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VIETNAM COAL IMPORT



  SHUN SHING INTERNATIONAL GROUP
  Prepared by: Nguyen Minh Duc
  Mobile: +84 983 23 08 79
CONTENTS
    Vietnam coal import opportunities




✓    1   Market overview


     2   Production capacity


     3   Domestic demand


     4   Export capacity


     5   Import opportunity


     6   Reference


     7   Conclusion
Vietnam coal
 Overview



• The first 4 shipments of Coal from Indonesia/Malaysia arrived to
  Vietnam in 2011.
• Mining exceed the scheme of Government, and exporting to
  much.
• The price for domestic is much lower than for export. So all
  companies tend to export than supply local market.
• Main import/Export: VINACOMIN, PVCOAL, EVN




                                                              Your Logo
Vietnam coal
Production cap.


Production capacity                          Figure


      PRODUCTION STATUS                               TOTAL CAPACITY
 1                                            2
      Place of mining: Quang Ninh Province
      - Uong Bi                                        YEAR      TOTAL CAP. MIL MTS
      - Dong Trieu                                     2012      45 – 47
      - Pha Lai
      - Hon Gai                                        2015      55 – 58
      - Cam Pha                                        2020      60 – 65

      Type of products:                                2025      66 – 70
                                                       2030      > 75
      Companies:
      - Vinacomin
Vietnam coal
Domestic demand



Fired coal power plant
                                            - Located in the South and Middle of Vietnam
       Fired coal power plan (46 plants).
  1    Invest by governence companies:
       EVN, Vinacomin, Petro Vietnam...     - Type of importing coal: Bituminous Coal,
                                            Heat value: 5.000-6.000 Kcal/kg
 Metallurgy
                                            - Port of importing: Ho Chi Minh City, Cai Mep
                                            – Vung Tau.
          Many plants.
  2
                                            -Importers: Vinacomin, Coalimex, PV Coal,
                                            ENV. Then they will distribute
 Others
                                            - Direct users: Steel plants, Plants using boiler
          Cement – Fertilizer - Paper.
  3
Domestic demand



     YEAR         TOTAL DEMAND         FIRED COAL POWER
     2012                32.9 – 33.7           14.4 – 15.2
     2015                56.2 – 60.7             33.6 – 38
     2020              112.4 – 120.3           82.2 – 98.8
     2025              145.5 – 177.5         112.7 – 144.7
     2030              220.3 – 270.1         181.3 – 231.1
Export volume



 •   Higher in price than domestic
 •   Highest quality


         YEAR                        CAP. MIL MTs
         2011                                       16.8
         2012                                       13.5
         2015                                         5
         2020                                         3
Vietnam coal
 Import opportunities

Compete in importing             Limited resources                   Target sources

1   Not easy to Import from      2    Other       difficulties for   3    Vietnamese govement is
    other countries, even that        importing with big volume           focusing on some coal
    from      countries  which        such as:                            sources e.g.
    plentiful of coal such as         - Financial mater                   -Australia,
    Australia, Indonesia as           - Higher price than domestic        - Indonesia
    many countries with high          - Consumption habit                 - Malaysia
    demand are importing from         - Shortage of big ports             - Russia
    these.                            - Shortage of warehouse             - China
Vietnam coal
Import opportunities

 Increasing importing


        There are about 46 fired coal power plants with total consumption annually about 77mil MTs. In which,
   1    about 25 plants use domestic coal with total demand is 29mil MTs, 21 plants have to import with total
        demand is 48mil MTs.


 Coal import will increase very fast


        Domestic source is too small for supplying for demand as demand for coal will increase very fast for
   2    next years



 Price of coal for electronic will be higher


        Price of coal for electronic industry is lower about 57%-63% than coal production cost. The government
   3    will increase to balance with other industries and export price.
Import volume



 •   Forecasted by Vinacomin.
         YEAR                   CAP. MIL MTs
         2012                                   8.2
         2015                                  12.5
Import volume


 •   Calculated by Vietnam coal plan 2020.

        YEAR                           CAP. MIL MTs
        2012                                             0.2 – 1.4
        2015                                             6.2 – 7.7
        2020                                           55.4 – 58.3
        2025                                          82.5 – 110.5
        2030                                              > 148.3
Reference


Vietnam Coal Industry plan 2020 (Vietnam Prime minister decision, 09/01/2012)

Coal industry development strategy is to import (VnEconomy, 24/2/2012)

Should be ten year later Vietnam have to import (Vietnam economic forum, 16/06/2011)

Coal import, a strategic duty but much challenges (Vinacomin news, 30/12/2011)

More articles....
Conclusion


COAL IMPORT TO VIETNAM, A GOOD OPPORTINUTY.

VIETNAM WILL IMPORT COAL MASSIVELY IN NEXT YEARS.
THANK YOU!

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Vietnam coal import

  • 1. VIETNAM COAL IMPORT SHUN SHING INTERNATIONAL GROUP Prepared by: Nguyen Minh Duc Mobile: +84 983 23 08 79
  • 2. CONTENTS Vietnam coal import opportunities ✓ 1 Market overview 2 Production capacity 3 Domestic demand 4 Export capacity 5 Import opportunity 6 Reference 7 Conclusion
  • 3. Vietnam coal Overview • The first 4 shipments of Coal from Indonesia/Malaysia arrived to Vietnam in 2011. • Mining exceed the scheme of Government, and exporting to much. • The price for domestic is much lower than for export. So all companies tend to export than supply local market. • Main import/Export: VINACOMIN, PVCOAL, EVN Your Logo
  • 4. Vietnam coal Production cap. Production capacity Figure PRODUCTION STATUS TOTAL CAPACITY 1 2 Place of mining: Quang Ninh Province - Uong Bi YEAR TOTAL CAP. MIL MTS - Dong Trieu 2012 45 – 47 - Pha Lai - Hon Gai 2015 55 – 58 - Cam Pha 2020 60 – 65 Type of products: 2025 66 – 70 2030 > 75 Companies: - Vinacomin
  • 5. Vietnam coal Domestic demand Fired coal power plant - Located in the South and Middle of Vietnam Fired coal power plan (46 plants). 1 Invest by governence companies: EVN, Vinacomin, Petro Vietnam... - Type of importing coal: Bituminous Coal, Heat value: 5.000-6.000 Kcal/kg Metallurgy - Port of importing: Ho Chi Minh City, Cai Mep – Vung Tau. Many plants. 2 -Importers: Vinacomin, Coalimex, PV Coal, ENV. Then they will distribute Others - Direct users: Steel plants, Plants using boiler Cement – Fertilizer - Paper. 3
  • 6. Domestic demand YEAR TOTAL DEMAND FIRED COAL POWER 2012 32.9 – 33.7 14.4 – 15.2 2015 56.2 – 60.7 33.6 – 38 2020 112.4 – 120.3 82.2 – 98.8 2025 145.5 – 177.5 112.7 – 144.7 2030 220.3 – 270.1 181.3 – 231.1
  • 7. Export volume • Higher in price than domestic • Highest quality YEAR CAP. MIL MTs 2011 16.8 2012 13.5 2015 5 2020 3
  • 8. Vietnam coal Import opportunities Compete in importing Limited resources Target sources 1 Not easy to Import from 2 Other difficulties for 3 Vietnamese govement is other countries, even that importing with big volume focusing on some coal from countries which such as: sources e.g. plentiful of coal such as - Financial mater -Australia, Australia, Indonesia as - Higher price than domestic - Indonesia many countries with high - Consumption habit - Malaysia demand are importing from - Shortage of big ports - Russia these. - Shortage of warehouse - China
  • 9. Vietnam coal Import opportunities Increasing importing There are about 46 fired coal power plants with total consumption annually about 77mil MTs. In which, 1 about 25 plants use domestic coal with total demand is 29mil MTs, 21 plants have to import with total demand is 48mil MTs. Coal import will increase very fast Domestic source is too small for supplying for demand as demand for coal will increase very fast for 2 next years Price of coal for electronic will be higher Price of coal for electronic industry is lower about 57%-63% than coal production cost. The government 3 will increase to balance with other industries and export price.
  • 10. Import volume • Forecasted by Vinacomin. YEAR CAP. MIL MTs 2012 8.2 2015 12.5
  • 11. Import volume • Calculated by Vietnam coal plan 2020. YEAR CAP. MIL MTs 2012 0.2 – 1.4 2015 6.2 – 7.7 2020 55.4 – 58.3 2025 82.5 – 110.5 2030 > 148.3
  • 12. Reference Vietnam Coal Industry plan 2020 (Vietnam Prime minister decision, 09/01/2012) Coal industry development strategy is to import (VnEconomy, 24/2/2012) Should be ten year later Vietnam have to import (Vietnam economic forum, 16/06/2011) Coal import, a strategic duty but much challenges (Vinacomin news, 30/12/2011) More articles....
  • 13. Conclusion COAL IMPORT TO VIETNAM, A GOOD OPPORTINUTY. VIETNAM WILL IMPORT COAL MASSIVELY IN NEXT YEARS.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. VINACOMIN:Vietnam national coal – mineral industries holding corp. LimitedPVCOAL: Petro Vietnam CoalEVN: Vietnam Electronic
  2. Source:Vietnam Coal Plan 2020, 09/01/2012
  3. Stated by Vinacomin