Chipotle Mexican Grill is a fast-casual restaurant chain focusing on sustainably sourced food. It has strong brand loyalty and marketing expertise. While competitors struggle, Chipotle enjoys high growth and margins due to operational efficiencies, people culture, and differentiated product. To sustain its position, Chipotle should strengthen supplier relationships, source new ethical suppliers to support growth, raise sustainability standards, and leverage content marketing success.
2. Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary............................................................................................... 2
Introduction
Competitive Analysis
Environmental Trends Influencing the Industry
Industry Structure and Dynamics
Organizational Capabilities
Sustainability of Competitive Position
II. Recommendations................................................................................................. 5
III. Appendix................................................................................................................ 6
Exhibit 1: Growth Comparisons
Exhibit 2: SWOT Analysis
Exhibit 3: Strategic Groups
Exhibit 4: Competitor Financials
References
3. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 2
Executive Summary
Introduction
Chipotle Mexican Grill is a restaurant chain in the fast-casual sector, focusing on serving food sourced from
sustainable farming practices—including meat product that is responsibly raised in humane ways without
antibiotics or hormones. “Food With Integrity” is the phrase that captures the firm’s philosophy.[1]
Research firm Technomic Information Services defines "fast-casual restaurants" as meeting the following
criteria:
Limited-service or self-service format
Average meal price between $8 and $15
Made-to-order food with more complex flavors than fast food restaurants
Upscale, unique or highly developed decor
Most often will not have a drive thru
The fast-casual sector is positioned between fast food restaurants like McDonalds and table-service casual
dining experiences like Denny’s or IHOP. The sector aims to provide a higher quality experience than fast
food and more convenience than a table dining service.[2]
Competitive Analysis
Exhibit 2’s SWOT Analysis reveals that among Chipotle’s strengths are strong brand image and a loyal
customer following that Chipotle leverages to spread word-of-mouth viral marketing campaigns, such as
“The Scarecrow” video, with its associated mobile game. Chipotle’s marketing expertise gives it a distinct
competitive advantage—in less than a week after the campaign release, the video had attracted 3.1 million
views on YouTube, almost 20,000 likes, and more than 4,000 comments. It was picked up by countless media
sources (Slate, the Christian Science Monitor, NPR).[3]
Strategic Groups—as depicted in Exhibit 3—show that the fast-casual dining sector has found a niche that
overlaps some established table-service diners like Denny’s and IHOP. Chipotle offers a similar quality for
about the same price, but with a much higher convenience factor both in terms of throughput time and menu
personalization options.
Exhibit 4 shows a list of competitors from the fast-casual space as determined by Google Finance and shows
that Chipotle has significantly higher market capitalization, revenues and income than rivals. It also has zero
debt, meaning that unlike most competitors, earnings are not used to service interest on debt.
Environmental Trends Influencing the Industry
According to one NRA (National Restaurant Association) survey, 43% of American adults report that they
are not using restaurants as much as they would like in their daily lifestyle. This translates into three key
trends that Chipotle can exploit:
1. Consumers are showing a growing interest in the origins of their food and how it is raised. Based on
its own research, Chipotle believes that as consumer awareness of ethical farming practices and
4. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 3
responsible animal welfare rises, it will nurture higher long-term demand for sustainably grown
foods.[4]
2. The US Census Bureau states that 25% of the US population is of Hispanic descent, amounting to
over $600B purchasing power. Restaurants like Chipotle that offer Southwestern cuisine are well
positioned to extract value from this strong demographic.[5]
3. The target “Generation-Y” demographic has entered the workforce at a challenging economic time
and many will rely on dual income. Time-saving, healthy and ethically sourced convenience foods are
proving an attractive option.[6]
Industry Structure and Dynamics
The NRA forecasts 2014 restaurant industry sales will be $683.4B, up 3.6% from 2013. According to research
firm Technomic, the fast-casual segment leads growth within the US restaurant industry with an 11% increase
over 2013. With efficient service, attractive atmosphere and fresh, "made for you" appeal, fast-casual
restaurants cater to the needs of today's consumer. Exhibit 1 shows that Chipotle enjoys the highest growth
rate among peer leaders.
Consideration of Porter’s Five Forces, as applied to the fast-casual industry, reveals that the limited number
of suppliers for Chipotle’s ethically raised food gives suppliers more pricing power than those servicing other
restaurants. This places a higher cost burden on Chipotle. However, as the recent menu price hike shows,
customers are willing to pay higher prices for Chipotle’s offerings without complaint, suggesting buyers have
low bargaining power.[7] The threat of entry into the market is high, since no specialized expertise is required,
sunk costs are low, and startup capital is modest compared to other industries. However, Chipotle’s first-
mover advantage has helped it build close relationships with ethical suppliers and gain control of resources
that presents a barrier to imitators. Threat of substitution exists from other types of fast-casual restaurant that
offer specialty baking, like “Panera Bread”, or special-order burgers like “Smashburger”, but neither offers
the unique combination of healthy, ethically-made food that Chipotle’s customers crave.
Organizational Capabilities
Chipotle has a carefully crafted people culture that emphasizes hiring and training the right employees for
performance. The hands-on training and promotion from within, develops strong, empowered teams. Food is
prepared fresh and in small batches throughout the day and the focused menu provides preparation time
efficiencies.[8]
The “Four Pillars of Great Throughput”[9] is an internal process that helps manage order transaction time
and provides Chipotle with operational efficiencies that are difficult for competitors to match:
Aces in their places—top servers on the front lines
The linebacker—replenishes food and supports the Aces
The expediter—bundles orders, prepares chips and drinks
Mise en place—“everything in its place” (French), meaning all ingredients and utensils are ready to
hand.
5. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 4
Sustainability of Competitive Position
Chipotle uses a Differentiation Strategy that generates rents from higher consumer willingness to pay—as
evidenced by the recent price rise that did not impact record earnings. Other evidence suggests the
competitive position for Chipotle is sustainable:
Differentiated product positioning
Operational efficiencies
People culture based on performance
Growth that far outpaces the fast-casual sector and the restaurant industry in general
Growing sector with large target audience
6. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 5
Recommendations
Chipotle should focus on the following areas to improve its competitive position:
Continue strengthening relationships, and defining long-term contracts with existing suppliers of
ethically grown and raised product. This will raise barriers to entry, making it more challenging for
followers to enter Chipotle’s differentiated niche.
Source new ethical suppliers, so that as Chipotle continues to grow, it can meet demand and ensure
the entire menu is ethically sourced.
Raise the bar for what the market expects a sustainable restaurant to offer, for example:
- Ramp up the use of recycled and green materials in store construction, and focus on
recycling store waste to produce compost for locally grown herbs, for example.
- Consider ways of recycling water used in cleaning processes and repurposed for restroom
flushing.
Changes such as these will raise expectations of what a restaurant must do to be trusted as a provider
of sustainable ideals and values. It will deepen customer loyalty and align even closer with the values
of the target customers—making it much more unlikely that customers will seek alternatives since the
emotional bond will be strengthened.
Leverage the success of the Scarecrow campaign and work on more innovative content marketing
projects. As a media publishing empire, Red Bull used its content marketing prowess to help it sell
over 5.3 billion cans of energy drink in 2013[9]. Chipotle can follow their lead by opening a media
division to focus on targeted content to change perceptions about sustainable living.
Use the “Food With Integrity” philosophy to diversify into other food segments such as chicken and
bakery-café.
Home delivery is an area worth considering for Chipotle, especially with giants like Amazon getting
involved in the space, and having the potential to influence mainstream perceptions about
convenience of service.
7. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 6
Appendix
Exhibit 1: Growth Comparisons
Exhibit 2: SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
Brand loyalty
High margins
Menu personalization options
Social & content marketing mastery
Performance based culture
Career incentives
Close supplier relationships
Limited menu
Not authentic Mexican food
Higher costs associated with
sustainable ingredients
Opportunities Threats
Capitalize on “Fast-Casual” sector
growth
Home delivery
Menu diversification
New restaurant categories
Media powerhouse
Raise the bar to bolster a stronger
“green” message
Insufficient sustainable suppliers to
cover demand
Relatively low barriers to entry for new
entrants with strong stories
Bad PR e.g. 2010 audit revealed illegal
workers
Loss of trust if “Integrity” message is
violated
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
US Restaurants Fast-casual
Segment
Panda Express Panera Bread Chipotle
2012 - 2013 Growth Comparisons (%)
8. CHIPOTLE STRATEGIC ANALYSIS DAVID JAMES JULY 2014 7
Exhibit 3: Strategic Groups
Exhibit 4: Competitor Financials
Valuation
Financial
ratios
Operating
metrics
Margins Income statement
Company name Earnings
per share
Mkt Cap Total debt
to equity
Return on
avg equity
Operating
margin
Revenue Net income
CMG Chipotle Mexican ... 11.34 20.89B 0 23.52 16.57 3,214.59 327.44
FRGI Fiesta Restaurant... 0.53 1.19B 46.77 10.65 5.64 551.34 9.26
JACK Jack in the Box Inc. 2.1 2.29B 78.45 18.69 9.28 1,489.87 82.61
DENN Denny's Corporation 0.26 547.77M 2,052.82 1,237.57 10.03 462.59 24.57
DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. 2.69 4.09B 17.41 1,802.22 142.98
COSI Cosi Inc -0.66 22.79M 0 -136.61 -13.35 86.33 -11.44
PZZI Pizza Inn, Inc. -0.22 65.32M 41.6 -18.11 -3.93 41.86 -1.12
PZZA Papa John's Int'l... 1.57 1.82B 119.79 42.92 7.4 1,439.02 72.98
NROM Noble Roman's, Inc. 0.04 31.88M 32.91 6.64 37.85 7.53 0.87
FRSH Papa Murphy's Hol... -0.12 150.33M 501.11 11.06 80.5 -2.59
MRFD Morgan's Foods, Inc. -0.28 20.21M 3.56 86.87 -0.14