Materials for my EDUCAUSE 2015 future trends in technology and education presentation.

1. Trends inTrends in
TechnologyTechnology
andand
EducationEducation
Trends inTrends in
TechnologyTechnology
andand
EducationEducation
EDUCAUSE
-
October 2015

2. ETH Zurich: “new ways to write [to] and read DNA”
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/physics/reed-solomon-codes/

3. @amcafee this
morning: "We
kept finding
examples of
science fiction
becoming
reality."
3

4.  Monthly
environmental
scan report
 Trends
identified,
tested,
projected

6. Four parts
1. Education
contexts
2. Technolog
y
3. Education
meets
technology
4. Muttering

7. Education contexts: trendsEducation contexts: trends
Education systems
 Reform movements (K-12, higher
ed, bipartisan) continue
 Rising student debt ($1.3 trillion)
 Alternative certification pilots
(competency, badges)

8. Global higher educationGlobal higher education
 More international students
heading to the US
 International higher ed systems
building up
 US campuses expanding
overseas presence

9. Contextual trendsContextual trends
Demographics:
 Youth population shrinkage,
esp. NE + midwest
 Ballooning senior
population…

10. 10

12. Racial transformationRacial transformation

13. Education contextsEducation contexts
Economics: US labor changes
› manufacturing->service
› 1 job/career->many gigs
› declining participation
› Automation rising

14. Top and bottom vs middleTop and bottom vs middle

16. Enrollment changesEnrollment changes
 Spending less
 Swirling

17. Student populationStudent population
changeschanges
 Majority adult
 Increasing first-
generation
students
 Veterans
 Learning
disabilities
17https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/

19. Enrollment decline?Enrollment decline?
 Spending less per family

20. Education trendsEducation trends
Adjunctification rising

21. Bad forecastingBad forecasting
 Inter-institutional
collaboration (except
SUNY)
 Senior admin
compensation
 Intergenerational strife

22. Athletics are doing just fineAthletics are doing just fine

24. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 Rise of
the stacks
 Post-
Snowden
 Hardware
+
networks:
multiple
ecosystems
 Digitizatio

25. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 digital
video
 cloud
migration
continues
 automation
and
artificial
intelligence
 AR
approach

26. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
 Android battles iOS
 Wearable computing
 Very small cameras and
computers
 Internet of Things

27. Technology ecosystemTechnology ecosystem

28. Design for mobile *first *

29.  PCs getting
crowded out
 Mouse and
keyboard
declining
 3d printing
mainstreaming
 3d tv dying

30. Technology trendsTechnology trends
social media triumphing

31. 3d printing3d printing
https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/

32. Away from physical mediaAway from physical media

33. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 crowdfunding growing
 copyright battles continue
 open struggle ongoing
 durability of Moore’s Law
 office versus Web office

34. Did ebooks plateau?Did ebooks plateau?
Nicholas Carr, linked http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/

35. Reading and/versus digitalReading and/versus digital
 How much reading is
being done?
 How is digital reading
different?
 Literacies changing?

36. Weaker tech trendlinesWeaker tech trendlines
 the limits of the Web
 onshoring hardware
production

37. 3. Teaching and learning and tech3. Teaching and learning and tech

38. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
 blended/flipped
classroom
 rise of the net.generation
 distance learning grows
 gaming in education

39. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
 educational
entrepreneurship
 big data and data analytics
develop
 campus digital security
threats growing

40.  Uses of social
media
 Uses of Web
video
 Changes in the
LMS world
 Blended
learning
 Learning
analytics
 Changes in
library role
 Digital
humanities (in
classroom)
 The rise of the
Maker movement

42.  US decline, Euro interest
 Credit for MOOCs?
 STEM vs humanities
 Sustainability?
 Morphology: xMOOC vs
cMOOC and now…?

43. Changes in scholarshipChanges in scholarship

44.  Open content
 Possible divide growing
between research and teaching
 Changes to the scholarly
publication ecosystem
 Rise of the digital humanities (as
scholarly work)
 The library role

45. Extrapolations:
 Transnational
campuses
 Average
student age: 40
 Hourly faculty
 Privatizing
public
universities
 Hogwarts
vs CCs
What comes next?What comes next?

46. What comes next?What comes next?
 Rich
multimedia
environment
 Increasing
gamification
 Student as
producer
 Disintegrated
computing as a
service
 Extensive data
analysis,
surveillance,
creativity

47. Which of these
trends are the
most powerful?

48. Which of these
trends are the most
unpredicatble?

49. http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
bryan.alexander@gmail.combryan.alexander@gmail.com
http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander