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Resilience Index
Measurement and Analysis
(RIMA)
Resilience Policies and Analysis team
Agricultural Development Economics Division
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FAO-RIMA@fao.org
Outline
Resilience measurement
at FAO
RIMA-II
Way forward
1
2
3
Resilience measurement at FAO
Photo: FAO
RIMAmodel
RIMA is an innovative quantitative approach
that estimates resilience to food insecurity and
generates the evidence for more effectively
assisting vulnerable populations.
RIMA allows explaining why and how some
households cope with shocks and stressor
better than others do and provides rigorous
framework for humanitarian and long-term
development initiatives to build food secure and
resilient livelihoods.
Definingresilience
RIMA perfectly suits several definitions of
resilience:
• The ability to prevent disasters and crises as well as to
anticipate, absorb, accommodate or recover from them
in a timely, efficient and sustainable manner (FAO, 2013)
• The capacity of a household to bounce back to a
previous level of well-being (for instance food security)
after a shock (Alinovi, Mane & Romano, 2009)
• The capacity that ensures adverse stressors and shocks
do not have long-lasting adverse development
consequences (Resilience Measurement Technical
Working Group of the Food Security Information
Network, 2014)
RIMA is focused on households
Whyhousehold-level?
• It is the unit within
which the most
important decisions to
manage uncertain
events are made
• It is the unit that
benefits the positive
effects of policies and
suffers for negative
effects of shocks
Conceptualframework
R0
Access to
Basic Services
Assets
Social Safety
Nets
Adaptive
capacity
Y0 Y1
R0
Access to
Basic Services
Assets
Social Safety
Nets
Adaptive
capacity
Shock
Coping
strategies
• Consumption
smoothing
• Asset selling
• New livelihood
adoption
ΔY
ΔRes
t0 t1
Other HH time invariant
characteristics
Other HH time varying
characteristics
Other HH time invariant
characteristics
Other HH time varying
characteristics
Whatquestionsanswers?
Who is most in need?
Where should investment focus in terms of
geographical location?
Which dimensions of resilience need to be
supported?
To what extent have interventions
increased or decreased target populations’
resilience?
What are the main determinants of food
security recover?
RIMA-II
Photo: FAO
What’snewinRIMA-II
RIMA-II improves the RIMA model originally developed
in 2008, providing a more comprehensive estimation of
resilience and clearer policy indications
RIMA-II estimates household resilience to food
insecurity with a comprehensive pack which includes
direct measure and indirect measurements as well
as long and short term measurement approaches.
Shocks are considered exogenous and included into a
regression model for estimating their impact on food
security and on resilience
Food security variables are considered exogenous
indicators of resilience capacity
Shocks
RIMA-II takes into account several types of shocks
that can affect households
Idiosyncratic shocks, such as livestock death, job
loss and illness of a household member. These
shocks are all directly reported by households in
surveys.
Covariate shocks, which in turn are divided into:
Climate shocks, such as droughts,
floods, rainfalls and other natural
hazards, registered through GIS;
Conflict-related shocks, such as war,
murders and social disorders
Direct measure
Direct measure provides descriptive information on household
resilience capacity.
RIMA-II employs latent variable models (Multiple Indicators Multiple
Causes – MIMIC) to estimate the Resilience Capacity Index and the
Resilience Structure Matrix.
It is a valuable policy analysis tool to inform funding and policy
decisions, as it allow to target and rank households from most to less
resilient.
RIMA-II
Resiliencepillars
Access to basic
services (ABS)
Assets (AST)Adaptive capacity (AC)
Social safety nets
(SSN)
Resiliencepillars
Resilience pillars Definition
Adaptive Capacity
Adaptive Capacity is the ability of a household to adapt to a
new situation and develop new strategies of livelihood
Social Safety Nets
The Social Safety Nets pillar measures the ability of households
to access timely and reliable assistance provided by
international agencies, charities, and NGOs, as well as help from
relatives and friends.
Assets
Assets comprise both productive and non-productive assets.
Examples of indicators include land, livestock and durables.
Other tangible assets such as house, vehicle, and household
amenities reflect living standards and wealth of a household.
Access to Basic
Services
Access to Basic Services shows the ability of a household to
meet basic needs, and access and effective use of basic services;
e.g., access to schools, health facilities; infrastructures and
markets.
Indirect measure
RIMA-II estimates the main determinants of food recovery (i.e.
establish causal relationships between observed variables and well
being indicators) and it moves the resilience analysis in the long
term perspective.
The indirect measure can be adopted as a predictor tool for
interventions that build and strengthen resilience to food insecurity.
It provides new depth and breadth to resilience analysis and permits
decision makers and other stakeholders to better understand the
dynamics of positive trends in resilience and thus develop strategies
that will yield positive results.
RIMA-II
RIMA-II
RIMAanalysisintheworld
RIMA – Finalized Analysis
Senegal, Niger, Burkina Faso,
Mali, Sudan, South Sudan,
Kenya, Somalia, West Bank
and Gaza Strip, Nigeria,
Uganda, Tanzania and Malawi
RIMA – Ongoing Analysis
Senegal, Mauritania, Chad,
Ethiopia, Lesotho, West Bank
and Gaza Strip
Mauritania
Chad
Ethiopia
Tanzania
Malawi
Lesotho
Senegal
Mali
Niger
Sudan
South
Sudan
Kenya
Nigeria
West Bank & Gaza Strip
ResilienceMarker
RIMA-II analysis will be supported by a brand-new tool,
the Resilience Marker.
The Resilience Marker can effectively operationalize
the concept of resilience by predicting and evaluating
the expected impact on resilience of humanitarian
and development interventions.
The process is conducted through a participatory
approach that will include the actors involved in the
designing, implementation and evaluation of projects.
Wayforward
Effectively contributing to resilience
programming in priority regions and
selected countries
Developing capacity to conduct resilience
analysis at scale
Consolidating RIMA as one of the main
corporate tools for resilience programming
FAO will strengthen RIMA’s role in resilience
measurement and policy making by:
THANK YOU!
Contact us:
FAO-RIMA@fao.org
Marco.Derrico@fao.org

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Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis (RIMA)

  • 1. Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis (RIMA) Resilience Policies and Analysis team Agricultural Development Economics Division Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FAO-RIMA@fao.org
  • 3. Resilience measurement at FAO Photo: FAO
  • 4. RIMAmodel RIMA is an innovative quantitative approach that estimates resilience to food insecurity and generates the evidence for more effectively assisting vulnerable populations. RIMA allows explaining why and how some households cope with shocks and stressor better than others do and provides rigorous framework for humanitarian and long-term development initiatives to build food secure and resilient livelihoods.
  • 5. Definingresilience RIMA perfectly suits several definitions of resilience: • The ability to prevent disasters and crises as well as to anticipate, absorb, accommodate or recover from them in a timely, efficient and sustainable manner (FAO, 2013) • The capacity of a household to bounce back to a previous level of well-being (for instance food security) after a shock (Alinovi, Mane & Romano, 2009) • The capacity that ensures adverse stressors and shocks do not have long-lasting adverse development consequences (Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group of the Food Security Information Network, 2014)
  • 6. RIMA is focused on households Whyhousehold-level? • It is the unit within which the most important decisions to manage uncertain events are made • It is the unit that benefits the positive effects of policies and suffers for negative effects of shocks
  • 7. Conceptualframework R0 Access to Basic Services Assets Social Safety Nets Adaptive capacity Y0 Y1 R0 Access to Basic Services Assets Social Safety Nets Adaptive capacity Shock Coping strategies • Consumption smoothing • Asset selling • New livelihood adoption ΔY ΔRes t0 t1 Other HH time invariant characteristics Other HH time varying characteristics Other HH time invariant characteristics Other HH time varying characteristics
  • 8. Whatquestionsanswers? Who is most in need? Where should investment focus in terms of geographical location? Which dimensions of resilience need to be supported? To what extent have interventions increased or decreased target populations’ resilience? What are the main determinants of food security recover?
  • 10. What’snewinRIMA-II RIMA-II improves the RIMA model originally developed in 2008, providing a more comprehensive estimation of resilience and clearer policy indications RIMA-II estimates household resilience to food insecurity with a comprehensive pack which includes direct measure and indirect measurements as well as long and short term measurement approaches. Shocks are considered exogenous and included into a regression model for estimating their impact on food security and on resilience Food security variables are considered exogenous indicators of resilience capacity
  • 11. Shocks RIMA-II takes into account several types of shocks that can affect households Idiosyncratic shocks, such as livestock death, job loss and illness of a household member. These shocks are all directly reported by households in surveys. Covariate shocks, which in turn are divided into: Climate shocks, such as droughts, floods, rainfalls and other natural hazards, registered through GIS; Conflict-related shocks, such as war, murders and social disorders
  • 12. Direct measure Direct measure provides descriptive information on household resilience capacity. RIMA-II employs latent variable models (Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes – MIMIC) to estimate the Resilience Capacity Index and the Resilience Structure Matrix. It is a valuable policy analysis tool to inform funding and policy decisions, as it allow to target and rank households from most to less resilient. RIMA-II
  • 13. Resiliencepillars Access to basic services (ABS) Assets (AST)Adaptive capacity (AC) Social safety nets (SSN)
  • 14. Resiliencepillars Resilience pillars Definition Adaptive Capacity Adaptive Capacity is the ability of a household to adapt to a new situation and develop new strategies of livelihood Social Safety Nets The Social Safety Nets pillar measures the ability of households to access timely and reliable assistance provided by international agencies, charities, and NGOs, as well as help from relatives and friends. Assets Assets comprise both productive and non-productive assets. Examples of indicators include land, livestock and durables. Other tangible assets such as house, vehicle, and household amenities reflect living standards and wealth of a household. Access to Basic Services Access to Basic Services shows the ability of a household to meet basic needs, and access and effective use of basic services; e.g., access to schools, health facilities; infrastructures and markets.
  • 15. Indirect measure RIMA-II estimates the main determinants of food recovery (i.e. establish causal relationships between observed variables and well being indicators) and it moves the resilience analysis in the long term perspective. The indirect measure can be adopted as a predictor tool for interventions that build and strengthen resilience to food insecurity. It provides new depth and breadth to resilience analysis and permits decision makers and other stakeholders to better understand the dynamics of positive trends in resilience and thus develop strategies that will yield positive results. RIMA-II
  • 17. RIMAanalysisintheworld RIMA – Finalized Analysis Senegal, Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali, Sudan, South Sudan, Kenya, Somalia, West Bank and Gaza Strip, Nigeria, Uganda, Tanzania and Malawi RIMA – Ongoing Analysis Senegal, Mauritania, Chad, Ethiopia, Lesotho, West Bank and Gaza Strip Mauritania Chad Ethiopia Tanzania Malawi Lesotho Senegal Mali Niger Sudan South Sudan Kenya Nigeria West Bank & Gaza Strip
  • 18. ResilienceMarker RIMA-II analysis will be supported by a brand-new tool, the Resilience Marker. The Resilience Marker can effectively operationalize the concept of resilience by predicting and evaluating the expected impact on resilience of humanitarian and development interventions. The process is conducted through a participatory approach that will include the actors involved in the designing, implementation and evaluation of projects.
  • 19. Wayforward Effectively contributing to resilience programming in priority regions and selected countries Developing capacity to conduct resilience analysis at scale Consolidating RIMA as one of the main corporate tools for resilience programming FAO will strengthen RIMA’s role in resilience measurement and policy making by: