1.
Future trends of general education, internet and
social media in Finland year 2023
Educa Online Berlin
CRE48
” Are You Scared of Your Students Using Social Media in the Classroom?”
6.12.2013
Examples of some preliminary findings
Otava Folk School
Kari A. Hintikka
nethunt@Twitter

2.
Background of the SOMY project
• Finnish schools have introduced social media rapidly and widely during
the past few years
• These pilots are steered by a national social media coordination project
for Finnish general education, SOMY
• SOMY coordination is funded by the Finnish National Board of
Education (FNBE) and carried out by Otava Folk School and
Jyväskylä Educational Consortium
• Part of the SOMY we conduct a prediction report about internet and
schools in the year 2023

3.
eDelfoi as a method
• Our main method is the eDelfoi research tool, which is based on the
Delphi method
• eDelfoi is a multi-purpose questionnaire for gathering a wide variety
of opinions concerning possible future paths relating to a desired
theme
• The Delphi method itself is a systematic, interactive foresight
method which relies on a panel of anonymous, independent experts
as a form of collective intelligence
• The main benefit of eDelfoi is that it produces probable and
innovative visions and various paths to the future including collective
evaluations regarding them
• The eDelfoi tool was developed by Otava Folk High School and
Future Research Center of Turku School of Economics in Finland.

4.
Basic structure of eDelfoi question
Thesis
/
claim
/
ques.on
Background
info
Several
Interac.ve
Answerin
types
Real.me
results
of
every
answers
Dialog
and
commen.ng

5.
eDelcoi compared to Delfoi
Feature
Delfoi
eDelfoi
Goal
Best
solu.on
Visions,
dialogue
Social
elements
No
communica.on
between
par.cipants
Encouraging
to
talk
and
share
Applica.on
E-­‐mail
Www
applica.on
Interac.on
types
Text
6
answering
types

6.
Goals of SOMY prediction research
•
Our main research questions are:
– 1) What kind of pedagogical models are emerging with social media?
– 2) What benefits do social media bring to the quality of learning?
•
Our eDelfoi research project is based on four sets of questions:
–
–
–
–
–
•
1) Learning and pedagogy
2) Education materials and learning methods
3) Authorisation of information and
4) The future school environment
This means 40 predictions for the year 2023
There were Finnish 33 experts of
–
–
–
–
–
Researchers
Teachers and principals for social media pilot schools
Social media innovators and thrend setters
Public sector
Education and learning business

7.
Thesis, an example: When pupils start school in the year
2023 (in Finland), 25 % of them will graduate to professions
which do not exist in 2023
Desirability
Learning
for
future
professions
+++
++
+
+/-­‐
-­‐
-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐
-­‐
+/-­‐
+
++
+++
Probability
Background:
Tony
Wagner
in
New
York
Times
31.3.2013:
“Need
a
job?
Invent
it”

8.
• Experts strongly agreed that in the 2023 might be impossible to
educate pupils to labour market of the year 2033
• It is important to find skills whih are needed in the future, even
maybe not important in present time, examples:
–
–
–
–
Biohacking
Data mining and crawling
Spatial thinking and pattern recognition
Coordinating social networks

9.
Which actors and their relationship are the most important in Finland
today year 2013 for general education and learning?

10.
Which actors and their relationship are the most important in
Finland in the year 2023 for general education and learning?
• School is in central role for general education and learning
• Different sectors in every field of Finland form clear and tight
networks
–
–
–
–
Pupils and their social networks
Public sector
Teacher as an institutional actor with her / his organizations
All these networks have impact to school
• Institutions have a big role

11.
Which actors and their relationship are the most important in Finland in
the year 2023 for general education and learning?
LUONNOS

12.
Which actors and their relationship are the most important in
Finland in the year 2023 for general education and learning?
• According to experts, there could be
dramatic changes
• Decreasing:
– The role of school itself as a concept and place
– The role of public sector and other institutions
• Increasing:
– Own skills of pupils, their social networks and social media – outside of school
– (after newest PISA results and dramatic dropping of Finland, it was explained
that mobile devices and social media kills concetration of pupils)
• Learning material is referred to teacher but learning tool heavily to pupils

13.
What is the importance of current school lesson subjects in
the year 2023?
Second
language
(Swedish)
Mathema.cs
16
14
Religion
12
10
Household
Natural
Sciences
8
Guidance
of
pupil
Other
languages
Mother
tongue
6
Chemistry
4
Biology
2
Serenpidity
0
Geography
Physical
educa.ons
Physics
Arts
Crea.vity
Craas
Music
Important
Ci.zen
Skills
History
Health
educa.on
Civic
and
ci.zenship
View
of
life
Decreasing
Overall
posi.ve

14.
What is the importance of current school lesson subjects in
the year 2023?
• Important:
– Mathematics
– Languages
– Practical civil and society skills (Physical educations, History, Health
education, Civic and citizenship, View of life)
• Creative subjects was considered more important than most of
natural sciences
• Strongly decreasing:
– Religion and Swedish
– (Long debate in Finland about Swedish as a mandatory lesson subject)

15.
Thesis: Evaluate the importance of following methods and skills
of pupils in general education on year 2023
Serendipidity
15
Collec.ve
Intelligence
25
25
Interna.onality
24
20
Teaching
Others
17
Par.cipa.on
22
15
10
Peer-­‐to-­‐peer
Learning
19
Discovery
learning
22
5
Cri.cal
0
Knowledge
building
19
Argumening
Skills
21
Serenpidity
Increasing
All
men.ons
Hypothesis
and
tes.ng
19
Dialogy
21
Learning
by
doing
-­‐projects
20
Collec.ve
Learning
21
Social
Networks
20
Tacit
knowledge
20
Phenomenon-­‐based
learning
20

16.
Thesis: Evaluate the relevance of following methods and
skills of pupils in general education on year 2023
• All the suggested (new) methods and skill were gihgly ranked
• Among the most important (new) skills for pupils in general
education on year 2023 (in Finland) might be:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Collective intelligence (25)
Internationality and international co-operation and exchange (24)
(Civil) participation (22)
Discovery learning (22)
Argumening Skills (21)
Dialogy (21)
Collective Learning (21)

17.
Thesis: In year 2017 OECD might launch new PISA-like
research studying metaskills, like problem solving, and
Finland drop somewhere to place 30/65
Suomen"menestys"'uudentyyppisessä"PISA'Atutkimuksessa"2017A2023"
100"
90"
AsiantunCja"1"
80"
AsiantunCja"2"
AsiantunCja"3"
70"
AsiantunCja"4"
60"
AsiantunCja"5"
AsiantunCja"6"
Prosen2a" 50"
AsiantunCja"7"
AsiantunCja"8"
40"
AsiantunCaja"9"
AsiantunCja"10"
30"
AsiantunCja"11"
20"
AsiantunCja"12"
AsiantunCja"13"
10"
Keskiarvo,"%"
0"
2017"
2020"
Vuosi"
2023"

18.
• The current PISA measures quite traditional skills
• The new PISA-type research is just a concept in our research – not
the fact
• Experts predicted that measuring skills which are more complex
than existing PISA, like creative problem solving, the placement of
Finland might be much worse than the placement than in PISA 2013

19.
Desirability
Thesis: In the year 2023 both pupil and adult do not rely on their
memory but just googling things and asking in sosial media
+++
++
+
+/-­‐
-­‐
-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐-­‐
-­‐-­‐
-­‐
+/-­‐
+
++
+++
Probability

20.
Thesis: In the year 2023 both pupil and adult do not rely on their
memory but just googling things and asking in sosial media
• Dependance of machines, software and internet services is growing
rapidly
• In Finland, the ability to read is decreasing rapidly, specially with boys
• What if people cannot handle their daily life without the Internet and
its search engines?

21.
Thank you!
For more info about final results and eDelfoi:
kari . hintikka (a) otavanopisto . Fi
nethunt@Twitter