SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  54
Bled, March 3 2011 Imagining the worst Elightened catastrophism Can we even look at it ? Apocalypse by modernity Is the worst already there ?
World demography
World population
European middle age evolution ,[object Object],Expansion Saturation Decline Creation stabilization (renaissance) 1100 1300 1500
Demography : simulation 1.8 children/woman limit Inversion of the age pyramid maximum then decline
World population Men Women
Europe Men Women
Africa Men Women
Russian Federation Men Women
Asia Men Women
Northern America Men Women
Latin America Men Women
Global urbanization and demography United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
Shrinking cities Detroit Glasgow Leipzig… Collapse : Jared Diamond
Planetary garden To take care fo nature Humans have to live close To nature
The evolution of human species is worrying A challenge to reason
What happened ?
In 1953, Martin Heidegger, in an engineering school, talks  « Die frage der teknik » : 1- the essence of technology  is nothing technical 2- the essence of technology  is the being itself 3- the essence of « modern » technology is the ge-stell In the most extreme danger also grows salvation Inhabit earth as a poet (Hölderlin)
[object Object],Energy Time scale Man-biosphere relations Since 12th century
[object Object],mills belfries Selection of seeds Middle age 12-13th century AD
Industrial revolution 1750-1980 in Europe ,[object Object],Combustion Taylorism Microbiology
Cognitive revolution 1980-2180 ,[object Object],Electricity Optronics Bio-ecology Converging
Towards a new « essence of technology »
Internet penetration 2010 world 28,7% Au 74,8 Fr  68,9 Sp 62,6 It 51,7 Fi 85,3  D 79,1 UK  82,5 Port 48,1 Swe 92,5 Isl 97,6 Nl 88,6 Be 77,8 Ir 65,8 Dk 86,1 India  6,9 Pakistan 10,4 Kazakhstan 34,3 Indonesia 12,3 Thaïland 26,3 China 31,6 Vietnam 27,1 Singapour 77,8 Malaisia 64,6 Taiwan 70,1 Japan 78,2 Hong-Kong 68,8 Korea 81,1 Venezuela 34,2 Mexico 27,2 Brazil 37,8 Peru 27,0 Argentina 64,4 Chile 50,0 Canada 77,7 USA 77,3 Algeria  13,6 Egypt 21,2 South Africa 10,8 Tunisia 34,0 Morocco 33,0 Source : internetworldstats.com In 2025, more than 75% on the whole planet.  Polycultural Internet. Telecom operators challenging banks… Se 55,9 Sk 74,3 Sv 64,8 Bo 31,2 Ro 35,5 Po 58,4 Cz 65,5 Ru 42,8 Gr 43,2 Hu 61,8 Cr 50 Mn 44,1 Ma 51 Li 59,3 Es 75,1 La 67,8 Al 43,5
Cyberspace declaration of independance (Barlow, 1996) Governments of the Industrial World, you weary giants of flesh and steel, I come from Cyberspace, the new home of Mind. On behalf of the future, I ask you of the past to leave us alone. You are not welcome among us. You have no sovereignty where we gather. We have no elected government, nor are we likely to have one, so I address you with no greater authority than that with which liberty itself always speaks. I declare the global social space we are building to be naturally independent of the tyrannies you seek to impose on us. You have no moral right to rule us nor do you possess any methods of enforcement we have true reason to fear. Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed. You have neither solicited nor received ours. We did not invite you. You do not know us, nor do you know our world. Cyberspace does not lie within your borders. Libertarians and Tea party…
The time barrier We are not living in an  information society, but in a « disinformation society »  Classical economics assumed that  actors were perfectly informed  lucid and watchful. The basic assumption being false, the theory is not valid any more Desorientation is  everywhere  :   Hyperchoice (Toffler), cognitive overload…
Vulnerability of the human brain TV : less than 1h/day TV : more than 3h/day
Instability of the 90-2010:  176 crisis during the last 25 years (Stiglitz) Mexico Indonesia  Thaïland Korea and even Japan Russia Argentina… New tech Subprime… What is the merchant ruling class doing,  since it has unshared power :  Bubbles ! Will the next bubble Be a green one?
A new « essence of technology » ? : Hannah Arendt (1958) : Persuasion -> Ge-stell of the consumer’s motivations, storytelling Web 2.0 (2005) and great software companies (google)  ->Ge-stell of the user’s logic Money overflow : towards world hyperinflation ? Control of money on politics through media (Murdoch) -> From democracy to lobbycracy
A large and growing number of products consist of many different components that are manufactured in various parts of the world… The strawberry yogurt… by wuppertal Trade in intermediates accounts for the largest part of overall trade  Larger supply chains Long supply chains are more vulnerable
From hyper capitalism to mafia capitalism ?
Natural resources looting continue
Global resources scarcity US Materials Intensity of Use Ausubel and Langford eds.National Academy, 1997
 
Temperature increase 1990-2050 Business as usual IPCC scenario
Rains and droughts Business as usual IPCC scenario 2050 How many climate refugees ? 200M ?
Hurricanes
Who will stop it ? Pollutions
Forest destruction between   2002 and 2006 Who will protect nature ? Amazonia, Mato grosso
Epidemias Other type of rescue and population control
 
Source : rebuilding america’s defence report By « new american century » (2000) (Donald Kagan, Gary Schmitt, Paul Wolfowitz…) Will nature protection become the n°1 military concern ?
2 missions in the scealed  dome . From  26  september  1991  to  26   september   1993 . From march to september  1994 Biosphere 2 : Noah’s arch of the third millenium
How many different species for a stable ecosystem?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The critical times are coming Rich and poor people at 100m on the whole planet
Thich Quang Duc, 73 years old 11 june 1963… End of Viet Nam war : 1975 It takes a longtime to understand !
[object Object],[object Object],21st century foresight Ended by a systemic crisis 2010-2020
[object Object],21st century foresight
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],21st century foresight O’Neill’s artificial planets
Declining : Rising : From heteronomia to autonomia : the values De Waal Simondon Cyrulnik Domination Conquest Performance Empathy Individuation Resilience Authors :
To Homo Sapiens Foresight for 21st century From Homo Coca-colensis
21st century: A challenge to reason Thanks for your attention

Contenu connexe

Tendances

E7 beck don the day the earth stood still
E7 beck don   the day the earth stood stillE7 beck don   the day the earth stood still
E7 beck don the day the earth stood still
Edwin Holwerda
 
Negative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
Negative Effects Of The Industrial RevolutionNegative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
Negative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
eben_cooke
 

Tendances (8)

E7 beck don the day the earth stood still
E7 beck don   the day the earth stood stillE7 beck don   the day the earth stood still
E7 beck don the day the earth stood still
 
Phase III Presentation II
Phase III  Presentation IIPhase III  Presentation II
Phase III Presentation II
 
Steven Greer - CE5-CSETI - 10. Talking Points for Educating Your Community
Steven Greer - CE5-CSETI - 10. Talking Points for Educating Your CommunitySteven Greer - CE5-CSETI - 10. Talking Points for Educating Your Community
Steven Greer - CE5-CSETI - 10. Talking Points for Educating Your Community
 
Industrial Revolution part II
Industrial Revolution part IIIndustrial Revolution part II
Industrial Revolution part II
 
Transhumanism / Augmentation
Transhumanism / AugmentationTranshumanism / Augmentation
Transhumanism / Augmentation
 
"The war in heaven" visitors - eng 5.4.2020
"The war in heaven"   visitors - eng 5.4.2020"The war in heaven"   visitors - eng 5.4.2020
"The war in heaven" visitors - eng 5.4.2020
 
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
 
Negative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
Negative Effects Of The Industrial RevolutionNegative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
Negative Effects Of The Industrial Revolution
 

En vedette (8)

Working title history
Working title historyWorking title history
Working title history
 
Marie pdf13
Marie pdf13Marie pdf13
Marie pdf13
 
The Art of Responding to Feedback from Your Community at South by Southwest I...
The Art of Responding to Feedback from Your Community at South by Southwest I...The Art of Responding to Feedback from Your Community at South by Southwest I...
The Art of Responding to Feedback from Your Community at South by Southwest I...
 
118 gastaut
118 gastaut118 gastaut
118 gastaut
 
Promises are the same
Promises are the samePromises are the same
Promises are the same
 
The poverty iceberg
The poverty icebergThe poverty iceberg
The poverty iceberg
 
Ciaran O'Neill on NHS reform - a Northern Irish perspective
Ciaran O'Neill on NHS reform - a Northern Irish perspectiveCiaran O'Neill on NHS reform - a Northern Irish perspective
Ciaran O'Neill on NHS reform - a Northern Irish perspective
 
Healthcare Sector GOGreen presentation
Healthcare Sector GOGreen presentationHealthcare Sector GOGreen presentation
Healthcare Sector GOGreen presentation
 

Similaire à The worst

The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docxThe textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
christalgrieg
 
Lim JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
Lim  JUS394 Utopian DystopianLim  JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
Lim JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
merlyna
 
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
guest7227c5
 
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docxReal World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
catheryncouper
 
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
Faga1939
 
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
Faga1939
 

Similaire à The worst (20)

Religions ethology04 11
Religions ethology04 11Religions ethology04 11
Religions ethology04 11
 
World 2.0
World 2.0World 2.0
World 2.0
 
The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docxThe textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
The textbook for the class is Teich, A. H. (2012). Technology and .docx
 
Lim JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
Lim  JUS394 Utopian DystopianLim  JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
Lim JUS394 Utopian Dystopian
 
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
 
Slaughtering Sacred Cows
Slaughtering Sacred CowsSlaughtering Sacred Cows
Slaughtering Sacred Cows
 
Innovation policy
Innovation  policyInnovation  policy
Innovation policy
 
The global future jan2016
The global future jan2016The global future jan2016
The global future jan2016
 
02.07.conference.guy baeten
02.07.conference.guy baeten02.07.conference.guy baeten
02.07.conference.guy baeten
 
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docxReal World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
Real World JusticeAuthor(s) Thomas PoggeReviewed work(s).docx
 
How the Net Betrays Discourse
How the Net Betrays DiscourseHow the Net Betrays Discourse
How the Net Betrays Discourse
 
Redes versus Hierarquias, no tempo da História
Redes versus Hierarquias, no tempo da HistóriaRedes versus Hierarquias, no tempo da História
Redes versus Hierarquias, no tempo da História
 
Kim Solez Singularity explained and promoted fall 2016
Kim Solez Singularity explained and promoted fall 2016Kim Solez Singularity explained and promoted fall 2016
Kim Solez Singularity explained and promoted fall 2016
 
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
HOW TO MAKE THE UTOPIA OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY USED ONLY FOR THE GOOD OF HU...
 
Deming Collab Article
Deming Collab ArticleDeming Collab Article
Deming Collab Article
 
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
THE COLLAPSES THAT THREATEN HUMANITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND HOW TO AVOID THE...
 
The global future april 2012
The global future april 2012The global future april 2012
The global future april 2012
 
The Information Revolution
The Information RevolutionThe Information Revolution
The Information Revolution
 
Coping with Global Evolutionary Crisis in 21st century through Social Innovat...
Coping with Global Evolutionary Crisis in 21st century through Social Innovat...Coping with Global Evolutionary Crisis in 21st century through Social Innovat...
Coping with Global Evolutionary Crisis in 21st century through Social Innovat...
 
Stability During the Grand Transformations
Stability During the Grand TransformationsStability During the Grand Transformations
Stability During the Grand Transformations
 

Plus de Thierry Gaudin

Tetra 19 février 2011
Tetra 19 février 2011Tetra 19 février 2011
Tetra 19 février 2011
Thierry Gaudin
 

Plus de Thierry Gaudin (11)

Avenir des sociétés 05 04 11
Avenir des sociétés 05 04 11Avenir des sociétés 05 04 11
Avenir des sociétés 05 04 11
 
Tetra 19 février 2011
Tetra 19 février 2011Tetra 19 février 2011
Tetra 19 février 2011
 
Prospective du métier d'ingénieur
Prospective du métier d'ingénieurProspective du métier d'ingénieur
Prospective du métier d'ingénieur
 
2100@20ans
2100@20ans2100@20ans
2100@20ans
 
Monde 2025
Monde 2025Monde 2025
Monde 2025
 
Biomasse
 Biomasse Biomasse
Biomasse
 
Prospectiveurbaine2
Prospectiveurbaine2Prospectiveurbaine2
Prospectiveurbaine2
 
Prospective pour l'universite
Prospective pour l'universiteProspective pour l'universite
Prospective pour l'universite
 
Jardin planetaire
Jardin planetaireJardin planetaire
Jardin planetaire
 
110 koenig
110 koenig110 koenig
110 koenig
 
117 laurent
117 laurent117 laurent
117 laurent
 

Dernier

+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
?#DUbAI#??##{{(☎️+971_581248768%)**%*]'#abortion pills for sale in dubai@
 

Dernier (20)

Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps ScriptAutomating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
 
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
 
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law DevelopmentsTrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
 
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationFrom Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
 
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
 
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityBoost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
 
ProductAnonymous-April2024-WinProductDiscovery-MelissaKlemke
ProductAnonymous-April2024-WinProductDiscovery-MelissaKlemkeProductAnonymous-April2024-WinProductDiscovery-MelissaKlemke
ProductAnonymous-April2024-WinProductDiscovery-MelissaKlemke
 
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdfGenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
 
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
 
presentation ICT roal in 21st century education
presentation ICT roal in 21st century educationpresentation ICT roal in 21st century education
presentation ICT roal in 21st century education
 
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
 
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CV
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CVReal Time Object Detection Using Open CV
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CV
 
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data DiscoveryTrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
 

The worst

  • 1. Bled, March 3 2011 Imagining the worst Elightened catastrophism Can we even look at it ? Apocalypse by modernity Is the worst already there ?
  • 4.
  • 5. Demography : simulation 1.8 children/woman limit Inversion of the age pyramid maximum then decline
  • 13. Global urbanization and demography United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
  • 14. Shrinking cities Detroit Glasgow Leipzig… Collapse : Jared Diamond
  • 15. Planetary garden To take care fo nature Humans have to live close To nature
  • 16. The evolution of human species is worrying A challenge to reason
  • 18. In 1953, Martin Heidegger, in an engineering school, talks « Die frage der teknik » : 1- the essence of technology is nothing technical 2- the essence of technology is the being itself 3- the essence of « modern » technology is the ge-stell In the most extreme danger also grows salvation Inhabit earth as a poet (Hölderlin)
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Towards a new « essence of technology »
  • 24. Internet penetration 2010 world 28,7% Au 74,8 Fr 68,9 Sp 62,6 It 51,7 Fi 85,3 D 79,1 UK 82,5 Port 48,1 Swe 92,5 Isl 97,6 Nl 88,6 Be 77,8 Ir 65,8 Dk 86,1 India 6,9 Pakistan 10,4 Kazakhstan 34,3 Indonesia 12,3 Thaïland 26,3 China 31,6 Vietnam 27,1 Singapour 77,8 Malaisia 64,6 Taiwan 70,1 Japan 78,2 Hong-Kong 68,8 Korea 81,1 Venezuela 34,2 Mexico 27,2 Brazil 37,8 Peru 27,0 Argentina 64,4 Chile 50,0 Canada 77,7 USA 77,3 Algeria 13,6 Egypt 21,2 South Africa 10,8 Tunisia 34,0 Morocco 33,0 Source : internetworldstats.com In 2025, more than 75% on the whole planet. Polycultural Internet. Telecom operators challenging banks… Se 55,9 Sk 74,3 Sv 64,8 Bo 31,2 Ro 35,5 Po 58,4 Cz 65,5 Ru 42,8 Gr 43,2 Hu 61,8 Cr 50 Mn 44,1 Ma 51 Li 59,3 Es 75,1 La 67,8 Al 43,5
  • 25. Cyberspace declaration of independance (Barlow, 1996) Governments of the Industrial World, you weary giants of flesh and steel, I come from Cyberspace, the new home of Mind. On behalf of the future, I ask you of the past to leave us alone. You are not welcome among us. You have no sovereignty where we gather. We have no elected government, nor are we likely to have one, so I address you with no greater authority than that with which liberty itself always speaks. I declare the global social space we are building to be naturally independent of the tyrannies you seek to impose on us. You have no moral right to rule us nor do you possess any methods of enforcement we have true reason to fear. Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed. You have neither solicited nor received ours. We did not invite you. You do not know us, nor do you know our world. Cyberspace does not lie within your borders. Libertarians and Tea party…
  • 26. The time barrier We are not living in an information society, but in a « disinformation society » Classical economics assumed that actors were perfectly informed lucid and watchful. The basic assumption being false, the theory is not valid any more Desorientation is everywhere : Hyperchoice (Toffler), cognitive overload…
  • 27. Vulnerability of the human brain TV : less than 1h/day TV : more than 3h/day
  • 28. Instability of the 90-2010: 176 crisis during the last 25 years (Stiglitz) Mexico Indonesia Thaïland Korea and even Japan Russia Argentina… New tech Subprime… What is the merchant ruling class doing, since it has unshared power : Bubbles ! Will the next bubble Be a green one?
  • 29. A new « essence of technology » ? : Hannah Arendt (1958) : Persuasion -> Ge-stell of the consumer’s motivations, storytelling Web 2.0 (2005) and great software companies (google) ->Ge-stell of the user’s logic Money overflow : towards world hyperinflation ? Control of money on politics through media (Murdoch) -> From democracy to lobbycracy
  • 30. A large and growing number of products consist of many different components that are manufactured in various parts of the world… The strawberry yogurt… by wuppertal Trade in intermediates accounts for the largest part of overall trade Larger supply chains Long supply chains are more vulnerable
  • 31.
  • 32. From hyper capitalism to mafia capitalism ?
  • 34. Global resources scarcity US Materials Intensity of Use Ausubel and Langford eds.National Academy, 1997
  • 35.  
  • 36.
  • 37. Temperature increase 1990-2050 Business as usual IPCC scenario
  • 38. Rains and droughts Business as usual IPCC scenario 2050 How many climate refugees ? 200M ?
  • 40. Who will stop it ? Pollutions
  • 41. Forest destruction between 2002 and 2006 Who will protect nature ? Amazonia, Mato grosso
  • 42. Epidemias Other type of rescue and population control
  • 43.  
  • 44. Source : rebuilding america’s defence report By « new american century » (2000) (Donald Kagan, Gary Schmitt, Paul Wolfowitz…) Will nature protection become the n°1 military concern ?
  • 45. 2 missions in the scealed dome . From 26  september  1991 to 26   september   1993 . From march to september 1994 Biosphere 2 : Noah’s arch of the third millenium
  • 46. How many different species for a stable ecosystem?
  • 47.
  • 48. Thich Quang Duc, 73 years old 11 june 1963… End of Viet Nam war : 1975 It takes a longtime to understand !
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52. Declining : Rising : From heteronomia to autonomia : the values De Waal Simondon Cyrulnik Domination Conquest Performance Empathy Individuation Resilience Authors :
  • 53. To Homo Sapiens Foresight for 21st century From Homo Coca-colensis
  • 54. 21st century: A challenge to reason Thanks for your attention

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Dans les années 70, les démographes parlaient d’explosion de la population. Le club de Rome écrivait « halte à la croissance ». Pendant les années 80, la fécondité a baissé dans tous les pays, y compris dans le tiers monde, et les démographes des Nations Unies pronostiquaient une stabilisation de la population mondiale aux environs de dix milliards d’habitants en 2100. Pendant les années 90, la fécondité a encore baissé. Elle semble se maintenir au dessous du seuil de renouvellement (2,1 enfants par femme) dans les pays développés, lesquels seraient progressivement rejoints par tous les autres, à mesure que le développement économique se diffuse dans le monde entier. D’où un scénario probable, comme le montre le graphique, avec un maximum, puis une décroissance à partir de 2060 environ. Pendant la première moitié du XXIe siècle, on assisterait à une inversion de la pyramide des âges, phénomène rare dans l’histoire de l’humanité, la classe d’âge de 60 à 65 ans devenant plus nombreuse que la classe d’âge de 0 à 5 ans.
  2. En passant sa vie active dans une tour de bureau climatisée, on oublie le chant du rossignol, l’odeur du foin coupé, la couleur des feuilles d’automne. Retrouver l’équilibre, ce n’est pas un vœu théorique, c’est le temps et l’énergie de tous les jours. La voie qui s’impose est la désurbanisation. Elle est d’ailleurs commencée dans nos pays d’Europe depuis les années 80.
  3. Apparition de l’Homo coca-colensis
  4. Derrière le masque d’une information toujours plus abondante et accessible, se cache une société de désinformation, dont les acteurs cherchent à occuper le mental du public par des messages conformes à leurs intérêts. Le spam n’est pas une « bavure ». Il est au contraire un des aspects essentiels (heureusement pas le seul) du système qui se construit actuellement. Par voie de conséquence, la désorientation, qui autrefois concernait surtout les personnes âgées ou les malades mentaux, devient un phénomène général touchant toutes sortes de personnes en difficulté.