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Saving the Vulnerable PatientSaving the Vulnerable Patient
> 15 Million Fatal Heart Attacks Each Year
•Prevention of
heart attacks must
be the primary
goal.
Treatment should
be regarded as
“locking the
barn door
after the
horse is
stolen”
Eugene Braunwald
Drug
Eluting
Stent
Lock!
What is new?
Shift in Paradigm:
- Atherosclerosis; an
inflammatory disease
- Non-flow limiting
plaque; the culprit in
most heart attacks
What is new?
Shift in Paradigm:
- Atherosclerosis; an
inflammatory disease
- Non-flow limiting
plaque; the culprit in
most heart attacks
Introducing
The Vulnerable Patient Consensus Statement
Published in
Circulation Journal Vol108, No14; October 7, 2003
Naghavi et al. Circulation. 2003;108:1664
CVD Genotyping?
Naghavi et al. Circulation. 2003;108:1664
<0.5%/yr
0.5-2%/yr
2-15%/yr
>15%/yr Very High Risk
High Risk
Intermediate Risk
Low Risk
Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd
Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd
Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd
Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd
Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
Welcome to Santa Monica!
Get in SHAPE with SHAPE-A-THON!
We’ve got aWe’ve got a
Problem!Problem!
Screening basedScreening based
on risk factorson risk factors
aint gonna work!!aint gonna work!!
70.6% of American
adults have one or
more risk factor for
heart attack!
140 Million140 Million
Americans HaveAmericans Have
Average or HighAverage or High
CholesterolCholesterol
76.5 Million76.5 Million
AmericansAmericans
Have High CRPHave High CRP
Correlates of Elevated C-Reactive Protein Among Adults in the United States:
Findings From the 1999-2000 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
Greenland et al
JAMA August 2003, Vol 291 No7 P891-897
Major Risk Factors as Antecedents of Fatal and
Nonfatal Coronary Heart Disease Events
Analogy of Smoking and Lung Cancer
Of course smoking is a strong risk factor for
lung cancer
but
in a town where almost everyone smokes,
smoking has no predictive value for
lung cancer.
Too many people have risk factors specially when
average cholesterol or high CRP is considered as risk
factors.
How Good Is NCEP III At Predicting MI?How Good Is NCEP III At Predicting MI?
JACC 2003:41 1475-9JACC 2003:41 1475-9 (Slide from J. Rumberger)(Slide from J. Rumberger)
222 patients with 1222 patients with 1stst
acute MI, no prior CADacute MI, no prior CAD
men <55 y/o (75%), women <65 (25%), no DMmen <55 y/o (75%), women <65 (25%), no DM
RiskRisk
>20%/>20%/
10 yrs.10 yrs.
RiskRisk
10-20%/10-20%/
10 yrs.10 yrs.
RiskRisk
<10%/<10%/
10 yrs.10 yrs.
NCEP GoalNCEP Goal
LDL<100LDL<100
NCEP GoalNCEP Goal
LDL<160LDL<160
NCEP GoalNCEP Goal
LDL<130LDL<130
Qualify for RxQualify for Rx
Not-Qualify for RxNot-Qualify for Rx
6%6% 6%6%
TotalTotal
12%12%
8%8% 10%10%
TotalTotal
18%18%
61%61%
9%9%
TotalTotal
70%70%
88% of these “young” patients who suffered a88% of these “young” patients who suffered a
first Myocardial Infarction were in thefirst Myocardial Infarction were in the
Low to Intermediate “risk” category accordingLow to Intermediate “risk” category according
To Framingham Risk AssessmentTo Framingham Risk Assessment andand
would have been missed as trulywould have been missed as truly
““High Risk” individuals who shouldHigh Risk” individuals who should
have been treated “aggressively”have been treated “aggressively”
August 6th
and 7th
2004 - Santa Monica
•Screening for prevention of heart attack must be established as a
standard of practice in preventive cardiology.
•Comparing to most cancer with established screening guidelines,
screening for prevention of heart attack is more cost effective.
•Current risk factors are not desirable for screening and should NOT
be used as the first step
•High Prevalence
•Less than Desirable Predictive Value
•Numerous Risk Factors, More Emerging
•Risk factors are best for guiding and monitoring therapy
•Noninvasive tests capable of measuring the disease (structural
and or functional) at the arterial level should be considered as the
first step in screening.
Highlights from Santa Monica Meeting
This guideline has
been recently
released by the
three major
organizations.
Unlike for colon and
breast cancers in
which screening
tests for hidden
(subclinical) disease
are recommended,
for prevention of
heart attack, the
number one killer,
there is no such
recommendation for
screening and the
guideline is still
limited to the
assessment of
traditional risk
factors.
???!
Number 1 Killer
Number ? Killer!
The Future Directions in SHAPE
(Screening for Heart Attack Prevention and Education -SHAPE)
Trajectory TestTrajectory Test
• Coronary Calcium
• Carotid IMT
• Coronary Calcium
• Carotid IMT
(-)(-) (+)(+)
Moderately
High Risk
Moderately
High Risk
High RiskHigh Risk
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Aggressive RF
Modification
•LDL<70
5 yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Aggressive RF
Modification
•LDL<70
5 yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•LDL<100
•Reassess in 5
yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•LDL<100
•Reassess in 5
yrs
Asymptomatic Males ≥45y? and Females ≥55y? with no History of CVDAsymptomatic Males ≥45y? and Females ≥55y? with no History of CVD
•Follow “Very
High Risk” in
the 1st SHAPE
Guidelines
•Follow “Very
High Risk” in
the 1st SHAPE
Guidelines
Functional TestFunctional Test
• Noninvasive Molecular Imaging
of Plaque inflammation?
•Noninvasive Coronary
Endothelial Function?
• Noninvasive Molecular Imaging
of Plaque inflammation?
•Noninvasive Coronary
Endothelial Function?
≥?percentile?≥?percentile?
<?%?<?%?
≥?percentile?≥?percentile?
• Intravascular
VP Detection
for Safe and
Effective Local
Therapy
• Expensive
New Systemic
Therapies (Apo
A Injections...)
• Intravascular
VP Detection
for Safe and
Effective Local
Therapy
• Expensive
New Systemic
Therapies (Apo
A Injections...)
+?+?+?+?
Structural TestStructural Test
• Endothelial Dysfunction
•Carotid IMT
• Endothelial Dysfunction
•Carotid IMT
The Future Directions in SHAPE
(Screening for Heart Attack Prevention and Education -SHAPE)
Repeated
Trajectory Tests
Repeated
Trajectory Tests
• Endothelial Dysfunction?
•Carotid IMT?
• Endothelial Dysfunction?
•Carotid IMT?
(-)(-) (+)(+)
-RF’s-RF’s +RF’s+RF’s
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Aggressive RF
Modification
•Reassess in
5 yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Aggressive RF
Modification
•Reassess in
5 yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Reassess in 5
yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Reassess in 5
yrs
Asymptomatic Males 20-45y? and Females ≥20-55y? with no History of CVDAsymptomatic Males 20-45y? and Females ≥20-55y? with no History of CVD
Genetic Tests for
Strong Genes
Genetic Tests for
Strong Genes
??
• Aggressive
Therapy and
Close
Monitoring
• Aggressive
Therapy and
Close
Monitoring
+?+?+?+?
-RF’s-RF’s +RF’s+RF’s
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Reassess in
5 yrs
•Lifestyle
Modification
•Reassess in
5 yrs
Genetic
Tests
Highly Predictive
Genetic
Tests
Highly Predictive
??
Cheers to SHAPE “Hornblower”s!
International Heart Doctors and Researchers Invite Former President
Clinton to Join Campaign for Eradication for Heart Attack

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Shape symposium slide presentation

  • 1. Saving the Vulnerable PatientSaving the Vulnerable Patient
  • 2.
  • 3. > 15 Million Fatal Heart Attacks Each Year
  • 4. •Prevention of heart attacks must be the primary goal. Treatment should be regarded as “locking the barn door after the horse is stolen” Eugene Braunwald Drug Eluting Stent Lock!
  • 5. What is new? Shift in Paradigm: - Atherosclerosis; an inflammatory disease - Non-flow limiting plaque; the culprit in most heart attacks
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. What is new? Shift in Paradigm: - Atherosclerosis; an inflammatory disease - Non-flow limiting plaque; the culprit in most heart attacks
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Introducing The Vulnerable Patient Consensus Statement Published in
  • 13. Circulation Journal Vol108, No14; October 7, 2003
  • 14. Naghavi et al. Circulation. 2003;108:1664
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  • 16. CVD Genotyping? Naghavi et al. Circulation. 2003;108:1664
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  • 19. <0.5%/yr 0.5-2%/yr 2-15%/yr >15%/yr Very High Risk High Risk Intermediate Risk Low Risk Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
  • 20. Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
  • 21. Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
  • 22. Eugene Braunwald, M.D. –The 2nd Vulnerable Patient Symposium ACC 2004
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  • 24. Welcome to Santa Monica!
  • 25. Get in SHAPE with SHAPE-A-THON!
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  • 28. We’ve got aWe’ve got a Problem!Problem!
  • 29. Screening basedScreening based on risk factorson risk factors aint gonna work!!aint gonna work!!
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  • 46. 70.6% of American adults have one or more risk factor for heart attack!
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  • 48. 140 Million140 Million Americans HaveAmericans Have Average or HighAverage or High CholesterolCholesterol
  • 49. 76.5 Million76.5 Million AmericansAmericans Have High CRPHave High CRP Correlates of Elevated C-Reactive Protein Among Adults in the United States: Findings From the 1999-2000 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
  • 50. Greenland et al JAMA August 2003, Vol 291 No7 P891-897 Major Risk Factors as Antecedents of Fatal and Nonfatal Coronary Heart Disease Events
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  • 56. Analogy of Smoking and Lung Cancer Of course smoking is a strong risk factor for lung cancer but in a town where almost everyone smokes, smoking has no predictive value for lung cancer. Too many people have risk factors specially when average cholesterol or high CRP is considered as risk factors.
  • 57. How Good Is NCEP III At Predicting MI?How Good Is NCEP III At Predicting MI? JACC 2003:41 1475-9JACC 2003:41 1475-9 (Slide from J. Rumberger)(Slide from J. Rumberger) 222 patients with 1222 patients with 1stst acute MI, no prior CADacute MI, no prior CAD men <55 y/o (75%), women <65 (25%), no DMmen <55 y/o (75%), women <65 (25%), no DM RiskRisk >20%/>20%/ 10 yrs.10 yrs. RiskRisk 10-20%/10-20%/ 10 yrs.10 yrs. RiskRisk <10%/<10%/ 10 yrs.10 yrs. NCEP GoalNCEP Goal LDL<100LDL<100 NCEP GoalNCEP Goal LDL<160LDL<160 NCEP GoalNCEP Goal LDL<130LDL<130 Qualify for RxQualify for Rx Not-Qualify for RxNot-Qualify for Rx 6%6% 6%6% TotalTotal 12%12% 8%8% 10%10% TotalTotal 18%18% 61%61% 9%9% TotalTotal 70%70% 88% of these “young” patients who suffered a88% of these “young” patients who suffered a first Myocardial Infarction were in thefirst Myocardial Infarction were in the Low to Intermediate “risk” category accordingLow to Intermediate “risk” category according To Framingham Risk AssessmentTo Framingham Risk Assessment andand would have been missed as trulywould have been missed as truly ““High Risk” individuals who shouldHigh Risk” individuals who should have been treated “aggressively”have been treated “aggressively”
  • 58. August 6th and 7th 2004 - Santa Monica
  • 59. •Screening for prevention of heart attack must be established as a standard of practice in preventive cardiology. •Comparing to most cancer with established screening guidelines, screening for prevention of heart attack is more cost effective. •Current risk factors are not desirable for screening and should NOT be used as the first step •High Prevalence •Less than Desirable Predictive Value •Numerous Risk Factors, More Emerging •Risk factors are best for guiding and monitoring therapy •Noninvasive tests capable of measuring the disease (structural and or functional) at the arterial level should be considered as the first step in screening. Highlights from Santa Monica Meeting
  • 60. This guideline has been recently released by the three major organizations. Unlike for colon and breast cancers in which screening tests for hidden (subclinical) disease are recommended, for prevention of heart attack, the number one killer, there is no such recommendation for screening and the guideline is still limited to the assessment of traditional risk factors.
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  • 64. The Future Directions in SHAPE (Screening for Heart Attack Prevention and Education -SHAPE) Trajectory TestTrajectory Test • Coronary Calcium • Carotid IMT • Coronary Calcium • Carotid IMT (-)(-) (+)(+) Moderately High Risk Moderately High Risk High RiskHigh Risk •Lifestyle Modification •Aggressive RF Modification •LDL<70 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •Aggressive RF Modification •LDL<70 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •LDL<100 •Reassess in 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •LDL<100 •Reassess in 5 yrs Asymptomatic Males ≥45y? and Females ≥55y? with no History of CVDAsymptomatic Males ≥45y? and Females ≥55y? with no History of CVD •Follow “Very High Risk” in the 1st SHAPE Guidelines •Follow “Very High Risk” in the 1st SHAPE Guidelines Functional TestFunctional Test • Noninvasive Molecular Imaging of Plaque inflammation? •Noninvasive Coronary Endothelial Function? • Noninvasive Molecular Imaging of Plaque inflammation? •Noninvasive Coronary Endothelial Function? ≥?percentile?≥?percentile? <?%?<?%? ≥?percentile?≥?percentile? • Intravascular VP Detection for Safe and Effective Local Therapy • Expensive New Systemic Therapies (Apo A Injections...) • Intravascular VP Detection for Safe and Effective Local Therapy • Expensive New Systemic Therapies (Apo A Injections...) +?+?+?+? Structural TestStructural Test • Endothelial Dysfunction •Carotid IMT • Endothelial Dysfunction •Carotid IMT
  • 65. The Future Directions in SHAPE (Screening for Heart Attack Prevention and Education -SHAPE) Repeated Trajectory Tests Repeated Trajectory Tests • Endothelial Dysfunction? •Carotid IMT? • Endothelial Dysfunction? •Carotid IMT? (-)(-) (+)(+) -RF’s-RF’s +RF’s+RF’s •Lifestyle Modification •Aggressive RF Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •Aggressive RF Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs Asymptomatic Males 20-45y? and Females ≥20-55y? with no History of CVDAsymptomatic Males 20-45y? and Females ≥20-55y? with no History of CVD Genetic Tests for Strong Genes Genetic Tests for Strong Genes ?? • Aggressive Therapy and Close Monitoring • Aggressive Therapy and Close Monitoring +?+?+?+? -RF’s-RF’s +RF’s+RF’s •Lifestyle Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs •Lifestyle Modification •Reassess in 5 yrs Genetic Tests Highly Predictive Genetic Tests Highly Predictive ??
  • 66. Cheers to SHAPE “Hornblower”s!
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  • 68. International Heart Doctors and Researchers Invite Former President Clinton to Join Campaign for Eradication for Heart Attack