The presentation is a part of strategic planning exercise carried out by organizations and individuals to achieve long terms business and personal goals.

1. SCENARIO BUILDING BY BRIG ARUN SEHGAL SAGAR PUSHP EA09040

2. INTRODUCTION

5. What epitaph do you want on your tombstone? Why is it Important?

6. And therefore, we need to have FORESIGHT .

7. Foresight Everyone has an innate foresight capacity to think about the future. We do it everyday, but usually we don’t recognise it. To develop an individual foresight capacity, we first have to recognise that we have it, and that we need to use it.

8. Why think about the future? What we don’t know we don’t know What we know we don’t know What we know Most of what we need to know to make good decisions today is outside our comprehension: we don’t even know it’s there. All our knowledge is about the past, but all our decisions are about the future.

15. The “Strategic Landscape” Foresight Adapted from H. Tibbs Self Mountain Star Chessboard

16. How do you build futures ready strategy? The Scenario Building Process

22. Impact-Uncertainty Classification Impact Uncertainty Low Moderate High Low Mod High

24. Impact-Uncertainty Classification Impact Uncertainty Critical Scenario Drivers Important Scenario Drivers Critical Planning Issues Important Planning Issues Important Planning Issues Important Scenario Drivers Monitor & re-assess Monitor Monitor Low Moderate High Low Mod High

26. WILD CARDS

29. CONDUCT OF SCENARIO ANALYSIS

32. CONCLUSION