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A
                      Research Report
“Investor Perception Towards commodity market for investing’’


  Report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement of

            MASTERS OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

         (Affiliated to Uttar Pradesh Technical University)

                        Academic Session

                           (2011 – 2013)




Under Supervision of:                              Submitted By:

Prof. Anjali Mishra               Anuj kumar garg – 1129070009

                                  Rohit singh sengar-, 1129070011

                                                 MBA 1st year



               ABES IT Group of Institutions




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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
We wish to acknowledge our profound gratitude to all those who assisted us in
the completion of this report.

With great pleasure, we extend our deep sense of gratitude towards Anjali
Mishra (asst. professor ABES IT college ,Ghaziabad), under whose
valuable guidance, constant interest and encouragement, who has devoted her
ever-precious time from her busy schedule and helped us in completing the
Project.
This co-operation is not only useful for this project but will be a constant
source of inspiration for us in future life.
We are also thankful to those who helped us intellectually in preparation of
this project directly or indirectly.


ANUJ KUMAR GRAG
ROHIT SINGH SENGAR




2|Page
TABLE OF CONTENTS


   Acknowledgment
   Introduction                        4-12
   Objective of Project                13
    Limitation                         14
    Literature review                  15
    Research methodology               16
    Data Analysis and interpretation   17-33
    Conclusion                         34-35
    Suggestions and Recommendations    36
    Annexure
    Bibliography




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4|Page
INTRODUCTION TO COMMODITY FUTURES

                                  THE HISTORY
The modern commodity markets have their roots in the trading of
agricultural products. While wheat and corn, cattle and pigs, were
widely traded using standard instruments in the 19th century in the
United States, other basic foodstuffs such as soybeans were only
added quite recently in most markets. For a commodity market to be
established, there must be very broad consensus on the variations in
the product that make it acceptable for one purpose or another.
The economic impact of the development of commodity markets is
hard to overestimate. Through the 19th century "the exchanges
became effective spokesmen for, and innovators of, improvements in
transportation, warehousing, and financing, which paved the way to
expanded interstate and international trade."



        Exchange Name                              Commodities Traded

Chicago Board of Trade       Corn, ethanol, gold, oats, rice, silver, soybeans, wheat
(CBOT)

Chicago Mercantile           Butter, milk, feeder cattle, frozen pork bellies, lean hogs, live
Exchange (CME)               cattle, lumber

Intercontinental Exchange*   Crude oil, electricity, natural gas
(ICE)

Kansas City Board of Trade   Wheat, natural gas
(KCBT)

Minneapolis Grain            Corn, soybeans, wheat
Exchange (MGE)

New York Board of Trade      Cocoa, coffee, cotton, ethanol, frozen concentrated orange
(NYBOT)                      juice, sugar

New York Mercantile          Aluminum, copper, crude oil, electricity, gasoline, gold, heating
Exchange (NYMEX)             oil, natural gas, palladium, platinum, propane, silver




5|Page
Regulatory framework in India

       In India, the statutory, basis for regulating commodity futures‟ trading
is found in the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952, which (apart from
being an enabling enactment, laying down certain fundamental ground rules)
created the permanent regulatory body known as the Forwards Markets
Commission. This commission holds overall charge of the regulation of all
forward contracts and carries out its functions through recognized association.

GUIDELINES BY THE RBI PERTAINING TO COMMODITY
FUTURE TRADING


The guidelines are: -
     These guidelines cover the Indian entities that are exposed to
commodity price risk.


    Name and address of the organization

I. A brief description of the hedging strategy proposed:

        Description of business activity and nature of risk.
        Instruments proposed to be used for hedging.
        Exchanges and brokers through whom the risk is proposed to be
         hedged and credit lines proposed to be available. The name and
         address of the regulatory authority in the country concerned may
         also be given.
        Size/average tenure of exposure/total turnover in a year expected.



   II. Copy of the risk management policy approved by the Board of
Directors covering:

        Risk identification
        Risk measurements
        Guidelines and procedures to be followed with respect to
         revaluation/monitoring of positions.
        Names and designations of the officials authorized to undertake
         transactions and limits.

   III. Any other relevant information

      The authorized dealers will forward the application to Reserve Bank
       along with copy of the Memorandum on the risk management policy


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placed before the Board of Directors with specific reference to hedging
        of commodity price exposure. .

       i. All standard exchanges traded futures will be permitted.

        ii. Tenure of exposure shall be limited to 6 months. Tenure beyond 6
        months would require Reserve Bank‟s specific approval.

        iii. Corporate who wish to hedge commodity price exposure shall have
        to ensure that there are no restrictions on import/export of the
        commodity hedged under the Exim policy in force.

       After grant of approval by Reserve Bank, the corporate concerned
        should negotiate with off-shore exchange broker subject, inter alia, to
        the following:-

    Brokers must be clearing members of the exchanges, with good
     financial track record.
    Trading will only be in standard exchange- traded futures
     contract/options.


       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (SEBI)


       SEBI was setup in April 12, 1988. To start with, SEBI was set up as a
non-statutory body.
   .
SEBI guidelines for COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING

        There are many regulatory authorities, who are monitoring commodity
futures trading, one of them is SEBI. The following Report is one of the
regulatory frameworks for the commodity futures trading.

      Report of the committee appointed by the SEBI on
participation by Securities Brokers inCommodity Futures
Markets under the chairmanship of Shri K.R. Ramamurthy
(February 5, 2003)

The following were the recommendations:-

   I)      Participation of Securities Brokers in Commodity
           Futures Market

   o The committee was of the unanimous view that participation of
     intermediaries like securities brokers in the commodity futures market
     is welcome as it could inter-alia increase the number of quality players,


7|Page
infuse healthy competition, boost trading volumes in commodities and
       in turn provide impetus to the overall growth
       of the commodity market.

   o Since the commodity market falls under the regulatory purview of a
     separate regulatory authority viz., Forward Market Commission, to
     ensure effective regulatory oversight by the Forward Market
     Commission, and to avoid any possible regulatory overlap, the pre-
     condition for such entry by intending participating securities brokers in
     the commodity futures market would be through a separate legal entity,
     either subsidiary or otherwise. Such entity should conform from time
     to time to the regulatory prescription of Forward Market Commission,
     with reference to capital adequacy, net worth, membership fee,
     margins, etc.


   o The committee took note of the fact that the existing provisions of the
     Securities Contracts (Regulation) Rules, 1957 forbid a person to be
     elected as a member of a recognized stock exchange if he is engaged as
     principal or employee in any business other than that of securities,
     except as a broker or agent not involving any personal financial
     liability. The Committee recommended that the above provisions in the
     Securities Contract (Regulations) Rules be removed/amended suitably
     to facilitate securities brokers participation/engagement in commodity
     futures.


   o An important felt need was the necessity to improve market awareness
     of trading and contracts in commodities. The committee therefore
     recommended the forward market commission take appropriate
     initiatives in training the market participants.

   II) Risk containment measures

               In the background of the Forward Market Commission‟s report
       on risk containment measures currently obtaining in commodity
       markets and the committee‟s recommendation to permit security
       brokers‟ participation in commodities markets only through a separate
       legal entity, the committee considers that ensuring strict compliance of
       the regulatory prescriptions like net worth, capital adequacy, margins,
       exposure norms, etc., by the respective market regulators, and due
       oversight would be an adequate safeguard to ensure that the risks are
       not transmitted from one market to the other.

III) Utilization of existing infrastructure of stock exchanges

             On the issue of convergence/integration of the securities market
       and commodities market, that is, of allowing stock exchanges to trade
       in commodity derivatives and vice versa, the committee was of the
       view that in the current statutory and regulatory framework and

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existence of two separate and established regulators, the issue of
       integration of the two markets would require detailed examination,
       particularly for the purpose of defining clearly the scope of regulatory
       purview and responsibility.
What is a commodity?

        Commodity includes all kinds of goods. FCRA defines “goods” as
“every kind of moveable property other than actionable claims, money and
securities”.

        Futures trading are organized in such goods or commodities as are
permitted by the central government. The national commodity exchanges have
been recognized by the central government for organizing trading in all
permissible commodities which include precious (gold & silver) and non-
ferrous metals; cereals and pulses; oil seeds, raw jute and jute goods; sugar;
potatoes and onions; coffee and tea; rubber and spices, etc.

Commodity Futures Trading
         The commodity futures trading, consists of a futures contract, which is
a legally binding agreement providing for the delivery of the underlying asset
or financial entities at specific date in the future.
Like all future contracts, commodity futures are agreements to buy or sell
something at a later date and at a price that has been fixed earlier by the buyer
and seller.
So, for example, a cotton farmer may agree to sell his output to a textiles
company many months before the crop is ready for actual harvesting.
The complicating factor is quality. Commodity futures contracts have to
specify the quality of goods being traded. The commodity exchanges
guarantee that the buyers and sellers will stick to the terms of the agreement.
When one buys or sells a futures contract, he is actually entering into a
contractual obligation which can be met in one of two ways.
First, is by making or taking delivery of the commodity. This is the exception,
not the rule however, as less than 2% of all the futures contracts are met by
actual delivery. The other way to meet one‟s obligation, the method which
everyone most likely will use, is by “offset”.
Very simply, offset is making the opposite or offsetting sale or purchase of the
same number of contracts sold, sometimes prior to the expiration of the date of
the contract. This can be easily done because futures contracts are
standardized.

What makes commodity trading attractive?

          A good low-risk portfolio diversifier
          Less volatile, compared with, say, equities
          Investors can leverage their investments and multiply potential
       earnings
          Better risk- adjusted returns
          A good hedge against any downturn in equities or bonds as there is
       little correlation with equity and bond markets

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High correlation with changes in inflation
         No securities transaction tax levied


Functions of futures markets

      The futures market serves the needs of individuals and groups
who may be active traders or passive traders, risk averse or profit
makers. The above broadly classifies the functions of the futures
markets: -

1) Price Discovery
2) Speculation
3) Hedging


1) Price discovery

        “Futures prices might be treated as a consensus forecast by the
        market regarding trading future price for certain commodities”.
        This classifies that futures market help market watchers to
        “discover” prices for the future.


               E.g.- A furniture manufacturer, making plywood furniture
        for printing his catalogue for next year‟s needs to estimate price
        in advance. This task is different as the cost of plywood varies
        greatly, depending largely on the health of the construction
        industry. But the problem can be solved by using prices from the
        plywood futures market.


2) Speculation

      Speculation is a spill over of futures trading that can provide
      comparatively less risk adverse investors with the ability to
      enhance their percentage returns.Speculators are categorized by
      the length of time they plan to hold a position.
3) Hedging
             While engaging in a futures contract in order to reduce
      risk in the spot position, hedging is undertaken. Therefore the
        future trader is said to establish a hedge.




10 | P a g e
Participants

     Hedgers

               In a commodity market, hedging is done by a miller,
        processor, stockiest of goods, or the cultivator of the commodity.
        Sometimes exporters, who have agreed to sell at a particular
        price, need to be a hedger in a futures and options market. All
        these persons are exposed to unfavorable price movements and
        they would like to hedge their cash positions.

     Speculators

               Speculator does not have any position on which they enter
        in futures options market. They only have a particular view about
        the future price of a particular commodity. They consider various
        fundamental factors like demand and supply, market positions,
        open interests, economic fundamentals internal events, rainfall,
        crop predictions, government policies etc. and also considering
        the technical analysis, they are either bullish about the future
        process or have a bearish outlook.

               In the first scenario, they buy futures and wait for rise in
        price and sell or unwind their position the moment they earn
        expected profit. If their view changes after taking a long position
        after taking into consideration the latest developments, they
        unwind the transaction by selling futures and limiting the losses.
        Speculators are very essential in all markets. They provide
        market to the much desired volume and liquidity; these in turn
        reduce the cost of transactions. They provide hedgers an
        opportunity to manage their risk by assuming their risk.

     Arbitrageur

               He is basically risk averse. He enters in to those contracts
        where he can earn risk less profits. When markets are imperfect,
        buying in one market and simultaneous selling in another market
        gives risk less profit. It may be possible between two physical
        markets, same for 2 different periods or 2 different contracts.




11 | P a g e
Intermediate Participants

     Brokers

               A broker is a member of any one of the futures exchange,
        one gets commodity or financial futuresexchange, one gets the
        right to transact with other members of the same exchange. All
        persons hedgingtheir transaction exposures or speculation on
        price movement cannot be members of a futures exchange.Non-
        member has to deal in futures exchange, through a member only.
        This provides the member the role ofa “broker”.

Margin

       Margin is money deposited in the brokerage account, which
serves to guarantee the performance of theclients‟ side of the contract.
This is generally in the neighborhood of 2-10%

       When the client enters a position, he would have deposited, the
margin in his account, but the brokeragehouse is required to post the
margin with a central exchange arm called the „clearing house‟. The
clearinghouse is a non-profit entity, which in effect is in charge of
debiting this money to the accounts of winnersdaily.




12 | P a g e
Objective of the Study

1. To study the perception of investors of commodity market.
2. To understand commodity market.




13 | P a g e
Limitations and Constrains

     Lack of resources
     Cost Constraint.
     Respondents are limited to hapur city.




14 | P a g e
LITERATURE REVIEW
COMMODITY MARKETS: AN ISLAMIC ANALYSIS
Research on derivatives trading is still in its early stages. The general
response of Muslim jurists is negative. The first institution to address the
issue was the Makkah based Fiqh Academy. It acknowledged some of the
benefits of derivativesbut stressed that these benefits are accompanied by
transactions forbidden in the shari[ah such as gambling, exploitation,
monopoly, price distortion and the selling of what one does not own.
Moreover, transactions are settled merely on the basis of price differentials
as what happens between gamblers. However, the spot transactions are
valid from theshari[ah point of view but when the seller does not own the
object he sells, the sale in this case must fulfil the conditions of salam and
the buyer is not permitted to sell again prior to taking possession of the
underlying assets.


                               KARVR COMTRADE LTD.


KarvyComtrade Ltd. has established its dedicated research desk at Hyderabad
keeping in view of varied requirements of clients in terms of taking informed
decision. Initially started with a team of just 2 analysts in early 2005, now the
team has 8 analysts tracking different commodity markets.

The Karvy Commodities Research team comprises of Technical Analysts,
Fundamental Analysts and Derivatives Analyst who analyze news, events and
data in order to arrive at a price outlook both on short term and long term basis
for all the commodities. The coverage on different segments of commodities
has been increasing over the time and currently generates reports on most of
the active commodities which belong to different complexes like precious
metals, Base metals, Energy, Oil & Oilseed complex, Pulses, Spices, Softs and
Cereals etc.




15 | P a g e
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Research Type-Descriptive

Sample Design
In this study convenient random sampling method is used to select the
respondents. The sample size is 30 respondents.

Source of Data
The various sources of data are
   1. Primary Sources, which includes questionnaire.
   2. Secondary data which includes books , internet etc.

Tools for Data Collection
The questionnaire is the tool used for data collection.

Analyses and Interpretation
The various tools for analysis used are graphs, charts, percentage
growth.




16 | P a g e
17 | P a g e
QUESTIONERE ANALYSES

In this section the data obtained through the questionnaire from the
investors in commodity futures isanalyzed

SECTION A:

Sex profile
                      Sex       No of Respondents Percentage
                      Male            23               80%
                      Female          6                20%




                      Column Chart Showing Sex Profile Of
                              The Respondents
               100%
               80%
  Percentage




               60%
               40%
               20%
                0%
                               Male               Female
                                                   Sex
                                           Male   Female




Findings

From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 80% of the
respondents were male, and 20% werefemale.

Interpretation
It can be concluded that mainly males invest in commodity futures.




18 | P a g e
Age Profile

               Age Group             No.              of Percentage
                                     Respondents
               20-30 years                 13             43%
               30-40 years                  9             30%
               40-50 years                  5             17%
               50 years and above           3             10%



          Pie Chart Showing Age Profile Of The
                      Respondents

                       10%
                                                   20-30 Years
                 17%           43%                 30-40 Years
                                                   40-50 Years
                                                   50 Year and above
                    30%




Findings

      From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 43% of the
respondents were in the age group of 20-30 years, 30% were in the age
group of 30-40 years, and 17% were in the age group of 40-50 years and
10% inthe age group of 50 years and above.

Interpretation
     It can be concluded that mainly the young people have invested
commodity futures.




19 | P a g e
Education profile:

                 Educational              No. of          Percentage
                 Qualification         Respondents

               Higher Secondary              3                   10%
                  Graduate                  15                   50%
                Post Graduate               12                   40%



         Pie Chart Showing Educational Profile
                  Of The Respondents

                          10%

                 40%                                  Higher Secondary
                                                      Graduate
                                                      Post Graduate
                                 50%




Findings

      From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 50% of the
respondents were graduates, 40% were post graduates and only 10
percent were studied up to higher secondary.

Interpretation
       It can be concluded that mainly the young graduates have
invested commodity futures. But in real market this doesn‟t stand true.




20 | P a g e
Occupation Profile
       Occupation                No. of Respondents       Percentage

Government Employee                      1                      3%
      Private Sector                     9                     30%
        Employee
      Self-Employee                      5                     17%
       Businessmen                       10                    33%
  Commodity Futures                      5                     17%
      Advisor

          Others                         0                      0%




         Pie Chart Showing Occupational Profile Of The
                         Respondents
                         0% 3%
                                                      Government Employee
                   17%                                Private Sector
                                   30%                Self-Employee
                                                      Businessmen
                                                      Commodity Futures
                33%
                                                      Others
                             17%




Findings

      From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 3% of the
respondents were government employees, 30% were private sector
employee, 17% were Self-Employed and 33% were businessmen, 17%
wereCommodity futures advisors.

Interpretation
      It can be concluded that mainly businessmen and private
sector employees invest in commodities.


21 | P a g e
Income Profile

                Income Group           No. of           Percentage
                                    Respondents
               Below Rs. 4 Lakh         11                   37%
                Rs. 4 – 10 Lakh         18                   60%
                Rs. 10 – 25 Lakh         1                    3%
               Above Rs. 25 Lakh         0                    0%



                         No. of Respondents
                          0%
                        3%


                                   37%               Below Rs. 4 Lakh
                                                     Rs. 4 – 10 Lakh
                                                     Rs. 10 – 25 Lakh
                                                     Above Rs. 25 Lakh
                60%




Findings

       From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 37% of the
respondents were in the income group of below Rs. 4 lakh, 60% were in
the income group of Rs. 4-10 lakh, and 3% were in the income group of
Rs. 10-25 lakh.

Interpretation

     It can be concluded that most of the people who have invested
commodity futures are in the income groupof Rs.4-10 lakh.




22 | P a g e
SECTION B

1) Have you invested in commodity futures?

                       Particulars       No. Of          Percentage
                                       Respondents
                          Yes              20                 67%

                           No                10               33%



                      Column Chart Showing The Percentage of
                  Respondents who have Invested In Comodity Future
                80%
                70%
                60%
   Percentage




                50%
                40%
                30%
                20%
                10%
                0%
                                Yes                      No
                                       Particular


                                       Yes   No



Findings
       From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 67% of the
respondents have invested in commodity futures, and 33% have not
invested in commodity futures

Interpretation
     It can be concluded that most of the respondents have invested in
commodity futures.




23 | P a g e
2) What is your Experience in your previous Investment ?

                         Particulars             No. Of                Percentage
                                               Respondents
                           Good                    15                       50%

                            Bad                              9              30%

                         Reasonable                          6              20%



                      Column Chart Showing The Experience of
                      Respondents in Their Previous Investment
                60%

                50%

                40%
   Percentage




                30%

                20%

                10%

                0%
                            Good                       Bad          Reasonable

                                          Particular

                                   Good     Bad        Reasonable



Findings
It can be seen that 50% of the respondents had a good experience in
their previous investment, 30% had a reasonable experience in their
previous investment and 20% had a bad experience in their previous
investment.

Interpretation
       It can be concluded that most of the respondents had a good
experience in their previous investment.




24 | P a g e
3) What is your objective for trading in commodity futures?

                 Particulars                   No. Of                      Percentage
                                             Respondents
        Less Risky                               10                                 33%
        Investment
    Diversification of                               12                             40%
         Portfolio
   Very Good Returns                                  6                             20%
                      Others                          2                             7%



                      Column chart showing the objective of the
                      investor to invest in commodity futures
                45%
                40%
                35%
                30%
   Percentage




                25%
                20%
                15%
                10%
                5%
                0%
                         Less Risky    Diversification of      Very Good            Others
                        Investment         Portfolio            Returns


                                            Particular
                         Less Risky Investment       Diversification of Portfolio
                         Very Good Returns            Others


Findings
       It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 33%
of them have invested with the objective a less risky investment, 40% of
them invested with the objective of diversifying hid portfolio and 20%
of them due to the expectation of very good returns and 7% have
invested due to other reasons.

Interpretation
       It can be concluded that most of the investors in commodity
futures, have invested with the objective ofdiversifying their portfolio
and to reduce risk .

25 | P a g e
4) What type of trade do you prefer the most?

                      Particulars                    No. Of                Percentage
                                                   Respondents
                Short Term Positions                   15                       50%

                      Medium term                             9                 30%

                Long term positions                           6                 20%



                       Column chart showing the type of positions the
                       investors preference
                60%

                50%

                40%
   Percentage




                30%

                20%

                10%

                 0%
                          Short Term Positions      Medium term loan        Long term positions

                                                 Particular

                       Short Term Positions      Medium term loan      Long term positions

Findings

       It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 50%
of them prefer short-term positions, 30%of them preferred medium term
positions and 20% preferred long-term positions.

Interpretation

     It can be concluded that most of the investors trading in
commodity futures prefer short-term positions.



26 | P a g e
5) Which commodities have you traded in, the most?

               Commodity             No. Of          Percentage
                                   Respondents
                 Wheat                  9                30%

                 Cotton                    5             17%

                 Gold                      6             20%
                Soybean                    4             13%
                 Silver                    3             10%
                Copper                     3             10%


                          No. Of Respondents

                             10%                                Wheat
                      10%            30%                        Cotton
                                                                Gold
                     13%                                        Soybean
                                                                Silver
                                    17%
                            20%                                 Copper




Findings
       It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 30%
of them have traded mostly in wheat, 17% of them traded in cotton, 20%
in Gold, 13% in soybean and 10% each in copper and silver, .

Interpretation
      It can be concluded that the mostly traded commodity is wheat,
followed by gold and cotton. Copper is the least traded commodity.




27 | P a g e
6) What percentage of savings have you invested in commodity
futures?

          Particulars               No. Of Respondents   Percentage

               0-10%                         3             10%

               10-20%                        9             30%

               20-30%                        12            40%
               30-50%                        3             10%
       50% and above                         3             10%

               Pie chart showing the percentage of savings the
                  investors has made in commodity futures


                              10%      10%

                    10%                                       0-10%
                                                              10-20%
                                                  30%         20-30%
                                                              30-50%
                                                              50% and above
                        40%




Findings

       It can be seen that, 40% of the investors have invested between
20-30% of their savings in commodity futures, 30% of them have
invested between 10-20% of their savings and total 20% of them have
invested above 30% of their saving in commodity futures.

Interpretation
      It can be concluded that most of the investors have invested
between 20-30% of their savings in commodity futures.




28 | P a g e
7) What do you think of the return derived from commodity
futures?

               Particulars          No. Of               Percentage
                                  Respondents
                  Good                18                       60%

               Reasonable                8                     27%

                   Bad                   4                     13%


           Column chart showing the extent of
          returns derived by the investors from
                   commodity futures
  70%

  60%

  50%

  40%

  30%

  20%

  10%

   0%
               Good              Reasonable              Bad

                         Good   Reasonable    Bad



Findings

       It can be seen that, 60% of the investors feel that they got good
returns from commodity futures trading, 27% of them feel that they got
reasonable returns commodity futures, 13% of the investors felt they got
bad returns from commodity futures.

Interpretations
      It can be concluded that most of the investors got good returns
from commodity futures.


29 | P a g e
8) Do you think commodity future is a good investment
opportunity?

                Particulars            No. Of            Percentage
                                     Respondents
                      Yes                21                     70%

                      No                       9                30%



                     Column chart showing opinion of
                         the investor of whether
                       commodity futures is a good
                         investmentopportunity
               80%
               70%
               60%
               50%
               40%
               30%
               20%
               10%
               0%
                              Yes                  No

                                    Yes   No



Findings
From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 70% of the investors
feel that commodity futures is a good investment opportunity, and 30%
investors feel that commodity futures is not a good investment
opportunity

Interpretation
     It can be concluded that most of the investors feel that
commodity futures is a “good investmentopportunity”




30 | P a g e
9) Which type of trader you are?

          Particulars            No. Of                Percentage
                               Respondents
               Hedgers             13                       43%

           Speculator                 6                     20%

           Arbitrager                 11                    37%




Findings
       From the above table and chart, it can be seen that most of respondents
are hedger and arbitrager

Interpretation
        It can be concluded that most of the respondents are hedgers




31 | P a g e
10) In which commodities you would like to invest in future
and why?


         Particulars             No. Of                 Percentage
                               Respondents
               Wheat                 15                      50%

               Cotton                 9                      30%

               Gold                   6                      20%




Findings
       From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 50% of the
respondents want to invest in wheat and 30% want to invest in cotton
commodity futures

Interpretation
       It can be concluded that most of the respondents want to invest in
wheat commodity futures.




32 | P a g e
11)factors you take into consider while invest in commodities?

         Particulars            No. Of                  Percentage
                              Respondents
      Global economy                 10                     33%


        Availability                 14                     47%

               others                06                     20%




Findings
        From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 33% of the
respondents consider global economy as a factor before investing commodity
future 20% consider in
Other factors in commodity futures.

Interpretation
      It can be concluded that most of the respondents consider availability
of commodities in commodity futures




33 | P a g e
FINDINGS
From the analysis made the following findings can be derived:

There is awareness of commodity market in the eyes of investors.

Investors consider factor like global economy.

Person between age of 20-40 years are more active player in the commodity
trading and 10-30 % of their income are invested in market. Most of them
believe that return derived from commodity are good and reasonable.

There has been seen that most of private sector employees and business person
invests in commodity market
It has been that, respondents are investing their income in diversified portfolio
and less risky assets and 50% of respondent takes short position in the market.

There has been seen that gold, wheat and cotton are more dealing commodity
and investor believe that commodity market have good opportunist market in
future and most of investor invest when there is favorable price in market.




34 | P a g e
CONCLUSION

Now a days investor become more careful in investment with considering the
factor like global economy, availability of commodity etc..

 In the trading system people consider above factor for investment so we can
conclude that investor are more moving towards the exchange traded market


It can be concluded that one can use commodity futures for the hedging
purposes rather than for the speculative

Thus, commodity futures are a growing market.

from all the above conclusions of it can be concluded,“commodity
futures can beused as a risk reduction and a sound investment
instrument”




35 | P a g e
RECOMENDATATIONS


Since commodity futures are a new concept, more awareness must be created
by marketing this investment instrument appropriately.

As commodity market are growing so one should trade in exchange traded
market rather than the OTC market.

As commodity market growing so all groups of people must be asked to
invest in commodity futures.


one should take better position with the help of fundamental and technical
analysis


It is not a necessity that one must be very educated to invest in commodity
futures. So, it is recommended that those who are not so well educated also
can invest in commodity futures.

It is recommended that now a days investor should invest in agriculture
commodity because within the few days few of agriculture commodity are
coming up with huge quantity.




36 | P a g e
37 | P a g e
QUESTIONNAIRE
PART – A

1) Name:

2) Sex:

                 Male                 Female

3) Age:

          20-30 Years                 30-40 years

          40-50 years                 Above 50 years

4) Education:

          Higher secondary            Graduation

          Post-graduation

5) Occupation:

          Government employee                       Self-employee

          Commodity futures analyst                 Private sector employee

          Businessman                               Others ____________

6) Income:

          Below 4 lakh                              4,00,001 – 10,00,000

          10,00,001 – 25,00,000                     Above 25,00,000




38 | P a g e
PART – B
1) Have you invested in commodity futures?

        Yes                        No



2) What is your experience in your previous investment (excluding commodity
futures)?

        Good                        Reasonable                     Bad


3) What is your objective when trading in commodity futures?

        Less risky investment       Diversification of portfolio

        Very good returns                    Others ______________


4) What type of trade do you prefer the most?


        Short Term Position                  Medium Term Position

        Long Term Position


5) Which commodities have you traded in the most?

        a. _________________
        b. _________________
        c. __________________



6) What percentage of savings have you invested in commodity futures?

        0-10%                                10-20%

        20-30%                               30-50%

        50% and above




39 | P a g e
7) What do you think of the return derived from commodity futures?

        Good                           Reasonable                Bad


8) Do you think commodity future is a good investment opportunity?

                 Yes                    No


9) which type of trader you are?

        Hedger                     speculator       arbitrager



10) In which commodities you would like to invest in future and why?

   __________________________________________



11 Factors you take into consider while invest in commodities?

   __________________________________________




40 | P a g e
BIBLIOGRAPHY

Websites
www.rbi.org
www.sebi.com
www.mcx.com
www.investopedia.com




41 | P a g e

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Anuj & rohit012

  • 1. A Research Report “Investor Perception Towards commodity market for investing’’ Report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement of MASTERS OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (Affiliated to Uttar Pradesh Technical University) Academic Session (2011 – 2013) Under Supervision of: Submitted By: Prof. Anjali Mishra Anuj kumar garg – 1129070009 Rohit singh sengar-, 1129070011 MBA 1st year ABES IT Group of Institutions 1|Page
  • 2. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT We wish to acknowledge our profound gratitude to all those who assisted us in the completion of this report. With great pleasure, we extend our deep sense of gratitude towards Anjali Mishra (asst. professor ABES IT college ,Ghaziabad), under whose valuable guidance, constant interest and encouragement, who has devoted her ever-precious time from her busy schedule and helped us in completing the Project. This co-operation is not only useful for this project but will be a constant source of inspiration for us in future life. We are also thankful to those who helped us intellectually in preparation of this project directly or indirectly. ANUJ KUMAR GRAG ROHIT SINGH SENGAR 2|Page
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgment Introduction 4-12 Objective of Project 13 Limitation 14 Literature review 15 Research methodology 16 Data Analysis and interpretation 17-33 Conclusion 34-35 Suggestions and Recommendations 36 Annexure Bibliography 3|Page
  • 5. INTRODUCTION TO COMMODITY FUTURES THE HISTORY The modern commodity markets have their roots in the trading of agricultural products. While wheat and corn, cattle and pigs, were widely traded using standard instruments in the 19th century in the United States, other basic foodstuffs such as soybeans were only added quite recently in most markets. For a commodity market to be established, there must be very broad consensus on the variations in the product that make it acceptable for one purpose or another. The economic impact of the development of commodity markets is hard to overestimate. Through the 19th century "the exchanges became effective spokesmen for, and innovators of, improvements in transportation, warehousing, and financing, which paved the way to expanded interstate and international trade." Exchange Name Commodities Traded Chicago Board of Trade Corn, ethanol, gold, oats, rice, silver, soybeans, wheat (CBOT) Chicago Mercantile Butter, milk, feeder cattle, frozen pork bellies, lean hogs, live Exchange (CME) cattle, lumber Intercontinental Exchange* Crude oil, electricity, natural gas (ICE) Kansas City Board of Trade Wheat, natural gas (KCBT) Minneapolis Grain Corn, soybeans, wheat Exchange (MGE) New York Board of Trade Cocoa, coffee, cotton, ethanol, frozen concentrated orange (NYBOT) juice, sugar New York Mercantile Aluminum, copper, crude oil, electricity, gasoline, gold, heating Exchange (NYMEX) oil, natural gas, palladium, platinum, propane, silver 5|Page
  • 6. Regulatory framework in India In India, the statutory, basis for regulating commodity futures‟ trading is found in the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952, which (apart from being an enabling enactment, laying down certain fundamental ground rules) created the permanent regulatory body known as the Forwards Markets Commission. This commission holds overall charge of the regulation of all forward contracts and carries out its functions through recognized association. GUIDELINES BY THE RBI PERTAINING TO COMMODITY FUTURE TRADING The guidelines are: - These guidelines cover the Indian entities that are exposed to commodity price risk.  Name and address of the organization I. A brief description of the hedging strategy proposed:  Description of business activity and nature of risk.  Instruments proposed to be used for hedging.  Exchanges and brokers through whom the risk is proposed to be hedged and credit lines proposed to be available. The name and address of the regulatory authority in the country concerned may also be given.  Size/average tenure of exposure/total turnover in a year expected. II. Copy of the risk management policy approved by the Board of Directors covering:  Risk identification  Risk measurements  Guidelines and procedures to be followed with respect to revaluation/monitoring of positions.  Names and designations of the officials authorized to undertake transactions and limits. III. Any other relevant information  The authorized dealers will forward the application to Reserve Bank along with copy of the Memorandum on the risk management policy 6|Page
  • 7. placed before the Board of Directors with specific reference to hedging of commodity price exposure. .  i. All standard exchanges traded futures will be permitted. ii. Tenure of exposure shall be limited to 6 months. Tenure beyond 6 months would require Reserve Bank‟s specific approval. iii. Corporate who wish to hedge commodity price exposure shall have to ensure that there are no restrictions on import/export of the commodity hedged under the Exim policy in force.  After grant of approval by Reserve Bank, the corporate concerned should negotiate with off-shore exchange broker subject, inter alia, to the following:-  Brokers must be clearing members of the exchanges, with good financial track record.  Trading will only be in standard exchange- traded futures contract/options. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (SEBI) SEBI was setup in April 12, 1988. To start with, SEBI was set up as a non-statutory body. . SEBI guidelines for COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING There are many regulatory authorities, who are monitoring commodity futures trading, one of them is SEBI. The following Report is one of the regulatory frameworks for the commodity futures trading. Report of the committee appointed by the SEBI on participation by Securities Brokers inCommodity Futures Markets under the chairmanship of Shri K.R. Ramamurthy (February 5, 2003) The following were the recommendations:- I) Participation of Securities Brokers in Commodity Futures Market o The committee was of the unanimous view that participation of intermediaries like securities brokers in the commodity futures market is welcome as it could inter-alia increase the number of quality players, 7|Page
  • 8. infuse healthy competition, boost trading volumes in commodities and in turn provide impetus to the overall growth of the commodity market. o Since the commodity market falls under the regulatory purview of a separate regulatory authority viz., Forward Market Commission, to ensure effective regulatory oversight by the Forward Market Commission, and to avoid any possible regulatory overlap, the pre- condition for such entry by intending participating securities brokers in the commodity futures market would be through a separate legal entity, either subsidiary or otherwise. Such entity should conform from time to time to the regulatory prescription of Forward Market Commission, with reference to capital adequacy, net worth, membership fee, margins, etc. o The committee took note of the fact that the existing provisions of the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Rules, 1957 forbid a person to be elected as a member of a recognized stock exchange if he is engaged as principal or employee in any business other than that of securities, except as a broker or agent not involving any personal financial liability. The Committee recommended that the above provisions in the Securities Contract (Regulations) Rules be removed/amended suitably to facilitate securities brokers participation/engagement in commodity futures. o An important felt need was the necessity to improve market awareness of trading and contracts in commodities. The committee therefore recommended the forward market commission take appropriate initiatives in training the market participants. II) Risk containment measures In the background of the Forward Market Commission‟s report on risk containment measures currently obtaining in commodity markets and the committee‟s recommendation to permit security brokers‟ participation in commodities markets only through a separate legal entity, the committee considers that ensuring strict compliance of the regulatory prescriptions like net worth, capital adequacy, margins, exposure norms, etc., by the respective market regulators, and due oversight would be an adequate safeguard to ensure that the risks are not transmitted from one market to the other. III) Utilization of existing infrastructure of stock exchanges On the issue of convergence/integration of the securities market and commodities market, that is, of allowing stock exchanges to trade in commodity derivatives and vice versa, the committee was of the view that in the current statutory and regulatory framework and 8|Page
  • 9. existence of two separate and established regulators, the issue of integration of the two markets would require detailed examination, particularly for the purpose of defining clearly the scope of regulatory purview and responsibility. What is a commodity? Commodity includes all kinds of goods. FCRA defines “goods” as “every kind of moveable property other than actionable claims, money and securities”. Futures trading are organized in such goods or commodities as are permitted by the central government. The national commodity exchanges have been recognized by the central government for organizing trading in all permissible commodities which include precious (gold & silver) and non- ferrous metals; cereals and pulses; oil seeds, raw jute and jute goods; sugar; potatoes and onions; coffee and tea; rubber and spices, etc. Commodity Futures Trading The commodity futures trading, consists of a futures contract, which is a legally binding agreement providing for the delivery of the underlying asset or financial entities at specific date in the future. Like all future contracts, commodity futures are agreements to buy or sell something at a later date and at a price that has been fixed earlier by the buyer and seller. So, for example, a cotton farmer may agree to sell his output to a textiles company many months before the crop is ready for actual harvesting. The complicating factor is quality. Commodity futures contracts have to specify the quality of goods being traded. The commodity exchanges guarantee that the buyers and sellers will stick to the terms of the agreement. When one buys or sells a futures contract, he is actually entering into a contractual obligation which can be met in one of two ways. First, is by making or taking delivery of the commodity. This is the exception, not the rule however, as less than 2% of all the futures contracts are met by actual delivery. The other way to meet one‟s obligation, the method which everyone most likely will use, is by “offset”. Very simply, offset is making the opposite or offsetting sale or purchase of the same number of contracts sold, sometimes prior to the expiration of the date of the contract. This can be easily done because futures contracts are standardized. What makes commodity trading attractive? A good low-risk portfolio diversifier Less volatile, compared with, say, equities Investors can leverage their investments and multiply potential earnings Better risk- adjusted returns A good hedge against any downturn in equities or bonds as there is little correlation with equity and bond markets 9|Page
  • 10. High correlation with changes in inflation No securities transaction tax levied Functions of futures markets The futures market serves the needs of individuals and groups who may be active traders or passive traders, risk averse or profit makers. The above broadly classifies the functions of the futures markets: - 1) Price Discovery 2) Speculation 3) Hedging 1) Price discovery “Futures prices might be treated as a consensus forecast by the market regarding trading future price for certain commodities”. This classifies that futures market help market watchers to “discover” prices for the future. E.g.- A furniture manufacturer, making plywood furniture for printing his catalogue for next year‟s needs to estimate price in advance. This task is different as the cost of plywood varies greatly, depending largely on the health of the construction industry. But the problem can be solved by using prices from the plywood futures market. 2) Speculation Speculation is a spill over of futures trading that can provide comparatively less risk adverse investors with the ability to enhance their percentage returns.Speculators are categorized by the length of time they plan to hold a position. 3) Hedging While engaging in a futures contract in order to reduce risk in the spot position, hedging is undertaken. Therefore the future trader is said to establish a hedge. 10 | P a g e
  • 11. Participants  Hedgers In a commodity market, hedging is done by a miller, processor, stockiest of goods, or the cultivator of the commodity. Sometimes exporters, who have agreed to sell at a particular price, need to be a hedger in a futures and options market. All these persons are exposed to unfavorable price movements and they would like to hedge their cash positions.  Speculators Speculator does not have any position on which they enter in futures options market. They only have a particular view about the future price of a particular commodity. They consider various fundamental factors like demand and supply, market positions, open interests, economic fundamentals internal events, rainfall, crop predictions, government policies etc. and also considering the technical analysis, they are either bullish about the future process or have a bearish outlook. In the first scenario, they buy futures and wait for rise in price and sell or unwind their position the moment they earn expected profit. If their view changes after taking a long position after taking into consideration the latest developments, they unwind the transaction by selling futures and limiting the losses. Speculators are very essential in all markets. They provide market to the much desired volume and liquidity; these in turn reduce the cost of transactions. They provide hedgers an opportunity to manage their risk by assuming their risk.  Arbitrageur He is basically risk averse. He enters in to those contracts where he can earn risk less profits. When markets are imperfect, buying in one market and simultaneous selling in another market gives risk less profit. It may be possible between two physical markets, same for 2 different periods or 2 different contracts. 11 | P a g e
  • 12. Intermediate Participants  Brokers A broker is a member of any one of the futures exchange, one gets commodity or financial futuresexchange, one gets the right to transact with other members of the same exchange. All persons hedgingtheir transaction exposures or speculation on price movement cannot be members of a futures exchange.Non- member has to deal in futures exchange, through a member only. This provides the member the role ofa “broker”. Margin Margin is money deposited in the brokerage account, which serves to guarantee the performance of theclients‟ side of the contract. This is generally in the neighborhood of 2-10% When the client enters a position, he would have deposited, the margin in his account, but the brokeragehouse is required to post the margin with a central exchange arm called the „clearing house‟. The clearinghouse is a non-profit entity, which in effect is in charge of debiting this money to the accounts of winnersdaily. 12 | P a g e
  • 13. Objective of the Study 1. To study the perception of investors of commodity market. 2. To understand commodity market. 13 | P a g e
  • 14. Limitations and Constrains  Lack of resources  Cost Constraint.  Respondents are limited to hapur city. 14 | P a g e
  • 15. LITERATURE REVIEW COMMODITY MARKETS: AN ISLAMIC ANALYSIS Research on derivatives trading is still in its early stages. The general response of Muslim jurists is negative. The first institution to address the issue was the Makkah based Fiqh Academy. It acknowledged some of the benefits of derivativesbut stressed that these benefits are accompanied by transactions forbidden in the shari[ah such as gambling, exploitation, monopoly, price distortion and the selling of what one does not own. Moreover, transactions are settled merely on the basis of price differentials as what happens between gamblers. However, the spot transactions are valid from theshari[ah point of view but when the seller does not own the object he sells, the sale in this case must fulfil the conditions of salam and the buyer is not permitted to sell again prior to taking possession of the underlying assets. KARVR COMTRADE LTD. KarvyComtrade Ltd. has established its dedicated research desk at Hyderabad keeping in view of varied requirements of clients in terms of taking informed decision. Initially started with a team of just 2 analysts in early 2005, now the team has 8 analysts tracking different commodity markets. The Karvy Commodities Research team comprises of Technical Analysts, Fundamental Analysts and Derivatives Analyst who analyze news, events and data in order to arrive at a price outlook both on short term and long term basis for all the commodities. The coverage on different segments of commodities has been increasing over the time and currently generates reports on most of the active commodities which belong to different complexes like precious metals, Base metals, Energy, Oil & Oilseed complex, Pulses, Spices, Softs and Cereals etc. 15 | P a g e
  • 16. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Research Type-Descriptive Sample Design In this study convenient random sampling method is used to select the respondents. The sample size is 30 respondents. Source of Data The various sources of data are 1. Primary Sources, which includes questionnaire. 2. Secondary data which includes books , internet etc. Tools for Data Collection The questionnaire is the tool used for data collection. Analyses and Interpretation The various tools for analysis used are graphs, charts, percentage growth. 16 | P a g e
  • 17. 17 | P a g e
  • 18. QUESTIONERE ANALYSES In this section the data obtained through the questionnaire from the investors in commodity futures isanalyzed SECTION A: Sex profile Sex No of Respondents Percentage Male 23 80% Female 6 20% Column Chart Showing Sex Profile Of The Respondents 100% 80% Percentage 60% 40% 20% 0% Male Female Sex Male Female Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 80% of the respondents were male, and 20% werefemale. Interpretation It can be concluded that mainly males invest in commodity futures. 18 | P a g e
  • 19. Age Profile Age Group No. of Percentage Respondents 20-30 years 13 43% 30-40 years 9 30% 40-50 years 5 17% 50 years and above 3 10% Pie Chart Showing Age Profile Of The Respondents 10% 20-30 Years 17% 43% 30-40 Years 40-50 Years 50 Year and above 30% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 43% of the respondents were in the age group of 20-30 years, 30% were in the age group of 30-40 years, and 17% were in the age group of 40-50 years and 10% inthe age group of 50 years and above. Interpretation It can be concluded that mainly the young people have invested commodity futures. 19 | P a g e
  • 20. Education profile: Educational No. of Percentage Qualification Respondents Higher Secondary 3 10% Graduate 15 50% Post Graduate 12 40% Pie Chart Showing Educational Profile Of The Respondents 10% 40% Higher Secondary Graduate Post Graduate 50% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 50% of the respondents were graduates, 40% were post graduates and only 10 percent were studied up to higher secondary. Interpretation It can be concluded that mainly the young graduates have invested commodity futures. But in real market this doesn‟t stand true. 20 | P a g e
  • 21. Occupation Profile Occupation No. of Respondents Percentage Government Employee 1 3% Private Sector 9 30% Employee Self-Employee 5 17% Businessmen 10 33% Commodity Futures 5 17% Advisor Others 0 0% Pie Chart Showing Occupational Profile Of The Respondents 0% 3% Government Employee 17% Private Sector 30% Self-Employee Businessmen Commodity Futures 33% Others 17% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 3% of the respondents were government employees, 30% were private sector employee, 17% were Self-Employed and 33% were businessmen, 17% wereCommodity futures advisors. Interpretation It can be concluded that mainly businessmen and private sector employees invest in commodities. 21 | P a g e
  • 22. Income Profile Income Group No. of Percentage Respondents Below Rs. 4 Lakh 11 37% Rs. 4 – 10 Lakh 18 60% Rs. 10 – 25 Lakh 1 3% Above Rs. 25 Lakh 0 0% No. of Respondents 0% 3% 37% Below Rs. 4 Lakh Rs. 4 – 10 Lakh Rs. 10 – 25 Lakh Above Rs. 25 Lakh 60% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 37% of the respondents were in the income group of below Rs. 4 lakh, 60% were in the income group of Rs. 4-10 lakh, and 3% were in the income group of Rs. 10-25 lakh. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the people who have invested commodity futures are in the income groupof Rs.4-10 lakh. 22 | P a g e
  • 23. SECTION B 1) Have you invested in commodity futures? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Yes 20 67% No 10 33% Column Chart Showing The Percentage of Respondents who have Invested In Comodity Future 80% 70% 60% Percentage 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Yes No Particular Yes No Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 67% of the respondents have invested in commodity futures, and 33% have not invested in commodity futures Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the respondents have invested in commodity futures. 23 | P a g e
  • 24. 2) What is your Experience in your previous Investment ? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Good 15 50% Bad 9 30% Reasonable 6 20% Column Chart Showing The Experience of Respondents in Their Previous Investment 60% 50% 40% Percentage 30% 20% 10% 0% Good Bad Reasonable Particular Good Bad Reasonable Findings It can be seen that 50% of the respondents had a good experience in their previous investment, 30% had a reasonable experience in their previous investment and 20% had a bad experience in their previous investment. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the respondents had a good experience in their previous investment. 24 | P a g e
  • 25. 3) What is your objective for trading in commodity futures? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Less Risky 10 33% Investment Diversification of 12 40% Portfolio Very Good Returns 6 20% Others 2 7% Column chart showing the objective of the investor to invest in commodity futures 45% 40% 35% 30% Percentage 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less Risky Diversification of Very Good Others Investment Portfolio Returns Particular Less Risky Investment Diversification of Portfolio Very Good Returns Others Findings It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 33% of them have invested with the objective a less risky investment, 40% of them invested with the objective of diversifying hid portfolio and 20% of them due to the expectation of very good returns and 7% have invested due to other reasons. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the investors in commodity futures, have invested with the objective ofdiversifying their portfolio and to reduce risk . 25 | P a g e
  • 26. 4) What type of trade do you prefer the most? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Short Term Positions 15 50% Medium term 9 30% Long term positions 6 20% Column chart showing the type of positions the investors preference 60% 50% 40% Percentage 30% 20% 10% 0% Short Term Positions Medium term loan Long term positions Particular Short Term Positions Medium term loan Long term positions Findings It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 50% of them prefer short-term positions, 30%of them preferred medium term positions and 20% preferred long-term positions. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the investors trading in commodity futures prefer short-term positions. 26 | P a g e
  • 27. 5) Which commodities have you traded in, the most? Commodity No. Of Percentage Respondents Wheat 9 30% Cotton 5 17% Gold 6 20% Soybean 4 13% Silver 3 10% Copper 3 10% No. Of Respondents 10% Wheat 10% 30% Cotton Gold 13% Soybean Silver 17% 20% Copper Findings It can be seen that out of the investors in commodity futures, 30% of them have traded mostly in wheat, 17% of them traded in cotton, 20% in Gold, 13% in soybean and 10% each in copper and silver, . Interpretation It can be concluded that the mostly traded commodity is wheat, followed by gold and cotton. Copper is the least traded commodity. 27 | P a g e
  • 28. 6) What percentage of savings have you invested in commodity futures? Particulars No. Of Respondents Percentage 0-10% 3 10% 10-20% 9 30% 20-30% 12 40% 30-50% 3 10% 50% and above 3 10% Pie chart showing the percentage of savings the investors has made in commodity futures 10% 10% 10% 0-10% 10-20% 30% 20-30% 30-50% 50% and above 40% Findings It can be seen that, 40% of the investors have invested between 20-30% of their savings in commodity futures, 30% of them have invested between 10-20% of their savings and total 20% of them have invested above 30% of their saving in commodity futures. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the investors have invested between 20-30% of their savings in commodity futures. 28 | P a g e
  • 29. 7) What do you think of the return derived from commodity futures? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Good 18 60% Reasonable 8 27% Bad 4 13% Column chart showing the extent of returns derived by the investors from commodity futures 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Good Reasonable Bad Good Reasonable Bad Findings It can be seen that, 60% of the investors feel that they got good returns from commodity futures trading, 27% of them feel that they got reasonable returns commodity futures, 13% of the investors felt they got bad returns from commodity futures. Interpretations It can be concluded that most of the investors got good returns from commodity futures. 29 | P a g e
  • 30. 8) Do you think commodity future is a good investment opportunity? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Yes 21 70% No 9 30% Column chart showing opinion of the investor of whether commodity futures is a good investmentopportunity 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Yes No Yes No Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 70% of the investors feel that commodity futures is a good investment opportunity, and 30% investors feel that commodity futures is not a good investment opportunity Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the investors feel that commodity futures is a “good investmentopportunity” 30 | P a g e
  • 31. 9) Which type of trader you are? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Hedgers 13 43% Speculator 6 20% Arbitrager 11 37% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that most of respondents are hedger and arbitrager Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the respondents are hedgers 31 | P a g e
  • 32. 10) In which commodities you would like to invest in future and why? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Wheat 15 50% Cotton 9 30% Gold 6 20% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 50% of the respondents want to invest in wheat and 30% want to invest in cotton commodity futures Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the respondents want to invest in wheat commodity futures. 32 | P a g e
  • 33. 11)factors you take into consider while invest in commodities? Particulars No. Of Percentage Respondents Global economy 10 33% Availability 14 47% others 06 20% Findings From the above table and chart, it can be seen that 33% of the respondents consider global economy as a factor before investing commodity future 20% consider in Other factors in commodity futures. Interpretation It can be concluded that most of the respondents consider availability of commodities in commodity futures 33 | P a g e
  • 34. FINDINGS From the analysis made the following findings can be derived: There is awareness of commodity market in the eyes of investors. Investors consider factor like global economy. Person between age of 20-40 years are more active player in the commodity trading and 10-30 % of their income are invested in market. Most of them believe that return derived from commodity are good and reasonable. There has been seen that most of private sector employees and business person invests in commodity market It has been that, respondents are investing their income in diversified portfolio and less risky assets and 50% of respondent takes short position in the market. There has been seen that gold, wheat and cotton are more dealing commodity and investor believe that commodity market have good opportunist market in future and most of investor invest when there is favorable price in market. 34 | P a g e
  • 35. CONCLUSION Now a days investor become more careful in investment with considering the factor like global economy, availability of commodity etc.. In the trading system people consider above factor for investment so we can conclude that investor are more moving towards the exchange traded market It can be concluded that one can use commodity futures for the hedging purposes rather than for the speculative Thus, commodity futures are a growing market. from all the above conclusions of it can be concluded,“commodity futures can beused as a risk reduction and a sound investment instrument” 35 | P a g e
  • 36. RECOMENDATATIONS Since commodity futures are a new concept, more awareness must be created by marketing this investment instrument appropriately. As commodity market are growing so one should trade in exchange traded market rather than the OTC market. As commodity market growing so all groups of people must be asked to invest in commodity futures. one should take better position with the help of fundamental and technical analysis It is not a necessity that one must be very educated to invest in commodity futures. So, it is recommended that those who are not so well educated also can invest in commodity futures. It is recommended that now a days investor should invest in agriculture commodity because within the few days few of agriculture commodity are coming up with huge quantity. 36 | P a g e
  • 37. 37 | P a g e
  • 38. QUESTIONNAIRE PART – A 1) Name: 2) Sex: Male Female 3) Age: 20-30 Years 30-40 years 40-50 years Above 50 years 4) Education: Higher secondary Graduation Post-graduation 5) Occupation: Government employee Self-employee Commodity futures analyst Private sector employee Businessman Others ____________ 6) Income: Below 4 lakh 4,00,001 – 10,00,000 10,00,001 – 25,00,000 Above 25,00,000 38 | P a g e
  • 39. PART – B 1) Have you invested in commodity futures? Yes No 2) What is your experience in your previous investment (excluding commodity futures)? Good Reasonable Bad 3) What is your objective when trading in commodity futures? Less risky investment Diversification of portfolio Very good returns Others ______________ 4) What type of trade do you prefer the most? Short Term Position Medium Term Position Long Term Position 5) Which commodities have you traded in the most? a. _________________ b. _________________ c. __________________ 6) What percentage of savings have you invested in commodity futures? 0-10% 10-20% 20-30% 30-50% 50% and above 39 | P a g e
  • 40. 7) What do you think of the return derived from commodity futures? Good Reasonable Bad 8) Do you think commodity future is a good investment opportunity? Yes No 9) which type of trader you are? Hedger speculator arbitrager 10) In which commodities you would like to invest in future and why? __________________________________________ 11 Factors you take into consider while invest in commodities? __________________________________________ 40 | P a g e