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McDonalds: beyond burgers




Competitive Strategy          14 March 2012
Professor Marco Tortoriello        Team A21
8
    1 As the consumer food industry stagnated,
      McDonalds had to look for alternative avenues of
      growth
       When the world consumer food
       industry was volatile…                                          … McDonalds had an existing pilot
       Consumer foodservice value growth in                            project to provide a possible source of
       %                                                               growth
           World                                                        McCafe was first introduced in Melbourne,
           North America                                           8      Australia in 1993
           Western Europe

                                                                          Early outlets with McCafe reported 15%
                4                    4                                     more revenues than the normal McDonalds
                                                        3    3             outlets

           1                                                              By 2001, McDonalds expanded to 300 stores
                                                                           worldwide
                                                    5
                               -1                                         McDonalds introduced McCafe as a product
                                                                           line across in stores in the US
                                           -3
                                                                          By 2008, McDonalds increased McCafe
                                                                           stores worldwide to 1,300

                                                                          Further expansions planned worldwide. In
                      -9                                                   2011 McDonalds Canada announced
               1999                 2000                    2001           intentions of opening a McCafe in every
                                                                           outlet

    Source: Euromonitor, McDonalds Annual Reports                                                                      2
,
    1 The coffee market is an attractive market with
      growth potential and good returns
    World-wide coffee market increased with                       Gross margin for coffee players is 51% on
    2% p.a.                                                       average
    Million bags of coffee                                        Gross margin in percent
                                                                  58                                  Starbucks
                                                                                                      Caribou Coffee
                                                                  56
                                                            132   54
    132
                                                      130
    130                                                           52
                                                                                                                  Ø 51
    128                                         127               50
    126                            +2%
                                                                  48
    124                                   123
    122                                         5                 46
    120                         119 119                           44
    118
                                                                  42
    116
    114                   113                                      4
    112           111
                                                                   2
    110    109
      0                                                            0
           2001 02 2003 04 2005 06 2007 08 2009                    2002   2004    2006      2008   2010    2012

    Source: www.ico.org                                                                                                3
46
 1 The specialty coffee industry is characterized by
   low threats despite competitive rivalry

                                                          Threat of Substitutes - Low
                                                            Drink with addictive character:
                                                           2.25 billion cups/day consumed
                                                            Substitute are tea, juices,
                                                           energy drinks and milkshakes
                                                            Culturally part of daily routine

                 Suppliers Bargaining Power                                            Bargaining Power of Buyers
                   - Low                                                                 - Low
                  25 million small producers of Competition - High                     Fragmented buyers
                   coffee beans                   Monopolistic                         Taste preferences and brand
                  Many providers of roasting     Price, quality and                    loyalty are important drivers
                   facilities                                                           Multiple customer profiles
                                                   scale matters
                  Premium demanded for                                                  including convenience, price
                   quality and organic products                                          sensitive and connoisseur



                                                       Threat of New Entrants - Medium Traditional
                                                          Single store cafe’s have very   Complements
                                                         limited barriers to entry      Merchandise – coffee
                                                          Specialty coffee chains need    cups, mugs, T- Shirts etc.
                                                          scale and thus high capex      Cookies, donuts and short
                                                          for prime locations             eats

     Source: World Development Vol. 30, No. 7, pp. 1099–1122, 2002                                                       4
,
    2 McDonald’s can surpass Starbucks as the largest
      coffee retailer by bringing McCafe to ~50% of its
      stores
    McDonalds has two times the stores of Starbucks
    Thousands of stores world-wide                                                                    Competitive advantage

    35                                                                                                 McDonalds’ size allows it to
                                                                                                       cover Starbucks’ retail
    30                                                                           McDonalds             network at a lower cost:
                                                                                                        Installing McCafe’s in 50%
    25                                                                                                   of the McD stores will
                                                                                                         make the retail network
    20                                                                                                   larger than Starbucks
                                                                                 Starbucks              McCafe capex is one third
    15                                                                                                   of Starbucks capex (USD
                                                                                                         315k)
    10                                                                           Dunkin’                McDonalds has 20% more
                                                                                 Corp1
                                                                                                         cash (USD 2.5bn) than
     5                                                                                                   Starbucks (USD 2.0bn) on
                                                                                                         balance sheet to expand
     0
      2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
    1 Dunkin’ Corp is the parent company of Dunkin’ Donuts and Baskin Robbins (icecream)
    Source: McDonald’s balance sheet 9/30/2011; Starbucks balance sheet 01/01/2012; McDonalds annual report 2009                      5
2 McDonalds’ strong capabilities allowed it to roll
  out a coffee retail chain with less effort than
  competitors

  Infrastructure Broad retail network - 32k stores, translates into capabilities to scale up fast
                 at lower costs (McCafe costs 1/3 of the USD 315K spent for a Starbucks
                 store)
  HR             High quality training programs to quickly re-train employees for new roles

  Technical   Proven experience in developing products that fit with customer taste,
  Development ability to standardize products and operations on world-wide scale

  Operations and Logistics                            Marketing & Sales               Services

     Guaranteed access to quality                       Established regional           Ability to draw on its
      supplies due to exclusive and                       marketing strategy and          experience in fast
      long-term contracts with suppliers                  media relations would           food to have faster
      such as Kraft                                       result in a effective and       service times for
                                                         quick campaign for new          McCafe products
      Existing supply chain network
                                                          products
      can be easily leveraged to better                                                  Can reach a wider
      integrate and roll out new product                 Strong brand recognition        customer
      lines faster                                        drives traffic and quick        base through
                                                         adoption and increase of        drive-through stores
      Franchised operations make it
                                                          sales of new product            and longer opening
      easier to increase stores with
                                                          lines                           hours
      lower capital expenditure

Source: McDonalds 2010 Annual Report, Business Week                                                                6
1%
 3 McCafe has lower prices than Dunkin’ Donuts and
   Starbucks, and McDonalds overall has lower
   COGS
 Price of a medium latte coffee in Orange                                 Cost of Goods Sold as percentage of sales 1
 County
                                                                          Percent of sales in 2011
 USD in 2011


     McCafe                                    2.89                                          23%




     Dunkin’                                    3.00        -0.36                           20%                             -28
     Donuts




 Starbucks                                         3.25                                                             51%




 To increase demand for its McCafe products,                              McDonalds and DD have lower COGS than Starbucks
 McDonalds priced its products below competitors                           Less costly raw materials (less specialized coffee)
                                                                           Smaller assortment of exotic coffees

 1 COGS based on COGS / sales from company financials; for McCafe: (paper + food) / sales
 Source: Analyst Reports; Industry Reports; Company; Company Financials                                                       7
3 Introducing McCafe increased McDonalds menu
  range and enabled it to access a broader
  customer base
                             Premium – Up Scale                     The positioning rationale

                                                                     By introducing McCafe,
                    The Coffee Bean                                   McDonalds is able to broaden the
                    & Tea Leaf                                        base of their target customer
                                                                      whilst sticking to their price
                                         Starbucks
                                                                      segment

                                                                     McDonalds broadened its menu
                           Dunkin’            YUM! Brands
Limited                                                     Broad     range to keep the customer
                           Donuts               McDonalds             longer in the store and spread the
Menu                                                        Menu
Range                McDonalds                  + McCafe    Range     visits more evenly over the day

                                Burger King                          Main competitors - Dunkin
                                                                      Donuts and Starbucks – differ
                           Wendy’s                                    substantially in price

                                                                     YUM! has the broadest menu
                                                                      range, but divided over multiple
                                                                      brands (Pizza Hut, KFC, Taco
                                                                      Bell). Thus, McDonalds has the
                             No Frills – Low End                      advantage of a unique brand
                                                                      across all its products

Source: Company websites                                                                                 8
3 McDonalds is close to the leading edge of the
  productivity frontier; Dunkin is more differentiated
                                                                Fast-food
Differentiation
Gross profit / sales1                                           Coffee to go
                                                                                Drivers of Differentiation
                                                                Coffee retail
100
                                                                                 Second Cup increased gross margin by
                   The Second Cup
 90                                                                               increasing same-store sales with more than 30
                                                                                  different premium coffees
 80                                                                              Wendy’s has lowest opex mostly because it
           Dunkin’ Corp
                                                                                  has consolidated overhead in one center
 70               YUM! Brands
                                                                                 Dunkin’ Corp is more differentiated
 60                                                                               because it has:
       Caribou Coffee Company                                                        A broad geographic distribution of its
 50                                                                                    ~10k points of sale
                    Peet’s Cofee and Tea                                             A mix of value and premium items
                        Starbucks           McDonalds                                A high willingness-to-pay for coffee to go
 40                Kraft Foods                                                       High margins and low COGS on donuts
            Burger King        McDonalds 2001
 30                             Sara Lee                                         YUM! drives up WTP by having:
                                                                                     Multiple brands (KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza
 20                                                           Wendy’s                 Hut)
                                                                                     Large scale (35k retail stores)
 10
                                                                                 McDonalds benefits from:
                                                                                    Large-scale purchasing capabilities
   0
                                                                                    Broad geographic coverage
       0    1 2    3 4    5 6     7 8         9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18          Introduction of new product lines
1 All data 2011 averages, except for Burger                Opex turnover
King 2010 gross profit / sales                           (1/(opex/sales) 1
Source: Google Finance; Thomson One; Company Financials; Analyst Reports                                                       9
4 McDonalds adapted the McCafe concept to
  incorporate a lounge store-in-store concept…
                                            GERMAN
                                                                                          EXAMPLE
              Factors                         United States             Germany

              Annual to go coffee  100 liters/person                    150 liters/person
 Market consumption
 factors
         Market phase                          Young market             Developed
              #1 Competitor                    Starbucks                Tchibo
              Product positioning  McCafe drinks as product             Store-in-Store concept
                                                 extension

 Adap-        Distribution                     Drive-through            Lounge area in McD store
 tation       Example product                  Extra Large Soy Latté    Groß Milchkaffe
              Target customers                 Transit                  Young, social




 Photos




Source: Euromarket International 2010; Euromarket International 2011                                 10
4 …and its scale and established local operations
  gave McCafe a competitive advantage       GERMAN
                                                                                                      EXAMPLE
                                McDonalds’ resources                                 Advantages for McCafe

                                    Large retail presence – 1,415 stores                Easy to roll out McCafe stores – 764
  Scale                             Significant market share – 27%                       stores currently
                                                                                         Tap existing customers with McCafe
                                    Long market presence – 41 years                     Knowledge of taste preferences
  Learning                                                                               Tested concept in a German-speaking
                                    Austria served as a test market
                                                                                          country
  Production/                       Established supply chain                            Easier to push new product
  Sourcing                                                                                extensions to (franchised) stores

                                    Remodeling existing stores to                       Capital expenditure is a third of
  Design                             incorporate store-in-store concept                   Starbucks (USD 315k)

                                                                                         Strong supplier relationships
                                    Strong supplier relationships
  Cost                                                                                   Franchised set up leads to lower
                                    81% of stores franchised
                                                                                          capex costs for McDonalds group
                                    Existing stores remodeled                           Increased sales per square foot
  Utilization                       Training of existing employee base                  Pooling leads to higher utilization

                                    Fast-food production efficiencies                    Waiting time 32% below Starbucks
  Efficiencies
                                    Standardized practices                               Easy to introduce new products

Source: “unternehmen” www.mccafe.de 01 March 2012 “McDonalds.”Euromarket International. August 2011                              11
600
  5 Since its introduction in 2006, McCafe has grown
    rapidly in number of stores and revenues GERMAN
                                                                                                                         EXAMPLE
  McCafe store-in-stores grew 37% p.a.                                         McCafe revenues grew 13% p.a.
  Number of German McCafe store-in-stores 1                                    Revenues in EUR million




                                                                             600                                  +13%             578
  800                                                           764                                                      545
                                                    740                      550
                                     +37%
  700                                                                        500                           462
  600                                                                        450
                                       540                                                  402
                                                                             400
  500                                                 5                      350
  400                                                                        300
                          293                                                250
  300
                                                                             200
             214
  200                                                                        150
                                                                             100
  100
                                                                              50
      0                                                                          0
            2006         2007         2008        2009         2010                       2007             2008          2009   2010
  1 2007 and 2009 estimated based for 2006-2010 CAGR
        1 Only yearly data available on Caribou Coffee: yearly sales uniformly distributed over quarters
  Source: Euromonitor 2011                                                                                                               12
,
    5 The launch of McCafe boosted stock performance
      above competitors and decreased sales variance
    McDonalds’ stock price increased with 30% p.a. after                                             …while decreasing the variance of
    McCafe introduction vs 20% p.a. for Starbucks and                                                sales growth
    outperformed YUM! Brands at growth of 16% p.a.
                                                                                                     QoQ sales growth 2001-2006
    USD                                                                                              standard deviation in percent

    110               Starbucks
                      McDonalds
    100
                      YUM! Brands                                                                     McDonalds       5
     90
     80
     70
     60                                                                                                 Starbucks         7
     50
     40                                       +30%                          16%

     30                                        20%
     20                                                                                            YUM! Brands                       21
     10
       0
       1998        2000        2002         2004        2006        2008        2010        2012
          1 Only yearly data available for Caribou Coffee: yearly sales uniformly distributed over quarters
    Source: Thomson One; Company Financials                                                                                          13
6 The dominant strategy is to maintain current price
  status quo to increase industry profitability

                      Starbucks maintains                         Starbucks reacts

                         The current status quo has a               Starbucks could probably react by reducing
                          price differential between                  prices equal to McDonalds
                          Starbucks and McCafe of 36 USD             This would take the price sensitive customer
                          cents or 11%
    McDonalds




                                                                      back to Starbucks as it enjoys the perception
    maintains




                         Gross margin of McDonalds and               of providing premium coffee
                          Starbucks are similar at around            We believe that this scenario is unlikely as
                          45%                                         McDonalds has the gross margin
                                                                      leverage and complementary revenue
                                                                      streams to react
                                                                    If Starbucks were to reduce prices,
   McDonalds reacts




                          McDonalds has already positioned
                          itself as the lower-cost option and         McDonalds will react to ensure that the
                          will not react without a Starbucks          price differential is maintained
                          reaction                                   This outcome will not impact customer
                         Unlikely that McDonalds will                patterns largely but may have some impact
                          reduce prices if Starbucks maintains        on overall coffee consumers
                          as it will not bring them any further      We believe this will lead to lower industry
                          benefit
                                                                      profits as the rest will have to follow suit



Source: Team A2 analysis                                                                                              14
6 Establish a core McCafe product and develop at-
  home coffee solutions to mitigate competitor’s
  actions
                   Competitor’s actions           Impact on McDonalds            Mitigation measures

                    The Starbucks and Dunkin      The broad menu range
                     Donuts challenge in main       distinction of                 nsure that core
                     stream fast foods.             McDonalds will be              competency in food is
Main                                                diluted if the competition     sustained with a strong
stream                       Bacon and Gouda        moves towards a similar        focus on healthier
and                          Artisan S/W            product extension              options
product                      Starbucks              strategy
extension
                                                   Starbucks and Dunkin           evelop campaigns to
                    Emulation by Burger King,      Donuts already have a          establish a core McCafe
                     Wendy’s, Pizza Hut etc.        presence in hot breakfast      coffee product which is
                                                    meals.                         as associable as the Big
                                                                                   Mac (Frappucino for
                    The Dunkin Donuts and         At-home coffee                 Starbucks)
                     Starbucks push towards at-     solutions (beans, K-
                     home coffee (beans,            Cups) is aimed at getting
                     powder, K-Cups)                the customer accustomed        evelop and market at-
At-home                                             to a particular blend and      home coffee solutions
products                                            thereby increasing the         such as McCafe K-Cups
                                                    resistance to change.          and coffee blends to
                                                                                   develop customer tastes
                                                                                   and build brand loyalty

Source: Team A2 analysis                                                                                     15
7 McDonalds should increase its profits by
  expanding the McCafe concept


       
       A Roll-out more McCafe store-in-store concepts worldwide
           Store-in-store increased sales with 15% in Australia
           Need to increase time spent in store per customer and sales per customer
           Decrease variance in sales overall and throughout the day



        
       B Introduce McCafe at home products
            Develop a McCafe taste which increases store-visits and same-store-sales
            Increase revenue stream by adding a product line
            Increase the brand recognition of McDonalds as a coffee producer



       
       C Develop healthy complementary products for McCafe
           Drive up sales per customer
           Attract a different segment to McCafe because of its more healthier positioning




Source: Team A2 analysis                                                                      16
Questions?




             17

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McDonalds MccCafe Team A2

  • 1. McDonalds: beyond burgers Competitive Strategy 14 March 2012 Professor Marco Tortoriello Team A21
  • 2. 8 1 As the consumer food industry stagnated, McDonalds had to look for alternative avenues of growth When the world consumer food industry was volatile… … McDonalds had an existing pilot Consumer foodservice value growth in project to provide a possible source of % growth World  McCafe was first introduced in Melbourne, North America 8 Australia in 1993 Western Europe  Early outlets with McCafe reported 15% 4 4 more revenues than the normal McDonalds 3 3 outlets 1  By 2001, McDonalds expanded to 300 stores worldwide 5 -1  McDonalds introduced McCafe as a product line across in stores in the US -3  By 2008, McDonalds increased McCafe stores worldwide to 1,300  Further expansions planned worldwide. In -9 2011 McDonalds Canada announced 1999 2000 2001 intentions of opening a McCafe in every outlet Source: Euromonitor, McDonalds Annual Reports 2
  • 3. , 1 The coffee market is an attractive market with growth potential and good returns World-wide coffee market increased with Gross margin for coffee players is 51% on 2% p.a. average Million bags of coffee Gross margin in percent 58 Starbucks Caribou Coffee 56 132 54 132 130 130 52 Ø 51 128 127 50 126 +2% 48 124 123 122 5 46 120 119 119 44 118 42 116 114 113 4 112 111 2 110 109 0 0 2001 02 2003 04 2005 06 2007 08 2009 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: www.ico.org 3
  • 4. 46 1 The specialty coffee industry is characterized by low threats despite competitive rivalry  Threat of Substitutes - Low Drink with addictive character:  2.25 billion cups/day consumed Substitute are tea, juices,  energy drinks and milkshakes Culturally part of daily routine Suppliers Bargaining Power Bargaining Power of Buyers - Low - Low  25 million small producers of Competition - High  Fragmented buyers coffee beans  Monopolistic  Taste preferences and brand  Many providers of roasting  Price, quality and loyalty are important drivers facilities  Multiple customer profiles scale matters  Premium demanded for including convenience, price quality and organic products sensitive and connoisseur Threat of New Entrants - Medium Traditional Single store cafe’s have very Complements  limited barriers to entry  Merchandise – coffee Specialty coffee chains need cups, mugs, T- Shirts etc. scale and thus high capex  Cookies, donuts and short for prime locations eats Source: World Development Vol. 30, No. 7, pp. 1099–1122, 2002 4
  • 5. , 2 McDonald’s can surpass Starbucks as the largest coffee retailer by bringing McCafe to ~50% of its stores McDonalds has two times the stores of Starbucks Thousands of stores world-wide Competitive advantage 35 McDonalds’ size allows it to cover Starbucks’ retail 30 McDonalds network at a lower cost:  Installing McCafe’s in 50% 25 of the McD stores will make the retail network 20 larger than Starbucks Starbucks  McCafe capex is one third 15 of Starbucks capex (USD 315k) 10 Dunkin’  McDonalds has 20% more Corp1 cash (USD 2.5bn) than 5 Starbucks (USD 2.0bn) on balance sheet to expand 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1 Dunkin’ Corp is the parent company of Dunkin’ Donuts and Baskin Robbins (icecream) Source: McDonald’s balance sheet 9/30/2011; Starbucks balance sheet 01/01/2012; McDonalds annual report 2009 5
  • 6. 2 McDonalds’ strong capabilities allowed it to roll out a coffee retail chain with less effort than competitors Infrastructure Broad retail network - 32k stores, translates into capabilities to scale up fast at lower costs (McCafe costs 1/3 of the USD 315K spent for a Starbucks store) HR High quality training programs to quickly re-train employees for new roles Technical Proven experience in developing products that fit with customer taste, Development ability to standardize products and operations on world-wide scale Operations and Logistics Marketing & Sales Services  Guaranteed access to quality  Established regional  Ability to draw on its supplies due to exclusive and marketing strategy and experience in fast long-term contracts with suppliers media relations would food to have faster such as Kraft result in a effective and service times for  quick campaign for new McCafe products Existing supply chain network products can be easily leveraged to better  Can reach a wider integrate and roll out new product  Strong brand recognition customer lines faster drives traffic and quick base through  adoption and increase of drive-through stores Franchised operations make it sales of new product and longer opening easier to increase stores with lines hours lower capital expenditure Source: McDonalds 2010 Annual Report, Business Week 6
  • 7. 1% 3 McCafe has lower prices than Dunkin’ Donuts and Starbucks, and McDonalds overall has lower COGS Price of a medium latte coffee in Orange Cost of Goods Sold as percentage of sales 1 County Percent of sales in 2011 USD in 2011 McCafe 2.89 23% Dunkin’ 3.00 -0.36 20% -28 Donuts Starbucks 3.25 51% To increase demand for its McCafe products, McDonalds and DD have lower COGS than Starbucks McDonalds priced its products below competitors  Less costly raw materials (less specialized coffee)  Smaller assortment of exotic coffees 1 COGS based on COGS / sales from company financials; for McCafe: (paper + food) / sales Source: Analyst Reports; Industry Reports; Company; Company Financials 7
  • 8. 3 Introducing McCafe increased McDonalds menu range and enabled it to access a broader customer base Premium – Up Scale The positioning rationale  By introducing McCafe, The Coffee Bean McDonalds is able to broaden the & Tea Leaf base of their target customer whilst sticking to their price Starbucks segment  McDonalds broadened its menu Dunkin’ YUM! Brands Limited Broad range to keep the customer Donuts McDonalds longer in the store and spread the Menu Menu Range McDonalds + McCafe Range visits more evenly over the day Burger King  Main competitors - Dunkin Donuts and Starbucks – differ Wendy’s substantially in price  YUM! has the broadest menu range, but divided over multiple brands (Pizza Hut, KFC, Taco Bell). Thus, McDonalds has the No Frills – Low End advantage of a unique brand across all its products Source: Company websites 8
  • 9. 3 McDonalds is close to the leading edge of the productivity frontier; Dunkin is more differentiated Fast-food Differentiation Gross profit / sales1 Coffee to go Drivers of Differentiation Coffee retail 100  Second Cup increased gross margin by The Second Cup 90 increasing same-store sales with more than 30 different premium coffees 80  Wendy’s has lowest opex mostly because it Dunkin’ Corp has consolidated overhead in one center 70 YUM! Brands  Dunkin’ Corp is more differentiated 60 because it has: Caribou Coffee Company  A broad geographic distribution of its 50 ~10k points of sale Peet’s Cofee and Tea  A mix of value and premium items Starbucks McDonalds  A high willingness-to-pay for coffee to go 40 Kraft Foods  High margins and low COGS on donuts Burger King McDonalds 2001 30 Sara Lee  YUM! drives up WTP by having:  Multiple brands (KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza 20 Wendy’s Hut)  Large scale (35k retail stores) 10  McDonalds benefits from:  Large-scale purchasing capabilities 0  Broad geographic coverage 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18  Introduction of new product lines 1 All data 2011 averages, except for Burger Opex turnover King 2010 gross profit / sales (1/(opex/sales) 1 Source: Google Finance; Thomson One; Company Financials; Analyst Reports 9
  • 10. 4 McDonalds adapted the McCafe concept to incorporate a lounge store-in-store concept… GERMAN EXAMPLE Factors United States Germany Annual to go coffee  100 liters/person  150 liters/person Market consumption factors Market phase  Young market  Developed #1 Competitor  Starbucks  Tchibo Product positioning  McCafe drinks as product  Store-in-Store concept extension Adap- Distribution  Drive-through  Lounge area in McD store tation Example product  Extra Large Soy Latté  Groß Milchkaffe Target customers  Transit  Young, social Photos Source: Euromarket International 2010; Euromarket International 2011 10
  • 11. 4 …and its scale and established local operations gave McCafe a competitive advantage GERMAN EXAMPLE McDonalds’ resources Advantages for McCafe  Large retail presence – 1,415 stores  Easy to roll out McCafe stores – 764 Scale  Significant market share – 27% stores currently  Tap existing customers with McCafe  Long market presence – 41 years  Knowledge of taste preferences Learning  Tested concept in a German-speaking  Austria served as a test market country Production/  Established supply chain  Easier to push new product Sourcing extensions to (franchised) stores  Remodeling existing stores to  Capital expenditure is a third of Design incorporate store-in-store concept Starbucks (USD 315k)  Strong supplier relationships  Strong supplier relationships Cost  Franchised set up leads to lower  81% of stores franchised capex costs for McDonalds group  Existing stores remodeled  Increased sales per square foot Utilization  Training of existing employee base  Pooling leads to higher utilization  Fast-food production efficiencies  Waiting time 32% below Starbucks Efficiencies  Standardized practices  Easy to introduce new products Source: “unternehmen” www.mccafe.de 01 March 2012 “McDonalds.”Euromarket International. August 2011 11
  • 12. 600 5 Since its introduction in 2006, McCafe has grown rapidly in number of stores and revenues GERMAN EXAMPLE McCafe store-in-stores grew 37% p.a. McCafe revenues grew 13% p.a. Number of German McCafe store-in-stores 1 Revenues in EUR million 600 +13% 578 800 764 545 740 550 +37% 700 500 462 600 450 540 402 400 500 5 350 400 300 293 250 300 200 214 200 150 100 100 50 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 1 2007 and 2009 estimated based for 2006-2010 CAGR 1 Only yearly data available on Caribou Coffee: yearly sales uniformly distributed over quarters Source: Euromonitor 2011 12
  • 13. , 5 The launch of McCafe boosted stock performance above competitors and decreased sales variance McDonalds’ stock price increased with 30% p.a. after …while decreasing the variance of McCafe introduction vs 20% p.a. for Starbucks and sales growth outperformed YUM! Brands at growth of 16% p.a. QoQ sales growth 2001-2006 USD standard deviation in percent 110 Starbucks McDonalds 100 YUM! Brands McDonalds 5 90 80 70 60 Starbucks 7 50 40 +30% 16% 30 20% 20 YUM! Brands 21 10 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 1 Only yearly data available for Caribou Coffee: yearly sales uniformly distributed over quarters Source: Thomson One; Company Financials 13
  • 14. 6 The dominant strategy is to maintain current price status quo to increase industry profitability Starbucks maintains Starbucks reacts  The current status quo has a  Starbucks could probably react by reducing price differential between prices equal to McDonalds Starbucks and McCafe of 36 USD  This would take the price sensitive customer cents or 11% McDonalds back to Starbucks as it enjoys the perception maintains  Gross margin of McDonalds and of providing premium coffee Starbucks are similar at around  We believe that this scenario is unlikely as 45% McDonalds has the gross margin leverage and complementary revenue streams to react   If Starbucks were to reduce prices, McDonalds reacts McDonalds has already positioned itself as the lower-cost option and McDonalds will react to ensure that the will not react without a Starbucks price differential is maintained reaction  This outcome will not impact customer  Unlikely that McDonalds will patterns largely but may have some impact reduce prices if Starbucks maintains on overall coffee consumers as it will not bring them any further  We believe this will lead to lower industry benefit profits as the rest will have to follow suit Source: Team A2 analysis 14
  • 15. 6 Establish a core McCafe product and develop at- home coffee solutions to mitigate competitor’s actions Competitor’s actions Impact on McDonalds Mitigation measures  The Starbucks and Dunkin  The broad menu range Donuts challenge in main distinction of nsure that core stream fast foods. McDonalds will be competency in food is Main diluted if the competition sustained with a strong stream Bacon and Gouda moves towards a similar focus on healthier and Artisan S/W product extension options product Starbucks strategy extension  Starbucks and Dunkin evelop campaigns to  Emulation by Burger King, Donuts already have a establish a core McCafe Wendy’s, Pizza Hut etc. presence in hot breakfast coffee product which is meals. as associable as the Big Mac (Frappucino for  The Dunkin Donuts and  At-home coffee Starbucks) Starbucks push towards at- solutions (beans, K- home coffee (beans, Cups) is aimed at getting powder, K-Cups) the customer accustomed evelop and market at- At-home to a particular blend and home coffee solutions products thereby increasing the such as McCafe K-Cups resistance to change. and coffee blends to develop customer tastes and build brand loyalty Source: Team A2 analysis 15
  • 16. 7 McDonalds should increase its profits by expanding the McCafe concept  A Roll-out more McCafe store-in-store concepts worldwide  Store-in-store increased sales with 15% in Australia  Need to increase time spent in store per customer and sales per customer  Decrease variance in sales overall and throughout the day  B Introduce McCafe at home products  Develop a McCafe taste which increases store-visits and same-store-sales  Increase revenue stream by adding a product line  Increase the brand recognition of McDonalds as a coffee producer  C Develop healthy complementary products for McCafe  Drive up sales per customer  Attract a different segment to McCafe because of its more healthier positioning Source: Team A2 analysis 16

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. DR
  2. DR: - the food market in 1999-2001 was very volatile McD looked for alternatives McD had already a good coffee extension in Australia 2011 announcement: in Canada in all stores Foodservice definition: TBD
  3. DR In 2011: this market was USD 71bn retail value of coffee Even when the economy was stagnating / we are in a recession: coffee market still grew
  4. DR: overall low threats: example:drink is addictive, part of culture, many suppliers, buyers are fragmented and new chain entrants would need large capex But high competitive rivarly as there are many players: few big ones, many small ones
  5. DR McD is large If they want to compete: 50% of stores, 1/3 of capex, 20% more cash than largest player
  6. DR Key capabilities: high quality training programs, know local markets + can run effective local marketing campaign, proven experience in developing products that fit with customer taste + we can standardize the roll-out / production world-wide Thats why they can roll out with far less effort than anyone else
  7. VR How did they enter the market: Cheaper than DD and SB (general trend) We can infer also lower COGS position than SB -> thus cost player: able to pull of lower prices with good margins
  8. VR New product line: menu range became broaders Furthermore, McCafe SiS are designed more premium than standard McDonalds + product range is more premium
  9. VR This translate into: more differentiated + more efficient (opex turnover increased) Two examples: second cup + Wendy’s McDonalds moves to the right because the revenues they generate from McCafe grow faster than the incremental opex
  10. DR - In
  11. DR
  12. DR In 2008: about 1,300 McCafe’s worldwide, this means 40% in Germany
  13. DR: decreasing variance of sales growth because: Coffee + complements sales are more spread out over the day Lower value items can target a larger segment Customers buy more complements
  14. VR
  15. VR
  16. VR
  17. VR