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Regression Analysis Is a statistical method
which makes use of the relationships between
two or more quantitative variables so that on
variable, called the dependent or response
variable can be predicted with the knowledge
of the values of the other variable, called
independent variable. A regression equation is
a mathematical equation that allow us to
predict values of one dependent variable from
known values of one or more independent
variables.
The regression equation is usually expressed
mathematically by a straight line equation
called linear regression line or simple linear
regression. This line will give the best fit to the
relationship of the variables X and Y. The lie
which “best fit” is that line such that when the
differences between the actual values of Y and
the predicted values of Y for each X are
squared and summed, it will result a
minimum.
The simple linear regression line is given by the
equation Y = a + bX where Y is the predicted
dependent variable, X is the independent variable, a
and b are the estimates of the parameters of regression
which are calculated from the available sample values
as follows:
N ( XY) – ( X) ( Y)
b=
N( X2 ) – ( X)2

and
a = y – bx where y and x the means of
the sample values of X and Y.
Example: Consider the following data:

X 2 4 6 8 10 12
Y 6 7 8 9 10 11
a. Find the equation of regression line
b. Sketch the graph on a scatter diagram
c. Find the point estimate of Y when X = 15
Solution (a):

X

Y

X2

Y2

XY

2
4

6
7

4
16

36
49

12
28

6
10

8
9
10

36
64
100

64
81
100

48
72
100

12

11

144

121

132

X2 =
364

Y2 =

XY =
392

8

X = 42

X=7

Y = 51

Y=
8.5

451
Then:
6(392) – 42(51)
b=

210
=

6(364) – 422

= 0.5.

420

Thus, a = 8.5 – 0.5(7) = 5. Therefore, the equation
of the regression line is Y = 5 + 0.5X.
Solution (b):
Y-Values
14
12

12

10

10

8

8

6

Y-Values

6

4

4

2

2

0
2

4

6

8

10

12

Solution (c) : Substitute x = 15 to the equation Y
= 5 + 0.5X. Thus, Y = 5 + 0.5(15) = 12.5
Problem: A study was made by a businessman to
determine the relation between advertising cost
and sales. The following data on 12
commodities were recorded:
Advertisin 30
g cost
(thousand)

15

400
Sales
(thousand)

320 350 490 500 500 530

24

37

42

45

48

40

20

25

20

385

450

390

365 470

Find the estimated regression line and estimate
the sales when X = 43.

35

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Simple Linear Regression

  • 1.
  • 2. Regression Analysis Is a statistical method which makes use of the relationships between two or more quantitative variables so that on variable, called the dependent or response variable can be predicted with the knowledge of the values of the other variable, called independent variable. A regression equation is a mathematical equation that allow us to predict values of one dependent variable from known values of one or more independent variables.
  • 3. The regression equation is usually expressed mathematically by a straight line equation called linear regression line or simple linear regression. This line will give the best fit to the relationship of the variables X and Y. The lie which “best fit” is that line such that when the differences between the actual values of Y and the predicted values of Y for each X are squared and summed, it will result a minimum.
  • 4. The simple linear regression line is given by the equation Y = a + bX where Y is the predicted dependent variable, X is the independent variable, a and b are the estimates of the parameters of regression which are calculated from the available sample values as follows: N ( XY) – ( X) ( Y) b= N( X2 ) – ( X)2 and a = y – bx where y and x the means of the sample values of X and Y.
  • 5. Example: Consider the following data: X 2 4 6 8 10 12 Y 6 7 8 9 10 11 a. Find the equation of regression line b. Sketch the graph on a scatter diagram c. Find the point estimate of Y when X = 15
  • 7. Then: 6(392) – 42(51) b= 210 = 6(364) – 422 = 0.5. 420 Thus, a = 8.5 – 0.5(7) = 5. Therefore, the equation of the regression line is Y = 5 + 0.5X.
  • 8. Solution (b): Y-Values 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 Y-Values 6 4 4 2 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Solution (c) : Substitute x = 15 to the equation Y = 5 + 0.5X. Thus, Y = 5 + 0.5(15) = 12.5
  • 9. Problem: A study was made by a businessman to determine the relation between advertising cost and sales. The following data on 12 commodities were recorded: Advertisin 30 g cost (thousand) 15 400 Sales (thousand) 320 350 490 500 500 530 24 37 42 45 48 40 20 25 20 385 450 390 365 470 Find the estimated regression line and estimate the sales when X = 43. 35