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Telecommunication trends in 2013 and beyond
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Telecommunication trends in 2013 and beyond, viewed during LTI sales brainstorm 2013
Ahmad YokasanoSuivre
Director at NetLearn, a Technology Learning Center à NetLearn - Technology Learning CenterPublicité
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Telecommunication trends in 2013 and beyond
- Extracted from various source Jan 2013
- Source: http://www.broadbandconvergent.com The Future of Mobile: The Biggest Trends for 2013. http://www.net-security.org MDSL published its Top 10 Telecom Trends for 2013. http://www.mobilemonday.net Mobile Southeast Asia Report 2012. http://www.ericsson.com. Ten Hot Consumer Trends for 2013- Ericsson ConsumerLab http://www.trendmicro.com BYOD and the Consumerization of IT http://www.v-net.tv Next steps in multi-screen TV http://www.telecomstechnews.com What could 2013 bring for the mobile telecom industry?
- M2M market set to take off Machina Research: • In 2020 there will be 50 Billion connected device • 2.4 Billion M2M connections last year, will grow to 18 Billion in 2022 world wide • 90% of revenue will be generated via the service wrap while just 10% will come from the provision of basic mobile connectivity
- IP-based P2P messaging set to overtake SMS (at least, on smartphones) More than one researcher has forecast that Mobile Instant Messaging (MIM) in one form or another will displace SMS – if not now, then in the near future. Some caveat: You need a smartphone –still out of reach, financially, for the vast majority of the population. You need a fixed price, unlimited data plan - these are becoming an endangered It excludes the whole new area of Machine-to- Person communication via SMS 51 M 5 M
- SMS providers will find new routes to extend the life-cycle Enterprises know that the only way they can reach 100% of the population is through SMS. Banking Health Education Ads Media Telco GovernmentRetail ABI Research estimates that social networks and portals will be generating 314 Billion SMS messages pa by 2015
- The new Multi-Screen World Multi-Screen Platform Player: • Alcatel-Lucent • Ericsson • Nokia Siemens Network • Huawei Envivio Orca Interactive Chunghwa Telecom > swapping IPTV middleware with Ericsson’s Multi-Screen platform Social, Cloud and Mobile - P2P Video sharing - Video Content - Video Ads
- BYOD - bring your own device CISCO : BYOD Smart Solutions Juniper : expanding its Simply Connected Zenprise : BYOD Security and Management Opportunity for: • Security Management • Network Access Control • Mobile Device Management Help Net Security: BYOD trend continues at a steady pace and will definitely become mainstream during 2013
- Other Researcher view: The value added service (VAS) market will look very dull in 2013: In contrast, the NFC and mobile payment sphere will continue to grow this year, but not with a tangible endpoint “as these solutions aren’t readily accepted in all markets”. Strand Consult:
- Backup
- Social, Cloud, and Mobile … Video Telepo BCS Dialogic: PowerMedia™ Extended Media Server inbound and outbound session/call control, audio/video play and record, transcoding, transrating, transizing of video streams, multimedia conference mixing, content streaming. PowerMedia™ Host Media Processing Software next-generation media servers, converged telephony applications, gateways, and video portals. Netxcell Video OutBound call platform empowers clients to make 3G video calls directly to a planned 3G audience
- Existing Solitions Tango Telecom SMSC (FDA, Store & Forward) Anti SMS Fraud / Spam PCRF Local Breakout (Roamer local data charging)
- Google research:
Notes de l'éditeur
- M2M market set to take offAccording to Machina Research, the number of machine-to-machine (M2M) connections world-wide will grow from 2 Billion at the end of last year and an expected 2.4 Billion at end-2012, to 18 Billion in 2022 – driven by the consumer electronics and intelligent building sectors, which together will account for 70% of the total. 90% of that $400 Billion will be generated via the service wrap while just 10% (or $9 Billion) will come from the provision of basic mobile connectivity, according to Machina. That means the largest growth in the M2M market is going to be in the services area, particularly around Software as a Service (SaaS)Finally, next year will start to see the introduction of alternative communications methods for M2M devices, because SMS is not the cheapest technology or the most practical for every scenario – look out for very cheap “whitespace” radio technology!
- IP-based P2P messaging set to overtake SMS (at least, on smartphones)In 2013 IP-based messaging (IM) will finally overtake SMS, at least on smartphones in the West and in the area of peer-to-peer communications. Or will it?More than one researcher has forecast that Mobile Instant Messaging (MIM) in one form or another will displace SMS – if not now, then in the near future. And it’s undoubtedly true that MIM applications such as BlackBerry Messenger (BBM) and WhatsApp, not to mention social networking tools such as FaceBook and Twitter, are rapidly gaining ground where SMS used to rein supreme. Whole gangs of BlackBerry-toting teenagers remain loyal to the brand simply because they rely on BBM to keep in touch with what’s happening in their network.The problem is that there are so many caveats. First, you need a smartphone – and, despite recent price drops, there are large parts of the world where these are still completely out of reach, financially, for the vast majority of the population. Second, you need a fixed price, unlimited data plan – and, as we forecast last year, these are rapidly becoming an endangered if not extinct species. Finally, it excludes the whole new area of Machine-to-Person communication via SMS, or which more in a moment.
- SMS providers will find new routes to extend the life-cycleTyntec, a mobile interaction service provider, predicts that the market for Application-to-Person (A2P) messaging is set to explode. One simple example: the machine-generated text message you receive from your dentist, reminding you of your upcoming appointment later this week.Tyntec go on to point out how the internet industry itself is extending email and social networking services using SMS. ABI Research estimates that social networks and portals will be generating 314 Billion SMS messages pa by 2015: for example, Facebook is using SMS to extend its reach in developing countries while Twitter already enables users to tweet via text messaging. Elsewhere, app developers and marketers are driving up demand for A2P messaging, as they increasingly turn to push messaging and SMS to drive downloads and boost customer engagement.SMS may well have come of age, but it’s by no means over the hill.
- Vendors providing MDM-style services with their core offering become the new normThe Mobile Device Management market is maturing rapidly, although recent research from AOTMP shows nearly 60% of companies in the USA are still undecided on what solution to implement. The twin pressures of an opportunity of that size and the fact that MDM is now the “must have” function for any large organization trying to manage its mobile telecom estate, mean it’s only a matter of time before we see the network providers themselves offering MDM-style functionality with their core services. This mirrors the trend we’re already starting to see in the Telecom Expense Management market.At the same time, we can expect to see a wave of consolidation in response among the smaller players in the market. Whether those provider-sourced offerings will retain the range of features and level of innovation available from the smaller firms specializing in this area, and exactly how the market will respond when asked to start trusting “poachers turned gamekeeper”, is less clear.
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