM Global Business Services
Route 100
Somers, NY 10589
Produced in the United States of America
September 2015
IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks of International
Business Machines Corp., registered in many jurisdictions worldwide.
Other product and service names might be trademarks of IBM or
other companies. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the
Web at “Copyright and trademark information” at www.ibm.com/
legal/copytrade.shtml.
This document is current as of the initial date of publication and may
be changed by IBM at any time. Not all offerings are available in every
country in which IBM operates.
The information in this document is provided “as is” without any
warranty, express or implied, including without any warranties of
merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and any warranty or
condition of non-infringement. IBM products are warranted according
to the terms and conditions of the agreements under which they are
provided.
This report is intended for general guidance only. It is not intended to
be a substitute for detailed research or the exercise of professional
judgment. IBM shall not be responsible for any loss whatsoever
sustained by any organization or person who relies on this publication.
The data used in this report may be derived from third-party sources
and IBM does not independently verify, validate or audit such data.
The results from the use of such data are provided on an “as is” basis
and IBM makes no representations or warranties, express or implied.
8	 “New Digital Universe Study Reveals Big Data Gap: Less Than 1% of World’s Data is Analyzed;
Less Than 20% is Protected.” EMC Press Release. EMC website. December 11, 2012.
http://www.emc.com/about/news/press/2012/20121211-01.htm
9	 Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing
changes the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of cognitive” IBM Institute for Business
Value. January 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleadership/
cognitivefuture/
10	 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014.
11	 “Welltok Raises $22 Million in Series C Funding, Including IBM Investment to Fuel Watson-
Powered Health App.” IBM news release. February 12, 2014. https://www-03.ibm.com/press/
us/en/pressrelease/43189.wss#release; Hardawar, Devindra. “How Welltok tapped IBM’s
Watson to upgrade its health optimization platform.” Venture Beat. October 22, 2014. http://
venturebeat.com/2014/10/22/how-welltok-tapped-ibms-watson-to-upgrade-its-health-
optimization-platform/
12	 Picton, Glenna. “Study shows promise in automated reasoning, hypothesis generation over
complete medical literature.” Baylor College of Medicine News. Press release. August 25, 2014.
https://www.bcm.edu/news/research/automated-reasoning-hypothesis-generation; Vickers,
Glenna. “Computer guided science tool advances one step further.” Baylor College of Medicine
News. Press release. August 13, 2015. https://www.bcm.edu/news/technology/
knowledge-integration-toolkit-advances
13	 “IBM Watson for Oncology.” Bumrungrad International Hospital website, accessed July 22,
2015. https://www.bumrungrad.com/en/horizon-cancer-treatment-thailand/technology/
ibm-watson
14	 “IBM Watson accelerates global expansion.” IBM new release. October 7, 2014.
https://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/45022.wss;
15	 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014.
21
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D1 1020 related paper a booster shot for health and wellness exec report v4

  • 1. IBM Institute for Business Value A booster shot for health and wellness Your cognitive future in the healthcare industry
  • 2. IBM Healthcare IBM Healthcare is creating solutions to enable a smarter, more connected healthcare system that can assist clinicians in delivering better care and empower people to make better choices. In addition to the company’s investment in health technology research and innovation, IBM’s healthcare solutions and consulting enable organizations to achieve greater efficiency within their operations; collaborate to help improve outcomes; and integrate with new partners for a more sustainable, personalized and patient-centric system focused on value. For more information about IBM Healthcare solutions, visit ibm.com/healthcare. IBM Watson Watson is a cognitive system that enables a new partnership between people and computers that enhances and scales human expertise. For more information about IBM’s Watson, visit ibm.com/Watson. Executive Report Healthcare and Watson
  • 3. Executive summary In both the worlds of medicine and IT, there is often talk of “the next big thing.” Today, many of these conversations are broadening, as cognitive computing is touted by some as revolutionary for IT, healthcare and, indeed, society in general. For healthcare in particular, the timing for a game changer couldn’t be better. The industry is coping with upheaval triggered by varied economic, societal and industry influences. Empowered consumers living in an increasingly digital world are demanding more from an industry that is facing growing regulation, soaring costs and a shortage of skilled resources. At the same time, the healthcare ecosystem is expanding, as new participants interact, partner and collaborate across traditional boundaries. Otherwise separate entities, such as providers, payers, social and government agencies, and retailers, are working together to create value in new ways. For example, CVS Health, a pharmacy innovation company, announced plans to create a solution that will use cognitive computing capabilities with the goal of enabling healthcare practitioners to transform care management for chronic disease patients.1 To thrive amid the chaos of change, healthcare leaders must be smarter in how they approach data. While the digital age has brought a massive amount of healthcare data brimming with insights, organizations still struggle to unlock its full value. Advances in the pioneering area of cognitive computing can help bridge the gap between data quantity and data insights. A healthcare renaissance Welcome to the age of cognitive computing, where intelligent machines simulate human brain capabilities to help solve society’s most vexing problems. For healthcare, cognitive computing has indeed arrived, and its potential to transform the industry is enormous. Already, cognitive systems help enable enhanced patient care, advanced discoveries and better decisions for providers around the world. Our research indicates healthcare leaders are poised to embrace this groundbreaking technology and invest in cognitive capabilities to spark a renaissance in healthcare. 1
  • 4. Cognitive-based systems can build knowledge, understand natural language and provide confidence-weighted responses. And they can quickly find the proverbial needle in a haystack, identifying new patterns and insights – something particularly relevant in healthcare. Our research reveals that cognitive solutions are already helping healthcare organizations blaze new territory. A follow up to the “Your cognitive future” reports, this is the first in a new series of industry-specific reports based on research conducted in early 2015, which included a survey of close to 100 healthcare executives. (For more information on the research, see the Study approach and methodology section). In this report, we examine current and future health and wellness applications and provide recommendations for those seeking a cognitive journey. We also offer insights from healthcare executives who understand how cognitive capabilities can help push the current boundaries of innovation and growth. These leaders recognize the potential to transform healthcare – and are set to exploit cognitive capabilities to do so. 84% of healthcare executives in our survey familiar with cognitive computing believe it will play a disruptive role in the industry 81% of healthcare executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will have a critical impact on the future of their business 95% of healthcare executives familiar with cognitive computing intend to invest in cognitive capabilities 2 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 5. What is cognitive computing? Cognitive computing is a new computation paradigm. Different types of cognitive computing solutions offer various capabilities, including… • Learning and building knowledge from various structured and unstructured sources of information • Understanding natural language and interacting more naturally with humans • Capturing the expertise of top performers and accelerating the development of expertise in others • Enhancing the cognitive processes of professionals to help improve decision making • Elevating the quality and consistency of decision making across an organization. Conquering industry forces The healthcare industry is experiencing unprecedented disruption. From changing industry regulations to rising costs, healthcare providers are being bombarded by challenges and distractions. We have identified a number of disruptive forces that are shaping – and shifting – today’s healthcare arena: Rapid digitization: Volumes of health-related data from a variety of sources have created data management and integration challenges. At the same time, the digital age presents new opportunities for providers to offer targeted consumer care, make more informed and timely decisions, and drive unprecedented levels of health and wellness innovation. Increasing demand: A growing – and aging – world population and fast-moving epidemics like the Ebola outbreak in West Africa are increasing the demand for healthcare.2 To meet this expanding need, healthcare organizations should improve operational efficiency and look for novel ways to target service and care. Rising consumer expectations: Seeking the same conveniences they encounter in other industries, today’s patients want personalized, transparent, quality, integrated and convenient care. To provide the experience that empowered consumers demand, healthcare organizations need to gain deeper consumer insights and explore new service models. Shortage of skilled resources: With many healthcare workers exiting the profession due to work pressures and an upsurge in retirement levels, the World Health Organization estimates a global industry shortage of 12.9 million workers by 2035.3 To improve employee retention, healthcare organizations should create a more positive working environment by fostering employee empowerment, communication and efficiency. 3
  • 6. Regulatory complexity: Due to complex and rapidly changing regulations, healthcare organizations face growing compliance costs as they struggle to deliver services within rigid limits. Improved access to data and insights could help the industry more confidently navigate the world of regulatory compliance without stifling medical exploration and discovery. Increasing cost pressure: Healthcare costs continue to increase in part due to new technology and specialty and preventive drugs. Global spending per head is expected to rise by 4.5 percent a year from 2014 to 2018.4 In this environment, healthcare providers are challenged to find new ways to manage costs and efficiency without compromising service quality. From disruption to focus It’s clear that healthcare organizations are operating amid turmoil. Although the forces challenging the industry appear varied in nature, we identified key themes among them relating to communication and collaboration, research and innovation, and decisions and personalized care. To rise above the disruption, we suggest healthcare organizations focus on improving their capabilities to engage, discover and decide (see Figure 1). Increased engagement among patients, providers and payers will help improve communication and collaboration, thus facilitating more effective care. New discovery tools and capabilities can help unearth insights and ideas buried in the masses of data encountered today, thereby facilitating research and innovation. And better decision capabilities will allow for more personalized, evidence-based recommendations at the point of care, resulting in enhanced care management. 4 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 7. Engage: Today’s consumers want more control over their health, as well as more personalized and convenient care. Although a clear majority of healthcare executives in our survey understand these demands, the majority are unable to deliver. In fact, 54 percent believe they are not effectively delivering a personalized experience, while 63 percent believe they are not providing successful self-service options. In addition, 54 percent are not satisfied with their ability to comprehensively and quickly address consumer and patient concerns. Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. Figure 1 From disruption, three focus areas have come to light for the healthcare industry Rapid digitization Rising consumer expectations Regulatory complexity Increasing demand Shortage of skilled resources Increasing cost pressure Discover Provide ability to digest vast amounts of data to identify new avenues and implement new ideas Decide Provide personalized, contextual, evidence-backed options at the point of care Engage Provide better collaboration between patients, providers and payers to deliver effective care 5
  • 8. Discover: Two-thirds of healthcare executives surveyed are actively pursuing product and service innovation. However, they cite insufficient skills, organizational complacency and lack of analytical tools among their greatest challenges in this area. Healthcare discovery is also restricted by the constraints of traditional capabilities. For example, rigid analytics platforms (e.g., non integrated platforms across hospital locations) and a dependency on specialized skills (e.g., health data scientists) limit innovation speed and momentum. Yet, the amount of medical knowledge continues to explode, possibly to the point where it doubles every 73 days by the year 2020.5 Decide: Effective decision making is important in any industry, but in healthcare it can make the difference between life and death. According to our survey, healthcare executives express diffidence in their organizations’ decision-making capabilities in a number of areas. Two- thirds are not confident in their organizations’ cost reduction decisions, and more than half lack confidence in decisions relating to spending and strategy. While the ever-growing amount of medical data presents exciting prospects for improved decisions, only a fraction of data is currently utilized due to existing tool constraints. Decision making in healthcare can also be difficult due to the complex regulatory environment within which the industry operates. Engage Percentage of healthcare executives that do not believe their organizations are competent in delivering consumer service Discover Percentage of healthcare executives citing the specific barriers to implementing disruptive innovation Decide Two-thirds of healthcare executives are not confident in making cost reduction decisions Self service 63% Issue resolution with speed 54% Personalized care 54% Insufficient skills 56% Organizational complacency 56% Lack of business case 49% Lack of analytics tools 49% 6 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 9. Cognitive opportunity in healthcare Big data has been called the new natural resource.6 And this resource continues to rapidly grow in volume, variety and complexity, particularly in healthcare. For example, the genome of just one cancer patient is equivalent to half a terabyte of data.7 Despite the explosive growth of information across industries, less than 1 percent of the world’s data is currently analyzed.8 While effective for a number of applications, traditional analytics solutions cannot fully exploit the value of big data: They are unable to adapt to new problem domains or handle ambiguity and are only suitable for structured and unstructured data with known, defined semantics (the relation of words and phrases and what they mean). Without new capabilities, the data paradox of having too much data and too little insight will continue. How can the healthcare industry bridge the gap between untapped opportunities and current capabilities? How can hidden insights that reside in data – structured and unstructured – be fully harnessed for discovery, insight, decision support and dialogue? The answer is cognitive computing. Cognitive-based systems build knowledge and learn, understand natural language, and reason and interact more naturally with human beings than traditional programmable systems. Healthcare executives agree that cognitive computing has the potential to radically change healthcare. Among healthcare leaders familiar with the technology, 84 percent believe it will play a disruptive role in the industry, 81 percent believe it will critically impact the future of their business, and 95 percent intend to invest in cognitive capabilities. 81% of healthcare executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will have a critical impact on the future of their business 81% 84% 84% of healthcare executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will play a disruptive role in the healthcare industry 95% of healthcare leaders familiar with cognitive computing intend to invest in cognitive computing in the future, with the majority doing so in the next 4 years 1-2 years 3-4 years =5 years 21% 46% 28% 95% 7
  • 10. So, how specifically can healthcare organizations leverage cognitive computing to address issues currently plaguing the industry? This new computing paradigm has three capability areas that align with and specifically address the three industry focus areas previously identified: Engage, Discover and Decide (see Figure 2).9 Figure 2 There are three emerging capability areas for cognitive computing Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. Engage • Acts as a tireless agent providing expert assistance to human users • Makes the conversation in natural means, such as human language • Understands consumers from past history and brings context and evidence-based reasoning to the interaction. Discover • Helps discover insights that perhaps could not have been found by even the most brilliant human beings alone • Finds insights and connections and understands the vast amounts of information available • Visualizes possibilities and validates theories. Decide • Offers evidence-based options and reduces human bias • Evolves continually toward more accuracy based on new information, results and actions • Provides traceability to audit why a particular decision is made. 8 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 11. Engagement capabilities Cognitive systems can fundamentally change the way humans and systems interact and significantly extend the capabilities of humans by leveraging their ability to provide expert assistance. These systems provide advice by developing deep domain insights and bringing this information to people in a timely, natural and usable way. Here, cognitive systems play the role of an assistant – albeit one who does not require sleep, can consume vast amounts of structured and unstructured information, can reconcile ambiguous and even self-contradictory data, and can learn. Because they are able to engage in dialogue with humans, these systems can understand patients based on their past medical history and bring context- and evidence-based reasoning to the interaction. Today, these types of cognitive systems help healthcare organizations offer engaging and personalized healthcare recommendations to consumers (see sidebar, Welltok embraces cognitive to personalize the health experience). Future cognitive systems will likely have free-form dialogue capabilities, which could help the flow of information among individuals.10 For example, patients could engage in dialogue with the system enabled by input from providers, and doctors could more easily share patient information with appropriate providers for treatment input. Others in the ecosystem, such as a nutritionist, could simply ask for and receive patient history from the cognitive system and avoid requesting patients to supply the same information yet again. All these interactions would be in natural language, making the process easier. Engage Welltok embraces cognitive to personalize the health experience11 Created by Welltok, a health optimization company, CaféWell is a platform designed to analyze a consumer’s health profile from a variety of sources and offer insights on how to stay healthy, including incentives like premium reductions for healthy activities. To make the platform even more interactive and personalized, Welltok adopted a cognitive approach powered by IBM Watson. The resulting new product, CaféWell Concierge, leverages natural language and cognitive capabilities to improve user interaction and extract additional knowledge from underlying plain text sources, such as health conversations, activity data and health benefit information. The product’s cognitive computing capabilities allow for quick and accurate answers to complex questions posed in everyday language, and they enable the system to learn through interactions with users. By dynamically personalizing the health experience, Welltok empowers consumers to make positive health changes driven by user-centric, intelligent recommendations. 9
  • 12. Discovery capabilities Cognitive systems can help users discover insights that perhaps might not be found by even the most brilliant human beings. Discovery involves finding insights and connections and understanding the vast amounts of information available around the world. Some discovery capabilities have already emerged, such as in medical research, where robust corpora of information exist. Here, advanced cognitive capabilities have dramatically reduced research and discovery time – from months to minutes. In addition, cognitive systems designed to crunch large volumes of medical and patient information can allow physicians more time with patients (see sidebar, Cognitive computing solution supports new discoveries and insights in medical research). In the near future, cognitive solutions could enable more effective and timely matching of patients to clinical trials by rapidly analyzing historical patient data across all relevant clinical trials. Evidence-based reasoning applied to both inclusion and exclusion criteria for patients could help those seeking patients for trials, and clinical research organizations conducting additional analysis could determine whether trial results could be applied to further research. Discover Cognitive computing solution supports new discoveries and insights in medical research12 With more than 23 million medical scientific papers available and new ones being published every few minutes, it is humanly impossible for scientists to stay abreast of an ever-growing body of material. However, biologists and data scientists at Baylor College of Medicine, a leading health sciences university, are leveraging cognitive computing to generate insights to help accelerate research, unlock patterns and make discoveries with greater precision. Baylor College of Medicine’s Knowledge Integration Toolkit (KnIT), powered by IBM Watson technology, has enabled researchers to identify proteins that modify p53, an important protein related to many cancers. The tool works by extracting information from scientific literature, automatically identifying direct and indirect references to protein interactions, which is knowledge that can be represented in network form. It then reasons over this network to predict new, previously unknown interactions. 10 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 13. Decision capabilities Cognitive systems aid in decision making and reduce human bias by offering evidence-based options. They continually evolve based on new information, results and actions. Current cognitive systems perform more as advisors by suggesting a set of options to human users, who ultimately make the final decisions. These systems are helping healthcare professionals make more informed and timely decisions. For example, IBM Watson for Oncology is a cognitive computing solution that quickly analyzes patient data, fast-growing medical literature, guidelines from world-class experts and the experience of specialists – and then identifies personalized treatment options for the clinician to consider (see sidebar, Bumrungrad’s cognitive solution provides personalized cancer treatment options).13 Future policies might enable the exchange of healthcare information among various organizations while still protecting privacy. Thus, cognitive systems will have access to even more historical data and analysis, making their recommendations more and more effective. Decide Bumrungrad’s cognitive solution provides personalized cancer treatment options14 Headquartered in Bangkok, Bumrungrad International Hospital is the largest private hospital in Southeast Asia and one of the world’s most popular medical destinations. In an effort to improve its quality of cancer care, Bumrungrad selected IBM Watson for Oncology, an innovative cognitive computing solution that will help doctors plan the most effective treatments for individual cancer patients. Cancer treatment is ideally suited to benefit from cognitive capabilities because of the immense and growing amount of data involved. After analyzing a patient’s individual profile, medical evidence, published research, and the extensive clinical expertise of Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, the solution presents a summary of findings for each patient case, including treatment options based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines for the clinician to consider. 11
  • 14. The way forward Despite the enthusiasm for cognitive, organizations should realize there is often a steep learning curve. In terms of system implementation and user interaction, cognitive systems are fundamentally different than traditional programmatic systems.15 Healthcare organizations can learn from pioneering organizations that have already implemented cognitive by following three key sets of recommendations (see Figure 3). Figure 3 Organizations with cognitive computing experience have identified three critical action areas for success Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. Define the value1  Find the right opportunity.  Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive.  Be realistic about value realization. Prepare the foundation2  Invest in human talent.  Build and help ensure a quality corpus.  Consider policy, process requirements and impacts. Manage the change3  Ensure executive involvement in the cognitive journey.  Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels.  Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization. 12 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 15. 1. Define the value Early planning helps ensure the greatest return on investment of resources. Defining the value of cognitive to your healthcare organization is critical and includes several steps: Find the right opportunity – Cognitive solutions are well suited to a defined set of challenges. Healthcare organizations need to analyze the specific problem to determine if cognitive capabilities are necessary and appropriate: • Does the challenge involve a process or function that today takes humans, such as clinicians, an inordinate amount of time to seek timely answers and insights from various information sources (i.e., patient records, medical research papers, etc.) using potentially various techniques in making a decision or thinking through a problem? • Is there a need for users to interact with the system in natural language (such as a patient who presents with certain symptoms seeking advice on next steps for diagnosis and treatment)? • Does it involve a process or function that requires providing transparency and supporting evidence for ranked responses to questions and queries (such as laboratory results)? Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive – Identify both the differentiated value provided by cognitive computing and the business value up front – from quicker decisions about treatment options to potential cost savings. In addition, establish a cognitive computing vision and roadmap with executive-level support. Continuously communicate roadmap progress with appropriate executives and stakeholders, such as clinicians, other medical professionals, payers and perhaps patients. 13
  • 16. Be realistic about value realization – The benefits of cognitive computing systems are not realized in a single “big bang” at the time of initial deployment. Rather, these systems are evolutionary and improve and can lead to increasing value over time. Communicate this reality to stakeholders and specify benefits for the payer, hospital, patient, etc. Consider using a phased rollout or deploying the solution to a subset of trusted users who understand the technology’s evolutionary nature. 2. Prepare the foundation Prepare the foundation for a successful cognitive computing solution implementation by focusing on the following: Invest in human talent – Cognitive solutions are “trained,” not programmed, as they “learn” with interactions, results and new pieces of information and help organizations scale expertise. Often referred to as supervised learning, this labor-intensive training process requires the commitment of human subject matter experts. Rather than a busy clinician, perhaps consider an enthusiastic newly qualified doctor or other medical professional, and be sure to also include appropriate health informatics talent. In addition to domain expertise, a cognitive implementation also requires expertise in natural language processing, machine learning, database administration, systems implementation and integration, interface design and change management. There is an additional intangible “skill” required for team members: intellectual curiosity. The learning process never ends – for the system, the users and the organization. 14 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 17. Build and help ensure a quality corpus – Cognitive systems are only as good as their data. Invest adequate time in selecting data to be included in the corpus, which might include structured (e.g., patient records) and unstructured data (e.g., clinical notes) from multiple databases and other data sources and even real-time data feeds and social media. Data will likely emanate from new and untapped sources as well (e.g., call center recordings, blogs, patient advocacy groups, etc.). In addition, invest in records digitization to secure the future of your organization’s corpus, focusing on both historical and new documentation. Consider policy, process requirements and impacts – Assess any potential impact on processes and how people work. Because users interact with cognitive systems in entirely different ways than traditional input/output systems, processes and job roles could be impacted. In addition, consider if any data policy changes are necessary. Obtaining necessary data could test the boundaries of existing data-sharing policies and might require new or modifications to existing policies, regulations and agreements, particularly in healthcare, where security and privacy requirements are stringent. 3. Manage the change Compared to traditional programmable systems, cognitive systems are a whole new ball game. As such, change management is more critical than ever, even more so in an industry already experiencing so much change across its ecosystem. Ensure executive involvement in the cognitive journey – Executive involvement should begin with active participation in defining the cognitive vision and roadmap and continue throughout the journey. This includes executive participation in regular reviews of incremental progress and value realization. 15
  • 18. Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels – Because cognitive computing is new and not completely understood by most, regular communication at all levels (business managers, IT staff, clinicians, patient representatives, etc.) is critical. Address any fears, uncertainties and doubts head on, and leverage executive sponsors to reinforce the value of cognitive to the healthcare organization’s mission. Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization – Education is critical to assuring cognitive is understood and adopted. Of particular importance is managing expectations related to system-generated recommendations. Cognitive systems are probabilistic and not deterministic. While accuracy rates will improve as a system learns over time, the rate will never reach 100 percent. Educate stakeholders early on about accuracy rates, and conduct regular reviews on incremental improvements. 16 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 19. Ready or not? Ask yourself these questions • What opportunities exist to create more engaging and personalized experiences for your consumer and the wider healthcare ecosystem? • What healthcare data aren’t you leveraging that, if converted to knowledge, would allow you to meet key objectives and business requirements? • What is the cost to your organization and the wider healthcare ecosystem associated with making non-evidence-based decisions or not having the full array of possible options to consider when actions are being taken? • What benefit would you gain in being able to detect hidden patterns locked away in your data? How would this accelerate research, consumer services and the like? • What is your organizational expertise skill gap in cognitive computing? What would change if you could equip every employee to be as effective as the leading expert in that position or field? 17
  • 20. About the authors Heather Fraser is a pharmacist with over 30 years of industry experience in pharmaceutical RD, consultancy and community pharmacy. She leads the Healthcare and Life Sciences team for the IBM Institute for Business Value, where she has published extensively on the future of healthcare and life sciences and the emergence of the healthcare ecosystem. Heather can be contacted at hfraser@uk.ibm.com. Dr. Sandipan Sarkar is the Cognitive Computing Leader for the IBM Institute for Business Value, where he is responsible for developing thought leadership focused on cognitive computing. He also serves as an Executive Architect for IBM’s Application Development Innovation service line. Sandipan holds a PhD in natural language processing from Jadavpur University. He can be reached at sandipan.sarkar@in.ibm.com. Dave Zaharchuk is the Global Government Industry Leader for the IBM Institute for Business Value. Dave is responsible for directing thought leadership research on a variety of issues and topics. He can be reached at david.zaharchuk@us.ibm.com. Contributors and acknowledgments The authors offer thanks to the following individuals for their contributions: Neha Aggarwal of IBM Global Business Services and Todd Kalyniuk, Aditya Pai and Michael Holmes of IBM Watson Group. For more information To learn more about this IBM Institute for Business Value study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com. Follow @IBMIBV on Twitter, and for a full catalog of our research or to subscribe to our monthly newsletter, visit: ibm.com/iibv Access IBM Institute for Business Value executive reports on your phone or tablet by downloading the free “IBM IBV” app for iOS or Android from your app store. The right partner for a changing world At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing together business insight, advanced research and technology to give them a distinct advantage in today’s rapidly changing environment. IBM Institute for Business Value The IBM Institute for Business Value, part of IBM Global Business Services, develops fact-based strategic insights for senior business executives around critical public and private sector issues. 18 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 21. The authors also would like to recognize the report’s executive stakeholders: Jay Bellissimo, General Manager, Cognitive Solutions, IBM Watson Group; Shanker Ramamurthy, Global Managing Partner, Business Analytics Strategy, IBM Global Business Services; Rob Merkel, Partner and Vice President, Watson Group Healthcare Leader, IBM Watson Health; and Sandip Patel, Global Industry General Manager, Insurance, IBM Global Business Services. Study approach and methodology As a follow up to the initial IBM Your cognitive future research study, we conducted additional research in early 2015 to dive deeper into select industries and explore opportunities for cognitive computing. Through a survey conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit, IBM gained insights from more than 800 executives from around the world representing a variety of industries, including healthcare, banking, insurance, retail, government, telecommunications, life sciences, consumer products, and oil and gas. The study also included interviews with subject matter experts across IBM divisions, as well as supplemental desk research. 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% Australia Brazil Canada China France Germany India Japan Mexico Netherlands Singapore South Africa Spain Sweden United Kingdom Geographic (% of respondents) 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 10% Industry (% of respondents) Healthcare Banking Insurance Retail Government Telecommunications Life Sciences Consumer Products Oil and Gas United States Other 19
  • 22. Related publications Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of cognitive.” IBM Institute for Business Value. January 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/ Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes the way we live and work, Part II: Kick-starting your cognitive journey.” IBM Institute for Business Value. March 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/ gbs/thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/ Fraser, Heather, and Anthony Marshall. “The new age of ecosystems. Redefining partnering in an ecosystem environment: Healthcare ecosystem edition.” IBM Institute for Business Value. March 2015. http://www- 935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleadership/ healthcareecosystems/ Pai, Aditya, Takahiko Koyama and Leonard Lee. “The evolving promise of genomic medicine: How advanced technologies are transforming healthcare and life sciences.” IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2014. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/genomicmedicine/ Notes and sources 1 “CVS Health and IBM Tap Watson to Develop Care Management Solutions for Chronic Disease.” IBM press release. July 30, 2015. http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/ pressrelease/47400.wss 2 Doucleff, Michaeleen. “A Frightening Curve: How Fast is the Ebola Outbreak Growing?” NPR. September 18, 2014. http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2014/09/18/349341606/ why-the-math-of-the-ebola-epidemic-is-so-scary; “2015 Global health care outlook: Common goals, competing priorities.” Deloitte. 2015. http://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ global/Documents/Life-Sciences-Health-Care/gx-lshc-2015-health-care-outlook-global.pdf 3 “Global health workforce shortage to reach 12.9 million in coming decades.” World Health Organization press release. November 11, 2103. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/ releases/2013/health-workforce-shortage/en/; Harrington, Laurie, and Maria Heidkamp. “The Aging Workforce: Challenges for the Health Care Industry Workforce.” inBrief, Issue Brief of the NTAR Leadership Center. March 2013. 4 “Global outlook: Healthcare.” The Economist Intelligence Unit. March 2014. http://pages.eiu. com/rs/eiu2/images/GlobalOutlook_Healthcare.pdf 5 “20/20 Vision: Curriculum Renewal Project.” University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine. September 28, 2012. http://www.healthcare.uiowa.edu/2020/ 6 Picciano, Bob. “Why big data is the new natural resource.” Forbes. June 30, 2014. http://www. forbes.com/sites/ibm/2014/06/30/why-big-data-is-the-new-natural-resource/ 7 Palmer, Danny. “Oxford University’s big data and Internet of Things project to ‘create the NASA of biomedicine.’” Computing. October 27, 2014. http://www.computing.co.uk/ctg/ feature/2378000/oxford-universitys-big-data-and-internet-of-things-project-to-create-the- nasa-of-biomedicine 20 A booster shot for health and wellness
  • 23. GBE03689-USEN-03 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2015 IBM Global Business Services Route 100 Somers, NY 10589 Produced in the United States of America September 2015 IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks of International Business Machines Corp., registered in many jurisdictions worldwide. Other product and service names might be trademarks of IBM or other companies. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at “Copyright and trademark information” at www.ibm.com/ legal/copytrade.shtml. This document is current as of the initial date of publication and may be changed by IBM at any time. Not all offerings are available in every country in which IBM operates. The information in this document is provided “as is” without any warranty, express or implied, including without any warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and any warranty or condition of non-infringement. IBM products are warranted according to the terms and conditions of the agreements under which they are provided. This report is intended for general guidance only. It is not intended to be a substitute for detailed research or the exercise of professional judgment. IBM shall not be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any organization or person who relies on this publication. The data used in this report may be derived from third-party sources and IBM does not independently verify, validate or audit such data. The results from the use of such data are provided on an “as is” basis and IBM makes no representations or warranties, express or implied. 8 “New Digital Universe Study Reveals Big Data Gap: Less Than 1% of World’s Data is Analyzed; Less Than 20% is Protected.” EMC Press Release. EMC website. December 11, 2012. http://www.emc.com/about/news/press/2012/20121211-01.htm 9 Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of cognitive” IBM Institute for Business Value. January 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleadership/ cognitivefuture/ 10 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014. 11 “Welltok Raises $22 Million in Series C Funding, Including IBM Investment to Fuel Watson- Powered Health App.” IBM news release. February 12, 2014. https://www-03.ibm.com/press/ us/en/pressrelease/43189.wss#release; Hardawar, Devindra. “How Welltok tapped IBM’s Watson to upgrade its health optimization platform.” Venture Beat. October 22, 2014. http:// venturebeat.com/2014/10/22/how-welltok-tapped-ibms-watson-to-upgrade-its-health- optimization-platform/ 12 Picton, Glenna. “Study shows promise in automated reasoning, hypothesis generation over complete medical literature.” Baylor College of Medicine News. Press release. August 25, 2014. https://www.bcm.edu/news/research/automated-reasoning-hypothesis-generation; Vickers, Glenna. “Computer guided science tool advances one step further.” Baylor College of Medicine News. Press release. August 13, 2015. https://www.bcm.edu/news/technology/ knowledge-integration-toolkit-advances 13 “IBM Watson for Oncology.” Bumrungrad International Hospital website, accessed July 22, 2015. https://www.bumrungrad.com/en/horizon-cancer-treatment-thailand/technology/ ibm-watson 14 “IBM Watson accelerates global expansion.” IBM new release. October 7, 2014. https://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/45022.wss; 15 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014. 21