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MMA: Mapeando o
caminho para o
futuro
O Futuro de acordo com 60+ Global CMO
& líderes de marketing leaders que
fazem parte dos boards da MMA
Greg Stuart
CEO
greg@mmaglobal.com
Mobile Marketing Association
1. The Problem:
We thought it was proving the ROI of Mobile
2. …But we Found a Bigger problem…
Marketing measurement is out of touch
3. …the MMA is driving a solution
Challenge is that it’s hard, and early. But still critical
Today’s Agenda (about the future)
First: Who’s ‘behind’ the MMA Future Agenda
3
CMO GM
CMO Verizon
CMO Allstate
CMO Chobani
CMO Samsung
CMO CVS
Head of Marketing LATAM Air
CBO JP Morgan
Global Media Unilever
Global Brand Officer Marriott
Others…
$20 billion in Marketing Spend
Global CRO - Facebook
Global CRO – Snapchat
Global CRO – Twitter
Global CRO – Pandora
President, Google Americas
CEO Tune
CEO GroundTruth
$125B+ in Marketing Revenue
In 2011, Mobile Had
a Real Problem
NO measurement
company or platform
was able to measure the
Value/ROI of Mobile in
the Marketing Mix
4
In spite of Mobile
being the single
greatest revolution in
consumer media
habits in our
generation
Last year (and year before), I Referenced….
5
SMoX.me = Smart Mobile Cross Marketing Effectiveness Studies
TV
Print
Internet
FSI
Cinema
Social
Radio
OOH
Mobile Display
Display,
video,
social
Display,
video,
native,
location
Display,
audio,
video
social
Display,
video,
social
Display,
video,
social
Display,
video,
social
Display,
RM,
Weather
targeting,
social,
video
Display,
Video,
behavioral,
retargeting,
location,
contextual
Display,
Video,
RM, social
Contextual,
location,
daypart6
2014 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017
Each Campaign Measured a Variety of Media Mixes
Overall, SMoX Patterns in Optimized Marketing Mixes
suggest that Mobile should be 15%-20% of Total Media
7
1%
5% 4%
6% 5%
12% 11%
16%
26%
20%
15%
12%
15% 15%
19%
17% 17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
AT&T Gold Peak
Tea/Coca Cola
MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola
China
Coca Cola
Brazil
Unilever
Magnum
Allstate Wendys
% of mobile display in the mx (ex search)
Optimal allocations to Mobile
as a percentage of total marketing mix
Gap to Optimal
Actual Spend
And when Mobile is Optimized; Gains are nearly +20%
in Brand metrics and +7% to (a crazy) +60% in Sales
8
18%
7%
17% 14% 16%
60%
13% 7%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
150%
175%
AT&T Gold Peak
Tea/Coca
Cola
MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola
China
Coca Cola
Brazil
Unilever
Magnum
Allstate Wendys
% of mobile display in the mx (ex search)
Increase in Key Business Outcomes
Based Mobile in the Mix versus No Mobile
Increase in Key
Business Outcomes
Sales
SalesSalesSalesSalesBrand
Sales
Image
We Learned a Lot
from SMoX
For one…GOD is NOT
DEAD!
TV still works (but not in
the ways you may have
imagined)
9
Mobile offers a big
Opportunity but MIX
Still Really Matters
TV (God) is not Dead! Plus or minus, Half of the Media
Mix should Still go to TV.
10
70% 38%
Awareness,
New product
launch
Image and
Sales, Brand
Building
Image and
Sales,
National
Launch
70% 65% 60%
Image,
existing
brand
50%
Sales,
Promotional,
Education
needed
Promotion, no
education needed
50% 38%
But Shorter Video is TWICE as Valuable
11 Proprietary & Confidential
Video Audio
200 118
100 100
*Index is based on Number of people who became more likely to consider Allstate / $ spent
15-SECONDS
30-SECONDS
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
PointIncreaseinPricePerception
Frequency
Frequency to Lift Response Mobile Video vs. TV*
And we Don’t Need to Run Nearly as Much as is
required in TV
12
CABLE TV
MOBILE VIDEO
2-3 Ads are
Enough in Mobile
In Addition to all
that; a Disruptive
Trend Emerged
Seems that our
assumptions were
being reset and
reshaped.
13
Measuring Mobile is
not the issue. It is
measuring the whole
marketing stack, “in
all it’s permutations”
is critical.
14
Just Looking at Ads, Doesn’t tell us the Whole Story
14
Branding:
Aided Awareness/
$ spent*
Sales:
ROI
Mobile Display
with weather
targeting
Mobile
Display
Campaign Average
(across all media) 100 100
*Index is based on Number of people who became aware of Magnum per $ spent.
200 147
175 ZERO
*Index is based on Number of people who became more likely to consider Allstate / $ spent
We’ve Consistently Seen How Targeting Improves
Performance. Even Location for Insurance
Mobile Video Targeting Consideration / $ Spent
+ Behavioral
targeting
+ Contextual
targeting
Demographic
targeting 100
15
320
191
Then Suddenly,
Everything Changed
Proprietary & Confidential 17
And New Data integrations makes new
Opportunities (audience & performance) possible
Foot traffic /
$ spent*
Commuter
Coupon User
Campaign Average
(across all media) 100
518
500
18
The Impact of getting it RIGHT?
33%
Of the mix
in mobile
+166%
Foot traffic
Wendy’s Set a New Goal Level when the Brand Found
Highly Targeted, Large Segments that Really Worked
20
1%
5% 4%
6% 5%
12% 11%
16%
26%
20%
15%
12%
15% 15%
19%
17% 17%
33%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
AT&T Gold Peak
Tea/Coca Cola
MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola
China
Coca Cola
Brazil
Unilever
Magnum
Allstate Wendys
% of mobile display in the mx (ex search)
Optimal allocations to Mobile
as a percentage of total marketing mix
Gap to Optimal
Actual Spend
Now We have a New Vision for How High, High Could Be
21
18%
7%
17% 14% 16%
60%
13% 7%
166%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
150%
175%
AT&T Gold Peak
Tea/Coca
Cola
MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola
China
Coca Cola
Brazil
Unilever
Magnum
Allstate Wendys
% of mobile display in the mx (ex search)
Increase in Key Business Outcomes
Based Mobile in the Mix vs. No Mobile
Increase in Key
Business Outcomes
Sales
SalesSalesSalesSalesBrand
Sales
Image
Traffic
The ONLY answer is
Multi-Touch
Attribution, or MTA
MMA Board believes
it’s hard but needs to
be done
22
It’s the only answer.
We have to get
there. Solves so
many issues.
But it’s really hard,
and early
First, what Is MTA
23
Multi-Touch Attribution: The science of
using advanced analytics,
• on user level data,
• to allocate proportional credit,
• across a granular list of marketing
touchpoints across many,
• and hopefully all, online and offline channels,
leading to a desired customer outcome.
Excluded: Traditional MMM, brand tracking and last-touch attribution methods
…How else do we assess the value of ad unit combination #159:
Or, Mobile video channel targeting men who
have visited a dealership in the last 7 days
…Or assess the value of ad unit combination #395:
Or, Mobile audio channel targeting women who
commute by a QSR regularly over last month
…Versus the dozen’s or hundreds of other ad format, data, target, time of day,
context, location, etc. combinations
The issue is that ONLY MTA can get Granular
24
So, in September 2016, we Launched…
25
MATT is a community of industry experts committed to rethinking
the world of marketing measurement and attribution; seeking to
give marketers better measurements, tools and confidence in
connecting marketing to business outcomes.
All MMA members are invited to participate in MATT
MATT’s MTA Strategy – How it all fits together…
26
MTA Decision Guide™
- MTA Landscape Report
- MTA Provider Scoring Tool
- MTA Request for Information
- 4-Part Intro to MTA Webinar
MTA Tactical
Success Guide™
MMA MTA Data
Map™
Data
Acquisition RFI™
Perspective on
Walled Gardens™
MTA Data
Strategy Guide™
Part 1:
Intro to Multi-Touch Attribution
(MTA) Methods
Part 2:
Selecting the Best MTA Provider
For Your Needs
Part 3:
Making Sense of Attribution
Approaches
Part 4:
Leveraging MTA to Improve
Marketing Effectiveness
QUARTERLY
BENCHMARK
SURVEYS
To be released Q1 ‘18
To be released Dec ‘17
To be released Dec ‘17
Released Sept ‘17Released Nov‘16 Released Jan ‘17
North America
MMA MTA Data Map™
27
Meant to be Single
Visual on MTA Strategy
1. Poster-sized framework
for complete data
picture
2. Companion booklet
with “how to”
instructions
3. Ensures nothing gets
“left out” of the
marketer, agency, DMP,
and MTA provider
strategy discussions
DataMap
1
™
Confidential: Cannot be shared without permission from the Mobile Marketing Association
Unified
User ID
Mobile
Desktop
Smart TV
Customer
Interaction
I am here to bring you a vison from the future
Measuring
“Brand as Performance”
However:
1. We need to measure effect on a comparable basis over time (apples-to-apples)
2. Need to agree that Brand pays off over time, or might not pay off at all
Proposed New MMA Program Using MTA
29
Performance Branding
Set up
test
and
control
Run media.
Measure short
term brand & sales
impact
Create Campaign
impact segments
at the individual
level
Deterministic
Track over
time
Measure
TOTAL sales lift
for each short
term segment
Run media
optimization
on total effect
No
impact
For each
channel we
expect to
run both
branding &
performance
creative
Blackout /no
exposure to
media tactics
Test
Control
2MM unified
IDs in @ test
and control
Surveys for brand effects
(n=25,000), digital
data/sales for conversion
Classify each user based on
campaign reactions from
surveys and conversion data
Compare sales lift
of each segment vs.
control
Simulate campaign
performance with optimal
allocation
1
No
impact
Brand
Impact
$ales
Impact
Both
Track over time at
the individual level
Run attribution to assign
credit to each media
using TOTAL sales.
+xx%
Sales
2 3 4 5 6
15%
13%
22%
Short
Term
Long
Term
segments sales lift
Xx%
Xx%
80%
20%
Performance
Branding
6-12+ months
30
MMA: Reshaping the Future of Marketing
SMoX
Mobile ROI Research
32
Thanks
Greg Stuart
CEO
Mobile Marketing Assoc.
greg@mmaglobal.com
33

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Track 6 MMA Forum Brasil 2018

  • 1. MMA: Mapeando o caminho para o futuro O Futuro de acordo com 60+ Global CMO & líderes de marketing leaders que fazem parte dos boards da MMA Greg Stuart CEO greg@mmaglobal.com Mobile Marketing Association
  • 2. 1. The Problem: We thought it was proving the ROI of Mobile 2. …But we Found a Bigger problem… Marketing measurement is out of touch 3. …the MMA is driving a solution Challenge is that it’s hard, and early. But still critical Today’s Agenda (about the future)
  • 3. First: Who’s ‘behind’ the MMA Future Agenda 3 CMO GM CMO Verizon CMO Allstate CMO Chobani CMO Samsung CMO CVS Head of Marketing LATAM Air CBO JP Morgan Global Media Unilever Global Brand Officer Marriott Others… $20 billion in Marketing Spend Global CRO - Facebook Global CRO – Snapchat Global CRO – Twitter Global CRO – Pandora President, Google Americas CEO Tune CEO GroundTruth $125B+ in Marketing Revenue
  • 4. In 2011, Mobile Had a Real Problem NO measurement company or platform was able to measure the Value/ROI of Mobile in the Marketing Mix 4 In spite of Mobile being the single greatest revolution in consumer media habits in our generation
  • 5. Last year (and year before), I Referenced…. 5 SMoX.me = Smart Mobile Cross Marketing Effectiveness Studies
  • 7. Overall, SMoX Patterns in Optimized Marketing Mixes suggest that Mobile should be 15%-20% of Total Media 7 1% 5% 4% 6% 5% 12% 11% 16% 26% 20% 15% 12% 15% 15% 19% 17% 17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% AT&T Gold Peak Tea/Coca Cola MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola China Coca Cola Brazil Unilever Magnum Allstate Wendys % of mobile display in the mx (ex search) Optimal allocations to Mobile as a percentage of total marketing mix Gap to Optimal Actual Spend
  • 8. And when Mobile is Optimized; Gains are nearly +20% in Brand metrics and +7% to (a crazy) +60% in Sales 8 18% 7% 17% 14% 16% 60% 13% 7% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% AT&T Gold Peak Tea/Coca Cola MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola China Coca Cola Brazil Unilever Magnum Allstate Wendys % of mobile display in the mx (ex search) Increase in Key Business Outcomes Based Mobile in the Mix versus No Mobile Increase in Key Business Outcomes Sales SalesSalesSalesSalesBrand Sales Image
  • 9. We Learned a Lot from SMoX For one…GOD is NOT DEAD! TV still works (but not in the ways you may have imagined) 9 Mobile offers a big Opportunity but MIX Still Really Matters
  • 10. TV (God) is not Dead! Plus or minus, Half of the Media Mix should Still go to TV. 10 70% 38% Awareness, New product launch Image and Sales, Brand Building Image and Sales, National Launch 70% 65% 60% Image, existing brand 50% Sales, Promotional, Education needed Promotion, no education needed 50% 38%
  • 11. But Shorter Video is TWICE as Valuable 11 Proprietary & Confidential Video Audio 200 118 100 100 *Index is based on Number of people who became more likely to consider Allstate / $ spent 15-SECONDS 30-SECONDS
  • 12. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% PointIncreaseinPricePerception Frequency Frequency to Lift Response Mobile Video vs. TV* And we Don’t Need to Run Nearly as Much as is required in TV 12 CABLE TV MOBILE VIDEO 2-3 Ads are Enough in Mobile
  • 13. In Addition to all that; a Disruptive Trend Emerged Seems that our assumptions were being reset and reshaped. 13 Measuring Mobile is not the issue. It is measuring the whole marketing stack, “in all it’s permutations” is critical.
  • 14. 14 Just Looking at Ads, Doesn’t tell us the Whole Story 14 Branding: Aided Awareness/ $ spent* Sales: ROI Mobile Display with weather targeting Mobile Display Campaign Average (across all media) 100 100 *Index is based on Number of people who became aware of Magnum per $ spent. 200 147 175 ZERO
  • 15. *Index is based on Number of people who became more likely to consider Allstate / $ spent We’ve Consistently Seen How Targeting Improves Performance. Even Location for Insurance Mobile Video Targeting Consideration / $ Spent + Behavioral targeting + Contextual targeting Demographic targeting 100 15 320 191
  • 18. And New Data integrations makes new Opportunities (audience & performance) possible Foot traffic / $ spent* Commuter Coupon User Campaign Average (across all media) 100 518 500 18
  • 19. The Impact of getting it RIGHT? 33% Of the mix in mobile +166% Foot traffic
  • 20. Wendy’s Set a New Goal Level when the Brand Found Highly Targeted, Large Segments that Really Worked 20 1% 5% 4% 6% 5% 12% 11% 16% 26% 20% 15% 12% 15% 15% 19% 17% 17% 33% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% AT&T Gold Peak Tea/Coca Cola MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola China Coca Cola Brazil Unilever Magnum Allstate Wendys % of mobile display in the mx (ex search) Optimal allocations to Mobile as a percentage of total marketing mix Gap to Optimal Actual Spend
  • 21. Now We have a New Vision for How High, High Could Be 21 18% 7% 17% 14% 16% 60% 13% 7% 166% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% AT&T Gold Peak Tea/Coca Cola MasterCard Walmart 825 Coca Cola China Coca Cola Brazil Unilever Magnum Allstate Wendys % of mobile display in the mx (ex search) Increase in Key Business Outcomes Based Mobile in the Mix vs. No Mobile Increase in Key Business Outcomes Sales SalesSalesSalesSalesBrand Sales Image Traffic
  • 22. The ONLY answer is Multi-Touch Attribution, or MTA MMA Board believes it’s hard but needs to be done 22 It’s the only answer. We have to get there. Solves so many issues. But it’s really hard, and early
  • 23. First, what Is MTA 23 Multi-Touch Attribution: The science of using advanced analytics, • on user level data, • to allocate proportional credit, • across a granular list of marketing touchpoints across many, • and hopefully all, online and offline channels, leading to a desired customer outcome. Excluded: Traditional MMM, brand tracking and last-touch attribution methods
  • 24. …How else do we assess the value of ad unit combination #159: Or, Mobile video channel targeting men who have visited a dealership in the last 7 days …Or assess the value of ad unit combination #395: Or, Mobile audio channel targeting women who commute by a QSR regularly over last month …Versus the dozen’s or hundreds of other ad format, data, target, time of day, context, location, etc. combinations The issue is that ONLY MTA can get Granular 24
  • 25. So, in September 2016, we Launched… 25 MATT is a community of industry experts committed to rethinking the world of marketing measurement and attribution; seeking to give marketers better measurements, tools and confidence in connecting marketing to business outcomes. All MMA members are invited to participate in MATT
  • 26. MATT’s MTA Strategy – How it all fits together… 26 MTA Decision Guide™ - MTA Landscape Report - MTA Provider Scoring Tool - MTA Request for Information - 4-Part Intro to MTA Webinar MTA Tactical Success Guide™ MMA MTA Data Map™ Data Acquisition RFI™ Perspective on Walled Gardens™ MTA Data Strategy Guide™ Part 1: Intro to Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA) Methods Part 2: Selecting the Best MTA Provider For Your Needs Part 3: Making Sense of Attribution Approaches Part 4: Leveraging MTA to Improve Marketing Effectiveness QUARTERLY BENCHMARK SURVEYS To be released Q1 ‘18 To be released Dec ‘17 To be released Dec ‘17 Released Sept ‘17Released Nov‘16 Released Jan ‘17
  • 27. North America MMA MTA Data Map™ 27 Meant to be Single Visual on MTA Strategy 1. Poster-sized framework for complete data picture 2. Companion booklet with “how to” instructions 3. Ensures nothing gets “left out” of the marketer, agency, DMP, and MTA provider strategy discussions DataMap 1 ™ Confidential: Cannot be shared without permission from the Mobile Marketing Association Unified User ID Mobile Desktop Smart TV Customer Interaction
  • 28. I am here to bring you a vison from the future
  • 29. Measuring “Brand as Performance” However: 1. We need to measure effect on a comparable basis over time (apples-to-apples) 2. Need to agree that Brand pays off over time, or might not pay off at all Proposed New MMA Program Using MTA 29
  • 30. Performance Branding Set up test and control Run media. Measure short term brand & sales impact Create Campaign impact segments at the individual level Deterministic Track over time Measure TOTAL sales lift for each short term segment Run media optimization on total effect No impact For each channel we expect to run both branding & performance creative Blackout /no exposure to media tactics Test Control 2MM unified IDs in @ test and control Surveys for brand effects (n=25,000), digital data/sales for conversion Classify each user based on campaign reactions from surveys and conversion data Compare sales lift of each segment vs. control Simulate campaign performance with optimal allocation 1 No impact Brand Impact $ales Impact Both Track over time at the individual level Run attribution to assign credit to each media using TOTAL sales. +xx% Sales 2 3 4 5 6 15% 13% 22% Short Term Long Term segments sales lift Xx% Xx% 80% 20% Performance Branding 6-12+ months 30
  • 31. MMA: Reshaping the Future of Marketing SMoX Mobile ROI Research
  • 32. 32 Thanks Greg Stuart CEO Mobile Marketing Assoc. greg@mmaglobal.com
  • 33. 33