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South Asia’s Urban Transformation    iihs
turning Challenge into Opportunity




www.iihs.co.in
The challenge of contemporary Indian cities:
integration of the pre-colonial, colonial, ‘modern’ & informal
Our future hinges on
 the state of Indian
        cities
The Dynamics of Indian Urbanisation
          (1951-2031)
1951
                                                  Tibet
                       W. Pakistan


                                              Nepal


                                                          E.
                                                          Pakistan
                                      India


 Population Size (millions)
            < 0.1
            0.1 – 0.5
            0.5 - 1
            1-5

            >5

Source: Census of India, 1971- 2001
         UN, 2007
         IIHS analysis, 2009-10
800

 2011




                                                                   Population (in millions)
                                                                                              700
                                                                                              600
                                                                                              500
                                                                                              400
                                                                                              300
                                                                                              200
                                                                                              100
                                                                                                0
                                                                                                1951   1961    1971   1981   1991   2001   2011   2021   2031

                                              Delhi                                                    Urban Population Growth
                                              (16.9)




                             Ahmadabad
                             (5.7)
                                                                                                              Kolkata
                                                                                                              (15.5)


                            Mumbai
                            (20)                       Hyderabad
                                                       (6.7)
     Population Size                  Pune
       (millions)                     (5.0)                                                   800
        < 0.1                                                                                 700
                                                                   Urban Settlements


        0.1 – 0.5                                                                             600
        0.5 - 1                                                                               500
                                      Bangalore                                               400
           1-5                        (7.2)                                                   300
                                                       Chennai                                200
           >5                                          (7.5)                                  100
                                                                                                0
                                                                                                1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031
Source: Census of India, 1971- 2001
         UN, 2007
         IIHS analysis, 2009-10                                                                     Large Urban Settlement Growth
800

 2031




                                                                  Population (in millions)
                                                                                             700
                                                                                             600
                                                                                             500
                                                                                             400
                                                                                             300
                                                                                             200
                                                                                             100
                                                                                               0
                                                                                               1951   1961    1971   1981   1991   2001   2011   2021   2031

                                             Delhi      Kanpur                                        Urban Population Growth
                                             (24.4)     (5.1)



                             Ahmadabad
                             (8.5)
                                                                                                             Kolkata
                                              Surat                                                          (22.3)
                                              (6.3)

                           Mumbai
                           (28.6)                     Hyderabad
                                                      (9.9)
     Population Size                 Pune
       (millions)                    (7.4)                                                   800
        < 0.1                                                                                700
                                                                  Urban Settlements


        0.1 – 0.5                                                                            600
        0.5 - 1                                                                              500
                                     Bangalore                                               400
           1-5                       (10.6)                                                  300
                                                      Chennai                                200
           >5                                         (11.1)                                 100
                                                                                               0
                                                                                               1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031
Source: Census of India, 1971-2001
         UN, 2007
         IIHS analysis, 2009-10                                                                    Large Urban Settlement Growth
Growth of India's Urban Economy (1991-2031)
                            300


                            250
Rs.Trillion / lakh crores




                            200


                            150


                            100


                             50                                                  Rs. 1450 lakh crores
                                                                                 Rs 735 lakh crores
                             -
                                  1991             2001                2011      2021               2031

                                                                  Time (years)

                            GDP (current prices)          Urban GDP
Who manages Urban India?
Top Management
• MPs & MLAs                               5,300
• Higher Judiciary                           650
• IAS & IPS                                8,200
• CXOs (top 500 corporates)              ~ 5,000
• NGO leadership                         ~ 1,750
Total                                     20,900

% educated & trained in urban practice     < 5%

Middle Management
• Senior Municipal officials              ~ 4,000
• Senior Engineers                        ~ 8,000
• Urban Planners                          ~ 2,000
Total                                     ~ 14,000

% educated & trained in urban practice      < 20%
India’s Urban Future (2011-2031)
• India will add at least 300 million new people to its cities in 30 years
• This is on top of the current urban population of ~300 million, of
  whom over 70 million are poor
• In 2031, three of the ten largest megacities in the world will be in
  India: Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata
• Over 70 other cities will have a population of over 1 million
• This will be the second largest urbanisation in human history creating
  huge market opportunities and development challenges
• The only option to avoid complete urban breakdown is the
  simultaneous transformation of India’s cities and its villages
• The key to this the education of a new generation of changemakers
  and entrepreneurs and building the capacities and motivation of
  current working professionals
Limited Supply of Professionals
capable of managing this transition
Education of Urban Planners in India

• India has ~ 4,000 qualified planners
• It educates only ~350 new planners each year in a narrow manner
• Of this only a fraction enter into public planning practice
• Most have skills unequal to the complex systemic challenges they face
• With close to 5,000 urban centres, this implies a huge deficit in the
  number of planners the country needs
• Hence, some of the largest Municipalities in the country e.g. Mumbai
  have no qualified planners on their rolls
Why Planning is not enough?
• The fundamental constraint to the orderly growth and
  transformation of urban India is
   – no longer capital
   – nor perhaps technology
   – the availability of sufficient numbers of well educated
     professionals committed to the common good who
     can play the role of changemakers and entrepreneurs.

• India’s higher education system has no inter-disciplinary
  programme of scale to educate enough professionals for
  the satisfactory planning, development and management
  of India’s cities, towns and villages.
The Response
iihs

         India’s first independent
National Research & Innovation University
    focused on urban transformation

             www.iihs.co.in
Why the IIHS ?

• Assumption: India will and can change in dramatic ways by
  the 2030s to enable inclusive economic growth, end
  poverty, improve human development and quality of life,
  enable greater equity and sustainability

• Locus of much of this change: 300 – 400 cities and towns
  and their surrounding countryside
Goal: catalysing five national outcomes by the 2030s

    Inclusive Economic Growth


 Reduced Poverty and Inequality




     Social Transformation



    Environmental Sustainability



      Unified & Robust Polity
1,00,000 new interdisciplinary professionals by 2031
• An ‘MBA equivalent’ to coordinate and complement
  specialist professions and turn around urban
  management, development, renewal & planning;
  coordinate and complement specialist professions:
  technology, management, design, law
   – Bachelors of Urban Practice (BUP)

   – Masters of Urban Practice (MUP)

   – PhD in Urban Practice
IIHS Goal

• The IIHS is a national institution committed to
  the equitable, sustainable and efficient
  transformation of Indian settlements

• The IIHS aspires to be a globally-ranked, action-
  oriented, unique education and research institution of
  international stature
IIHS Core Concept
                    National Scale
                           +
              Interdisciplinary Excellence
                           +
             Economic & Social Inclusion
                           =

1,00,000 professionals (Urban Practitioners) in 20 years
                           +
   Innovative Institutional design & revenue model
                           +
                 National Regulation
                           =

         Transformative National Institution
The Promoter Group
   •   Aromar Revi                 •   Nandan Nilekani
   •   Bansi Mehta                 •   Nasser Munjee
   •   Chandrashekar B. Bhave      •   Rahul Mehrotra
   •   Cyrus Guzder                •   Rakesh Mohan
   •   Deepak Parekh               •   Renana Jhabvala
   •   Deepak Satwalekar           •   Shirish Patel
   •   Jamshyd Godrej              •   Vijay Kelkar
   •   Keshub Mahindra             •   Xerxes Desai
   •   Kishore Mariwala
    Some of India’s leading entrepreneurs, practitioners, public
  intellectuals & administrators helped create & manage the IIHS

iihs
Five IIHS Programmes


                          IIHS Programmes


             Research &      Working        Consulting
 Academic                                              Distance &
             Innovation    Professionals    & Advisory
                                                       e-learning
                                             services



The IIHS aspires to be a globally-ranked, action-oriented, unique
   education and research institution of international stature
IIHS Academic Programme
Interdisciplinary Curriculum
  A broad interdisciplinary curriculum that bridges

                                   Social
                  Design
                                  Sciences


                                               Law &
     Technology
                                             Governance




                     Interdisciplinary
                                                 Environmental
Management              Curriculum                 Sciences
                       (multilingual)
Linking research, teaching & practice at IIHS
                      Case studies




  Research                Teaching           Practice




                        Education for
Generates Material
                     Working Professionals
for Teaching
IIHS degrees and expected chronology of Initiation


• Masters in Urban Practice (MUP) - 2 years       2012

• PhD in Urban Practice             - 2+2 years 2013

• Bachelors in Urban Practice (BUP) - 4 years     2014/15

• Integrated MUP (IMUP)             - 4+1 years   2016
Employment Opportunities for Students
Potential Employers of IIHS students
• Public Sector Enterprises: municipalities and urban local bodies,
  state and national governments, regulators, public utilities and
  public enterprises
• Private Sector Enterprises: housing, construction, infrastructure,
  utility, real estate, finance and advisory services, consultancies;
• Civil Society Organisations: working on community issues,
  mobilising collective action, enabling the common good and social
  inclusion
• Universities and Knowledge Enterprises: institutions building
  South Asia-centric and globally relevant knowledge on human
  settlements.

  Quantum Consulting a leading market research agency reports
  very encouraging responses from students and employers
Programme for Working Professionals
Programme for Working Professionals
• Education, training and development needs of public, private
  and civil society institutions built around various offerings e.g.

   – Short-term (1-2 week) specialised thematic courses
   – High level (1-3 day) Strategic management programmes
   – A mid-career 8 month PG Diploma in Urban Development

• These will be delivered in tandem with consulting and
  advisory services

• Erewhon Consulting a leading innovation firm has reported
  large and unique unfilled niches for IIHS offerings
IIHS Consultancy & Advisory Programme:
  bringing together some of the world’s
           leading practitioners
IIHS Global Knowledge Partnership
MIT
North
America




Academic
IDEO
North
America




 Practice
UCL

Europe




Academic
ARUP

Europe &
Global




Practice
ACC

Africa




Academic
& Practice
A global of 180 leading academics, practitioners and policy
      makers have co-created the MUP curriculum
Faculty & Practitioners
A globally hired interdisciplinary Faculty

• A Faculty of over 100 interdisciplinary professionals with
  active research and practice experience will be hired
  over 4-6 years
• Remunerated bearing in mind national and international
  levels of compensation
• Core curriculum and advisors team established in 2009,
  active in global consultations and review
• National and global search started, with considerable
  enthusiasm in India and abroad
iihs

                   Research

        India Urbanisation Atlas V1.1
  400 cities and regions around which India will
                    transform
Greater Mumbai
IIHS main campus: Bengaluru
IIHS campus environs: Kengeri, Bengaluru
IIHS City Campus, Bengaluru
IIHS Research Offices, Bengaluru
Signature campus to cost ~Rs. 250 crore




55 acres allotted by the Govt. of Karnataka to IIHS
Implementation Timeline
Implementation Timeline
                                  2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015
Startup                                   ◊
Land mobilisation                                ◊
Campus planning & construction                                 ◊             ◊
IIHS University incorporation                                  ◊
Working Professional education                          ◊
Consulting & Advisory
Masters (MUP) programme                                        ◊
PhD programme                                                  ◊
Bachelors (BUP) programme
Distance & e-learning programme
Conclusions
Conclusion: Opportunity
• India has a tremendous opportunity through its impending
  urbanisation to pre-emptively address multiple
  development challenges:
    1. Accelerate inclusive economic growth
    2. Wealth creation that serves the common good and
         eliminates abject poverty
    3. Catalyse dramatic social transformation
    4. Enable a global sustainability transition

   The IIHS is building an significant Open institutional
  initiative to enable this …. why not join us to make it
  possible?

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Introducing IIHS 2012

  • 1. South Asia’s Urban Transformation iihs turning Challenge into Opportunity www.iihs.co.in
  • 2. The challenge of contemporary Indian cities: integration of the pre-colonial, colonial, ‘modern’ & informal
  • 3. Our future hinges on the state of Indian cities
  • 4. The Dynamics of Indian Urbanisation (1951-2031)
  • 5. 1951 Tibet W. Pakistan Nepal E. Pakistan India Population Size (millions) < 0.1 0.1 – 0.5 0.5 - 1 1-5 >5 Source: Census of India, 1971- 2001 UN, 2007 IIHS analysis, 2009-10
  • 6. 800 2011 Population (in millions) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Delhi Urban Population Growth (16.9) Ahmadabad (5.7) Kolkata (15.5) Mumbai (20) Hyderabad (6.7) Population Size Pune (millions) (5.0) 800 < 0.1 700 Urban Settlements 0.1 – 0.5 600 0.5 - 1 500 Bangalore 400 1-5 (7.2) 300 Chennai 200 >5 (7.5) 100 0 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Source: Census of India, 1971- 2001 UN, 2007 IIHS analysis, 2009-10 Large Urban Settlement Growth
  • 7. 800 2031 Population (in millions) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Delhi Kanpur Urban Population Growth (24.4) (5.1) Ahmadabad (8.5) Kolkata Surat (22.3) (6.3) Mumbai (28.6) Hyderabad (9.9) Population Size Pune (millions) (7.4) 800 < 0.1 700 Urban Settlements 0.1 – 0.5 600 0.5 - 1 500 Bangalore 400 1-5 (10.6) 300 Chennai 200 >5 (11.1) 100 0 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Source: Census of India, 1971-2001 UN, 2007 IIHS analysis, 2009-10 Large Urban Settlement Growth
  • 8. Growth of India's Urban Economy (1991-2031) 300 250 Rs.Trillion / lakh crores 200 150 100 50 Rs. 1450 lakh crores Rs 735 lakh crores - 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Time (years) GDP (current prices) Urban GDP
  • 9. Who manages Urban India? Top Management • MPs & MLAs 5,300 • Higher Judiciary 650 • IAS & IPS 8,200 • CXOs (top 500 corporates) ~ 5,000 • NGO leadership ~ 1,750 Total 20,900 % educated & trained in urban practice < 5% Middle Management • Senior Municipal officials ~ 4,000 • Senior Engineers ~ 8,000 • Urban Planners ~ 2,000 Total ~ 14,000 % educated & trained in urban practice < 20%
  • 10. India’s Urban Future (2011-2031) • India will add at least 300 million new people to its cities in 30 years • This is on top of the current urban population of ~300 million, of whom over 70 million are poor • In 2031, three of the ten largest megacities in the world will be in India: Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata • Over 70 other cities will have a population of over 1 million • This will be the second largest urbanisation in human history creating huge market opportunities and development challenges • The only option to avoid complete urban breakdown is the simultaneous transformation of India’s cities and its villages • The key to this the education of a new generation of changemakers and entrepreneurs and building the capacities and motivation of current working professionals
  • 11. Limited Supply of Professionals capable of managing this transition
  • 12. Education of Urban Planners in India • India has ~ 4,000 qualified planners • It educates only ~350 new planners each year in a narrow manner • Of this only a fraction enter into public planning practice • Most have skills unequal to the complex systemic challenges they face • With close to 5,000 urban centres, this implies a huge deficit in the number of planners the country needs • Hence, some of the largest Municipalities in the country e.g. Mumbai have no qualified planners on their rolls
  • 13. Why Planning is not enough? • The fundamental constraint to the orderly growth and transformation of urban India is – no longer capital – nor perhaps technology – the availability of sufficient numbers of well educated professionals committed to the common good who can play the role of changemakers and entrepreneurs. • India’s higher education system has no inter-disciplinary programme of scale to educate enough professionals for the satisfactory planning, development and management of India’s cities, towns and villages.
  • 15. iihs India’s first independent National Research & Innovation University focused on urban transformation www.iihs.co.in
  • 16. Why the IIHS ? • Assumption: India will and can change in dramatic ways by the 2030s to enable inclusive economic growth, end poverty, improve human development and quality of life, enable greater equity and sustainability • Locus of much of this change: 300 – 400 cities and towns and their surrounding countryside
  • 17. Goal: catalysing five national outcomes by the 2030s Inclusive Economic Growth Reduced Poverty and Inequality Social Transformation Environmental Sustainability Unified & Robust Polity
  • 18. 1,00,000 new interdisciplinary professionals by 2031 • An ‘MBA equivalent’ to coordinate and complement specialist professions and turn around urban management, development, renewal & planning; coordinate and complement specialist professions: technology, management, design, law – Bachelors of Urban Practice (BUP) – Masters of Urban Practice (MUP) – PhD in Urban Practice
  • 19. IIHS Goal • The IIHS is a national institution committed to the equitable, sustainable and efficient transformation of Indian settlements • The IIHS aspires to be a globally-ranked, action- oriented, unique education and research institution of international stature
  • 20. IIHS Core Concept National Scale + Interdisciplinary Excellence + Economic & Social Inclusion = 1,00,000 professionals (Urban Practitioners) in 20 years + Innovative Institutional design & revenue model + National Regulation = Transformative National Institution
  • 21. The Promoter Group • Aromar Revi • Nandan Nilekani • Bansi Mehta • Nasser Munjee • Chandrashekar B. Bhave • Rahul Mehrotra • Cyrus Guzder • Rakesh Mohan • Deepak Parekh • Renana Jhabvala • Deepak Satwalekar • Shirish Patel • Jamshyd Godrej • Vijay Kelkar • Keshub Mahindra • Xerxes Desai • Kishore Mariwala Some of India’s leading entrepreneurs, practitioners, public intellectuals & administrators helped create & manage the IIHS iihs
  • 22. Five IIHS Programmes IIHS Programmes Research & Working Consulting Academic Distance & Innovation Professionals & Advisory e-learning services The IIHS aspires to be a globally-ranked, action-oriented, unique education and research institution of international stature
  • 24. Interdisciplinary Curriculum A broad interdisciplinary curriculum that bridges Social Design Sciences Law & Technology Governance Interdisciplinary Environmental Management Curriculum Sciences (multilingual)
  • 25. Linking research, teaching & practice at IIHS Case studies Research Teaching Practice Education for Generates Material Working Professionals for Teaching
  • 26. IIHS degrees and expected chronology of Initiation • Masters in Urban Practice (MUP) - 2 years 2012 • PhD in Urban Practice - 2+2 years 2013 • Bachelors in Urban Practice (BUP) - 4 years 2014/15 • Integrated MUP (IMUP) - 4+1 years 2016
  • 28. Potential Employers of IIHS students • Public Sector Enterprises: municipalities and urban local bodies, state and national governments, regulators, public utilities and public enterprises • Private Sector Enterprises: housing, construction, infrastructure, utility, real estate, finance and advisory services, consultancies; • Civil Society Organisations: working on community issues, mobilising collective action, enabling the common good and social inclusion • Universities and Knowledge Enterprises: institutions building South Asia-centric and globally relevant knowledge on human settlements. Quantum Consulting a leading market research agency reports very encouraging responses from students and employers
  • 29. Programme for Working Professionals
  • 30. Programme for Working Professionals • Education, training and development needs of public, private and civil society institutions built around various offerings e.g. – Short-term (1-2 week) specialised thematic courses – High level (1-3 day) Strategic management programmes – A mid-career 8 month PG Diploma in Urban Development • These will be delivered in tandem with consulting and advisory services • Erewhon Consulting a leading innovation firm has reported large and unique unfilled niches for IIHS offerings
  • 31. IIHS Consultancy & Advisory Programme: bringing together some of the world’s leading practitioners
  • 32. IIHS Global Knowledge Partnership
  • 38. A global of 180 leading academics, practitioners and policy makers have co-created the MUP curriculum
  • 40. A globally hired interdisciplinary Faculty • A Faculty of over 100 interdisciplinary professionals with active research and practice experience will be hired over 4-6 years • Remunerated bearing in mind national and international levels of compensation • Core curriculum and advisors team established in 2009, active in global consultations and review • National and global search started, with considerable enthusiasm in India and abroad
  • 41. iihs Research India Urbanisation Atlas V1.1 400 cities and regions around which India will transform
  • 43. IIHS main campus: Bengaluru
  • 44. IIHS campus environs: Kengeri, Bengaluru
  • 45. IIHS City Campus, Bengaluru
  • 47. Signature campus to cost ~Rs. 250 crore 55 acres allotted by the Govt. of Karnataka to IIHS
  • 49. Implementation Timeline 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Startup ◊ Land mobilisation ◊ Campus planning & construction ◊ ◊ IIHS University incorporation ◊ Working Professional education ◊ Consulting & Advisory Masters (MUP) programme ◊ PhD programme ◊ Bachelors (BUP) programme Distance & e-learning programme
  • 51. Conclusion: Opportunity • India has a tremendous opportunity through its impending urbanisation to pre-emptively address multiple development challenges: 1. Accelerate inclusive economic growth 2. Wealth creation that serves the common good and eliminates abject poverty 3. Catalyse dramatic social transformation 4. Enable a global sustainability transition The IIHS is building an significant Open institutional initiative to enable this …. why not join us to make it possible?