Future-smart Research Agendas: Engaging and Empowering Stakeholders through Foresight
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Future-smart Research Agendas: Engaging and Empowering Stakeholders through Foresight. Presentation by Michael Phillips, Ranjitha Puskur, Sarah Park, Sharon Suri (AAS), Robin Bourgeois (GFAR).
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Future-smart Research Agendas: Engaging and Empowering Stakeholders through Foresight
- 1. Future-smart Research Agendas Engaging and Empowering Stakeholders through Foresight Michael Phillips, Ranjitha Puskur, Sarah Park, Sharon Suri (AAS) Robin Bourgeois (GFAR)
- 2. Using the Future Meaning Actions Strategies Accept Wait Submit Adapt React Wait Prepare Explore + Intervene + Modify + Influence Behavior Forecast Foresight
- 3. Uneven Influence on Research & Policy Agendas • International community and organizations from advanced/emerging countries shape agendas (absence of less developed countries, farmers/CSOs) • Focus on global issues GCARD2, 2012
- 4. Grassroots Foresight Initiative Asian Farmers’ Association (AFA) Plateforme Régionale des Organisations Paysannes d’Afrique Centrale (PROPAC) Confederación de Organizaciones de Productores Familiares del Mercosur (COPROFAM) Empowering farmers’ organizations through foresight Farmer-led Bottom-up Actionable • Farmers as doers • Capacity building • Global dialogue • Local initiatives • Global priorities • Local action plans
- 5. Grassroots Foresight Principles • Inclusiveness: Gives a voice to marginalised groups in rural communities • Openness: Includes different perspectives, values and interests • Documentation: Ensures rigor and transparency • Bottom up: Links stakeholders across scales • Actionable: Links scenarios with concrete actions • Context-specific: Respects cultural and belief systems • Mutual learning: Creates opportunities for learning from each other
- 7. Aquatic agricultural systems (aas)
- 8. CGIAR Research Program on Aquatic Agricultural System (AAS) • Engages and empowers communities and stakeholders • Research in development agenda based on stakeholder priorities • Focus on poor and marginalised groups (particularly women) • Focus on enhancing capacities to innovate and adapt
- 9. Distribution of aquatic agriculture systems
- 10. AAS Geographies • High numbers of poor people dependent on aquatic agricultural systems • Strong government support and good operational conditions • Potential to scale out MekongMekong The Coral Triangle GBM*GBM* ZambeziZambezi NigerNiger Lakes Victoria- Kyoga Lakes Victoria- Kyoga African Inland Asia mega deltas
- 11. AAS and Foresight Key questions: •What are the plausible futures for the three main aquatic agricultural systems? •How can decision-makers (including farmers) at all scales use these plausible futures to shift the research agendas? •How can AAS research help communities shape their futures? •What are the implications for development investment, policy and practice?
- 12. AAS and Foresight 2015 • Pilot participatory scenario building activities in two flagships (Asia and Africa) • Development of medium-long term foresight strategy 2016 • Participatory scenario building activities in Island Systems of SE Asia and Pacific • Capacity development for integrating grassroots foresight in program locations 2017 • Rollout of community level foresight
- 13. Nested Scales National Regional Global Drivers identified at each of the levels, but connected at multiple levels Community Hub Socio- economic Relevant stakeholders at these various levels engaged to develop multiple plausible futures connected at different scales
- 14. Summary • AAS is seeking to enable farmers and other stakeholders to shape research agendas which can help them shape their futures • Grassroots Foresight Initiative (GFI) aligned to the AAS RinD approach • AAS uses a ‘nested’ application of GFI to link stakeholders at all scales
- 15. Thank You
Notes de l'éditeur
- This shows the difference between ways of “using the future”. Forecasting – predicting that an event will happen, to a defined extent. And Foresight which is more pro-active, is about envisaging the future, or exploring scenarios for the future, and then exploring ways to actively intervene and modify and influence the future.
- This is from a GCARD study, showing the influence of different actors on research and policy, emphasizing essentially a lack of local influence of lack of communities in global research and related policy agendas.
- This was proposed by Farmer Organizations and NGOs at GCARD2 and supported by GFAR. This initiative seeks to build a grassroots approach to scenarios. Each stakeholder levels seeks to understand what can be influenced. Repeat at different levels, then identify priorities that can be actionable at different levels, and supported by different levels.
- These are the principles for scenario development in the grassroot foresight initiative. Addresses actions within realms of control.
- This is the intent in the Grassroots Foresighting Initiative, with some outcomes feeding back in GCARD 2015 meeting. The long term goal of the initiative is to ensure that such thinking and processes become more natural.
- Aquatic agricultural systems, defined as systems in which the annual dynamics of freshwater and/or saline or brackish coastal system contribute significantly to the household’s income, with often a complex mix of annual and perennial crops, livestock rearing and fisheries, support the livelihoods of over 700 million people in developing countries either directly or indirectly, by providing multiple opportunities for growing or harvesting food and generating income (CGIAR, 2011; CGIAR 2012). Food produced in aquatic systems also feeds thee wider world, including 1 billion people whose main source of animal protein comes from fish.
- Using the approach of the grassroots forsight initiative, these are some of the key questions being addressed in the upcoming research
- Different levels at which key things are influenceable.