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Reunion des CCEF – section Australie
     Mercredi 23 novembre, 2011




“Conduite et déroulement d‟une opération d‟acquisition en
              Australie: example pratique”
Background

Asia Pacific is expected to be the most active M&A region in 2011 in the context of a
worldwide rebound of the activity
M&A forecasts

In which region do you expect most buyers to be based in the next 12 months?                 Key reasons for Australia M&A health
                                                                                            ► Robust banking system
     Asia Pacific                                                                     45%        Big 4 Australian banks have filled the
                                                                                                  gap left by foreign lenders
                                                                                            ► Strong domestic corporate balance sheet
 North America                                          22%                                 ► „Australian‟ characteristics
                                                                                                  Strong economy
                                                                                                  Low political risks
    Central Asia                          13%                                                     Asian time zone
                                                                                                  Anglo-Saxon culture
                                                                                            ► Private equity still somehow active
Western Europe                  7%
                                                                                            ► Strong foreign interest
                                                                                                 ~40% of deal involved overseas bidders
    South and
                                7%                                                          ► Great hunting grounds for Chinese buyers
Central America
                                                                                              (food & beverage, resources) and Japanese
                                                                                              companies (food and beverage)
          Africa                                                                                  Chinese seek to secure supply source
                          3%
     Middel East                                                                                   and leverage domestic market
                                                                                                  Japanese seek growth outside of
                                                                                                   declining domestic market and a
            Other         3%                                                                       benefit from a low cost of capital



Source: Bloomberg 2011 ,M&A outlook, poll over 1,000 financial market professionals
Background

Acquisitions are not necessarily the easy answer to growth particularly when
assessed in the context of value creation
Sensitivity of IRR to multiple paid and EBITDA growth
(%)                                                                                         Key facts about acquisitions
                                                                                      ► 50-70% of acquisitions do not meet buyers
                                                                        Theoretical
                                                                                        expectations:
                                                                                         Size and complexity of the operations
                                                                                         Price paid often too high
    Low
                                                                                      ► Most frequent reasons cited for failures
                                                                                        are:
                                                                                         Cultural fit
                                                                                         Unclear strategic goals
                                                                                         Bad process management
                                                        Acquisitions
                                                                                         Problems of integration after the
                                                       creating value
                                                                                          acquisition

Multiple                                                                              ► Synergies can be a myth:
 paid                                                                                    Commercial synergies are often
                                                                                          overrated
                                                                                         Difficulty of sharing competences
                             Acquisitions                                                Synergies realised in year 1 are ~1.5x
                           destroying value                                               more valuable than synergies realised in
                                                                                          year 3

                                                                                      ► Value Line‟s experience on 54 due
    High                                                                                diligences:
                                                                                         27% were a no go due to poor value
            Low                            EBITDA growth                     High          creation prospects
                                                                                         Uncovering fundamental flows in
                                                                                           business plans




Source: Desktop research, VLC analysis and estimates
Background

Case study – Names, figures and dates have been disguised


                    A domestic alcoholic beverage manufacturer, owned by a private
     The Target     equity fund




                    A tight „auction process‟ run by a global investment bank
                       ► 5 weeks for indicative offer, at the end of which a number
                         of parties were shortlisted – limited information available
     The Process
                       ► 4 weeks for final binding offer – access to data room;
                         limited management meetings and site visits




                    A foreign public global FMCG company
                       ► No experience in the Target‟s segments
     The Client        ► Limited experience doing business in this region
Background

Due Diligence: “duty of a firm’s directors and officers to act prudently in evaluating
associated risk in all transactions”
                                                                                                                 F
           Pre-bid                       Indicative bids                            Final bids                              Post merger
          2-4 weeks                        ~5 weeks                                 ~4 weeks                                 integration

  ► Flyer                     ► Information memorandum                  ► Data Room / M&A                         ► Determine new
    (very high level)           (high level)                            ► Site visits                               organisational footprint
                                                                        ► Management presentation
                                                                                                                  ► Develop combined P&L
  ► Line-up advisors                                                       Deal structuring
                                                                           Debt package                          ► Assess synergies
  ► Layout key issues to explore in Due Diligence
                                                                                                                  ► Develop integration plan
                                                                           Financial Due Diligence
  ► Keep sight of the big picture:
                                                                                                                  ► Manage key areas of the
          Business fit?                                                    Operational Due Diligence              transition (e.g. retention
                                                                                                                    plan, redundancies)
          Geographic fit?
          Product / channel fit?                                          Offer negotiation

          Cultural fit?
                                                                       C    Legal documentation mark up


                                                           B               Legal Due Diligence


                                                                                                 D   Final negotiation/signing


                                A                     Commercial Due Diligence                                                   E Legal completion



Expression of interest                                         Indicative bid                          Final Binding               Settlement
                                                                                                             Bid
                                    Value Line Consulting                             Jones Day
A   Commercial Due Diligence

      Key question: can we believe Management
                                                                                    Underlying questions
                      forecast?
                                                                 1   Are the markets in which the Target operates attractive?
                                                                     ► Size and growth by segment
                                                                     ► Key macro trends (e.g. consumer, regulations, industry
EBITDA                                                                  structure)
                                                                     ► Key risks
                        Binding
                        bids due                                 2   How is the target positioned within the competitive
                                                                     landscape?
                                                          CAGR
                                                                     ► Competitors‟ profiles and strategies
                              +26% CAGR                              ► Target positioning (share evolution, cost, capabilities)
                                              Country A 250%
                                                                     ► Robustness of earnings

                                              Country B   50%
                                                                 3   Synergy and dis-synergies
        -10.5 % CAGR                                                 ► Are there any to expect?


                                                                 4   What are the realistic financial forecasts?


                                                                                      Our methodology
                                              Domestic    12%    ► 163 stakeholder interviews
                                                                        Australia, NZ, USA, Canada, Asia
                       Domestic
                                                                        Customers, consumers, competitors, industry
                                                                           experts, regulators, suppliers,...
                                                                        Visits of on-premise and off-premise venues
                                                                 ► In depth research and analysis
                                                                 ► Site visits, management meetings, Q&A process
                                                                 ► Commissioning of consumer research
                                                                        Focus groups
2008(F) 2009(F) 2010(F) 2011(F) 2012(F) 2013(F) 2014(F)
                                                                        Quantitative research
                                                                 ► Appointment of politics and PR specialised firm
A    Commercial Due Diligence




  Sources of
                          Management’s assumptions                                Value Line findings
value creation

                 ► Market growth sustained                           ► Market growth 200-300 bps lower than
                                                                       management
                 ► Regulatory changes won‟t pass
Organic growth                                                       ► Regulatory changes will go ahead
                 ► Regulations would have little effect anyway       ► Severe impact of one of the proposed
                                                                       regulations

                 ► All new products will do a killing in retail      ► A number of the new products are performing
 New product                                                           poorly
                 ► Significant on-premise opportunity
 development                                                         ► On-premise „locked-in‟ by the majors



                 ► Significant synergies                             ► No synergies
 Operational     ► Procurement and cost saving opportunities         ► Most costs have been taken out by private
improvement                                                            equity owner



                                                                     ► Slow take-up of product α
  Country A      ► Rapid take-up of product α
                                                                     ► Product and brand β unknown
   Growth        ► Significant opportunity for product β
                                                                     ► Significant cost and distribution disadvantage


                 ► Large, attractive market for Target               ► Totally different market/product/consumer
  Country B                                                          ► Significant cost disadvantage
   growth



                       Value Line Consulting                      Management
B   Legal Due Diligence

                            Legal Due Diligence



► Platform
    Physical Data Room
    Electronic Data room

► Scope
    Business
    Costs
    Time
B   Legal Due Diligence

                                  Legal Due Diligence

► Traditional area of check
    Corporate (registration and compliance)
    Key contracts ( main provisions, terms, change of control)
    Autorisation licences (intuitu personae, change of control)
    Employment (Executive contract remuneration, staff entitlements)
    Intellectual property
    Real estate
    Litigation
    Tax
    Legal Environment (Change of policy, law)
    Environment issue and compliance
    Business principle review (Code of conduct; Responsible drinking; Health Warning;
    Environmental Code of conduct policy; sustainability)
B   Legal Due Diligence

                               Legal Due Diligence Goals

► Legal Risks Assessment
   No Deal
   Risks mitigation
   Price reduction

► Consequences regarding legal documentation
   Condition Precedent (CP)
      –Risk protection before signing
   Warranties/ indemnity clauses
      –Risk mitigation – after signing

► Post acquisition improvement (recommendation)
      –IP registration (renewal)
      –Employment rationalisation
      –Key contract changes/ amendments
C   Legal Documentation

                             Legal Documentation



► Share Purchase Agreement (SPA)
    Standards clauses
    Key clauses

► Mark up
    Vendor‟s guidelines
    Negotiation Strategy
C     Legal Documentation

                                         Legal Documentation

        Clauses
► 1.    DEFINITIONS AND INTERPRETATION
► 2.    CONDITIONS
► 3.    SALE AND PURCHASE                                         SCHEDULES
► 4.    PURCHASE PRICE                               SCHEDULE 1 NOTICES
► 5.    PRE CLOSING
                                                     SCHEDULE 2 WARRANTIES
► 6.    CLOSING
► 7.    WARRANTIES AND LIMITATIONS ON CLAIMS         SCHEDULE 3 PURCHASER WARRANTIES AND
                                                              VENDOR COVENANTOR WARRANTIES
► 8.    CLAIM PROCEDURE
► 9.    TAX INDEMNITY                                SCHEDULE 4 CLOSING ACCOUNTS
► 10.   PURCHASER AND COVENANTOR WARRANTIES          SCHEDULE 5 DUE DILIGENCE INDEX
► 11.   TERMINATION
                                                     SCHEDULE 6 DE-BRANDING PRINCIPLES
► 12.   COMPANY NAME AND DE-BRANDING
                                                     SCHEDULE 7 DISCLOSURE LETTER
► 13.   TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
                                                     SCHEDULE 8 ESCROW AGREEMENT
► 14.   EMPLOYEES
► 15.   ENVIRONMENTAL                                SCHEDULE 9   EMPLOYEE ENTITLEMENTS

► 16.   RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS                        SCHEDULE 10 TRANSITION AGREEMENTS
► 17.   CONFIDENTIALITY
► 18.   NOTICES
► 19.   GENERAL
D   Legal Documentation/ Signing

                           Legal Documentation Signing




► Timing

► Power of attorney

► Deposit/ escrow arrangement
   Fund tracking

► Documentation exchange
E   Legal Completion/ Closing

                              Legal Completion/ Closing

► Satisfaction of Condition Precedent

► Corporate documentation
    Share transfer forms
    Share certificates
    Resolution regarding change of directors, address, etc.

► Transition agreements?

► Delivery of inventory, stock, document etc.

► Funds settlement

► Closing accounts and post closing price adjustment

► Post closing obligation (Stamping, Debranching, etc.)
F   Post Merger Integration

Let’s hypothetically assume the deal was closed. Where to from now?




1   Manage key areas of transition – e.g. people retention

2   Re-assess synergies and dis-synergies – with real numbers

3   Determine new organisational footprint – e.g. manufacturing
    and supply chain rationalisation

4   Develop mitigation plan to regulatory changes

5   Develop 5 year strategic plan

6   Develop integration plan
“Toute ressemblance avec des personnes, situations ou
   sociétés existantes ou ayant existées serait bien
                 évidemment fortuite”

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VLC Jones Day : Conduite et déroulement d'une opération d'acquisition en Australie.

  • 1. Reunion des CCEF – section Australie Mercredi 23 novembre, 2011 “Conduite et déroulement d‟une opération d‟acquisition en Australie: example pratique”
  • 2. Background Asia Pacific is expected to be the most active M&A region in 2011 in the context of a worldwide rebound of the activity M&A forecasts In which region do you expect most buyers to be based in the next 12 months? Key reasons for Australia M&A health ► Robust banking system Asia Pacific 45%  Big 4 Australian banks have filled the gap left by foreign lenders ► Strong domestic corporate balance sheet North America 22% ► „Australian‟ characteristics  Strong economy  Low political risks Central Asia 13%  Asian time zone  Anglo-Saxon culture ► Private equity still somehow active Western Europe 7% ► Strong foreign interest  ~40% of deal involved overseas bidders South and 7% ► Great hunting grounds for Chinese buyers Central America (food & beverage, resources) and Japanese companies (food and beverage) Africa  Chinese seek to secure supply source 3% Middel East and leverage domestic market  Japanese seek growth outside of declining domestic market and a Other 3% benefit from a low cost of capital Source: Bloomberg 2011 ,M&A outlook, poll over 1,000 financial market professionals
  • 3. Background Acquisitions are not necessarily the easy answer to growth particularly when assessed in the context of value creation Sensitivity of IRR to multiple paid and EBITDA growth (%) Key facts about acquisitions ► 50-70% of acquisitions do not meet buyers Theoretical expectations:  Size and complexity of the operations  Price paid often too high Low ► Most frequent reasons cited for failures are:  Cultural fit  Unclear strategic goals  Bad process management Acquisitions  Problems of integration after the creating value acquisition Multiple ► Synergies can be a myth: paid  Commercial synergies are often overrated  Difficulty of sharing competences Acquisitions  Synergies realised in year 1 are ~1.5x destroying value more valuable than synergies realised in year 3 ► Value Line‟s experience on 54 due High diligences:  27% were a no go due to poor value Low EBITDA growth High creation prospects  Uncovering fundamental flows in business plans Source: Desktop research, VLC analysis and estimates
  • 4. Background Case study – Names, figures and dates have been disguised A domestic alcoholic beverage manufacturer, owned by a private The Target equity fund A tight „auction process‟ run by a global investment bank ► 5 weeks for indicative offer, at the end of which a number of parties were shortlisted – limited information available The Process ► 4 weeks for final binding offer – access to data room; limited management meetings and site visits A foreign public global FMCG company ► No experience in the Target‟s segments The Client ► Limited experience doing business in this region
  • 5. Background Due Diligence: “duty of a firm’s directors and officers to act prudently in evaluating associated risk in all transactions” F Pre-bid Indicative bids Final bids Post merger 2-4 weeks ~5 weeks ~4 weeks integration ► Flyer ► Information memorandum ► Data Room / M&A ► Determine new (very high level) (high level) ► Site visits organisational footprint ► Management presentation ► Develop combined P&L ► Line-up advisors  Deal structuring  Debt package ► Assess synergies ► Layout key issues to explore in Due Diligence ► Develop integration plan  Financial Due Diligence ► Keep sight of the big picture: ► Manage key areas of the  Business fit?  Operational Due Diligence transition (e.g. retention plan, redundancies)  Geographic fit?  Product / channel fit?  Offer negotiation  Cultural fit? C Legal documentation mark up B Legal Due Diligence D Final negotiation/signing A Commercial Due Diligence E Legal completion Expression of interest Indicative bid Final Binding Settlement Bid Value Line Consulting Jones Day
  • 6. A Commercial Due Diligence Key question: can we believe Management Underlying questions forecast? 1 Are the markets in which the Target operates attractive? ► Size and growth by segment ► Key macro trends (e.g. consumer, regulations, industry EBITDA structure) ► Key risks Binding bids due 2 How is the target positioned within the competitive landscape? CAGR ► Competitors‟ profiles and strategies +26% CAGR ► Target positioning (share evolution, cost, capabilities) Country A 250% ► Robustness of earnings Country B 50% 3 Synergy and dis-synergies -10.5 % CAGR ► Are there any to expect? 4 What are the realistic financial forecasts? Our methodology Domestic 12% ► 163 stakeholder interviews  Australia, NZ, USA, Canada, Asia Domestic  Customers, consumers, competitors, industry experts, regulators, suppliers,...  Visits of on-premise and off-premise venues ► In depth research and analysis ► Site visits, management meetings, Q&A process ► Commissioning of consumer research  Focus groups 2008(F) 2009(F) 2010(F) 2011(F) 2012(F) 2013(F) 2014(F)  Quantitative research ► Appointment of politics and PR specialised firm
  • 7. A Commercial Due Diligence Sources of Management’s assumptions Value Line findings value creation ► Market growth sustained ► Market growth 200-300 bps lower than management ► Regulatory changes won‟t pass Organic growth ► Regulatory changes will go ahead ► Regulations would have little effect anyway ► Severe impact of one of the proposed regulations ► All new products will do a killing in retail ► A number of the new products are performing New product poorly ► Significant on-premise opportunity development ► On-premise „locked-in‟ by the majors ► Significant synergies ► No synergies Operational ► Procurement and cost saving opportunities ► Most costs have been taken out by private improvement equity owner ► Slow take-up of product α Country A ► Rapid take-up of product α ► Product and brand β unknown Growth ► Significant opportunity for product β ► Significant cost and distribution disadvantage ► Large, attractive market for Target ► Totally different market/product/consumer Country B ► Significant cost disadvantage growth Value Line Consulting Management
  • 8. B Legal Due Diligence Legal Due Diligence ► Platform  Physical Data Room  Electronic Data room ► Scope  Business  Costs  Time
  • 9. B Legal Due Diligence Legal Due Diligence ► Traditional area of check  Corporate (registration and compliance)  Key contracts ( main provisions, terms, change of control)  Autorisation licences (intuitu personae, change of control)  Employment (Executive contract remuneration, staff entitlements)  Intellectual property  Real estate  Litigation  Tax  Legal Environment (Change of policy, law)  Environment issue and compliance  Business principle review (Code of conduct; Responsible drinking; Health Warning; Environmental Code of conduct policy; sustainability)
  • 10. B Legal Due Diligence Legal Due Diligence Goals ► Legal Risks Assessment No Deal Risks mitigation Price reduction ► Consequences regarding legal documentation Condition Precedent (CP) –Risk protection before signing Warranties/ indemnity clauses –Risk mitigation – after signing ► Post acquisition improvement (recommendation) –IP registration (renewal) –Employment rationalisation –Key contract changes/ amendments
  • 11. C Legal Documentation Legal Documentation ► Share Purchase Agreement (SPA)  Standards clauses  Key clauses ► Mark up  Vendor‟s guidelines  Negotiation Strategy
  • 12. C Legal Documentation Legal Documentation Clauses ► 1. DEFINITIONS AND INTERPRETATION ► 2. CONDITIONS ► 3. SALE AND PURCHASE SCHEDULES ► 4. PURCHASE PRICE SCHEDULE 1 NOTICES ► 5. PRE CLOSING SCHEDULE 2 WARRANTIES ► 6. CLOSING ► 7. WARRANTIES AND LIMITATIONS ON CLAIMS SCHEDULE 3 PURCHASER WARRANTIES AND VENDOR COVENANTOR WARRANTIES ► 8. CLAIM PROCEDURE ► 9. TAX INDEMNITY SCHEDULE 4 CLOSING ACCOUNTS ► 10. PURCHASER AND COVENANTOR WARRANTIES SCHEDULE 5 DUE DILIGENCE INDEX ► 11. TERMINATION SCHEDULE 6 DE-BRANDING PRINCIPLES ► 12. COMPANY NAME AND DE-BRANDING SCHEDULE 7 DISCLOSURE LETTER ► 13. TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS SCHEDULE 8 ESCROW AGREEMENT ► 14. EMPLOYEES ► 15. ENVIRONMENTAL SCHEDULE 9 EMPLOYEE ENTITLEMENTS ► 16. RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS SCHEDULE 10 TRANSITION AGREEMENTS ► 17. CONFIDENTIALITY ► 18. NOTICES ► 19. GENERAL
  • 13. D Legal Documentation/ Signing Legal Documentation Signing ► Timing ► Power of attorney ► Deposit/ escrow arrangement Fund tracking ► Documentation exchange
  • 14. E Legal Completion/ Closing Legal Completion/ Closing ► Satisfaction of Condition Precedent ► Corporate documentation  Share transfer forms  Share certificates  Resolution regarding change of directors, address, etc. ► Transition agreements? ► Delivery of inventory, stock, document etc. ► Funds settlement ► Closing accounts and post closing price adjustment ► Post closing obligation (Stamping, Debranching, etc.)
  • 15. F Post Merger Integration Let’s hypothetically assume the deal was closed. Where to from now? 1 Manage key areas of transition – e.g. people retention 2 Re-assess synergies and dis-synergies – with real numbers 3 Determine new organisational footprint – e.g. manufacturing and supply chain rationalisation 4 Develop mitigation plan to regulatory changes 5 Develop 5 year strategic plan 6 Develop integration plan
  • 16. “Toute ressemblance avec des personnes, situations ou sociétés existantes ou ayant existées serait bien évidemment fortuite”